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  • Springer Nature  (4,864)
  • American Association for the Advancement of Science  (3,771)
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  • Alfred Wegener Institute for Polar and Marine Research & German Society of Polar Research
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  • 1990  (11,142)
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  • 2005-2009
  • 1990-1994  (11,142)
  • 1985-1989
  • 1950-1954
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  • 1
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    Cambridge : Cambridge University Press
    Economics and philosophy 6 (1990), S. 1-2 
    ISSN: 0266-2671
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    Topics: Philosophy , Economics
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  • 2
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    Economics and philosophy 6 (1990), S. 179-205 
    ISSN: 0266-2671
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    Topics: Philosophy , Economics
    Notes: A distinctive feature of modern capitalist societies is the tendency of the market to take over the production, maintenance, and distribution of goods that were previously produced, maintained, and distributed by nonmarket means. Yet, there is a wide range of disagreement regarding the proper extent of the market in providing many goods. Labor has been treated as a commodity since the advent of capitalism, but not without significant and continuing challenges to this arrangement. Other goods whose production for and distribution on the market are currently the subject of dispute include sexual intercourse, human blood, and human body parts such as kidneys. How can we determine which goods are properly subjects of market transactions and which are not? The purpose of this article is to propose a theory of what makes economic goods differ from other kinds of goods, which can help to answer this question.
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  • 3
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    Cambridge : Cambridge University Press
    Economics and philosophy 6 (1990), S. 207-234 
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    Topics: Philosophy , Economics
    Notes: Discontented people might talk of corruption in the Commons, closeness in the Commons and the necessity of reforming the Commons, said Mr. Spenlow solemnly, in conclusion; but when the price of wheat per bushel had been the highest, the Commons had been the busiest; and a man might lay his hand upon his heart, and say this to the whole world, – ‘Touch the Commons, and down comes the country!’
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  • 4
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    Cambridge : Cambridge University Press
    Economics and philosophy 6 (1990), S. 235-253 
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    Topics: Philosophy , Economics
    Notes: A basic issue in political economy is the question of how a decentralized economy is possible: How can a system survive and, moreover, be efficient, if all decisions are taken independently, that is, without any explicit coordination? The issue has two sides to it. On the one hand, it is a “thought experiment,” falsifiable only on logical grounds, an object of debate for the sake of pure intellectual interest, even for people who might not live in a market economy. On the other hand, for those who do or might live in such an economy, a thought experiment of this kind contains a critical political dimension, for the conclusions derived from it will usually be appealed to in arguing about the ideal organization of the economy.
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  • 5
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    Economics and philosophy 6 (1990), S. 255-273 
    ISSN: 0266-2671
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    Topics: Philosophy , Economics
    Notes: I attempt a reconstruction of Adam Smith's view of human nature as explicated in The Theory of Moral Sentiments (TMS). Smith's view of human conduct is neither functionalist nor reductionist, but interactionist. The moral autonomy of the individual, conscience, is neither made a function of public approval nor reduced to self-contained impulses of altruism and egoism. Smith does not see human conduct as a blend of independently defined impulses. Rather, conduct is unified, by the underpinning sentiment of sympathy.
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  • 6
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    Economics and philosophy 6 (1990), S. 275-292 
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    Topics: Philosophy , Economics
    Notes: In Chapter 12 of the General Theory, on “The State of Long-Term Expectation,” Keynes writes: “It would be foolish, in forming our expectations, to attach great weight to matters which are very uncertain” (CW VII, p. 148). In a footnote to this sentence, Keynes points out that by “very uncertain” he does not mean the same as “very improbable” and refers to the chapter on “The Weight of Arguments” in his earlier Treatise on Probability (CW VIII, pp. 77–85). The purpose of this article, in the first place, is to provide an account of, and to sort out the relations between, Keynes's views on probability, uncertainty, and the weight of arguments.
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  • 7
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    Cambridge : Cambridge University Press
    Economics and philosophy 6 (1990), S. 293-300 
    ISSN: 0266-2671
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    Topics: Philosophy , Economics
    Notes: Many ethical theories, including in particular consequentialist moral the ories, require comparisons of the amount of good possessed or received by different people. In the case of some goods, such as monetary income, wealth, education, or health, such comparisons are relatively unproblematic. Even in the case of such goods there may be serious empirical measurement problems, but there appear to be no difficulties in principle. Thus Cooter and Rappoport (1984) maintained that there was no serious difficulty of making interpersonal utility comparisons for an earlier generation of economists who regarded utility as an index of “material welfare.”
