ALBERT

Description / Table of Contents: 1. Die Energiewende 2011 in Deutschland: Ein Vademecum für die Diskussion? / Robert Schlögl --- 2. Smarte Ideen für zukünftige Stromnetze / Christian Rehtanz --- 3. Energie aus der Tiefe: Geothermie / Rüdiger Schulz --- 4. Forschung zur sicheren Endlagerung radioaktiver Abfälle / Tilmann Rothfuchs, Thomas Brasser, Horst-Jürgen Herbert, Jörg Mönig, Ingo Müller-Lyda --- 5. Chancen und Risiken der CO2-Speicherung / Michael Kühn --- 6. Perspektiven für eine effiziente und nachhaltige Mobilität / Rolf Scharwächter --- 7. Strom aus der Wüste: Grundlagen des DESERTEC Konzepts / Franz Trieb, Hans Müller-Steinhagen --- 8. Energie ist Chemie – Katalyse als Schlüsseltechnik. Energie von Morgen: Eine Momentaufnahme / Malte Behrens, Robert Schlögl --- 9. Einleitung / Mittagssymposium: Dolmetscher der Kulturen Energie zwischen Natur- und Geisteswissenschaften Ein Streitgespräch / Gerhard Schaefer --- 10. Verschiedene Sprachkulturen rund um Energie / Gerhard Schaefer --- 11. Zitate zur Anregung der Diskussion / Gerhard Schaefer --- 12. Reaktionen der zwei Kontrahenten im Streitgespräch / Dietrich v. Engelhardt, Gunnar Berg --- 13. Fazit / Gerhard Schaefer

Description / Table of Contents: As demonstrated by the March 2011 earthquake and tsunami-triggered blackouts in Japan, electricity shortfalls can happen anytime and anywhere. Countries can minimise the negative economic, social and environmental impacts of such electricity shortfalls by developing emergency energy-saving strategies before a crisis occurs. This new IEA report Saving Electricity in a Hurry: Update 2011 highlights preliminary findings and conclusions from electricity shortfalls in Japan, the United States, New Zealand, South Africa and Chile. It draws on recent analysis to: - reinforce well-established guidelines on diagnosing electricity shortfalls, identifying energy-saving opportunities and selecting a package of energy-saving measures; and - highlight proven practice for implementing emergency energy-saving programmes. This paper will be valuable to government, academic, private-sector and civil-society stakeholders who inform, develop and implement electricity policy in general, and emergency energy-saving programmes in particular.

Description / Table of Contents: What impact will the return of high energy prices have on the fragile economic recovery? Will geopolitical unrest, price volatility and policy inaction defer investment in the oil sector and amplify risks to our energy security? What will renewed uncertainty surrounding the role of nuclear power mean for future energy and environmental trends? Is the gap between our climate actions and our climate goals becoming insurmountable? World Energy Outlook 2011 tackles these and other pressing questions. The latest data, policy developments, and the experience of another turbulent year are brought together to provide robust analysis and insight into global energy markets. WEO-2011 once again gives detailed energy demand and supply projections out to 2035, broken down by region, fuel, sector and scenario.

Description / Table of Contents: Increased focus has been placed on the issues of energy access and energy poverty over the last number of years, most notably indicated by the United Nations (UN) declaring 2012 as the “International Year of Sustainable Energy for All”. Although attention in these topics has increased, incorrect assumptions and misunderstandings still arise in both the literature and dialogues. Access to energy does not only include electricity, does not only include cook stoves, but must include access to all types of energy that form the overall energy system. This paper chooses to examine this energy system using a typology that breaks it into 3 primary energy subsystems: heat energy, electricity and transportation. Describing the global energy system using these three subsystems provides a way to articulate the differences and similarities for each system’s required investments needs by the private and public sectors.

