ALBERT

Note: Contents: Preface. - Family Berberidaceae. - Family Menispermaceae. - Family Papaveraceae. - Family Hypecoaceae. - Family Fumariaceae. - Family Brassicaceae, or Cruciferae: Key to Genera. - Genera Macropodium R.Br.--Gorodkovia Botsch. et Karav. - Genera Erysimum L.--Goldbachia DC. - Genera Hesperis L.--Neuroloma Andrz. - Genera Strigosella Boiss.--Microstigma Trautv. - Genera Dontostemon Andrz. ex C.A. Meyer--Dimorphostemon Kitag. - Genera Chorispora R.Br. ex DC.--Galitzkya V. Boczantzeva. - Genera Alyssum L.--Ptilotrichum C.A. Meyer. - Genus Lesquerella S. Watson. - Genera Draba L.--Subularia L. - Family Droseraceae. - Family Crassulaceae. - Family Saxifragaceae. - Family Parnassiaceae. - Family Grossulariaceae. - Maps of Plant Distribution. - Index of Latin Names of Plants.

Note: Erscheinungsjahr in Vorlageform:1993-

Note: Contents Acknowledgements Executive Summary with Key Findings and Recommendations Current State of the Art Key Scientific Challenges and Recommendations Major New Synthesis Initiative Required Implementation of Arctic-CHAMP Policy Implications Summary 1. Introduction Rationale for Pan-Arctic Hydrologic Synthesis Report Framework 2. A Strategy for Detecting and Understanding Arctic Hydrological Change: Arctic-CHAMP Arctic-CHAMP Basic Long-Term Monitoring Arctic-CHAMP Field-Based Process Studies Arctic-CHAMP Synthesis Modeling Execution of Arctic-CHAMP 3. Role and Importance of Water in the Arctic System The Integrated Water Cycle of the Pan-Arctic Land Atmosphere Ocean Importance of Arctic Hydrology to the Arctic System Importance of the Arctic to the Earth System 4. Unprecedented Change to Arctic Hydrological Systems Changes to the Land-Based Hydrologic Cycle Changes to the Atmosphere The Changing Arctic Ocean and its Regional Seas 5. Impacts and Feedbacks Associated with Arctic Hydrological Change Direct Impacts on Ecosystems Arctic Water Cycle Change and Humans Land-Atmosphere-Ocean Feedbacks Land-Atmosphere-Ocean-Human Feedbacks 6. Implementation of Arctic-CHAMP References Appendix 1. NSF-ARCSS Arctic Hydrology Workshop Participants Appendix 2. Current Gaps in Understanding the Pan-Arctic Hydrological Cycle Appendix 3. Integration of Arctic-CHAMP with NSF and Other Federal Agency Initiatives Appendix 4. International Collaborations

Note: CONTENTS Preface Acknowledgements 1. Introduction 1.1 Boundaries of the Arctic 1.2 Main Geographical Factors Shaping the Climate 2. Atmospheric Circulation 2.1 Development of Views on Atmospheric Circulation in the Arctic 2.2 Large-scale Atmospheric Circulation 2.3 Synoptic-scale Circulation 2.4 Winds 2.5 Local Circulation and Mesoscale Disturbances 3. Radiation Conditions 3.1 Sunshine Duration 3.2 Global Solar Radiation 3.3 Short-wave Net Radiation 3.4 Long-wave Net Radiation 3.5 Net Radiation and Other Elements of the Heat Balance 4. Air Temperature 4.1 Mean Monthly, Seasonal, and Annual Air Temperature 4.2 Mean and Absolute Extreme Air Temperatures 4.3 Temperature Inversions 5. Cloudiness 5.1 The Annual Cycle 5.2 Spatial Patterns 5.3 Fog 6. Air Humidity 6.1 Water Vapour Pressure 6.2 Relative Humidity 7. Atmospheric Precipitation and Snow Cover 7.1 Atmospheric Precipitation 7.2 Number of Days with Precipitation 7.3 Snow Cover 8. Air Pollution 9. Climatic Regions 9.1 The Atlantic Region 9.2 The Siberian Region 9.3 The Pacific Region 9.4 The Canadian Region 9.5 The Baffin Bay Region 9.6 The Greenland Region 9.7 The Interior Arctic Region 10. Climatic Change and Variability in the Holocene 10.1 Period 10-11 ka-l ka BP 10.2 Period 1 ka-O.l ka BP 10.3 Period 0.1 ka-Present 11. Scenarios of the Arctic Climate in the 21st Century 11.1 Model Simulations of the Present-day Arctic Climate 11.2 Scenarios of the Arctic Climate in the 21st Century References Copyright Acknowledgements Index

Note: Chapter 1. Structure and chemistry of zircon and zircon-group minerals by Robert J. Finch and John M. Hanchar, p. 1 - 26 Chapter 2. The composition of zircon and igneous and metamorphic petrogenesis by Paul W. O. Hoskin and Urs Schaltegger, p. 27 - 62 Chapter 3. Melt inclusions in zircon by J. B. Thomas, Robert J. Bodnar, Nobumichi Shimizu, and Craig A. Chesner, p. 63 - 88 Chapter 4. Zircon saturation thermometry by John M. Hanchar and E. Bruce Watson, p. 89 - 112 Chapter 5. Diffusion in zircon by Daniele J. Cherniak and E. Bruce Watson, p. 113 - 144 Chapter 6. Historical development of zircon geochronology by Donald W. Davis, Ian S. Williams, and Thomas E. Krogh, p. 145 - 182 Chapter 7. Zircon U-Th-Pb geochronology by isotope dilution—thermal ionization mass spectrometry (ID-TIMS) by Randall R. Parrish and Stephen R. Noble, p. 183 - 214 Chapter 8. Considerations in zircon geochronology by SIMS by Trevor R. Ireland and Ian S. Williams, p. 215 - 242 Chapter 9. Present trends and the future of zircon in geochronology: laser ablation ICPMS by Jan Kosler and Paul J. Sylvester, p. 243 - 276 Chapter 10. Detrital zircon analysis of the sedimentary record by Christopher M. Fedo, Keith N. Sircombe, and Robert H. Rainbird, p. 277 - 304 Chapter 11. High-precision U-Pb zircon geochronology and the stratigraphic record by Samuel A. Bowring and Mark D. Schmitz, p. 305 - 326 Chapter 12. Lu-Hf and Sm-Nd isotope systems in zircon by Peter D. Kinny and Roland Maas, p. 327 - 342 Chapter 13. Oxygen isotopes in zircon by John W. Valley, p. 343 - 386 Chapter 14. Radiation effects in zircon by Rodney C. Ewing, Alkiviathes Meldrum, LuMin Wang, William J. Weber, and L. René Corrales, p. 387 - 426 Chapter 15. Spectroscopic methods applied to zircon by Lutz Nasdala, Ming Zhang, Ulf Kempe, Gérard Panczer, Michael Gaft, Michael Andrut, and Michael Plotze, p. 427 - 468 Chapter 16. Atlas of zircon textures by Fernando Corfu, John M. Hanchar, Paul W.O. Hoskin, and Peter Kinny, p. 469 - 500

