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  • Articles  (984)
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  • 1935-1939
  • 1982  (984)
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  • 1
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    OR spectrum 3 (1982), S. 193-198 
    ISSN: 1436-6304
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Mathematics , Economics
    Description / Table of Contents: Summary Using a concrete example two linear optimization models based on the following cutting stock problem are compared: A stock of rolls of a synthetic cloth has to be cut such that the sum of net returns and the value of the residual stock at the end of the planning period is maximized. Since a limited number of cutting patterns is heuristically choosen the first model yields sub-optimal solutions only. On the contrary, the second model usesall relevant cutting patterns and provides an optimal solution.
    Notes: Zusammenfassung An einem realen Beispiel werden zwei lineare Optimierungsmodelle verglichen, denen folgendes Dispositionsproblem zugrunde liegt: Ein Ausgangsprodukt ist durch Verschnitte so weiter zu verarbeiten, daß die Summe aus Nettoerlösen und bewerteten Restbeständen auf Lager maximal wird. Das erste Modell liefert aufgrund einer beschränkten Anzahl heuristisch vorgegebener Schnittmuster i. a. nur suboptimale Lösungen. Das zweite, verbesserte Modell berücksichtigt im Gegensatz dazualle sinnvollen Schnittmuster und führt zu einer optimalen Lösung.
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    OR spectrum 3 (1982), S. 225-231 
    ISSN: 1436-6304
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Mathematics , Economics
    Description / Table of Contents: Zusammenfassung In diesem Artikel werden Flußprobleme in Netzwerken betrachtet, in denen jedem Pfeil neben der Kapazität auch fixe Kosten zugeordnet werden. Diese Kosten fallen an, sobald ein Fluß größer Null durch den Pfeil fließt. Zielsetzung ist die Maximierung des Netzflusses unter der Bedingung, daß ein gegebenes Budget nicht überschritten wird. Einige Anwendungen dieses Problems werden aufgezeigt und eine Strukturanalyse wird durchgeführt, anschließend wird ein Approximationsalgorithmus entwickelt. In einer kleinen Testreihe werden die Lösungen dieses Algorithmus' mit den exakten Lösungen verglichen.
    Notes: Summary Network flow problems are considered in which in addition to the capacities fixed costs are assigned to each arc which are incurred as soon as any positive flow is sent through that arc. It is the objective to maximize the flow so that the fixed costs do not exceed a given budget. Some applications of this problem are described and a structural analysis is performed. In addition to that an approximation algorithm is developed and its results are compared to the exact solutions in a small test series.
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  • 3
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    OR spectrum 3 (1982), S. 245-245 
    ISSN: 1436-6304
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    Topics: Mathematics , Economics
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  • 4
    ISSN: 1436-6304
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    Topics: Mathematics , Economics
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  • 5
    ISSN: 1436-6304
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Mathematics , Economics
    Description / Table of Contents: Summary Efficiency considerations in the field of health become more and more urgent. This paper deals with the problem of determining the optimal size, organizational form and input structure of a general practice in dependence on the number of patients to be provided for. As solution approach a linear output oriented production model with the possibilities of choosing different production processes will be discussed. Subsequently the methodical considerations will be applied to a consulting practice of ophthalmology, and the results are exposed.
    Notes: Zusammenfassung Wirtschaftlichkeitsüberlegungen im Gesundheitssektor werden immer dringlicher. Der vorliegende Beitrag befaßt sich mit dem Problem der optimalen Betriebsgröße, Organisationsform und Inputstruktur einer Arztpraxis in Abhängigkeit der Größe des zu versorgenden Patientenstammes. Als Lösungsansatz wird ein lineares output-orientiertes Produktionsmodell mit verschiedenen Verfahrenswahlmöglichkeiten diskutiert. Die methodischen Überlegungen werden anschließend auf eine Facharztpraxis für Augenheilkunde angewendet und die Ergebnisse dargelegt.
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  • 6
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    OR spectrum 4 (1982), S. 52-52 
    ISSN: 1436-6304
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    Topics: Mathematics , Economics
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  • 7
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    OR spectrum 4 (1982), S. 47-51 
    ISSN: 1436-6304
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Mathematics , Economics
    Description / Table of Contents: Zusammenfassung Für das WartemodellE k /D/r wird über die „steady state Gleichungen“ die erzeugende Funktion der Verteilung der Warte Schlangenlänge hergeleitet. Die mittlere Zahl der Einheiten im System und verwandte Größen werden in geschlossener Form mit Hilfe der Wurzeln einer transzendenten Gleichung dargestellt. Diese Wurzeln können leicht mit numerischen Standard-verfahren bestimmt werden. Ein Algorithmus zur Bestimmung der stationären Verteilung der Zahl der Einheiten im System wird entwickelt. Numerische Ergebnisse für die mittleren Wartezeiten werden fürk=2,r=1, 2, ..., 10, und variable Verkehrsintensität angegeben.
    Notes: Summary In this paper we study theE k /D/r queueing system. The steady state equations are derived and the queue lenth probability generating function is determined. The average number of customers in the system and other related quantities are determined in closed form in terms of the roots of an equation, which can be easily obtained by standard numerical techniques. Also a computational procedure for evaluating the steady state probability distribution of the number of customers in the system is developed. Numerical results of the average queueing times are given fork=2,r=1, 2, ..., 10 and the whole range of utilization factors.
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  • 8
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    OR spectrum 4 (1982), S. 79-89 
    ISSN: 1436-6304
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Mathematics , Economics
    Description / Table of Contents: Zusammenfassung Wir betrachten ein periodisch kontrolliertes dynamisches Mehrprodukt-Lagerhaltungsmodell mit stochastischem Bedarf, bei dem sich die Bestellkosten aus einem linearen und einem nichtlinearen Anteil zusammensetzen. Der nichtlineare Anteil kann z. B. davon abhängen, welche Produkte bestellt werden. Es wird die Existenz einer optimalen Bestellpolitik gezeigt. Außerdem werden Eigenschaften einer solchen Politik nachgewiesen. Wir zeigen, daß bei Spezialisierung der nichtlinearen Bestellkosten eine optimale Politik eine (σ, S)-Politik ist. Die Ergebnisse beziehen sich auf den endlichen Planungshorizont.
    Notes: Summary We consider a period review, dynamic multiproduct inventory model with stochastic demand, in which the cost of ordering consists of linear portions for each product as well as a nonlinear term. This nonlinear term depends for example, on the products we order. We prove the existence of an optimal policy and characterize such a policy. We show that an optimal policy reduces to the well-known (σ, S)-policy, if we spezialise the nonlinear ordering cost in a proper way. Finite horizon results are given.
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  • 9
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    OR spectrum 4 (1982), S. 105-112 
    ISSN: 1436-6304
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Mathematics , Economics
    Description / Table of Contents: Summary The paper has two purposes. First, it is shown that for many cases of practical interest the optimal selection of the depreciation method can be made independently from the selection of the financing-mix. Second, a mixed-integer linear programming for a simplified dynamic version of the problem is developed for the determination of the optimal financing-mix and — if necessary — the simultaneous selection of the depreciation method.
