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  • American Geophysical Union  (8,038)
  • National Academy of Sciences
  • 2015-2019  (12,085)
  • 2005-2009
  • 2019  (12,085)
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  • 2015-2019  (12,085)
  • 2005-2009
Year
  • 1
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    Sea Ice Targeted Geoengineering Can Delay Arctic Sea Ice Decline but not Global Warming (2019)
    American Geophysical Union
    In:  EPIC3Earth's Future, American Geophysical Union, 7(12), pp. 1296-1306, ISSN: 2328-4277
    Details
    Publication Date: 2021-02-15
    Description: To counteract global warming, a geoengineering approach that aims at intervening in the Arctic ice‐albedo feedback has been proposed. A large number of wind‐driven pumps shall spread seawater on the surface in winter to enhance ice growth, allowing more ice to survive the summer melt. We test this idea with a coupled climate model by modifying the surface exchange processes such that the physical effect of the pumps is simulated. Based on experiments with RCP 8.5 scenario forcing, we find that it is possible to keep the late‐summer sea ice cover at the current extent for the next ∼60 years. The increased ice extent is accompanied by significant Arctic late‐summer cooling by ∼1.3 K on average north of the polar circle (2021–2060). However, this cooling is not conveyed to lower latitudes. Moreover, the Arctic experiences substantial winter warming in regions with active pumps. The global annual‐mean near‐surface air temperature is reduced by only 0.02 K (2021–2060). Our results cast doubt on the potential of sea ice targeted geoengineering to mitigate climate change.
    Repository Name: EPIC Alfred Wegener Institut
    Type: Article , isiRev
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  • 2
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    Reduced winter off-road tundra travel under climate change (2019)
    American Geophysical Union
    In:  EPIC3AGU Fall meeting, San Francisco, CA, 2019-12-09-2019-12-13USA, American Geophysical Union
    Details
    Publication Date: 2019-12-17
    Description: During the last decade the Arctic has experienced increasing human development while many native communities continue to live a subsistence lifestyle. Off-road winter tundra travel for resource exploration is most cost effective and least environmentally damaging during winter when the tundra is frozen and snow covered. Climate warming, which is occurring at an amplified rate in the Arctic, likely changes the period when access to the off-road tundra travel is possible. There currently exists, however, large uncertainty as to how climate change will impact the low-cost winter travel access across the tundra. Here we defined safe tundra access when soil temperatures are below a soil type dependent freezing temperature and snow cover is at least 20 cm. Our analysis is based on the simulated soil temperatures and snow depths of Land Surface Models (LSMs) contributing to “The Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project” (ISIMIP). ISIMIP simulations are based on a common protocol, the same input data, the same spatial (0.5°) and temporal resolution (daily modeling output), and span over the period 1861-2100. The LSMs are forced by four different bias-corrected global circulation models (IPSL-CM5A-LR, GFDL-ESM2M, MIROC5, HadGEM2-ES) and three different future conditions (represented via representative concentration pathways (RCP) 2.6, 6.0, 8.5). The simulation results of our model ensemble (60 model combinations) show consistent permafrost warming and changing snow cover patterns at 60°N. Annual off-road tundra travel is considerably reduced (〉50%) under future climate change scenarios, especially under the RCP8.5. The main reduction can be observed in the spring and autumn (〉30%). The results of the multi-model ensemble differ in magnitude, however, their overall trend is consistent. Our results suggest a high vulnerability and substantial changes to the (subsistence) livelihoods of native communities and increasing costs for off-road resource exploration.
    Repository Name: EPIC Alfred Wegener Institut
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  • 3
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    Interoperability Across Ocean Research Infrastructures Through Use Of Ocean Best Practices (2019)
    American Geophysical Union
    In:  EPIC3AGU Fall Meeting 2019, San Francisco, California, USA, 2019-12-09-2019-12-13American Geophysical Union
    Details
    Publication Date: 2020-02-12
    Description: Climate change and sustainable use of natural capital demand increased collaboration across the sciences. The first steps for effective collaboration often focus on improving interoperability between observation and analyses methodologies. This is traditionally done through a combination of standards and best practices. The ocean observation community and observing infrastructures - with regionally diverse members working in physics, chemistry, biology and engineering - is looking toward a dynamic consensus-building approach to match the rapid pace of technological evolution. This is an essential part of the long-term cooperation among ocean observing infrastructures. In the last 12 months, the ocean observing community has implemented an Ocean Best Practices System (OBPS). This System was recently adopted by the Intergovernmental Ocean Commission as an international project under GOOS and IODE. The System consists of a permanent OBPS repository hosted by IODE with state-of-the-art semantic discovery and metadata indexing for improved access to best practices and, eventually, to the data associated with them. There have been discussions to understand how to deal with differing best practices and standards on the same observation or analyses objective and other issues that arise from a comprehensive ocean best practices system. A recent survey, to be described, offers options on alternative approaches. Further, we have created a forum, in “Frontiers in Marine Science” for discussion of best practices and their applications. This presentation will cover options for evolving and sustaining ocean best practices across infrastructures. The recommendations build upon the community survey, the OGC experience, the outcomes of the OceanObs’19 conference as well as inputs from the Decade for Ocean Sciences community meetings. The extension of this work to other communities will also be examined.