Description / Table of Contents: Timely and effective deployment of demand response could greatly increase power system flexibility, electricity security and market efficiency. Considerable progress has been made in recent years to harness demand response. However, most of this potential remains to be developed. The paper draws from IEA experience to identify barriers to demand response, and possible enablers that can encourage more timely and effective demand response including cost reflective pricing, retail market reform, and improved load control and metering equipment. Governments have a key role to play in developing and implementing the policy, legal, regulatory and market frameworks needed to empower customer choice and accelerate the development and deployment of cost-effective demand response.

Description / Table of Contents: This paper explores the relationships between climate policy and renewable energy policy instruments. It shows that, even where CO2 emissions are duly priced, specific incentives for supporting the early deployment of renewable energy technologies are justified by the steep learning curves of nascent technologies. This early investment reduces costs in the longer term and makes renewable energy affordable when it needs to be deployed on a very large scale to fully contribute to climate change mitigation and energy security. The paper also reveals other noteworthy interaction effects of climate policy and renewable policy instruments on the wholesale electricity prices in deregulated markets, which open new areas for future research.

Description / Table of Contents: The main message of this paper is that while carbon pricing is a prerequisite for least-cost carbon mitigation strategies, carbon pricing is not enough to overcome all the barriers to cost-effective energy efficiency actions. Energy efficiency policy should be designed carefully for each sector to ensure optimal outcomes for a combination of economic, social and climate change goals. The main message of this paper is that while carbon pricing is a prerequisite for least-cost carbon mitigation strategies, carbon pricing is not enough to overcome all the barriers to cost-effective energy efficiency actions. Energy efficiency policy should be designed carefully for each sector to ensure optimal outcomes for a combination of economic, social and climate change goals. This paper aims to examine the justification for specific energy efficiency policies in economies with carbon pricing in place. The paper begins with an inventory of existing market failures that attempt to explain the limited uptake of energy efficiency. These market failures are investigated to see which can be overcome by carbon pricing in two subsectors – electricity use in residential appliances and heating energy use in buildings. This analysis finds that carbon pricing addresses energy efficiency market failures such as externalities and imperfect energy markets. However, several market and behavioural failures in the two subsectors are identified that appear not to be addressed by carbon pricing. These include: imperfect information; principal-agent problems; and behavioural failures. In this analysis, the policies that address these market failures are identified as complementary to carbon pricing and their level of interaction with carbon pricing policies is relatively positive. These policies should be implemented when they can improve energy efficiency effectively and efficiently (and achieve other national goals such as improving socio-economic efficiency).

Description / Table of Contents: Electricity use is growing worldwide, providing a range of energy services: lighting, heating and cooling, specific industrial uses, entertainment, information technologies, and mobility. Because its generation remains largely based on fossil fuels, electricity is also the largest and the fastest-growing source of energy-related CO2 emissions, the primary cause of human-induced climate change. Forecasts from the IEA and others show that “decarbonising” electricity and enhancing end-use efficiency can make major contributions to the fight against climate change. Global and regional trends on electricity supply and demand indicate the magnitude of the decarbonisation challenge ahead. As climate concerns become an essential component of energy policy-making, the generation and use of electricity will be subject to increasingly strong policy actions by governments to reduce their associated CO2 emissions. Despite these actions, and despite very rapid growth in renewable energy generation, significant technology and policy challenges remain if this unprecedented essential transition is to be achieved. The IEA Climate and Electricity Annual 2011 provides an authoritative resource on progress to date in this area, with statistics related to CO2 and the electricity sector across ten regions of the world. It also presents topical analyses on meeting the challenge of rapidly curbing CO2 emissions from electricity, from both a policy and technology perspective.