    Notes: Zusammenfassung Dieser Artikel verfolgt zwei Absichten: zum einen wird gezeigt, daß in bestimmten Fällen die Wahl der optimalen Abschreibungsmethode für Ein- und Zweifamilienhäuser unabhängig von der Festlegung des Finanzierungsmixes erfolgen kann, zum zweiten wird ein dynamisches gemischt-ganzzahliges lineares Programm vorgestellt, welches den Finanzierungsmix optimiert unter gleichzeitiger Festlegung der Abschreibungsmethode.
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  • 10
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    OR spectrum 4 (1982), S. 129-134 
    ISSN: 1436-6304
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Mathematics , Economics
    Description / Table of Contents: Zusammenfassung Minimale Kostenflußprobleme mit nichtlinearen parametrischen Bewertungsfunktionenc(t) T x mitt aus dem Intervall [t min,t max] werden untersucht. Es wird eine endliche Folge zuläs siger Basen (B k ¦k =1, 2,...,r) bestimmt, die inI k := [t k , tk+1] optimal sind (k=1, 2, ...,r;t min=t 1 〈t 2 〈 ... 〈t r+1=t max). Die Teilintervalle Ik werden durch die Berechnung von Nullstellen bestimmter nichtlinearer Funktionen ermittelt. Numerische Ergebnisse werden für den Spezialfall polynomialer parametrischer Kostenfunktionen diskutiert.
    Notes: Summary Minimal cost network flow problems with nonlinear parametric objective functionsc(t) T x fortε[t min,t max] are studied. A finite sequence of feasible bases (B k ¦k =1, 2, ...,r) optimal in [t k , tk+1] fork=1, 2,...,r witht min=t 1〈t 2〈...〈t r+1=t max is determined using the zeroes of a set of nonlinear functions. Computional experience is discussed in the special case of polynomial parametric objective functions.
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  • 11
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    OR spectrum 3 (1982), S. 205-219 
    ISSN: 1436-6304
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Mathematics , Economics
    Description / Table of Contents: Summary In this article a mode of inventory taking is presented, which connects the system of perpetual inventory taking with sampling methods. Details of this mode are analyzed and a precise and economic procedure is developed. For special mathematical problems occurring with modifications of the sample solutions are presented.
    Notes: Zusammenfassung Es wird eine Inventurform behandelt, die das System der permanenten Inventur mit dem Verfahren der stichprobenartigen Erfassung verbindet. Details dieser Inventurform werden analysiert und ein korrektes und wirtschaftliches Vorgehen wird entwickelt. Für spezielle bei einer Stichprobenmodifikation auftretende mathematische Probleme werden Lösungen vorgestellt.
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  • 12
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    OR spectrum 3 (1982), S. 244-244 
    ISSN: 1436-6304
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    Topics: Mathematics , Economics
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  • 13
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    OR spectrum 3 (1982), S. 233-237 
    ISSN: 1436-6304
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Mathematics , Economics
    Description / Table of Contents: Summary Subject of this paper is the determination of a distance function defined on the set of observed characteristics of objects (individuals, goods, enterprises etc.). In contrast to the usual approach, where a dissimilarity coefficient exhibiting some more or less desirable properties is chosen, at first conditions to be met by the dissimilarity coefficient are set. Then the class of dissimilarity coefficients that meets these conditions is determined. It is shown, that four such conditions imply the weighted Lr-metric.
    Notes: Zusammenfassung Gegenstand dieses Beitrages ist die Ermittlung von Distanzindizes, die als Maß für die Ähnlichkeit von durch quantitative Merkmalsausprägungen charakterisierbaren Objekten verwandt werden können. Im Gegensatz zu dem üblichen Vorgehen, bei dem ein Distanzindex gewählt wird, der mehr oder weniger wünschenswerte Eigenschaften besitzt, werden zunächst Bedingungen formuliert, die als sinnvoll für den gesuchten Distanzindex angesehen werden. Anschließend wird die Klasse derjenigen Distanzindizes ermittelt, die diesen Bedingungen genügt. Es wird gezeigt, daß die Forderung von vier derartigen Bedingungen die gewichtete Lr-Distanz impliziert.
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  • 14
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    OR spectrum 3 (1982), S. 246-246 
    ISSN: 1436-6304
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    Topics: Mathematics , Economics
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  • 15
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    OR spectrum 4 (1982), S. 1-14 
    ISSN: 1436-6304
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Mathematics , Economics
    Description / Table of Contents: Zusammenfassung Dieses Manuskript gibt einen Über-blick über den Stand der Forschung zur Anwendung der Kontrolltheorie bei der Analyse der Unternehmens-dynamik. Drei Modellarten werden betrachtet: ein Unternehmen in einer gewissen Umwelt, ein Unternehmen in einer stochastischen Umwelt mit der Möglichkeit des Bankrotts und Modelle, bei denen das Unternehmen in Konkurrenz zu einem anderen steht. Trotz der Grenzen dieser kontrolltheoretischen Modelle sind sie nützlich bei der Verbesserung des Verständnisses von bedeutenden mikroökonomischen Phänomena und wenn man Studenten oder Jungmanagern erklären will, wie man Politiken im Verlauf der Zeit kombiniert um eine wirksame Strategie zu entwickeln.
    Notes: Summary This paper gives an overview to the state-of-art of applying control theory to the analysis of the dynamics of the firm. Three types of models are considered: one firm facing a certain environment, one firm facing a stochastic environment and with a risk of bankruptcy, and models of duopolies. In spite of the limits of these control theory models, they are useful to improve the understanding of important microeconomic phenomena and to explain to students or to junior managers how to combine policies through time to define an efficient strategy. An extended bibliography is given.
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    OR spectrum 4 (1982), S. 27-33 
    ISSN: 1436-6304
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Mathematics , Economics
    Description / Table of Contents: Summary The author's thesis is that strategic decisions are usually madeoutside the formal strategic planning process, and that the latter largely consolidates at the corporate level the strategic decisions already made at lower levels. Hence there is little scope for quantitative decision models in this process, but considerable scope at the actual strategic decision making level. However, if the corporate process is changed to go beyond consolidation so that explicit choices from alternate corporate strategies are considered, an important new potential for quantitative modelling is opened up.
    Notes: Zusammenfassung Quantitative Modellierung möchte zur Entscheidungsfindung beitragen. Bevor untersucht wird, ob sie dies im strategischen Bereich tut, wird die Frage gestellt, ob die tatsächlichen strategischen Entscheidungen, die die Zukunft einer Unternehmung gestalten, innerhalb des formalen Prozesses der strategischen Unternehmensplanung fallen. Die Frage wird überwiegend verneint. Solange die Dinge so stehen, ist es nicht verwunderlich, daß quantitative Entscheidungsmodelle nichts beitragen können. Dagegen ist die modellgestützte Planung dort kräftig im Vordringen und hat in den letzten Jahren erheblich an Terrain gewonnen, wo derzeit die meisten strategischen Optionen getroffen werden, nämlich bei den fallweisen strategischen Entscheidungen in Teilbereichen, die später in den strategischen Plan der Unternehmung integriert werden. Doch finden sich auch erste fruchtbare Ansätze innerhalb der formalen strategischen Planung auf Unternehmensebene, nämlich dort, wo diese sich explizit mit Alternativstrategien beschäftigt. In dem Maße, in dem sich der formale Prozeß der strategischen Unternehmensplanung zu einem Entscheidungs-prozeß zwischen explizit zur Wahl gestellten Unternehmensstrategien entwickelt — eine Entwicklung, die bereits begonnen hat — wird sich der modellgestützten Planung auch auf der Unternehmensebene ein weites Feld eröffnen.