    Repository Name: EPIC Alfred Wegener Institut
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  • 4
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    Sedimentary perspectives of Pleistocene ocean circulation and climate change from the southernmost Chilean continental margin (2019)
    American Geophysical Union
    In:  EPIC3AGU Centennial Fall Meeting, San Francisco, CA, USA, 2019-12-09-2019-12-13American Geophysical Union
    Details
    Publication Date: 2020-05-14
    Description: IODP Exp. 383 recovered two Pleistocene sedimentary sequences from the upper continental slope along the southernmost Chilean margin that are well positioned to monitor changes in the Antarctic Circumpolar Current (ACC) upstream of the Drake Passage and the history of Patagonian glaciation. These sites are characterized by high sedimentation rates and a complex distribution of siliciclastic sediments with infrequent decimeter-scale beds of calcareous biogenic sediments. Unravelling ocean circulation and climate history from these sites requires a primary understanding of sedimentary provenance and transport mechanisms derived from a complete lithological characterization of the sequence. Here, we integrate downcore shipboard physical properties with sedimentological observations to fully characterize the sequences, evaluate potential for correlation and constrain regional depositional processes. Site U1542 (52°S; 1101 m water depth) consists of a 249 m spliced sedimentary sequence containing Middle Pleistocene to Holocene sediments. It mainly consists of clayey silt that is often interbedded with thin (~75 cm) beds of calcareous sand-bearing clayey to sandy silt with foraminifera and nannofossils or foraminifera-rich nannofossil ooze. Site U1544 (55°S; 2090 m water depth) consists of a 98 m sedimentary sequence obtained from a single hole. Sediments are also dominated by silty clay, but exhibit slightly thicker beds of calcareous ooze and a significantly higher proportion of cm- to dm-scale sand beds that are interpreted as turbidites. Based on the lithology of the recovered sediments and proximity to a glaciated continental margin, terrigenous sediment is likely delivered to these locations by a combination of ice rafting, glacial meltwater plumes, episodic downslope transport from the outer continental shelf and fine-grained sediments transported by the Cape Horn Current entering the Drake Passage as the northern branch of the ACC.
    Repository Name: EPIC Alfred Wegener Institut
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  • 5
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    Pore Pressure Pulse Drove the 2012 Emilia (Italy) Series of Earthquakes (2019)
    American Geophysical Union
    Details
    Publication Date: 2019-03-29
    Description: Pore Pressure Pulse Drove the 2012 Emilia (Italy)Series of EarthquakesGiuseppe Pezzo1, Pasquale De Gori1, Francesco Pio Lucente1, and Claudio Chiarabba11Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Rome, ItalyAbstractThe 2012 Emilia earthquakes sequence is thefirst debated case in Italy of destructive eventpossibly induced by anthropic activity. During this sequence, two main earthquakes occurred separated by9 days on contiguous thrust faults. Scientific commissions engaged by the Italian government reportedcomplementary scenarios on the potential trigger mechanism ascribable to exploitation of a nearby oilfield.In this study, we combine a refined geodetic source model constrained by precise aftershock locationsand an improved tomographic model of the area to define the geometrical relation between the activatedfaults and investigate possible triggering mechanisms. An aftershock decay rate that deviates from theclassical Omori-like pattern andVp/Vschanges along the fault system suggests that natural pore pressurepulse drove the space-time evolution of seismicity and the activation of the second main shock
    Description: Published
    Description: 682-690
    Description: 4T. Sismicità dell'Italia
    Description: JCR Journal
    Repository Name: Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV)
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  • 6
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    Relation Between Near-Fault Ground Motion Impulsive Signals and Source Parameters (2019)
    American Geophysical Union
    Details
    Publication Date: 2019-03-29
    Description: Near-fault ground motion records often present impulsive signals, characterized by a largeamplitude in the velocity wavefield and by the energy concentrated in a short time window as comparedto the total earthquake duration. Thispulse-likebehavior is ascribed to the directivity of the seismic rupture,and it requires a stronger demand to the buildings not predicted by the classical design spectra. In this workwe investigate the pulse occurrence and duration in near-fault synthetic seismograms generated from anensemble ofk 2source models. We exploited the fault geometry of theMw= 6.3, 2009 L’Aquila earthquake,which represents a typical example of normal-fault earthquake for which several records in the fault vicinityare available for comparison with synthetics. We show that impulsive records are sensitive to the rupturevelocity, to the hypocenter depth, and to the station location, whether it is on the hanging wall or on thefootwall. The pulse duration was also shown to be proportional to the risetime, and it scales with thesource-receiver distance and inversely with the rupture velocity. We model these results as an effectof the coupled along-strike and updip directivity