Note: Contents Prologue Acknowledgments List of Symbols PART I Foundations 1 INTRODUCTION: The Basic Challenge 1.1 The Climate System 1.2 Some Basic Observations 1.3 External Forcing 1.3.1 Astronomical Forcing 1.3.2 Tectonic Forcing 1.4 The Ice-Age Problem 2 TECHNIQUES FOR CLIMATE RECONSTRUCTION 2.1 Historical Methods 2.1.1 Direct Quantitative Measurements 2.1.2 Descriptive Accounts of General Environmental Conditions 2.2 Surficial Biogeologic Proxy Evidence 2.2.1 Annually Layered Life Forms 2.2.2 Surface Geomorphic Evidence 2.3 Conventional Nonisotopic Stratigraphic Analyses of Sedimentary Rock and Ice 2.3.1 Physical Indicators 2.3.2 Paleobiological Indicators (Fossil Faunal Types and Abundances) 2.4 Isotopic Methods 2.4.1 Oxygen Isotopes 2.4.2 Deuterium and Beryllium in Ice Cores 2.4.3 Stable Carbon Isotopes 2.4.4 Strontium and Osmium Isotopes 2.5 Nonisotopic Geochemical Methods 2.5.1 Cadmium Analysis 2.5.2 Greenhouse Gas Analysis of Trapped Air in Ice Cores 2.5.3 Chemical and Biological Constituents and Dust Layers in Ice Cores 2.6 Dating the Proxy Evidence (Geochronometry) 3 A SURVEY OF GLOBAL PALEOCLIMATIC VARIATIONS 3.1 The Phanerozoic Eon (Past 600 My) 3.2 The Cenozoic Era (Past 65 My) 3.3 The Plio-Pleistocene (Past 5 My) 3.4 Variations during the Last Ice Age: IRD Events 3.5 The Last Glacial Maximum (20 ka) 3.6 Postglacial Changes: The Past 20 ky 3.7 The Past 100 Years 3.8 The Generalized Spectrum of Climatic Variance 3.9 A Qualitative Discussion of Causes 4 GENERAL THEORETICAL CONSIDERATIONS 4.1 The Fundamental Equations 4.2 Time Averaging and Stochastic Forcing 4.3 Response Times and Equilibrium 4.4 Spatial Averaging 4.5 Climatic-Mean Mass and Energy Balance Equations 4.5.1 The Water Mass Balance 4.5.2 Energy Balance 5 SPECIAL THEORETICAL CONSIDERATIONS FOR PALEOCLIMATE: Structuring a Dynamical Approach 5.1 A Basic Problem: Noncalculable Levels of Energy and Mass Flow 5.2 An Overall Strategy 5.3 Notational Simplifications for Resolving Total Climate Variability 5.4 A Structured Dynamical Approach 5.5 The External Forcing Function, F 5.5.1 Astronomical/Cosmic Forcing 5.5.2 Tectonic Forcing 6 BASIC CONCEPTS OF DYNAMICAL SYSTEMS ANALYSIS: Prototypical Climatic Applications 6.1 Local (or Internal) Stability 6.2 The Generic Cubic Nonlinearity 6.3 Structural (or External) Stability: Elements of Bifurcation Theory 6.4 Multivariable Systems 6.4.1 The Two-Variable Phase Plane 6.5 A Prototype Two-Variable Model 6.5.1 Sensitivity of Equilibria to Changes in Parameters: Prediction of the Second Kind 6.5.2 Structural Stability 6.6 The Prototype Two-Variable System as a Stochastic-Dynamical System: Effects of Random Forcing 6.6.1 The Stochastic Amplitude 6.6.2 Structural Stochastic Stability 6.7 More Than Two-Variable Systems: Deterministic Chaos PART II Physics of the Separate Domains 7 MODELING THE ATMOSPHERE AND SURFACE STATE AS FAST-RESPONSE COMPONENTS 7.1 The General Circulation Model 7.2 Lower Resolution Models: Statistical-Dynamical Models and the Energy Balance Model 7.2.1 A Zonal-Average SDM 7.2.2 Axially Asymmetric SDMs 7.2.3 The Complete Time-Average State 7.3 Thermodynamic Models 7.3.1 Radiative-Convective Models 7.3.2 Vertically Averaged Models (the EBM) 7.4 The Basic Energy Balance Model 7.5 Equilibria and Dynamical Properties of the Zero-Dimensional (Global Average) EBM 7.6 Stochastic Resonance 7.7 The One-Dimensional (Latitude-Dependent) EBM 7.8 Transitivity Properties of the Atmospheric and Surface Climatic State: Inferences from a GCM 7.9 Closure Relationships Based on GCM Sensitivity Experiments 7.9.1 Surface Temperature Sensitivity 7.10 Formal Feedback Analysis of the Fast-Response Equilibrium State 7.11 Paleoclimatic Simulations 8 THE SLOW-RESPONSE "CONTROL" VARIABLES: An Overview 8.1 The Ice Sheets 8.1.1 Key Variables 8.1.2 Observations 8.2 Greenhouse Gases: Carbon Dioxide 8.3 The Thermohaline Ocean State 8.4 A Three-Dimensional Phase-Space Trajectory 9 GLOBAL DYNAMICS OF THE ICE SHEETS 9.1 Basic Equations and Boundary Conditions 9.2 A Scale Analysis 9.3 The Vertically Integrated Ice-Sheet Model 9.4 The Surface Mass Balance 9.5 Basal Temperature and Melting 9.6 Deformable Basal Regolith 9.7 Ice Streams and Ice Shelves 9.8 Bedrock Depression 9.9 Sea Level Change and the Ice Sheets: The Depression-Calving Hypothesis 9.10 Paleoclimatic Applications of the Vertically Integrated Model 9.11 A Global Dynamical Equation for Ice Mass 10 DYNAMICS OF ATMOSPHERIC CO2 10.1 The Air-Sea Flux, Q↑ 10.1.1 Qualitative Analysis of the Factors Affecting Q↑ 10.1.2 Mathematical Formulation of the Ocean Carbon Balance 10.1.3 A Parameterization for Q↑ 10.2 Terrestrial Organic Carbon Exchange, W↑G 10.2.1 Sea Level Change Effects 10.2.2 Thermal Effects 10.2.3 Ice Cover Effects 10.2.4 Long-Term Terrestrial Organic Burial, W↓G 10.2.5 The Global Mass Balance of Organic Carbon 10.3 Outgassing Processes, V↑ 10.4 Rock Weathering Downdraw, W↓ 10.5 A Global Dynamical Equation for Atmospheric CO2 10.6 Modeling the Tectonically Forced CO2 Variations, µˆ : Long-Term Rock Processes 10.6.1 The Long-Term Oceanic Carbon Balance 10.6.2 The GEOCARB Model 10.7 Overview of the Full Global Carbon Cycle 11 SIMPLIFIED DYNAMICS OF THE THERMOHALINE OCEAN STATE 11.1 General Equations 11.1.1 Boundary Conditions 11.2 A Prototype Four-Box Ocean Model 11.3 The Wind-Driven, Local-Convective, and Baroclinic Eddy Circulations 11.3.1 The Wind-Driven Circulation: Gyres and Upwelling 11.3.2 Local Convective Overturnings and Baroclinic Eddy Circulations 11.4 The Two-Box Thermohaline Circulation Model: Possible Bimodality of the Ocean State 11.4.1 The Two-Box System 11.4.2 A Simple Model of the TH Circulation 11.4.3 Meridional Fluxes 11.4.4 Dynamical Analysis of the Two-Box Model 11.5 Integral Equations for the Deep Ocean State 11.5.1 The Deep Ocean Temperature 11.5.2 The Deep Ocean Salinity 11.6 Global Dynamical Equations for the Thermohaline State: θ and Sφ PART III Unified Dynamical Theory 12 THE COUPLED FAST- AND SLOW-RESPONSE VARIABLES AS A GLOBAL DYNAMICAL SYSTEM: Outline of a Theory of Paleoclimatic Variation 12.1 The Unified Model: A Paleoclimate Dynamics Model 12.2 Feedback-Loop Representation 12.3 Elimination of the Fast-Response Variables: The Center Manifold 12.4 Sources of Instability: The Dissipative Rate Constants 12.5 Formal Separation into Tectonic Equilibrium and Departure Equations 13 FORCED EVOLUTION OF THE TECTONIC-MEAN CLIMATIC STATE 13.1 Effects of Changing Solar Luminosity and Rotation Rate 13.1.1 Solar Luminosity (S) 13.1.2 Rotation Rate (Ω) 13.2 General Effects of Changing Land-Ocean Distribution and Topography (h) 13.3 Effects of Long-Term Variations of Volcanic and Cosmic Dust and Bolides 13.4 Multimillion-Year Evolution of CO2 13.4.1 The GEOCARB Solution 13.4.2 First-Order Response of Global Ice Mass and Deep Ocean Temperature to Tectonic CO2 Variations 13.5 Possible Role of Salinity-Driven Instability of the Tectonic-Mean State 13.6 Snapshot Atmospheric and Surficial Equilibrium Responses to Prescribed y-Fields Using GCMs 14 THE LATE CENOZOIC ICE-AGE DEPARTURES: An Overview of Previous Ideas and Models 14.1 General Review: Forced vs. Free Models 14.1.1 Models in Which Earth-Orbital Forcing Is Necessary 14.1.2 Instability-Driven (Auto-oscillatory) Models 14.1.3 Hierarchical Classification in Terms of Increasing Physical Complexity 14.2 Forced Ice-Line Models (Box 1, Fig. 14-1) 14.3 Ice-Sheet Inertia Models 14.3.1 The Simplest Forms (Box 2) 14.3.2 More Physically Based Ice-Sheet Models: First Applications 14.3.3 Direct Bedrock Effects (Box 3) 14.3.4 Bedrock-Calving Effects (Box 4) 14.3.5 Basal Meltwater and Sliding (Box 5) 14.3.6 Ice Streams and Ice Shelf Effects 14.3.7 Continental Ice-Sheet Movement (Box 6) 14.3.8 Three-Dimensional (λ, φ, hI) Ice-Sheet Models 14.4 The Need for Enhancement of the Coupled Ice-Sheet/Atmospheric Climate Models 14.5 Ice-Sheet Variables Coupled with Additional Slow-Response Variables 14.5.1 Regolith Mass, mr (Box 7) 14.5.2 The Deep Ocean Te