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    OR spectrum 4 (1982), S. 53-54 
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    OR spectrum 4 (1982), S. 63-77 
    ISSN: 1436-6304
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Mathematics , Economics
    Description / Table of Contents: Summary The paper gives a survey of stock holding models being employed in practice. In particular it stresses the whole process which leads to a selection of a special model. Main attention is given to a discussion of the value of cost parameters and safety stocks.
    Notes: Zusammenfassung Die Arbeit gibt einen Überblick über die in der Praxis verwandten Lagerhaltungsmodelle und arbeitet besonders den gesamten Prozeß heraus, der zum Einsatz eines bestimmten Modells führt. Besonderer Wert wird dabei auf die Diskussion der zu verwendenden Kostenparameter und Sicherheitsbestände gelegt.
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    OR spectrum 4 (1982), S. 91-104 
    ISSN: 1436-6304
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Mathematics , Economics
    Description / Table of Contents: Summary In this paper a 0/1 linear programming model is proposed to solve the following problem: Given a certain budget, which diagnostic strategies should be applied to which groups of a population in order to maximize the effectiveness of early detection of hypertension. The ideas underlying the LP-model originated in the critique of a method described in the literature. A simplified example of the model is solved and some remarks are made concerning data collection and computing time requirements. Also the problem of individual vs. collective effectiveness is briefly dealt with.
    Notes: Zusammenfassung Die vorliegende Arbeit entwickelt ein auf der linearen 0/1 Programmierung basierendes Verfahren zur gruppenspezifischen Auswahl von Diagnosestrategien bei beschränkten Ressourcen im Bereich der Hypertoniefrüherkennung. Ausgangspunkt ist dabei die Kritik an einer in der Literatur zu diesem Thema angegebenen Methode. Ein vereinfachtes Beispiel verdeutlicht die Ideen, die zur Entwicklung des LP-Modells geführt haben. Anschließend wird der Einfluß des zugrundeliegenden Kollektivnutzenkonzepts und des Gleichheitsprinzips auf das Modell diskutiert. Die Arbeit geht ferner auf Fragen bezüglich der benötigten Daten und des zu erwartenden Rechenaufwands ein.
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    OR spectrum 4 (1982), S. 117-117 
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    OR spectrum 4 (1982), S. 149-160 
    ISSN: 1436-6304
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Mathematics , Economics
    Description / Table of Contents: Summary The main point of Personal Finance is the financing of proprietor's own used single-unit or doubleunit dwellings respectively owner-occupied apartments. In the following examination a mixed-integer programme for the determination of the optimum financing-mix for home construction is being developed shortly. By means of numeruous simulation tests the influence of varying capital resources of the home owner and the surplus resulting out of private life insurances upon the optimum financing structure is being analysed.
    Notes: Zusammenfassung Ein Schwerpunkt privater Finanzierungsprobleme ist die Finanzierung von Wohnungseigentum. In der folgenden Untersuchung wird zunächst ein gemischt-ganzzahliges Modell zur Ermittlung der optimalen Finanzierung von Ein- und Zweifamilienhäusern bzw. Eigentumswohnungen kurz beschrieben. Anhand zahlreicher Simulationsläufe wird der Einfluß der Variation des Eigenkapitaleinsatzes und der Überschußbeteiligung auf die optimale Finanzierungsstruktur analysiert.
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    OR spectrum 4 (1982), S. 191-191 
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    OR spectrum 4 (1982), S. 171-190 
    ISSN: 1436-6304
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    Topics: Mathematics , Economics
    Description / Table of Contents: Summary Optimal control theory treats the steering ofdynamical systems with the aim to reach a desired target. The problem of dynamic system optimization is to find the functions which will optimize a given objective functional subject to certain constraints. The purpose of the present paper is to provide an elementary approch to themaximum principle as well as to its economic interpretation. The calculation of optimal control trajectories is illustrated by some simple examples in cash management, production and investment planning, advertising and pricing, and science policy. Moreover, without claiming completeness some further applications of thedeterministic maximum principle in operations research are reviewed. The use of the maximum principle provides a significant advantage compared with dynamic programming, namely the possibility to gainqualitative insights into the structure of solution paths and thus to draw interesting economic conclusions without performing a complete analysis of the control problem.
    Notes: Zusammenfassung Die Kontrolltheorie beschäftigt sich mit der Steuerungdynamischer Systeme im Hinblick auf die Erreichung gewünschter Ziele. Das Problem der Optimierung dynamischer Systeme besteht darin, Funktionen zu finden, welche ein gegebenes Zielfunktional unter gewissen Nebenbedingungen optimieren. Zweck des vorliegenden Beitrages ist es, einen elementaren Zugang zumMaximumprinzip sowie dessen ökonomischer Interpretation zu bieten. Die Ermittlung optimaler Kontrolltrajektorien wird anhand einiger einfacher Beispiele illustriert (Kassenhaltung, Produktionsund Investitionsplanung, Werbe- und Preispolitik, Wissenschafts-Management). Ohne Vollständigkeit anzustreben, wird daneben eine Reihe weiterer Anwendungen desdeterministischen Maximumprinzips im Operations Research skizziert. Einen wesentlichen Vorteil, den das Maximumprinzip etwa im Vergleich zur dynamischen Programmierung aufweist, stellt die Möglichkeitqualitativer Einsichten in die Struktur der Lösungspfade dar, die häufig schon ohne komplette Lösung des Kontrollproblems zur Aufdeckung interessanter ökonomischer Zusammenhänge führen.
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    OR spectrum 4 (1982), S. 195-212 
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    OR spectrum 4 (1982), S. 245-245 
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    OR spectrum 4 (1982), S. 247-247 
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    OR spectrum 4 (1982), S. 246-246 
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    Decisions in economics and finance 5 (1982), S. 151-158 
    ISSN: 1129-6569
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Mathematics , Economics
    Description / Table of Contents: Abstract We consider the problem of determining the «optimal policy» for a firm having to sink a debt in the form ofN bonds of face valueC, issue priceC′, redemption priceC k , and ratei k , by means of redemption ofN k bonds at the end of each year $$(0〈 m_k〈 N_k〈 M_k〈 N,k = 1,2, \ldots ,n,\sum\limits_{k - 1}^n {m_k〈 N,} \sum\limits_{k - 1}^n {M_k〈 N} ).$$ The firm estimates that in the period (k,n)−k=0,1,2,...,n−1−the yield rate will assume one of the following values $$j_{k1} ,j_{k2} , \ldots j_{ks_k }$$ with probabilities $$p_{k1} ,p_{k2} , \ldots p_{ks_k } \left( {\sum\limits_{t - 1}^{s_k } {p_{kt} = 1} } \right).$$ Therefore the average compound amount per unit in (k, n) will be $$\sum\limits_{t - 1}^{s_k } {(1 + j_{kt} )^{n - k} p_{kt} = \lambda _k .}$$ Assuming the firm to be in a position to reinvest the profits obtained each year, the numbers of bonds retired each year is determined so that the total average profit will be a maximum. The problem is solved with methods of linear programming.
