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  • 1
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    AGU (American Geophysical Union)
    In:  Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 98 (C8). p. 14353.
    Publication Date: 2018-01-22
    Description: Current measurements from two consecutive yearlong deployments of three moored stations at the western end of the equator in the Atlantic, along 44°W, are used to determine the northwestward flow of warm water in the upper several 100 m and of the southeastward counterflow of North Atlantic Deep Water (NADW). Measurements from three acoustic Doppler current profilers (ADCPs) looking upward from 300 m toward the surface allowed calculation of a time series of upper layer transports over 1 year. Mean transport through the array for the upper 300 m is 23.8 Sv with an annual cycle of only ±3 Sv that has its maximum in June-August and minimum in northern spring. Estimated additional mean northwestward transport in the range 300–600 m is 6.7 Sv, based on moored data and shipboard Pegasus and lowered ADCP profiling. In the depth range 1400–3100 m a current core with maximum annual mean southeastward speed of 30 cm s−1 is found along the continental slope that carries an estimated upper NADW transport of 14.2–17.3 Sv, depending on the extrapolation used between the mooring in the core and the continental slope. This transport is higher than off-equatorial estimates and suggests near-equatorial recirculation at the upper NADW level, in agreement with northwestward mean flow found about 140 km offshore. Below 3100 m and above the 1.8°C isotherm, only a small core of lower NADW flow with speeds of 10–15 cm s−1 is found over the flat part of the basin near 1.5°N, clearly separated from the continental slope by a zone of near-zero mean speeds. Estimated transport of that small current core is about 4.5 Sv, which is significantly below other estimates of near-equatorial transport of lower NADW and suggests that a major fraction of lower NADW may cross the 44°W meridian north of the Ceara Rise. Intraseasonal variability is large, although smaller than observed at 8°N near the western boundary. It occurs at a period of about 1 month when it is dominant in the near-surface records and corresponds to earlier observations in the equatorial zones of all oceans and at a period of about 2 months when it is dominant at the NADW level and could be imported either from the north along the boundary or from the east along the equator. The existence of an annual cycle in the deep currents of a few centimeters per second amplitude, as suggested by high-resolution numerical model results, could neither be proven nor disproven because of the high amount of shorter-period variability.
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  • 2
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    AGU (American Geophysical Union)
    In:  Journal of Geophysical Research - Oceans, 96 (C11). pp. 20623-20642.
    Publication Date: 2018-02-06
    Description: The biological variability of the northwestern Arabian Sea during the 1979 southwest monsoon has been investigated by the synthesis of satellite ocean color remote sensing with analysis of in situ hydrographic and meteorological data sets and the results of wind-driven modeling of upper ocean circulation. The phytoplankton bloom in the northwestern Arabian Sea peaked during August-September, extended from the Oman coast to about 65°E, and lagged the development of open-sea upwelling by at least 1 month. In total, the pigment distributions, hydrographic data, and model results all suggest that the bloom was driven by spatially distinct upward nutrient fluxes to the euphotic zone forced by the physical processes of coastal upwelling and offshore Ekman pumping. Coastal upwelling was evident from May through September, yielded the most extreme concentrations of phytoplankton biomass, and along the Arabian coast was limited to the continental shelf in the promotion of high concentrations of phytoplankton. Upward Ekman pumping to the northwest of the Somali Jet axis stimulated the development of a broad open-sea phytoplankton bloom oceanward of the Oman shelf. Vertical mixing during the 1979 southwest monsoon was apparently not a primary cause of the regional-scale phytoplankton bloom.
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  • 3
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    AGU (American Geophysical Union)
    In:  Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 98 (C6). p. 10155.
    Publication Date: 2018-03-05
    Description: Hydrographic data of temperature, salinity, oxygen, nitrate, phosphate, and silicate at 81 stations with 435 samples on 3 sections between the Azores, the Grand Banks of Newfoundland, and the Bermuda Islands are used to determine the mixing of water masses by optimum multiparameter analysis over the depth range 100–1500 m. The method optimally utilizes all information from our hydrographic data set by solving an overdetermined set of linear mixing equations for all parameters using the method of least squares residuals. It is shown that the method gives quantitative information on the influence of the various water masses of the western North Atlantic. The Gulf Stream and the North Atlantic Current appear as broad bands transporting large amounts of Western North Atlantic Central Water at their warm flank. Western Subarctic Intermediate Water and Shelf Water supplied by the Labrador Current and containing significant amounts of Labrador Current Water are found on their inshore side. The area of the Azores front is found in the vicinity of the Comer Seamounts, where the uniform water mass distribution of the Sargasso Sea changes into a more complex structure that reflects the influence of water masses originating in the Labrador Sea. Small-scale structures, like eddies or Gulf Stream rings, are also detectable by this analysis method. Comparison with dynamic height analysis supports the circulation pattern of the North Atlantic Current as a continuation of the Gulf Stream, and of the southeastward flowing Azores Current originating in the area of the Southeast Newfoundland Rise.
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  • 4
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    AGU (American Geophysical Union)
    In:  Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 98 (C11). p. 20187.
    Publication Date: 2018-03-05
    Description: Measurements made with satellite-tracked buoys drogued in different layers between the sea surface and 30-m depth under homogeneous winter conditions in the North Sea allow analysis of the Ekman currents under a large variety of wind conditions. The experiment lasted from November 20, 1991, until February 29, 1992. The first 4 weeks of this period, during which the buoys stayed close together, are used to determine the Ekman stresses. The total current field is a superposition of barotropic currents due to sea level variations and Ekman currents. The classical Ekman theory is not able to describe properly the observed deflection of the currents to the right of the wind direction and their decay with depth. This deflection is 10° near the sea surface and increases to approximately 50° in 25-m depth. The relation between wind stress and the stress field in the interior of the water is given by a tensor, which describes the rotation and the variation of the stress with increasing depth. The concept of eddy viscosity is applicable, if a viscosity tensor is used to relate stress and vertical shear. The viscosity tensor is a function of the vertical coordinate only and is independent from the wind stress. It shows maximum values in 15- to 20-m depth and may be due to Langmuir circulation cells. Further studies are needed to determine the physics of this tensor. Its magnitude in the interior of the mixed layer exceeds 1000 cgs units. Consequently, Ekman currents are weak and may not be the dominant currents within the mixed layer.
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  • 5
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    Nature Publishing Group
    In:  Nature, 362 (6421). pp. 626-628.
