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  • 1
    Publikationsdatum: 2015-08-11
    Beschreibung: Accounting for the effects of sastrugi in the CERES clear-sky Antarctic shortwave angular distribution models Atmospheric Measurement Techniques, 8, 3163-3175, 2015 Author(s): J. Corbett and W. Su The Cloud and the Earth's Radiant Energy System (CERES) instruments on NASA's Terra, Aqua and Soumi NPP satellites are used to provide a long-term measurement of Earth's energy budget. To accomplish this, the radiances measured by the instruments must be inverted to fluxes by the use of a scene-type-dependent angular distribution model (ADM). For permanent snow scenes over Antarctica, shortwave (SW) ADMs are created by compositing radiance measurements over the full viewing zenith and azimuth range. However, the presence of small-scale wind blown roughness features called sastrugi cause the BRDF (bidirectional reflectance distribution function) of the snow to vary significantly based upon the solar azimuth angle and location. This can result in monthly regional biases between −12 and 7.5 Wm −2 in the inverted TOA (top-of-atmosphere) SW flux. The bias is assessed by comparing the CERES shortwave fluxes derived from nadir observations with those from all viewing zenith angles, as the sastrugi affect fluxes inverted from the oblique viewing angles more than for the nadir viewing angles. In this paper we further describe the clear-sky Antarctic ADMs from Su et al. (2015). These ADMs account for the sastrugi effect by using measurements from the Multi-Angle Imaging Spectro-Radiometer (MISR) instrument to derive statistical relationships between radiance from different viewing angles. We show here that these ADMs reduce the bias and artifacts in the CERES SW flux caused by sastrugi, both locally and Antarctic-wide. The regional monthly biases from sastrugi are reduced to between −5 and 7 Wm −2 , and the monthly-mean biases over Antarctica are reduced by up to 0.64 Wm −2 , a decrease of 74 %. These improved ADMs are used as part of the Edition 4 CERES SSF (Single Scanner Footprint) data.
    Print ISSN: 1867-1381
    Digitale ISSN: 1867-8548
    Thema: Geologie und Paläontologie
    Publiziert von Copernicus im Namen von The European Geosciences Union (EGU).
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  • 2
    Publikationsdatum: 2015-08-13
    Beschreibung: New and improved infrared absorption cross sections for dichlorodifluoromethane (CFC-12) Atmospheric Measurement Techniques, 8, 3197-3207, 2015 Author(s): J. J. Harrison Despite its widespread commercial use throughout the twentieth century, primarily in the refrigeration industry, dichlorodifluoromethane (CFC-12) is now known to have the undesirable effect of depleting stratospheric ozone. As this long-lived molecule slowly degrades in the atmosphere, monitoring its vertical concentration profile using infrared sounders on satellite platforms crucially requires accurate laboratory spectroscopic data. This work describes new high-resolution infrared absorption cross sections of dichlorodifluoromethane over the spectral range 800–1270 cm −1 , determined from spectra recorded using a high-resolution Fourier transform spectrometer (Bruker IFS 125HR) and a 26 cm pathlength cell. Spectra of dichlorodifluoromethane/dry synthetic air mixtures were recorded at resolutions between 0.01 and 0.03 cm −1 (calculated as 0.9/MOPD; MOPD = maximum optical path difference) over a range of temperatures and pressures (7.5–761 Torr and 190–294 K) appropriate for atmospheric conditions. This new cross-section dataset improves upon the one currently available in the HITRAN and GEISA databases.
    Print ISSN: 1867-1381
    Digitale ISSN: 1867-8548
    Thema: Geologie und Paläontologie
    Publiziert von Copernicus im Namen von The European Geosciences Union (EGU).
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  • 3
    Publikationsdatum: 2015-08-13
    Beschreibung: Calibration of 3-D wind measurements on a single-engine research aircraft Atmospheric Measurement Techniques, 8, 3177-3196, 2015 Author(s): C. Mallaun, A. Giez, and R. Baumann An innovative calibration method for the wind speed measurement using a boom-mounted Rosemount model 858 AJ air velocity probe is introduced. The method is demonstrated for a sensor system installed on a medium-size research aircraft which is used for measurements in the atmospheric boundary layer. The method encounters a series of coordinated flight manoeuvres to directly estimate the aerodynamic influences on the probe and to calculate the measurement uncertainties. The introduction of a differential Global Positioning System (DGPS) combined with a high-accuracy inertial reference system (IRS) has brought major advances to airborne measurement techniques. The exact determination of geometrical height allows the use of the pressure signal as an independent parameter. Furthermore, the exact height information and the stepwise calibration process lead to maximum accuracy. The results show a measurement uncertainty for the aerodynamic influence of the dynamic and static pressures of 0.1 hPa. The applied parametrisation does not require any height dependencies or time shifts. After extensive flight tests a correction for the flow angles (attack and sideslip angles) was found, which is necessary for a successful wind calculation. A new method is demonstrated to correct for the aerodynamic influence on the sideslip angle. For the three-dimensional (3-D) wind vector (with 100 Hz resolution) a novel error propagation scheme is tested, which determines the measurement uncertainties to be 0.3 m s −1 for the horizontal and 0.2 m s −1 for the vertical wind components.
    Print ISSN: 1867-1381
    Digitale ISSN: 1867-8548
    Thema: Geologie und Paläontologie
    Publiziert von Copernicus im Namen von The European Geosciences Union (EGU).
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  • 4
    Publikationsdatum: 2015-08-14
    Beschreibung: On the consistency of 2-D video disdrometers in measuring microphysical parameters of solid precipitation Atmospheric Measurement Techniques, 8, 3251-3261, 2015 Author(s): F. Bernauer, K. Hürkamp, W. Rühm, and J. Tschiersch Detailed characterization and classification of precipitation is an important task in atmospheric research. Line scanning 2-D video disdrometer devices are well established for rain observations. The two orthogonal views taken of each hydrometeor passing the sensitive area of the instrument qualify these devices especially for detailed characterization of nonsymmetric solid hydrometeors. However, in case of solid precipitation, problems related to the matching algorithm have to be considered and the user must be aware of the limited spatial resolution when size and shape descriptors are analyzed. Clarifying the potential of 2-D video disdrometers in deriving size, velocity and shape parameters from single recorded pictures is the aim of this work. The need of implementing a matching algorithm suitable for mixed- and solid-phase precipitation is highlighted as an essential step in data evaluation. For this purpose simple reproducible experiments with solid steel spheres and irregularly shaped Styrofoam particles are conducted. Self-consistency of shape parameter measurements is tested in 38 cases of real snowfall. As a result, it was found that reliable size and shape characterization with a relative standard deviation of less than 5 % is only possible for particles larger than 1 mm. For particles between 0.5 and 1.0 mm the relative standard deviation can grow up to 22 % for the volume, 17 % for size parameters and 14 % for shape descriptors. Testing the adapted matching algorithm with a reproducible experiment with Styrofoam particles, a mismatch probability of less than 3 % was found. For shape parameter measurements in case of real solid-phase precipitation, the 2-DVD shows self-consistent behavior.
    Print ISSN: 1867-1381
    Digitale ISSN: 1867-8548
    Thema: Geologie und Paläontologie
    Publiziert von Copernicus im Namen von The European Geosciences Union (EGU).
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  • 5
    Publikationsdatum: 2015-08-14
    Beschreibung: Schneefernerhaus as a mountain research station for clouds and turbulence Atmospheric Measurement Techniques, 8, 3209-3218, 2015 Author(s): S. Risius, H. Xu, F. Di Lorenzo, H. Xi, H. Siebert, R. A. Shaw, and E. Bodenschatz Cloud measurements are usually carried out with airborne campaigns, which are expensive and are limited by temporal duration and weather conditions. Ground-based measurements at high-altitude research stations therefore play a complementary role in cloud study. Using the meteorological data (wind speed, direction, temperature, humidity, visibility, etc.) collected by the German Weather Service (DWD) from 2000 to 2012 and turbulence measurements recorded by multiple ultrasonic sensors (sampled at 10 Hz) in 2010, we show that the Umweltforschungsstation Schneefernerhaus (UFS) located just below the peak of Zugspitze in the German Alps, at a height of 2650 m, is a well-suited station for cloud–turbulence research. The wind at UFS is dominantly in the east–west direction and nearly horizontal. During the summertime (July and August) the UFS is immersed in warm clouds about 25 % of the time. The clouds are either from convection originating in the valley in the east, or associated with synoptic-scale weather systems typically advected from the west. Air turbulence, as measured from the second- and third-order velocity structure functions that exhibit well-developed inertial ranges, possesses Taylor microscale Reynolds numbers up to 10 4 , with the most probable value at ~ 3000. In spite of the complex topography, the turbulence appears to be nearly as isotropic as many laboratory flows when evaluated on the "Lumley triangle".
    Print ISSN: 1867-1381
    Digitale ISSN: 1867-8548
    Thema: Geologie und Paläontologie
    Publiziert von Copernicus im Namen von The European Geosciences Union (EGU).
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  • 6
    Publikationsdatum: 2015-08-14
    Beschreibung: Plume-based analysis of vehicle fleet air pollutant emissions and the contribution from high emitters Atmospheric Measurement Techniques, 8, 3263-3275, 2015 Author(s): J. M. Wang, C.-H. Jeong, N. Zimmerman, R. M. Healy, D. K. Wang, F. Ke, and G. J. Evans An automated identification and integration method has been developed for in-use vehicle emissions under real-world conditions. This technique was applied to high-time-resolution air pollutant measurements of in-use vehicle emissions performed under real-world conditions at a near-road monitoring station in Toronto, Canada, during four seasons, through month-long campaigns in 2013–2014. Based on carbon dioxide measurements, over 100 000 vehicle-related plumes were automatically identified and fuel-based emission factors for nitrogen oxides; carbon monoxide; particle number; black carbon; benzene, toluene, ethylbenzene, and xylenes (BTEX); and methanol were determined for each plume. Thus the automated identification enabled the measurement of an unprecedented number of plumes and pollutants over an extended duration. Emission factors for volatile organic compounds were also measured roadside for the first time using a proton transfer reaction time-of-flight mass spectrometer; this instrument provided the time resolution required for the plume capture technique. Mean emission factors were characteristic of the light-duty gasoline-dominated vehicle fleet present at the measurement site, with mean black carbon and particle number emission factors of 35 mg kg fuel −1 and 7.5 × 10 14 # kg fuel −1 , respectively. The use of the plume-by-plume analysis enabled isolation of vehicle emissions, and the elucidation of co-emitted pollutants from similar vehicle types, variability of emissions across the fleet, and the relative contribution from heavy emitters. It was found that a small proportion of the fleet ( 〈 25 %) contributed significantly to total fleet emissions: 100, 100, 81, and 77 % for black carbon, carbon monoxide, BTEX, and particle number, respectively. Emission factors of a single pollutant may help classify a vehicle as a high emitter; however, regulatory strategies to more efficiently target multi-pollutant mixtures may be better developed by considering the co-emitted pollutants as well.
    Print ISSN: 1867-1381
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    Thema: Geologie und Paläontologie
    Publiziert von Copernicus im Namen von The European Geosciences Union (EGU).
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  • 7
    Publikationsdatum: 2015-08-14
    Beschreibung: High-resolution measurement of cloud microphysics and turbulence at a mountaintop station Atmospheric Measurement Techniques, 8, 3219-3228, 2015 Author(s): H. Siebert, R. A. Shaw, J. Ditas, T. Schmeissner, S. P. Malinowski, E. Bodenschatz, and H. Xu Mountain research stations are advantageous not only for long-term sampling of cloud properties but also for measurements that are prohibitively difficult to perform on airborne platforms due to the large true air speed or adverse factors such as weight and complexity of the equipment necessary. Some cloud–turbulence measurements, especially Lagrangian in nature, fall into this category. We report results from simultaneous, high-resolution and collocated measurements of cloud microphysical and turbulence properties during several warm cloud events at the Umweltforschungsstation Schneefernerhaus (UFS) on Zugspitze in the German Alps. The data gathered were found to be representative of observations made with similar instrumentation in free clouds. The observed turbulence shared all features known for high-Reynolds-number flows: it exhibited approximately Gaussian fluctuations for all three velocity components, a clearly defined inertial subrange following Kolmogorov scaling (power spectrum, and second- and third-order Eulerian structure functions), and highly intermittent velocity gradients, as well as approximately lognormal kinetic energy dissipation rates. The clouds were observed to have liquid water contents on the order of 1 g m −3 and size distributions typical of continental clouds, sometimes exhibiting long positive tails indicative of large drop production through turbulent mixing or coalescence growth. Dimensionless parameters relevant to cloud–turbulence interactions, the Stokes number and settling parameter are in the range typically observed in atmospheric clouds. Observed fluctuations in droplet number concentration and diameter suggest a preference for inhomogeneous mixing. Finally, enhanced variance in liquid water content fluctuations is observed at high frequencies, and the scale break occurs at a value consistent with the independently estimated phase relaxation time from microphysical measurements.
    Print ISSN: 1867-1381
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    Thema: Geologie und Paläontologie
    Publiziert von Copernicus im Namen von The European Geosciences Union (EGU).
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  • 8
    Publikationsdatum: 2015-08-14
    Beschreibung: ABSTRACT The present study investigates the characteristics of active and break cycles associated with the Indian summer monsoon (ISM) during developing and decaying phase of El Niño and in the years in which Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) co-occurred with El Niño (co-occurred years). Observations show that break days are more in number (∼2–3 times) and long lasting (∼15–20 days) than active days in El Niño developing summers and vice versa for decay years. During El Niño developing years, northward propagation is well organized with significant anomalies in both active and break phases. The increased convection associated with active phase persists longer over Indian Ocean, than over the monsoon region, while the reduced convection in break phase propagates faster from ocean to land and persists there for a longer time. Compared to break events, active events have slower (faster) propagation over the monsoon (oceanic) region during El Nino decay years. The present study put forward the argument that the contrasting persistent circulations over Indo-western Pacific regions favour particular phase of intra-seasonal oscillation (ISO) in developing and decay phase of El Nino. These long-lasting circulations advect anomalous dry (moist) air to ISM region for longer period, resulting in long-lasting break (active) events in El Niño developing (decay) years. During co-occurrence years, the number of break (active) days is reduced by two to three times compared to the developing (decaying) phase of El Niño. It is found that 30- to 60-day scale ISO is strongly modulated, than 10 - to 20-day scale, by the changes in seasonal mean state associated with El Nino. Thus, this study demonstrates that the ISO characteristics such as its variance, northward propagation, spatial distribution and duration of active and break days are strongly modulated by seasonal background anomalies over the Indo-Pacific region.
    Print ISSN: 0899-8418
    Digitale ISSN: 1097-0088
    Thema: Geologie und Paläontologie , Physik
    Publiziert von Wiley
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  • 9
    Publikationsdatum: 2015-08-14
    Beschreibung: ABSTRACT The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) Lead Centre for Long-Range Forecast Multi-Model Ensemble (WMO LC-LRFMME) has been established to collect and share long-range forecasts from the WMO designated Global Producing Centres (GPC). In this study, the seasonal skill of the deterministic multi-model prediction of GPCs in WMO LC-LRFMME is investigated. The GPC models included in the analysis cover 30 years of common hindcast period from 1981 to 2010 and real-time forecast for the period from DJF2011/2012 to SON2014. The equal-weighted multi-model ensemble (MME) method is used to produce the MME forecast. We show that the GPC models generally capture the observed climatological patterns and seasonal variations in temperature and precipitation. However, some systematic biases/errors in simulation of the climatological mean patterns and zonal mean profiles are also found, most of which are located in mid-latitudes or high latitudes. The temporal correlation coefficients both of 2 m temperature and precipitation in the tropical region (especially over the ocean) exceed 95%, but drop gradually towards high latitudes and are even negative in the polar region for precipitation. The prediction skills of individual models and the MME over 13 regional climate outlook forum (RCOF) regions for four calendar seasons are also assessed. The prediction skills vary with season and region, with the highest skill being demonstrated by the MME forecasts for the regions of the tropical RCOFs. These predictions are strongly affected by the ENSO over Pacific Islands, Southeast Asia and Central America. Additionally, Southeast of South America and North Eurasian regions show relatively low skills for all seasons when compared to other regions.
    Print ISSN: 0899-8418
    Digitale ISSN: 1097-0088
    Thema: Geologie und Paläontologie , Physik
    Publiziert von Wiley
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  • 10
    Publikationsdatum: 2015-08-04
    Beschreibung: The Ice Selective Inlet: a novel technique for exclusive extraction of pristine ice crystals in mixed-phase clouds Atmospheric Measurement Techniques, 8, 3087-3106, 2015 Author(s): P. Kupiszewski, E. Weingartner, P. Vochezer, M. Schnaiter, A. Bigi, M. Gysel, B. Rosati, E. Toprak, S. Mertes, and U. Baltensperger Climate predictions are affected by high uncertainties partially due to an insufficient knowledge of aerosol–cloud interactions. One of the poorly understood processes is formation of mixed-phase clouds (MPCs) via heterogeneous ice nucleation. Field measurements of the atmospheric ice phase in MPCs are challenging due to the presence of much more numerous liquid droplets. The Ice Selective Inlet (ISI), presented in this paper, is a novel inlet designed to selectively sample pristine ice crystals in mixed-phase clouds and extract the ice residual particles contained within the crystals for physical and chemical characterization. Using a modular setup composed of a cyclone impactor, droplet evaporation unit and pumped counterflow virtual impactor (PCVI), the ISI segregates particles based on their inertia and phase, exclusively extracting small ice particles between 5 and 20 μm in diameter. The setup also includes optical particle spectrometers for analysis of the number size distribution and shape of the sampled hydrometeors. The novelty of the ISI is a droplet evaporation unit, which separates liquid droplets and ice crystals in the airborne state, thus avoiding physical impaction of the hydrometeors and limiting potential artefacts. The design and validation of the droplet evaporation unit is based on modelling studies of droplet evaporation rates and computational fluid dynamics simulations of gas and particle flows through the unit. Prior to deployment in the field, an inter-comparison of the optical particle size spectrometers and a characterization of the transmission efficiency of the PCVI was conducted in the laboratory. The ISI was subsequently deployed during the Cloud and Aerosol Characterization Experiment (CLACE) 2013 and 2014 – two extensive international field campaigns encompassing comprehensive measurements of cloud microphysics, as well as bulk aerosol, ice residual and ice nuclei properties. The campaigns provided an important opportunity for a proof of concept of the inlet design. In this work we present the setup of the ISI, including the modelling and laboratory characterization of its components, as well as field measurements demonstrating the ISI performance and validating the working principle of the inlet. Finally, measurements of biological aerosol during a Saharan dust event (SDE) are presented, showing a first indication of enrichment of bio-material in sub-2 μm ice residuals.