    Description: Published
    Description: 7707-7721
    Description: 6T. Studi di pericolosità sismica e da maremoto
    Description: JCR Journal
    Repository Name: Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV)
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  • 7
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    Modeling Permafrost Sensitivity in Arctic Forest (2019)
    American Geophysical Union
    In:  EPIC3AGU Fall meeting 2019, San Francisco, CA, 2019-12-09-2019-12-13USA, American Geophysical Union
    Details
    Publication Date: 2021-08-16
    Description: Deciduous larch is a weak competitor when growing in mixed stands with evergreen taxa but is dominant in many boreal forest areas of Eastern Siberia. However, it is hypothesized that certain factors such as a shallow active layer thickness and high fire frequency favor larch dominance. Our aim is to understand how thermohydrological interactions between vegetation, permafrost, and atmosphere stabilize the larch forests and the underlying permafrost in Eastern Siberia. A tailored version of a one-dimensional land surface model (CryoGrid) is adapted for the application in vegetated areas and used to reproduce the energy transfer and thermal regime of permafrost ground in typical boreal larch stands. In order to simulate the responds of Arctic trees to local climate and permafrost conditions we have implemented a multilayer canopy parameterization originally developed for the Community Land Model (CLM-ml_v0). The coupled model is capable of calculating the full energy balance above, within and below the canopy including the radiation budget, the turbulent fluxes and the heat budget of the permafrost ground under several forcing scenarios. We will present first results of simulations performed for different study sites in larch-dominated forests of Eastern Siberia and Mongolia under current and future climate conditions. Model performance is thoroughly evaluated based on comprehensive in-situ soil temperature and radiation measurements at our study sites.
    Repository Name: EPIC Alfred Wegener Institut
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  • 8
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    Noble Gases in Deepwater Oils of the U.S. Gulf of Mexico (2019)
    American Geophysical Union
    Details
    Publication Date: 2019-01-07
    Description: Author Posting. © American Geophysical Union, 2018. This article is posted here by permission of American Geophysical Union for personal use, not for redistribution. The definitive version was published in Noble gases in deepwater oils of the U.S. Gulf of Mexico. Geochemistry, Geophysics, Geosystems , 19, 4218 – 4235.(2018): doi:10.1029/2018GC007654.
    Description: Hydrocarbon migration and emplacement processes remain underconstrained despite the vast potential economic value associated with oil and gas. Noble gases provide information about hydrocarbon generation, fluid migration pathways, reservoir conditions, and the relative volumes of oil versus water in the subsurface. Produced gas He-Ne-Ar-Kr-Xe data from two distinct oil fields in the Gulf of Mexico (Genesis and Hoover-Diana) are used to calibrate a model that takes into account both water-oil solubility exchange and subsequent gas cap formation. Reconstructed noble gas signatures in oils reflect simple (two-phase) oil-water exchange imparted during migration from the source rock to the trap, which are subsequently modified by gas cap formation at current reservoir conditions. Calculated, oil to water volume ratios (Vo/Vw) in Tertiary-sourced oils from the Hoover-Diana system are 2–3 times greater on average than those in the Jurassic sourced oils from the Genesis reservoirs. Higher Vo/Vw in Hoover-Diana versus Genesis can be interpreted in two ways: either (1) the Hoover reservoir interval has 2–3 times more oil than any of the individual Genesis reservoirs, which is consistent with independent estimates of oil in place for the respective reservoirs, or (2) Genesis oils have experienced longer migration pathways than Hoover-Diana oils and thus have interacted with more water. The ability to determine a robust Vo/Vw , despite gas cap formation and possible gas cap loss, is extremely powerful. For example, when volumetric hydrocarbon ratios are combined with independent estimates of hydrocarbon migration distance and/or formation fluid volumes, this technique has the potential to differentiate between large and small oil accumulations.
    Description: We thank ExxonMobil for funding and providing the samples. In addition, we thank James Scott and two anonymous reviewers for their comprehensive and constructive reviews, as well as Janne Blichert-Toft for editorial handling.
