Publication Date:
2022-10-20
Description:
Submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy in Oceanography at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology and the Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution February 2021.
Description:
Anthropogenic emissions of greenhouse gases are driving rapid changes in ocean conditions. Shallow-water coral reefs are experiencing the brunt of these changes, including intensifying marine heatwaves (MHWs) and rapid ocean acidification (OA). Consequently, coral reefs are in broad-scale decline, threatening the livelihoods of hundreds of millions of people. Ensuring survival of coral reefs in the 21st century will thus require a new management approach that incorporates robust understanding of reef-scale climate change, the mechanisms by which these changes impact corals, and their potential for adaptation. In this thesis, I extract information from within coral skeletons to 1) Quantify the climate changes occurring on coral reefs and the effects
on coral growth, 2) Identify differences in the sensitivity of coral reefs to these changes, and 3) Evaluate the adaptation potential of the keystone reef-building coral, Porites. First, I develop a mechanistic Porites growth model and reveal the physicochemical link between OA and skeletal formation. I show that the thickening (densification) of coral skeletal framework is most vulnerable
to OA and that, under 21st century climate model projections, OA will reduce Porites skeletal density globally, with greatest impact in the Coral Triangle. Second, I develop an improved metric of thermal stress, and use a skeletal bleaching proxy to quantify coral responses to intensifying heatwaves in the central equatorial Pacific (CEP) since 1982. My work reveals a long history of bleaching in the CEP, and reef-specific differences in thermal tolerance linked to past heatwave exposure implying that, over time, reef communities have adapted to tolerate their unique thermal regimes. Third, I refine the Sr-U paleo-thermometer to enable monthly-resolved sea surface temperatures (SST) generation using laser ablation ICPMS. I show that laser Sr-U accurately
captures CEP SST, including the frequency and amplitude of MHWs. Finally, I apply laser Sr-U to reconstruct the past 100 years of SST at Jarvis Island in the CEP, and evaluate my proxy record of bleaching severity in this context. I determine that Porites coral populations on Jarvis Island have not yet adapted to the pace of anthropogenic climate change.
Description:
This research was supported by US National Science Foundation Awards OCE-1220529, ANT-1246387, OCE-1737311, CE-1601365, OCE-1805618, OCE-1537338, OCE-2016133, and from the Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution through the Ocean Life Institute, the Ocean Ventures Fund, the Grassle Fellowship Fund, and the MIT-WHOI Academic Programs Office.
Additional funding was provided by the Taiwan MOST Grant 104-2628-M-001-007-MY3, the Robertson Foundation, the Leverhulme Trust in UK, the Atlantic Donor Advised Fund, The Prince Albert 2 of Monaco Foundation, the Akiko Shiraki Dynner Fund, the New England Aquarium, the Martin Family Society Fellowship for Sustainability, the Gates Millenium Scholarship, the Arthur Vining Davis Foundation, the NOAA Coral Reef Conservation Program, and from the Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution through Investment in Science Fund, the Early Career Award, and the Access to the Sea Award.
Keywords:
Coral reef
;
Climate
;
Proxy
Repository Name:
Woods Hole Open Access Server
Type:
Thesis
Permalink