    Print ISSN: 1867-1381
    Digitale ISSN: 1867-8548
    Thema: Geologie und Paläontologie
    Publiziert von Copernicus im Namen von The European Geosciences Union (EGU).
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  • 11
    Publikationsdatum: 2015-08-22
    Beschreibung: A modification to the standard ionospheric correction method used in GPS radio occultation Atmospheric Measurement Techniques, 8, 3385-3393, 2015 Author(s): S. B. Healy and I. D. Culverwell A modification to the standard bending-angle correction used in GPS radio occultation (GPS-RO) is proposed. The modified approach should reduce systematic residual ionospheric errors in GPS radio occultation climatologies. A new second-order term is introduced in order to account for a known source of systematic error, which is generally neglected. The new term has the form κ(a) × (α L1 (a)-α L2 (a)) 2 , where a is the impact parameter and (α L1 , α L2 ) are the L1 and L2 bending angles, respectively. The variable κ is a weak function of the impact parameter, a , but it does depend on a priori ionospheric information. The theoretical basis of the new term is examined. The sensitivity of κ to the assumed ionospheric parameters is investigated in one-dimensional simulations, and it is shown that κ ≃ 10–20 rad −1 . We note that the current implicit assumption is κ=0, and this is probably adequate for numerical weather prediction applications. However, the uncertainty in κ should be included in the uncertainty estimates for the geophysical climatologies produced from GPS-RO measurements. The limitations of the new ionospheric correction when applied to CHAMP (Challenging Minisatellite Payload) measurements are noted. These arise because of the assumption that the refractive index is unity at the satellite, made when deriving bending angles from the Doppler shift values.
    Print ISSN: 1867-1381
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    Thema: Geologie und Paläontologie
    Publiziert von Copernicus im Namen von The European Geosciences Union (EGU).
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  • 12
    Publikationsdatum: 2015-08-22
    Beschreibung: Editorial Note "A novel Whole Air Sample Profiler (WASP) for the quantification of volatile organic compounds in the boundary layer" published in Atmos. Meas. Tech., 6, 2703–2712, 2013 Atmospheric Measurement Techniques, 8, 3405-3406, 2015 Author(s): T. Wagner, H. Harder, J. Joiner, P. Laj, and A. Richter No abstract available.
    Print ISSN: 1867-1381
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    Thema: Geologie und Paläontologie
    Publiziert von Copernicus im Namen von The European Geosciences Union (EGU).
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  • 13
    Publikationsdatum: 2015-08-22
    Beschreibung: Global validation of SCIAMACHY limb ozone data (versions 2.9 and 3.0, IUP Bremen) using ozonesonde measurements Atmospheric Measurement Techniques, 8, 3369-3383, 2015 Author(s): J. Jia, A. Rozanov, A. Ladstätter-Weißenmayer, and J. P. Burrows In this paper, the latest SCIAMACHY limb ozone scientific vertical profiles, namely the current V2.9 and the upcoming V3.0, are extensively compared with ozonesonde data from the World Ozone and Ultraviolet Radiation Data Centre (WOUDC) database. The comparisons are made on a global scale from 2003 to 2011, involving 61 sonde stations. The retrieval processors used to generate V2.9 and V3.0 data sets are briefly introduced. The comparisons are discussed in terms of vertical profiles and stratospheric partial columns. Our results indicate that the V2.9 ozone profile data between 20 and 30 km are in good agreement with ground-based measurements, with less than 5 % relative differences in the latitude range of 90° S–40° N (with the exception of the tropical Pacific region, where an overestimation of more than 10 % is observed), which corresponds to less than 5 DU partial-column differences. In the tropics the differences are within 3 %. However, this data set shows a significant underestimation northwards of 40° N (up to ~ 15 %). The newly developed V3.0 data set reduces this bias to below 10 % while maintaining a good agreement southwards of 40° N with slightly increased relative differences of up to 5 % in the tropics.
    Print ISSN: 1867-1381
    Digitale ISSN: 1867-8548
    Thema: Geologie und Paläontologie
    Publiziert von Copernicus im Namen von The European Geosciences Union (EGU).
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  • 14
    Publikationsdatum: 2015-08-25
    Beschreibung: Exploiting the sensitivity of two satellite cloud height retrievals to cloud vertical distribution Atmospheric Measurement Techniques, 8, 3419-3431, 2015 Author(s): C. K. Carbajal Henken, L. Doppler, R. Lindstrot, R. Preusker, and J. Fischer This work presents a study on the sensitivity of two satellite cloud height retrievals to cloud vertical distribution. The difference in sensitivity is exploited by relating the difference in the retrieved cloud heights to cloud vertical extent. The two cloud height retrievals, performed within the Freie Universität Berlin AATSR MERIS Cloud (FAME-C) algorithm, are based on independent measurements and different retrieval techniques. First, cloud-top temperature (CTT) is retrieved from Advanced Along Track Scanning Radiometer (AATSR) measurements in the thermal infrared. Second, cloud-top pressure (CTP) is retrieved from Medium Resolution Imaging Spectrometer (MERIS) measurements in the oxygen-A absorption band and a nearby window channel. Both CTT and CTP are converted to cloud-top height (CTH) using atmospheric profiles from a numerical weather prediction model. First, a sensitivity study using radiative transfer simulations in the near-infrared and thermal infrared was performed to demonstrate, in a quantitative manner, the larger impact of the assumed cloud vertical extinction profile, described in terms of shape and vertical extent, on MERIS than on AATSR top-of-atmosphere measurements. Consequently, cloud vertical extinction profiles will have a larger influence on the MERIS than on the AATSR cloud height retrievals for most cloud types. Second, the difference in retrieved CTH (ΔCTH) from AATSR and MERIS are related to cloud vertical extent (CVE), as observed by ground-based lidar and radar at three ARM sites. To increase the impact of the cloud vertical extinction profile on the MERIS-CTP retrievals, single-layer and geometrically thin clouds are assumed in the forward model. Similarly to previous findings, the MERIS-CTP retrievals appear to be close to pressure levels in the middle of the cloud. Assuming a linear relationship, the ΔCTH multiplied by 2.5 gives an estimate on the CVE for single-layer clouds. The relationship is stronger for single-layer clouds than for multi-layer clouds. Due to large variations of cloud vertical extinction profiles occurring in nature, a quantitative estimate of the cloud vertical extent is accompanied with large uncertainties. Yet, estimates of the CVE provide an additional parameter, next to CTH, that can be obtained from passive imager measurements and can be used to further describe cloud vertical distribution, thus contributing to the characterization of a cloudy scene. To further demonstrate the plausibility of the approach, an estimate of the CVE was applied to a case study. In light of the follow-up mission Sentinel-3 with AATSR and MERIS like instruments, Sea and Land Surface Temperature Radiometer (SLSTR) and (Ocean and Land Colour Instrument) OLCI, respectively, for which the FAME-C algorithm can be easily adapted, a more accurate estimate of the CVE can be expected. OLCI will have three channels in the oxygen-A absorption band, possibly providing enhanced information on cloud vertical distributions.
    Print ISSN: 1867-1381
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    Thema: Geologie und Paläontologie
    Publiziert von Copernicus im Namen von The European Geosciences Union (EGU).
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  • 15
    Publikationsdatum: 2015-08-20
    Beschreibung: Accuracy of retrieving temperature and humidity profiles by ground-based microwave radiometry in truly complex terrain Atmospheric Measurement Techniques, 8, 3355-3367, 2015 Author(s): G. Massaro, I. Stiperski, B. Pospichal, and M. W. Rotach Within the Innsbruck Box project, a ground-based microwave radiometer (RPG-HATPRO) was operated in the Inn Valley (Austria), in very complex terrain, between September 2012 and May 2013 to obtain temperature and humidity vertical profiles of the full troposphere with a specific focus on the valley boundary layer. In order to assess its performance in a deep alpine valley, the profiles obtained by the radiometer with different retrieval algorithms based on different climatologies are compared to local radiosonde data. A retrieval that is improved with respect to the one provided by the manufacturer, based on better resolved data, shows a significantly smaller root mean square error (RMSE), both for the temperature and humidity profiles. The improvement is particularly substantial at the heights close to the mountaintop level and in the upper troposphere. Lower-level inversions, common in an alpine valley, are resolved to a satisfactory degree. On the other hand, upper-level inversions (above 1200 m) still pose a significant challenge for retrieval. For this purpose, specialized retrieval algorithms were developed by classifying the radiosonde climatologies into specialized categories according to different criteria (seasons, daytime, nighttime) and using additional regressors (e.g., measurements from mountain stations). The training and testing on the radiosonde data for these specialized categories suggests that a classification of profiles that reproduces meaningful physical characteristics can yield improved targeted specialized retrievals. A novel and very promising method of improving the profile retrieval in a mountainous region is adding further information in the retrieval, such as the surface temperature at fixed levels along a topographic slope or from nearby mountaintops.
    Print ISSN: 1867-1381
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    Thema: Geologie und Paläontologie
    Publiziert von Copernicus im Namen von The European Geosciences Union (EGU).
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  • 16
    Publikationsdatum: 2015-08-25
    Beschreibung: Comparison of ozone retrievals from the Pandora spectrometer system and Dobson spectrophotometer in Boulder, Colorado Atmospheric Measurement Techniques, 8, 3407-3418, 2015 Author(s): J. Herman, R. Evans, A. Cede, N. Abuhassan, I. Petropavlovskikh, and G. McConville A comparison of retrieved total column ozone (TCO) amounts between the Pandora #34 spectrometer system and the Dobson #061 spectrophotometer from direct-sun observations was performed on the roof of the Boulder, Colorado, NOAA building. This paper, part of an ongoing study, covers a 1-year period starting on 17 December 2013. Both the standard Dobson and Pandora TCO retrievals required a correction, TCOcorr = TCO (1 + C(T) ), using a monthly varying effective ozone temperature, T E , derived from a temperature and ozone profile climatology. The correction is used to remove a seasonal difference caused by using a fixed temperature in each retrieval algorithm. The respective corrections C ( T E ) are C Pandora = 0.00333( T E -225) and C Dobson = -0.0013( T E -226.7) per degree K. After the applied corrections removed most of the seasonal retrieval dependence on ozone temperature, TCO agreement between the instruments was within 1 % for clear-sky conditions. For clear-sky observations, both co-located instruments tracked the day-to-day variation in total column ozone amounts with a correlation of r 2 = 0.97 and an average offset of 1.1 ± 5.8 DU. In addition, the Pandora TCO data showed 0.3 % annual average agreement with satellite overpass data from AURA/OMI (Ozone Monitoring Instrument) and 1 % annual average offset with Suomi-NPP/OMPS (Suomi National Polar-orbiting Partnership, the nadir viewing portion of the Ozone Mapper Profiler Suite).
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    Publiziert von Copernicus im Namen von The European Geosciences Union (EGU).
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  • 17
    Publikationsdatum: 2015-08-13
    Beschreibung: ABSTRACT This study examines the trends in reference evapotranspiration (ET o ) in Turkey by analysing data from 77 weather stations for a 32-year period (1975–2006). ET o values were calculated using the Penman–Monteith method using air temperature, wind speed, relative humidity, and sunshine hours data. Trends in annual and monthly ET o were determined using the Mann–Kendall trend test with the trend-free prewhitening procedure. The magnitude of trends was estimated by calculating the Sen's slope. The collective or field significance of the trends was evaluated using Walker test. The possible causes of changes in ET o were discussed by analysing the trends in air temperature, wind speed, relative humidity, and solar radiation data collected at the same stations. The implications of ET o trends for crop water requirements were evaluated. The analyses showed that the majority of stations (88%) in Turkey had annual ET o between 750 and 1200 mm during the 32-year period and ET o decreased gradually from south to north. From 1975 to 2006, 58% of stations had upward trends in annual ET o . Upward trends were statistically significant at the 0.05 level for 32% of stations. The rates of changes in annual ET o were on average 1.20 mm year −2 . The trends detected in monthly ET o were mostly upward with an average magnitude between −0.01 and 0.14 mm month year −1 . Trends detected at the annual timescale and for the majority of the months provided the field significance at the 0.05 level. Analysis of other climatic data showed that upward trends in air temperatures, downward trends in wind speeds, and downward trends in relative humidity were widespread over Turkey for the same time period. Changes in these three parameters could explain the majority of the changes in ET o rates. The ET o changes affect crop water requirements and increase the demand for irrigation.
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    Thema: Geologie und Paläontologie , Physik
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  • 18
    Publikationsdatum: 2015-08-13
    Beschreibung: ABSTRACT We explore the occurrence of intraseasonal summer heat waves in southeastern Patagonia (SEPG, 46°–52°S; 65°–70°W) since the late 19th century by means of the Twentieth Century Reanalysis version 2 (20CRv2). In total, we identify 201 cases for 1872–2010 using criteria of intensity and persistence. In SEPG, the corresponding intraseasonal temperature signals are centred around the first day of each cluster of days fulfilling those conditions (named day 0). The mean warm deviation lasts for approximately 2 weeks and exhibits a mean temperature peak of 4.3 °C on day 0 (the warmest day in the mean signal). In a regional context, the mean temperature perturbation associated with these heat waves affects a broad area on both sides of the Andes. The warming in SEPG is caused by temperature advection and enhanced radiative heating, following a high pressure system over southern South America (SSA). This atmospheric perturbation is embedded in a wave-train-like pattern along the South Pacific. As part of this pattern, a cyclonic anomaly progresses eastward over the Tasman Sea in Oceania, moving from southeastern Australia (day −6, causing a dry anomaly there) over New Zealand (day −3, inducing a wet anomaly on its Southern Island). The anomalous circulation triggered by the wave train leads thus to a teleconnection between SSA and Oceania, documented in a previous work for the interannual scale. Two thirds of the heat wave events are linked to enhanced ascent in the South Atlantic Convergence Zone (SACZ) and around one third of the events within 1957–2010 are associated with extreme absolute maximum temperatures observed at a station-based record from SEPG. Finally, possible spatial modulations of the wave train pattern at the interannual and interdecadal timescales are discussed.
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  • 19
    Publikationsdatum: 2015-08-15
    Beschreibung: Retrieval and validation of carbon dioxide, methane and water vapor for the Canary Islands IR-laser occultation experiment Atmospheric Measurement Techniques, 8, 3315-3336, 2015 Author(s): V. Proschek, G. Kirchengast, S. Schweitzer, J. S. A. Brooke, P. F. Bernath, C. B. Thomas, J.-G. Wang, K. A. Tereszchuk, G. González Abad, R. J. Hargreaves, C. A. Beale, J. J. Harrison, P. A. Martin, V. L. Kasyutich, C. Gerbig, O. Kolle, and A. Loescher The first ground-based experiment to prove the concept of a novel space-based observation technique for microwave and infrared-laser occultation between low-Earth-orbit satellites was performed in the Canary Islands between La Palma and Tenerife. For two nights from 21 to 22 July 2011 the experiment delivered the infrared-laser differential transmission principle for the measurement of greenhouse gases (GHGs) in the free atmosphere. Such global and long-term stable measurements of GHGs, accompanied also by measurements of thermodynamic parameters and line-of-sight wind in a self-calibrating way, have become very important for climate change monitoring. The experiment delivered promising initial data for demonstrating the new observation concept by retrieving volume mixing ratios of GHGs along a ~144 km signal path at altitudes of ~2.4 km. Here, we present a detailed analysis of the measurements, following a recent publication that introduced the experiment's technical setup and first results for an example retrieval of CO 2 . We present the observational and validation data sets, the latter simultaneously measured at the transmitter and receiver sites; the measurement data handling; and the differential transmission retrieval procedure. We also determine the individual and combined uncertainties influencing the results and present the retrieval results for 12 CO 2 , 13 CO 2 , C 18 OO, H 2 O and CH 4 . The new method is found to have a reliable basis for monitoring of greenhouse gases such as CO 2 , CH 4 , and H 2 O in the free atmosphere.
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    Publiziert von Copernicus im Namen von The European Geosciences Union (EGU).
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  • 20
    Publikationsdatum: 2015-07-30
    Beschreibung: ABSTRACT The Pacific-Japan (PJ) pattern affects interannual variability in the East Asian and western North Pacific (WNP) summer monsoons. This teleconnection pattern is characterized by a meridional dipole of anomalous circulation and precipitation between the tropical WNP and the midlatitudes. This study develops a long index of the PJ pattern using station-based atmospheric pressure data to track the PJ variability from 1897 to 2013. This index is correlated with a wide array of climate variables including air temperature, precipitation, Yangtze River flow, Japanese rice yield and the occurrence of tropical cyclones over the WNP (especially those that make landfall on the Chinese and Korean coast). For the recent three decades, the PJ index reproduces well-known correlations with El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) in the preceding boreal winter and Indian Ocean temperature in the concurrent summer. For the 117-year period, this ENSO-PJ relationship varies on interdecadal time scales, with low correlations in the 1920s and from the 1940s to 1970s, and recurrences of significant correlations at the beginning of the 20th century and the 1930s. In accordance with the modulation, the magnitude and regional climate effect of the PJ variability have changed. These results highlight the importance of interdecadal modulations of climate anomalies in the summer WNP and the need of long-term observations to study such modulations.
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  • 21
    Publikationsdatum: 2015-08-07
    Beschreibung: ABSTRACT The aim of this article is to present a methodology that describes the relationship between two time series according to their oscillatory modes. Cross-wavelet analysis is used to analyse the connection between the outputs of the empirical mode decomposition (EMD). The combined EMD and cross-wavelet methodology is used for the description of the connection between the annual mean streamflow of Quebec rivers and the North Atlantic Oscillation index (NAO). The relationship between the two time series is analysed by cross-wavelet analysis at the level of the mode of oscillation extracted from the EMD algorithm. The resulting cross-spectra are obtained individually for 18 stations and show intermittent intensity in these relationships between 1970 and 1990 for different oscillation modes. To highlight its particularity, the present methodology is compared with the results of a similar combination of multiresolution analysis (MRA) and cross-wavelet analysis. It shows that EMD isolates clearer bands of frequencies than MRA. Finally, a multi-site analysis is proposed, which performs a principal component analysis of the cross-spectra. This analysis illustrates the evolution of the relationships according to the geographic location. Finally, the advantages and limitations of the proposed methodology are discussed.