    Notes: Abstract Viene considerato il problema della determinazione della «politica ottima» di un'impresa che deve ammortizzare un prestito diviso in obbligazioni, noti i tassi di interesse del prestito, la redditività del capitale disponibile e prefissati vincoli sul numero massimo di obbligazioni da rimborsare nei singoli anni. Il problema viene risolto coi metodi della programmazione lineare.
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    Decisions in economics and finance 5 (1982), S. 75-86 
    ISSN: 1129-6569
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    Topics: Mathematics , Economics
    Description / Table of Contents: Abstract LetX andY be two random numbers with the same distribution function; in this paper we consider the problem of finding a random numberX+Y having mode with minimal probability. In particular we have considered only the case ofX andY assuming the firstn integer values, so thatp (dimensionn) is the common distribution andq (dimension 2n–1) is the distribution ofX+Y; then the problem is to minimizem=maxq 1. In the known literature it appears that theoretical results and numerical experience have brought to various conjectures not confermed. In this paper the problem is considered from the mathematical programming point of view. Several theoretical results are obtained even if the full solution of the problem is not reached. Anyway, such results, limiting the search range of a solution, suggested extended numerical testing, also for rather large values ofn, so that non trivial conclusions can be derived.
    Notes: Abstract In questo lavoro si studia il problema di ricerca della distribuzione di probabilità comune da assegnare a due numeri aleatori discreti che assumano i primin valori interi naturali in modo che la loro somma abbia moda di minima probabilità. Il problema è affrontato sia dal punto di vista teorico tramite gli strumenti della programmazione matematica, sia dal punto di vista numerico.
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    Decisions in economics and finance 5 (1982), S. 67-72 
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    Decisions in economics and finance 5 (1982), S. 97-113 
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    Description / Table of Contents: Abstract In this paper discrete minimax problems are considered. Some first order optimality conditions for minimax problems in hypothesis of different kind about the set of constraints are proved. We don't suppose that the set is convex, as treated by V. F. Dem'yanov and V. M. Malozemov. For the proofs it has often been used the alternative Motzkin's theorem.
    Notes: Abstract Si dimostrano delle condizioni del primo ordine, alcune necessarie e altre sufficienti per problemi di minimax di tipo discreto, utilizzando prevalentemente il teorema dell'alternativa di Motzkin.
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    Decisions in economics and finance 5 (1982), S. 123-141 
    ISSN: 1129-6569
    Keywords: Bayes and maximum probability estimators ; bivariate family ; consistency ; expected number of observations ; loss of efficiency ; ridge ; spacings
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    Description / Table of Contents: Riassunto Si propongono alcuni stimatori di θ che caratterizza la dislocazione del punto di discontinuità per la densità di probabilità: $$f(x,\theta ) = \frac{1}{{2\Gamma (\alpha )}}\exp ( - |x - \theta |) \cdot |x - \theta |^{\alpha - 1} $$ con $$0〈 \alpha〈 1, - \infty〈 x〈 + \infty , - \infty〈 \theta〈 + \infty .$$ Gli stimatori proposti sono basati sulla spaziatura delle osservazioni. Si mostra anche che una famiglia di densità-bivariate, dipendenti dal parametro θ possiede caratteristiche simili a quella di densità univariata.
    Notes: Abstract Here we propose a few estimators of θ, in addition to those studied in Goria (1978), the point of discontinuity of the probability density $$f(x,\theta ) = \frac{1}{{2\Gamma (\alpha )}}e^{ - |x - \theta |} |x - \theta |^{\alpha - 1} ,$$ for $$0〈 \alpha〈 1, - \infty〈 x〈 \infty , - \infty〈 \theta〈 \infty .$$ We establish the consistency and the optimality of the Bayes and the maximum probability estimators. Despite their nice properties, these estimators are not easy to compute in this case and their effective computation depends on the knowledge of the exponent α. Hence, we propose another class of estimators, dependent upon the spacings of the observations, computable without actual knowledge of the value of α as long as it is known that α 〈 α0 〈 1: we show that these estimators converge at the best possible rate. We further demonstrate, using a modified version of the maximum probability estimator's technique, that the tails of the density do not substantially effect their efficiency. Finally a bivariate family of densities, having a ridge dependent on the parameter θ, is considered and it is shown that this family exhibits features similar to the univariate case, and thus, the necessary modifications of the arguments of the univariate case are utilized for the estimation of θ in this bivariate example.
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    Decisions in economics and finance 5 (1982), S. 15-23 
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    Description / Table of Contents: Abstract In this paper, a methodology for modeling group decision-making problem is presented and links between group and individual multivariate risk aversion are studied. After a decision, a group will recive a payoff which must be devided among the members of the group itself: properties of the group utility functions and the sharing rule are investigated in connection with individual and collective risk aversion, under different assumptions concerning the form of the group utility function.
    Notes: Abstract In questo lavoro si studia l'impatto che l'avversione al rischio multivariata ha in un problema di decisione di gruppo, note le misure di avversione al rischio relative alle funzioni di utilità dei singoli individui. Supponendo che tali funzioni siano aggregate in accordo al principio di Pareto e che ad ogni decisione di gruppo sia associato un profitto che deve essere suddiviso tra gli individui del gruppo stesso, si analizzazo i legami tra l'avversione al rischio degli individui e quella del gruppo, soprattutto nei casi in cui le funzioni di utilità sono additive e multilineari.
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    Decisions in economics and finance 5 (1982), S. 31-39 
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    Description / Table of Contents: Riassunto Questo lavoro presenta il problema teorico dell'approssimazione di Kmenta alla funzione di produzione CES attraverso la ricerca degli insiemi in cui l'approssimazione è per eccesso e di quelli in cui l'approssimazione è per difetto e la valutazione dell'errore di approssimazione dal punto di vista dell'analisi numerica.
    Notes: Abstract The paper presents the theoretical problem of Kmenta's approximation to CES production function and studies it from the point of view of numerical analysis. Intervals of overestimation, of underestimation and limitations for the approximation error are obtained.
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    Decisions in economics and finance 5 (1982), S. 25-30 
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    Description / Table of Contents: Riassunto Questo lavoro presenta un'interpretazione statistica in termini di medie di potenza dell'indice di disuguaglianza di Atkinson e fornisce una scomposizione di detto indice in una quota che misura la disuguaglianza tra gruppi ed una quota che misura quella all'interno dei gruppi. Si dimostrano alcuni teoremi relativi alla misura decomposta nelle sue due componenti sopraindicate.
    Notes: Abstract The paper contains a statistical interpretation and an interesting decomposition of the inequality index due to Atkinson.
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    The annals of regional science 16 (1982), S. 25-36 
    ISSN: 1432-0592
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    Topics: Architecture, Civil Engineering, Surveying , Geography , Economics
    Notes: Abstract Contrary to the traditional theory of market areas which has as the central theme the firms' price changes and the demand-reactions of the widely dispersed households, our model shows the optimal solutions for the spatial use of advertising. If we assume that a central-urban located firm intends to maximize the additional net revenue by applying advertising as an instrumentvariable; we can show that the whole urban area will not be covered by the advertising campaign, but in all cases only partial areas. In this instance the optimal advertising radius will be derived from various model variants.
