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Climate change impacts on the atmospheric circulation, ocean, and fisheries in the southwest South Atlantic Ocean: a review (2020)

Franco, Bárbara C ; Defeo, Omar ; Piola, Alberto R ; [et al.]

Springer

In: EPIC3Climatic Change, Springer, 162(4), pp. 2359-2377

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Publication Date: 2022-07-13

Description: We present an interdisciplinary review of the observed and projected variations in atmospheric and oceanic circulation within the southwestern South Atlantic focused on basin-scale processes driven by climate change, and their potential impact on the regional fisheries. The observed patterns of atmospheric circulation anomalies are consistent with anthropogenic climate change. There is strong scientific evidence suggesting that the Brazil Current is intensifying and shifting southwards during the past decades in response to changes in near-surface wind patterns, leading to intense ocean warming along the path of the Brazil Current, the South Brazil Bight, and in the Río de la Plata. These changes are presumably responsible for the poleward shift of commercially important pelagic species in the region and the long-term shift from cold-water to warm-water species in industrial fisheries of Uruguay. Scientific and traditional knowledge shows that climate change is also affecting small-scale fisheries. Long-term records suggest that mass mortalities decimated harvested clam populations along coastal ecosystems of the region, leading to prolonged shellfishery closures. More frequent and intense harmful algal blooms together with unfavorable environmental conditions driven by climate change stressors affect coastal shellfisheries, impact economic revenues, and damage the livelihood of local communities. We identify future modelling needs to reduce uncertainty in the expected effects of climate change on marine fisheries. However, the paucity of fisheries data prevents a more effective assessment of the impact of climate change on fisheries and hampers the ability of governments and communities to adapt to these changes.

Repository Name: EPIC Alfred Wegener Institut

Type: Article , NonPeerReviewed

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The Extraordinary Sulfur Volcanism of Poás from 1828 to 2018 (2020)

Mora Amador, Raúl Alberto ; Rouwet, Dmitri ; Vargas, Priscilla ; [et al.]

Springer

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Publication Date: 2022-06-08

Description: This chapter is arguably the most complete compilation of sulfur volcanism of any given volcano on Earth: Poás. Sulfur volcanism at Poás is described in historical literature since 1828, and in scientific literature since the 1960’s. We first classify the various manifestations of sulfur volcanism at crater lake bearing volcanoes (subaerial and sublacustrine sulfur pools, sulfur spherules, flows, cones/hornitos, and sweat, and pyroclastic and burning sulfur), based on work by Japanese pioneers of the early 1900s. Their first observations and models have passed the test of time and still stand as theories today. Comparing the sulfur volcanism at Poás with the one at other (55) volcanoes, it is honest to say that only White Island (New Zealand) and Kawah Ijen (Indonesia) are the only ones comparable with Poás, being the most dynamic of them all.

Description: Published

Description: 45-78

Description: 4V. Processi pre-eruttivi

Repository Name: Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV)

Type: book chapter

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Forecast of summer precipitation in the Yangtze River Valley based on South China Sea springtime sea surface salinity (2020)

Zeng, Lili ; Schmitt, Raymond W. ; Li, Laifang ; [et al.]

Springer

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Publication Date: 2022-05-26

Description: © The Author(s), 2019. This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License. The definitive version was published in Zeng, L., Schmitt, R. W., Li, L., Wang, Q., & Wang, D. Forecast of summer precipitation in the Yangtze River Valley based on South China Sea springtime sea surface salinity. Climate Dynamics, 53(9-10), (2019): 5495-5509, doi: 10.1007/s00382-019-04878-y.