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  • 22
    Publikationsdatum: 2015-08-07
    Beschreibung: ABSTRACT Hot summer days may lead to reduced thermal discomfort, labour productivity, and higher morbidity and mortality for vulnerable groups. The projected climate change may raise this thermal discomfort in the future. To implement measures to prevent adverse health conditions, robust estimates of the future human thermal comfort (HTC) are required. This study analyses the future HTC for both coastal and inland Dutch cities and countryside. The future conditions are based on the KNMI-06 climate scenarios. Using these scenarios, observed weather data from 1976 to 2005 are transformed to future weather design data representative for 2050. Subsequently, HTC expressed in the physiological equivalent temperature (PET) is estimated for these future scenarios. A substantial increase of heat stress abundance is foreseen in all climate scenarios, for both urban and rural areas, particularly, under the most intense warming. In these scenarios, the frequency of hours with heat stress will more than double, and the increase will develop faster in an urban canyon than in rural areas. In urban areas, PET shows a maximum as function of sky-view factor (SVF), i.e. for a smaller SVF a wind speed reduction increases the PET on one hand and shading reduces the PET on the other hand.
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  • 23
    Publikationsdatum: 2015-08-08
    Beschreibung: ABSTRACT El Niño phenomenon is the leading mode of sea surface temperature interannual variability. It can affect weather patterns worldwide and therefore crop production. Crop models are useful tools for impact and predictability applications, allowing to obtain long time series of potential and attainable crop yield, unlike to available time series of observed crop yield for many countries. Using this tool, crop yield variability in a location of Iberia Peninsula (IP) has been previously studied, finding predictability from Pacific El Niño conditions. Nevertheless, the work has not been done for an extended area. The present work carries out an analysis of maize yield variability in IP for the whole 20th century, using a calibrated crop model at five contrasting Spanish locations and reanalyses climate datasets to obtain long time series of potential yield. The study tests the use of reanalysis data for obtaining only climate-dependent time series of crop yield for the whole region, and to use these yield to analyse the influences of oceanic and atmospheric patterns. The results show a good reliability of reanalysis data. The spatial distribution of the leading principal component of yield variability shows a similar behaviour over all the studied locations in the IP. The strong linear correlation between El Niño index and yield is remarkable, being this relation non-stationary on time, although the air temperature–yield relationship remains on time, being the highest influences during grain filling period. Regarding atmospheric patterns, the summer Scandinavian pattern has significant influence on yield in IP. The potential usefulness of this study is to apply the relationships found to improving crop forecasting in IP.
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  • 24
    Publikationsdatum: 2015-08-08
    Beschreibung: New calibration noise suppression techniques for the GLORIA limb imager Atmospheric Measurement Techniques, 8, 3147-3161, 2015 Author(s): T. Guggenmoser, J. Blank, A. Kleinert, T. Latzko, J. Ungermann, F. Friedl-Vallon, M. Höpfner, M. Kaufmann, E. Kretschmer, G. Maucher, T. Neubert, H. Oelhaf, P. Preusse, M. Riese, H. Rongen, M. K. Sha, O. Sumińska-Ebersoldt, and V. Tan The Gimballed Limb Observer for Radiance Imaging of the Atmosphere (GLORIA) presents new opportunities for the retrieval of trace gases in the upper troposphere and lower stratosphere. The radiometric calibration of the measured signal is achieved using in-flight measurements of reference blackbody and upward-pointing "deep space" scenes. In this paper, we present techniques developed specifically to calibrate GLORIA data exploiting the instrument's imaging capability. The algorithms discussed here make use of the spatial correlation of parameters across GLORIA's detector pixels in order to mitigate the noise levels and artefacts in the calibration measurements. This is achieved by combining a priori and empirical knowledge about the instrument background radiation with noise-mitigating compression methods, specifically low-pass filtering and principal component analysis (PCA). In addition, a new software package for the processing of GLORIA data is introduced which allows us to generate calibrated spectra from raw measurements in a semi-automated data processing chain.
    Print ISSN: 1867-1381
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    Publiziert von Copernicus im Namen von The European Geosciences Union (EGU).
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  • 25
    Publikationsdatum: 2015-06-04
    Beschreibung: An assessment of the performance of a 1.5 μm Doppler lidar for operational vertical wind profiling based on a 1-year trial Atmospheric Measurement Techniques, 8, 2251-2266, 2015 Author(s): E. Päschke, R. Leinweber, and V. Lehmann We present the results of a 1-year quasi-operational testing of the 1.5 μm StreamLine Doppler lidar developed by Halo Photonics from 2 October 2012 to 2 October 2013. The system was configured to continuously perform a velocity-azimuth display scan pattern using 24 azimuthal directions with a constant beam elevation angle of 75°. Radial wind estimates were selected using a rather conservative signal-to-noise ratio based threshold of −18.2 dB (0.015). A 30 min average profile of the wind vector was calculated based on the assumption of a horizontally homogeneous wind field through a Moore–Penrose pseudoinverse of the overdetermined linear system. A strategy for the quality control of the retrieved wind vector components is outlined for ensuring consistency between the Doppler lidar wind products and the inherent assumptions employed in the wind vector retrieval. Quality-controlled lidar measurements were compared with independent reference data from a collocated operational 482 MHz radar wind profiler running in a four-beam Doppler beam swinging mode and winds from operational radiosonde measurements. The intercomparison results reveal a particularly good agreement between the Doppler lidar and the radar wind profiler, with root mean square errors ranging between 0.5 and 0.7 m s −1 for wind speed and between 5 and 10° for wind direction. The median of the half-hourly averaged wind speed for the intercomparison data set is 8.2 m s −1 , with a lower quartile of 5.4 m s −1 and an upper quartile of 11.6 m s −1 .
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    Publiziert von Copernicus im Namen von The European Geosciences Union (EGU).
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  • 26
    Publikationsdatum: 2015-06-04
    Beschreibung: Comparison of operational satellite SO 2 products with ground-based observations in northern Finland during the Icelandic Holuhraun fissure eruption Atmospheric Measurement Techniques, 8, 2279-2289, 2015 Author(s): I. Ialongo, J. Hakkarainen, R. Kivi, P. Anttila, N. A. Krotkov, K. Yang, C. Li, S. Tukiainen, S. Hassinen, and J. Tamminen This paper shows the results of the comparison of satellite SO 2 observations from OMI (Ozone Monitoring Instrument) and OMPS (Ozone Mapping Profiler Suite) with ground-based measurements during the Icelandic Holuhraun fissure eruption in September 2014. The volcanic plume reached Finland on several days during the month of September. The SO 2 total columns from the Brewer direct sun (DS) measurements in Sodankylä (67.42° N, 26.59° E), northern Finland, are compared to the satellite data. The operational satellite SO 2 products are evaluated for high latitude conditions (e.g. large solar zenith angle, SZA). The results show that the best agreement can be found for lowest SZAs, close-to-nadir satellite pixels, cloud fraction below 0.3 and small distance between the station and the centre of the pixel. Under good retrieval conditions, the difference between satellite data and Brewer measurements remains mostly below the uncertainty on the satellite SO 2 retrievals (up to about 2 DU at high latitudes). The satellite products assuming a priori profile with SO 2 predominantly in the planetary boundary layer give total column values with the best agreement with the ground-based data. The analysis of the SO 2 surface concentrations at four air quality stations in northern Finland shows that the volcanic plume coming from Iceland was located very close to the surface. This is connected to the fact that this was a fissure eruption and most of the SO 2 was emitted into the troposphere. This is an exceptional case because the SO 2 volcanic emissions directly affect the air quality levels at surface in an otherwise pristine environment like northern Finland. The time evolution of the SO 2 concentrations peaks during the same days when large SO 2 total column values are measured by the Brewer in Sodankylä and enhanced SO 2 signal is visible over northern Finland from the satellite maps. Thus, the satellite retrievals were able to detect the spatiotemporal evolution of the volcanic plume as compared to the surface observations. Furthermore, direct-broadcast SO 2 satellite data (from both OMI and OMPS instruments) are compared for the first time against ground-based observations.
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    Publiziert von Copernicus im Namen von The European Geosciences Union (EGU).
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  • 27
    Publikationsdatum: 2015-06-05
    Beschreibung: Inter-comparison of laboratory smog chamber and flow reactor systems on organic aerosol yield and composition Atmospheric Measurement Techniques, 8, 2315-2332, 2015 Author(s): E. A. Bruns, I. El Haddad, A. Keller, F. Klein, N. K. Kumar, S. M. Pieber, J. C. Corbin, J. G. Slowik, W. H. Brune, U. Baltensperger, and A. S. H. Prévôt A variety of tools are used to simulate atmospheric aging, including smog chambers and flow reactors. Traditional, large-scale smog chambers age emissions over the course of hours to days, whereas flow reactors rapidly age emissions using high oxidant concentrations to reach higher degrees of oxygenation than typically attained in smog chamber experiments. The atmospheric relevance of the products generated under such rapid oxidation warrants further study. However, no previously published studies have compared the yields and chemical composition of products generated in flow reactors and smog chambers from the same starting mixture. The yields and composition of the organic aerosol formed from the photo-oxidation of α-pinene and of wood-combustion emissions in a smog chamber (SC) and two flow reactors: a potential aerosol mass reactor (PAM) and a micro-smog chamber (MSC), were determined using aerosol mass spectrometry. Reactants were sampled from the SC and aged in the MSC and the PAM using a range of hydroxyl radical (OH) concentrations and then photo-chemically aged in the SC. The chemical composition, as well as the maximum yields and emission factors, of the products in both the α-pinene and wood-combustion systems determined with the PAM and the SC agreed reasonably well. High OH exposures have been shown previously to lower yields by breaking carbon–carbon bonds and forming higher volatility species, which reside largely in the gas phase; however, fragmentation in the PAM was not observed. The yields determined using the PAM for the α-pinene system were slightly lower than in the SC, possibly from increased wall losses of gas phase species due to the higher surface area to volume ratios in the PAM, even when offset with better isolation of the sampled flow from the walls. The α-pinene SOA results for the MSC were not directly comparable, as particles were smaller than the optimal AMS transmission range. The higher supersaturation in the flow reactors resulted in more nucleation than in the SC. For the wood-combustion system, emission factors measured from the MSC were typically lower than those measured from the SC. Lower emission factors in the MSC may have been due to considerable nucleation mode particles formed in the MSC which were not detected by the AMS or due to condensational loss of gases to the walls inside or after the MSC. More comprehensive coverage of the potential particle size range is needed in future SOA measurements to improve our understanding of the differences in yields when comparing the MSC to the SC. The PAM and the SC agreed within measurement uncertainties in terms of yields and composition for the systems and conditions studied here and this agreement supports the continued use of the PAM to study atmospheric aging.
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    Publiziert von Copernicus im Namen von The European Geosciences Union (EGU).
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  • 28
    Publikationsdatum: 2015-06-05
    Beschreibung: Evaporation from weighing precipitation gauges: impacts on automated gauge measurements and quality assurance methods Atmospheric Measurement Techniques, 8, 2291-2300, 2015 Author(s): R. D. Leeper and J. Kochendorfer Evaporation from a precipitation gauge can cause errors in the amount of measured precipitation. For automated weighing-bucket gauges, the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) suggests the use of evaporative suppressants and frequent observations to limit these biases. However, the use of evaporation suppressants is not always feasible due to environmental hazards and the added cost of maintenance, transport, and disposal of the gauge additive. In addition, research has suggested that evaporation prior to precipitation may affect precipitation measurements from auto-recording gauges operating at sub-hourly frequencies. For further evaluation, a field campaign was conducted to monitor evaporation and its impacts on the quality of precipitation measurements from gauges used at U.S. Climate Reference Network (USCRN) stations. Two Geonor gauges were collocated, with one gauge using an evaporative suppressant (referred to as Geonor-NonEvap) and the other with no suppressant (referred to as Geonor-Evap) to evaluate evaporative losses and evaporation biases on precipitation measurements. From June to August, evaporative losses from the Geonor-Evap gauge exceeded accumulated precipitation, with an average loss of 0.12 mm h −1 . The impact of evaporation on precipitation measurements was sensitive to the choice of calculation method. In general, the pairwise method that utilized a longer time series to smooth out sensor noise was more sensitive to gauge evaporation (−4.6% bias with respect to control) than the weighted-average method that calculated depth change over a smaller window (
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    Publiziert von Copernicus im Namen von The European Geosciences Union (EGU).
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  • 29
    Publikationsdatum: 2015-06-05
    Beschreibung: ABSTRACT There is growing evidence of significant changes in components of the Antarctic climate system, an important issue given the influence Antarctica has on global climate. It is important to infer to what extent these regional changes could be attributed to human-induced processes and to what extent to natural variability. Standard methods such as linear trend estimates or piecewise linear trends can be inadequate because they may result in erratic, non-systematic results, particularly if different scales of variability are present in each record and various records are to be compared. The Orcadas Antarctic Station (Argentina), with daily surface meteorological observations since April 1903, provides Antarctica's longest observational record. This study analyses the Orcadas seasonal surface temperature variability. Multidecadal variability and short-term trends are studied to provide an improved assessment of climate evolution and necessary information for the determination of mechanisms driving regional/local change. A combined method using wavelet transform (WT), non-linear statistical model approaches and derivative of fits is developed. This methodology is also applied for validation and comparison to the Gomez ice core oxygen isotope record for the 1857–2006 and 1903–2006 time intervals. Significant quasi 50-year and quasi 20-year variability bands were obtained, both for the quarterly and seasonal Orcadas temperature records, with warming (cooling) periods detected between 1903–1912, 1927–1961 and 1972–2004 (1912–1927 and 1962–1972). If seasons are considered, the only one with a fairly sustained warming is summer, where actual cooling is observed only at the beginning, prior to the early 1930s. Quasi 50-year variability was also detected in the Gomez record. Long periods are obtained in the model fits, longer than the time series, which varied with window length. Although not representing variability cycles, they could represent the best fit of the non-linear, non oscillating asymptotic stationary component of the series, i.e. a non-linear trend.
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    Thema: Geologie und Paläontologie , Physik
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  • 30
    Publikationsdatum: 2015-07-30
    Beschreibung: Quantifying residual ionospheric errors in GNSS radio occultation bending angles based on ensembles of profiles from end-to-end simulations Atmospheric Measurement Techniques, 8, 2999-3019, 2015 Author(s): C. L. Liu, G. Kirchengast, K. Zhang, R. Norman, Y. Li, S. C. Zhang, J. Fritzer, M. Schwaerz, S. Q. Wu, and Z. X. Tan The radio occultation (RO) technique using signals from the Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS), in particular from the Global Positioning System (GPS) so far, is currently widely used to observe the atmosphere for applications such as numerical weather prediction and global climate monitoring. The ionosphere is a major error source in RO measurements at stratospheric altitudes, and a linear ionospheric correction of dual-frequency RO bending angles is commonly used to remove the first-order ionospheric effect. However, the residual ionospheric error (RIE) can still be significant so that it needs to be further mitigated for high-accuracy applications, especially above about 30 km altitude where the RIE is most relevant compared to the magnitude of the neutral atmospheric bending angle. Quantification and careful analyses for better understanding of the RIE is therefore important for enabling benchmark-quality stratospheric RO retrievals. Here we present such an analysis of bending angle RIEs covering the stratosphere and mesosphere, using quasi-realistic end-to-end simulations for a full-day ensemble of RO events. Based on the ensemble simulations we assessed the variation of bending angle RIEs, both biases and standard deviations, with solar activity, latitudinal region and with or without the assumption of ionospheric spherical symmetry and co-existing observing system errors. We find that the bending angle RIE biases in the upper stratosphere and mesosphere, and in all latitudinal zones from low to high latitudes, have a clear negative tendency and a magnitude increasing with solar activity, which is in line with recent empirical studies based on real RO data although we find smaller bias magnitudes, deserving further study in the future. The maximum RIE biases are found at low latitudes during daytime, where they amount to within −0.03 to −0.05 μrad, the smallest at high latitudes (0 to −0.01 μrad; quiet space weather and winter conditions). Ionospheric spherical symmetry or asymmetries about the RO event location have only a minor influence on RIE biases. The RIE standard deviations are markedly increased both by ionospheric asymmetries and increasing solar activity and amount to about 0.3 to 0.7 μrad in the upper stratosphere and mesosphere. Taking also into account the realistic observation errors of a modern RO receiving system, amounting globally to about 0.4 μrad (unbiased; standard deviation), shows that the random RIEs are typically comparable to the total observing system error. The results help to inform future RIE mitigation schemes that will improve upon the use of the linear ionospheric correction of bending angles and also provide explicit uncertainty estimates.
    Print ISSN: 1867-1381
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    Thema: Geologie und Paläontologie
    Publiziert von Copernicus im Namen von The European Geosciences Union (EGU).
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  • 31
    Publikationsdatum: 2015-07-30
    Beschreibung: Kalman filter physical retrieval of surface emissivity and temperature from SEVIRI infrared channels: a validation and intercomparison study Atmospheric Measurement Techniques, 8, 2981-2997, 2015 Author(s): G. Masiello, C. Serio, S. Venafra, G. Liuzzi, F. Göttsche, I. F. Trigo, and P. Watts A Kalman filter-based approach for the physical retrieval of surface temperature and emissivity from SEVIRI (Spinning Enhanced Visible and Infrared Imager) infrared observations has been developed and validated against in situ and satellite observations. Validation for land has been provided based on in situ observations from the two permanent stations at Evora and Gobabeb operated by Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT) within the framework of EUMETSAT's Satellite Application Facility on Land Surface Analysis (LSA SAF). Sea surface retrievals have been intercompared on a broad spatial scale with equivalent satellite products (MODIS, Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer, and AVHRR, Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer) and ECMWF (European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts) analyses. For surface temperature, the Kalman filter yields a root mean square accuracy of ≈ ±1.5 °C for the two land sites considered and ≈ ±1.0 °C for the sea. Comparisons with polar satellite instruments over the sea surface show nearly zero temperature bias. Over the land surface the retrieved emissivity follows the seasonal vegetation cycle and permits identification of desert sand regions using the SEVIRI channel at 8.7 μm due to the strong quartz reststrahlen bands around 8–9 μm. Considering the two validation stations, we have found that emissivity retrieved in SEVIRI channel 10.8 μm over the gravel plains of the Namibian desert is in excellent agreement with in situ observations. Over Evora, the seasonal variation of emissivity with vegetation is successfully retrieved and yields emissivity values for green and dry vegetation that are in good agreement with spectral library data. The algorithm has been applied to the SEVIRI full disk, and emissivity maps on that global scale have been physically retrieved for the first time.