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    The annals of regional science 16 (1982), S. 1-24 
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    Topics: Architecture, Civil Engineering, Surveying , Geography , Economics
    Notes: Abstract Empirical evidence concerning the impact of neighborhood land-use externalities on residential property value is mixed. That is, no concensus has emerged in the literature as to whether locating non-residential land-use activities in residential neighborhoods can be expected to increase, decrease or leave unaltered surrounding property values. The purpose of this research was two-fold: 1) to construct a theoretical model of consumer behavior in which both the positive and negative effects of neighborhood land-use externalities are taken into account, and 2) to test this generalized model empirically, using hedonic pricing equations. The principal implication of the theoretical model is that the effect of non-residential activity on residential property values isa priori indeterminate, the outcome depending on the relative strength of the associated positive and negative external effects generated. The empirical test of the model was conducted for the city of Tucson, Arizona, where it is shown that over low ranges, increasing the amount of industrial, commercial, multifamily and public land-use activity in a neighborhood tended to increase surrounding residential property values. It is concluded that in locating future economic activity an optimal mix of landuse activities should be sought, not the regional separation of activities.
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    The annals of regional science 16 (1982), S. 51-56 
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    Topics: Architecture, Civil Engineering, Surveying , Geography , Economics
    Notes: Abstract This paper is an attempt to generalize the bid price curve of urban firms by considering the production and demand oriented theories together. By applying the powerful envelope theorem, we derive the basic properties and the shape of the bid price curve. Contrary to Alonso, Mai and Richardson, we show that the bid price curve can be straightline, convex to the origin or concave to the origin.
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    The annals of regional science 16 (1982), S. 1-10 
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    Notes: Abstract Expenditure limitations on state government in the form of legislated spending rules have become an increasingly popular approach to restricting the size of the government sector. The longrun growth implications for government spending are not clear, however, since the legislative wording and quantification of the rules do not distinguish between nominal and real growth in critical benchmark variables. This paper analyzes the long-term growth implications of spending rules for a number of states in terms of, a) real and nominal changes, b) cyclical variations in government spending under conditions of inflation and deflation, and c) changes in the demand for state government output over time.
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    The annals of regional science 16 (1982), S. 21-26 
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    Notes: Abstract In this note, the two-region model presented in Flatters, Henderson and Mieszkowski (4) is modified to include capital mobility. The efficiency conditions for this modified model are derived and contrasted with a free mobility equilibrium. Although the efficiency conditions are not radically altered, the addition of capital mobility tends to strengthen the finding that an uncoordinated free mobility equilibrium will not result in an efficient allocation of resources.
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    The annals of regional science 16 (1982), S. 11-20 
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    Notes: Abstract The structure of human geographical systems is often of a hierarchical nature. Population migration systems can usefully be conceptualized as a series of hierarchically related levels of migration fields: the fields at one level nesting within the fields at the next higher level. Such migration fields and the relationships between different levels can be extracted from large population migration origin-destination matrices with the aid of higher order factor analysis.
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    The annals of regional science 16 (1982), S. 27-45 
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    Notes: Abstract In thirty years, regional input-output has emerged from its origins as a research technique developed by a few pioneering academics and has become a practical tool widely used by a large commercial market. This development of regional input-output techniques is traced and considered in the context of technological change. While regional input-output remained the preserve of academics it was a technique supported by the technology of Regional Science. The diffusion of the technique has not always been accompanied by the diffusion of the technology with the result that regional input-output has increasingly been abused by those who seek to make the most practical use of the technique.
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    The annals of regional science 16 (1982), S. 25-112 
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    OR spectrum 3 (1982), S. 199-204 
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    Description / Table of Contents: Zusammenfassung Während der letzten Jahre sind für einige öffentliche Schulen in der Schweiz Stundenpläne erfolgreich mit einem Computer konstruiert worden. Die verschiedenen Arten von Nebenbedingungen werden beschrieben, und es wird über praktische Experimente berichtet. Die benutzten heuristischen Verfahren werden diskutiert.
    Notes: Summary During the last years timetables for some public schools in Switzerland have been successfully constructed with a computer. The various types of constraints are described and practical experiments are reported. The heuristic methods used are discussed.
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    OR spectrum 3 (1982), S. 221-224 
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    Description / Table of Contents: Zusammenfassung Das Problem der Kreditüberwachung wird als einfaches dynamisches Programm formuliert. Unter Ausnutzung endlicher oberer Schranken für den Planungshorizont, die einen Zeitpunkt determinieren, über den hinaus der Entscheidungsprozeß nicht ausgedehnt werden muß, können einfache Strategien für die zeitliche Koordination von Mahnaktionen hergeleitet werden. Es wird gezeigt, daß unter recht realitätsnahen Annahmen über die Rückzahlungswahrscheinlichkeiten sogenannte monotone Politiken optimal sind.
    Notes: Summary The paper considers a dynamic programming formulation of the accounts receivable problem for single outstanding amounts. An optimal collection policy can be computed efficiently by invoking a “planning horizon” result that determines a time period beyond which the decision process cannot extend. The optimality of so called monotone policies is shown under rather intuitive restrictions on the collection probabilities.
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    OR spectrum 3 (1982), S. 239-243 
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    Description / Table of Contents: Summary For the method presented here at each iteration point which lies in the criteria set the decision maker is asked to give the preference information which component of the objective function must be improved. After the interactive phase an efficient point is determined by solving a nonlinear optimization problem.
    Notes: Zusammenfassung Bei der hier vorgestellten Methode wird bei jeder Iteration, die in der Bildmenge verläuft, vom Entscheidungsträger die Angabe erwartet, welche Zielfunktionskomponente verbessert werden muß. Nach der interaktiven Phase wird ein effizienter Punkt über ein nichtlineares Optimierungsproblem bestimmt.
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    OR spectrum 3 (1982), S. 254-254 
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    OR spectrum 4 (1982), S. 35-40 
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    Description / Table of Contents: Zusammenfassung Ein Modell zur Festlegung von Beförderungspolitik im Hinblick auf eine erwünschte strukturelle Entwicklung wird vorgeführt. Die Anzahl der Beförderungen muß Abgänge ausgleichen und gleichzeitig auf jeder einzelnen Rangstufe ein erwünschtes Wachstum gewährleisten. Das Grundprinzip des Modells ist, daß die Abgangsrate in Übereinstimmung mit dem Fall/einer Steigung der Beförderungsraten anwächst/fällt. Ferner wird ein einfaches Beispiel zur Illustrierung der Verwendung des Modells vorgeführt.
    Notes: Summary A model is presented for the determination of promotion policies in particular manpower systems in conjunction with desired structural developments. Thus, promotion must provide expansion and compensate for wastage in each grade of the system, and the model proposes that wastage be affected by increasing/decreasing promotion incentives, in simple accordance with observed experience in the system presented for illustration.
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    OR spectrum 4 (1982), S. 41-45 
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    Description / Table of Contents: Zusammenfassung Wir betrachten einen Markovschen Entscheidungsprozeß vom random walk Typ. Der ZustandsraumI sei eine Teilmenge des IRm, wobeii εI ganzzahlige Komponenten habe. Die MengeK der zulässigen Aktionen ini εI sei unabhängig voni εI. Sei die natürliche Ordnung aufI und ′ sei eine Quasiordnung aufK. Die Erträge {r i k }seienbedingt konvex, darüberhinaus seien weitere Voraussetzungen über diese Erträge und die Übergangswahrscheinlichkeiten in Bezug auf die Ordnungen und ′ erfüllt. Eine Politik δ heißt negativ isoton, falls ausi i′ folgtδi⊁′δ(i′) (d. h.δ(i) ′δ(i)′ oderδ(i)′ ′δ(i)′). Wir zeigen, daß unter gewissen Voraussetzungen einenegativ isotone optimale Politik existiert: Auch diskutieren wir einige Folgerungen für die Numerik, insbesondere hinsichtlich Howards Politikiteration.
