ALBERT

Note: Chapter 1. Thermodynamic Analysis of Phase Equilibria in Simple Mineral Systems by Robert C. Newton, p. 1 - 34 Chapter 2. Models of Crystalline solutions by Alexandra Navrotsky, p. 35 - 70 Chapter 3. Thermodynamics of Multicomponent Systems Containing Several Solid Solutions by Bernard J. Wood, p. 71 - 96 Chapter 4. Thermodynamic Model for Aqueous Solutions of Liquid-like Density by Kenneth S. Pitzer, p. 97 - 142 Chapter 5. Models of Mineral Solubility in Concentrated Brines with Application to Field Observations by John H. Weare, p. 143 - 176 Chapter 6. Calculation of the Thermodynamic Properties of Aqueous Species and the Solubilities of Minerals in Supercritical Electrolyte Solutions by Dimitri A. Sverjensky, p. 177 - 210 Chapter 7. Igneous Fluids by John R. Holloway, p. 211 - 234 Chapter 8. Ore Fluids: Magmatic to Supergene by George H. Brimhall and David A. Crerar, p. 235 - 322 Chapter 9. Thermodynamic Models of Molecular Fluids at the Elevated Pressures and Temperatures of Crustal Metamorphism by John M. Ferry and Lukas Baumgartner, p. 323 - 366 Chapter 10. Mineral Solubilities and Speciation in Supercritical Metamorphic Fluids by Hans P. Eugster and Lukas Baumgartner, p. 367 - 404 Chapter 11. Development of Models for Multicomponent Melts: Analysis of Synthetic Systems by Rober G. Berman and Thomas H. Brown, p. 405 - 442 Chapter 12. Modeling Magmatic Systems: Thermodynamic Relations by Mark S. Ghiorso, p. 443 - 466 Chapter 13. Modeling Magmatic Systems: Petrologic Applications by Mark S. Ghiorso and Ian S.E. Carmichael, p. 467 - 500

Note: Ersch. unregelmäßig , Beiträge teilweise in Englisch

Note: Contents: Introduction: The Challenge of Inequality ; I A Brief History Of Inequality ; 1 The Rise of Inequality ; 2 Empires of Inequality ; 3 Up and Down ; II War ; 4 Total War ; 5 The Great Compression ; 6 Preindustrial Warfare and Civil War ; III Revolution ; 7 Communism ; 8 Before Lenin ; IV Collapse ; 9 State Failure and Systems Collapse ; V Plague ; 10 The Black Death ; 11 Pandemics, Famine, and War ; VI Alternatives ; 12 Reform, Recession, and Representation ; 13 Economic Development and Education ; 14 What If ? From History to Counterfactuals ; VII Inequality Redux And The Future Of Leveling ; 15 In Our Time ; 16 What Does the Future Hold? ; Appendix: The Limits of Inequality

Note: Chapter 1 (Introduction) - New Rules: Old Lessons? -- Chapter 2 - A New Starting Point: ‘Values-up’ not ‘Numbers-down’ -- Chapter 3 - New stories: Frames and Narratives for building public engagement -- Chapter 4 - New social norms: breaking the ‘climate silence’ -- Chapter 5 - New Voices: Shifting the debate from scientific to social reality -- Chapter 6 - New Rules: A Blueprint for public engagement on energy and climate change

Note: Optical fibre technology -- Principles of optical time domain reflectometry (OTDR) for distributed sensing -- Raman-based distributed temperature sensors (DTS) -- Brillouin based distributed temperature and strain sensors -- Rayleigh backscatter: distributed vibration sensors and static measurements -- Applications of distributed temperature sensors -- Distributed strain sensors: practical issues, solutions and applications -- Applications of distributed vibration sensors (DVS) -- Other types of distributed sensors and their applications

Note: Contents: 1: Introduction ; 2: Framework ; 3: Traditional topics ; 4: Constrained credit ; 5: Net worth ; 6: Real estate ; 7: Commerical banks ; 8: Methods

Note: Contents: Chapter 1. Water Everywhere and Nowhere ; Chapter 2. Back to Life ; Chapter 3. Put Watersheds to Work ; Chapter 4. Make Room for Floods ; Chapter 5. Bank It for a Dry Day ; Chapter 6. Fill the Earth ; Chapter 7. Conserve in the City ; Chapter 8. Clean It Up ; Chapter 9. Close the Loop ; Chapter 10. Let It Flow ; Chapter 11. Rescue Desert Rivers ; Chapter 12. Share