    Description: 2019-04-10
    Repository Name: Woods Hole Open Access Server
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  • 9
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    Overview of the Arctic Sea state and boundary layer physics program (2019)
    American Geophysical Union
    Details
    Publication Date: 2022-05-25
    Description: Author Posting. © American Geophysical Union, 2018. This article is posted here by permission of American Geophysical Union for personal use, not for redistribution. The definitive version was published in Journal of Geophysical Research-Oceans 123(12), (2018): 8674-8687, doi:10.1002/2018JC013766.
    Description: A large collaborative program has studied the coupled air‐ice‐ocean‐wave processes occurring in the Arctic during the autumn ice advance. The program included a field campaign in the western Arctic during the autumn of 2015, with in situ data collection and both aerial and satellite remote sensing. Many of the analyses have focused on using and improving forecast models. Summarizing and synthesizing the results from a series of separate papers, the overall view is of an Arctic shifting to a more seasonal system. The dramatic increase in open water extent and duration in the autumn means that large surface waves and significant surface heat fluxes are now common. When refreezing finally does occur, it is a highly variable process in space and time. Wind and wave events drive episodic advances and retreats of the ice edge, with associated variations in sea ice formation types (e.g., pancakes, nilas). This variability becomes imprinted on the winter ice cover, which in turn affects the melt season the following year.
    Description: This program was supported by the Office of Naval Research, Code 32, under Program Managers Scott Harper and Martin Jeffries. The crew of R/V Sikuliaq provide outstanding support in collecting the field data, and the US National Ice Center, German Aerospace Center (DLR), and European Space Agency facilitated the remote sensing collections and daily analysis products. RADARSAT‐2 Data and Products are from MacDonald, Dettwiler, and Associates Ltd., courtesy of the U.S. National Ice Center. Data, supporting information, and a cruise report can be found at http://www.apl.uw.edu/arcticseastate
    Keywords: Arctic ; waves ; autumn ; sea ice ; Beaufort ; flux
    Repository Name: Woods Hole Open Access Server
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  • 10
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    Stable Isotope clues to the formation and evolution of refrozen melt ponds on Arctic Sea ice. (2019)
    American Geophysical Union
    Details
    Publication Date: 2022-05-25
    Description: Author Posting. © American Geophysical Union, 2018. This article is posted here by permission of American Geophysical Union for personal use, not for redistribution. The definitive version was published in Journal of Geophysical Research-Oceans 123(12), (2018): 8887-8901, doi:10.1029/2018JC013797.
    Description: Sea ice is one of the determining parameters of the climate system. The presence of melt ponds on the surface of Arctic sea ice plays a critical role in the mass balance of sea ice. A total of nine cores was collected from multiyear ice refrozen melt ponds and adjacent hummocks during the 2015 Arctic Sea State research cruise. The depth profiles of water isotopes, salinity, and ice texture for these sea ice cores were examined to provide information about the development of refrozen melt ponds and water balance generation processes, which are otherwise difficult to acquire. The presence of meteoric water with low oxygen isotope values as relatively thin layers indicates melt pond water stability and little mixing during formation and refreezing. The hydrochemical characteristics of refrozen melt pond and seawater depth profiles indicate little snowmelt enters the upper ocean during melt pond refreezing. Due to the seasonal characters of deuterium excess for Arctic precipitation, water balance calculations utilizing two isotopic tracers (oxygen isotope and deuterium excess) suggest that besides the melt of snow cover, the precipitation input in the melt season may also play a role in the evolution of melt ponds. The dual‐isotope mixing model developed here may become more valuable in a future scenario of increasing Arctic precipitation. The layers of meteoric origin were found at different depths in the refrozen melt pond ice cores. Surface topography information collected at several core sites was examined for possible explanations of different structures of refrozen melt ponds.
    Description: The coauthors (S. F. A., S. S., T. M., and B. W.) wish to thank the other DRI participants and the Captain and crew of the Sikuliaq's October 2015 cruise for their assistance in the sample collections analyzed in the paper. Jim Thomson (Chief Scientist), Scott Harper (ONR Program Manager), and Martin Jeffries (ONR Program Manager) are particularly acknowledged for their unwavering assistance and leadership during the 5 years of the SeaState DRI. We thank Guy Williams for production of the aerial photo mosaic. Funding from the Office of Naval Research N00014‐13‐1‐0435 (S. F. A. and B. W.), N00014‐13‐1‐0434 (S. S.), and N00014‐13‐1‐0446 (T. M.) supported this research through grants to UTSA, UColorado, and WHOI, respectively. This project was also funded (in part) by the University of Texas at San Antonio, Office of the Vice President for Research (Y. G. and S. F. A.). Data for the stable isotope mixing models used in this study are shown in supporting information Tables S1–S3.
    Description: 2019-05-15
    Keywords: Arctic ; sea ice ; isotope tracer ; melt pond ; oxygen isotope ; deuterium excess
    Repository Name: Woods Hole Open Access Server
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