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  • 8
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    Cambridge : Cambridge University Press
    Economics and philosophy 6 (1990), S. 309-315 
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    Topics: Philosophy , Economics
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  • 9
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    Economics and philosophy 6 (1990), S. 322-326 
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  • 10
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    Cambridge : Cambridge University Press
    Economics and philosophy 6 (1990), S. 327-332 
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  • 11
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    Cambridge : Cambridge University Press
    Economics and philosophy 6 (1990), S. 332-339 
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  • 12
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    New York : Cambridge University Press
    Econometric theory 6 (1990), S. 406-407 
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  • 13
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    Econometric theory 6 (1990), S. 409-410 
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  • 14
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    Econometric theory 6 (1990), S. 123-150 
    ISSN: 0266-4666
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    Topics: Economics
    Notes: Quantile and semiparametric M estimation are methods for estimating a censored linear regression model without assuming that the distribution of the random component of the model belongs to a known parametric family. Both methods require estimating derivatives of the unknown cumulative distribution function of the random component. The derivatives can be estimated consistently using kernel estimators in the case of quantile estimation and finite difference quotients in the case of semiparametric M estimation. However, the resulting estimates of derivatives, as well as parameter estimates and inferences that depend on the derivatives, can be highly sensitive to the choice of the kernel and finite difference bandwidths. This paper discusses the theory of asymptotically optimal bandwidths for kernel and difference quotient estimation of the derivatives required for quantile and semiparametric M estimation, respectively. We do not present a fully automatic method for bandwidth selection.
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  • 15
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    Econometric theory 6 (1990), S. 263-267 
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  • 16
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    Econometric theory 6 (1990), S. 283-283 
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  • 17
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    Econometric theory 6 (1990), S. 286-286 
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  • 18
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    Econometric theory 6 (1990), S. 1-4 
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  • 19
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    Econometric theory 6 (1990), S. 44-62 
    ISSN: 0266-4666
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    Topics: Economics
    Notes: In [4] Chan and Tran give the limit theory for the least-squares coefficient in a random walk with i.i.d. (identically and independently distributed) errors that are in the domain of attraction of a stable law. This paper discusses their results and provides generalizations to the case of I(1) processes with weakly dependent errors whose distributions are in the domain of attraction of a stable law. General unit root tests are also studied. It is shown that the semiparametric corrections suggested by the author in other work [22] for the finite-variance case continue to work when the errors have infinite variance. Surprisingly, no modifications to the formulas given in [22] are required. The limit laws are expressed in terms of ratios of quadratic functional of a stable process rather than Brownian motion. The correction terms that eliminate nuisance parameter dependencies are random in the limit and involve multiple stochastic integrals that may be written in terms of the quadratic variation of the limiting stable process. Some extensions of these results to models with drifts and time trends are also indicated.
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  • 20
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    Econometric theory 6 (1990), S. 97-102 
    ISSN: 0266-4666
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    Topics: Economics
    Notes: In this paper I examine graphical comparisons of one-dimensional (or marginal) distribution functions of alternative estimators. It is shown that areas under the c.d.f. (cumulative distribution function) curve can be given a decision-theoretic interpretation as risk under a bounded absolute-error loss function. I also show that by a simple rescaling of the graph's axes, graphical areas are created which can be interpreted as risk under bounded squared-error loss. The bounded loss functions are applied to compare graphically and numerically the risk of exact distributions of the limited-information maximum likelihood and two-stage least-squares estimators in a simultaneous equations model.
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  • 21
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    Econometric theory 6 (1990), S. 114-114 
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  • 22
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    Econometric theory 6 (1990), S. 114-114 
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  • 23
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    Econometric theory 6 (1990), S. 486-487 
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  • 24
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    Econometric theory 6 (1990), S. 113-113 
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  • 25
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    New York : Cambridge University Press
    Econometric theory 6 (1990), S. 1-2 
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  • 26
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    Econometric theory 6 (1990), S. 151-164 
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    Topics: Economics
    Notes: Only in the last few years has the history of econometrics become established as an accepted field of research, with its own doctoral students and sessions at professional meetings. Yet, the first written histories of econometrics appeared as far back as the 1950s, when Carl Christ [4] reviewed the first 20 years' econometric work of the Cowles Commission and George Stigler [37] surveyed the early econometric analyses of consumer demand. Contributions in the intervening years have been sparse, with historical accounts such as Stigler [38], Humphrey [23], and Cargill [3] providing helpful landmarks, and additional insights coming from papers such as Gold-berger [16] and Griliches [17]. Now we have a new monograph on the history of the Cowles Commission by Hildreth [22], a number of journal articles, and Roy Epstein's 1987 book, A History of Econometrics, as further contributions to this small but rapidly expanding field.
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  • 27
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    New York : Cambridge University Press
    Econometric theory 6 (1990), S. 285-286 
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  • 28
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    Econometric theory 6 (1990), S. 75-96 
    ISSN: 0266-4666
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    Topics: Economics
    Notes: Let {X(t)} be a multivariate Gaussian stationary process with the spectral density matrix f0(ω), where θ is an unknown parameter vector. Using a quasi-maximum likelihood estimator [...]θ̂ of θ, we estimate the spectral density matrix f0(ω) by f[...]θ̂(ω). Then we derive asymptotic expansions of the distributions of functions of f[...]θ̂(ω). Also asymptotic expansions for the distributions of functions of the eigenvalues of f[...]θ̂(ω) are given. These results can be applied to many fundamental statistics in multivariate time series analysis. As an example, we take the reduced form of the cobweb model which is expressed as a two-dimensional vector autoregressive process of order 1 (AR(1) process) and show the asymptotic distribution of [...]θ̂, the estimated coherency, and contribution ratio in the principal component analysis based on [...]θ̂ in the model, up to the second-order terms. Although our general formulas seem very involved, we can show that they are tractable by using REDUCE 3.