Note: Contents: Chapter 1 The Space and Strategy of Demographic Growth ; Chapter 2 Demographic Growth ; Chapter 3 Land, Labor, and Population ; Chapter 4 Toward Order and Efficiency ; Chapter 5 The Populations of Poor Countries ; Chapter 6 The Future ; Major Scientific Journals for Further Reading

Note: Contents: Fundamentals -- Applications of catastrophe modelling -- The perils in brief -- Building catastrophe models -- Developing a view of risk -- Summary and the future

Note: Contents: 1. Introduction ; 2. Observing Behavior ; 3 Asking Questions ; 4. Running Experiments ; 5. Creating Mass Collaboration ; 6. Ethics ; 7. The Future

Note: Table of contents Abstract Zusammenfassung Abbreviations and nomenclatureI 1. Introduction 1.1 Scientific background 1.1.1 Permafrost and ground ice 1.1.2 Organic carbon pools and fluxes into the Arctic Ocean 1.1.3 Climate warming and permafrost thaw 1.1.4 Permafrost degradation and coastal erosion 1.1.5 Study area Yukon coast and Qikiqtaruk 1.2 Knowledge gaps 1.3 Aims and objectives 1.4 Thesis structure and author's contribution 2. Eroding permafrost coasts release low amounts of dissolved organic carbon (DOC) from ground ice into the nearshore zone of the Arctic Ocean 2.1 Abstract 2.2 Introduction 2.3 Study area 2.4 Methods 2.4.1 Field work 2.4.2 DOC concentration 2.4.3 DOC flux estimation 2.5 Results 2.5.1 Segmentation of the coast - literature synthesis 2.5.2 DOC concentration 2.5.3 DOC stocks and fluxes 2.6 Discussion 2.6.1 DOC concentrations in ground ice 2.6.2 DOC fluxes from the YC 2.6.3 DOC fluxes and the Arctic carbon budget 2.7 Conclusion and Outlook 2.8 Acknowledgements 3.Transformation of terrestrial organic matter along thermokarst-affected permafrost coasts in the Arctic 3.1 Abstract 3.2 Introduction 3.3 Study area 3.3 Methods 3.3.1 Field work 3.3.2 Sedimentology, stratigraphy, and vegetation 3.3.3 Organic matter 3.3.4 Statistics 3.3.5 Transformation of organic matter 3.3.6 Fate of organic matter in the nearshore zone 3.4 Results 3.4.1 Sedimentology, stratigraphy, and vegetation 3.4.2 Organic matter 3.4.3 C/N-ratios and δ13C 3.4.4 Biomarkers 3.5 Discussion 3.5.1 Transformation of organic matter in the disturbed zone 3.5.2 Fate of organic matter in the nearshore zone 3.5.3 Environmental impact of the RTS 3.6 Conclusion 3.7 Acknowledgements 4. Rapid greenhouse gas release from eroding permafrost coasts 4.1 Summary 4.2 Background 4.3 Study site 4.4 Sampling and incubation setup 4.5 Findings and discussion 4.6 Conclusion 4.7 Methods 4.7.1 Incubation conditions 4.7.2 Gas measurements 4.7.3 Geo- and hydrochemical analysis 4.8 Acknowledgements 5. Synthesis 5.1 Mobilization of permafrost OC pools by coastal erosion 5.2 Transformation of permafrost OM on transit from land to sea 5.3 Fate and pathways of permafrost OC in the nearshore zone 5.4 Conclusion and outlook References Appendix I: Dissolved organic carbon (DOC) in Arctic ground ice I-1 Abstract I-2 Introduction I-3 Study area and study sites I-4 Material and methods I-4-1 Laboratory analyses I-4-2 Statistical methods I-5 Results I-5-1 DOC and DIC concentrations I-5-2 Correlation matrix I-5-3 Principal components I-5-4 Univariate Tree Model (UTM) I-6 Discussion I-6-1 DOC stocks in ground ice and relevance to carbon cycling I-6-2 Carbon sequestration and origin in relation to inorganic geochemistry I-6-3 DOC mobility and quality upon permafrost degradation I-7 Conclusions and outlook I-8 Acknowledgements Appendix II: Supplementary material for Chapter 2 II-1 Supplementary table - Ground ice and geochemical data II-2 Supplementary table - Coastal segments and DOC flux Appendix III: Supplementary material for Chapter 3 III-1 Normalized Differenced Vegetation Index map III-2 Photograph of a massive ice bed in a RTS III-3 Calculation of biomarker proxies III-4 Supplementary table - Summary of geochemical data III-5 Supplementary table - Summary of statistical analysis AppendixI V: Supplementary material for Chapter 4 IV-1 Design of the incubation experiment IV-2 Photograph of a standard incubation setup IV-3 Conversion of gas amounts into mass IV-4 Total and daily aerobic CH4 production IV-5 Histogram summarizing OC losses and CO2 emissions IV-6 Supplementary table - Summary of TOC, DOC, and pH data IV-7 Supplementary table - Summary of TN, TOC/TN, and δ13C-TOC data IV-8 Supplementary table - Summary of total CO2 and CH4 production data IV-9 Supplementary table - Comparison of incubation setups IV-10 Supplementary table - Summary of daily CO2 production data IV-11 Supplementary table - Summary of daily CH4 production data Acknowledgements-Danksagung

