ALBERT

Description: The spatial pattern of Antarctic surface air temperature variability on multi–decadal to multi–centennial time scales is poorly known because of the short instrumental records, the relatively small number of high–resolution paleoclimate observations, and biases in climate models. Here, changes in surface air temperature over Antarctica are reconstructed over the past two millennia using data assimilation constrained by different ice core water isotope records in order to identify robust signals. The comparison between previous statistically based temperature reconstructions and simulations covering the full Common Era driven by natural and anthropogenic forcings shows major discrepancies occurring in the period 1–1000 CE over East Antarctica, with the reconstructions displaying a warming over 1–500 CE that is not reproduced by the simulations. This suggests that the trends in the first millennium deduced from the statistically based reconstructions are unlikely to be entirely forced by external forcings. Our reconstructions show the high sensitivity of the 500-year temperature trend in Antarctica and its spatial distribution to selection of the records for the reconstructions, especially during 1–500 CE. A robust cooling over Antarctica during 501–1000 CE has been obtained in three data assimilation–based reconstructions with a larger magnitude in the WAIS than elsewhere over Antarctica, in agreement with previous estimates with the larger changes than simulated in climate models. The reconstructions for atmospheric circulation indicate that the pattern of temperature changes over 501–1000 CE is related to the positive trend of Southern Annular Mode and a deepening of Amundsen Sea Low. This confirms the role of internal variability in the temperature trends on multi–centennial scales.

Description: Extreme rainfall generated by storms and atmospheric instability causes innumerable damage to coastal areas and their marine ecosystems. This chapter describes some of the processes that generate critical precipitation events in coastal areas. Among these, the typical synoptic conditions combine with the increase in sea surface temperature and air temperature, coastal geomorphology, and sea breeze. Coastal and regional rainfall events should be studied to understand the meteorological, oceanographic, and geomorphological conditions that cause the extreme events, to later relate them with the consequences on coasts. The effects of the interaction of storms with tides originating storm surges and the effect of sea-level rise are described as well as the main consequences of extreme rainfall events such as beach erosion, decrease in water quality, changes in plankton and fish species that inhabit coastal waters, among others.

Description: Recent demands by developing countries, like India, that developed countries need to reach net-negative emissions, must be negotiated seriously under the UNFCCC. Failure to acknowledge that limiting global average temperature rise to 1.5°C leaves very little carbon budget for equitable redistribution risks further ambiguity on how to achieve the Paris Agreement’s goals.

Description: Highlights: • Ecological impacts of Pontogammarus maeoticus increased with temperature • Salinity effects were non-significant across temperatures (14–2 ppt; 18–22 °C) • Gammarids displayed hyperbolic Type II functional responses in all treatments • Future salinity regime shifts will not lessen ecological impacts via predation • Warming will heighten the ecological impacts of this emerging invasive species Abstract: Biological invasions are a growing ecological and socioeconomic problem worldwide. While robust predictions of impactful future invaders are urgently needed, understandings of invader impacts have been challenged by context-dependencies. In aquatic systems in particular, future climate change could alter the impacts of invasive non-native species. Widespread warming coupled with sea freshening may exacerbate ecological impacts of invaders in marine environments, compromising ecosystem structure, function and stability. We examined how multiple abiotic changes affect the potential ecological impact of an emerging invasive non-native species from the Ponto-Caspian region — a notorious origin hotspot for invaders, characterised by high salinity and temperature variation. Using a comparative functional response (feeding rates across prey densities) approach, the potential ecological impacts of the gammarid Pontogammarus maeoticus towards native chironomid prey were examined across a range of current and future temperature (18, 22°C) and salinity (14, 10, 6, 2 ppt) regimes in a factorial design. Feeding rates of P. maeoticus on prey significantly increased with temperature (by 60 %), but were not significantly affected by salinity regime. Gammarids displayed significant Type II functional responses, with attack rates not significantly affected by warming across all salinities. Handling times were, however, shortened by warming, and thus maximum feeding rates significantly increased, irrespective of salinity regime. Functional responses were significantly different following warming at high prey densities under all salinities, except under the ambient 10 ppt. Euryhalinity of invasive non-native species from the Ponto-Caspian region thus could allow sustained ecological impacts across a range of salinity regimes. These results corroborate high invasion success and field impacts of Ponto-Caspian gammarids in brackish through to freshwater ecosystems. Climate warming will likely worsen the potential ecological impact of P. maeoticus. With invasions growing worldwide, quantifications of how combined elements of climate change will alter the impacts of emerging invasive non-native species are needed.