Description / Table of Contents: The International Energy Agency (IEA) estimates that 100 carbon capture and storage (CCS) projects must be implemented by 2020 and over 3 000 by 2050 if CCS is to fully contribute to the least-cost technology portfolio for CO2 mitigation. To help countries address the many legal and regulatory issues associated with such rapid deployment, the IEA launched the Carbon Capture and Storage Legal and Regulatory Review (CCS Review) in October 2010. The CCS Review gathers contributions by national and regional governments, as well as leading organisations engaged in CCS regulatory activities, to provide a knowledge-sharing forum that supports national-level CCS regulatory development. Each contribution provides a short summary of recent and anticipated developments and highlights a particular regulatory theme (such as financial contributions to long-term stewardship). To introduce each edition, the IEA provides a brief analysis of key advances and trends. Produced bi-annually, the CCS Review provides an up-to-date snapshot of global CCS regulatory developments. The theme for the second edition of the CCS Review, released in May 2011, is long-term liability for stored CO2. Other key issues addressed include: national progress towards implementation of the EU CCS Directive; developments in marine treaties relevant to CCS; international climate change negotiations; and the development process for CCS regulation.

Description / Table of Contents: Demography, climate, world alimentation. L’humanité trouvera-t-elle de quoi nourrir 9 milliards d’hommes en 2050, dans un contexte climatique probablement plus difficile ? L’inquiétude n’est pas nouvelle, mais la croissance démographique s’est emballée dans la seconde moitié du XXe siècle, et la crainte d’une crise alimentaire mondiale est réapparue. Certes, les progrès des technologies agricoles ont permis, au plan global, de maintenir le niveau nutritionnel moyen pendant les années de la "Révolution verte", mais la situation restait loin d’être satisfaisante, puisque environ 850 millions de personnes étaient sousalimentées au début du XXIe siècle. Or de nouvelles inquiétudes se font jour : les surfaces cultivables ne sont plus guère extensibles, la productivité des sols atteint des niveaux qui risquent de les endommager de façon irréversible, les prix de l’énergie et des intrants indispensables à l’agriculture moderne sont à la hausse... Et les perspectives de changements climatiques ne sont pas rassurantes. De nouveaux progrès technologiques permettront-ils de dépasser, une fois encore, les contraintes naturelles et démographiques ? Cet ouvrage rappelle d’abord ces contraintes démographiques, climatiques et environnementales qui pèseront sur la disponibilité de ressources à l’horizon 2050, et traite ensuite des facteurs d’évolution de la demande alimentaire, des moyens techniques et économiques d’y faire face, et enfin des conditions d’un équilibre possible. Une synthèse est proposée en début de volume. Des recommandations y sont faites, destinées aux pouvoirs publics français pour les éclairer sur leur politique nationale et internationale, mais aussi à la société civile, qui est concernée car les problèmes ne sont pas seulement scientifiques ou technologiques : ils mettent aussi en jeu les comportements individuels des producteurs et des consommateurs. Trois domaines où il faut agir sans tarder sont mis en valeur : la nutrition et les habitudes alimentaires, puis la démographie, et enfin l’économie mondiale et le commerce international. Les recommandations portent ensuite sur la production agricole et les questions d’environnement, puis sur la prévention, l’anticipation et la gestion des situations de crise, hélas quasi inévitables.

Description / Table of Contents: Special early excerpt of the World Energy Outlook 2010 for the United Nations General Assembly on the Millenium Development Goals.

Description / Table of Contents: The International Energy Agency’s Energy Efficiency Unit (EEU) has begun a new programme of work on innovative energy-efficiency policies for mitigating fuel poverty. The IEAs current research focuses on the potential for low-income weatherisation programmes to address poor housing quality – the main driver of fuel poverty - as well as innovative methods for financing and evaluating such programmes. A common problem is that the energy-saving benefits accruing to fuel-poor households barely offset the investment required, suggesting a weak return on government spending. However, these investments have additional co-benefits for participants as well as for energy providers, property owners, local communities and society as a whole. This first IEA workshop focused on methods for incorporating the range of co-benefits into evaluation of low-income weatherisation programmes. The presentations given by top experts in the fuel poverty field are summarised in this report, along with conclusions and proposals for further research.