Note: Contents Foreword / Jim Rose Preface / Alan R. Gillespie, Stephen C. Porter and Brian F. Atwater The southern Laurentide Ice Sheet / David M. Mickelson and Patrick M. Colgan The Cordilleran Ice Sheet / Derek B. Booth, Kathy Goetz Troost, John J. Clague and Richard B. Waitt Controls, history, outbursts, and impact of large late-Quaternary proglacial lakes in North America / James T. Teller Pleistocene glaciations of the Rocky Mountains / Kenneth L. Pierce Quaternary alpine glaciation in Alaska, the Pacific Northwest, Sierra Nevada, and Hawaii / Darrell S. Kaufman, Stephen C. Porter and Alan R. Gillespie Coupling ice-sheet and climate models for simulation of former ice sheets / Shawn J. Marshall, David Pollard, Steven Hostetler and Peter U. Clark Permafrost process research in the United States since 1960 / Bernard Hallet, Jaakko Putkonen, Ronald S. Sletten and Noel Potter Jr. Quaternary sea-level history of the United States / Daniel R. Muhs, John F. Wehmiller, Kathleen R. Simmons, and Linda L. York Western lakes / Larry Benson Isotopic records from ground-water and cave speleothem calcite in North America / Jay Quade Rivers and riverine landscapes / David R. Montgomery and Ellen E. Wohl Landscape evolution models / Frank J. Pazzaglia Eolian sediments / Alan J. Busacca, James E. Beget, Helaine W. Markewich, Daniel R. Muhs, Nicholas Lancaster and Mark R. Sweeney Soils and the Quaternary climate system / Milan J. Pavich and Oliver A. Chadwick Earthquake recurrence inferred from paleoseismology / Brian F. Atwater, Martitia P. Tuttle, Eugene S. Schweig, Charles M. Rubin, David K. Yamaguchi and Eileen Hemphill-Haley Quaternary volcanism in the United States / William E. Scott Late-Quaternary vegetation history of the eastern United States / Eric C. Grimm and George L. Jacobson Jr. Quaternary vegetation and climate change in the western United States: Developments, perspectives, and prospects / Robert S. Thompson, Sarah L. Shafer, Laura E. Strickland, Peter K. Van de Water and Katherine H. Anderson Results and paleoclimate implications of 35 years of paleoecological research in Alaska / Patricia M. Anderson, Mary E. Edwards and Linda B. Brubaker Quaternary history from the U.S. tropics / Sara Hotchkiss Climatically forced vegetation dynamics in eastern North America during the late Quaternary Period / Thompson Webb III, Bryan Shuman and John W. Williams Holocene fire activity as a record of past environmental change / Cathy Whitlock and Patrick J. Bartlein Interannual to decadal climate and streamflow variability estimated from tree rings / David W. Stahle, Falko K. Fye and Matthew D. Therrell Quaternary Coleoptera of the United States and Canada / Allan C. Ashworth Vertebrate paleontology / S. David Webb, Russell W. Graham, Anthony D. Barnosky, Christopher J. Bell, Richard Franz, Elizabeth A. Hadly, Ernest L. Lundelius Jr., H. Gregory McDonald, Robert A. Martin, Holmes A. Semken Jr. and David W. Steadman Peopling of North America / David J. Meltzer Modeling paleoclimates / Patrick J. Bartlein and Steven W. Hostetle

Note: Contents Preface Part 1 Mathematical tools M 1 Algebra of vectors M 1.1 Basic concepts and definitions M 1.2 Reference frames M 1.3 Vector multiplication M 1.4 Reciprocal coordinate systems M 1.5 Vector representations M 1.6 Products of vectors in general coordinate systems M 1.7 Problems M 2 Vector functions M 2.1 Basic definitions and operations M 2.2 Special dyadics M 2.3 Principal-axis transformation of symmetric tensors M 2.4 Invariants of a dyadic M 2.5 Tensor algebra M 2.6 Problems M 3 Differential relations M 3.1 Differentiation of extensive functions M 3.2 The Hamilton operator in generalized coordinate systems M 3.3 The spatial derivative of the basis vectors M 3.4 Differential invariants in generalized coordinate systems M 3.5 Additional applications M 3.6 Problems M 4 Coordinate transformations M 4.1 Transformation relations of time-independent coordinate systems M 4.2 Transformation relations of time-dependent coordinate systems M 4.3 Problems M 5 The method of covariant differentiation M 5.1 Spatial differentiation of vectors and dyadics M 5.2 Time differentiation of vectors and dyadics M 5.3 The local dyadic of vP M 5.4 Problems M 6 Integral operations M 6.1 Curves, surfaces, and volumes in the general qi system M 6.2 Line integrals, surface integrals, and volume integrals M 6.3 Integral theorems M 6.4 Fluid lines, surfaces, and volumes M 6.5 Time differentiation of fluid integrals M 6.6 The general form of the budget equation M 6.7 Gauss' theorem and the Dirac delta function M 6.8 Solution of Poisson's differential equation M 6.9 Appendix: Remarks on Euclidian and Riemannian spaces M 6.10 Problems M 7 Introduction to the concepts of nonlinear dynamics M 7.1 One-dimensional flow M 7.2 Two-dimensional flow Part 2 Dynamics of the atmosphere 1 The laws of atmospheric motion 1.1 The equation of absolute motion 1.2 The energy budget in the absolute reference system 1.3 The geographical coordinate system 1.4 The equation of relative motion 1.5 The energy budget of the general relative system 1.6 The decomposition of the equation of motion 1.7 Problems 2 Scale analysis 2.1 An outline of the method 2.2 Practical formulation of the dimensionless flow numbers 2.3 Scale analysis of large-scale frictionless motion 2.4 The geostrophic wind and the Euier wind 2.5 The equation of motion on a tangential plane 2.6 Problems 3 The material and the local description of flow 3.1 The description of Lagrange 3.2 Lagrange's version of the continuity equation 3.3 An example of the use of Lagrangian coordinates 3.4 The local description of Euler 3.5 Transformation from the Eulerian to the Lagrangian system 3.6 Problems 4 Atmospheric flow fields 4.1 The velocity dyadic 4.2 The deformation of the continuum 4.3 Individual changes with time of geometric fluid configurations 4.4 Problems 5 The Navier-Stokes stress tensor 5.1 The general stress tensor 5.2 Equilibrium conditions in the stress field 5.3 Symmetry of the stress tensor 5.4 The frictional stress tensor and the deformation dyadic 5.5 Problems 6 The Helmholtz theorem 6.1 The three-dimensional Helmholtz theorem 6.2 The two-dimensional Helmholtz theorem 6.3 Problems 7 Kinematics of two-dimensional flow 7.1 Atmospheric flow fields 7.2 Two-dimensional streamlines and normals 7.3 Streamlines in a drifting coordinate system 7.4 Problems 8 Natural coordinates 8.1 Introduction 8.2 Differential definitions of the coordinate lines 8.3 Metric relationships 8.4 Blaton's equation 8.5 Individual and local time derivatives of the velocity 8.6 Differential invariants 8.7 The equation of motion for frictionless horizontal flow 8.8 The gradient wind relation 8.9 Problems 9 Boundary surfaces and boundary conditions 9.1 Introduction 9.2 Differential operations at discontinuity surfaces 9.3 Particle invariance at boundary surfaces, displacement velocities 9.4 The kinematic boundary-surface condition 9.5 The dynamic boundary-surface condition 9.6 The zeroth-order discontinuity surface 9.7 An example of a first-order discontinuity surface 9.8 Problems 10 Circulation and vorticity theorems 10.1 ErteFs form of the continuity equation 10.2 The baroclinic Weber transformation 10.3 The baroclinic Ertel-Rossby invariant 10.4 Circulation and vorticity theorems for frictionless baroclinic flow 10.5 Circulation and vorticity theorems for frictionless barotropic flow 10.6 Problems 11 Turbulent systems 11.1 Simple averages and fluctuations 11.2 Weighted averages and fluctuations 11.3 Averaging the individual time derivative and the budget operator 11.4 Integral means 11.5 Budget equations of the turbulent system 11.6 The energy budget of the turbulent system 11.7 Diagnostic and prognostic equations of turbulent systems 11.8 Production of entropy in the microturbulent system 11.9 Problems 12 An excursion into spectral turbulence theory 12.1 Fourier Representation of the continuity equation and the equation of motion 12.2 The budget equation for the amplitude of the kinetic energy 12.3 Isotropie conditions, the transition to the continuous wavenumber space 12.4 The Heisenberg spectrum 12.5 Relations for the Heisenberg exchange coefficient 12.6 A prognostic equation for the exchange coefficient 12.7 Concluding remarks on closure procedures 12.8 Problems 13 The atmospheric boundary layer 13.1 Introduction 13.2 Prandtl-layer theory 13.3 The Monin-Obukhov similarity theory of the neutral Prandtl layer 13.4 The Monin-Obukhov similarity theory of the diabatic Prandtl layer 13.5 Application of the Prandtl-layer theory in numerical prognostic models 13.6 The fluxes, the dissipation of energy, and the exchange coefficients 13.7 The interface condition at the earth's surface 13.8 The Ekman layer - the classical approach 13.9 The composite Ekman layer 13.10 Ekman pumping 13.11 Appendix A: Dimensional analysis 13.12 Appendix B: The mixing length 13.13 Problems 14 Wave motion in the atmosphere 14.1 The representation of waves 14.2 The group velocity 14.3 Perturbation theory 14.4 Pure sound waves 14.5 Sound waves and gravity waves 14.6 Lamb waves 14.7 Lee waves 14.8 Propagation of energy 14.9 External gravity waves 14.10 Internal gravity waves 14.11 Nonlinear waves in the atmosphere 14.12 Problems 15 The barotropic model 15.1 The basic assumptions of the barotropic model 15.2 The tinfiltered barotropic prediction model 15.3 The filtered barotropic model 15.4 Barotropic instability 15.5 The mechanism of barotropic development 15.6 Appendix 15.7 Problems 16 Rossby waves 16.1 One-and two-dimensional Rossby waves 16.2 Three-dimensional Rossby waves 16.3 Normal-mode considerations 16.4 Energy transport by Rossby waves 16.5 The influence of friction on the stationary Rossby wave 16.6 Barotropic equatorial waves 16.7 The principle of geostrophic adjustment 16.8 Appendix 16.9 Problems 17 Inertial and dynamic stability 17.1 Inertial motion in a horizontally homogeneous pressure field 17.2 Inertial motion in a homogeneous geostrophic wind field 17.3 Inertial motion in a geostrophic shear wind field 17.4 Derivation of the stability criteria in the geostrophic wind field 17.5 Sectorial stability and instability 17.6 Sectorial stability for normal atmospheric conditions 17.7 Sectorial stability and instability with permanent adaptation 17.8 Problems 18 The equation of motion in general coordinate systems 18.1 Introduction 18.2 The covariant equation of motion in general coordinate systems 18.3 The contravariant equation of motion in general 18.4 The equation of motion in orthogonal coordinate systems 18.5 Lagrange's equation of motion 18.6 Hamilton's equation of motion 18.7 Appendix 18.8 Problems 19 The geographical coordinate systems 19.1 The equation of motion 19.2 Application of Lagrange's equation of motion 19.3 The first metric simplification 19.4 The coordinate simplification 19.5 The continuity equation 19.6 Problems 20 The stereographic coordinate system 20.1 The stereographic projection 20.2 Metric forms in stereographic coordinates 20.