Description: Highlights: • Predators displayed a Type II functional response towards prey • Microplastics had no effect on predator feeding efficiency • Functional responses are a useful tool for microplastic exposure studies • An environmentally relevant approach is needed in future microplastic exposure studies Abstract: Microplastics may affect the physiology, behaviour and populations of aquatic and terrestrial fauna through many mechanisms, such as direct consumption and sensory disruption. However, the majority of experimental studies have employed questionably high dosages of microplastics that have little environmental relevance. Predation, in particular, is a key trophic interaction that structures populations and communities and influences ecosystem functioning, but rarely features in microplastic research. Here, we quantify the effects of low (~65-114 MP/L) and high (~650-1140 MP/L) microplastic concentrations on the feeding behaviour of a ubiquitous and globally representative key marine predator, the shore crab, Carcinus maenas. We used a functional response approach (predator consumption across prey densities) to determine crab consumption rates towards a key marine community prey species, the blue mussel Mytilus edulis, under low and high microplastic concentrations with acute (8h) and chronic (120 h) microplastic exposure times. For both the acute and chronic microplastic exposure experiments, proportional prey consumption by crabs did not differ with respect to microplastic concentration, but significantly decreased over increasing prey densities. The crabs thus displayed classical, hyperbolic Type II functional responses in all experimental groups, characterised by high consumption rates at low prey densities. Crab attack rates, handling times and maximum feeding rates (ie functional response curves) were not significantly altered under lower or higher microplastics concentrations, or by acute or chronic microplastic exposures. Here, we show that functional response analyses could be widely employed to ascertain microplastic impacts on consumer-resource interactions. Furthermore, we suggest that future studies should adopt both acute and chronic microplastic exposure regimes, using environmentally-relevant microplastic dosages and types as well as elevated future scenarios of microplastic concentrations.

Description: The facies distribution in time and space of sedimentary successions is controlled by a complex interplay between physical, chemical and biological processes, which are nowadays difficult to construe from the geological record. Numerical models constitute a valuable tool to identify and quantify such controlling factors permitting a reliable 3D extrapolation and prediction of stratigraphic and facies architectures beyond outcropping rock strata. This study assesses the roles of three controlling parameters being carbonate production rate, relative sea-level changes and terrigenous clastic sediment supply, on the evolution of an Aptian carbonate system. The SIMSAFADIM-CLASTIC, a 3D process-based sedimentary-stratigraphic forward model, was used for this evaluation. The carbonate succession modelled crops out in the western Maestrat Basin (E Iberia), and corresponded to a platform-to-basin transition comprising three depositional environment-related facies assemblages: platform top, slope and basin. Testing of geological parameters in forward modelling results in a wide range of possible 3D geological scenarios. The documented distribution of facies and sequence-stratigraphic framework combined with a virtual outcrop model were used as a reference to perform geometric (quantitative) and architectural and stacking pattern (qualitative) research by model-data comparison. The time interval modelled spans 1450 ky. The best-fit simulation run characterizes and quantifies (1) relative sea-level fluctuations recording five different genetic types of deposit (systems tracts) belonging to two depositional sequences as expected from field-data analysis, (2) a rate of terrigenous clastic sediment input ranging between 0.5 and 2.5 gr/s, and (3) a mean autochthonous carbonate production maximum rate of 0.08 m/ky. Furthermore, the quantitative and qualitative sensitivity tests carried out highlight that the fluctuation of relative sea level exerted the main control on the resulting stratigraphic and facies architectures, whereas the effect of inflowing terrigenous clastic sediment is less pronounced. Facies assemblages show different sensitivities to each parameter, being the slope carbonates more sensitive than the platform top facies to inflowing fine terrigenous sediments. On slope depositional settings, siliciclastic input also controls stratal stacking patterns and the dimensions of the carbonate bodies formed. The final 3D model allows to spot architectural features such as stacking patterns that can be misinterpreted by looking at the resulting record in the outcrop or by using other 2D approaches, and facilitates the comprehension of reservoir connectivity highlighting the occurrence of initial disconnected regressive platforms, which were later connected during a transgressive stage.

Description: Highlights: • The pivot point for sea level shifted to the west of the Nino4 region in the 2000s. • This enabled the thermocline feedback to increase strongly in the Central Pacific. • The resulting increase in CP events maintains the pivot point to the west, a positive feedback mechanism. Monthly mean sea level variations computed using a linear, reduced-gravity, multi-mode model are combined with satellite measurements to explore why Central Pacific (CP) ENSO events occur more frequently since 2000s. The pivot point for sea level (and hence thermocline) variations has shifted westward in response to an increase in zonal wind stress variance in the western equatorial Pacific. As a result, the Nino4 region is increasingly to the east of the pivot point enabling the thermocline feedback to operate there, strengthening the Bjerknes feedback mechanism in the Nino4 region and leading to an increase in the occurrence of CP events. The increased variance of wind stress in the western Pacific is, in turn, caused by the resulting increase in the frequency of CP events. These arguments imply a positive feedback in which CP events are self-maintaining and suggest that they may be part of the natural variability of the climate system and could occur without the need for changes in external forcing.