Description / Table of Contents: Ensuring energy security has been at the centre of the IEA mission since its inception, following the oil crises of the early 1970s. While the security of oil supplies remains important, contemporary energy security policies must address all energy sources and cover a a comprehensive range of natural, economic and political risks that affect energy sources, infrastructures and services. In response to this challenge, the IEA is currently developing a Model Of Short-term Energy Security (MOSES) to evaluate the energy security risks and resilience capacities of its member countries. The current version of MOSES covers short-term security of supply for primary energy sources and secondary fuels among IEA countries. It also lays the foundation for analysis of vulnerabilities of electricity and end-use energy sectors. MOSES contains a novel approach to analysing energy security, which can be used to identify energy security priorities, as a starting point for national energy security assessments and to track the evolution of a country’s energy security profile. By grouping together countries with similar “energy security profiles”, MOSES depicts the energy security landscape of IEA countries. By extending the MOSES methodology to electricity security and energy services in the future, the IEA aims to develop a comprehensive policy-relevant perspective on global energy security. Ensuring energy security has been at the centre of the IEA mission since its inception, following the oil crises of the early 1970s. While the security of oil supplies remains important, contemporary energy security policies must address all energy sources and cover a a comprehensive range of natural, economic and political risks that affect energy sources, infrastructures and services. In response to this challenge, the IEA is currently developing a Model Of Short-term Energy Security (MOSES) to evaluate the energy security risks and resilience capacities of its member countries. The current version of MOSES covers short-term security of supply for primary energy sources and secondary fuels among IEA countries. It also lays the foundation for analysis of vulnerabilities of electricity and end-use energy sectors. MOSES contains a novel approach to analysing energy security, which can be used to identify energy security priorities, as a starting point for national energy security assessments and to track the evolution of a country’s energy security profile. By grouping together countries with similar “energy security profiles”, MOSES depicts the energy security landscape of IEA countries. By extending the MOSES methodology to electricity security and energy services in the future, the IEA aims to develop a comprehensive policy-relevant perspective on global energy security. This Working Paper is intended for readers who wish to explore the MOSES methodology in depth; there is also a brochure which provides an overview of the analysis and results.

Description / Table of Contents: Increased focus has been placed on the issues of energy access and energy poverty over the last number of years, most notably indicated by the United Nations (UN) declaring 2012 as the “International Year of Sustainable Energy for All”. Although attention in these topics has increased, incorrect assumptions and misunderstandings still arise in both the literature and dialogues. Access to energy does not only include electricity, does not only include cook stoves, but must include access to all types of energy that form the overall energy system. This paper chooses to examine this energy system using a typology that breaks it into 3 primary energy subsystems: heat energy, electricity and transportation. Describing the global energy system using these three subsystems provides a way to articulate the differences and similarities for each system’s required investments needs by the private and public sectors.

Description / Table of Contents: The IEA’s Smart Grids Technology Roadmap identified five global trends that could be effectively addressed by deploying smart grids. These are: increasing peak load (the maximum power that the grid delivers during peak hours), rising electricity consumption, electrification of transport, deployment of variable generation technologies (e.g. wind and solar PV) and ageing infrastructure. Along with this roadmap, a new working paper – Impact of Smart Grid Technologies on Peak Load to 2050 – develops a methodology to estimate the evolution of peak load until 2050. It also analyses the impact of smart grid technologies in reducing peak load for four key regions; OECD North America, OECD Europe, OECD Pacific and China. This working paper is a first IEA effort in an evolving modelling process of smart grids that is considering demand response in residential and commercial sectors as well as the integration of electric vehicles.