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  • 29
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    Econometric theory 6 (1990), S. 1-3 
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  • 30
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    Econometric theory 6 (1990), S. 445-458 
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    Topics: Economics
    Notes: During the Oxford Conference of the Econometric Society in 1936, Ragnar Frisch proposed a problem of characterization of distributions based on the property of linear regression of one linear function of random variables on the other. This problem has been solved, partially by Allen [1], and then completely by Rao [24,25], Fix [7], and Laha [13] relaxing the conditions imposed on the component random variables. The purpose of this paper is to solve the above mentioned problem for the multivariate case, characterizing multivariate distributions based on the multivariate linear regression of one linear function of not necessarily i.i.d. random vectors with matrix coefficients on the other. We make some mild assumptions concerning the component random vectors and the related constant matrices. It is shown that the property of multivariate linear regression yields a system of partial differential equations (p.d.e.'s) satisfied by the characteristic functions of the component random vectors. A general solution of this system of p.d.e.'s is given by certain functional forms. Special cases of the general solution give characterizations of the “multivariate generalized stable laws” and the multivariate semistable laws, and a method is presented to characterize the multivariate stable laws.
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    Econometric theory 6 (1990), S. 466-479 
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    Topics: Economics
    Notes: This paper considers series estimators of additive interactive regression (AIR) models. AIR models are nonparametric regression models that generalize additive regression models by allowing interactions between different regressor variables. They place more restrictions on the regression function, however, than do fully nonparametric regression models. By doing so, they attempt to circumvent the curse of dimensionality that afflicts the estimation of fully non-parametric regression models.In this paper, we present a finite sample bound and asymptotic rate of convergence results for the mean average squared error of series estimators that show that AIR models do circumvent the curse of dimensionality. A lower bound on the rate of convergence of these estimators is shown to depend on the order of the AIR model and the smoothness of the regression function, but not on the dimension of the regressor vector. Series estimators with fixed and data-dependent truncation parameters are considered.
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  • 32
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    Econometric theory 6 (1990), S. 489-489 
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  • 33
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    Econometric theory 6 (1990), S. 494-495 
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    Econometric theory 6 (1990), S. 335-347 
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    Topics: Economics
    Notes: We consider the local power of the cusum and cusum of squares tests for structural change in the linear regression model. We show that the local power of the cusum of squares test equals its size for a wide class of structural changes, as compared to a nontrivial local power for the cusum test. The conventional ranking of these procedures is thus reversed.
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    Econometric theory 6 (1990), S. 295-317 
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    Topics: Economics
    Notes: We consider the linear regression model with censored dependent variable, where the disturbance terms are restricted only to have zero conditional median (or other prespecified quantile) given the regressors and the censoring point. Thus, the functional form of the conditional distribution of the disturbances is unrestricted, permitting heteroskedasticity of unknown form. For this model, a lower bound for the asymptotic covariance matrix for regular estimators of the regression coefficients is derived. This lower bound corresponds to the covariance matrix of an optimally weighted censored least absolute deviations estimator, where the optimal weight is the conditional density at zero of the disturbance. We also show how an estimator that attains this lower bound can be constructed, via nonparametric estimation of the conditional density at zero of the disturbance. As a special case our results apply to the (uncensored) linear model under a conditional median restriction.
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    Econometric theory 6 (1990), S. 405-405 
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    Econometric theory 6 (1990), S. 408-409 
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    Econometric theory 6 (1990), S. 1-1 
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    Econometric theory 6 (1990), S. 273-281 
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    Econometric theory 6 (1990), S. 283-285 
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    Econometric theory 6 (1990), S. 288-289 
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    Econometric theory 6 (1990), S. 294-294 
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    Econometric theory 6 (1990), S. 1-16 
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    Notes: Fourteen leading international journals that publish econometrics articles are used to provide data on institutional activity in econometrics over the period 1980–1988. From this data base, institutional rankings are constructed separately for theoretical econometrics and all econometrics publications, according to standardized page counts of articles published in these journals. Some indication is given as to how institutional rankings have changed over this period.
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    Econometric theory 6 (1990), S. 103-106 
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    Econometric theory 6 (1990), S. 113-114 
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    Econometric theory 6 (1990), S. 114-117 
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    Econometric theory 6 (1990), S. 121-122 
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    Modern Asian studies 24 (1990), S. 1-2 
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    Topics: Ethnic Sciences , History , Political Science , Economics
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    Modern Asian studies 24 (1990), S. 459-492 
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    Topics: Ethnic Sciences , History , Political Science , Economics
    Notes: As the British Empire extended its power across the Indian subcontinent, the military and political pressures which it could bring to bear had proved to be its most significant assets. However, both to establish and to maintain an English political paramountcy which could guarantee economic dominance came over time to be revealed as two separate tasks, demanding very distinct skills. To maintain and secure this newfound power in India, the British were forced to come to know more about India. They had to grasp the ‘rules’ of India's preexisting political ‘game’ and, more frequently, to confront their need to rewrite these rules into a form which they could comprehend, in which they could compete, and where their dominance could be virtually assured.This process suggests the ‘gathering in of the threads of legitimacy’ towhich D. A. Low has to eloquently drawn our attention.