Note: Contents: Introduction ; Part 1 - Political Psychology ; 1 Understanding beliefs ; 2 The drunkyard's search ; Part 2 - Heuristics and Biases ; 3 Representativeness, foreign policy judgements, and theory-driven perceptions ; 4 Prospect theory: the political implication of loss aversion ; Part 3 - Political Psychology and International Relation Theory ; 5 Signaling and perception: projecting images and drawing inferences ; 6 Political psychology research and theory: bridges and barriers ; 7 Why intelligence and policymakers clash ; 8 Identit and the Colt War ; Part 4 - Psychology and National Security ; 9 Deterrence and perception ; 10 Psychology and crisis stability ; 11 Domino beliefs ; 12 Perception, misperception, and the end of the Cold War ; Index

Note: 1. Introduction 2. Overview of Linear Algebra 3. Univariate Distribution Theory 4. Multivariate Distribution Theory 5. Introduction to Calculus of Variation 6. Introduction to Control Theory 7. Optimal Control Theory 8. Numerical Solutions to Initial Value Problems 9. Numerical Solutions to Boundary Problems 10. Introduction to Semi-Langrangian Advection Methods 11. Introduction to Finite Element Modeling 12. Numerical Modeling of the Sphere 13. Tangent Linear Modeling and Adjoints 14. Observations 15. Non-variational Sequential Data Assimilation Methods 16. Variational Data Assimilation 17. Subcomponents of Variational Data Assimilation 18. Observation of Space Variation Data Assimilation Methods 19. Kalman Filter and Smoother 20. Ensemble-Based Data Asssimilation 21. Non-Gaussian Variational Data Assimilation 22. Markov Chain Monte Carlo and Particle Filter Methods 23. Applications of Data Asssimilation in the Geosciences 24. Solutions to Select Exercise Bibliography Index

Note: Contents Report from the Director Research overviews Sea ice studies Glacier geophysics Remote sensing Northern and social affairs Library and information service Aquisitions Archives and museum Teaching, lectures and colloquia International activities Research and visiting scholars Friends of the Polar Institute Gino Watkins Memorial Fund Research Abstracts Sea ice Glacier geophysics Social sciences Institute staff Publications

Note: CONTENTS Abstract Preface Introduction Sample analysis Continuous multi-year ridge core Tested multi-year ridge ice samples Tested multi-year floe ice samples Ice description Uniaxial constant-strain-rate compression tests Uniaxial constant-load compression tests Uniaxial constant-strain-rate tension tests Triaxial constant-strain-rate compression test Conclusions Literature cited Appendix A: Multi-year ridge sample data Appendix B: Multi-year floe sample data

Note: CONTENTS Abstract Preface Introduction Review of previous work Specimen preparation Material Molding Testing procedure and apparatus Test results Definition of strain and stress Definition of creep failure Definition of failure in constant-strain-rate tests Definition of initial yield strength Determination of initial tangent modulus and 50% peak strength modulus Creep behavior General nature of the creep process and the failure mode Minimum creep rate Time to creep failure Relationship between t, and tm Creep failure strain and failure criterion Creep model and prediction of creep strain Strength behavior General stress-strain behavior and failure mode Peak compressive strength Initial yield strength Failure strain Initial yield strain Initial tangent modulus 50% peak strength modulus Correspondence between constant-stress tests and constant-strain-rate tests Conclusions Literature cited Appendix A: Unfrozen water content data Appendix B: Physical properties of samples tested