Description: In situ pumps were used to collect size-fractionated particles (〉53 μm and 1–53 μm) from the upper ocean of the high latitude North Atlantic during spring and summer 2010, and samples were subsequently analysed for Al, P, Ti, V, Mn, Fe, Co, Ni, Cu, Zn, Cd, Ba and Pb. Two research cruises during May 2010 coincided with an eruption of the Eyjafjallajökull volcano in southern Iceland, which resulted in widespread dispersal of ash over the region. Ash deposition caused a noticeable perturbation of particulate trace element concentrations and content within marine particles in the Iceland Basin, relative to the Irminger Basin, most evident for lithogenic elements (Al, Ti, Fe), but also noticeable in elemental ratios for the other elements. The initial volcanic ash influence had largely disappeared by the third research cruise in July/August 2010, although there was evidence for a recent wind erosion event having transported remobilized volcanic ash from southern Iceland to the northern Iceland Basin in early July, further perturbing local trace element biogeochemistry. During summer 2010, concentrations of all measured elements except Ba were typically lower 10 m beneath the surface mixed layer relative to those within it, driven primarily by a rapid decrease in the concentrations of large (〉53 μm) biogenic particles. Depth-dependent trends were more variable over the next hundred metres for all elements except the biogenic elements P and Cd, for which concentrations decreased further. The continued loss of biogenic material with depth due to remineralization (reflected by particulate P concentrations) led to an increase in content per mass of material for all other elements measured. The observed differences in upper ocean particulate P and Fe distributions highlight the mechanism driving seasonal Fe limitation in the high latitude North Atlantic: rapid loss of P by remineralization regenerates dissolved phosphate close to the base of the mixed layer, while most particulate Fe persists deeper in the water column, removing the potential for resupply of dissolved Fe to surface waters.

Description: Highlights • In-situ temperature measurements were conducted at the Danube deep sea fan. • Operations were performed with the MARUM-MeBo200 seafloor drill rig. • The BSR is located ∼20 m below the current gas hydrate stability zone. • Seismic data suggest presence of shallower BSR-like events. Abstract Coring, geophysical logging, and in-situ temperature measurements were performed with the MARUM-MeBo200 seafloor rig to characterize gas hydrate occurrences in sediments of the Danube deep sea fan, off Romania, Black Sea. The new drilling data showed no evidence for significant gas hydrate saturations within the sediments but the presence of free gas at the depth of the bottom-simulating reflector (BSR). In-situ temperature and core-derived geochemical data suggest that the current base of the gas hydrate stability zone (BGHSZ) is ∼20 m shallower than the BSR. Investigation of the seismic data around the drill sites shows several locations where free gas previously trapped at a former BGHSZ migrated upwards forming a new reflection above the BSR. This shows that the gas hydrate system in the Danube deep sea fan is still responding to climate changes initiated at the end of the last glacial maximum.

Description: Body condition and energy reserves are important indicators of organism health, habitat suitability and predictors for the reproductive success in fish. In Greenland waters, Atlantic cod (Gadus morhua) inhabits different habitats in shallow and deep parts on top of the shelf and along slopes, where diet composition differs. We investigated the influence of habitat heterogeneity and trophic niche on body condition using organosomatic indicators, e.g. the morphometric index K, hepatosomatic and gonadosomatic indices, and biochemical indicators, e.g. lipid content and fatty acid compositions, of mature female cod. Body condition differed between sites and peaked in north-eastern regions in depths below 300 m towards the slope of the northern Irminger Sea. Trophic niches as indicated by stable isotope values and stomach composition data varied between sites, which was likely related to depth and differences between benthic and pelagic feeding regimes. Total lipid content and fatty acid profiles important for reproduction were associated with a pelagic diet comprised of mesopelagic fish and crustaceans. Interestingly, consumption of capelin was not linked to highest energy reserves as indicated by traditional body condition indices, such as K and the hepatosomatic index, but lowest ratios of eicosapentaenoic acid to arachidonic acid in gonads, which are known to be beneficial for high egg production. This shows that body condition on biochemical level can differ from conventionally used indices, which emphasizes the need to take fatty acid composition into account, when investigating condition and reproductive potential in cod. Our results emphasize that the factor habitat cannot be ignored for population replenishment of the cod stocks in Greenland waters and indicate that capelin as part of an Arcto-boreal diet benefits reproductive success in cod.