Description / Table of Contents: Ecosystem Modeling of the Oregon Shelf: Everything but the Kitchen Sink / Y. H. Spitz / pp. 1-9 --- Marine Ecosystem Simulation in the Indonesian Seas / Y. Sasai, A. R. Kartadikaria, Y. Miyazawa and K. Nadaoka / pp. 11-17 --- Response of Nutrients and Primary Production over the Shelf in the East China Sea to the Reduction of Oceanic Nutrient Supply / X. Guo and L. Zhao / pp. 19-30 --- Introduction of the Ecological Connectivity Hypoxia Model: ECOHYM—Model Concept and Its Validation on a Study Applied to Tokyo Bay / A. Sohma / pp. 31-38 --- Ecosystem and Nutrient Dynamics in the Seto Inland Sea, Japan / N. Yoshie, X. Guo, N. Fujii and T. Komorita / pp. 39-49 --- A Numerical Modeling Study of Japanese Sardine (Sardinops melanostictus) Migrations in the Western North Pacific / T. Okunishi, D. Ambe, S. Ito, T. Kameda, T. Setou, K. Komatsu, A. Kawabata, A. Takasuka and H. Kubota / pp. 51-56 --- Investigating Alternate Trophic Pathways through Gelatinous Zooplankton and Planktivorous Fishes in an Upwelling Ecosystem Using End-to-End Models / R. D. Brodeur, J. J. Ruzicka and J. H. Steele / pp. 57-63 --- Establishing a Conceptual Design for Jellyfish Blooms in the Seto Inland Sea / N. Fujii, A. Kaneda, S. Magome and H. Takeoka / pp. 65-71 --- Fate Prediction Model of Organic Chemicals in Coastal Bay Estuaries / K. Nakata, F. Horiguchi and T. Eriguchi / pp. 73-77 --- Ecosystem Analysis of the Seto Inland Sea: Bioaccumulation Model on a Basis of an Energy Balance Model / K. Omori, J. Shibata, H. Hamaoka, K. Matsumoto, T. Nanko, T. Kunihiro, T. W. Miller and H. Onishi / pp. 79-83 --- Trophic Dynamics of Pelagic Nekton in the Southern Benguela Current Ecosystem: Calibrating Trophic Models with Stable Isotope Analysis / C. D. van der Lingen and T. W. Miller / pp. 85-94 --- Tracing Dynamics of Organic Material Flow in Coastal Marine Ecosystems: Results from Manila Bay (Philippines) and Kyucho Intrusion (Japan) / T. W. Miller, G. Jaquinto, M. McGlone, A. Isobe, J. Shibata, H. Hamaoka and K. Omori / pp. 95-104 --- Variations of Seawater Temperature and Coastal Winds from 2003 to 2009 at the Bungo Channel, Japan / R. Shi, X. Guo and H. Takeoka / pp. 105-115 --- Spatial Variation of Submarine Groundwater Discharge (SGD) in the Central Part of Seto Inland Sea, Japan / M. Saito, X. Guo, S. Onodera, Y. Shimizu, Y. Kato, M. Tokumasu and H. Takeoka / pp. 117-123 --- Understanding What Drives Food Web Structure in Marine Pelagic Ecosystems / T. W. Miller, C. van der Lingen, R. Brodeur, K. Omori, H. Hamaoka and T. Isobe / pp. 125-131 --- Study of Sediment Cleanup Using Polychaetes / K. Ito, M. Nozaki, T. Kunihiro, C. Miura and T. Miura / pp. 133-139 --- Regional Characteristics of Lower Trophic Level Food Web Structure in the Seto Inland Sea / J. Shibata, H. Hamaoka, R. Isonaka, K. Matsumoto, T. Nanko, T. W. Miller, H. Onishi, T. Kunihiro and K. Omori / pp. 141-149 --- Sources of Sedimentary Organic Carbon in Mangrove Ecosystems from Ba Lat Estuary, Red River, Vietnam / N. T. Tue, H. Hamaoka, A. Sogabe, T. D. Quy, M. T. Nhuan and K. Omori / pp. 151-157 --- The Fish Composition of Phan Thiet Bay, Binh Thuan Province, Vietnam in Connection with Environmental Quality / N. T. Nam, N. X. Huan, V. T. Tang, T. W. Miller and K. Omori / pp. 159-167 --- The Roles of Marine Phytoplankton and Ocean Circulation in Determining the Global Fate of Polychlorinated Biphenyls / T. Kawai, I. C. Handoh and N. Suzuki / pp. 169-178 --- Bayesian Uncertainty Analysis of the Global Dynamics of Persistent Organic Pollutants: Towards Quantifying the Planetary Boundaries for Chemical Pollution / I. C. Handoh and T. Kawai / pp. 179-187 --- What Drives the Fate of Persistent Organic Pollutants in the North Sea? Insights from a Regional Model / T. Ilyina / pp. 189-195 --- Process Study on Numerical Simulation for Persistent Organic Pollutants in the East China Sea / J. Ono, D. Takahashi, X. Guo, S. Takahashi and H. Takeoka / pp. 197-204 --- Monitoring of Contamination by Non-PBDE Brominated Flame Retardants in Asian Coastal Waters Using Mussels as a Bioindicator / S. Ogawa, T. Isobe, K. Ramu, A. Subramanian, S. Takahashi and S. Tanabe / pp. 205-211 --- Inter-species Differences of Hydroxylated Polychlorinated Biphenyls (OHPCBs) in the Blood of Small Cetaceans / M. Ochiai, K. Nomiyama, T. Isobe, T. Matsuishi, T. K. Yamada and S. Tanabe / pp. 213-220 --- Accumulation of Brominated Flame Retardants in Harbour and Dall's Porpoises from Hokkaido / A. Saito, T. Isobe, T. Matsuishi, T. K. Yamada, Y. Tajima and S. Tanabe / pp. 221-228 --- Contamination by Brominated Flame Retardants (BFRs) in Common Cormorants from Lake Biwa / R. Hashikawa, T. Isobe, S. Yano, T. Kunisue, K. Nakayama, A. Sudo, S. Takahashi and S. Tanabe / pp. 229-238 --- Formulation of Leeway-Drift Velocities for Sea-Surface Drifting-Objects Based on a Wind-Wave Flume Experiment / A. Isobe, H. Hinata, S. Kako and S. Yoshioka / pp. 239-249 --- Investigating the Accumulation of Plastic Debris in the North Pacific Gyre / J. J. Leichter / pp. 251-259 --- Deep-Sea Litter Study Using Deep-Sea Observation Tools / H. Miyake, H. Shibata and Y. Furushima / pp. 261-269 --- Toxic Metals in Polyethylene Plastic Litter / E. Nakashima, A. Isobe, S. Kako, S. Magome, N. Deki, T. Itai and S. Takahashi / pp. 271-277