    Publication Date: 2019-02-07
    Description: WHILE ammonites and all other ectocochleate cephalopods became extinct, nautiloids survived relatively unchanged from the Ordovician, suggesting that they are unusually well adapted to their niche. Here we obtain high-resolution tracks of Nautilus positions and depths, combined with telemetered jet pressures, which clarify both its lifestyle and economics. Nautilus is more active in nature than in captivity1, but its energy costs are lower than projected2,3. Viewing Nautilus as 'vertic', rather than benthic, resolves this contradiction. Records show that the cost of transport is the same in any direction within a vertical plane. Living on a reef face swept by a lateral current means that vertical movements4,5 sample large areas for chemical trails. A detected trail can be followed upcurrent in the slow-moving boundary layer, but no effort is wasted on horizontal movement without good prospects for food; long-range movements are downcurrent and made by drifting. Once fed, a Nautilus can reduce its energy costs by moving to deeper, cooler waters, where a single meal can last for months.
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  • 6
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    AGU (American Geophysical Union)
    In:  In: Coastal Upwelling. , ed. by Richards, F. A. Coastal and estuarine sciences, 1 . AGU (American Geophysical Union), Washington, USA, pp. 348-356.
    Publication Date: 2017-08-10
    Description: During a 10-year study more than 2,000 phytoplankton samples were collected from the entire coast of Peru and analyzed. In general, diatoms were the most abundant group of organisms in all seasons. Predominant species were Rhizosolenia delicatula, Skeletonema costatum Thalassiosira subtilis, Thalassionema nitzschioides and several species of the genus Chaetooeros. Dinoflagellates and flagellates were observed frequently during summer. The mean distribution of the phytoplankton concentration during the 10 years shows the existence of several centers with higher cell densities along the coast, coinciding with the areas of more intense and persistent upwelling. Four major centers have been identified: Pimentel (˜6°S), Chimbote (˜9°S), Callao (˜12°S), and Tambo de Mora-Pisco (˜15°S); and two minor centers, Talara (˜4°S) and Ilo (˜17°S). The relative importance of each center seems to change according to the season. The highest phytoplankton concentration tended to be in the northern part of the coast during fall and winter and in the south through spring and summer.
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  • 7
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    Nature Publishing Group
    In:  Nature, 351 (6325). pp. 394-397.
    Publication Date: 2017-08-10
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  • 8
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    Nature Publishing Group
    In:  Nature, 363 (6428). p. 405.
    Publication Date: 2017-08-03
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  • 9
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    AGU (American Geophysical Union)
    In:  Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 98 (C11). p. 20121.
    Publication Date: 2018-03-05
    Description: Mesoscale fluctuations in the western tropical Atlantic are analyzed in Geosat altimetry sea surface height (SSH) and geostrophic velocity anomalies to investigate the role of eddies in the North Brazil Current (NBC) retroflection zone. The detachment of anticyclonic eddies from the NBC retroflection is observed during November through January, when the NBC retroflection into the North Equatorial Countercurrent (NECC) weakens and finally breaks down. These eddies are traced over more than 2 months between 50° and 60°W on their way toward the Caribbean, at average speeds of 15 cm s−1. In one case an apparent merger of two anticyclonic eddies occurs, one detached from the retroflection zone and one detached from the NECC. Cyclonic eddies are also observed but are generally less persistent. Mesoscale SSH variance just west of the retroflection increases by a factor of 2 from early summer to winter, mainly because of the anticyclonic eddies. Interhemispheric water mass transfer associated with the eddy flux out of the NBC retroflection may amount to an average transport of 3 Sv.
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  • 10
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    AGU (American Geophysical Union)
    In:  Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 98 (C5). p. 8405.
    Publication Date: 2019-09-23
    Description: Hydrographic observations from the Iberian Basin demonstrate the variability of water masses in upper and intermediate layers. The surveyed area embraces the internal front between water masses from higher latitudes and the Mediterranean outflow, exhibits several isolated Mediterranean eddy (meddy) structures at middepth, and displays the virtual source region for the Mediterranean Water (MW) tongue off the Portuguese continental slope. The description is enhanced by additional chlorofluoromethane measurements, which show anomalously high concentrations at middepth, due to mixing of MW with the overlying Atlantic waters in the Gulf of Cadiz. The geostrophic stream function shows several meddylike features that not only are remarkably extended in the depth range of the MW, but are also correlated with surface height anomalies.
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  • 11
    Publication Date: 2016-04-11
    Description: There has been concern about recent temperature trends and the future effects of CO2 concentrations in the atmosphere1,2; but instrumental records only cover a few decades to a few centuries and it is essential that proxy data sources, such as pollen spectra from peats and lake sediments, be carefully interpreted as climate records. Several workers have shown statistically significant associations between the modern pollen rain and climatic parameters, an approach that by-passes the recognition of pollen/vegetation units. Statistically defined equations that associate abiotic and biotic elements are called transfer functions. We report here on the application of transfer function equations to nine middle and late Holocene peat and lake sediment sequences from northern Canada (Fig. 1).
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  • 12
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    AGU (American Geophysical Union)
    In:  Reviews of Geophysics, 29 (3). p. 279.
    Publication Date: 2019-01-23
    Description: At ocean margins where two plates converge, the oceanic plate sinks or is subducted beneath an upper one topped by a layer of terrestrial crust. This crust is constructed of continental or island arc material. The subduction process either builds juvenile masses of terrestrial crust through arc volcanism or new areas of crust through the piling up of accretionary masses (prisms) of sedimentary deposits and fragments of thicker crustal bodies scraped off the subducting lower plate. At convergent margins, terrestrial material can also bypass the accretionary prism as a result of sediment subduction, and terrestrial matter can be removed from the upper plate by processes of subduction erosion. Sediment subduction occurs where sediment remains attached to the subducting oceanic plate and underthrusts the seaward position of the upper plate's resistive buttress (backstop) of consolidated sediment and rock. Sediment subduction occurs at two types of convergent margins: type 1 margins where accretionary prisms form and type 2 margins where little net accretion takes place. At type 2 margins (∼19,000 km in global length), effectively all incoming sediment is subducted beneath the massif of basement or framework rocks forming the landward trench slope. At accreting or type 1 margins, sediment subduction begins at the seaward position of an active buttress of consolidated accretionary material that accumulated in front of a starting or core buttress of framework rocks. Where small-to-medium-sized prisms have formed (∼16,300 km), approximately 20% of the incoming sediment is skimmed off a detachment surface or decollement and frontally accreted to the active buttress. The remaining 80% subducts beneath the buttress and may either underplate older parts of the frontal body or bypass the prism entirely and underthrust the leading edge of the margin's rock framework. At margins bordered by large prisms (∼8,200 km), roughly 70% of the incoming trench floor section is subducted beneath the frontal accretionary body and its active buttress. In rounded figures the contemporary rate of solid-volume sediment subduction at convergent ocean margins (∼43,500 km) is calculated to be 1.5 km³/yr. Correcting type 1 margins for high rates of terrigenous seafloor sedimentation during the past 30 m.y. or so sets the long-term rate of sediment subduction at 1.0 km³/yr. The bulk of the subducted material is derived directly or indirectly from continental denudation. Interstitial water currently expulsed from accreted and deeply subducted sediment and recycled to the ocean basins is estimated at 0.9 km³/yr. The thinning and truncation caused by subduction erosion of the margin's framework rock and overlying sedimentary deposits have been demonstrated at many convergent margins but only off northern Japan, central Peru, and northern Chile has sufficient information been collected to determine average or long-term rates, which range from 25 to 50 km³/m.y. per kilometer of margin. A conservative long-term rate applicable to many sectors of convergent margins is 30 km³/km/m.y. If applied to the length of type 2 margins, subduction erosion removes and transports approximately 0.6 km³/yr of upper plate material to greater depths. At various places, subduction erosion also affects sectors of type 1 margins bordered by small- to medium-sized accretionary prisms (for example, Japan and Peru), thus increasing the global rate by possibly 0.5 km³/yr to a total of 1.1 km³/yr. Little information is available to assess subduction erosion at margins bordered by large accretionary prisms. Mass balance calculations allow assessments to be made of the amount of subducted sediment that bypasses the prism and underthrusts the margin's rock framework. This subcrustally subducted sediment is estimated at 0.7 km³/yr. Combined with the range of terrestrial matter removed from the margin's rock framework by subduction erosion, the global volume of subcrustally subducted material is estimated to range from 1.3 to 1.8 km³/yr. Subcrustally subducted material is either returned to the terrestrial crust by arc-related igneous processes or crustal underplating or is lost from the crust by mantle absorption. Geochemical and isotopic data support the notion that upper mantle melting returns only a small percent of the subducted material to the terrestrial crust as arc igneous rocks. Limited areal exposures of terrestrial rocks metamorphosed at deep (〉20–30 km) subcrustal pressures and temperatures imply that only a small fraction of subducted material is reattached via deep crustal underplating. Possibly, therefore much of the subducted terrestrial material is recycled to the mantle at a rate near 1.6 km³/yr, which is effectively equivalent to the commonly estimated rate at which the mantle adds juvenile igneous material to the Earth's layer of terrestrial rock.