Note: Contents: Lists of figures. - List of contributors. - Preface. - 1. Challenges for ice age dynamics: a dynamical systems perspective / Michel Crucifix, Guillaume Lenoir and Takahito Mitsui. - 2. Tipping points in the climate system / Peter Ditlevsen. - 3. Atmospheric teleconnection patterns / Steven B. Feldstein and Christian L. E. Franzke. - 4. Atmospheric regimes: the link between weather and the large scale circulation / David M. Straus, Franco Molteni and Susanna Corti. - 5. Low-frequency regime transitions and predictability of regimes in a barotropic model / Balu T. Nadiga and Terence J. O'Kane. - 6. Complex network techniques for climatological data analysis / Reik V. Donner, Marc Wiedermann and Jonathan F. Donges. - 7. On inference and validation of causality relations in climate teleconnections / Illia Horenko, Susanne Gerber, Terence J. O'Kane, James S. Risbey and Didier P. Monselesan. - 8. Stochastic climate theory / Georg A. Gottwald, Daan T. Crommelin and Christian L. E. Franzke. - 9. Stochastic subgrid modelling for geophysical and three-dimensional turbulence / Jorgen S. Frederiksen, Vassili Kitsios, Terence J. O'Kane and Meelis J. Zidikheri. - 10. Model error in data assimilation / John Harlim. - 11. Long-term memory in climate: detection, extreme events, and significance of trends / Armin Bunde and Josef Ludescher. - 12. Fractional stochastic models for heavy tailed, and long-range dependent, fluctuations in physical systems / Nicholas W. Watkins. - 13. Modelling spatial extremes using Max-Stable Processes / Mathieu Ribatet. - 14. Extreme value analysis in dynamical systems: two case studies / Tamás Bódai. - Index.

Note: Content: Preface. - 1 IASC Internal Development. - IASC Organization. - IASC Council . - IASC Executive Committee. - IASC Secretariat. - Allen Pope New IASC Executive Secretary. - IASC Secretariat Moves to Iceland. - IASC Future Strategy. - IASC Medal 2017. - 2 IASC Working Groups. - Cross-Cutting Initiatives. - Atmosphere Working Group (AWG). - Cryosphere Working Group (CWG). - Marine Working Group (MWG). - Social and Human Working Group (SHWG). - Terrestrial Working Group (TWG). - 3 Arctic Science Summit Week 2016. - Upcoming ASSWs. - 4 Data and Observations. - Arctic Data Committee (ADC). - Sustaining Arctic Observing Networks (SAON). - 5 Partnerships. - Asian Forum for Polar Sciences (AFoPS). - Arctic Council. - 6 Capacity Building. - IASC Fellowship Program. - Overview of Supported Early Career Scientists. - Annex. - Polar Acronyms.

Note: Beiträge überwiegend in deutsch, ein Beitrag in englisch

Note: Contents: PART 1: The challenge of long-term democratic governance ; 1 Intertemporal policy-making in advanced democracies ; 2 The presentist bias ; 3 Probing the causes of the presentist bias ; 4 The policy dimensions of the presentist bias ; PART 2: Principles and proposals for improving long-term democratic governance ; 5 Foundations for prudent long-term governance ; 6 Countering the presentist bias ; PART 3: Assessing the options for improving long-term democratic governance ; 7 A constitution for the future ; 8 Committing to a better future ; 9 Insulating decision-making from short-term political pressures ; 10 Enhancing voices for the future ; 11 Advising for a better future ; 12 Designing and embedding a strategic foresight capability ; 13 Creating the political conditions for policy investments ; PART 4: Taking care of tomorrow today ; 14 Towards a better tomorrow ; Appendix ; Bibliography ; Index