    Notes: Summary This paper considers a random walk type Markov decision process in which the state spaceI is an integer subset of IR m , and the action spaceK is independent ofi εI. The natural order , overI, and a quasi order, ′, overK, is assumed, together with aconditional convexity assumption on the returns {r i k }, and certain other assumptions about these rewards and the transition probabilities in relationship to the orders and ′.A negatively isotone policy is one for whichi i′→δ(i)⊁′)δ(i′) (i.e.δ(i) ′δ(i)′ orδ(i′) ′δi)). It is shown that, under specified conditions, a negatively isotone optimal policy exists. Some consideration is given to computational implications in particular relationship to Howard's policy space method.
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    OR spectrum 4 (1982), S. 113-115 
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    OR spectrum 4 (1982), S. 115-116 
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    Description / Table of Contents: Zusammenfassung Diese Arbeit beschäftigt sich mit der stationären WartezeitverteilungW von GI/GI/1 Warteschlangen. Die Darstellung beschränkt sich auf den Fall, daß Zwischenankunftszeit und Bedienungszeit gitterförmig verteilt sind. Zunächst werden Abschätzungen für die stationäre Wartezeitverteilung hergeleitet. Diese Abschätzungen gestatten es, aus einer gegebenen Näherung beidseitige Schranken fürW zu berechnen. Dabei ist gesichert, daß gute Näherungen gute Schranken liefern. Anschließend werden einige Möglichkeiten zur Berechnung vonW angegeben und mit Hilfe von Testbeispielen, unter Verwendung der beschriebenen Abschätzungen, verglichen.
    Notes: Summary This paper deals with the stationary waiting time distributionW of GI/GI/1 queues. It is restricted to the case that interarival time and service time have lattice distributions. First some estimations forW are presented. These estimations allow to construct bounds forW if an approximation ofW is given, where good approximations yield good bounds. Next we describe in detail some methods for calculation of approximations ofW. Finally we compare these methods, using a number of test problems.
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    OR spectrum 4 (1982), S. 193-194 
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    OR spectrum 4 (1982), S. 223-228 
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    Description / Table of Contents: Zusammenfassung Dieser Beitrag beschäftigt sich mit dem linearen lexikographischen Optimierungsproblem. Es werden Anwendungen dargestellt sowie ein Lösungsverfahren und die ihm zugrunde liegende Existenz- und Dualitätstheorie vorgestellt.
    Notes: Summary The relevance of lexicographic optimization may be located in the field of multiple criteria decision making as well as in mathematical programming. In this paper we shall introduce the lexicographic simplex method and the underlying existence and duality theory. Some applications of lexicographic optimization will also be outlined.
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    OR spectrum 4 (1982), S. 246-246 
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    OR spectrum 4 (1982), S. 161-170 
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    Description / Table of Contents: Zusammenfassung IRAP3 ist ein in FORTRAN geschriebenes Resultat-, Methoden- und Modellbanksystem, dessen Zweck es ist, dem Zuverlässigkeits-Ingenieur einen umfassenden Satz von Methoden zu bieten, um Systemzuverlässigkeiten zu analysieren. Dazu kann er, mittels einer einfachen Kommandosprache, interaktiv Zuverlässigkeits-Modelle definieren, speichern und modifi zieren. An diesen Modellen führt dann IRAP3 Berechnungen durch und speichert die Resultate. Um IRAP3 die nötigen Informationen über die hierarchische Struktur eines komplexen Zuverlässigkeits Systems zu geben, ist es nötig, zuerst die Basis-Komponenten und dann die Subsysteme bis hinauf zum ganzen System selber zu definieren. Eine andere Möglichkeit ist die Benützung von Markoff-Modellen. Für die Kreation der Basis-Komponenten und ihren Aufbau in Subsystemen bietet IRAP3 sechs Lebensdauer-Verteilungen und vier verschiedene Kompositions-Strukturen.
    Notes: Summary IRAP3 is a model, method and results base system, written in FORTRAN, whose purpose is to offer to the reliability engineer a whole set of methods to analyse system reliability. Through a simple command language he can define, store and modify interactively reliability models. He can ask IRAP3 to perform computations on them and to store the results. In order to inform IRAP3 about the hierarchical structure of a complex reliability system, it is necessary to define first the basic components and then the subsystems up to the whole system itself. Another possibility is to use Markovian models. For the creation of basic components and their composition into subsystems, IRAP3 offers up to six lifetime distributions and four different composition structures.
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    OR spectrum 4 (1982), S. 192-192 
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    OR spectrum 4 (1982), S. 194-194 
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    OR spectrum 4 (1982), S. 213-222 
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    Description / Table of Contents: Zusammenfassung Wir diskutieren Konzepte zur Lösung von Transportproblemen unter Kosten- und Zeitzielfunktion. Die Konstruktion aller Zeit-Kosteneffizienten Lösungen erweist sich dabei als eine wertvolle Entscheidungshilfe wenn deren Anzahl überschaubar ist. Wir geben Methoden zur Konstruktion der sogenannten ZeitKosten-Tradeoff Kurve an für den Fall, daß Zeit- und Kostenwerte fest vorgegeben sind und für den Fall, daß die Transportzeit bei gleichzeitiger Erhöhung der Transportkosten reduziert werden kann.
    Notes: Summary In this paper we introduce several concepts for “solving” transportation problems with respect to cost as well as time objective. We claim that the construction of the set of all time-cost-efficient solutions is a powerful help for decision making if its cardinality is not too large. We present methods for constructing the so-called time-cost-trade-off-curve in the case where the time and cost coefficients are prespecified and for the case where transportation time can be reduced if some extra payment is made.
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    OR spectrum 4 (1982), S. 229-236 
    ISSN: 1436-6304
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    Topics: Mathematics , Economics
    Description / Table of Contents: Summary A company of the metal working industry that has to cut rectangular metal sheets into smaller pieces of given size intended to diminish occuring waste. For this reason a standard software package for planning waste was in use. However, this procedure resulted in a further problem, namely in greater production times and hence in lower wages for the workers. A detailed analysis of the situation revealed that this new problem could be solved by rearranging the schedule of the cutting patterns. A solution procedure for this sequencing problem was developed and coded as a computer routine. Because of the favourable results this routine is now part of the standard software package.
    Notes: Zusammenfassung In einem Unternehmen der metallverarbeitenden Industrie sind rechteckige Blechtafeln in kleinere rechteckige Teilstücke mit geforderten Abmessungen zu zerteilen. Zum Erreichen des gesetzten Ziels, Minimierung des Verschnitts, wurde ein Standard Software Paket eingesetzt. Diese computergestützte Planung führte zwar zu der gewünschten Reduktion des Verschnitts, bewirkte jedoch deutlich erhöhte Fertigungszeiten und als Folge davon Einkommensverluste bei den Mitarbeitern. Eine detaillierte Analyse ergab, daß durch die Wahl einer entsprechenden Reihenfolge bei der Abarbeitung der optimalen Schnittpläne dieser Nachteil behoben werden konnte. Deshalb wurde eine Computer Routine zur Lösung des Reihenfolgeproblems entwickelt und wegen der günstigen Ergebnisse in das Standard Software Paket integriert.