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    Publiziert von Copernicus im Namen von The European Geosciences Union (EGU).
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  • 32
    Publikationsdatum: 2015-08-04
    Beschreibung: Electron density profiles probed by radio occultation of FORMOSAT-7/COSMIC-2 at 520 and 800 km altitude Atmospheric Measurement Techniques, 8, 3069-3074, 2015 Author(s): J. Y. Liu, C. Y. Lin, and H. F. Tsai The FORMOSAT-7/COSMIC-2 (F7/C2) will ultimately place 12 satellites in orbit with two launches with 24–28.5° inclination and 520–550 km altitude in 2016 and with 72° inclination and 720–750 km altitude in 2018. It would be very useful for the community to construct the global three-dimensional electron density structure by simultaneously combining the two launch observations for studying ionospheric structure and dynamics. However, to properly construct the global electron density structure, it is essential to know and evaluate differences between the ionospheric electron densities probed by the two launches. To mimic the F7/C2 observations, we examine the electron density probed at the two satellite altitudes 500 and 800 km by means of FORMOSAT-3/COSMIC (F3/C) observations at the parking orbit 500 km altitude and mission orbit 800 km altitude, as well as a corresponding observing system simulation experiment (OSSE). Observation and OSSE results show that the sounding geometries by satellite orbiting at 500 and 800 km altitudes can cause the overall differences in the electron density, the F2 peak electron density, and the F2 peak height of about 18–24, 12–28 %, and 7–19 km, respectively. Results confirm that the discrepancies mainly result from the sounding geometry and the grid (contour) bias of the electron density.
    Print ISSN: 1867-1381
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    Publiziert von Copernicus im Namen von The European Geosciences Union (EGU).
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  • 33
    Publikationsdatum: 2015-08-04
    Beschreibung: Indirect estimation of absorption properties for fine aerosol particles using AATSR observations: a case study of wildfires in Russia in 2010 Atmospheric Measurement Techniques, 8, 3075-3085, 2015 Author(s): E. Rodríguez, P. Kolmonen, T. H. Virtanen, L. Sogacheva, A.-M. Sundström, and G. de Leeuw The Advanced Along-Track Scanning Radiometer (AATSR) on board the ENVISAT satellite is used to study aerosol properties. The retrieval of aerosol properties from satellite data is based on the optimized fit of simulated and measured reflectances at the top of the atmosphere (TOA). The simulations are made using a radiative transfer model with a variety of representative aerosol properties. The retrieval process utilizes a combination of four aerosol components, each of which is defined by their (lognormal) size distribution and a complex refractive index: a weakly and a strongly absorbing fine-mode component, coarse mode sea salt aerosol and coarse mode desert dust aerosol). These components are externally mixed to provide the aerosol model which in turn is used to calculate the aerosol optical depth (AOD). In the AATSR aerosol retrieval algorithm, the mixing of these components is decided by minimizing the error function given by the sum of the differences between measured and calculated path radiances at 3–4 wavelengths, where the path radiances are varied by varying the aerosol component mixing ratios. The continuous variation of the fine-mode components allows for the continuous variation of the fine-mode aerosol absorption. Assuming that the correct aerosol model (i.e. the correct mixing fractions of the four components) is selected during the retrieval process, also other aerosol properties could be computed such as the single scattering albedo (SSA). Implications of this assumption regarding the ratio of the weakly/strongly absorbing fine-mode fraction are investigated in this paper by evaluating the validity of the SSA thus obtained. The SSA is indirectly estimated for aerosol plumes with moderate-to-high AOD resulting from wildfires in Russia in the summer of 2010. Together with the AOD, the SSA provides the aerosol absorbing optical depth (AAOD). The results are compared with AERONET data, i.e. AOD level 2.0 and SSA and AAOD inversion products. The RMSE (root mean square error) is 0.03 for SSA and 0.02 for AAOD lower than 0.05. The SSA is further evaluated by comparison with the SSA retrieved from the Ozone Monitoring Instrument (OMI). The SSA retrieved from both instruments show similar features, with generally lower AATSR-estimated SSA values over areas affected by wildfires.
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    Publiziert von Copernicus im Namen von The European Geosciences Union (EGU).
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  • 34
    Publikationsdatum: 2015-08-06
    Beschreibung: Retrieval of vertical profiles of atmospheric refraction angles by inversion of optical dilution measurements Atmospheric Measurement Techniques, 8, 3135-3145, 2015 Author(s): D. Fussen, C. Tétard, E. Dekemper, D. Pieroux, N. Mateshvili, F. Vanhellemont, G. Franssens, and P. Demoulin In this paper, we consider occultations of celestial bodies through the atmospheric limb from low Earth orbit satellites and we show how the usual change of tangent altitude associated with atmospheric refraction is inseparably connected to a variation of the observed apparent intensity, for extended and pointlike sources. We demonstrate, in the regime of weak refraction angles, that atmospheric optical dilution and image deformation are strictly concomitant. The approach leads to the integration of a simple differential equation related to the observed transmittance in the absence of other absorbing molecules along the optical path. The algorithm does not rely on the absolute knowledge of the radiometer pointing angle that is related to the accurate knowledge of the satellite attitude. We successfully applied the proposed method to the measurements performed by two past occultation experiments: GOMOS for stellar and ORA for solar occultations. The developed algorithm (named ARID) will be applied to the imaging of solar occultations in a forthcoming pico-satellite mission.
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    Thema: Geologie und Paläontologie
    Publiziert von Copernicus im Namen von The European Geosciences Union (EGU).
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  • 35
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    Publikationsdatum: 2015-08-06
    Beschreibung: GOMOS bright limb ozone data set Atmospheric Measurement Techniques, 8, 3107-3115, 2015 Author(s): S. Tukiainen, E. Kyrölä, J. Tamminen, J. Kujanpää, and L. Blanot We have created a daytime ozone profile data set from the measurements of the Global Ozone Monitoring by Occultation of Stars (GOMOS) instrument on board the Envisat satellite. This so-called GOMOS bright limb (GBL) data set contains ∼ 358 000 stratospheric daytime ozone profiles measured by GOMOS in 2002–2012. The GBL data set complements the widely used GOMOS nighttime data based on stellar occultation measurements. The GBL data set is based on the GOMOS daytime occultations but instead of the transmitted star light we use limb-scattered solar light. The ozone profiles retrieved from these radiance spectra cover the 18–60 km altitude range and have approximately 2–3 km vertical resolution. We show that these profiles are generally in better than 10 % agreement with the NDACC (Network for the Detection of Atmospheric Composition Change) ozonesonde profiles and with the GOMOS nighttime, MLS (Microwave Limb Sounder), and OSIRIS (Optical Spectrograph and InfraRed Imager System) satellite measurements. However, there is a 10–13 % negative bias at 40 km altitude and a 10–50 % positive bias at 50 km for solar zenith angles 〉 75°. These biases are most likely caused by stray light which is difficult to characterize and to remove entirely from the measured spectra. Nevertheless, the GBL data set approximately doubles the amount of useful GOMOS ozone profiles and improves coverage of the summer pole.
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    Publiziert von Copernicus im Namen von The European Geosciences Union (EGU).
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  • 36
    Publikationsdatum: 2015-08-06
    Beschreibung: High temporal resolution estimates of columnar aerosol microphysical parameters from spectrum of aerosol optical depth by linear estimation: application to long-term AERONET and star-photometry measurements Atmospheric Measurement Techniques, 8, 3117-3133, 2015 Author(s): D. Pérez-Ramírez, I. Veselovskii, D. N. Whiteman, A. Suvorina, M. Korenskiy, A. Kolgotin, B. Holben, O. Dubovik, A. Siniuk, and L. Alados-Arboledas This work deals with the applicability of the linear estimation technique (LE) to invert spectral measurements of aerosol optical depth (AOD) provided by AERONET CIMEL sun photometers. The inversion of particle properties using only direct-sun AODs allows the evaluation of parameters such as effective radius ( r eff ) and columnar volume aerosol content ( V ) with significantly better temporal resolution than the operational AERONET algorithm which requires both direct sun and sky radiance measurements. Sensitivity studies performed demonstrate that the constraints on the range of the inversion are very important to minimize the uncertainties, and therefore estimates of r eff can be obtained with uncertainties less than 30 % and of V with uncertainties below 40 %. The LE technique is applied to data acquired at five AERONET sites influenced by different aerosol types and the retrievals are compared with the results of the operational AERONET code. Good agreement between the two techniques is obtained when the fine mode predominates, while for coarse mode cases the LE results systematically underestimate both r eff and V . The highest differences are found for cases where no mode predominates. To minimize these biases, correction functions are developed using the multi-year database of observations at selected sites, where the AERONET retrieval is used as the reference. The derived corrections are tested using data from 18 other AERONET stations offering a range of aerosol types. After correction, the LE retrievals provide better agreement with AERONET for all the sites considered. Finally, the LE approach developed here is applied to AERONET and star-photometry measurements in the city of Granada (Spain) to obtain day-to-night time evolution of columnar aerosol microphysical properties.
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    Publiziert von Copernicus im Namen von The European Geosciences Union (EGU).
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  • 37
    Publikationsdatum: 2015-08-07
    Beschreibung: ABSTRACT This article presents a climatology of total cloud cover (TCC) in the area of the three inland Eurasian seas (Black, Caspian, and Aral Sea). Analyses are performed on the basis of 20 years of data (1991–2010), collected from almost 200 ground stations. Average TCC is 49%, with broad spatial and seasonal variability: minimum TCC values are found in summer and to the southeast, whereas maximum values correspond to winter and to the northwest. For the whole area, linear trend analyses show that TCC did not vary during the study period. We only detected a statistically significant positive trend (+1.2% decade −1 ) in autumn. We obtained different results for the regions delimited by means of a principal component analysis: a clear decrease, both for the annual, spring, and summer series, was detected for the south of Black Sea, while increasing TCC was found for the annual, autumn, and winter series in the north Caucasus and the west and north of Black Sea. We also analysed the TCC data from global gridded products, including satellite projects [International Satellite Cloud Climatology Project (ISCCP), Pathfinder Atmospheres Extended (PATMOS-x), cLoud, Albedo & Radiation (CLARA)], reanalyses [ERA-interim, National Centers for Environmental Prediction/Department of Energy (NCEP/DOE), Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis for Research and Applications (MERRA)], and surface observations [Climatic Research Unit (CRU)]. Although all these products capture the seasonal evolution over the study area, they differ substantially both among them and in relation to the ground observations: reanalyses produce much lower values of TCC, while ISCCP and CLARA provide a summer minimum that is too high. Trend analyses applied to these data generally showed a decrease in TCC; only CRU and NCEP/DOE tally with the ground data as regards the absence of overall trends. These results are discussed in relation to previous studies presenting trends of other variables such as sunshine duration, diurnal temperature range, or precipitation; we also discuss the connections with changes in synoptic patterns and environmental changes, in particular in the Aral Sea region.
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    Thema: Geologie und Paläontologie , Physik
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  • 38
    Publikationsdatum: 2015-08-07
    Beschreibung: ABSTRACT The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is a natural climate mode of variability whose discovery can be traced back at least as far as the beginning of the 20th century, before human activities produced enough gases to noticeably change the climate. However, recent observed changes in the SAM are linked to increases of greenhouse gases and stratospheric ozone depletion, hence assigning SAM's alterations, in large part, to human activities. In this study, the 20th century reanalysis data were used to establish the SAM's prominent shifts during the years 1917, 1961 and 1997. The first shift coincides with abrupt greenhouse gas increases and the latter shifts are attributed to stratospheric ozone level changes. The East Africa ‘Short Rains’ (EASR) index derived from the Global Precipitation Climatology Center (GPCC) dating back to the beginning of the 20th century, demonstrates coinciding shifts with the SAM index. However, the SAM's influence on EASR appears to be achieved through a meridional dipole that is formed in the sea-level pressure of the Indian Ocean basin, with one pole over the Tropics and the other over the extratropics. When this dipole pattern is weakly developed as the period between 1961 and 1997, the SAM is decoupled from the EASR and the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) demonstrates a dominant role in modulating the EASR. The SAM is also linked to the IOD through its control of the Mascarene High variability, hence connecting the SAM to the dominant circulation variability in the Indian Ocean. Although the El Nino Southern Oscillation is strongly correlated to EASR, it is not related to the epochal variability in the rainfall. Therefore, the slow modulation in EASR is linked to the SAM whose shifts are triggered by gases emanating from human influences.
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  • 39
    Publikationsdatum: 2015-08-07
    Beschreibung: ABSTRACT The Hawaiian Islands have one of the most spatially diverse rainfall patterns on earth. Knowledge of these patterns is critical for a variety of resource management issues and, until now, only long-term mean monthly and annual rainfall maps have been available for Hawai‘i. In this study, month-year rainfall maps from January 1920 to December 2012 were developed for the major Hawaiian Islands. The maps were produced using climatologically aided interpolation (CAI), where the station anomalies were interpolated first, and then combined with the mean maps. A geostatistical method comparison was performed to choose the best interpolation method. The comparison focuses on three kriging algorithms: ordinary kriging (OK), ordinary cokriging (OCK), and kriging with an external drift (KED). Two covariates, elevation and mean rainfall, were tested with OCK and KED. The combinations of methods and covariates were compared using cross-validation statistics, where OK produced the lowest error statistics. Station anomalies for each month were interpolated using OK and combined with the mean monthly maps to produce the final month-year rainfall maps.
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  • 40
    Publikationsdatum: 2015-08-07
    Beschreibung: ABSTRACT E-OBS(European Observations) is a gridded climate data set which contains maximum temperature, minimum temperature, and precipitation on a daily time step. The data can be as fine as 0.25° in resolution and extends over the entire European continent and parts of Africa and Asia. However, for studying regional or local climatic effects, a finer resolution would be more appropriate. A continental data set with resolution would allow research that is large in scale and still locally relevant. Until now, a climate data set with high spatial and temporal resolution has not existed for Europe. To fulfil this need, we produced a downscaled version of E-OBS, applying the delta method, which uses WorldClim climate surfaces to obtain a 0.008 ° (about 1 × 1 km) resolution climate data set on a daily time step covering the European Union. The new downscaled data set includes minimum and maximum temperature and precipitation for the years 1951–2012. It is analysed against weather station data from six countries: Norway, Germany, France, Italy, Austria, and Spain. Our analysis of the downscaled data set shows a reduction in the mean bias error of 3 °C for mean daily minimum temperature and of 4 °C for mean daily maximum temperature. Daily precipitation improved by 0.15 mm on average for all weather stations in the validation. The entire data set is freely and publically available at ftp://palantir.boku.ac.at/Public/ClimateData .
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  • 41
    Publikationsdatum: 2015-08-07
    Beschreibung: ABSTRACT In this study, we investigated changes in the precipitation characteristics for China from 1960 to 2012 based on a recent daily precipitation dataset of 666 climate stations and robust non-parametric trend detection techniques. We divided all precipitation events into four non-overlapping categories: light, moderate, heavy and very heavy based on percentile thresholds. We then established the trends for annual total and precipitation of different intensity categories, and examined their regional and seasonal variations. The results show that there was little change in annual total precipitation for entire China, but distinctive regional patterns existed. In general, precipitation increased in the west and decreased in east. Precipitation of different intensities, in general, changed in the same direction as the mean, but heavy and very heavy precipitation events had higher rates of change than mean precipitation. The exception was the southeast region, where despite the slight decrease in mean precipitation, heavy and very heavy precipitation still increased significantly. In addition, we used multiple regression models to explore the contribution of changes of frequency and intensity to total precipitation change, and the contributions of changes of precipitation at different intensities to total precipitation change. For western China, total precipitation change was associated more with frequency change, whereas in eastern China intensity contributed more. For precipitation amount, moderate, heavy and very heavy precipitations contributed to the total change, with little contribution from light precipitation change. For frequency, changes in light and moderate precipitation frequencies dominated the total change, with very little contributions from heavy and very heavy precipitation frequency changes. In addition, we examined the linkage between summer precipitation in eastern China and the East-Asian Summer Monsoon (EASM), found that the northern decrease and southern increase in summer precipitation was likely caused by the weakening of EASM over the study period.
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  • 42
    Publikationsdatum: 2015-08-07
    Beschreibung: ABSTRACT Southeastern South America (SESA) rainfall is influenced by the tropical Pacific, Atlantic and Indian Oceans. At the same time, these tropical oceans interact with each other inducing sea surface temperature anomalies in remote basins through atmospheric and oceanic teleconnections. In this study, we employ a tool from complex networks to analyse the collective influence of the three tropical oceans on austral spring rainfall variability over SESA during the 20th century. To do so we construct a climate network considering as nodes the observed Niño3.4, Tropical North Atlantic (TNA), and Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) indices, together with an observed and simulated precipitation (PCP) index over SESA. The mean network distance is considered as a measure of synchronization among all these phenomena during the 20th century. The approach allowed to uncover two main synchronization periods characterized by different interactions among the oceanic and precipitation nodes. Whereas in the 1930s El Niño and the TNA were the main tropical oceanic phenomena that influenced SESA precipitation variability, during the 1970s they were El Niño and the IOD. The influence of El Niño on SESA precipitation variability might be understood through an increase of the northerly transport of moisture in lower-levels and advection of cyclonic vorticity in upper-levels. On the other hand, the interaction between the IOD and PCP can be interpreted in two possible ways. One possibility is that both nodes (IOD and PCP) are forced by El Niño. Another possibility is that the Indian Ocean warming influences rainfall over SESA through the eastward propagation of Rossby waves as suggested previously. Finally, the influence of TNA on SESA precipitation persists even when the El Niño signal is removed, suggesting that SST anomalies in the TNA can directly influence SESA precipitation and further studies are needed to elucidate this connection.