Note: Contents: Papaveraceae. - 1. Glaucium Mill. - 2. Papaver L. - 3. Hypecoum L. - 4. Corydalis Vent. - 5. Fumaria L. - Capparidaceae. - 1. Capparis L. - Cruciferae. - 1. Spirorrhynchus Kar. et Kir. - 2. Tauscheria Fisch. ex. DC. - 3. Isatis L. - 4. Pachypterygium Bge. - 5. Pugionium Gaertn. - 6. Cardaria Desv. - 7. Litwinowia Woron. - 8. Goldbachia DC. - 9. Hymenolobus Nutt. ex Torr. et Gray. - 10. Thlaspi L. - 11. Lepidium L. - 12. Berteroa DC. - 13. Microstigma Trautv. - 14. Lachnoloma Bge. - 15. Euclidium R. Br. - 16. Alyssum L. - 17. Ptilotrichum C. A. Mey. - 18. Camelina Crantz. - 19. Draba L. - 20. Megacarpaea DC. - 21. Capsella Medic. - 22. Rorippa Scop. - 23. Diptychocarpus Trautv. - 24. Chorispora R. Br. ex DC. - 25. Thellungiella O E. Schluz. - 26. Conringia Heist. ex Fabr. - 27. Turritis L. - 28. Synstemon Botsch. - 29. Dontostemon Andrz. ex C. A. Mey. - 30. Dimorphostemon Kitag. - 31. Clausia Korn.-Tr. - 32. Sterigmostemum M. B. - 33. Leptaleum DC. - 34. Tetracme Bge. - 35. Matthiola R. Br. - 36. Erysimum L. - 37. Syrenia Andrz. ex Bess. - 38. Torularia O. E. Schulz. - 39. Malcolmia R. Br. - 40. Arabidopsis (DC.) Heynh. - 41. Sisymbrium L. - 42. Eruca Mill. - 43. Descurainia Webb et Berth. - Crassulaceae. - 1. Orostachys Fisch. - 2. Sedum L. - Saxifragaceae. - 1. Parnassia L. - 2. Ribes L. - Rosaceae. - I. Spiraeoideae Agardh. - 1. Spiraea L. - II. Maloideae Weber. - 1. Cotoneaster B. Ehrhart. - 2. Crataegus L. - 3. Pyrus L. - 4. Malus Mill. - 5. Cydonia Mill. - III. Rosoideae Focke. - 1. Rosa L. - 2. Potaninia Maxim. - 3. Agrimonia L. - 4. Sanguisorba L. - 5. Rubus L. - 6. Geum L. - 7. Fragaria L. - 8. Potentilla L. - 9. Comarum L. - 10. Sibbalida L. - 11. Chamaerhodos Bge. - IV. Prunoideae Focke. - 1. Prinsepia Royle. - 2. Prunus L. - Leguminosae. - I. Mimosoideae Taub. - 1. Albizzia Durazz. - II. Caesalpinioideae Taub. - 1. Gleditsia L. - III. Papilionatae Taub. - 1. Eremosparton Fisch. et Mey. - 2. Sophora L. - 3. Ammodendron Fisch. - 4. Ammopiptanthus Cheng f. - 5. Thermopsis R. Br. - 6. Oronis L. - 7. Crotalaria L. - 8. Alhagi Gagneb. - 9. Lotus L. - 10. Kummerowia Schindl. - 11. Lespedeza Michx. - 12. Campylotropis Bge. - 13. Glycine Willd. - 14. Trifolium L. - 15. Melilotus Adans. - 16. Trigonella L. - 17. Melissitus Medic. - 18. Medicago