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    Modern Asian studies 24 (1990), S. 529-559 
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    Topics: Ethnic Sciences , History , Political Science , Economics
    Notes: Here I apply a theory of ‘political displacement’ to the study of an incident that took place at King George V's investiture as ‘King-Emperor’ of India at the ‘Delhi Durbar’ on December 12, 1911. By ‘political displacement’ I mean the shifting of political attention from one domain to another, or from one idiom to another, where problems emergent but unresolvable in the first are dealt with by conversion into the second. My purposes are these: First, to describe the problem created by the incident when the Maharaja Gaekwar of Baroda, second in rank among the Indian Princes, ‘insulted’ the King-Emperor; second, to trace reactions, both British and Indian, to the series of events that followed; and third, to examine how the incident's conversion from one political idiom to another rendered it interpretable, thereby reducing confusion and permitting action.
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    Modern Asian studies 24 (1990), S. 579-602 
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    Notes: In April of 1868, the Restoration government issued an anti-Christian proscription—‘a fixed law for all ages’ it was styled. Christianity was declared a pernicious sect; rewards were offered for information leading to the discovery of Christians. In the name of the proscription, the government carried out a persecution which, in the first four years of the new era, resulted in the deaths of as many as 500 native Christians. These men, women and children died from torture, starvation or from sickness induced by the conditions in which they were kept. The native Christians were, of course, from the recently discovered hidden Christian communities around Nagasaki. The Nagasaki Christian affair is a fascinating one to which I shall return, but I mention it at the outset since it serves usefully to stress the climate of the times as far as Christianity was concerned. Given this climate, it is remarkable that there emerged by 1871, or thereabouts, a small number of enlightened intellectuals who criticized government policy on Christianity and went so far as to advocate religious freedom. The most famous of the few were Mori Arinori, Nakamura Keiu, Fukuzawa Yukichi and Nishi Amane—names known to anyone familiar with early Meiji intellectual history. There is, however, one other name that needs to be added to this short list. That is Fukuba Bisei. The little known Fukuba Bisei was, perhaps, the most remarkable of these men since he was an early Meiji Shintoist.
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    Modern Asian studies 24 (1990), S. 225-248 
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    Notes: These people, called badagàs, though of the same colour and quality as the other peoples of India, are more valiant and powerful in war; because, as I have said, they are a wealthy people, and of great chivalry, and behave with greater dignity than the others, and they have all their cities and towns sheltered and encircled all around with walls of mud or of stone, with their bulwarks, rather like our fortresses, in which too they differ from the other peoples of India, who in general do not live together and encircled in this manner.
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    Modern Asian studies 24 (1990), S. 1-2 
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    Economics and philosophy 6 (1990), S. 1-9 
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    Economics and philosophy 6 (1990), S. 315-322 
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    Economics and philosophy 6 (1990), S. 351-352 
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    Economics and philosophy 6 (1990), S. 1-2 
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    Economics and philosophy 6 (1990), S. 27-64 
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    Notes: A claim that certain purely private matters should be beyond the reach of society's laws, moral rules, and other customs is central to the distinctive liberalism of John Stuart Mill. On Liberty, perhaps the most eloquent defense of individual liberty ever written, laments the hostility allegedly displayed in modern mass societies toward “the right of each individual to act [in private matters] as seems good to his judgement and inclinations” (1859, p. 271n.). In Mill's view, a free society must design its institutions with due regard for what he terms “individuality.” That is, public authority, whether in the form of law, customary opinion, or economic power, must be self-limiting so that it does not interfere with the rights of individuals to choose as they like with respect to such private concerns as religious faith, reading materials, living companions, and consumption of drugs and alcohol. Individuals and voluntary groups should be permitted to do whatever they prefer within their private spheres even if everyone else in society dislikes what they do, is annoyed by them, and actually chooses not to be around them or to befriend them (1859, pp. 276–91).
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    Economics and philosophy 6 (1990), S. 95-138 
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    Notes: On the face of it, the protracted public controversy over abortion in the United States and elsewhere might seem to rest on intractable normative questions inaccessible to economic analysis. But an influential early essay in the now sizable philosophical literature on the subject suggests otherwise. Judith Jarvis Thomson (1971) disarmingly inclined toward the view that “the fetus has already become a human person well before birth”,. presumably with all the rights pertaining thereto. She denied, however, that such rights necessarily include use of the mother's womb until birth. To illustrate her point, she compared the mother's situation to that, for example, of an unwilling Good Samaritan with a uniquely suited blood type, who is forced to share a kidney for 9 months with a famous, ailing violinist who needed its use for that duration to recover. Even if the life of a human being was at stake, the assertion of rights for the violinist or the fetus, she argued, would be too degrading for either the Good Samaritan's or the mother's status as a person, where large unwanted sacrifices would be required. Reduced to its economic essentials, the argument is that the mother has property rights to her own body, including the right to expel a “trespasser”. who would die as a consequence. Thus, the antiabortion position is neatly undercut by granting its major premise (the humanity of the fetus) while denying its conclusion.
