Publication Date:
2014-01-14
Description:
[1] Low-lying barrier islands are ubiquitous features of the world's coastlines and the processes responsible for their formation, maintenance, and destruction are related to the evolution of smaller, superimposed features including sand dunes, beach berms, and sandbars. To varying degrees, the barrier island and its superimposed features interact with oceanographic forces (e.g., overwash) and exchange sediment with each other and other parts of the barrier island system. And these interactions are modulated by changes in storminess associated with changes in our climate. An opportunity to study these interactions resulted from the placement and subsequent evolution of a 2-m high sand berm constructed between June, 2010 and April, 2011 along the northern Chandeleur Islands, LA. The berm was monitored using satellite and aerial remote sensing and topographic and bathymetric surveys. Over the study period, from November 2010 through September 2011, the central portion of the berm was altered and ultimately destroyed by the passage of winter and tropical storms. We show that berm-length evolution is well predicted using a statistical model that was fit to the observations by estimating two parameters describing the rate of berm-length change. The model considers wave-driven runup, tides, and storm surge to evaluate the probability and duration of berm overwash. Specifically, computed overwash probabilities predict episodic berm erosion associated with major storm events when overwash is likely to occur. The episodic erosion is superimposed on a constant berm-length change rate that persists even when there is no overwash. Using the calibrated model, the analysis is extended to a 16-year time series of storm climatologies that includes both intra- and inter-annual variability of overwash events and potential variations in berm-length erosion. For a 2-m high feature on the Chandeleur Islands, overwash is expected to occur, on average, 4 days (96 hours) every year. Variability in interannual storminess produces as many as 10 or as few as 1 days of overwash conditions per year. The dependence of overwash frequency on feature elevation (e.g., the height of a berm, dune, or other superimposed feature) indicated that an increase in feature elevation from 2 m to 3.5 m above mean sea level would reduce the expected frequency of overwash events from 4 to 0.5 event-days per year. This approach can be applied to understanding barrier island and berm evolution at other locations using either (or both) past and future climates based on readily available observational or modeled data.
Print ISSN:
0148-0227
Topics:
Geosciences
,
Physics
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