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  • 13
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    Nature Publishing Group
    In:  Nature, 366 (6453). pp. 338-340.
    Publication Date: 2015-08-31
    Description: THE vestimentiferan tubeworm Riftia pachyptila is found around hydrothermal vent areas in the deep sea. Intracellular bacterial chemoautotrophic symbionts use the oxidation of sulphide from the effluent of the vents as an energy source for CO2 fixation. They apparently provide most or all of the nutritional requirements for their gutless hosts1–5. This kind of symbiosis has since been found in many other species from various other phyla from other habitats6–9. Here we present results that the bacteria of R. pachyptila may cover a significant fraction of their respiratory needs by the use of nitrate in addition to oxygen. Nitrate is reduced to nitrite, which may be the end product (nitrate respiration)10 or it may be further reduced to nitrogen gas (denitrification)11. This metabolic trait may have an important role in the colonization of hypoxic habitats in general by animals with this kind of symbiosis.
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  • 14
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    AGU (American Geophysical Union)
    In:  Tectonics, 12 (4). pp. 982-1003.
    Publication Date: 2015-11-13
    Description: Nontransform offsets are a fundamental aspect of the offset geometry exhibited along the mid-oceanic ridge system, independent of spreading rate. Along the slow/intermediate opening (〈40 mm/y full rate) Mid-Atlantic Ridge these offsets of the ridge axis range in length from less than 10 km to approximately 30 km and vary in age offset from 0.5 to 2.0 m.y. The variable morphotectonic geometries associated with these discontinuities indicate that horizontal shear strains are accommodated by both extensional and strike-slip tectonism and that the geometries are unstable in time. In many cases, there appears to be an evolutionary relationship between transform fault boundaries and nontransform offsets as the result of prolonged differential asymmetric spreading between adjoining ridge segments. The finite element method is used to study the complex stress field associated with these small-offset discontinuities of ridges with slow (30 mm/y) and fast (100 mm/y) total opening rates. A plane stress plate model examines the variation in the horizontal tectonic stress field produced by offsets with different lengths and changes in the ratio of a ridge-normal tensile stress resisting plate separation to a shear stress resisting relative plate motion along the discontinuity. The predicted fault patterns based on the calculated stress field are compared with seafloor observations in terms of the morphotectonic patterns and evolution of nontransform offsets. For a slow spreading rate, the analysis shows that all structural geometries observed can be modeled by a range of offset lengths (5, 10, 20, 30, and 40 km) and by a ridge-normal stress 3 to 5 times greater than the discontinuity shear stress. These findings suggest that nontransform offsets are zones of mechanical weakness relative to the surrounding lithosphere. An offset length between 10 and 20 km is predicted to be the threshold length for maintaining a transform fault geometry. As inferred from ridge axis morphology, there seems to be a strong link between the magnitude of the stress ratio and the time varying magmatic activity along and between ridge segments. While our models are consistent with a weak discontinuity shear stress relative to the ridge-normal stress to explain the geometries of nontransform offsets of slow-spreading centers, a weaker ridge-normal stress to discontinuity shear stress most closely models the development of an overlapping spreading center geometry, the distinctive geometry of nontransform offsets of spreading centers opening at fast rates. This difference is attributed to magma supply along-axis, relatively continuous for fast-spreading centers and intermittent for slow-spreading centers, and a preexisting zone of mechanical weakness linked to the evolution of nontransform offsets from transform faults on slow-spreading centers.
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  • 15
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    AGU (American Geophysical Union)
    In:  Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 96 (C12). pp. 22259-22271.
    Publication Date: 2017-09-26
    Description: Data from a large-scale moored array in the Iberian and Canary basins are used to determine the energies of barotropic and baroclinic M2 and S2 tides. An analysis of time-varying dynamical modes is performed. The results for barotropic modes confirm the global surface tide model results of Schwiderski (1980) for this region. The barotropic modes dominate in the deep basins, but increased baroclinic contributions are usually found over rough topography. At three locations near the continental slope in the southern Canary Basin the baroclinic modes dominate the barotropic mode. Results from an array of three moorings at the northern part of the Cape Verde Rise show an inverse behavior of barotropic and baroclinic energies, such that the baroclinic energy is steadily enhanced while the barotropic energy is reduced towards the continental margin. The increase in baroclinic energy is consistent with a generation of internal tides close to the shelf by surface tidal forcing over topography. Further evidence for this process is provided by the 2-week periodicity of the first-order baroclinic mode at the slope, corresponding to the spring-neap cycle of the barotropic tide.
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  • 16
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    AGU (American Geophysical Union)
    In:  Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 98 (C2). pp. 2485-2493.