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  • 43
    Publikationsdatum: 2015-08-07
    Beschreibung: ABSTRACT How boreal summer intraseasonal oscillation (BSISO) modulates the probability and spatial distributions of extreme rainfall occurrence over populous southern China was examined, using the newly proposed BSISO indices and two high-resolution rain-gauge-based rainfall datasets in China. The probability density function of May–August rainfall in southern China is skewed towards large values in phases 2–4 of the first component and in phases 5–7 of the second component of BSISO life cycle, during which the probability of extreme rainfall events at the 75th (90th) percentile increases by 30–50% (over 60%) relative to the non-BSISO period. The devastating floods with prolonged extreme rainfall in southern China over the three past decades occurred coincidently with these BSISO phases. The first component of BSISO, associated with 30–60-day eastward/northeastward-propagating ISO, is more favourable for the rainfall extreme over in-land China. In contrast, the second component of BSISO, related to the 10–30-day northwestward propagating ISO, tends to link with the rainfall extreme along the southeast coast of South China. Moisture budget indicates that the favourable environment for rainfall extreme is associated with southwesterly moisture convergence over southern China, while the moisture advection contributes insignificantly. This study suggests a potential for monitoring and probabilistic prediction of extreme rainfall events in southern China based on the real-time BSISO indices.
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  • 44
    Publikationsdatum: 2015-08-07
    Beschreibung: ABSTRACT The sea surface temperature (SST) in the Bay of Bengal (BoB) during the period 1960–1995 showed a decadal cycle, riding over a warming trend. The disruption of the decadal cycle was noticed post-1995 and was followed by a slowdown in the sea surface warming. The cause for the disruption of the SST decadal cycle was the weakening of the link between SST and sunspot number. The rising trend in the SST is due to the increasing atmospheric CO 2 concentration. The post-1995 SST slowdown was due to the increasing influence of the number of depressions, cyclones and severe cyclones in the BoB, the occurrence of which showed an upward trend. Using Price–Weller–Pinkel model we show that cyclonic systems deepen the mixed-layer through enhanced mechanical-mixing with cooler sub-surface waters, thereby reducing the mixed-layer temperature and consequently the SST. This process opposes the SST rise due to increasing atmospheric CO 2 concentration. The net effect of the wind-mixing caused by the increased number of depressions, cyclones and severe cyclones and the increased CO 2 concentration is a SST slowdown in the BoB. This mechanism differs from the SST slowdown mechanisms suggested for the Atlantic and the Pacific.
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  • 45
    Publikationsdatum: 2015-08-07
    Beschreibung: ABSTRACT In the last few years, there has been an increasing application of gridded precipitation data sets for studies analysing seasonal and interannual precipitation variability as well as for performing validation analysis of climate and regional models. Consequently, the purpose of the present study is to analyse the representation of temporal variability and spatial patterns of precipitation in South America for the period 1971–2010, derived by three data sets based exclusively on rain gauge information (Climate Research Unit – CRU, Global Precipitation Climatology Centre – GPCC and University of Delaware – UDel), in order to identify discrepancies and/or agreements among them. Further analysis is performed for three particular sub-regions within the continent (southern sector of southeastern South America – SSESA, central South America – CSA and southeastern Brazil – SEBR). Results show that the three products represent key spatial features of precipitation analogously. Significant coherence in capturing the temporal variability, associated with the dominant modes of variability, is found in all sub-regions, though they differ largely in some areas, especially in CSA. Overall, depending on the region, the gridded products behave differently, without one particular data set standing out as an outlier in all the analysed cases.
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  • 46
    Publikationsdatum: 2015-08-15
    Beschreibung: Next-generation angular distribution models for top-of-atmosphere radiative flux calculation from CERES instruments: validation Atmospheric Measurement Techniques, 8, 3297-3313, 2015 Author(s): W. Su, J. Corbett, Z. Eitzen, and L. Liang Radiative fluxes at the top of the atmosphere (TOA) from the Clouds and the Earth's Radiant Energy System (CERES) instrument are fundamental variables for understanding the Earth's energy balance and how it changes with time. TOA radiative fluxes are derived from the CERES radiance measurements using empirical angular distribution models (ADMs). This paper evaluates the accuracy of CERES TOA fluxes using direct integration and flux consistency tests. Direct integration tests show that the overall bias in regional monthly mean TOA shortwave (SW) flux is less than 0.2 Wm −2 and the RMSE is less than 1.1 Wm −2 . The bias and RMSE are very similar between Terra and Aqua. The bias in regional monthly mean TOA LW fluxes is less than 0.5 Wm −2 and the RMSE is less than 0.8 Wm −2 for both Terra and Aqua. The accuracy of the TOA instantaneous flux is assessed by performing tests using fluxes inverted from nadir- and oblique-viewing angles using CERES along-track observations and temporally and spatially matched MODIS observations, and using fluxes inverted from multi-angle MISR observations. The averaged TOA instantaneous SW flux uncertainties from these two tests are about 2.3 % (1.9 Wm −2 ) over clear ocean, 1.6 % (4.5 Wm −2 ) over clear land, and 2.0 % (6.0 Wm −2 ) over clear snow/ice; and are about 3.3 % (9.0 Wm −2 ), 2.7 % (8.4 Wm −2 ), and 3.7 % (9.9 Wm −2 ) over ocean, land, and snow/ice under all-sky conditions. The TOA SW flux uncertainties are generally larger for thin broken clouds than for moderate and thick overcast clouds. The TOA instantaneous daytime LW flux uncertainties derived from the CERES-MODIS test are 0.5 % (1.5 Wm −2 ), 0.8 % (2.4 Wm −2 ), and 0.7 % (1.3 Wm −2 ) over clear ocean, land, and snow/ice; and are about 1.5 % (3.5 Wm −2 ), 1.0 % (2.9 Wm −2 ), and 1.1 % (2.1 Wm −2 ) over ocean, land, and snow/ice under all-sky conditions. The TOA instantaneous nighttime LW flux uncertainties are about 0.5–1 % ( 〈 2.0 Wm −2 ) for all surface types. Flux uncertainties caused by errors in scene identification are also assessed by using the collocated CALIPSO, CloudSat, CERES and MODIS data product. Errors in scene identification tend to underestimate TOA SW flux by about 0.6 Wm −2 and overestimate TOA daytime (nighttime) LW flux by 0.4 (0.2) Wm −2 when all CERES viewing angles are considered.
    Print ISSN: 1867-1381
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    Thema: Geologie und Paläontologie
    Publiziert von Copernicus im Namen von The European Geosciences Union (EGU).
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  • 47
    Publikationsdatum: 2015-08-14
    Beschreibung: Observations of precipitable water vapour over complex topography of Ethiopia from ground-based GPS, FTIR, radiosonde and ERA-Interim reanalysis Atmospheric Measurement Techniques, 8, 3277-3295, 2015 Author(s): G. Mengistu Tsidu, T. Blumenstock, and F. Hase Water vapour is one of the most important greenhouse gases. Long-term changes in the amount of water vapour in the atmosphere need to be monitored not only for its direct role as a greenhouse gas but also because of its role in amplifying other feedbacks such as clouds and albedo. In recent decades, monitoring of water vapour on a regular and continuous basis has become possible as a result of the steady increase in the number of deployed global positioning satellite (GPS) ground-based receivers. However, the Horn of Africa remained a data-void region in this regard until recently, when some GPS ground-receiver stations were deployed to monitor tectonic movements in the Great Rift Valley. This study seizes this opportunity and the installation of a Fourier transform infrared spectrometer (FTIR) at Addis Ababa to assess the quality and comparability of precipitable water vapour (PWV) from GPS, FTIR, radiosonde and interim ECMWF Re-Analysis (ERA-Interim) over Ethiopia. The PWV from the three instruments and the reanalysis show good correlation, with correlation coefficients in the range from 0.83 to 0.92. On average, GPS shows the highest PWV followed by FTIR and radiosonde observations. ERA-Interim is higher than all measurements with a bias of 4.6 mm compared to GPS. The intercomparison between GPS and ERA-Interim was extended to seven other GPS stations in the country. Only four out of eight GPS stations included simultaneous surface pressure observations. Uncertainty in the model surface pressure of 1 hPa can cause up to 0.35 mm error in GPS PWV. The gain obtained from using observed surface pressure in terms of reducing bias and strengthening correlation is significant but shows some variations among the GPS sites. The comparison between GPS and ERA-Interim PWV over the seven other GPS stations shows differences in the magnitude and sign of bias of ERA-Interim with respect to GPS PWV from station to station. This feature is also prevalent in diurnal and seasonal variabilities. The spatial variation in the relationship between the two data sets is partly linked to variation in the skill of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) model over different regions and seasons. This weakness in the model is related to poor observational constraints from this part of the globe and sensitivity of its convection scheme to orography and land surface features. This is consistent with observed wet bias over some highland stations and dry bias over few lowland stations. The skill of ECMWF in reproducing realistic PWV varies with time of the day and season, showing large positive bias during warm and wet summer at most of the GPS sites.
    Print ISSN: 1867-1381
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    Thema: Geologie und Paläontologie
    Publiziert von Copernicus im Namen von The European Geosciences Union (EGU).
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  • 48
    Publikationsdatum: 2015-08-14
    Beschreibung: A study of turbulent fluxes and their measurement errors for different wind regimes over the tropical Zongo Glacier (16° S) during the dry season Atmospheric Measurement Techniques, 8, 3229-3250, 2015 Author(s): M. Litt, J.-E. Sicart, and W. Helgason Over glaciers in the outer tropics, during the dry winter season, turbulent fluxes are an important sink of melt energy due to high sublimation rates, but measurements in stable surface layers in remote and complex terrains remain challenging. Eddy-covariance (EC) and bulk-aerodynamic (BA) methods were used to estimate surface turbulent heat fluxes of sensible ( H ) and latent heat ( LE ) in the ablation zone of the tropical Zongo Glacier, Bolivia (16° S, 5080 m a.s.l.), from 22 July to 1 September 2007. We studied the turbulent fluxes and their associated random and systematic measurement errors under the three most frequent wind regimes. For nightly, density-driven katabatic flows, and for strong downslope flows related to large-scale forcing, H generally heats the surface (i.e. is positive), while LE cools it down (i.e. is negative). On average, both fluxes exhibit similar magnitudes and cancel each other out. Most energy losses through turbulence occur for daytime upslope flows, when H is weak due to small temperature gradients and LE is strongly negative due to very dry air. Mean random errors of the BA method (6 % on net H + LE fluxes) originated mainly from large uncertainties in roughness lengths. For EC fluxes, mean random errors were due mainly to poor statistical sampling of large-scale outer-layer eddies (12 %). The BA method is highly sensitive to the method used to derive surface temperature from longwave radiation measurements and underestimates fluxes due to vertical flux divergence at low heights and nonstationarity of turbulent flow. The EC method also probably underestimates the fluxes, albeit to a lesser extent, due to underestimation of vertical wind speed and to vertical flux divergence. For both methods, when H and LE compensate each other in downslope fluxes, biases tend to cancel each other out or remain small. When the net turbulent fluxes ( H + LE ) are the largest in upslope flows, nonstationarity effects and underestimations of the vertical wind speed do not compensate, and surface temperature errors are important, so that large biases on H + LE are expected when using both the EC and the BA method.
    Print ISSN: 1867-1381
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    Thema: Geologie und Paläontologie
    Publiziert von Copernicus im Namen von The European Geosciences Union (EGU).
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  • 49
    Publikationsdatum: 2015-08-13
    Beschreibung: ABSTRACT Land and water management in semi-arid regions requires detailed information on precipitation distribution, including extremes, and changes therein. Such information is often lacking. This paper describes statistics of mean and extreme precipitation in a unique data set from the Mount Kenya region, encompassing around 50 stations with at least 30 years of data. We describe the data set, including quality control procedures and statistical break detection. Trends in mean precipitation and extreme indices calculated from these data for individual rainy seasons are compared with corresponding trends in reanalysis products. From 1979 to 2011, mean precipitation decreased at 75% of the stations during the ‘long rains’ (March to May) and increased at 70% of the stations during the ‘short rains’ (October to December). Corresponding trends are found in the number of heavy precipitation days, and maximum of consecutive 5-day precipitation. Conversely, an increase in consecutive dry days within both main rainy seasons is found. However, trends are only statistically significant in very few cases. Reanalysis data sets agree with observations with respect to interannual variability, while correlations are considerably lower for monthly deviations (ratios) from the mean annual cycle. While some products well reproduce the rainfall climatology and some the spatial trend pattern, no product reproduces both.
    Print ISSN: 0899-8418
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    Thema: Geologie und Paläontologie , Physik
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  • 50
    Publikationsdatum: 2015-08-13
    Beschreibung: ABSTRACT Precipitation variability at inter- and intra-annual scales may influence land-use management decisions in semi-arid savannas worldwide, and in particular, over the Kavango-Zambezi Transfrontier Conservation Area (KAZA) in southern Africa. Over KAZA, spatiotemporal precipitation variability forced by the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is important to local and regional-scale decisions for planting, livestock grazing, and wildlife migration patterns. We investigate the annual water year (October–September) and early rainy season [October–November–December (OND)] precipitation patterns during 60 years before and after a 1970s shift in the global ocean–atmosphere system for this region in southern Africa. The coincidence of the number of wet (upper tercile) and dry (lower tercile) years and OND seasons during the various phases of ENSO and IOD are compared prior to (1950–1975) and after (1980–2008) the 1970s climate shift over KAZA. Since the 1970s climate shift, KAZA has been significantly drier and observed fewer wet years and OND seasons. ENSO is the dominant forcing of precipitation differences over southern Africa before and after the 1970s climate shift, with IOD playing a secondary role. However, when ENSO and IOD phases are analysed simultaneously, El Niño and positive IOD events are significantly related to dry periods. The forcing of atmospheric circulation over southern Africa before and after the 1970s climate shift during El Niño and La Niña events is significantly different. Prior to the 1970s climate shift, atmospheric circulation during El Niño (La Niña) favoured strong (weak) precipitation increases (decreases). Afterward the 1970s climate shift, atmospheric circulation during La Niña (El Niño) favoured strong (weak) precipitation decreases (increases). The shifting nature of climate modes, especially ENSO, and respective influence on rainfall variability for southern Africa is important to understand to better inform seasonal climate forecasts to improve operational decision-making for land-use and water management decisions in semi-arid savanna regions.
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  • 51
    Publikationsdatum: 2015-08-14
    Beschreibung: ABSTRACT A unique approach for downscaling daily precipitation extremes from historical analogues is presented. While various analogue methods have been developed for the purpose of downscaling local climate data, few have placed an emphasis on downscaling daily extremes. Unlike previous approaches, the new method utilizes a two-step procedure in which the occurrence of extreme precipitation on a given target day is first determined based on the observed probability of extreme precipitation on that day's closest historical analogue days. Then, if extreme precipitation occurred on the selected analogue day, the historical precipitation observations associated with the analogue day are used to ascribe precipitation amounts on the corresponding target day. The method is developed and tested for a very strict definition of extreme precipitation (partial duration series events), as well as a more lenient definition of extreme precipitation (95th percentile of non-zero precipitation events). The analogue approach is more skillful than climatology at identifying the occurrence of both partial duration series (PDS) and 95th percentile events. In both cases, the analogue method slightly underestimates the observed occurrence of extreme precipitation. Return period precipitation amounts estimated from the downscaled PDS are similar to, but generally lower than those calculated from observed PDS. Over the entire study domain (157 stations in New York State and surrounding regions of adjacent states and Canada), the median difference between downscaled and observed 5-year (100-year) return period precipitation amounts is less than 5% (10%). These median differences are smaller than those obtained from historical dynamically downscaled climate model simulations.
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  • 52
    Publikationsdatum: 2015-08-14
    Beschreibung: ABSTRACT The summer time cloud diurnal cycle over western Iberia is analysed here using a satellite climate data record of fractional cloud cover based on 9 years of Meteosat Second Generation observations which is distributed by the EUMETSAT's Climate Monitoring Satellite Applications Facility. These observations were complemented with a corresponding mean cloud diurnal cycle using SYNOP reports on six locations over the studied domain. It is shown that the main coastal mountain range separates regions that are characterized by two very different cloud regimes: stratocumulus-topped boundary layer convection dominates the region towards the coast and continental cumulus convection dominates the region to the east of these mountains. To explain the observed variability, a long-term regional climate model [Weather Research and Forecasting model (WRF)] simulation over Iberia was used. A comparison of the observations against model output for the common period between observations and simulation shows that although the model generally underestimates cloudiness, it is able to represent the diurnal cycle in a realistic manner. It is shown that the observed cloud diurnal evolution is linked to the thermal circulations generated by the land-sea contrast and orography. The extent to which the cloud deck penetrates inland is closely related to the coastal orography: although smaller hills tend to enhance cloudiness, larger mountains block the progression of the marine boundary layer further inland, as it behaves as a density current. Larger mountains also produce katabatic flow and a rather strong subsidence aloft during the night. The warming due to this subsidence helps the blocking of the cloud deck as it is partially responsible for evaporating clouds, as shown by a potential temperature budget analysis.
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  • 53
    Publikationsdatum: 2015-08-14
    Beschreibung: ABSTRACT High-quality temperature estimates with good spatio-temporal coverage are necessary for completely understanding the influences of warming climate on cryosphere and hydrological systems in High Mountain Asia (HMA). In this study, we compare reanalysis temperature data from ERA-Interim and National Centers for Environmental Prediction/National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCEP/NCAR) with station observations in HMA during 1979–2011. The results indicate that although reanalysis temperature data can capture the warming trends in HMA, the trend magnitudes are clearly underestimated by reanalysis data. In particular, the increase in summer temperature cannot be identified from the NCEP/NCAR reanalysis. For ERA-Interim, temperature increases are underestimated in the north and northwest of HMA; for NCEP/NCAR, the warming magnitudes show evident biases in the Pamir, Himalayas, and southeastern Tibetan Plateau. Considering that high-frequency signals and periodical fluctuations among the three datasets are in good agreement, and based on the wavelet transform method, the low-frequency component decomposed from the temperature time series of ERA-Interim and NCEP/NCAR reanalyses is adjusted by that derived from station observations. The resulting homogenized reanalysis temperature data show much better spatio-temporal consistency with station data. The differences in monthly and annual temperature anomalies between station and homogenized ERA-Interim and NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data become more convergent. The homogenized temperature time series are better correlated with station data at annual and seasonal timescales.