Note: Contents Introduction 1 Climatic System: Data, Processes, Scales, and Deterministic Models 1.1 Main Components of the Climate System 1.1.1 "Thick" Subsystems 1.1.2 "Thin" Subsystems 1.1.3 Local and Discrete Objects 1.2 Climate Processes 1.2.1 Overview of Climate Processes 1.2.2 External Climate Mechanisms 1.2.3 Internal Mechanisms of Climatie Variations 1.2.4 Transfer-Accumulation Processes 1.3 Scales of Climatic Variability 1.3.1 Spatial Scales 1.3.2 Temporal Scales 1.4 Deterministic Climate Models 1.4.1 General Circulation Models and Coupled Models 1.4.2 Other Types of Climate Models 1.5 Observational Basis for Stochastic Climate Theory 1.5.1 Data on Variability of "Thick" Climatic Subsystems 1.5.1.1 Near-Surface Air Temperature 1.5.1.2 Other Atmospheric Variables 1.5.1.3 Sea Surface Temperature 1.5.1.4 Sea Level 1.5.1.5 lce Sheets 1.5.2 Data on Variables of Thin Earth Covers 1.5.2.1 Snow Cover 1.5.2.2 Sea lce 1.5.2.3 Vegetation Cover 1.5.3 Data on Discrete and Local Climatic Objects 1.5.3.1 River Runoff 1.5.3.2 Lakes 1.5.3.3 Mountain Glaciers 1.5.4 Conclusions on Observational Data 2 Theoretical Foundations of the Stochastic Approach to Climate Variability Studies 2.1 Basic Ideas and Principles of the Stochastic Climate Theory 2.1.1 Mathematical Models and Natural Processes 2.1.2 A Climatic Variable as a Random Variable 2.1.3 Evolution of a Climatic Variable as a Random Function 2.1.4 Stationarity of Climatic Processes 2.2 Introduction to the Theory of Random Functions with Emphasis on Climate Variability 2.2.1 Moments, Mean Value, Correlation Function 2.2.2 The Ergodicity of Climate Variability 2.2.3 Examples of Stationary Random Sequences 2.2.3.1 Uncorrelated Random Variables 2.2.3.2 Moving Averages 2.2.4 Spectral Representation of the Random Process 2.2.5 Climatic Meanings of the Spectral Distribution Function 2.2.6 Spectral Representation of Stationary Sequences 2.2.7 The Markov Sequence 2.2.8 The Discrete Wiener Process 2.2.9 Other Types of Random Functions 2.2.9.1 Autoregressive Models 2.2.9.2 Seasonal Models 2.2.9.3 Threshold Models 2.3 Estimation of Model Parameters 2.3.1 Theoretical Models and the Practice of Model Identification 2.3.2 Informational Approach to the Identification of Stochastic Models 2.3.3 Maximum Entropy Method and Autoregressive Models 2.3.4 Model Identification and Estimation of Model Parameters 2.3.5 An Example ofModel Identification and Parameter Estimation 2.3.6 Frequency Truncation Method of Normalized Spectral Estimates 2.3.7 Other Methods of Time Series Processing 2.3.7.1 Conventional Methods. Moving Average and ARMA models 2.3.7.2 "Deterministic Chaos". Other Methods of Nonlinear Analysis 2.4 Physical Basis of the Stochastic Climate Theory 2.4.1 Atmospheric Forcing ofthe Climate System 2.4.1.1 Observational Evidence 2.4.1.2 Atmospheric Model Results 2.4.1.3 Simple Nonlinear Model as Analog of Atmospheric Forcing 2.4.2 Hasselmann's Stochastic Climate Models 2.4.2.1 Hypothesis on Weather-Climate Two-Scale Separation 2.4.2.2 Classification of Climate Models 2.4.2.3 Analogies with Turbulent Fluid, Brownian Motion, and Other Physical Processes. The Central Limit Theorem 2.4.2.4 Spectra and Correlation Functions of the Stochastic Climate Models. Models Without Feedback 2.4.2.5 Models with Feedback 3 Stochastic Models of Recent Climatic Changes 3.1 Changes in Thick Climatic Subsystems 3.1.1 Local Changes 3.1.1.1 Analysis of Observational Data 3.1.1.2 Local Stochastic Dynamical Models 3.1.2 Regional, Spatially Averaged, and Two-Dimensional Patterns 3.1.2.1 20 Stochastic Patterns of Observational Data 3.1.2.2 Stochastic Dynamical Regional Models 3.1.2.3 Stochastic Models of ENSO Events 3.1.3 Globally Averaged Climate Variables 3.1.3.1 Global Water Mass Exchange. Global Mean Sea Level 3.1.3.2 Global Temperatures 3.1.3.3 "Minus Two" Law of Climatic Variability 3.1.3.4 Stochastic Dynamical Models of Global Temperatures 3.1.3.5 Local-Global Polarization Phenomenon 3.2 Variabilities of Thin Climatic Subsystems 3.2.1 Analyzed Oata 3.2.1.1 37 GHz Polarization Oifference and Related Data 3.2.1.2 Snow and Sea lce Remotely Sensed Data 3.2.1.3 Related Satellite-Based and Conventional Data on Global Air and Sea Temperatures 3.2.2 Comparison of Results for Remotely Sensed and Conventional Data 3.2.2.1 Comparison of Results on Local Scales 3.2.2.2 Globally Averaged 37 GHz Polarization Difference Data. Concentration of Carbon Dioxide in the Atmosphere 3.2.3 Results of Stochastic Analysis of Local and Regional Hydrological Changes 3.2.3.1 Results of 37 GHz PD Data Analysis for Floodable Areas 3.2.3.2 Results for 37 GHz PD Data on Vegetation Cover in Different Natural Zones 3.2.4 Results of Analysis of Global Changes in Hydrological and Related Parameters 3.2.5 Modeling the Dynamics of Thin Subsystems 3.2.6 Local-Global Polarization Phenomenon and Thin Climatic Subsystems 3.2.7 Discussion on the Global Climatic Subsystems 3.3 Changes in Local and Discrete Climatic Objects 3.3.1 Rivers and River Runoff 3.3.2 Mountain Glaciers 4 Stochastic Models for Glacial Cycles 4.1 Stochastic Analysis of Reconstructed Data on Glacial Cycles 4.1.1 Existing Paleoreconstructed Time Series 4.1.2 Results of Stochastic Analysis of the Last Deglaciation Period, 0 - 18 ka B.P. 4.1.3 Analysis of 200 - 300 ka Time Series 4.1.4 Longer Time Series. Features of Cyclicity 4.1.5 High Resolution Paleorecords 4.2 Zero-Dimensional Model of Glacial Cycles 4.2.1 Hypotheses, Assumptions, and Equations 4.2.2 Results of Numerical Experiments 4.3 Two-Dimensional Stochastic Dynamical Model of Glacial Cycles 4.3.1 Mathematical Model, Parameters, and Experiments 4.3.1.1 Computational Area 4.3.1.2 Equations and Parameters of the Model 4.3.1.3 Numerical Experiments 4.3.2 Results 4.3.2.1 Experiments Without External Forcing 4.3.2.2 Experiments With External Forcing. Globally Averaged Results 4.3.2.3 Zonally Averaged Results 4.3.2.4 Regional Results Conclusion References Index