    Publication Date: 2017-10-04
    Description: Three data types are compared in the low-current-velocity regime in the southeastern North Atlantic, between 12-degrees-N and 30-degrees-N, 29-degrees-W and 18-degrees-W: Geosat altimetric sea level and derived surface geostrophic velocities, shallow current meter velocities, and dynamic heights derived from hydrographic data from cruises 4, 6, and 9 of the research vessel Meteor. The four current meter daily time series, at depths around 200 m, were smoothed over 1 month; the altimetric geostrophic velocities were computed from sea surface slopes over 142 km every 17 days. The correlation coefficients between the current meter and altimetric geostrophic velocities range between 0.64 and 0.90 for the moorings near 29-degrees-N but between 0.32 and 0.71 for the two around 21-degrees-N; the associated rms discrepancies between the two measurement types range between 1.5 and 4.4 cm/s, which is 49% to 127% of the rms of the respective current meter time series. Dynamic heights relative to 1950 dbar for the months of November 1986 (d(M4)), November 1987 (d(M6)), and February 1989 (d(M9)) were computed from Meteor cruises 4, 6, and 9. Both dynamic heights and altimetric heights (h(M4), h(M6), h(M9)) were averaged over 1-degrees boxes for the duration of each cruise. Differences d(M4) - d(M6) and d(M9) - d(M6) were computed only at bins where at least one station from both cruises existed, Assuming that dynamic heights d in dynamic centimeters are equivalent to sea level h in centimeters, the standard deviation sigma of the differences ((h(M4) - h(M6)) - (d(M4) - d(M6))) and corresponding M9 - M6 values was 2.1 cm. This value (squared) is only 13% of the (5.8 cm)2 variance of the dynamic height differences and is indistinguishable from the 2.7- to 5.6-cm natural variability of sea level in the area expected between the times when the ship and the satellite sampled the ocean. The areally averaged discrepancy for M9 - M6 was only 0.7 cm, but the corresponding value for M4 - M6 was 5.2 cm. A systematic difference between the water vapor corrections used before and after July 1987 is responsible for the M4 - M6 difference. The average M4 - M6 discrepancy is only 0.1 cm using the Fleet Numerical Oceanography Center correction, with a standard deviation of 3.1 cm. In spite of the underlying differences in sampling and physics, including unknown barotropic components not included in our hydrographic dynamic heights, and in data errors, including water vapor, ionospheric, and orbital effects on the altimetry, consistent interannual changes of the mean sea level from the independently obtained altimetric and hydrographic data sets are obtained, and correlated seasonal changes in surface currents are observed with both altimetry and current meters.
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  • 17
    Publication Date: 2018-03-02
    Description: Benthic (Uvigerina spp., Cibicidoides spp., Gyroidinoides spp.) and planktonic (N. pachyderma sinistral, G. bulloides) stable isotope records from three core sites in the central Gulf of Alaska are used to infer mixed-layer and deepwater properties of the late glacial Subarctic Pacific. Glacial-interglacial amplitudes of the planktonic δ18O records are 1.1–1.3‰, less than half the amplitude observed at core sites at similar latitudes in the North Atlantic; these data imply that a strong, negative δw anomaly existed in the glacial Subarctic mixed layer during the summer, which points to a much stronger low-salinity anomaly than exists today. If true, the upper water column in the North Pacific would have been statically more stable than today, thus suppressing convection even more efficiently. This scenario is further supported by vertical (i.e., planktic versus benthic) δ18O and δ13C gradients of 〉1‰, which suggest that a thermohaline link between Pacific deep waters and the Subarctic Pacific mixed layer did not exist during the late glacial. Epibenthic δ13C in the Subarctic Pacific is more negative than at tropical-subtropical Pacific sites but similar to that recorded at Southern Ocean sites, suggesting ventilation of the deep central Pacific from mid-latitude sources, e.g., from the Sea of Japan and Sea of Okhotsk. Still, convection to intermediate depths could have occurred in the Subarctic during the winter months when heat loss to the atmosphere, sea ice formation, and wind-driven upwelling of saline deep waters would have been most intense. This would be beyond the grasp of our planktonic records which only document mixed-layer temperature-salinity fields extant during the warmer seasons. Also we do not have benthic isotope records from true intermediate water depths of the Subarctic Pacific.
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  • 18
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    Nature Publishing Group
    In:  Nature, 361 . pp. 249-251.
    Publication Date: 2017-02-24
    Description: THE supply of dissolved inorganic carbon (DIC) is not considered to limit oceanic primary productivity1, as its concentration in sea water exceeds that of other plant macronutrients such as nitrate and phosphate by two and three orders of magnitude, respectively. But the bulk of oceanic new production2 and a major fraction of vertical carbon flux is mediated by a few diatom genera whose ability to use DIG components other than CO2, which comprises 〈 1% of total DIC3, is unknown4. Here we show that under optimal light and nutrient conditions, diatom growth rate can in fact be limited by the supply of CO2. The doubling in surface water pCO2 levels since the last glaciation from 180 to 355 p.p.m.5,6 could therefore have stimulated marine productivity, thereby increasing oceanic carbon sequestration by the biological pump.
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  • 19
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    AGU (American Geophysical Union)
    In:  Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 98 (C8). pp. 14401-14421.
    Publication Date: 2018-03-22
    Description: During the winter of 1988–1989 five acoustic Doppler current profilers (ADCPs) were moored in the central Greenland Sea to measure vertical currents that might occur in conjunction with deep mixing and convection. Two ADCPs were looking up from about 300 m and combined with thermistor strings in the depth range 60–260 m, two were looking downward from 200 m, and one was looking upward from 1400 m. First maxima of vertical velocity variance occurred at two events of strong cold winds in October and November when cooling and turbulence in the shallow mixed layer generated internal waves in the thermocline. Beginning in late November the marginal ice zone expanded eastward over the central Greenland Sea, reaching its maximum extent in late December. In mid-January a bay of ice-free water opened over the central Greenland Sea, leaving a wedge of ice, the “is odden,” curled around it along the axis of the Jan Mayen Current and then northeastward and existing well into April 1989. Below the ice a mixed layer at freezing temperatures developed that increased in thickness from 60 to 120 m during the period of ice cover, corresponding to an average heat loss of about 40 W m−2. Through brine rejection, mixed-layer salinity increased steadily, reducing stability to underlying weakly stratified layers (Roach et al., 1993). During the ice cover period, vertical currents were at a minimum. After the opening of the ice-free bay, successive mixed-layer deepening to 〉350 m occurred in conjunction with cooling events around February 1 and 15, accompanied by strong small-scale vertical velocity variations. Upward mixing of more saline waters of Atlantic origin during this phase reduced the stability further, generating a pool of homogeneous water of 〉50 km horizontal extent in the central Greenland Sea, preconditioned for subsequent convection to greater depths. Individual convection events were observed during March 6–16, associated with downward velocities at the 1400-m level of about 3 cm s−l. One event was identified as a plume of about 300-m horizontal scale, in agreement with recently advanced scaling arguments and model results, and with earlier similar observations in the Gulf of Lions, western Mediterranean. The deep convection occurred in the center of the ice-free bay; hence brine rejection did not seem necessary for its generation. Plume temperatures at 1400 m were generally higher than that of the homogeneous surface pool, suggesting entrainment of surrounding warmer waters on the way down. Mean vertical velocity over a period of convection events was indistinguishable from zero, suggesting that plumes served as a mixing agent rather than causing mean downward transport of water masses. However, different from the surface pool that was governed by mixed-layer physics, the water between 400 and 1400 m was not horizontally homogenized in a large patch by the sporadic plumes. Overall, and compared to results from the Gulf of Lions, convection activity in the central Greenland Sea was weak and limited to intermediate depths in winter 1988–1989.
