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  • Articles  (2)
  • collective decision-making  (2)
  • 2020-2024
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  • Articles  (2)
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  • 2020-2024
  • 1990-1994  (2)
  • 1985-1989
  • 1950-1954
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  • 1994
  • 1993  (2)
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  • 1
    Electronic Resource
    Electronic Resource
    Springer
    Theory and decision 35 (1993), S. 179-197 
    ISSN: 1573-7187
    Keywords: dichotomous choice ; decision-making ; collective decision-making ; jury problem ; optimal rule ; majority rule ; weighted majority rule ; expert rule ; decisional competence ; ranked experts ; partial information on decisional competences
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Sociology , Economics
    Notes: Abstract We study the uncertain dichotomous choice model. Under some assumptions on the distribution of ‘expertise’ of the various panel members, the probability of the expert rule to be the optimal one is compared to that of the majority rule to be optimal. It turns out that for the former probability exceeds the latter by far, especially as the panel size becomes large.
    Type of Medium: Electronic Resource
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  • 2
    Electronic Resource
    Electronic Resource
    Springer
    Theory and decision 34 (1993), S. 255-273 
    ISSN: 1573-7187
    Keywords: Cognitive mapping ; cognitive psychology ; international negotiation ; collective decision-making ; knowledge representation
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Sociology , Economics
    Notes: Abstract This article explores the use of cognitive mapping as a tool for supporting international negotiation. Cognitive mapping was developed from the research tradition in cognitive psychology that was pioneered by Heider, congruity theory and attribution theory. Applied to political analysis, the technique can be used to represent causal and quasi-causal thinking about a specific policy area. Cognitive maps can be hand-drawn, or, in the case of maps consisting of more than 25 concepts, machine-generated for detailed and systematic analysis. Regardless of the format, cognitive maps can be examined to determine the most central concepts, the explanation of a problem in terms of its root causes and potential consequences, the use of evidence, such as historical analogies, internal consistency, and perceived consequences of policy proposals. Although the technique was designed to represent the views of individuals, cognitive maps can be aggregated to study collective decision-making. Applied to international negotiation, the technique can be employed as a substance-focused tool to represent and integrate knowledge about a specific policy area for use by negotiators. As a process-oriented tool, the technique can be used to help negotiators understand better their own assumptions about a problem, the viewpoints of other parties to the negotiations, and the ways others see their own position. In this mode, the technique has promise for promoting convergence of views and negotiated agreements.
    Type of Medium: Electronic Resource
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