L. - 19. Halimodendron Fisch. - 20. Vicia L. - 21. Lathyrus L. - 22. Amorpha L. - 23. Indigofera L. - 24. Robinia L. - 25. Swainsonia Salisb. (Sphaerophysa DC.). - 26. Caragana Fabr. - 27. Calophaca Fisch. - 28. Chesneya Lindl. - 29. Glycyrrhiza L. - 30. Hedysarum L. - 31. Oxytropis DC. - 32. Astragalus L. - 33. Gueldenstaedtia Fisch. (Amblytropis Kitag.). - Geraniaceae. - 1. Erodium L'Herit. - 2. Geranium L. - 3. Bieberstenia Steph. ex. Fisch. - Linaceae. - 1. Linum L. - Zygophyllaceae. - 1. Nitraria L. - 2. Peganum L. - 3. Zygophyllum L. - 4. Tribulus L. - 5. Tetraena Maxim. - Rutaceae. - 1. Phellodendron Rupr. - 2. Haplophyllum Adr. Juss. - Simaroubaceae. - 1. Ailanthus Desf. - Polygalaceae. - 1. Polygala L. - Euphorbiaceae. - 1. Chrozophora Adr. Juss. - 2. Speranskia Baill. - 3. Securinega Comm. ex Adr. Juss. - 4. Euphorbia L. - Callitrichaceae. - 1. Callitriche L. - Anacardiaceae. - 1. Pistacia L. - Celastraceae. - 1. Euonymus L. - 2. Celastrus L. - Aceraceae. - 1. Acer L. - Sapindaceae. - 1. Xanthoceras Bge. - 2. Koelreuteria Laxm. - Rhamnaceae. - 1. Rhamnus L. - 2. Ziziphus Mill. - Vitaceae. - 1. Vitis L. - 2. Ampelopsis Michx. - Tiliaceae. - 1. Tilia L. - Malvaceae. - 1. Malva L. - 2. Althaea L. - 3. Hibiscus L. - Guttiferae. - 1. Hypericum L. - Frankeniaceae. - 1. Frankenia L. - Tamaricadeae. - 1. Reamuria L. (Hololachne Ehrenb.). - 2. Tamarix L. - 3. Myricaria Desv. - Cistaceae. - 1. Helianthemum Mill. - Violaceae. - 1. Viola L. - Thymelaeacaae. - 1. Diarthron Turcz. - 2. Stellera L. - 3. Wikstroemia Endl. - Elaeagnaceae. - 1. Elaeagnus L. - 2. Hippophaë L. - Lythraceae. - Lythrum L. - Trapaceae. - 1. Trapa L. - Onagraceae. - 1. Epilobium L. - Haloragaceae. - 1. Myriophyllum L. - Hippuridaceae. - Hippuris L. - Cynomoriaceae. - 1. Cynomorium L. - Umbelliferae. - 1. Daucus L. - 2. Foeniculum Mill. - 3. Bupleurum L. - 4. Sium L. - 5. Aegopodium L. - 6. Sphallerocarpus Bess. ex. DC. - 7. Heracleum L. - 8. Ferula L. - 9. Seseli L. - 10. Schumannia Kuntze. - 11. Libanotis Hill. - 12. Saposhnikovia Schisck. - 13. Cicuta L. - 14. Oenanthe L. - 15. Cenolophium Koch. - 16. Carum L. - 17. Cnidium Cuss. - 18. Soranthus Ledeb. - 19. Archangelica N. M. Wolf. - Addenda Diagnoses Taxorum Novarum. , Titel und Text in chines. Schr. , Nomenclature also in Latin.