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  • 20
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    AGU (American Geophysical Union)
    In:  Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 96 (C4). pp. 6993-7004.
    Publication Date: 2018-01-25
    Description: A high-resolution general circulation model of the North Atlantic, first developed at the National Center for Atmospheric Research and then run at the Institut für Meereskunde in Kiel for two different wind climatologies and reduced vertical friction, is evaluated in the upper 500 m for the western tropical Atlantic, 5°S to 15°N. Although the general features of the vigorous seasonal circulation changes documented in previous studies and in the earlier high-resolution model of Philander and Pacanowski (1986a) are reproduced, there are some interesting differences. Lack of eastward penetration of the Equatorial Undercurrent (EUC) and a thermocline that is too diffuse are model deficiencies due to the constant vertical eddy diffusion coefficient. In the lower friction case the undercurrent partially surfaces in the west, causing an eastward surface current on the equator, which is not apparent in the earlier model studies. Further, the zonal currents, in the low-friction version, have high-velocity bands, resulting, e.g., in two separate current cores in the North Equatorial Countercurrent (NECC) region; and an eastward surface core just south of the equator, connected to the EUC. Particularly interesting are equatorward undercurrents along the western boundary, one of which has already been confirmed in recent measurements off French Guyana. In winter it connects with the EUC in the model, in summer with the NECC. A northward undercurrent in the model exists off Brazil, between 5° and 10°S, but that is already close to the southern boundary of the model domain. The annual mean throughflow from the southern hemisphere into the Caribbean along the western boundary is small in the model, and in particular, there is no enhanced throughflow in winter, when the cross-equatorial North Brazil Current transport is not taken up by the NECC.
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  • 21
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    AGU (American Geophysical Union)
    In:  Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 98 (C2). pp. 2393-2406.
    Publication Date: 2017-09-26
    Description: An analysis is presented of geostrophic volume transport across a zonal line along 28-degrees-N in the eastern Atlantic. The data are from an array of five moorings with 200-km spacing carrying temperature sensors and one current meter each for 1 or 2 years. Transport changes in the main thermocline relative to a fixed depth level are obtained by the use of temperature-salinity relationships. The transport variability is simulated by two propagating waves with first-order baroclinic mode structure. Solutions exist with annual and semi-annual periods and zonal wavelengths of 100-200 km and 300 km, respectively. Assuming quasi-geostrophic dynamics and using results on the Reynolds stress, the dominating waves of annual and semi-annual period are found to propagate to the southwest, with 45-degrees-60-degrees and 25-degrees to the south off the westward direction, respectively. Wave solutions with a 90-day period and a zonal wavelength of about 300 km are interpreted as an effect of barotropic waves arising due to horizontal temperature inhomogeneity. The propagation is about +/-25-degrees off the westward direction. In general, good approximations are obtained with the propagating wave simulations in the western and central part of the array, while large differences occur between observation and simulation close to the Canary archipelago. Possible causes for these differences are discussed.
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  • 22
    Publication Date: 2016-05-17
    Description: IN 1989, the submersible Nautile discovered one of the most active hydrothermal fields on the modern ocean floor, in the Lau back-arc basin (Fig. 1). The field contains high-temperature white and black smokers, and as we report here, its characteristics contrast strongly with those of the hydrothermal fields found at normal mid-ocean ridges. The main differences are the acidity (pH as low as 2), chemistry and temperature (up to 400 °C) of the hydrothermal fluids, the composition of the ore deposits, and the volcanic and tectonic environments. The fluids also have very high concentrations of trace metals, and primary gold is present in the accompanying mineral deposits. Our data show that these back-arc deposits in the Lau Basin are intermediate between typical mid-ocean-ridge mineralization and massive sulphide deposits of the Kuroko type.
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  • 23
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    AGU (American Geophysical Union)
    In:  Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 7 (3). pp. 619-626.
    Publication Date: 2016-06-16
    Description: The proposal by Quay et al. [1992] that the time histories of 13C in atmospheric CO2 and oceanic ∑CO2 provide a constraint on the magnitude of uptake of fossil fuel CO2 by the ocean is examined. Our analysis suggests that, while the potential is there, the data base is too inaccurate to permit a distinction to be made among the carbon budgets currently on the table. Examples are given to demonstrate that the twenty or so percent uncertainties in the size of the effective exchange reservoir and in the magnitudes of the temporal changes in the 13C/12C ratio in atmospheric CO2 and ocean ∑CO2 are just too large to permit a reliable estimate of oceanic uptake of fossil fuel CO2. We conclude that tracer-verified ocean general circulation models offer much better estimates than that based on the 13C budget.
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  • 24
    Publication Date: 2016-09-02
    Description: Analysis of aeolo-marine dust deposits in the subtropical eastern Atlantic enables the strength of the major wind patterns during the late Quaternary to be evaluated and gives an insight into the climate of North Africa.
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  • 25
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    AGU (American Geophysical Union)
    In:  Paleoceanography, 6 (5). pp. 593-608.
    Publication Date: 2016-06-16
    Description: Radiocarbon ages on CaCO3 from deep-sea cores offer constraints on the nature of the CaCO3 dissolution process. The idea is that the toll taken by dissolution on grains within the core top bioturbation zone should be in proportion to their time of residence in this zone. If so, dissolution would shift the mass distribution in favor of younger grains, thereby reducing the mean radiocarbon age for the grain ensemble. We have searched in vain for evidence supporting the existence of such an age reduction. Instead, we find that for water depths of more than 4 km in the tropical Pacific the radiocarbon age increases with the extent of dissolution. We can find no satisfactory steady state explanation and are forced to conclude that this increase must be the result of chemical erosion. The idea is that during the Holocene the rate of dissolution of CaCO3 has exceeded the rain rate of CaCO3. In this circumstance, bioturbation exhumes CaCO3 from the underlying glacial sediment and mixes it with CaCO3 raining from the sea surface.
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  • 26
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    AGU (American Geophysical Union)
    In:  Journal of Geophysical Research - Oceans, 96 (C9). pp. 17037-17050.