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    Economics and philosophy 6 (1990), S. 139-146 
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    Notes: In a recent examination of the origins of ordinal utility theory in neoclassical economics, Robert D. Cooter and Peter Rappoport argue that the ordinalist revolution of the 1930s, after which most economists abandoned interpersonal utility comparisons as normative and unscientific, constituted neither unambiguous progress in economic science nor the abandonment of normative theorizing, as many economists and historians of economic thought have generally believed (Cooter and Rappoport, 1984). Rather, the widespread acceptance of ordinalism, with its focus on Pareto optimality, simply represented the emergence of a new neoclassical research agenda that, on the one hand, defined economics differently than had the material welfare theorists of the cardinal utility school and, on the other, adopted a positivist methodology in contrast to the less restrictive empiricism of the cardinalists.
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    Economics and philosophy 6 (1990), S. 153-155 
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    Notes: John Nye (1990) feels that one of my two brief specific references to his (1987) work “leaves the impression that my work downplays the problems of individual differences in taste or social institutions by dismissing them out of hand” (Nye, 1990, p. 148). Let me assure him that he is unduly alarmed, since virtually all readers will read into the passage that he quotes only what I intended and, indeed, what Nye himself intended - that if he or anyone else had found evidence that firm size mattered for productivity, this would be taken as evidence of inefficiency. This is especially clear because in the previous paragraph I (selectively, I suppose) took note of Nye's own review of the extensive literature that argues that “less productive and, therefore, ‘inefficient’ family firms led to French ‘backwardness’ in production” (Saraydar, 1989, p. 55).
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    Economics and philosophy 6 (1990), S. 157-164 
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    Economics and philosophy 6 (1990), S. 147-152 
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    Notes: In a recent article, Edward Saraydar (1989) takes economists and economic historians to task for equating productivity and efficiency in comparative economic analysis. Although I found his thesis interesting, I was a bit surprised to see selected remarks from my article on firm size in nineteenth-century France (Nye,1987) used to frame his criticism of productivity comparisons as a means of making prescriptive statements. The passages selected may mislead the reader as to the nature of my arguments. Let me quote Saraydar on this:... I argue that ... the problem with equating productivity with efficiency is that from the neoclassical standpoint this strongly suggests a prescriptive view - a view that things should be or should have been different - and thereby frees the analyst from the need to justify the utility costs that might be or might have been required to make things different. Thus, in the French industrialization debate, for example, Nye points out that evidence that smaller family firms were less productive would support the conclusion “that nineteenth-century French firms were too small (for whatever reasons) and that consequently French industry suffered from inefficiency” (Nye, 1987, pp. 667–68). Suppose the evidence to which Nye refers to existed. [My emphasis] Distributive considerations aside, in neoclassical economics a more Pareto-efficient state by its very nature is to be preferred to a less efficient one. Therefore, the implication is that family firms should have been larger and more productive. However, suppose also that the plethora of small family firms in nineteenth-century France, in fact, constituted a longstanding, widely accepted, socially imbedded institution. Clearly, the traditionalist thought-experiment and conclusion would ignore the potential costs in utility or satisfaction to owners of factors of production, a utility loss that may well have been required to make the “more efficient.” transformation to a relatively few large-scale industrial firms. That potential utility loss cannot be ignored and should be part of the analysis. (Saraydar, 1989, p. 56)
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    Economics and philosophy 6 (1990), S. 165-169 
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    Economics and philosophy 6 (1990), S. 177-178 
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    Economics and philosophy 6 (1990), S. 169-176 
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    Econometric theory 6 (1990), S. 411-432 
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    Notes: A unified approach which I call the Fredholm approach is suggested for the study of asymptotic behavior of estimators and" test statistics arising from nonstationary and/or noninvertible time series models. Some limit theorems are given concerning the distribution of (the ratio of) quadratic (plus linear) forms in random variables generated by a linear process that is not necessarily stationary. Especially, the limiting characteristic function is derived explicitly via the Fredholm determinant and resolvent of a given kernel. Some examples are also shown to illustrate our methodology.
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    Econometric theory 6 (1990), S. 485-485 
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    Econometric theory 6 (1990), S. 318-334 
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    Notes: This paper establishes necessary and sufficient conditions for the stationarity and ergodicity of the GARCH(l.l) process. As a special case, it is shown that the IGARCH(1,1) process with no drift converges almost surely to zero, while IGARCH(1,1) with a positive drift is strictly stationary and ergodic. We examine the persistence of shocks to conditional variance in the GARCH(l.l) model, and show that whether these shocks "persist" or not depends crucially on the definition of persistence. We also develop necessary and sufficient conditions for the finiteness of absolute moments of any (including fractional) order.
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    Econometric theory 6 (1990), S. 403-403 
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    Econometric theory 6 (1990), S. 293-293 
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    Notes: There are some errors in the paper by Victoria Zinde-Walsh, “Some Exact Formulae for Autoregressive Moving Average Processes,” Econometric Theory 4 (1988): 384–402. The following is a list of corrections.On page 393 the τ * τ matrices El,E should be replaced by their transposes [...],[...], respectively, throughout. In (3.21) the expression (S – λ[...]λA) should be replaced by (S – λ[...]λA) in the definitions of both T, and T. In (3.8), (3.21), (5.1), and (5.2) the entry in the bottom right-hand corner should be pre- and post-multiplied by λ. In (3.6) the matrix [...] is obtained as the negative of the matrix denoted [...] in the previous section 3.1. In (3.19) the top bar was omitted in Ē. The top bar was also omitted in Ē on the second to last line of p. 392. In (5.1) D′−1 rather than D−l should appear in all the matrix entries in the second column; D′−1 should premultiply the parentheses in the top left and bottom right corners instead of D−1 post-multiplying them. In (5.2) transposes were omitted on D in the second entries on the first and last lines; in the second line of the second column, the second time A appears it should be transposed.