Description / Table of Contents: World Energy Outlook 2011 brings together the latest data, policy developments, and the experience of another year to provide robust analysis and insight into global energy markets, today and for the next 25 years. This edition of the IEA’s flagship WEO publication gives the latest energy demand and supply projections for different future scenarios, broken down by country, fuel and sector. It also gives special focus to such topical energy sector issues as: • Russia’s energy prospects and their implications for global markets. • The role of coal in driving economic growth in an emissions-constrained world. • The implications of a possible delay in oil and gas sector investment in the Middle East and North Africa. • How high-carbon infrastructure “lock-in” is making the 2°C climate change goal more challenging and expensive to meet. • The scale of fossil fuel subsidies and support for renewable energy and their impact on energy, economic and environmental trends. • A “Low Nuclear Case” to investigate what a rapid slowdown in the use of nuclear power would mean for the global energy landscape. • The scale and type of investment needed to provide modern energy to the billions of the world’s poor that do not have it. WEO-2011 provides invaluable insights into how the energy system could evolve over the next quarter of a century. The book is essential reading for anyone with a stake in the energy sector.

Description / Table of Contents: What impact will the return of high energy prices have on the fragile economic recovery? Will geopolitical unrest, price volatility and policy inaction defer investment in the oil sector and amplify risks to our energy security? What will renewed uncertainty surrounding the role of nuclear power mean for future energy and environmental trends? Is the gap between our climate actions and our climate goals becoming insurmountable? World Energy Outlook 2011 tackles these and other pressing questions. The latest data, policy developments, and the experience of another turbulent year are brought together to provide robust analysis and insight into global energy markets. WEO-2011 once again gives detailed energy demand and supply projections out to 2035, broken down by region, fuel, sector and scenario.