    Publication Date: 2016-07-07
    Description: A numerical model of calcite dissolution in contact with sediment pore water is used to predict the depth and shape of the calcite lysocline in the deep sea. Model results are compared with lysocline data from 13 regions in the Atlantic, Pacific, and Indian Oceans. The model lysocline shape is sensitive to the calcite dissolution rate constant, the calcite, organic carbon, and refractory material rain rates, and the rates of oxic versus anoxic organic carbon degradation in the sediment. The model is able to reproduce the observed lysocline, within the constraints of the sediment trap and calcite accumulation data, using a calcite dissolution rate constant of 30–100%d−1, a molar ratio of organic carbon to calcite rain rates of 0.5–1.0, and an initial CaCO3 fraction of 90% (excluding organic carbon). This rate constant is consistent with microelectrode results presented by Archer et al. [1989]. The model predicts that 30–50% of the calcite rain to the sea floor at the saturation horizon dissolves in response to organic carbon respiration, consistent with previous modeling studies. The range in the best fit value of the organic-inorganic carbon rain rates arises from model sensitivity to uncertainty in the rate of anoxic carbon degradation in the sediment and in the rain rate of refractory material, rather than from scatter in the data. Lysocline data from the western equatorial Atlantic are anomalous to the rest of the data; this anomaly may be explained by high rates of refractory material sedimentation from the Amazon River.
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  • 27
    Publication Date: 2018-03-02
    Description: Stable isotopes in benthic foraminifera from Pacific sediments are used to assess hypotheses of systematic shifts in the depth distribution of oceanic nutrients and carbon during the ice ages. The carbon isotope differences between ∼1400 and ∼3200 m depth in the eastern Pacific are consistently greater in glacial than interglacial maxima over the last ∼370 kyr. This phenomenon of “bottom heavy” glacial nutrient distributions, which Boyle proposed as a cause of Pleistocene CO2 change, occurs primarily in the 1/100 and 1/41 kyr−1 “Milankovitch” orbital frequency bands but appears to lack a coherent 1/23 kyr−1 band related to orbital precession. Averaged over oxygen-isotope stages, glacial δ13C gradients from ∼1400 to ∼3200 m depth are 0.1‰ greater than interglacial gradients. The range of extreme shifts is somewhat larger, 0.2 to 0.5‰. In both cases, these changes in Pacific δ13C distributions are much smaller than observed in shorter records from the North Atlantic. This may be too small to be a dominant cause of atmospheric pCO2 change, unless current models underestimate the sensitivity of pCO2 to nutrient redistributions. This dampening of Pacific relative to Atlantic δ13C depth gradient favors a North Atlantic origin of the phenomenon, although local variations of Pacific intermediate water masses can not be excluded at present.
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  • 28
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    AGU (American Geophysical Union)
    In:  Paleoceanography, 8 (1). pp. 1-6.
    Publication Date: 2016-05-25
    Description: We present a method for determining the δ180 of seawater in the deep ocean during the last glacial maximum from the measured δ180 values of deep sea pore fluids. Using data from Deep Sea Drilling Project (DSDP) site 576 in the Western Pacific, this method yields a glacial to interglacial change in δ180swof 1.010.25 0/00. This value for ~δ180sw is the first direct measurement of deep ocean 8180 for the last glacial maximum and avoids the problems of spatial and temporal variability of the δ180 of surface water implicit in previous determinations. More precise, higher resolution pore fluid measurements are required to improve this determination.
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  • 29
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    AGU (American Geophysical Union)
    In:  Eos, Transactions American Geophysical Union, 74 (20). pp. 225-229.
    Publication Date: 2016-11-04
    Description: The passive continental margin off east Greenland has been shaped by tectonic and sedimentary processes, and typical physiographic patterns have evolved over the past few million years under the influence of the late Cenozoic Northern Hemisphere glaciations. The Greenland ice shield has been particularly affected. GLORIA (Geological Long Range Inclined Asdic), the Institute of Oceanographic Sciences' (IOS) long-range, side-scan sonar, was used on a 1992 RV Livonia cruise to map large-scale changes in sedimentary patterns along the east Greenland continental margin. The overall objective of this research program was to determine the variety of large-scale seafloor processes to improve our understanding of the interaction between ice sheets, current regimes, and sedimentary processes. In cooperation with IOS and the RV Livonia, a high-quality set of seafloor data has been produced. GLORIA'S first survey of east Greenland's continental margin covered several 1000- × 50-km-wide swaths (Figure 1) and yielded an impressive sidescan sonar image of the complete Greenland Basin and margin (about 250,000 km2). A mosaic of the data was made at a scale of 1:375,000. The base map was prepared with a polar stereographic projection having a standard parallel of 71°.
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  • 30
    Publication Date: 2017-02-24
    Description: The response of the global climate system to smoke from burning oil wells in Kuwait is investigated in a series of numerical experiments using a coupled atmosphere–ocean general circulation model with an interactive soot transport model and extended radiation scheme. The results show a decrease in surface air temperature of ~4 °C in the Gulf region. Outside this region the changes are small and statistically insignificant. No weakening of the Indian summer monsoon is observed.
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  • 31
    Publication Date: 2019-02-22
    Description: High‐resolution records of opal, carbonate, and terrigenous fluxes have been obtained from a high‐sedimentation rate core (MD84‐527: 43°50′S; 51°19;′E; 3269 m) by normalization to 230Th. This method estimates paleofluxes to the seafloor on a point‐by‐point basis and distinguishes changes in sediment accumulation due to variations in vertical rain rates from those due to changes in syndepositional sediment redistribution by bottom currents. We also measured sediment δ15N to evaluate the changes in nitrate utilization in the overlying surface waters associated with paleoflux variations. Our results show that opal accumulation rates on the seafloor during the Holocene and stage 3, based on 14C dating, were respectively tenfold and fivefold higher than the vertical rain rates, At this particular location, changes in opal accumulation on the seafloor appear to be mainly controlled by sediment redistribution by bottom currents rather than variations in opal fluxes from the overlying water column. Correction for syndepositional sediment redistribution and the improved time resolution that can be achieved by normalization to 230Th disclose important variations in opal rain rates. We found relatively high but variable opal paleoflux during stage 3, with two maxima centered at 36 and 30 kyr B.P., low opal paleoflux during stage 2 and deglaciation and a pronounced maximum during the early Holocene, We interpret this record as reflecting variations in opal production rates associated with climate‐induced latitudinal migration of the southern ocean frontal system. Sediments deposited during periods of high opal paleoflux also have high authigenic U concentrations, suggesting more reducing conditions in the sediment, and high Pa‐231/Th‐230 ratios, suggesting increased scavenging from the water column. Sediment δ15N is circa 1.5 per mil higher during isotopic stage 2 and deglaciation. The low opal rain rates recorded during that period appear to have been associated with increased nitrate depletion. This suggests that opal paleofluxes do not simply reflect latitudinal migration of the frontal system but also changes in the structure of the upper water column. Increased stratification during isotopic stage 2 and deglaciation could have been produced by a meltwater lid, leading to lower nitrate supply rates to surface waters.