Note: Contents: Chapter 1 Introduction: Setting the Stage ; Chapter 2 The Doha Round: Virtuous Circle or Infinite Loop? ; Chapter 3 Why Is the Doha Development Agenda Failing? And What Can Be Done? A Computable General Equilibrium-Game Theoretical Approach ; Chapter 4 Formulas for Failure? Were the Doha Tariff Formulas Too Ambitious for Success? ; Chapter 5 BRIC Agricultural Policies through a WTO Lens ; Chapter 6 Assessing the Potential Cost of a Failed Doha Round ; Chapter 7 Domestic and Trade Policies Affecting the World Cotton Market ; Chapter 8 Food Security Stocks: Economic and Operational Issues ; Chapter 9 Food Security Stocks and the WTO Legal Framework ; Chapter 10 Agricultural Insurance and the WTO ; Chapter 11 A Quantitative Analysis of Trade Policy Responses to Higher World Agricultural Commodity Prices ; Chapter 12 Food Crisis and Export Taxation: The Cost of Noncooperative Trade Policies ; Chapter 13 Conclusion: Which Policy Space in the International Trade Arena Can Support Development and Food Security?

Note: Contents: 1. Introduction -- 1.1 Why Forecast? -- 1.2 The Informatics Challenge in Forecasting -- 1.3 The Model-Data Loop -- 1.4 Why Bayes? -- 1.5 Models as Scaffolds -- 1.6 Case Studies and Decision Support -- 1.7 Key Concepts -- 1.8 Hands-on Activities -- 2. From Models to Forecasts -- 2.1 The Traditional Modeler's Toolbox -- 2.2 Example: The Logistic Growth Model -- 2.3 Adding Sources of Uncertainty -- 2.4 Thinking Probabilistically -- 2.5 Predictability -- 2.6 Key Concepts -- 2.7 Hands-on Activities -- 3. Data, Large and Small -- 3.1 The Data Cycle and Best Practices -- 3.2 Data Standards and Metadata -- 3.3 Handling Big Data -- 3.4 Key Concepts -- 3.5 Hands-on Activities -- 4. Scientific Workflows and the Informatics of Model-Data Fusion -- 4.1 Transparency, Accountability, and Repeatability -- 4.2 Workflows and Automation -- 4.3 Best Practices for Scientific Computing -- 4.4 Key Concepts -- 4.5 Hands-on Activities -- 5. Introduction to Bayes -- 5.1 Confronting Models with Data -- 5.2 Probability 101 -- 5.3 The Likelihood -- 5.4 Bayes' Theorem -- 5.5 Prior Information -- 5.6 Numerical Methods for Bayes -- 5.7 Evaluating MCMC Output -- 5.8 Key Concepts -- 5.9 Hands-on Activities -- 6. Characterizing Uncertainty -- 6.1 Non-Gaussian Error -- 6.2 Heteroskedasticity -- 6.3 Observation Error -- 6.4 Missing Data and Inverse Modeling -- 6.5 Hierarchical Models and Process Error -- 6.6 Autocorrelation -- 6.7 Key Concepts -- 6.8 Hands-on Activities -- 7. Case Study: Biodiversity, Populations, and Endangered Species -- 7.1 Endangered Species -- 7.2 Biodiversity -- 7.3 Key Concepts -- 7.4 Hands-on Activities -- 8. Latent Variables and State-Space Models -- 8.1 Latent Variables -- 8.2 State Space -- 8.3 Hidden Markov Time-Series Model -- 8.4 Beyond Time -- 8.5 Key Concepts -- 8.6 Hands-on Activities -- 9. Fusing Data Sources -- 9.1 Meta-analysis -- 9.2 Combining Data: Practice, Pitfalls, and Opportunities -- 9.3 Combining Data and Models across Space and Time -- 9.4 Key Concepts -- 9.5 Hands-on Activities -- 10. Case Study: Natural Resources -- 10.1 Fisheries -- 10.2 Case Study: Baltic Salmon -- 10.3 Key Concepts -- 11. Propagating, Analyzing, and Reducing Uncertainty -- 11.1 Sensitivity Analysis -- 11.2 Uncertainty Propagation -- 11.3 Uncertainty Analysis -- 11.4 Tools for Model-Data Feedbacks -- 11.5 Key Concepts -- 11.6 Hands-on Activities -- Appendix A Properties of Means and Variances -- Appendix B Common Variance Approximations -- 12. Case Study: Carbon Cycle -- 12.1 Carbon Cycle Uncertainties -- 12.2 State of the Science -- 12.3 Case Study: Model-Data Feedbacks -- 12.4 Key Concepts -- 12.5 Hands-on Activities -- 13. Data Assimilation 1: Analytical Methods -- 13.1 The Forecast Cycle -- 13.2 Kalman Filter -- 13.3 Extended Kalman Filter -- 13.4 Key Concepts -- 13.5 Hands-on Activities -- 14. Data Assimilation 2: Monte Carlo Methods -- 14.1 Ensemble Filters -- 14.2 Particle Filter -- 14.3 Model Averaging and Reversible Jump MCMC -- 14.4 Generalizing the Forecast Cycle -- 14.5 Key Concepts -- 14.6 Hands-on Activities -- 15. Epidemiology -- 15.1 Theory -- 15.2 Ecological Forecasting -- 15.3 Examples of Epidemiological Forecasting -- 15.4 Case Study: Influenza -- 15.5 Key Concepts -- 16. Assessing Model Performance -- 16.1 Visualization -- 16.2 Basic Model Diagnostics -- 16.3 Model Benchmarks -- 16.4 Data Mining the Residuals -- 16.5 Comparing Model Performance to Simple Statistics -- 16.6 Key Concepts -- 16.7 Hands-on Activities -- 17. Projection and Decision Support -- 17.1 Projections, Predictions, and Forecasting -- 17.2 Decision Support -- 17.3 Key Concepts -- 17.4 Hands-on Activities -- 18. Final Thoughts -- 18.1 Lessons Learned -- 18.2 Future Directions -- References -- Index