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    Econometric theory 6 (1990), S. 63-74 
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    Notes: We first present an unbiased estimator of the MSE matrix of the Stein-rule estimator of the coefficient vector in a normal linear regression model. The Steinrule estimator can be used with both its estimated MSE matrix and with the least-squares MSE matrix to form confidence ellipsoids. We derive the approximate expected squared volumes and coverage probabilities of these confidence sets and discuss their ranking. These results can be applied to the conditional prediction of the mean of the endogenous variable. We also consider the power of F-tests which employ the Stein-rule estimator in place of the least-squares estimator.
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    Econometric theory 6 (1990), S. 489-490 
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    Econometric theory 6 (1990), S. 497-499 
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    Econometric theory 6 (1990), S. 107-112 
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    Modern Asian studies 24 (1990), S. 1-13 
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    Modern Asian studies 24 (1990), S. 639-659 
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    Notes: The notion that the series of alarming events in Europe in the first half of the seventeenth century might be connected goes back at least as far as Voltaire. Professional historians of Europe during the past forty years have fixed on this period as the principal case to test the idea that societies can undergo a ‘general crisis’, in which agricultural, demographic, climatic, economic, military and political factors are interrelated (Hobsbawm 1954; Trevor-Roper 1959; Aston 1965; Parker and Smith 1978; Parker 1979). For some this was the crisis of the transition to capitalism, for others that of the absolutist state, while more recent commentators have put more emphasis on climatic and environmental factors. The causal connections between the various factors remain the most puzzling unresolved problem.
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    Modern Asian studies 24 (1990), S. 729-743 
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    Notes: In recent studies of warlordism, one source has not, to my knowledge, been used. This is the collection of reports of the Sino-foreign salt inspectorate held in the Toyo Bunko. Of all the institutions of the China coast, the salt inspectorate, its offices deep in the interior, its revenues a magnet for predatory armies, was perhaps in closest touch with warlordism. This paper studies the relationship of salt and warlordism in Szechwan between 1914 and 1922. Szechwan in this period has been selected for 3 reasons. First, the reports from the inspectorates of Ch'uan-nan and Ch'uan-pei, which together covered not only Szechwan but also Yunnan, Kweichow and Hupei as supplied by its salt, are unusually informative on politics. Second, between 1914 and 1922, Szechwan, a border province both northern and southern or neither, ran a full gamut of warlordism: regional, provincial, subprovincial and stabilized. It also attracted the attention of ‘guest armies’ from outside. Third, 1914–1922 has coherence; 1914 saw Yüan Shih-k'ai ascendant and the inspectorate established in Szechwan; 1922 saw Yüan's legatee Hsü Shih-ch'ang descendant, and Liu Hsiang, the embodiment of stabilized warlordism in Szechwan, ascendant.
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    Modern Asian studies 24 (1990), S. 825-829 
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    Modern Asian studies 24 (1990), S. 823-825 
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    Modern Asian studies 24 (1990), S. 417-418 
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    Notes: The first five papers in this issue of Modern Asian Studies were originally written for a panel that came together at the 40th meeting of the Association for Asian Studies in San Francisco, in March of 1988, to discuss ‘Civil Ritual in India: British and Indian Modes of Symbolic Representation.’
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    Modern Asian studies 24 (1990), S. 493-527 
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    Notes: With the publication of Bernard Cohn's seminal article in the Invention of Tradition, the study of ritual in colonial India has acquired a new significance and a new respectability for South Asianists, particularly those inclined to ‘ethnohistorical’ approaches. Recently a number of essays on imperial ceremony have begun to appear with very profitable results. But those working on this subject have generally confined themselves to examining one of two problems: either they have looked at the ideological models and cultural meanings that informed the thinking of the British designers of these observances or they have explored the role of ritual in the setting of princely India. As yet scholars have developed little sense of how Indians outside the ‘native states’ conceived of their participation in durbars and other forms of public ceremony. Many materially inclined historians seem to assume that imperial ritual was a meaningless charade for Indians, that those who participated in ritual acts did so at best as a means of avoiding offence to their rulers, that the locus of ‘real’ politics lay elsewhere. A few no doubt consider the current focus on imperial display even to be a waste of time. In part this attitude issues from a nationalism that refuses to acknowledge its imperialist antecedents. In part it stems from a more general cynicism among late twentieth-century intellectuals toward ritual.