Description / Table of Contents: MOSES contains a novel approach to analysing energy security, which can be used to identify energy security priorities, as a starting point for national energy security assessments and to track the evolution of a country’s energy security profile. By grouping together countries with similar “energy security profiles”, MOSES depicts the energy security landscape of IEA countries. By extending the MOSES methodology to electricity security and energy services in the future, the IEA aims to develop a comprehensive policy-relevant perspective on global energy security. Ensuring energy security has been at the centre of the IEA mission since its inception, following the oil crises of the early 1970s. While the security of oil supplies remains important, contemporary energy security policies must address all energy sources and cover a a comprehensive range of natural, economic and political risks that affect energy sources, infrastructures and services. In response to this challenge, the IEA is currently developing a Model Of Short-term Energy Security (MOSES) to evaluate the energy security risks and resilience capacities of its member countries. The current version of MOSES covers short-term security of supply for primary energy sources and secondary fuels among IEA countries. It also lays the foundation for analysis of vulnerabilities of electricity and end-use energy sectors. MOSES contains a novel approach to analysing energy security, which can be used to identify energy security priorities, as a starting point for national energy security assessments and to track the evolution of a country’s energy security profile. By grouping together countries with similar “energy security profiles”, MOSES depicts the energy security landscape of IEA countries. By extending the MOSES methodology to electricity security and energy services in the future, the IEA aims to develop a comprehensive policy-relevant perspective on global energy security. This Brochure provides and overview of the analysis and results. Readers interested in an in-depth discussion of methodology are referred to the MOSES Working Paper.

Description / Table of Contents: This working paper evaluates cost and performance trends related to carbon dioxide (CO2) capture from power generation, based on extensive analysis of data from major engineering studies published between 2006 and 2010. Since individual studies use different methodologies and boundary conditions, study estimates for over 50 CO2 capture installations are re-evaluated on a consistent basis and updated to current cost levels. The paper discusses the need for further standardisation of evaluation methodologies and additional data for specific CO2 capture routes. Further analysis for non-OECD countries is considered crucial for global energy scenario models, and for improving the skills and knowledge developing countries need to evaluate the role of CCS in their national energy contexts.

Description / Table of Contents: The International Energy Agency (IEA) estimates that 100 Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS) projects will be required by 2020 and over 3 000 by 2050 if CCS is to contribute fully to the least-cost technology portfolio for CO2 mitigation. For CCS to reach its emissions reduction potential, the 2009 IEA publication Technology Roadmap: Carbon Capture and Storage recommends that international legal obstacles associated with global CCS deployment be removed by 2012 – including the prohibition on transboundary CO2 transfer under the London Protocol. The London Protocol was amended by contracting parties in 2009 to allow for cross-border transportation of CO2 for sub-seabed storage, but the amendment must be ratified by two-thirds of contracting parties to enter into force. It is unlikely that this will occur in the near term; this working paper therefore outlines options that may be available to contracting parties under international law to address the barrier to deployment presented by Article 6, pending formal entry into force of the 2009 amendment.

Description / Table of Contents: Energieszenarien sind ein wesentliches Mittel zur Entscheidungsunterstützung in Politik und Wirtschaft. Für Infrastrukturentscheidungen im Energiebereich sind lange Zeiträume geltend. Daher ist eine sorgfältige Analyse möglicher "Energiezukünfte" von hoher Bedeutung. In diesem Band finden sich sowohl Beiträge von Wissenschaftlern als auch von Akteuren aus der Praxis, die sich mit Methodologie, Konstruktion und Bewertung von Energieszenarien in Gesellschaft, Politik und Wirtschaft beschäftigen.