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    Thema: Geologie und Paläontologie , Physik
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  • 54
    Publikationsdatum: 2015-09-15
    Beschreibung: ABSTRACT The mean climatology, seasonal and interannual variability and trend of wind speeds at the hub height (80 m) of modern wind turbines over China and its surrounding regions are revisited using 33-year (1979–2011) wind data from the Climate Forecast System Reanalysis (CFSR) that has many improvements including higher spatial resolution over previous global reanalysis products. Mean 80-m wind speeds are consistently higher over China Seas and the ocean areas than over land, and inside China high winds are found in areas of Inner Mongolia and the Tibetan Plateau. There is a considerable seasonal variability that reflects primarily the influence of East and Southeast Asia Monsoon with generally higher speeds in winter followed by summer, and weaker winds in autumn, followed by spring. There is also a strong interannual variability, and regions of larger amplitude of variability coincide with regions of higher mean winds. A decreasing trend, dominated by a sharp decline beginning in 2005, is seen across China and the surrounding seas in summer and autumn, and the summer trends over land and over ocean appear to be related respectively to the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) and the East Asian summer monsoon. Trends are not consistent across the region in spring and winter, however, with positive trends over some areas in northeastern and northwestern China, Mongolia and tropical oceans whereas negative trends in other regions. Nearly all areas of China experience mean annual 80-m wind speed less than 6.9 m s −1 (wind power classes of 1–2) except for some areas of Inner Mongolia where mean annual 80-m wind speeds exceed 6.9 m s −1 (Classes 3 or higher, suitable for wind energy development). China Seas and ocean areas generally fall in Class 3 or above, with the Taiwan and Luzon Straights reaching the highest Class 7.
    Print ISSN: 0899-8418
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    Thema: Geologie und Paläontologie , Physik
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  • 55
    Publikationsdatum: 2015-09-15
    Beschreibung: ABSTRACT Capturing the intensity and return period of extreme rainfall events in the historic record and projecting them into the future are essential to managing, planning, and designing infrastructure. In this study, we assess the performance of the combination of four General Circulation Models (GCMs) and six Regional Climate Models (RCMs) that comprise the North American Regional Climate Change Assessment Program (NARCCAP) and evaluate their performance in simulating rainfall extremes in the continental United States. We adopt a regionalization method to objectively delineate 12 regions in the continental United States with relatively homogenous annual maximum 24-h rainfall patterns from the North American Regional Reanalysis (NARR) data set. We then compare the Intensity–Duration–Frequency (IDF) curves generated from control simulations of NARCCAP models with those from NARR in each of these regions. We find significant spatial variability of model performance. The models perform reasonably well in many parts of the country, but poorly in the southeastern United States. The GCM providing boundary conditions strongly influences results – output from those RCMs driven by the Community Climate System Model (CCSM) and Canadian Global Climate Model version 3 (CGCM3) matched the NARR data best. Performance of individual RCMs also varied, often in response to nudging, wherein the regional model is constrained by the GCM fields. We also measure changes in bias-corrected IDF curves generated from NARCCAP projections of the future. In most regions, most models project intensified 24-h rainfall events in the future (exceptions include some model-projected decreases in southern California, the extreme north-central US, Florida, and the Texas Plains). This study provides a valuable means of assessing NARCCAP models' performance in simulating rainfall extremes at the regional scale and understanding how the GCMs, RCMs, and spatial variability affect model performance.
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  • 56
    Publikationsdatum: 2015-09-15
    Beschreibung: ABSTRACT Climate data from the southwest coast of the Caspian Sea (CS) were statistically analysed to find connections with large-scale atmospheric variabilities and regional impacts. The study area is characterized by a subtropical humid climate. This enclave of high precipitation is extremely important for Iranian food production and is recognized for its high biodiversity. The data sets were investigated for inconsistencies before carrying out the main investigations, and several problems have been identified. The results show three distinct climatic periods in the temperature time series since 1956: 1956 to 1975 with values near to the overall mean, 1977 to 1995 with values lower by 0.5 °C and from 1996 to 2010 with values higher by 0.5 °C. These periods can be positively correlated with rapid sea level changes of the CS. Moreover, an agreement exists between the three climatic periods and the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) variability. The sea surface temperature of the southern CS is shown to be the driving force of the 2 m temperatures in the study area. While temperature changes are in accordance with NAO variability, the precipitation variations show connections with ENSO and less with NAO. The trends of precipitation during the period are diverse but display mostly a weak decrease, while the trends of temperature display a clear increase, larger than that for global mean temperatures, overlaid with inter-decadal variations.
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  • 57
    Publikationsdatum: 2015-09-15
    Beschreibung: ABSTRACT This paper studies how the anthropogenic-induced global warming affects the East Asian winter monsoon (EAWM) by using 26 Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 5 (CMIP5) models. The simulated present-day EAWM is evaluated and future projections under RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios are presented in terms of the climatology and interannual variability. All 26 models can well reproduce the spatial pattern of EAWM climatology and 16 out of the 26 models can reasonably capture major features of interannual variability. The projection made by 26-model ensemble mean indicate that winter surface air temperature averaged over 20°–60°N, 100°–140°E will increase by 3 °C in RCP4.5 and 5.5 °C in RCP8.5 towards the end of the 21st century. The corresponding regional mean precipitation will increase by 12.3% in RCP4.5 and 21.8% in RCP8.5. The strong warming over high-latitude North Pacific due to melting sea ice in the Bering Sea and Okhotsk Sea leads to significant intensification and a northward shift of the Aleutian Low, resulting in prominent increase in the low-level northerly along the coastal regions of northeastern Asia. At 500 hPa the characteristic East Asian Trough is projected to weaken slightly and tilt more eastward with latitude. The selected 16-model ensemble mean projects future enhanced interannual variability of surface air temperature and sea-level pressure over mid-latitude North Pacific and high-latitude East Asia (EA) and reduced variability over eastern China, suggesting that the EAWM will be more variable in the high-latitude EA and mid-latitude North Pacific but less variable in East China. Accordingly, the year-to-year precipitation variability will be significantly enhanced over high-latitude EA. Majority of the 26 models project that the leading mode of EAWM interannual variation (the ‘northern mode’) will become more dominant in the warmer climate.
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  • 58
    Publikationsdatum: 2015-09-15
    Beschreibung: ABSTRACT Crop loss due to drought is a complex issue, because it changes according to the drought intensity and duration, and the developmental stage of the plants when drought occurs. In order to assess the drought-induced decline in crop harvest, drought variability and the yield sensitivity of winter wheat, maize, sugar beet, and sunflower to drought during their growing seasons is investigated in the Republic of Moldova. This is then used as an example of the response of non-irrigated crops to increasing drought tendency in south-eastern Europe. The quantification of drought was done by using the standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index (SPEI) at 1- to 12-month lags during the period from 1951 to 2012. The relationship between drought at various time scales and the standardized yield residuals series (SYRS) for individual crops over the country and the Balti chernozem steppe of Moldova (represented by Balti experimental site) for the 1962–2012 farming years were investigated. In order to detect the trends and the shifts in the SPEI time series over 62 years, the non-parametric, Mann–Kendall and Pettitt tests were used for each month of the year to cover the main life cycle of the crops. The trend analysis of agricultural drought emphasizes an increasing trend from June to October, and becomes significant in the southern region at the 95% level during July to September. The SPEI highlights the main periods of dry/wet persistence and the regional characteristics of drought which are present in the Southern region, and make this region more prone to severe drought persistence, mostly during the last decade. Drought during the plant reproductive stages may significantly reduce grain yield potential, the relation between the SYRS and the SPEI explaining up to 62% of the low-yield variability.
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  • 59
    Publikationsdatum: 2015-09-15
    Beschreibung: ABSTRACT In the face of limited or no precipitation data, global precipitation data sets (GPDs) may provide a viable alternative to gauge or ground radar data. This study aims to provide guidance to the choice of GPDs targeting scales relevant to water resources management in data poor regions. Specifically, the 34 000 km 2 Kilombero Valley in central Tanzania, where water resource management is seen as integral to poverty reduction and food security, is used as a case study for performance evaluation of seven GPDs and their ensemble mean against the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) multi-satellite precipitation analysis research-grade product v7 (TRMMv7). The GPDs include one satellite rainfall product [Climate Prediction Center morphing technique v1.0 CRT (CMORPH)], three reanalysis products [Climate Forecasting System Reanalysis (CFSR), European reanalysis interim (ERA-i) and Modern Era Retrospective-Analysis for Research and Applications (MERRA)] and three interpolated data sets [Climate Research Unit Time Series 3.21 (CRU), Global Precipitation and Climatology Center v6 data set (GPCC) and University of Delaware Air Temperature and Precipitation v3.01 data set (UDEL)]. Standard statistical performance measures and spatial patterns were evaluated for the common overlap time period 1998–2010. For this region, the principal seasonality of the climatology was well represented in all GPDs; however, the intraseasonal variability and the spatial precipitation patterns were less well represented. The ensemble mean and GPCC had the best performance with regard to the analysis of the time series while CMORPH and GPCC had the best performance with regard to the spatial pattern analysis. These results indicate that the spatial scale intended for application is a major factor impacting the suitability of a given GPD for hydrometrological studies that form a basis for development of water management strategies.
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  • 60
    Publikationsdatum: 2015-09-15
    Beschreibung: ABSTRACT This study investigates the effect of varying the vertical level of a synoptic circulation classification on its predictive skill with respect to surface temperature, rainfall, solar radiation and wind in Trentino, a mountainous region in the South-Eastern Alps. A synoptic climatology based on the same data set and classification method presented in part I of the present article, in fact, showed that seasonal anomalies of mean daily temperature, daily rainfall, daily solar irradiation and mean daily wind intensity vary not only among weather types and seasons but also within the same type and season for different vertical levels. This analysis quantifies the ability of the method to classify synoptic circulation in classes associated with distributions of atmospheric variables different from climatology and to identify the occurrence of extreme events. The statistical metrics presented in the article demonstrate that the differences in predictive skill between classifications applied to distinct levels are comparable in magnitude to those between different atmospheric variables and seasons for the same level. The level of 500 hPa generally provides the largest predictive skill with respect to total daily rainfall, daily solar irradiation and daily temperature range in all seasons. On the other hand, the largest skill with respect to wind intensity is found for sea level pressure and 850 hPa circulation types. Large seasonal variations are also evident, with the colder seasons providing the largest predictive skill. Combinations of circulation types derived at two vertical levels increase the skill, although an optimal combination of levels could not be found even for the same atmospheric variable and season.
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  • 61
    Publikationsdatum: 2015-09-15
    Beschreibung: ABSTRACT In this paper, we analyse observed changes in characteristics of sub-daily heavy summer precipitation and erosive precipitation events for the Czech Republic, taking into consideration 51 years of data (1961–2011) for 17 stations. The sub-daily data were checked for consistency with the daily control records, and unreliable data were removed from the data set. Subsequently, four statistical tests were applied to assess the homogeneity of the data set. The trend magnitude was estimated using the Theil–Sen slope estimator, and two tests were applied to evaluate its significance. For most of the indices, the tests did not indicate inhomogeneity, with the exception of characteristics related to rainfall intensity. The trends are positive for most of the stations and most precipitation characteristics, and significant positive trends are much more frequent than negative trends. The analysis revealed a significant increase in the contribution of heavy precipitation to the precipitation total in half of the stations at short aggregation levels.
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  • 62
    Publikationsdatum: 2015-09-15
    Beschreibung: ABSTRACT This study evaluates the simulation of the spring Arctic Oscillation (AO)-western North Pacific linkage based on the 16 state-of-the-art climate models from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5. The validation focuses on the predominant process connecting the spring AO with the East Asian summer monsoon: the formation and persistence of the spring AO-associated cyclonic anomaly over western North Pacific (WPCA) from spring to summer. The results indicate that 8 of 16 models can reproduce both the formation and persistence of the WPCA. Because the formation of the WPCA is directly related to the existence of the spring upper-level North Pacific atmospheric dipole (NPAD), the analyses suggest that a given model can reproduce the spring AO-associated NPAD if the model is capable of simulating the spring AO-associated deceleration of the subtropical westerly jet and the transient eddy activities around the westerly jet exit. Furthermore, the westerly jet anomalies are closely related to the simulated mean state of the westerly jet and the AO Pacific component, which could be further attributed to the simulated sea surface temperature biases over the equatorial Western Pacific.
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  • 63
    Publikationsdatum: 2015-09-15
    Beschreibung: ABSTRACT Climate variability has major impacts on crop yields and food production in South Asia. The spatial differences of the impact are not, however, well understood. In this study, we thus aim to analyse the spatio-temporal relationship between precipitation and rice yields in the Ganges–Brahmaputra–Meghna region. The effects of rainfall variation on yields were analysed with regression models using the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) as an explanatory variable. Our results indicate that in large part of the study region, a strong relationship between precipitation and rice yields exists and the SPI at various lags chosen as the predictor variable performed well in describing the inter-annual yield variability. However, the study demonstrated large spatial variations in the strength of this relationship or optionally in the suitability of the chosen methodology for investigating it. In the mid-plains of the Ganges, which represent very important agricultural areas, precipitation variability has a strong impact on rice yields, while in downstream Ganges as well as in Brahmaputra, where precipitation is more abundant, the relationship was less pronounced. Where the performance of the regression models was weaker, it is likely that yield variation depended on other factors such as management practices or on other climate factors such as temperature. The results further showed that the SPI at 1, 3, 6 and 12 month lags calculated for the monsoon time (June–October) are most commonly the best at explaining the rice yield variability. The SPI can thus be considered a very useful predictor of rice yield variability in some parts of the study region, demonstrating that they could be used for agricultural applications and policy decisions to improve the region's food security.
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  • 64
    Publikationsdatum: 2015-09-15
    Beschreibung: ABSTRACT Features and interdecadal variability of droughts were assessed over the East Asian monsoon region (20°–50°N, 103°–149°E) using the standardized precipitation index (SPI) and the gridded rainfall data set (1978–2007) at 0.5° resolution. To assess the spatial and temporal patterns of droughts, seven homogeneous rainfall zones that exhibit unique rainfall regimes and long-term variability over the region were used. The statistical analysis method known as the theory of runs was used to identify and characterize drought events. A run was defined as a portion of SPI drought series in which all values were below the selected threshold level. Run-length and run-sum were used to define the drought duration and drought severity, respectively. The study revealed unique drying and wetting patterns for different zones in the region. Interdecadal analysis of droughts over the past three decades revealed a significant increase in drought duration and severity in the low rainfall zones, whereas a significant decrease appeared in the high rainfall zones. In particular, the duration and severity dwindled to zero with no major drought event over the eastern and the East Sea coastal region of Japan during the last decade (1998–2007). These patterns pose serious threats of increasing droughts in the low rainfall zones and flooding in the high rainfall zones. The spectral analysis, using the Fast Fourier Transform, was performed to identify the cyclic patterns of SPI time series in each zone, which revealed dominant cycles of 15, 7.5, and 3.4 years in the different zones. These results suggest the possible influence of interdecadal Pacific Oscillations and North Atlantic Oscillations on droughts in the region, although these relations remain a challenging task.
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  • 65
    Publikationsdatum: 2015-09-17
    Beschreibung: Pointing errors in solar absorption spectrometry – correction scheme and its validation Atmospheric Measurement Techniques, 8, 3715-3728, 2015 Author(s): A. Reichert, P. Hausmann, and R. Sussmann A method for quantification of sun-pointing inaccuracies in solar absorption spectrometry is presented along with a correction scheme for the resulting errors in trace gas vertical column or profile retrievals. A posteriori correction of pointing errors requires knowledge of both coordinates of the mispointing vector on the solar disk. In principle, quantitative information on the mispointing can be retrieved from Doppler shifts of solar lines derived from measured spectra. However, this yields only one component of the mispointing vector, namely the one which is perpendicular to the solar rotation axis. Missing information on the second vector component has hindered a posteriori correction of mispointing errors so far. Our idea of how to overcome this problem is to obtain estimates of both coordinates of the mispointing by combining subsequent measurements with differing orientations of the solar rotation axis relative to the zenith direction. The proposed concept is suitable in the case of systematic mispointing, i.e., if the mispointing is approximately constant within a given set of measurements. An implementation of this original concept is demonstrated using measurements from the solar absorption Fourier transform infrared (FTIR) spectrometer at the Zugspitze (47.42° N, 10.98° E, 2964 m a.s.l.). Soundings in the September 2012–September 2014 time interval were impacted by mispointing problems due to a non-optimum solar tracking optics configuration. They show a mean mispointing in the zenith direction of −0.063°. This causes biases in vertical soundings of trace gases, e.g., −2.82 ppb in monthly means of dry-air column-averaged mole fractions of methane (XCH 4 ). Measurements made with the more stable pre-September 2012 and post-September 2014 optics configurations show considerably smaller mispointing effects. Applying the mispointing correction, the April 2006–March 2014 XCH 4 trend determined from Zugspitze measurements is reduced from 6.45 [5.84, 7.04] to 6.07 [5.55, 6.59] ppb yr −1 . The correction thereby restores consistency with results from the nearby Garmisch FTIR site (47.48° N, 11.06° E, 743 m a.s.l.). The mispointing correction is applicable to solar absorption measurements in the mid-infrared and near infrared. It will be of particular benefit for refining existing records of high-accuracy-and-precision greenhouse gas soundings for the purpose of improved trend analysis or source–sink inversions.
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    Publiziert von Copernicus im Namen von The European Geosciences Union (EGU).