Note: Contents: Foreword. - Series Preface. - Preface to the Second Edition. - Preface to the First Edition. - Part 1 Introduction. - 1 Modeling Dynamic Systems. - 1.1 Model Components. - 1.2 Dynamic Modeling as a Skill and Art. - 1.3 Modeling in STELLA. - 1.4 Principles of Modeling. - Part 2 Some General Methods for Modeling. - 2 Four-Model Set. - 2.1 Stimulus-Response Model. - 2.2 Self-Referencing Model. - 2.3 Goal-Seeking Model. - 2.4 Goal-Setting Model. - 2.5 Examples. - 2.5.1 Exponential Decay of a Stock. - 2.5.2 Newtonian Cooling. - 3 Gradual Development of a Dynamic Model. - 3.1 Modeling Industrialization for a Simple Agrarian Society. - 3.2 Impacts of Per Capita Food Consumption on Population Growth. - 3.3 Adding Agriculture. - 3.4 Adding Industry. - 4 Two Independent Variables. - 4.1 Population Cohorts. - 4.1.1 Basic Cohort Model. - 4.1.2 Population Cohort Array. - 4.1.3 U.S. Population Growth. - 4.2 River Toxins. - 5 Randomness. - 5.1 Flipping a Coin. - 5.2 Intoxication Model. - 6 Positive and Negative Feedback. - 6.1 The Basic Model. - 6.2 Positive Feedback with Fixed Points. - 6.3 Elaborations. - 7 Derivatives and Lags. - 7.1 Introduction. - 7.2 Applications of Derivatives and Lags. - 7.2.1 Simple Population Model. - 7.2.2 Two-Population Model. - Part 3 Chemistry Models. - 8 The Law of Mass Action. - 8.1 Breakdown of Nitrogen Dioxide into Nitrogen Oxide and Oxygen. - 8.2 Stratospheric Ozone Depletion. - 9 Chance-Cleland Model for Enzyme-Substrate Interaction. - 10 The Olsen Oscillator. - Part 4 Genetics Models. - 11 Mating of Alleles. - 11.1 Heterozygosity and Disease Resistance. - 11.2 The Mating of Two Alleles into a Genotype: Proving the Hardy-Weinberg Law. - 12 Natural Selection and Mutation. - 13 Artificial Worms. - Part 5 Ecological Models. - 14 Robin Population. - 15 Two-Stage Insect Model. - 16 The Zebra Mussel. - 17 Single Cell Forest. - 18 Predator-Prey Models. - 18.1 Basic Model of Predator-Prey Interactions. - 18.2 Spatial Predator-Prey Model. - 19 Epidemic Modeling. - 20 Reestablishment of Wolves. - 21 Lyme Disease. - 22 Tragedy of the Commons. - Part 6 Economic Models. - 23 Introduction to Modeling Economic Processes. - 24 The Competitive Firm. - 25 The Monopolistic Firm. - 25.1 Basic Model. - 25.2 Taxing Monopolies. - 26 Competitive Equilibrium. - 27 Substitution. - 27.1 Isoquants. - 27.2 Finding the Profit-Maximizing Output Level and Input Combinations. - 28 Time Value. - 29 Opportunity Cost. - 30 Optimal Tree Cutting. - 31 Fisheries Reserve Model. - 32 Dynamic Scarcity. - 32.1 Competitive Scarcity. - 32.2 Monopoly Scarcity. - 33 Market Game. - 34 Pig Cycle. - Part 7 Engineering Models. - 35 The Assembly Line. - 35.1 Basic Model. - 35.2 Car Assembly Line. - 36 Models of Gravity and Acceleration. - 36.1 Falling Rock. - 36.2 Projectile Motion. - 36.3 Mass-Damper-Spring. - 36.4 Mechanical Amplifier. - 37 Chaos. - 37.1 A New Paradigm. - 37.2 Jenson Chaos. - 37.3 Lorenz Chaos. - 37.4 Two-Well Chaos. - Part 8 Conclusion. - 38 Beginning a Dialog. - Appendixes. - A1 System Requirements. - A1.1 Macintosh. - A1.2 Windows. - A2 Quick Help Guide. - A2.1 Overview of the STELLA(r) Operating Environment. - A2.2 Drawing an Inflow to a Stock. - A2.3 Drawing an Outflow from a Stock. - A2.4 Replacing a Cloud with a Stock. - A2.5 Bending Flow Pipes. - A2.6 Repositioning Flow Pipes. - A2.7 Reversing Direction of a Flow. - A2.8 Flow Define Dialog-Builtins. - A2.9 Moving Variable Names. - A2.10 Drawing Connectors. - A2.11 Defining Graphs and Tables. - A2.12 Dynamite Operations on Graphs and Tables. - References. - Index.

Note: Contents List of contributors Preface 1 Introduction 1.1 Polar lows and other mesoscale lows in the polar regions 1.2 A brief historical review 1.3 Definition 1.4 Nomenclature 1.5 Classification 1.6 Cloud signatures 2 Climatology 2.1 The Arctic 2.2 The Antarctic 3 Observational studies 3.1 The Arctic 3.2 The Antarctic 4 Theoretical investigations 4.1 Introduction 4.2 Baroclinic instability 4.3 Barotropic instability 4.4 Potential vorticity thinking 4.5 The role of thermal instability in polar low formation and maintenance 4.6 Further theoretical considerations 4.7 Summary and concluding remarks 5 Numerical Simulation 5.1 The Arctic 5.2 The Antarctic 6 Forecasting of polar lows 6.1 Aspects common to both polar regions 6.2 Aspects of forecasting specific to the Arctic 6.3 Aspects of forecasting specific to the Antarctic 6.4 Future work required to improve forecasts 7 Conclusions and future research needs 7.1 The spatial distribution of polar lows and other high latitude mesoscale vortices 7.2 Possible climatic effects of polar lows 7.3 Observational and modelling studies 7.4 Formation and development mechanisms 7.5 Forecasting of polar lows 7.6 Final thoughts References Index

Note: Contents: Preface. - Preface to the First Edition. - 1. Frozen Ground. - 1.1 Frozen Ground Support Systems. - 1.2 Seasonally and Perennially Frozen Ground. - 1.3 Terrain Features in Permafrost Areas. - 1.4 Engineering Considerations. - Problems. - 2. Physical and Thermal Properties. - 2.1 Composition and Structure of Frozen Ground. - 2.2 Soil Classification. - 2.3 Water-Ice Phase Relationships. - 2.4 Soil Frost Action. - 2.5 Thermal Properties. - Problems. - 3. Heat Flow in Soils. - 3.1 Heat Transfer at the Ground Surface. - 3.2 Seasonal Ground Freezing (or Thawing). - 3.3 Frost Protection and Thermal Insulation. - 3.4 Temperature Below Cooled (or Heated) Areas. - 3.5 Thermal Analysis: Frozen Ground Support Systems. - Problems. - 4. Thaw Behavior of Frozen Ground. - 4.1 Thaw Settlement. - 4.2 Consolidation of Thawing Soils. - 4.3 Thaw Consolidation in Some Layered Systems. - Problems. - 5. Mechanical Properties of Frozen Soils. - 5.1 Stress-Strain-Time and Strength Behavior. - 5.2 Factors Influencing Creep and Strength. - 5.3 Analytical Representation of Creep and Strength Data. - 5.4 Frozen Soil Behavior in Uniaxial Tension. - 5.5 Deformability of Frozen Soils. - 5.6 Compressibility of Frozen Soils. - 5.7 Frozen Ground sensitivity to Climate Change. - 5.8 Frozen Soil Creep and Strength: Generalization of Test Data. - Problems. - 6. Construction Ground Freezing. - 6.1 Design Considerations. - 6.2 Freezing Methods and System Installation. - 6.3 Structural Design of Frozen Earth Walls. - 6.4 Monitoring Requirements. - 6.5 Other Construction Considerations. - Problems. - 7. Foundations in Frozen Soils. - 7.1 General Considerations. - 7.2 Shallow Foundations. - 7.3 Pile Foundations. - 7.4 Frost Heave Forces on Foundations. - 7.5 Frost Protection of Foundations Using Ground Insulation. - Problems. - 8. Stability of Soil Masses in Cold Regions. - 8.1 Landslides in Permafrost: Classification. - 8.2 Slopes in Thawing Permafrost. - 8.3 Slopes in Frozen Soils. - 8.4 Monitoring Creep in Frozen Slopes. - 8.5 Slope Stabilization Methods. - Problems. - 9. Earthwork in Cold Regions. - 9.1 Site Considerations. - 9.2 Excavation and Transport. - 9.3 Field Placement. - 9.4 Water-Retaining Embankments on Permafrost. - 9.5 Embankment Performance. - 10. Field Investigations. - 10.1 Sampling Frozen Ground. - 10.2 Ground-Temperature Measurement. - 10.3 Field Testing of Frozen Soils. - 10.4 Geophysical Methods. - 11. Pavement Structures. - 11.1 Seasonal Frost Areas. - 11.2 Permafrost Areas. - 11.3 Highway Insulation. - 11.4 Load Restrictions. - 11.5 Special Problems. - Problems. - Appendix A. Notation. - Symbols. - Greek Symbols. - Subscripts. - Appendix B. SI Units. - SI Base Units. - SI Prefixes. - SI Derived Units. - Conversion Factors. - Appendix C. Laboratory and Field Tests on Frozen Soils. - C.1 Handling, Storage, and Machining of Specimens Prior to Testing. - C.2 Uniaxial Compression Test. - C.3 Uniaxial Tensile Test. - C.4 Salinity of Soil Pore Water. - C.5 Thermosiphon. - C.6 Pile Load Test in Permafrost. - C.7 Hydraulic Conductivity of Frozen Soils. - References. - Author Index. - Subject Index.