Note: Contents -- Chapter 1: Engaging with Environmental Transformation in Oceania -- Chapter 2: Climate Change, Christian Religion and Songs: Revisiting the Noah Story in the Central Pacific -- Chapter 3: Climate Change and Worries over Land: Articulations in the Atoll State of Kiribati -- Chapter 4: Experiencing Environmental Dynamics in Chuuk, Micronesia -- Chapter 5: Young ni-Vanuatu Encounter Climate Change: Reception of Knowledge and New Discourses -- Chapter 6: Whose Beach, Which Nature? Coproducing Coastal Naturecultures and Erosion Control in Aotearoa New Zealand -- Chapter 7: The ``White Magic´´ of Modernity: Retracing Indigenous Environmental Knowledge in Settler-Colonialist Australia -- Chapter 8: Naturally Occurring Asbestos: The Perception of Rocks in the Mountains of New Caledonia -- Chapter 9: Epilogue: Re-building Ships at Sea: Ontological Innovation in Action -- Index

Note: Contents: 1: Introduction ; 2: Climate Change and International Law ; 3: Treaty-Based Lawmaking: Rules, Tools and Techniques ; 4: Evolution of the United Nations Climate Regime ; 5: The Framework Convention on Climate Change ; 6: Kyoto Protocol ; 7: Paris Agreement ; 8: Climate Governance beyond the United Nations Climate Regime ; 9: International Climate Change Law & Other Areas of International Regulation ; 10: Conclusion

Note: Contents: INTRODUCTION ; 1: Ius Constitutionale Commune in América Latina: A Regional Approach to Transformative Constitutionalism ; PART I: FRAMEWORK ; 2: Ius Constitutionale Commune in América Latina: A Conceptual Clarification ; 3: Ius Constitutionale Commune in América Latina: Context, Challenges, and Perspectives ; 4: The Struggle for Rights and the Ius Constitutionale Commune ; 5: A Multidimensional Approach to Equality in the Inter-American Context: Redistribution, Recognition, and Participatory Parity ; 6: Transformative Constitutionalism and the Global South: The View from South Africa ; 7: Preserving the Acquis of Transformative Constitutionalism in Times of Constitutional Crisis: Lessons from the Hungarian Case ; PART II: THE DOMESTIC ELEMENT ; 8: The Mexican Constitution of 1917: An Early Example of Transformative Constitutionalism ; 9: The Amparo as an Instrument of Ius Constitutionale Commune ; 10: The Presidential System in Latin America: A Hallmark and Challenge to a Latin American Ius Constitutionale Commune ; 11: The Roberto Gargarella ; 12: The Block of Constitutionality as the Doctrinal Pivot of a Ius Commune ; 13: Inter-Americanization: Its Legal Bases and Political Impact ; PART III: THE INTER-AMERICAN ELEMENT ; 14: The Inter-American System of Human Rights: Essential Features ; 15: The American Human Rights Navigation: Toward a Ius Commune ; 16: The Conventionality Control as a Core Mechanism of the Ius Constitutionale Commune ; 17: The Transformative Dimension of Inter-American Jurisprudence ; 18: The Impact of Inter-American Judgments by Institutional Empowerment ; 19: The Added Value of the Inter-American Human Rights System: Comparative Thoughts

Note: CONTENTS Abstract Preface Introduction Test sections and materials Specimen preparation Test soils Asphalt concrete Laboratory testing Soil testing Waveforms of applied stress Asphalt concrete Data reduction and analysis Soil Asphalt concrete Results and discussion General Resilient modulus Summary Conclusions Literature cited Appendix A: Soil moisture tension versus water content for several test soils Appendix B: Tabulated results for all tests on frozen and thawed soils

Note: CONTENTS Abstract Preface Nomenclature Introduction Analytical studies on the onset of convection in a horizontal water layer Experimental studies on the onset of convection in a circular horizontal melt layer Temperature structure and heat transfer In a horizontal layer In a circular horizontal melt layer pHeat transfer studies in nonplanar geometries Forced convective heat transfer over a melting surface Discussion and conclusions Onset of convection Temperature structure and natural convective heat transfer Laminar forced convective heat transfer Literature cited

Note: Contents Abstract Preface Nomenclature Introduction Sea ice growth and structure Model sea ice Brine salinity Seawater and model brine conductivity Complex dielectric constant of brine Electromagnetic properties of model sea ice at 100 MHz Electromagnetic properties of model sea ice at 100 and 500 MHz and 1 and 5 GHz Example of impulse radar sea ice profiling results Example of frequency-domain electromagnetic sea ice thickness sounding Concluding remarks Literature cited