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  • 66
    Publikationsdatum: 2015-09-17
    Beschreibung: Accuracy and precision of 14 C-based source apportionment of organic and elemental carbon in aerosols using the Swiss_4S protocol Atmospheric Measurement Techniques, 8, 3729-3743, 2015 Author(s): G. O. Mouteva, S. M. Fahrni, G. M. Santos, J. T. Randerson, Y.-L. Zhang, S. Szidat, and C. I. Czimczik Aerosol source apportionment remains a critical challenge for understanding the transport and aging of aerosols, as well as for developing successful air pollution mitigation strategies. The contributions of fossil and non-fossil sources to organic carbon (OC) and elemental carbon (EC) in carbonaceous aerosols can be quantified by measuring the radiocarbon ( 14 C) content of each carbon fraction. However, the use of 14 C in studying OC and EC has been limited by technical challenges related to the physical separation of the two fractions and small sample sizes. There is no common procedure for OC/EC 14 C analysis, and uncertainty studies have largely focused on the precision of yields. Here, we quantified the uncertainty in 14 C measurement of aerosols associated with the isolation and analysis of each carbon fraction with the Swiss_4S thermal–optical analysis (TOA) protocol. We used an OC/EC analyzer (Sunset Laboratory Inc., OR, USA) coupled to a vacuum line to separate the two components. Each fraction was thermally desorbed and converted to carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) in pure oxygen (O 2 ). On average, 91 % of the evolving CO 2 was then cryogenically trapped on the vacuum line, reduced to filamentous graphite, and measured for its 14 C content via accelerator mass spectrometry (AMS). To test the accuracy of our setup, we quantified the total amount of extraneous carbon introduced during the TOA sample processing and graphitization as the sum of modern and fossil ( 14 C-depleted) carbon introduced during the analysis of fossil reference materials (adipic acid for OC and coal for EC) and contemporary standards (oxalic acid for OC and rice char for EC) as a function of sample size. We further tested our methodology by analyzing five ambient airborne particulate matter (PM 2.5 ) samples with a range of OC and EC concentrations and 14 C contents in an interlaboratory comparison. The total modern and fossil carbon blanks of our setup were 0.8 ± 0.4 and 0.67 ± 0.34 μg C, respectively, based on multiple measurements of ultra-small samples. The extraction procedure (Swiss_4S protocol and cryo-trapping only) contributed 0.37 ± 0.18 μg of modern carbon and 0.13 ± 0.07 μg of fossil carbon to the total blank of our system, with consistent estimates obtained for the two laboratories. There was no difference in the background correction between the OC and EC fractions. Our setup allowed us to efficiently isolate and trap each carbon fraction with the Swiss_4S protocol and to perform 14 C analysis of ultra-small OC and EC samples with high accuracy and low 14 C blanks.
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    Publiziert von Copernicus im Namen von The European Geosciences Union (EGU).
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  • 67
    Publikationsdatum: 2015-09-17
    Beschreibung: ABSTRACT Heavy rainfall months of more than 450 mm occur in all 56 meteorological stations in eight climatic zones of Vietnam during the rainy season from April to September in the north (〉20°N), from August to December in the centre and from May to November in the south (〈12°N). The severity of an El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) episode, expressed as the integral of sea surface temperature anomaly (SSTA) in the central tropical Pacific over the duration, shows a 4.6-fold (2.3-fold) increase in number of heavy rainfall months during La Niña (El Niño) per unit change in severity during the 1960–2009 period, suggesting a twin peak occurrence with both ENSO extremes. A heavy rainfall index (HRI) links heavy rainfall months to the rainy season duration, and allows evaluation of the rainfall severity per station, climatic zone and ENSO cycle. For the deltas and central climatic zones, seasonal rainfall and number of heavy rainfall months are significantly higher at the p  〈 0.05 level during La Niña than during El Niño episodes. Interpolated seasonal rainfall shows distinct differences between regions, with location having a larger effect than ENSO cycles on monthly rainfall amounts. Twenty-year return monthly rainfall derived from generalized Pareto distributions for peak over thresholds range from 475 mm in the central highlands to 2185 mm in the central coast. The spatial and temporal patterns of heavy monthly rainfall help explain flooding and paddy inundation which occur at least twice as frequent during La Niña as compared to El Niño conditions, particularly in Central Vietnam. The relation of HRI with both 20-year return levels and ENSO cycles offers opportunities for fast screening of impacts in a wider region of Southeast Asia. Because ENSO cycles have an impact on flooding and paddy inundation, it provides prospects for early warning, differentiated for different zones and rainfall regimes.
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  • 68
    Publikationsdatum: 2015-09-18
    Beschreibung: The impact of vibrational Raman scattering of air on DOAS measurements of atmospheric trace gases Atmospheric Measurement Techniques, 8, 3767-3787, 2015 Author(s): J. Lampel, U. Frieß, and U. Platt In remote sensing applications, such as differential optical absorption spectroscopy (DOAS), atmospheric scattering processes need to be considered. After inelastic scattering on N 2 and O 2 molecules, the scattered photons occur as additional intensity at a different wavelength, effectively leading to "filling-in" of both solar Fraunhofer lines and absorptions of atmospheric constituents, if the inelastic scattering happens after the absorption. Measured spectra in passive DOAS applications are typically corrected for rotational Raman scattering (RRS), also called Ring effect, which represents the main contribution to inelastic scattering. Inelastic scattering can also occur in liquid water, and its influence on DOAS measurements has been observed over clear ocean water. In contrast to that, vibrational Raman scattering (VRS) of N 2 and O 2 has often been thought to be negligible, but it also contributes. Consequences of VRS are red-shifted Fraunhofer structures in scattered light spectra and filling-in of Fraunhofer lines, additional to RRS. At 393 nm, the spectral shift is 25 and 40 nm for VRS of O 2 and N 2 , respectively. We describe how to calculate VRS correction spectra according to the Ring spectrum. We use the VRS correction spectra in the spectral range of 420–440 nm to determine the relative magnitude of the cross-sections of VRS of O 2 and N 2 and RRS of air. The effect of VRS is shown for the first time in spectral evaluations of Multi-Axis DOAS data from the SOPRAN M91 campaign and the MAD-CAT MAX-DOAS intercomparison campaign. The measurements yield in agreement with calculated scattering cross-sections that the observed VRS(N 2 ) cross-section at 393 nm amounts to 2.3 ± 0.4 % of the cross-section of RRS at 433 nm under tropospheric conditions. The contribution of VRS(O 2 ) is also found to be in agreement with calculated scattering cross-sections. It is concluded, that this phenomenon has to be included in the spectral evaluation of weak absorbers as it reduces the measurement error significantly and can cause apparent differential optical depth of up to 3 ×10 −4 . Its influence on the spectral retrieval of IO, glyoxal, water vapour and NO 2 in the blue wavelength range is evaluated for M91. For measurements with a large Ring signal a significant and systematic bias of NO 2 dSCDs (differential slant column densities) up to (−3.8 ± 0.4) × 10 14 molec cm −2 is observed if this effect is not considered. The effect is typically negligible for DOAS fits with an RMS (root mean square) larger than 4 × 10 −4 .
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  • 69
    Publikationsdatum: 2015-09-19
    Beschreibung: OMI tropospheric NO 2 air mass factors over South America: effects of biomass burning aerosols Atmospheric Measurement Techniques, 8, 3831-3849, 2015 Author(s): P. Castellanos, K. F. Boersma, O. Torres, and J. F. de Haan Biomass burning is an important and uncertain source of aerosols and NO x (NO + NO 2 ) to the atmosphere. Satellite observations of tropospheric NO 2 are essential for characterizing this emissions source, but inaccuracies in the retrieval of NO 2 tropospheric columns due to the radiative effects of aerosols, especially light-absorbing carbonaceous aerosols, are not well understood. It has been shown that the O 2 –O 2 effective cloud fraction and pressure retrieval is sensitive to aerosol optical and physical properties, including aerosol optical depth (AOD). Aerosols implicitly influence the tropospheric air mass factor (AMF) calculations used in the NO 2 retrieval through the effective cloud parameters used in the independent pixel approximation. In this work, we explicitly account for the effects of biomass burning aerosols in the Ozone Monitoring Instrument (OMI) tropospheric NO 2 AMF calculation for cloud-free scenes. We do so by including collocated aerosol extinction vertical profile observations from the CALIOP instrument, and aerosol optical depth (AOD) and single scattering albedo (SSA) retrieved by the OMI near-UV aerosol algorithm (OMAERUV) in the DISAMAR radiative transfer model. Tropospheric AMFs calculated with DISAMAR were benchmarked against AMFs reported in the Dutch OMI NO 2 (DOMINO) retrieval; the mean and standard deviation of the difference was 0.6 ± 8 %. Averaged over three successive South American biomass burning seasons (2006–2008), the spatial correlation in the 500 nm AOD retrieved by OMI and the 532 nm AOD retrieved by CALIOP was 0.6, and 68 % of the daily OMAERUV AOD observations were within 30 % of the CALIOP observations. Overall, tropospheric AMFs calculated with observed aerosol parameters were on average 10 % higher than AMFs calculated with effective cloud parameters. For effective cloud radiance fractions less than 30 %, or effective cloud pressures greater than 800 hPa, the difference between tropospheric AMFs based on implicit and explicit aerosol parameters is on average 6 and 3 %, respectively, which was the case for the majority of the pixels considered in our study; 70 % had cloud radiance fraction below 30 %, and 50 % had effective cloud pressure greater than 800 hPa. Pixels with effective cloud radiance fraction greater than 30 % or effective cloud pressure less than 800 hPa corresponded with stronger shielding in the implicit aerosol correction approach because the assumption of an opaque effective cloud underestimates the altitude-resolved AMF; tropospheric AMFs were on average 30–50 % larger when aerosol parameters were included, and for individual pixels tropospheric AMFs can differ by more than a factor of 2. The observation-based approach to correcting tropospheric AMF calculations for aerosol effects presented in this paper depicts a promising strategy for a globally consistent aerosol correction scheme for clear-sky pixels.
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  • 70
    Publikationsdatum: 2015-09-22
    Beschreibung: Intercomparison of two comparative reactivity method instruments inf the Mediterranean basin during summer 2013 Atmospheric Measurement Techniques, 8, 3851-3865, 2015 Author(s): N. Zannoni, S. Dusanter, V. Gros, R. Sarda Esteve, V. Michoud, V. Sinha, N. Locoge, and B. Bonsang The hydroxyl radical (OH) plays a key role in the atmosphere, as it initiates most of the oxidation processes of volatile organic compounds (VOCs), and can ultimately lead to the formation of ozone and secondary organic aerosols (SOAs). There are still uncertainties associated with the OH budget assessed using current models of atmospheric chemistry and direct measurements of OH sources and sinks have proved to be valuable tools to improve our understanding of the OH chemistry. The total first order loss rate of OH, or total OH reactivity, can be directly measured using three different methods, such as the following: total OH loss rate measurement, laser-induced pump and probe technique and comparative reactivity method. Observations of total OH reactivity are usually coupled to individual measurements of reactive compounds in the gas phase, which are used to calculate the OH reactivity. Studies using the three methods have highlighted that a significant fraction of OH reactivity is often not explained by individually measured reactive compounds and could be associated to unmeasured or unknown chemical species. Therefore accurate and reproducible measurements of OH reactivity are required. The comparative reactivity method (CRM) has demonstrated to be an advantageous technique with an extensive range of applications, and for this reason it has been adopted by several research groups since its development. However, this method also requires careful corrections to derive ambient OH reactivity. Herein we present an intercomparison exercise of two CRM instruments, CRM-LSCE (Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement) and CRM-MD (Mines Douai), conducted during July 2013 at the Mediterranean site of Ersa, Cape Corsica, France. The intercomparison exercise included tests to assess the corrections needed by the two instruments to process the raw data sets as well as OH reactivity observations. The observation was divided in three parts: 2 days of plant emissions (8–9 July), 2 days of ambient measurements (10–11 July) and 2 days (12–13 July) of plant emissions. We discuss in detail the experimental approach adopted and how the data sets were processed for both instruments. Corrections required for the two instruments lead to higher values of reactivity in ambient air; overall 20 % increase for CRM-MD and 49 % for CRM-LSCE compared to the raw data. We show that ambient OH reactivity measured by the two instruments agrees very well (correlation described by a linear least squares fit with a slope of 1 and R 2 of 0.75). This study highlights that ambient measurements of OH reactivity with differently configured CRM instruments yield consistent results in a low NO x (NO + NO 2 ), terpene rich environment, despite differential corrections relevant to each instrument. Conducting more intercomparison exercises, involving more CRM instruments operated under different ambient and instrumental settings will help in assessing the variability induced due to instrument-specific corrections further.
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    Publiziert von Copernicus im Namen von The European Geosciences Union (EGU).
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  • 71
    Publikationsdatum: 2015-09-23
    Beschreibung: ABSTRACT Recent studies have pointed out the statistical occurrence of dual-season droughts detected in tree-ring chronologies over the southwestern US region that is not well described by instrumental observed records of the 20th century. In this study, a multi-statistical approach that evaluates persistent dual-season drought using a mode-of-variability oriented approach is proposed, considering a new network of tree-ring earlywood (EW)- and latewood-adjusted (LW adj ) chronologies from throughout southwestern North America. To determine dominant patterns of spatiotemporal variability, empirical, orthogonal functions, canonical correlation analysis, and multi-taper-method singular value decomposition analyses were applied, with focus on variability from inter-annual to centennial periods and highlighting the multi-decadal signals inherent to proxy record network. During the instrumental period, we demonstrate that EW and LW adj networks of tree-ring chronologies are able to capture the associated precipitation responses of cool and warm season atmospheric teleconnections. Considering the four-century period of the complete tree-ring network, we explore the possibility of a dual summer–winter variability signal in the low-frequency climate regime. EW and LW adj seem to be coherent in-phase at the very low-frequency scale (50–100 years spectral band). This provocative result is supported by major historic documented multi-year droughts of the region since 1650. Thus, the temporal variation of these chronologies time series and its associated spatial pattern strongly suggest that this low-frequency mode might represents an important spatiotemporal variation of droughts in the Southwest; however, the source of this signal is still an open question and of great interest for drought planning and resource management in the region.
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  • 72
    Publikationsdatum: 2015-09-23
    Beschreibung: ABSTRACT Spatiotemporal patterns of precipitation regimes in terms of precipitation amount and number of precipitation days at different time scales are investigated using the entropy-based methodologies in the Huai River basin, China. Trends of precipitation variability are quantitatively evaluated using the modified Mann–Kendall trend test method. Correlations between the largest 7-day precipitation amount (R × 7day) and precipitation variability within 1 year are also analysed. Results indicate the following: (1) there is increasing nonuniformity of annual precipitation amount and annual precipitation days from south to north in the Huai River basin, indicating larger precipitation variability in the northern parts. Transition of precipitation changes is evident in the basin which is reflected by decreasing precipitation variability in the north and increasing precipitation variability in the south. (2) The disorder indices (DIs) exhibit variations at different time scales. In general, precipitation variability is larger at shorter time scales, such as daily, and is smaller at longer time scales, such as annual. (3) Significant relations are identified between the DI and extreme precipitation events, i.e. significant relations between apportionment DI and the largest 7-day precipitation amount and it is particularly the case in the central and southwestern parts. Thus, it can be said that higher precipitation variability is due to higher frequency of extreme precipitation regimes. Results of this study are of practical significance for planning and management of water resources and agricultural irrigation and agricultural activities during climate change and particularly for enhancement of measures for mitigation of consequences of climate change.
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  • 73
    Publikationsdatum: 2015-09-23
    Beschreibung: ABSTRACT The aim of this study was to provide a better understanding of how vegetation and building geometry influence the spatial distribution of air temperature and nocturnal cooling rates (CR) in a high-latitude city. Intra-urban thermal variations were analysed in two seasons (May–September and November–March) and in different weather conditions (clear, calm and cloudy, windy) in Gothenburg, Sweden. Simultaneous air temperature measurements were conducted for 2 years (2012–2013) at ten fixed park and street sites characterized by varying type and amount of vegetation, building geometry, openness and surface cover. Several spatial characteristics, including sky view factor (SVF) as well as the cover and volume of buildings and trees, were calculated within circular areas of radii ranging from 10 to 150 m. Spatial characteristics were found to explain air temperature distribution in the studied area to a large extent throughout the day and year, in both clear, calm as well as cloudy, windy conditions. The highest correlations were found for weighted calculation areas accounting for the influence of both nearest (10 m) and wider (25–150 m) surroundings. Park sites remained cooler than built-up areas, with the most pronounced cooling effect (0.8 °C) on clear, calm days of the warm season. The most important factor governing CR around sunset was SVF. However, on clear, calm nights of the warm season, they were also enhanced by vegetation, indicating the influence of evapotranspiration. Minimum night-time air temperature was governed mostly by the presence of buildings. Within the street canyon, a daytime cooling and night-time warming effect of a street tree was observed, particularly in the warm season. The study shows the importance of various spatial characteristics describing openness, amount of vegetation and building geometry in analysing intra-urban variations in daytime and night-time air temperature.
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  • 74
    Publikationsdatum: 2015-09-23
    Beschreibung: ABSTRACT This paper examines the skill of seasonal precipitation forecasts over Iran using one two-tiered model, three National Multi-Model Ensemble (NMME) models, and two coupled ocean–atmosphere or one-tiered models. These models are, respectively, the ECHAM4.5 atmospheric model that is forced with sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies forecasted using constructed analogue SSTs (ECHAM4.5-SSTCA); the IRI-ECHAM4.5-DirectCoupled, the NASA-GMAO-062012 and the NCEP-CFSv2; and the ECHAM4.5 Modular Ocean Model version 3 (ECHAM4.5-MOM3-DC2) and the ECHAM4.5-GML-NCEP Coupled Forecast System (CFSSST). The precipitation and 850 hPa geopotential height fields of the forecast models are statistically downscaling to the 0.5° × 0.5° spatial resolution of the Global Precipitation Climatology Centre (GPCC) Version 6 gridded precipitation data, using model output statistics (MOS) developed through the canonical correlation analysis (CCA) option of the Climate Predictability Tool (CPT). Retroactive validations for lead times of up to 3 months are performed using the relative operating characteristic (ROC) and reliability diagrams, which are evaluated for above- and below-normal categories and defined by the upper and lower 75th and 25th percentiles of the data record over the 15-year test period of 1995/1996 to 2009/2010. The forecast models' skills are also compared with skills obtained by (a) downscaling simulations produced by forcing the ECHAM4.5 with simultaneously observed SST, and (b) the 850 hPa geopotential height NCEP-NCAR (National Centers for Environmental Prediction-National Center for Atmospheric Research) reanalysis data. Downscaling forecasts from most models generally produce the highest skill forecast at lead times of up to 3 months for autumn precipitation – the October-November-December (OND) season. For most seasons, a high skill is obtained from ECHAM4.5-MOM3-DC2 forecasts at a 1-month lead time when the models' 850 hPa geopotential height fields are used as the predictor fields. For this model and lead time, the Pearson correlation between the area-averaged of the observed and forecasts over the study area for the OND, November-December-January (NDJ), December-January-February (DJF) and January-February-March (JFM) seasons were 0.68, 0.62, 0.42 and 0.43, respectively.