Description: As a major moisture source, the South China Sea (SCS) has a significant impact on the summer precipitation over China. The ocean-to-land moisture transport generates sea surface salinity (SSS) anomalies that can be used to predict summer precipitation on land. This study illustrates a high correlation between springtime SSS in the central SCS and summer precipitation over the middle and lower Yangtze River Valley (the YRV region). The linkage between spring SSS in the central SCS and summer YRV precipitation is established by ocean-to-land moisture transport by atmospheric processes and land–atmosphere soil moisture feedback. In spring, oceanic moisture evaporated from the sea surface generates high SSS in the central SCS and directly feeds the precipitation over southern China and the YRV region. The resulting soil moisture anomalies last for about 3 months triggering land–atmosphere soil moisture feedback and modulating the tropospheric moisture content and circulation in the subsequent summer. Evaluation of the atmospheric moisture balance suggests both a dynamic contribution (stronger northward meridional winds) and a local thermodynamic contribution (higher tropospheric moisture content) enhance the summer moisture supply over the YRV, generating excessive summer precipitation. Thus, spring SSS in the SCS can be utilized as an indicator of subsequent summer precipitation over the YRV region, providing value for operational climate prediction and disaster early warning systems in China.

Description: This research has been supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Nos. 41776025, 41476014, 41606030, 41806027, 41806035). RWS was supported by NSF Grant ICER-1663704. LL was supported by NSF-ICER-1663138. QW was also sponsored by the Pearl River S&T Nova Program of Guangzhou (201906010051). LZ was also supported by the Innovation Academy of South China Sea Ecology and Environmental Engineering (ISEE), Chinese Academy of Sciences, and the Southern Marine Science and Engineering Guangdong Laboratory (Guangzhou).

Keywords: South China Sea ; Yangtze River Valley ; Sea surface salinity ; Moisture flux ; Summer precipitation

Repository Name: Woods Hole Open Access Server

Type: Article

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Revisiting remote drivers of the 2014 drought in South-Eastern Brazil (2020)

Finke, Kathrin ; Jiménez-Esteve, Bernat ; Taschetto, Andrea S. ; [et al.]

Springer

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Publication Date: 2022-05-26

Description: © The Author(s), 2020. This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License. The definitive version was published in Finke, K., Jimenez-Esteve, B., Taschetto, A. S., Ummenhofer, C. C., Bumke, K., & Domeisen, D. I., V. Revisiting remote drivers of the 2014 drought in South-Eastern Brazil. Climate Dynamics, (2020), doi:10.1007/s00382-020-05442-9.

Description: South-Eastern Brazil experienced a devastating drought associated with significant agricultural losses in austral summer 2014. The drought was linked to the development of a quasi-stationary anticyclone in the South Atlantic in early 2014 that affected local precipitation patterns over South-East Brazil. Previous studies have suggested that the unusual blocking was triggered by tropical Pacific sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies and, more recently, by convection over the Indian Ocean related to the Madden–Julian Oscillation. Further investigation of the proposed teleconnections appears crucial for anticipating future economic impacts. In this study, we use numerical experiments with an idealized atmospheric general circulation model forced with the observed 2013/2014 SST anomalies in different ocean basins to understand the dominant mechanism that initiated the 2014 South Atlantic anticyclonic anomaly. We show that a forcing with global 2013/2014 SST anomalies enhances the chance for the occurrence of positive geopotential height anomalies in the South Atlantic. However, further sensitivity experiments with SST forcings in separate ocean basins suggest that neither the Indian Ocean nor tropical Pacific SST anomalies alone have contributed significantly to the anomalous atmospheric circulation that led to the 2014 South-East Brazil drought. The model study rather points to an important role of remote forcing from the South Pacific, local South Atlantic SSTs, and internal atmospheric variability in driving the persistent blocking over the South Atlantic.

Description: K.F. was partially supported by the GEOMAR Marine Meteorology research area. Support to D.D. and B.J-E. from the Swiss National Science Foundation through project PP00P2_170523 is gratefully acknowledged. This research was supported by a Research Fellowship by the Alexander von Humboldt Foundation and the Early Career Scientist Endowed Fund and The George E. Thibault Early Career Scientist Fund to C.C.U. A.S.T. is supported by the Australian Research Council FT160100495. Open access funding provided by Swiss Federal Institute of Technology Zurich.

Keywords: Brazil 2014 drought ; Teleconnection ; ENSO ; Blocking ; MJO

Repository Name: Woods Hole Open Access Server

Type: Article

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Relationships between ground motion parameters and macroseismic intensity for Italy (2020)

Gómez Capera, Augusto Antonio ; D'Amico, Maria ; Lanzano, Giovanni ; [et al.]