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    OR spectrum 4 (1982), S. 247-248 
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    OR spectrum 4 (1982), S. 237-244 
    ISSN: 1436-6304
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    Topics: Mathematics , Economics
    Description / Table of Contents: Zusammenfassung Ein Datennetz mit Paketvermittlung (DPV-Netz) läßt sich im allgemeinen in eine untere und eine obere Netzebene unterteilen. Während die untere Netzebene eine Baumstruktur hat, ist die Struktur der oberen Netzebene vermascht. Dieser Artikel beschreibt eine Methode für die Planung der oberen Netzebene, wobei die Investitionskosten für den Netzbetreiber das Optimierungskriterium bilden. Für ein DPV-Netz ist noch die folgende Bedingung charakteristisch: Die Übermittlungszeit — d.h. die Zeitdauer, die ein Paket braucht, um durch das Netz zu fließen — darf einen vorgegebenen Wert nicht überschreiten. Dieses Problem wurde mit Hilfe einer iterativen Methode gelöst. Die Methode und die erreichten Ergebnisse werden hier dargestellt.
    Notes: Summary A data network with packet switching (PS network) is divided, in general, into a lower and an upper level. Whereas the structure of the lower network level is a tree, the upper network level has a meshed structure. This paper describes a method which can be used for planning the upper network level. From the networks owner's point of view, the cost of investment is the optimization criterion for planning a PS network. A PS network is mainly distinguished from other networks by the constraint that the delay, i.e. the time needed by a packet to flow through the network, is not allowed to exceed a given limit. This problem is solved with the aid of an iterative method. This method and the results achieved by it are described.
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    Policy sciences 15 (1982), S. 23-45 
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    Topics: Political Science , Economics
    Notes: Abstract A common view of the energy problem holds that what is at stake in most energy policy debates are questions of fact that are in principle susceptible to resolution by objective, scientific research. It is argued in this paper that this view is misguided, and that underlying many of the factual issues apparently in dispute are differences at the framework level, that is differences in basic presuppositions and the patterns of thinking employed. By means of an examination of the debate over soft and hard energy paths, it will be argued that framework differences are fundamental to that debate and that such differences are not susceptible to factual resolution. As a result, the debate has taken on the character of a ritualized performance, as each side strives to convince, not their opponents, but policymakers of the rightness of their opinion. Some of the implications of these findings for energy policymaking are explored.
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    Policy sciences 15 (1982), S. 51-69 
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    Topics: Political Science , Economics
    Notes: Abstract This article is a summary description of the research carried out by Science Applications, Inc. (SAI) in 1980–1981 to improve methods of strategic analysis. “People-in-the-loop” gaming, with extensive support from computer simulations, automated data bases, and an interactive computer and display system are at the heart of SAI's methodology. The basic approach proposed for achieving the Department of Defense (DoD) improvement objectives is to integrate state-of-the-art techniques into an operating system for strategic warfare analysis, so as to allow DoD staffs routinely to include important factors that often are neglected. The article discusses the development of gaming as a tool of analysis, gives an overview of SAI's conceptual architecture, and summarizes the design of the supporting computer and software system.
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    Policy sciences 15 (1982), S. 87-95 
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    Policy sciences 15 (1982), S. 96-96 
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    Policy sciences 15 (1982), S. 97-97 
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    Policy sciences 15 (1982), S. 71-84 
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    Notes: Abstract A new method for automating political-military games as a means of analyzing strategic forces was recently developed and demonstrated by The Rand Corporation. Interest in this technique sprang from dissatisfaction with the dominant methods of analyzing strategic forces: manual political-military games and force exchange models. While each brings important capabilities to the analysis of strategic forces, neither method can independently handle all of the variables required to satisfy the current demands placed on strategic analysis. Rand drew upon the discipline used to develop models and the flexibility inherent in gaming to develop its automated wargame. The method promises significant improvement over the traditional methods of strategic analysis in breadth of input and flexibility of application.
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    Policy sciences 15 (1982), S. 99-114 
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    Notes: Abstract A content analysis was conducted on 181 randomly sampled articles published in nine leading social policy journals from 1975 through 1980. The purpose of the study was to obtain a methodological and substantive profile of the state of the art of the policy sciences. Results indicate the existence of two prevailing types of policy analysis: quantitative-empirical and rhetorical-discussive.
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    Policy sciences 15 (1982), S. 137-140 
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    De economist 130 (1982), S. 9-37 
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    Topics: Economics
    Notes: Summary If taxes on labour income are passed on in wages the balanced budget multiplier may be negative. The present paper analyses this problem from a theoretical point of view applying a linearized version of a model for the small open economy. The model is dynamic, because account is taken of capital accumulation. Short-run and long-run solutions are expressed in terms of fiscal policy variables, a wage push variable, the price level abroad and world demand. Numerical examples are supplemented to illustrate the analytical results.
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    De economist 130 (1982), S. 176-186 
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    Topics: Economics
    Notes: Summary In his article Mr. Timmerman describes the way the Netherlands Bank conducts its so-called narrow monetary policy,i.e. the policy pursued in the money and foreign exchange markets. The developments during the period October 1979–July 1981 serve as example of how movements in Dutch money market rates are dominated by exogenous factors. The author concludes that in a small open economy which maintains a stable exchange rate there is no room for an independent money market policy and that the hectic developments in the international money and foreign exchange markets have made illusory what until very recently was regarded as the most important objective of the narrow monetary policy,viz. an orderly money market.
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    De economist 130 (1982), S. 187-199 
    ISSN: 1572-9982
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    Topics: Economics
    Notes: Summary This article discusses in the first place the functioning of floating exchange rates; the tendency to volatility and to unnecessary fluctuations is explained. The conclusion is drawn that the authorities of the main countries should cooperate in exchange rate policies that would bring about a greater stability in exchange rate movements. The article then sketches the historical development which brought us to the present multiple reserve currency system. The functioning of this system is analysed and some suggestions are presented for a more satisfactory management of this system by central banks, possibly along guidelines tobe developed in the IMF. Finally some possibilities are outlined to develop a stabler and better system in the future by creating a more attractive market-oriented SDR-substitution account in the IMF.
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    De economist 130 (1982), S. 200-208 
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    Topics: Economics
    Notes: Summary Professor Lamfalussy discusses the nature and significance of the current account of the balance of payments. After a general analysis he applies his reasoning to the problems connected with the oil-price explosion and their effects on the pattern of current-account positions of various groups of countries. He arrives at two conclusions. The first is probably not very controversial: the international distribution of current-account imbalances deserves to remain in the centre of economic analysis because they are the vehicle for transferring real resources and because the position of its current account may have far-reaching consequences on each country's exchange rate, domestic price developments, income distribution and growth prospects. The second is that for these very reasons policy makers cannot disregard the structure of the balance of payments — even if they will have to realise that it is often not in their power to achieve what would seem to be an optimum structure.