Note: Contents: List of contributors. - 1. Lakes, limnology and limnetic ecology: towards a new synthesis. - 2. The origin of lake basins. - 3. The hydrology of lakes. - 4. Chemical processes regulating the composition of lake waters. - 5. Physical properties of water relevant to limnology and limnetic ecology. - 6. The motion of lake waters. - 7. Regulatory impacts of humic substances in lakes. - 8. Sedimentation and lake sediment formation. - 9. Organisation and energetic partitioning of limnetic communities. - 10. Phytoplankton. - 11 Aquatic plants and lake ecosystems. - 12. Benthic invertebrates. - 13. Pelagic microbes - protozoa and the microbial food web. - 14. Zooplankton. - 15. Fish population ecology. - 16. Fish community ecology. - 17. Self-regulation of limnetic ecosystems. - 18. Palaeolimnology. - Index.

Note: Contents: Preface. - 1. Introduction: Distributions and Inference for Categorical Data. - 1.1 Categorical Response Data. - 1.2 Distributions for Categorical Data. - 1.3 Statistical Inference for Categorical Data. - 1.4 Statistical Inference for Binomial Parameters. - 1.5 Statistical Inference for Multinomial Parameters. - Notes. - Problems. - 2. Describing Contingency Tables. - 2.1 Probability Structure for Contingency Tables. - 2.2 Comparing Two Proportions. - 2.3 Partial Association in Stratified 2 x 2 Tables. - 2.4 Extensions for I x J Tables. - Notes. - Problems. - 3. Inference for Contingency Tables. - 3.1 Confidence Intervals for Association Parameters. - 3.2 Testing Independence in Two-Way Contingency Tables. - 3.3 Following-Up Chi-Squared Tests. - 3.4 Two-Way Tables with Ordered Classifications. - 3.5 Small-Sample Tests of Independence. - 3.6 Small-Sample Confidence Intervals for 2 x 2 Tables. - 3.7 Extensions for Multiway Tables and Nontabulated Responses. - Notes. - Problems. - 4. Introduction to Generalized Linear Models. - 4.1 Generalized Linear Model. - 4.2 Generalized Linear Models for Binary Data. - 4.3 Generalized Linear Models for Counts. - 4.4 Moments and Likelihood for Generalized Linear Models. - 4.5 Inference for Generalized Linear Models. - 4.6 Fitting Generalized Linear Models. - 4.7 Quasi-likelihood and Generalized Linear Models. - 4.8 Generalized Additive Models. - Notes. - Problems. - 5. Logistic Regression. - 5.1 Interpreting Parameters in Logistic Regression. - 5.2 Inference for Logistic Regression. - 5.3 Logit Models with Categorical Predictors. - 5.4 Multiple Logistic Regression. - 5.5 Fitting Logistic Regression Models. - Notes. - Problems. - 6. Building and Applying Logistic Regression Models. - 6.1 Strategies in Model Selection. - 6.2 Logistic Regression Diagnostics. - 6.3 Inference About Conditional Associations in 2 x 2 x K Tables. - 6.4 Using Models to Improve Inferential Power. - 6.5 Sample Size and Power Considerations. - 6.6 Probit and Complementary Log-Log Models. - 6.7 Conditional Logistic Regression and Exact Distributions. - Notes. - Problems. - 7. Logit Models for Multinomial Responses. - 7.1 Nominal Responses: Baseline-Category Logit Models. - 7.2 Ordinal Responses: Cumulative Logit Models. - 7.3 Ordinal Responses: Cumulative Link Models. - 7.4 Alternative Models for Ordinal Responses. - 7.5 Testing Conditional Independence in I x J x K Tables. - 7.6 Discrete-Choice Multinomial Logit Models. - Notes. - Problems. - 8. Loglinear Models for Contingency Tables. - 8.1 Loglinear Models for Two-Way Tables. - 8.2 Loglinear Models for Independence and Interaction in Three-Way Tables. - 8.3 Inference for Loglinear Models. - 8.4 Loglinear Models for Higher Dimensions. - 8.5 The Loglinear_Logit Model Connection. - 8.6 Loglinear Model Fitting: Likelihood Equations and Asymptotic Distributions. - 8.7 Loglinear Model Fitting: Iterative Methods and their Application. - Notes. - Problems. - 9. Building and Extending Loglinear/Logit Models. - 9.1 Association Graphs and Collapsibility. - 9.2 Model Selection and Comparison. - 9.3 Diagnostics for Checking Models. - 9.4 Modeling Ordinal Associations. - 9.5 Association Models. - 9.6 Association Models, Correlation Models, and Correspondence Analysis. - 9.7 Poisson Regression for Rates. - 9.8 Empty Cells and Sparseness in Modeling Contingency Tables. - Notes. - Problems. - 10. Models for Matched Pairs. - 10.1 Comparing Dependent Proportions. - 10.2 Conditional Logistic Regression for Binary Matched Pairs. - 10.3 Marginal Models for Square Contingency Tables. - 10.4 Symmetry, Quasi-symmetry, and Quasiindependence. - 10.5 Measuring Agreement Between Observers. - 10.6 Bradley-Terry Model for Paired Preferences. - 10.7 Marginal Models and Quasi-symmetry Models for Matched Sets. - Notes. - Problems. - 11. Analyzing Repeated Categorical Response Data. - 11.1 Comparing Marginal Distributions: Multiple Responses. - 11.2 Marginal Modeling: Maximum Likelihood Approach. - 11.3 Marginal Modeling: Generalized Estimating Equations Approach. - 11.4 Quasi-likelihood and Its GEE Multivariate Extension: Details. - 11.5 Markov Chains: Transitional Modeling. - Notes. - Problems. - 12. Random Effects: Generalized Linear Mixed Models for Categorical Responses. - 12.1 Random Effects Modeling of Clustered Categorical Data. - 12.2 Binary Responses: Logistic-Normal Model. - 12.3 Examples of Random Effects Models for Binary Data. - 12.4 Random Effects Models for Multinomial Data. - 12.5 Multivariate Random Effects Models for Binary Data. - 12.6 GLMM Fitting, Inference, and Prediction. - Notes. - Problems. 13. Other Mixture Models for Categorical Data. - 13.1 Latent Class Models. - 13.2 Nonparametric Random Effects Models. - 13.3 Beta-Binomial Models. - 13.4 Negative Binomial Regression. - 13.5 Poisson Regression with Random Effects. - Notes. - Problems. - 14. Asymptotic Theory for Parametric Models. - 14.1 Delta Method. - 14.2 Asymptotic Distributions of Estimators of Model Parameters and Cell Probabilities. - 14.3 Asymptotic Distributions of Residuals and Goodnessof-Fit Statistics. - 14.4 Asymptotic Distributions for Logit/Loglinear Models. - Notes. - Problems. - 15. Alternative Estimation Theory for Parametric Models. - 15.1 Weighted Least Squares for Categorical Data. - 15.2 Bayesian Inference for Categorical Data. - 15.3 Other Methods of Estimation. - Notes. - Problems. - 16. Historical Tour of Categorical Data Analysis. - 16.1 Pearson-Yule Association Controversy. - 16.2 R. A. Fisher's Contributions. - 16.3 Logistic Regression. - 16.4 Multiway Contingency Tables and Loglinear Models. - 16.5 Recent and Future? Developments. - Appendix A. Using Computer Software to Analyze Categorical Data. - A.1 Software for Categorical Data Analysis. - A.2 Examples of SAS Code by Chapter. - Appendix B. Chi-Squared Distribution Values. - References. - Examples Index. - Author Index. - Subject Index.