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    Modern Asian studies 24 (1990), S. 603-623 
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    Notes: In July 1983 communal violence in the southern towns of Sri Lanka left between 300 and 3,000 people dead, nearly all of them members of the minority Tamil population. While such a disturbing manifestation of social pathology would seem to demand a response from concerned social scientists, there are special difficulties in confronting such events. Dominant trends in the historical study of popular disturbance, for example the concern to recover the rationality and dignity of participants in food riots (Thompson 1971), or the current interest in manifestations of ‘resistance’, may look altogether inappropriate in this context. Explanation can all too often look like apologetic, and this may explain why much of the existing writing on communal violence in South Asia deals with virtually everything except the violence itself. One recent study in Sri Lanka, Bruce Kapferer's Legends of People, Myths of State (Kapferer 1988), has recently tackled this question head on, arguing that there is a clear link between collective violence in Sri Lanka and what the author describes as a ‘logic of being in the world’, or ‘ontology’ to be found in everyday Sinhala life. While Kapferer has earned our gratitude for even raising the issue of the connection between collective violence and everyday life, his specific argument, as I shall show below, is based on a limited reading of the available evidence.
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    Modern Asian studies 24 (1990), S. 275-295 
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    Notes: Colonial regimes have frequently shown a preference for sharing the burdens of defence with certain ethnic groups of the countries under their control. The advantages of a policy of this type—the essence of the divide and rule system—were many and varied. Binding natives to the service of colonial defence solved the functional problems of manpower in situations where no adequate corps of white regulars was readily available. The practice was cheaper to maintain and found to be an effective instrument of control. Its employment also drew off warlike elements that might have made trouble.
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    Modern Asian studies 24 (1990), S. 323-340 
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    Notes: AbstractThis paper explores the goals, nature and results of government interventions into the rice and palm oil markets of Malyasia since independence. Its purpose is to compare the relatively successful way in which the government has promoted the palm oil industry with the failure of interventions in the rice market. The historical comparison of public efforts in these two industries points up the importance of setting consistent goals, of encouraging crops which match the natural resource endowment of the country, of having a private sector which is capable of responding to production incentives, and of letting supply and demand determine prices when designing a strategy of market intervention. Above all, it is important to distinguish programs of intervention based primarily on efficiency criteria from those which seek to perform social welfare (e.g. income support) and political (e.g. food security) functions as well.
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    Modern Asian studies 24 (1990), S. 31-73 
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    Notes: In its reply to the Report of the Special Joint Committee of the Senate and House of Representatives (The Hockin Committee) on Independence and Internationalism (1986), the Government of Canada reiterated its intention to treat the Asia-Pacific as ‘an area of concentration in the National Trade Strategy’ (Canada's International Relations, 1986, p. 60). Within the National Trade Strategy, significant attention is being given to the development of Canada's economic relationship with the countries of Southeast Asia, most notably the ASEAN (Association of Southeast Asian Nations) grouping. The policy mechanisms deployed to promote closer economic and social ties with Southeast Asian countries include those pertaining to international trade and finance, development assistance, transport, immigration and cultural relations.
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    Modern Asian studies 24 (1990), S. 195-204 
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    Notes: Imagine you are in a dark and lofty interior. All around you can dimly see huge racks piled high with cloth bundles—blue, red, green and white. In the middle of the space a rickety ladder leads up to another level also filled with racks and bundles, over and above which rises another ladder and another level. If you decide to move you must step carefully between piles of old papers strewn across the floor and, perhaps, small channels of water. If you try to grasp hold of one of the coloured bundles to see what it contains you will be assailed by clouds of gritty dust that catch at your eyes and throat and may even force you to retire quickly from that dark and inhospitable place. Is this a dacoits' hideout or perhaps the cave of Ali Baba? No—as you've certainly guessed by now—it is or could be almost any district record room anywhere in Pakistan.
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    Modern Asian studies 24 (1990), S. 1-7 
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    Modern Asian studies 24 (1990), S. 385-408 
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    Modern Asian studies 24 (1990), S. 409-414 
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    Topics: Ethnic Sciences , History , Political Science , Economics
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    Modern Asian studies 24 (1990), S. 205-207 
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    Topics: Ethnic Sciences , History , Political Science , Economics
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    Modern Asian studies 24 (1990), S. 173-194 
    ISSN: 0026-749X
    Source: Cambridge Journals Digital Archives
    Topics: Ethnic Sciences , History , Political Science , Economics
    Notes: To the South Asianist India appears unique in the modern world. A country characterized by vast poverty and widespread illiteracy, it nevertheless has managed to maintain the civil liberties and democratic politics bequeathed to it by an enlightened colonial power. In spite of a two-year long hiatus of ‘Emergency Rule,’ few third world countries can make such a proud claim. Of those that can, such as Sri Lanka, none have the extraordinary size or social complexity of India.
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  • 93
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    Modern Asian studies 24 (1990), S. 1-2 
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    Topics: Ethnic Sciences , History , Political Science , Economics
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  • 94
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    Modern Asian studies 24 (1990), S. 625-638 
    ISSN: 0026-749X
    Source: Cambridge Journals Digital Archives
    Topics: Ethnic Sciences , History , Political Science , Economics
    Notes: In several of the world's regions a ‘general crisis’ seems to have occurred in the first half of the seventeenth century. At that time in each region, political instability and war, population decline and urban stagnation, economic crises marked by falling prices and depleted stocks of precious metals, and dramatic climatic shifts converged. These symptoms have been detected in western Europe, in the Ottoman lands, and even in China and Japan. Their causes have been attributed in part to the effects of the price revolution, partly to climate change, and in part to rising populations which begin to outstrip agricultural production. The latter tendency in particular seems to have caused a fiscal crisis for the absolutist agrarian states characteristic of Eurasia in this period. Other analyses stress the effects of a tightening linkage in the emerging capitalist world economy in which precious metal flows served to mark newly imposed interdependencies.