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    De economist 130 (1982), S. 336-359 
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    Topics: Economics
    Notes: Summary This paper deals with the relationship between the development of unit costs and prices of production factors and the development of the prices of final products. The investigation of these relationships during the various stages of production in the economic process, an activity called price analysis, may contribute to the analysis of inflation. In this respect the influence of the wage rate on the development of the prices of final expenditure is more considerable than the influence of the prices of imports of goods and services. However, taking into account the modifications in the structure of production, particularly regarding labour productivity and import substitution, the main explanation of the price increase in 1976 compared with 1970 of three categories of final expenditure,viz. exports of goods and services, private consumption expenditure and gross fixed capital formation of enterprises is to be found in the unit costs of imports of goods and services rather than in the unit labour costs.
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    De economist 130 (1982), S. 457-464 
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    Topics: Economics
    Notes: Summary This review of a collection of Mishan’s essays on welfare economics focusses on his views regarding its function, especially his thesis that the ethical prescriptions which, according to him, it provides, only have normative validity if its basic value judgments conform with the ethical consensus of the society for which they are intended. It appears that this condition is seldom fully satisfied. Moreover, Mishan argues that in the modern growth. economy the erosion of a consensus deprives welfare economics of its normative authority. The reviewer concludes from Mishan’s reasoning that a neutral interpretation of the subject would be preferable to the ethical one.
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    De economist 130 (1982), S. 514-535 
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    Topics: Economics
    Notes: Summary The article is an extended review of J. Kornai’sEconomics of Shortage. Salient feature of this book is a behavioural in place of a decision-theoretic approach to socialist economies. The article discusses central concepts of Kornai’s analysis as hard and soft budget constraints, shortage and slack, taut plans, sellers’ markets. The main hypothesis says that the achievements of socialism, work guarantee and redistribution, bring about soft budget constraints and thus cause shortage. It is argued, however, that existing socialist systems have ample leeway for economic reforms.
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    De economist 130 (1982), S. 560-562 
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    De economist 130 (1982), S. 578-581 
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    De economist 130 (1982), S. 563-577 
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    Policy sciences 14 (1982), S. 331-345 
    ISSN: 1573-0891
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    Topics: Political Science , Economics
    Notes: Abstract This paper proposes four criteria to evaluate the implementation of U.S. federal grant agency project processing procedures. The criteria - anonymity, non-perversity, implementation of program goals and adequacy - go beyond the arguments over rational-analytic versus incremental policymaking by suggesting criteria which both models can meet. Examples of two federal programs' selection procedures are used to illustrate the applicability of, and divergency from, the proposed criteria. The paper concludes with a discussion of the factors important to administrators in selecting project processing procedures.
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    Policy sciences 14 (1982), S. 365-378 
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    Notes: Abstract Public policies represent tradeoffs between values. Policy analysts should see one of their main tasks as identifying the nature of such tradeoffs, both as a general phenomenon and as they vary between specific policy areas. In this article five basic values of higher education are identified: equality, excellence, autonomy, accountability and efficiency. Their occurrence in Swedish higher education is analyzed, as well as the specific tradeoffs arrived at within the framework of that policy.
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    Policy sciences 14 (1982), S. 309-329 
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    Notes: Abstract Any piece of policy analysis must be appropriate to the context of its intended use. Social science often fails as policy analysis due to insensitivity to context. This paper explores a number of different modes of policy analysis to determine the circumstances in which the application of each is appropriate. It is argued that each mode is appropriate only under a fairly limited set of conditions; many of the problems policy analysis encounters are a result of attempts to apply a mode outside its niche. Greater use should be made of what is developed here as a hermeneutic model of policy analysis, appropriate in a residual set of conditions which none of the traditional models of policy analysis copes with adequately.
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    Policy sciences 15 (1982), S. 1-2 
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    Policy sciences 14 (1982), S. 379-383 
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    Policy sciences 15 (1982), S. 46-46 
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    Policy sciences 15 (1982), S. 47-50 
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    Notes: Abstract In an effort to improve the strategic assessment capabilities of the U.S. Department of Defense, contractors were asked to integrate advanced wargaming techniques with other analytic approaches. This paper sets out the deficiences in past and current analysis methods which the project sponsor wished to have the contractors address.
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    Policy sciences 15 (1982), S. 3-21 
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    Notes: Abstract During 1975–1980, U.S. solar policy emphasized financial incentives to potential purchasers as the primary means of stimulating the introduction and spread of residential solar heating systems. This article examines the importance of nonfinancial factors in decisions to purchase residential solar heating systems during these early stages of market penetration and discusses the implications these factors have for policy design. Drawing upon research on the diffusion of innovations, on the effectiveness of income tax credits for solar heating systems, and on solar energy system purchasing decisions themselves, the argument is developed that nonfinancial factors such as system reliability, warranty protection, environmental concerns, adequate information about system costs and performance, and confidence in system suppliers and installers are at least as important as initial system cost to early purchasers. These considerations were not reflected in U.S. solar policy to the extent warranted. As a result, that policy failed to promote the balanced development of all elements essential to a viable residential solar heating industry and probably failed to alter the intentions of many prospective solar system purchasers. The reasons U.S. policymakers were relatively insensitive to nonfinancial factors are discussed and an alternative strategy for increasing the rate of market penetration of residential solar heating systems is offered.
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    Policy sciences 15 (1982), S. 85-86 
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    Policy sciences 15 (1982), S. 115-135 
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    Notes: Abstract The preceding evaluation of the policy sciences by Schneider, Stevens, and Tornatzky is based on a rather narrow conception of science that emphasizes quantitative and rigorous methods. It overlooks the limitations of such methods, as revealed by the results of applications, and certain adjustments to these limitations. The latter include the adoption of more modest but realizable aspirations and the synthesis of diverse methods-qualitative as well as quantitative, exploratory as well as confirmatory. It also overlooks differences and trends in epistemological preconceptions that underlie the conduct of research and the interpretation of research results. This article reviews the relevant literature in the hope that it might eventually contribute to more enlightened evaluations of the emerging discipline.
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    Policy sciences 15 (1982), S. 183-194 
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    Policy sciences 15 (1982), S. 141-165 
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    Notes: Abstract Beginning in the mid-1970s, fiscal limitation laws, shrinking revenue bases in older cities, and reductions in state and federal grants all have reduced the resources available to carry out the functions of local government. What do these changes portend for the amount of innovation in local government, the types of innovations that are introduced, and the processes of introduction? This paper examines these questions by reviewing the literature on factors related to innovation in public service agencies and reorienting its implications in the new fiscal environment. We conclude that on the whole the innovative process in the public sector has fallen on hard times. Yet, we identify those factors that a creative, innovative administrator can use to advantage in a period of fiscal constraints to bring about innovation. We also identify types of innovations that are likely to succeed.
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    Policy sciences 15 (1982), S. 167-181 
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    Notes: Abstract With the increasing use of complex computer models for high-level policy decisionmaking, the problem of correctly interpreting and communicating model results becomes a more general concern. This paper traces misconceptions about the use of models to the existence of different conceptions of the term “model.” Policy models are quite often less theory-based than models in the traditional disciplines, especially in cases where the policy models deal with the long-term developments of sociotechnical systems. The authors examine the use of an example of one such model. Generalising from the authors' experiences in other fields of application, e.g., global modeling, the problems of interpreting model results are discussed. The proper use of future-oriented policy models is clarified by the introduction of typologies implying distinctions, e.g., between forecasting, “what-if,” and learning models, and between different “levels” of results, viz. model outcomes, model inferences and policy-issue oriented interpretations.
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    De economist 41 (1982), S. 76-76 
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