Publikationsdatum:
1954-12-01
Beschreibung:
Desirable characteristics of a system for scoring prognostic charts are discussed. A successful system now in use at the WBAN Analysis Center is described in detail. The preliminary score produced is a function of the pressure difference between pairs of stations over the area of the chart. A secondary score, the deviation from a running mean of daily scores adjusted by handicaps assigned to the individual forecasters, is a measure of forecasting skill relatively independent of many spurious effects. The slowly varying handicap is a useful means of ranking the ability of the forecasters.
Print ISSN:
0003-0007
Digitale ISSN:
1520-0477
Thema:
Geographie
,
Physik
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