Note: CONTENTS: 1 Concepts and Foundations of Remote Sensing. - 1.1 Introduction. - 1.2 Energy Sources and Radiation Principles. - 1.3 Energy Interactions in the Atmosphere. - 1.4 EnergyJnteractions with Earth Surface Features. - 1.5 Data Acquisition and Interpretation. - 1.6 Reference Data. - 1.7 The Global Positioning System. - 1.8 An Ideal Remote Sensing System. - 1.9 Characteristics of Real Remote Sensing Systems. - 1.10 Successful Application of Remote Sensing. - 1.11 Land and Geographic Information Systems. - 1.12 Organization of the Book. - Selected Bibliography. - 2 Elements of Photographic Systems. - 2.1 Introduction. - 2.2 Early History of Aerial Photography. - 2.3 Basic Negative-to-Positive Photographic Sequence. - 2.4 Film Exposure 2.5 Film Density and Characteristic Curves. - 2.6 Spectral Sensitivity of Black and White Films. - 2.7 Color Film. - 2.8 Color Infrared Film. - 2.9 Filters. - 2.10 Aerial Film Cameras. - 2.11 Film Resolution. - 2.12 Electronic Imaging. - 2.13 Aerial Videography. - 2.14 Multiband Imaging. - 2.15 Conclusion. - Selected Bibliography. - 3 Basic Principles of Photogrammetry. - 3.1 Introduction. - 3.2 Basic Geometric Characteristics of Aerial Photographs. - 3.3 Photographic Scale. - 3.4 Ground Coverage of Aerial Photographs. - 3.5 Area Measurement. - 3.6 Relief Displacement of Vertical Features. - 3.7 Image Parallax. - 3.8 Ground Control for Aerial Photography. - 3.9 Mapping with Aerial Photographs. - 3.10 Flight Planning. - 3.11 Conclusion. - Selected Bibliography. - 4 Introduction to Visual Image Interpretation. - 4.1 Introduction. - 4.2 Fundamentals of Visual Image Interpretation. - 4.3 Basic Visual Image Interpretation Equipment. - 4.4 Land Use/Land Cover Mapping. - 4.5 Geologic and Soil Mapping. - 4.6 Agricultural Applications. - 4.7 Forestry Applications. - 4.8 Rangeland Applications. - 4.9 Water Resource Applications. - 4.10 Urban and Regional Planning Applications. - 4.11 Wetland Mapping. - 4.12 Wildlife Ecology Applications. - 4.13 Archaeological Applications. - 4.14 Environmental Assessment. - 4.15 Principles of Landform Identification and Evaluation. - Selected Bibliography. - 5 Multispectral, Thermal, and Hyperspectral Sensing. - 5.1 Introduction. - 5.2 Across-Track Scanning. - 5.3 Along-Track Scanning. - 5.4 Operating Principles of Across-Track Multispectral Scanners. - 5.5 Example Along-Track Multispectral Scanner and Data. - 5.6 Across-Track Thermal Scanning. - 5.7 Thermal Radiation Principles. - 5.8 Interpreting Thermal Scanner Imagery. - 5.9 Geometric Characteristics of Across-Track Scanner Imagery. - 5.10 Geometric Characteristics of Along-Track Scanner- Imagery. - 5.11 Radiometric Calibration of Thermal Scanners. - 5.12 Temperature Mapping with Thermal Scanner Data. - 5.13 FLIR Systems. - 5.14 Hyperspectral Sensing. - 5.15 Conclusion. - Selected Bibliography. - 6 Earth Resource Satellites Operating in the Optical Spectrum. - 6.1 Introduction. - 6.2 Early History of Space Imaging. - 6.3 Landsat Satellite Program Overview. - 6.4 Landsat-1,-2, and-3. - 6.5 Landsat-4 and -5. - 6.6 Landsat-6 Planned Mission. - 6.7 Landsat-7. - 6.8 Landsat Image Interpretation. - 6.9 New Millennium Program. - 6.10 SPOT Satellite Program. - 6.11 SPOT-1,-2, and-3. - 6.12 SPOT-4. - 6.13 SPOT-5. - 6.14 SPOT Image Interpretation. - 6.15 Other Moderate Resolution Land Satellites. - 6.16 High Resolution Land Satellites. - 6.17 Hyperspectral Satellite Systems. - 6.18 Meteorological Satellites. - 6.19 Ocean Monitoring Satellites. - 6.20 Earth Observing System. - 6.21 Space Station Remote Sensing. - Selected Bibliography. - 7 Digital Image Processing. - 7.1 Introduction. - 7.2 Image Rectification and Restoration. - 7.3 Image Enhancement. - 7.4 Contrast Manipulation. - 7.5 Spatial Feature Manipulation. - 7.6 Multi-Image Manipulation. - 7.7 Image Classification. - 7.8 Supervised Classification. - 7.9 The Classification Stage. - 7.10 The Training Stage. - 7.11 Unsupervised Classification. - 7.12 Hybrid Classification. - 7.13 Classification of Mixed Pixels. - 7.14 The Output Stage. - 7.15 Postclassification Smoothing. - 7.16 Classification Accuracy Assessment. - 7.17 Data Merging and GIS Integration. - 7.18 Hyperspectral Image Analysis. - 7.19 Biophysical Modeling. - 7.20 Scale Effects. - 7.21 Image Transmission and Compression. - 7.22 Conclusion. - Selected Bibliography. - 8 Microwave Sensing. - 8.1 Introduction. - 8.2 Radar Development. - 8.3 Side Looking Radar System Operation. - 8.4 Synthetic Aperture Radar. - 8.5 Geometric Characteristics of Side-Looking Radar Imagery. - 8.6 Transmission Characteristics of Radar Signals. - 8.7 Other Radar Image Characteristics. - 8.8 Radar Image Interpretation. - 8.9 Radar Remote Sensing from Space. - 8.10 Seasat-1. - 8.11 Shuttle Imaging Radar. - 8.12 Almaz-1. - 8.13 ERS-1, ERS-2, and Envisat-1. - 8.14 JERS-1 and ALOS. - 8.15 Radarsat. - 8.16 LightSAR. - 8.17 Spaceborne Radar System Summary. - 8.18 Interferometric Radar. - 8.19 Planetary Exploration. - 8.20 Passive Microwave Sensing. - 8.21 Lidar. - Selected Bibliography. - Appendix. - Remote Sensing Data Sources. - Remote Sensing Periodicals. - Index.

Note: Contents: Contributors. - Preface. - Introduction and Scientific Background / J.C.R. Hunt, J. Norbury and I. Roulstone. - 1. A view of the equations of meteorological dynamics and various approximations / A. A. White. - 2. Extended-geostrophic Euler-Poincare models for mesoscale oceanographic flow / J. S. Allen, D. D. Holm and P. A. Newberger. - 3. Fast singular oscillating limits of stably-stratified 3D Euler and Navier-Stokes equations and ageostrophic wave fronts / A. Babin, A. Mahalov and B. Nicolaenko. - 4. New mathematical developments in atmosphere and ocean dynamics, and their application to computer simulations / M. J. P. Cullen. - 5. Rearrangements of functions with applications to meteorology and ideal fluid flow / R. J. Douglas. - 6. Statistical methods in atmospheric dynamics: probability metrics and discrepancy measures as a means of defining balance / S. Baigent and J. Norbury.

Note: Contents List of Contributors Preface Acknowledgements 1. Determining Timescales for Groundwater Flow and Solute Transport / Peter G. Cook and John-Karl Bohlke 2. Inorganic Ions as Tracers / Andrew L. Herczeg and W. Mike Edmunds 3. Isotope Engineering - Using Stable Isotopes of the Water Molecule to Solve Practical Problems / Tyler B. Coplen, Andrew L. Herczeg and Chris Barnes 4. Radiocarbon Dating of Groundwater Systems / Robert M. Kalin 5. U-Series Nuclides as Tracers in Groundwater Hydrology / J. Kenneth Osmond and James B. Cowart 6. Radon-222 / L. DeWayne Cecil and Jaromy R. Green 7. Sulphur and Oxygen Isotopes in Sulphate / H. Roy Krouse and Bernhard Mayer 8. Strontium Isotopes / Robert H. McNutt 9. Nitrate Isotopes in Groundwater Systems / Carol Kendall and Ramon Aravena 10. Chlorine-36 / Fred M. Phillips 11. Atmospheric Noble Gases / Martin Stute and Peter Schlosser 12. Noble Gas Radioisotopes: 37Ar, 85 Kr, 39Ar, 81 Kr / Heinz H. Loosli, Bernhard E. Lehmann and William M. Smethie, Jr. 13. 3H and 3He / D. Kip Solomon and Peter G. Cook 14. 4He in Groundwater / D. Kip Solomon 15. Chlorofluorocarbons / L. Niel Plummer and Eurybiades Busenberg 16. δ11 B, Rare Earth Elements, δ 37Cl, 32 Si, 35S, 129I / Avner Vengosh, Arthur J. Spivack, Kevin J. Johannesson, W. Berry Lyons, Tamie R. Weaver, Uwe Morgenstern, Robert L. Michel, June Fabryka-Martin Appendix 1: Stable Isotope Notation and Fractionation Appendix 2: Decay Constants and Half-Lives of Radioactive Isotopes Appendix 3: Solubilities of Environmental Gas Tracers Appendix 4: Liquid and Gas-Phase Diffusion Coefficients Index

Note: Contents: 1. Introduction. - Overview. - 1.1 The use of diatoms in paleolimnology. - 1.2 Studies of freshwater diatoms in northern Québec and Labrador. - 1.3 Purpose of this project. - 2. Diatoms as indicators of dissolved organic carbon (DOC), alkalinity, and water colour. - Overview. - 2.1 Study area. - 2.2 Methods. - 2.2.1 Sampling and measurement procedures. - 2.2.2 Numerical analysis. - 2.3 Ordination results. - 2.3.1 PCA. - 2.3.2 CCA. - 2.4 Inference models. - 2.4.1 WA-PLS. - 2.4.2 Potential indicator taxa. - 2.5 Implications for paleoecological studies. - 3. Diatom taxa. - Overview. - Diatom flora. - References. - Plates. - Appendix I Raw environmental data for the 59 study sites of Jamésie-Hudsonie. - Appendix II Raw environmental data for the 64 study sites of Québec-Labrador. - Appendix III Taxonomic index of the 218 most abundant diatom species used for CCA plotting in Jamésie-Hudsonie. - Appendix IV Taxonomic index of the 128 most abundant diatom species used for CCA plotting in Québec-Labrador. - Species index