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  • 32
    Publication Date: 2019-10-30
    Description: Seamount phosphorites have been recognized since the 1950s, but this is the first study to provide an in depth exploration of the origin and history of these widespread deposits. Representative samples from equatorial Pacific Cretaceous seamounts were analyzed for chemical, mineralogical, and stable isotope compositions. The phosphorites occur in a wide variety of forms, but most commonly carbonate fluorapatite (CFA) replaced middle Eocene and older carbonate sediment in a deep water environment (〉1000 m). Element ratios distinguish seamount phosphorites from continental margin, plateau, and insular phosphorites. Uranium and thorium contents are low and total rare earth element (REE) contents are generally high. REE ratios and shale‐normalized patterns demonstrate that the REEs and host CFA were derived from seawater. Strontium isotopic compositions compared with inferred Cenozoic seawater curves define two major episodes of Cenozoic phosphatization: Late Eocene/early Oligocene (39–34 Ma) and late Oligocene/early Miocene (27–21 Ma); three minor events are also indicated. The major episodes occurred at times of climate transition, the first from a nonglacial to glacial earth and the second from a predominantly glacial to warm earth. The paleoceanographic conditions that existed at those times initiated and sustained development of phosphorite by accumulation of dissolved phosphorus in the deep sea during relatively stable climatic conditions when oceanic circulation was sluggish. Fluctuations in climate, sealevel, and upwelling that accompanied the climate transitions may have driven cycles of enrichment and depletion of the deep‐sea phosphorus reservoir. As temperature gradients in the oceans increased, Antarctic glaciation expanded and oceanic circulation and upwelling intensified. Expansion and intensification of the oxygen minimum zone may have increased the capacity for midwater storage of phosphorus supplied by dynamic upwelling around seamounts; however, the bottom waters never became anoxic during the phosphogenic episodes. Fluctuations in the CCD and lysocline, CO2 fluxes, and changes in bottom water circulation and temperatures may have bathed the seamount carbonates in more corrosive waters which, coupled with increased supplies of dissolved phosphorus, promoted replacement processes. The late Eocene/early Oligocene phosphogenic episode recorded in seamount deposits is not matched by large phosphorite deposits in the geologic record, whereas the late Oligocene/early Miocene episode and middle Miocene event are matched by large deposits distributed globally. The seamount phosphorites are exposed at the surface of the seamounts and have been for most of the Neogene and Oligocene. The phosphorites do not show signs of etching that would indicate substantial undersaturation of seawater phosphate with respect to CFA. Mass balance calculations indicate that about 5.4–19 × 1012 g of P2O5 are locked up in equatorial Pacific seamount phosphorites. That amount is equivalent to about 2‐7 years of the present annual input from rivers.
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  • 33
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    AGU (American Geophysical Union)
    In:  Paleoceanography, 8 (1). pp. 7-21.
    Publication Date: 2019-02-22
    Description: Measurements of opal preservation in deep sea sediment cores have been presented in three ways: the opal concentration as a fraction of total dry weight (%opaltot), the opal concentration normalized to calcite‐free dry weight (%opalcalcite‐free), and me opal accumulation rate (opal MAR). It is tempting to interpret changes in these indices as indicators of rates of biological production in past oceans. Based on theoretical constraints, we argue that in typical tropical and subtropical sediments, both %Opalcalcite‐free and opal MAR reflect a significant artifact of dilution by other phases. Thus the band of high %Opalcalcite‐free in the equatorial Pacific appears to be caused in large part by the high %Calcite in that region, rather than by high opal productivity. The best candidate for a reliable paleoproductivity proxy appears to be %Opaltot. Unfortunately, present‐day %Opaltot data from tropical and subtropical regions show little or no systematic trend with the rain rate of opal. Pore water silica concentration data reveal that the apparent pore water opal solubility is not constant but correlates regionally with the rain rate of opal to the seafloor. A model that treats opal as a single homogeneous phase with a single well‐defined solubility product predicts a strong dependence of opal concentration on rain rate (in stark contrast to the data), and a constant asymptotic pore water Si. Two models representing opal as multiple heterogeneous phases with different solubilities are able to reproduce the observed asymptotic pore water Si/rain rate relationship, but not the lack of rain rate trend in the opal concentration data. Only by assuming a systematic trend in the quality of opal (i.e., the solubility) as a function of opal production, can we reproduce the observed pattern of opal preservation. The implication of this study is that changes in opal preservation in the geologic record cannot simply be interpreted in terms of changes in surface ocean productivity until our understanding of opal diagenesis can be improved.
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  • 34
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    AGU (American Geophysical Union)
    In:  Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth, 98 (B1). pp. 787-793.
    Publication Date: 2019-05-14
    Description: A relation between creep rate at the surface trace of a fault, the depth to the bottom of the creeping zone, and the rate of stress accumulation on the fault is derived from Weertman's 1964 friction model of slip on a fault. A 5 ± 1 km depth for the creeping zone on the Hayward fault is estimated from the measured creep rate (5 mm/yr) at the fault trace and the rate of stress increase on the upper segment of the fault trace inferred from geodetic measurements across the San Francisco Bay area. Although fault creep partially accommodates the secular slip rate on the Hayward fault, a slip deficit is accumulating equivalent to a magnitude 6.6 earthquake on each 40 km segment of the fault each century. Thus, the current behavior of the fault is consistent with its seismic history, which includes two moderate earthquakes in the mid‐1800's.
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  • 35
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    AGU (American Geophysical Union)
    In:  Paleoceanography, 6 (4). pp. 395-430.
    Publication Date: 2020-04-01
    Description: Possible mechanisms for the 80 ppm reduction of atmospheric CO2 partial pressure during the last glaciation were investigated using the Hamburg Ocean Carbon Cycle Model. The three‐dimensional carbon cycle model is based on the velocity field of the Hamburg Large‐Scale Geostrophic Ocean General Circulation Model and uses the same grid as that model. The horizontal resolution (3.5° × 3.5°) is lower than the length scale of narrow upwelling belts which could not be represented adequately in this study, but the large‐scale features of the ocean carbon cycle are reproduced rather well. Sensitivity experiments were carried out to investigate the role of chemical and biological parameters (nutrient cycling, composition of biogenic particulate matter, CO2 solubility) and different circulation regimes for the atmospheric CO2 content. The model responses were compared to deep‐sea sediment core records and ice core data from the last glaciation. Each experiment was compared with observed average tracer patterns during 18–65 kyr B.P. It was found that none of the sensitivity experiments alone could explain all observed tracer changes (atmospheric pCO2, Δδ13Cplanktonic‐benthic, δ13Cbenthic differences, CaCO3 corrosivity indices) simultaneously, even in a qualitative sense. Thus according to the model none of the scenarios tested proves to be completely acceptable. The residual discrepancies between the observed and modeled tracer records can probably be attributed to the as yet inadequate reconstruction of the glacial ocean circulation. It is therefore suggested that more effort should be devoted to realistically reproducing the ice age ocean circulation field making use of the forthcoming glacial radiocarbon data base. The residuals between the realistically modeled and observed carbon cycle tracers (δ13C, CaCO3 saturation) should then reveal more clearly the real cause for the observed pCO2 decrease in the glacial atmosphere.