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  • 95
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    Modern Asian studies 24 (1990), S. 661-682 
    ISSN: 0026-749X
    Source: Cambridge Journals Digital Archives
    Topics: Ethnic Sciences , History , Political Science , Economics
    Notes: Approximately ten years ago now, several colleagues and I were discussing Geoffrey Parker and Lesley Smith's then recently-published volume on the ‘Seventeenth-Century Crisis’ when a specialist in Byzantine history told us that in his opinion at least, Parker, Smith, and the others who had contributed to their jointly-edited work had gotten it all wrong. The really important ‘general crisis’ in pre-modern times, he believed, had occurred not in the seventeenth century but rather in the fourteenth. As he went on to discuss the impact of climatic change, food shortages, epidemic disease, monetary fluctuations, and military operations on fourteenth-century Europe and the Middle East, I began to think about some of the great and terrible events that had occurred in East Asian history during that same century: the fall of the Kamakura Shogunate (1185–1330S) and the political turmoil of the Northern and Southern Dynasties (Nambokuchō) period (1336–92) in Japan; the economic and military disasters surrounding the fall of the Mongol Yuan dynasty (1279–1368) in China; and the food shortages, ‘Japanese pirate’ (wakō) raids, and civil wars that paved the way for the founding of the Yi dynasty (1392–1910) in Korea. In subsequent readings I added economic and political strife in fourteenth-century Southeast Asia, the decline of the Delhi Sultanate in India, the collapse of the Ilkhanate (1256–1335) in Persia, and the destructive rise of Timur (1336–1405) in Transoxania. Surely a case could be made, I came to think, for a 'General Crisis of the Fourteenth Century,' one much broader in scope than even our Byzantine specialist had been considering.
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  • 96
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    Modern Asian studies 24 (1990), S. 777-818 
    ISSN: 0026-749X
    Source: Cambridge Journals Digital Archives
    Topics: Ethnic Sciences , History , Political Science , Economics
    Notes: In recent years, China has adopted new strategies for economic development. These strategies seek increased productivity and effectiveness in the use of resources. Spatially regions specialize in the lines of production for which they have comparative advantages. And the coastal areas are experiencing an accelerated economic growth. The policy, however, operates under various constraints. First, the material base for development is a finite one and resources are very unevenly distributed across the landscape. Second, this development strategy depends to a certain extent on a substantial increase in China's foreign trade. As a result important investments are conceded to the transport sector. In the present context, is this strategy optimizing the use of available resources? The answer which is tentatively accepted here as a working hypothesis rests on the contradictory aspect of the concept of accessibility. Essentially all systems of transport and their networks generate territorial contradictions; and the resolution of these contradictions points to the direction of territorial development. The present analysis will focus on the geographic environment of China as a determining factor in the establishment of transport networks, followed by the history and performance of China's transport system within the confines of this paradigm. The objective of this paper is twofold: first, toexplore the role of transportation in territorial development, and second, to understand that transport systems do not solely reflect the physical conditions of a territory as an objective reality but also political ideologies which are forged to a certain extent by this reality.
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    Modern Asian studies 24 (1990), S. 419-458 
    ISSN: 0026-749X
    Source: Cambridge Journals Digital Archives
    Topics: Ethnic Sciences , History , Political Science , Economics
    Notes: The exchanges that comprised the formal meetings between Indian Rulers and the British Residents attached to their courts both reflected and, in some measure, determined the changing political relationships between the Indian states and the English East India Company. As the Resident and his staff introduced new symbols and meanings into his ritual intercourse with an Indian Ruler, these new elements affected the attitudes and actions taken by the audiences of these exchanges, in both India and Britain. As the military and political power of the Company flowed over or around the regional states of India during the period 1764–1858, the Company's Residents proved able to assert increasing influence over the shape of these rituals in the Indian courts.
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  • 98
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    Modern Asian studies 24 (1990), S. 1-2 
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    Modern Asian studies 24 (1990), S. 1-30 
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    Topics: Ethnic Sciences , History , Political Science , Economics
    Notes: Since the end of World War II the study of Southeast Asia has changed unrecognizably. The often bitter end of colonialism caused a sharp break with older scholarly traditions, and their tendency to see Southeast Asia as a receptacle for external influences—first Indian, Persian, Islamic or Chinese, later European. The greatest gain over the past forty years has probably been a much increased sensitivity to the cultural distinctiveness of Southeast Asia both as a whole and in its parts. If there has been a loss, on the other hand, it has been the failure of economic history to advance beyond the work of the generation of Furnivall, van Leur, Schrieke and Boeke. Perhaps because economic factors were difficult to disentangle from external factors they were seen by very few Southeast Asianists as the major challenge.
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    Journal of American studies 24 (1990), S. 430-431 
    ISSN: 0021-8758
    Source: Cambridge Journals Digital Archives
    Topics: English, American Studies , History , Political Science , Sociology , Economics
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