Note: Contents: Preface. - PART 1 FRAMEWORK OF CLIMATE SCIENCE. - 1 Overview of Climate Science. - Climate and Climate Change. - 1-1 Geologic Time. - 1-2 How This Book Is Organized. - Development of Climate Science. - 1-3 How Scientists Study Climate Change. - Overview of the Climate System. - 1-4 Components of the Climate System. - 1-5 Climate Forcing. - 1-6 Climate System Responses. - 1-7 Time Scales of Forcing versus Response. - 1-8 Response Rates and Interactions Within the Climate System. - 1-9 Feedbacks in the Climate System. - Tools Of Climate Science: Temperature Scales. - 2 Earth's Climate System Today. - Heating Earth. - 2-1 Incoming Solar Radiation. - 2-2 Receipt and Storage of Solar Heat. - 2-3 Heat Transformation. - Heat Transfer in Earth's Atmosphere. - 2-4 Overcoming Stable Layering in the Atmosphere. - 2-5 Tropical-Subtropical Atmospheric Circulation. - 2-6 Atmospheric Circulation at Middle and High Latitudes. - Heat Transfer in Earth's Oceans. - 2-7 The Surface Ocean. - 2-8 Deep-Ocean Circulation. - Ice on Earth. - 2-9 Sea Ice. - 2-10 Glacial Ice. - Earth's Biosphere. - 2-11 Response of the Biosphere to the Physical Climate System. - 2-12 Effects of the Biosphere on the Climate System. - Looking Deeper into Climate Science: The Structure of Earth's Atmosphere. - Climate Interactions and Feedbacks: Albedo/Temperature. - Climate Interactions and Feedbacks: Water in the Climate System. - Climate Interactions and Feedbacks: Water Vapor. - Looking Deeper into Climate Science: The Conolis Effect. - Climate Interactions and Feedbacks: Vegetation-Climate Feedbacks. - 3 Climate Archives, Oata, and Models. - Climate Archives. - 3-1 Types of Archives. - 3-2 Dating Climate Records. - 3-3 Climate Resolution. - Climate Data. - 3-4 Biotic Data. - 3-5 Geological and Geochemical Data. - Climate Models. - 3-6 Physical Climate Models. - 3-7 Geochemical (Mass Balance) Models. - PART II TECTONIC-SCALE CLIMATE CHANGE. - 4 CO2 and Long-term Climate. - Greenhouse Worlds. - The Faint Young Sun Paradox. - Carbon Exchanges between Rocks and the Atmosphere. - 4-1 Volcanic Input of Carbon from Rocks to the Atmosphere. - 4-2 Chemical Weathering Removal of CO2 from the Atmosphere. - Climate Factors That Control Chemical Weathering. - Chemical Weathering: Earth's Thermostat?. - Is Life the Ultimate Control on Earth's Thermostat?. - 4-3 The Gaia Hypothesis. - Climate Debate: A Snowball Earth?. - Looking Deeper into Climate Science: The Organic Carbon Subcycle. - 5 Plate Tectonics and Climate. - Plate Tectonics. - 5-1 Structure and Composition of Tectonic Plates. - 5-2 Evidence of Past Plate Motions. - The Polar Position Hypothesis. - 5-3 Glaciations and Continental Positions since 500 Myr Ago. - Modeling Climate on the Supercontinent Pangaea. - 5-4 Input to the Model Simulation of Pangaean Climate. - 5-5 Output from the Model Simulation of Pangaean Climate. - Tectonic Control of CO2 Input: The BLAG Spreading Rate Hypothesis. - 5-6 Control of CO2 Input by Seafloor Spreading. - 5-7 Initial Evaluation of the BLAG Spreading Rate Hypothesis. - Tectonic Control of CO2 Removal: The Uplift Weathering Hypothesis. - 5-8 Rock Exposure and Chemical Weathering. - 5-3 Uplift and Chemical Weathering. - What Controls Chemical Weathering?. - 5-10 Weathering: Climate Forcing and Feedback. - Looking Deeper into Climate Science: Brief Glatiation 430 Myr Ago. - 6 Greenhouse Earth. - What Explains Greenhouse Warmth 100 Myr Ago?. - 6-1 Model Simulations of a Greenhouse World. - 6-2 What Explains the Data-Model Mismatch?. - Sea Level Changes and Climate. - 6-3 Causes of Tectonic-Scale Changes in Sea Level. - 6-4 Effect of Sea Level Changes on Climate. - Asteroid Impacts. - Climate Interactions and Feedbacks: The Effect of CO2 on Climate. - Looking Deeper into Climate Science: Calculating Changes in Sea Level. - 7 Back into the Icehouse: The Last 55 Million years. - Global Climate Change Since 55 Myr Ago. - 7-1 Evidence from Ice and Vegetation. - 7-2 Oxygen Isotope Data. - Why Did Global Climate Cool over the Last 55 Myr?. - 7-3 Evaluating the BLAG Spreading Rate Hypothesis. - 7-4 Evaluating the Uplift Weathering Hypothesis. - 7-5 Evaluating the Ocean Heat Transport Hypothesis. - 7-6 Causes of Brief Tectonic-Scale Climate Change. - Understanding and Predicting Tectonic Climate Change. - Tools Of Climate Science: Oxtygen Isotope Ratios (δ18O). - Climate Debate: The Timing of Uplift in Western North America. - Looking Deeper into Climate Science: Is 87Sr/86Sr an Index of Chemical Weathering?. - PART III ORBITAL-SCALE CLIMATE CHANGE. - 8 Astronomical Control of Solar Radiation. - Earth's Orbit Today. - 8-1 Earth's Tilted Axis of Rotation and the Seasons. - 8-2 Earth's Eccentric Orbit: Changes in the Distance Between Earth and Sun. - Long-Term Changes in Earth's Orbit. - 8-3 Changes in Earth's Axial Tilt Through Time. - 8-4 Changes in Earth's Eccentric Orbit Through Time. - 8-5 Precession of Solstices and Equinoxes around Earth's Orbit. - Changes in Insolation Received on Earth. - 8-6 Insolation Changes by Month and Season. - 8-7 Insolation Changes According to Caloric Season. - Looking for Orbital-Scale Changes in Climate Records. - 8-8 Time Series Analysis. - 8-9 Aliasing of Climate Records. - 8-10 Tectonic-Scale Changes in Earth's Orbit. - Tools Of Climate Science: Cycles and Modulation. - Looking Deeper into Climate Science: Earth's Precession as a Sine Wave. - 9 Insolation Control of Monsoons. - Monsoon Circulations. - 9-1 Orbital-Scale Control of Summer Monsoons. - Evidence of Orbital-Scale Changes in Summer Monsoons. - 3-2 "Stinky Muds" in the Mediterranean. - 9-3 Freshwater Diatoms in the Tropical Atlantic. - 9-4 Upwelling in the Equatorial Atlantic. - Refinements of the Orbital Monsoon Hypothesis. - 9-5 Lag of Monsoons Behind Summer Insolation. - 9-6 Clipped Monsoon Responses and Monsoon Harmonics. - Monsoon Forcing Earlier in Earth's History. - 8-7 Monsoons on Pangaea 200 Myr Ago. - 9-8 Joint Tectonic and Orbital Control of Monsoons. - 10 Insolation Control of Ice Sheets. - What Controls the Size of Ice Sheets?. - 10-1 Orbital-Scale Control of Ice Sheets. - The Milankovitch Theory. - Modeling the Behavior of Ice Sheets. - 10-2 Insolation Control of Ice Sheet Size. - 10-3 Ice Sheet Lags behind Summer Insolation Forcing. - 10-4 Delayed Bedrock Response Beneath Ice Sheets. - 10-5 Full Cycle of Ice Growth and Decay. - 10-6 Ice Slipping and Calving. - Northern Hemisphere Ice Sheet History. - 10-7 Conceptual Model: Evolution of Ice Sheet Cycles. - 10-8 Evidence from δ18O: How Ice Sheets Actually Evolved. - 10-9 Confirming Ice Volume Changes: Coral Reefs and Sea Level. - 10-10 Using Astronomical and δ18O Signals as a Chronometer. - Looking Deeper into Climate Science: Ice Volume Response to Insolation. - Climate Debate: Antarctic Deglaciation 3 Myr Ago?. - Looking Deeper into Climate Science: Sea Level on Uplifting Islands. - 11 Orbital-Scale Changes in Carbon Dioxide and Methane. - Ice Cores. - 11-1 Drilling and Dating Ice Cores. - 11-2 Trapping Gases in the Ice. - Orbital-Scale Changes in Methane. - Orbital-Scale Changes in CO2. - 11-3 Physical Oceanographic Explanations of CO2 Changes. - 11-4 Orbital-Scale Carbon Reservoirs. - 11-5 Tracking Carbon through the Climate System. - 11-6 Can δ13C Evidence Detect Glacial Changes in Carbon Reservoirs?. - 11-7 Pumping of Carbon into the Deep Ocean during Glaciations. - 11-8 Changes in the Circulation of Deep Water during Glaciations. - Tools Of Climate Science: Carbon Isotope Ratios (δ13C). - Climate Debate: Do Winds Fertilize the Glacial Ocean?. - 12 Orbital-Scale Interactions in the Climate System. - Orbital-Scale Forcing and Response Revisited. - Ice-Driven Climate Responses. - 12-1 Ice-Driven Responses in High Northern Latitudes. - 12-2 Orbital Cycles in Regions Remote fro