Springer

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Publication Date: 2022-05-24

Description: The relation between macroseismic intensity and ground shaking makes it possible to transform instrumental Ground Motion Parameters (GMPs) in macroseismic intensity and vice versa, and is therefore useful for making comparisons between estimates of seismic hazard determined in terms of GMPs and macroseismic intensity, and for other engineering and seismological applications. Empirical relationships between macroseismic intensity and different recorded GMPs for the Italian territory are presented in this paper. The coefficients are calibrated using a dataset of horizontal geometrical mean GMPs, i.e. peak ground acceleration (PGA), peak ground velocity (PGV), spectral acceleration (SA) at 0.2, 0.3, 1.0 and 2.0 s from the ITalian ACcelerometric Archive (ITACA; Luzi et al. 2019), and macroseismic intensity at Mercalli-Cancani-Sieberg (MCS) scale from the database DBMI15 (Locati et al. 2019). A dataset was obtained that corresponds to 240 pairs of macroseismic intensity-GMPs from 67 Italian earthquakes in the time window 1972-2016 with moment magnitude ranging from 4.2 to 6.8 and macroseismic intensity in the range [2, 10-11]. The final dataset is developed correlating strong motion stations and macroseismic intensity observations generally within 2 km from each other, but the associations is manually validated through the expert opinion. The adopted functional form is non-linear predicting macroseismic intensity as a function of LogGMPs and vice versa by performing separate regressions. The set of empirical conversion relationships GMP-I MCS -GMP and the associated standard deviations are compared with previous models. The results of an illustrative PSHA, obtained using a new seismogenic zonation (Santulin et al. 2017), proposed as one of the inputs of the new Italian seismic hazard model (Meletti et al. 2017), are used to analyse and compare seismic hazard assessment in terms of PGA and the related seismic hazard map in terms of macroseismic intensity (MCS) obtained using the empirical relationships here proposed for the PGA.

Description: Published

Description: 5143–5164

Description: 6T. Studi di pericolosità sismica e da maremoto

Description: JCR Journal

Keywords: macroseismic ; intensity ; groundmotionparameters ; 04.06. Seismology

Repository Name: Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV)

Type: article

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Unraveling the effects of environmental drivers and spatial structure on benthic species distribution patterns in Eurasian-Arctic seas (Barents, Kara and Laptev Seas) (2020)

Hansen, Miriam L. S. ; Piepenburg, Dieter ; Pantiukhin, Dmitrii ; [et al.]

Springer

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Publication Date: 2022-04-07

Description: In times of accelerating climate change, species are challenged to respond to rapidly shifting environmental settings. Yet, faunal distribution and composition are still scarcely known for remote and little explored seas, where observations are limited in number and mostly refer to local scales. Here, we present the first comprehensive study on Eurasian-Arctic macrobenthos that aims to unravel the relative influence of distinct spatial scales and environmental factors in determining their large-scale distribution and composition patterns. To consider the spatial structure of benthic distribution patterns in response to environmental forcing, we applied Moran’s eigenvector mapping (MEM) on a large dataset of 341 samples from the Barents, Kara and Laptev Seas taken between 1991 and 2014, with a total of 403 macrobenthic taxa (species or genera) that were present in ≥ 10 samples. MEM analysis revealed three spatial scales describing patterns within or beyond single seas (broad: ≥ 400 km, meso: 100–400 km, and small: ≤ 100 km). Each scale is associated with a characteristic benthic fauna and environmental drivers (broad: apparent oxygen utilization and phosphate, meso: distance-to-shoreline and temperature, small: organic carbon flux and distance-to-shoreline). Our results suggest that different environmental factors determine the variation of Eurasian-Arctic benthic community composition within the spatial scales considered and highlight the importance of considering the diverse spatial structure of species communities in marine ecosystems. This multiple-scale approach facilitates an enhanced understanding of the impact of climate-driven environmental changes that is necessary for developing appropriate management strategies for the conservation and sustainable utilization of Arctic marine systems.

Type: Article , PeerReviewed

Format: text

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