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  • 36
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    AGU (American Geophysical Union)
    In:  Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 98 (C4). pp. 6991-6999.
    Publication Date: 2018-01-17
    Description: The high-resolution model of the wind-driven and thermohaline circulation in the Atlantic Ocean developed in recent years as a “community modeling effort” for the World Ocean Circulation Experiment is examined for the temporal and spatial structure of the deep equatorial current field and its effect on the spreading of North Atlantic Deep Water (NADW). Under seasonally varying wind forcing, the model reveals a system of basin-wide zonal currents of O(5 cm s−1), alternating east-west, and oscillating at an annual period. The current fluctuations are induced by the seasonal cycle of the wind stress in the equatorial Atlantic and show characteristics of long equatorial Rossby waves with westward phase propagation of about 15 cm s−1. The mean flow in the deep western tropical Atlantic is governed by a deep western boundary current (DWBC) with core velocities of more than 10 cm s−1. Only a small fraction of the DWBC branches off at the equator, with correspondingly low mean eastward currents of only about 1 cm s−1. Despite this weak advection along the equator, a well-developed salinity tongue is observed in the model, which is reminiscent of observed property distributions at the upper NADW level. The model evaluation indicates the salinity pattern to be a result of a balance between mean zonal advection and meridional diffusion of salt. The presence of the zonal current oscillations appears to have no significance for the existence of the salinity tongue.
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  • 37
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    AGU (American Geophysical Union)
    In:  Geophysical Research Letters, 96 (C4). pp. 7249-7263.
    Publication Date: 2018-07-19
    Description: Drift behavior of drogued and undrogued Hermes‐type buoys is studied. After drogue loss, an increase in drift speed and acceleration is observed as well as improved correlations between drift and wind in both speed and direction. With these criteria, a method for the separation of large data sets into a drogued and an undrogued part has been developed. In most areas of the North Atlantic this works very well; problems arise in regions with strong surface currents and/or light winds. A statistical analysis is performed in a selected area to demonstrate the errors that can be caused by indiscriminate use of drogued and undrogued drifters. Mean and rms velocities as well as kinetic energies change significantly when undrogued buoys are considered. Therefore caution is essential when using surface drifters without drogues.
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  • 38
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    AGU (American Geophysical Union)
    In:  Journal of Geophysical Research, 96 (C2). pp. 2661-2673.
    Publication Date: 2017-09-26
    Description: The predictability of the El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phenomenon was investigated by analyzing observed sea levels, surface stresses, and subsurface temperatures simulated with an oceanic general circulation model forced by observed winds. In addition, a large ensemble of prediction experiments has been conducted with a simplified coupled ocean-atmosphere model consisting of an oceanic general circulation model coupled to a simple atmospheric feedback model. Our analysis supports the hypothesis that the ENSO-related interannual variability in the tropical Pacific can be understood as a cycle within the coupled ocean-atmosphere system which is inherently predictable. This cycle consists of an accumulation of warm water in the western Pacific during the cold phases of ENSO and a loss of this heat during its warm phases. The results of the prediction experiments with our simplified coupled ocean-atmosphere model indicate that the phase of tropical Pacific sea surface temperatures is predictable two to three seasons in advance with our simplified coupled system, whose dynamics is governed by the ocean. We found a strong dependence of the skills on season, with spring SSTs being least predictable.
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  • 39
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    AGU (American Geophysical Union) | Wiley
    In:  Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth, 86 (B5). pp. 3867-3880.
    Publication Date: 2021-11-03
    Description: Three arrays of ocean bottom seismographs have been deployed to study the seismicity at the northern end of the Juan de Fuca ridge system off western Canada. Nearly 100 events were located with estimated accuracies generally better than ±10 km, all lying on or near the en echalon ridge-transform fault plate boundaries as defined in this area by the magnetic anomalies, the seafloor morphology and by other geophysical data. The depths of 12 events were determined to lie between 2 and 6 km below the top of the crust. The seismograms exhibit clear P and S wave arrivals along with phases that involve P to S and sometimes S to P conversion probably at the base of the sediments beneath the instruments. The event magnitudes have been estimated from signal duration using four calibration events that were well recorded by a land station. The magnitude estimates permit the determination of rough magnitude-frequency of occurrence relations over the magnitude range of 1 to 3 that are in surprisingly good agreement with the recurrence relations for the area at larger magnitudes from 75 years of land station data. The mean P wave velocity in the uppermost mantle from the earthquake data recorded by the sea floor arrays is 7.6 km s-1 and the mean Vp/Vs ratio is 1.71 or a Poisson's ratio of 0.24.
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  • 40
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    Wiley | AGU (American Geophysical Union)
    Publication Date: 2024-01-08
    Description: Seismically derived depth estimates to the top of the oceanic crust beneath the Hawaiian Islands indicate that the curvature of the deflected lithosphère is much larger than commonly believed. The conservative and model-independent curvature estimates exceed 10−7 m−1 and are comparable in magnitude to curvatures at trenches and outer rise systems. The depth estimates are used to constrain both two-dimensional (2-D) and three-dimensional (3-D) flexural models. The curvature constraints require a 2-D variable elastic thickness that decreases from 35 km in areas away from the volcanic load to 25 km directly beneath the load. In an attempt to understand the nature of the yielding beneath the Hawaiian Islands we introduce two new 3-D models. The first model combines a realistic yield strength based rheology with a new technique for 3-D flexure calculations in which the elastic plate thickness is curvature-dependent. The new variable rigidity model predicts an undeformed (mechanical) plate thickness of 44 km, decreasing to 33 km beneath the big island of Hawaii. The best-fitting mechanical thickness corresponds approximately to the depth to the 600 °C isotherm in 90-m.y.-old lithosphere. The second model uses a broken plate, but here the crack is oriented along the weak Molokai fracture zone rather than along the island chain trend. This unconventional flexure model can explain the observed asymmetry in the depth data across the fracture zone without requiring the excessively large elastic thickness of more conventional broken plate models. Both the proposed models imply that modeling with constant thickness plates may underestimate the true mechanical plate thickness by being unduly influenced by the weak zone beneath the seamounts.
    Type: Article , PeerReviewed
    Format: text
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