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  • 75
    Publikationsdatum: 2015-09-23
    Beschreibung: ABSTRACT The complexity, predictability and predictive instability of the Western Mediterranean Oscillation index (WeMOi) at monthly scale, years 1856–2000, are analysed from the viewpoint of monofractal and multifractal theories. The complex physical mechanism is quantified by: (1) the Hurst exponent, H , of the rescaled range analysis; (2) correlation and embedding dimensions, μ * and d E , together with Kolmogorov entropy, κ , derived from the reconstruction theorem; and (3) the critical Hölder exponent, α o , the spectral width, W , and the asymmetry of the multifractal spectrum, f ( α ). The predictive instability is described by the Lyapunov exponents, λ , and the Kaplan–Yorke dimension, D KY , while the self-affine character is characterized by the Hausdorff exponent, H a . Relationships between the exponent β , which describes the dependence of the power spectrum S ( f ) on frequency f , and the Hurst and Hausdorff exponents suggest fractional Gaussian noise (fGn) as a right simulation of empiric WeMOi. Comparisons are made with monthly North-Atlantic Oscillation and Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation indices. The analysis is complemented with an ARIMA(p,1,0) autoregressive process, which yields a more accurate prediction of WeMOi than that derived from fGn simulations.
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  • 76
    Publikationsdatum: 2015-09-25
    Beschreibung: The GOME-type Total Ozone Essential Climate Variable (GTO-ECV) data record from the ESA Climate Change Initiative Atmospheric Measurement Techniques, 8, 3923-3940, 2015 Author(s): M. Coldewey-Egbers, D. G. Loyola, M. Koukouli, D. Balis, J.-C. Lambert, T. Verhoelst, J. Granville, M. van Roozendael, C. Lerot, R. Spurr, S. M. Frith, and C. Zehner We present the new GOME-type Total Ozone Essential Climate Variable (GTO-ECV) data record which has been created within the framework of the European Space Agency's Climate Change Initiative (ESA-CCI). Total ozone column observations – based on the GOME-type Direct Fitting version 3 algorithm – from GOME (Global Ozone Monitoring Experiment), SCIAMACHY (SCanning Imaging Absorption SpectroMeter for Atmospheric CHartographY), and GOME-2 have been combined into one homogeneous time series, thereby taking advantage of the high inter-sensor consistency. The data record spans the 15-year period from March 1996 to June 2011 and it contains global monthly mean total ozone columns on a 1°× 1° grid. Geophysical ground-based validation using Brewer, Dobson, and UV–visible instruments has shown that the GTO-ECV level 3 data record is of the same high quality as the equivalent individual level 2 data products that constitute it. Both absolute agreement and long-term stability are excellent with respect to the ground-based data, for almost all latitudes apart from a few outliers which are mostly due to sampling differences between the level 2 and level 3 data. We conclude that the GTO-ECV data record is valuable for a variety of climate applications such as the long-term monitoring of the past evolution of the ozone layer, trend analysis and the evaluation of chemistry–climate model simulations.
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    Publiziert von Copernicus im Namen von The European Geosciences Union (EGU).
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  • 77
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    Copernicus
    Publikationsdatum: 2015-09-25
    Beschreibung: PTRwid: A new widget tool for processing PTR-TOF-MS data Atmospheric Measurement Techniques, 8, 3903-3922, 2015 Author(s): R. Holzinger PTRwid is a fast and user friendly tool that has been developed to process data from proton-transfer-reaction time-of-flight mass spectrometers (PTR-TOF-MS) that use HTOF (high-resolution time-of-flight) mass spectrometers from Tofwerk AG (Switzerland). PTRwid is designed for a comprehensive evaluation of whole laboratory or field-based studies. All processing runs autonomously, and entire laboratory or field campaigns can, in principle, be processed with a few mouse clicks. Unique features of PTRwid include (i) an autonomous and accurate mass scale calibration, (ii) the computation of a "unified mass list" that – in addition to a uniform data structure – provides a robust method to determine the precision of attributed peak masses, and (iii) fast data analysis due to well considered choices in data processing.
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    Publiziert von Copernicus im Namen von The European Geosciences Union (EGU).
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  • 78
    Publikationsdatum: 2015-09-26
    Beschreibung: ABSTRACT The complexity of impacts resulting from extreme precipitation events varies with the spatial extent of precipitation extremes. Characteristics of precipitation extremes, defined by the top 5% of 3-day accumulated precipitation, including their spatial coherence and relationships to two contrasting synoptic phenomena, were examined at stations across the Northwestern United States. The spatial coherence of precipitation extremes generally decayed with distance between stations. However, distinct geographic variability in region-wide coherence of precipitation extremes was present with overall higher coherence west of the Cascades, and lower coherence in the lee of the Cascades and Northern Rocky Mountains. Illustrative patterns of coherence were also seen with respect to atmospheric circulation regimes; atmospheric rivers favoured broadly coherent extremes occurring primarily west of the Cascades during fall and winter, while closed lows favoured more isolated precipitation extremes in the lee of the Northern Rocky Mountains and Cascades, occurring primarily during spring. Geographic variability in spatial coherence, direction of maximum coherence and seasonality of extremes suggest that extreme precipitation events result from the interaction of atmospheric circulation and complex topography.
    Print ISSN: 0899-8418
    Digitale ISSN: 1097-0088
    Thema: Geologie und Paläontologie , Physik
    Publiziert von Wiley
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  • 79
    Publikationsdatum: 2015-10-01
    Beschreibung: Correction of water vapor absorption for aerosol remote sensing with ceilometers Atmospheric Measurement Techniques, 8, 3971-3984, 2015 Author(s): M. Wiegner and J. Gasteiger In recent years attention was increasingly paid to backscatter profiles of ceilometers as a new source of aerosol information. Several case studies have shown that – although originally intended for cloud detection only – ceilometers can provide the planetary boundary layer height and even quantitative information such as the aerosol backscatter coefficient β p , provided that the signals have been calibrated. It is expected that the retrieval of aerosol parameters will become widespread as the number of ceilometers is steadily increasing, and continuous and unattended operation is provided. In this context however one should be aware of the fact that the majority of ceilometers provides signals that are influenced by atmospheric water vapor. As a consequence, profiles of aerosol parameters can only be retrieved if water vapor absorption is taken into account. In this paper we describe the influence of water vapor absorption on ceilometer signals at wavelengths around λ = 910 nm. Spectrally high-resolved absorption coefficients are calculated from HITRAN on the basis of realistic emission spectra of ceilometers. These results are used as a reference to develop a methodology ("WAPL") for routine and near-real time corrections of the water vapor influence. Comparison of WAPL with the reference demonstrates its very high accuracy. Extensive studies with simulations based on measurements reveal that the error when water vapor absorption is ignored in the β p -retrieval can be in the order of 20 % for mid-latitudes and more than 50 % for the tropics. It is concluded that the emission spectrum of the laser source should be provided by the manufacturer to increase the accuracy of WAPL, and that 910 nm is better suited than 905 nm. With WAPL systematic errors can be avoided, that would exceed the inherent errors of the Klett solutions by far.
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    Publiziert von Copernicus im Namen von The European Geosciences Union (EGU).
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  • 80
    Publikationsdatum: 2015-09-30
    Beschreibung: Characterizing black carbon in rain and ice cores using coupled tangential flow filtration and transmission electron microscopy Atmospheric Measurement Techniques, 8, 3959-3969, 2015 Author(s): A. Ellis, R. Edwards, M. Saunders, R. K. Chakrabarty, R. Subramanian, A. van Riessen, A. M. Smith, D. Lambrinidis, L. J. Nunes, P. Vallelonga, I. D. Goodwin, A. D. Moy, M. A. J. Curran, and T. D. van Ommen Antarctic ice cores have been used to study the history of black carbon (BC), but little is known with regards to the physical and chemical characteristics of these particles in the remote atmosphere. Characterization remains limited by ultra-trace concentrations in ice core samples and the lack of adequate methods to isolate the particles unaltered from the melt water. To investigate the physical and chemical characteristics of these particles, we have developed a tangential flow filtration (TFF) method combined with transmission electron microscopy (TEM). Tests using ultrapure water and polystyrene latex particle standards resulted in excellent blanks and significant particle recovery. This approach has been applied to melt water from Antarctic ice cores as well as tropical rain from Darwin, Australia with successful results: TEM analysis revealed a variety of BC particle morphologies, insoluble coatings, and the attachment of BC to mineral dust particles. The TFF-based concentration of these particles has proven to give excellent results for TEM studies of BC particles in Antarctic ice cores and can be used for future studies of insoluble aerosols in rainwater and ice core samples.
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    Publiziert von Copernicus im Namen von The European Geosciences Union (EGU).
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  • 81
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    Publikationsdatum: 2015-11-20
    Beschreibung: OMI total column ozone: extending the long-term data record Atmospheric Measurement Techniques, 8, 4845-4850, 2015 Author(s): R. D. McPeters, S. Frith, and G. J. Labow The ozone data record from the Ozone Monitoring Instrument (OMI) onboard the NASA Earth Observing System (EOS) Aura satellite has proven to be very stable over the 10-plus years of operation. The OMI total column ozone processed through the Total Ozone Mapping Spectrometer (TOMS) ozone retrieval algorithm (version 8.5) has been compared with ground-based measurements and with ozone from a series of SBUV/2 (Solar Backscatter Ultraviolet) instruments. Comparison with an ensemble of Brewer–Dobson sites shows an absolute offset of about 1.5 % and almost no relative trend. Comparison with a merged ozone data set (MOD) created by combining data from a series of SBUV/2 instruments again shows an offset, of about 1 %, and a relative trend of less than 0.5 % over 10 years. The offset is mostly due to the use of the old Bass–Paur ozone cross sections in the OMI retrievals rather than the Brion–Daumont–Malicet cross sections that are now recommended. The bias in the Southern Hemisphere is smaller than that in the Northern Hemisphere, 0.9 % vs. 1.5 %, for reasons that are not completely understood. When OMI was compared with the European realization of a multi-instrument ozone time series, the GTO (GOME type Total Ozone) data set, there was a small trend of about −0.85 % decade −1 . Since all the comparisons of OMI relative to other ozone measuring systems show relative trends that are less than 1 % decade −1 , we conclude that the OMI total column ozone data are sufficiently stable that they can be used in studies of ozone trends.
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    Publiziert von Copernicus im Namen von The European Geosciences Union (EGU).
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  • 82
    Publikationsdatum: 2015-11-24
    Beschreibung: Situated along the coast of southern China and facing the South China Sea, Hong Kong has been experiencing a significant rise in sea level by about 2.9 mm year −1 since the 1950s. For a densely populated coastal city prone to storm surge impacts during the passages of tropical cyclones, accentuated by the threat of sea-level rise as a result of global warming and local vertical land displacement, projection of the sea-level change for Hong Kong is essential for local risk assessment and long-term planning of adaptation measures. This study presented the projection of sea-level change in Hong Kong and its adjacent waters under the Representative Concentration Pathway 4.5 and 8.5 (RCP4.5 and RCP8.5) scenarios in the 21st century based on climate projections by models in phase 5 of Coupled Model Intercomparison Project, in combination with contributions from land ice and land water storage determined from published literatures, and local vertical land displacement as estimated by using continuous high-precision GPS observations in Hong Kong. The results show that the sea level in Hong Kong and its adjacent waters is projected to rise by 0.67 (0.50–0.84) m and 0.84 (0.63–1.07) m in 2081–2100 relative to 1986–2005 under RCP4.5 and RCP8.5, respectively, about 0.2 m higher than the global mean values projected by the Fifth Assessment Report of Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. The higher projected sea-level rise in Hong Kong and its adjacent waters as compared with the global mean values is primarily due to local vertical land displacement which contributes around 28% and 23% of the projected sea-level rise in 2081–2100 relative to 1986–2005 in the two respective RCP scenarios.
    Print ISSN: 0899-8418
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    Thema: Geologie und Paläontologie , Physik
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  • 83
    Publikationsdatum: 2015-11-24
    Beschreibung: Sensitivity of remotely sensed trace gas concentrations to polarisation Atmospheric Measurement Techniques, 8, 4917-4930, 2015 Author(s): D. M. O'Brien, I. N. Polonsky, and J. B. Kumer Current and proposed space missions estimate column-averaged concentrations of trace gases (CO 2 , CH 4 and CO) from high resolution spectra of reflected sunlight in absorption bands of the gases. The radiance leaving the top of the atmosphere is partially polarised by both reflection at the surface and scattering within the atmosphere. Generally, the polarisation state is unknown and could degrade the accuracy of the concentration measurements. The sensitivity to polarisation is modelled for the proposed geoCARB instrument, which will include neither polarisers nor polarisation scramblers to select particular polarisation states from the incident radiation. The radiometric and polarimetric calibrations proposed for geoCARB are outlined, and a model is developed for the polarisation properties of the geoCARB spectrographs. This model depends principally upon the efficiencies of the gratings to polarisations parallel and perpendicular to the rulings of the gratings. Next, an ensemble of polarised spectra is simulated for geoCARB observing targets in India, China and Australia from geostationary orbit at longitude 110° E. The spectra are analysed to recover the trace gas concentrations in two modes, the first denied access to the polarimetric calibration and the second with access. The retrieved concentrations using the calibration data are almost identical to those that would be obtained with polarisation scramblers, while the retrievals without calibration data contain outliers that do not meet the accuracies demanded by the mission.
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    Publiziert von Copernicus im Namen von The European Geosciences Union (EGU).
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  • 84
    Publikationsdatum: 2015-11-26
    Beschreibung: Evaluation of the operational Aerosol Layer Height retrieval algorithm for Sentinel-5 Precursor: application to O 2 A band observations from GOME-2A Atmospheric Measurement Techniques, 8, 4947-4977, 2015 Author(s): A. F. J. Sanders, J. F. de Haan, M. Sneep, A. Apituley, P. Stammes, M. O. Vieitez, L. G. Tilstra, O. N. E. Tuinder, C. E. Koning, and J. P. Veefkind An algorithm setup for the operational Aerosol Layer Height product for TROPOMI on the Sentinel-5 Precursor mission is described and discussed, applied to GOME-2A data, and evaluated with lidar measurements. The algorithm makes a spectral fit of reflectance at the O 2 A band in the near-infrared and the fit window runs from 758 to 770 nm. The aerosol profile is parameterised by a scattering layer with constant aerosol volume extinction coefficient and aerosol single scattering albedo and with a fixed pressure thickness. The algorithm's target parameter is the height of this layer. In this paper, we apply the algorithm to observations from GOME-2A in a number of systematic and extensive case studies, and we compare retrieved aerosol layer heights with lidar measurements. Aerosol scenes cover various aerosol types, both elevated and boundary layer aerosols, and land and sea surfaces. The aerosol optical thicknesses for these scenes are relatively moderate. Retrieval experiments with GOME-2A spectra are used to investigate various sensitivities, in which particular attention is given to the role of the surface albedo. From retrieval simulations with the single-layer model, we learn that the surface albedo should be a fit parameter when retrieving aerosol layer height from the O 2 A band. Current uncertainties in surface albedo climatologies cause biases and non-convergences when the surface albedo is fixed in the retrieval. Biases disappear and convergence improves when the surface albedo is fitted, while precision of retrieved aerosol layer pressure is still largely within requirement levels. Moreover, we show that fitting the surface albedo helps to ameliorate biases in retrieved aerosol layer height when the assumed aerosol model is inaccurate. Subsequent retrievals with GOME-2A spectra confirm that convergence is better when the surface albedo is retrieved simultaneously with aerosol parameters. However, retrieved aerosol layer pressures are systematically low (i.e., layer high in the atmosphere) to the extent that retrieved values no longer realistically represent actual extinction profiles. When the surface albedo is fixed in retrievals with GOME-2A spectra, convergence deteriorates as expected, but retrieved aerosol layer pressures become much higher (i.e., layer lower in atmosphere). The comparison with lidar measurements indicates that retrieved aerosol layer heights are indeed representative of the underlying profile in that case. Finally, subsequent retrieval simulations with two-layer aerosol profiles show that a model error in the assumed profile (two layers in the simulation but only one in the retrieval) is partly absorbed by the surface albedo when this parameter is fitted. This is expected in view of the correlations between errors in fit parameters and the effect is relatively small for elevated layers (less than 100 hPa). If one of the scattering layers is near the surface (boundary layer aerosols), the effect becomes surprisingly large, in such a way that the retrieved height of the single layer is above the two-layer profile. Furthermore, we find that the retrieval solution, once retrieval converges, hardly depends on the starting values for the fit. Sensitivity experiments with GOME-2A spectra also show that aerosol layer height is indeed relatively robust against inaccuracies in the assumed aerosol model, even when the surface albedo is not fitted. We show spectral fit residuals, which can be used for further investigations. Fit residuals may be partly explained by spectroscopic uncertainties, which is suggested by an experiment showing the improvement of convergence when the absorption cross section is scaled in agreement with Butz et al. (2013) and Crisp et al. (2012), and a temperature offset to the a priori ECMWF temperature profile is fitted. Retrieved temperature offsets are always negative and quite large (ranging between −4 and −8 K), which is not expected if temperature offsets absorb remaining inaccuracies in meteorological data. Other sensitivity experiments investigate fitting of stray light and fluorescence emissions. We find negative radiance offsets and negative fluorescence emissions, also for non-vegetated areas, but from the results it is not clear whether fitting these parameters improves the retrieval. Based on the present results, the operational baseline for the Aerosol Layer Height product currently will not fit the surface albedo. The product will be particularly suited for elevated, optically thick aerosol layers. In addition to its scientific value in climate research, anticipated applications of the product for TROPOMI are providing aerosol height information for aviation safety and improving interpretation of the Absorbing Aerosol Index.
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    Publiziert von Copernicus im Namen von The European Geosciences Union (EGU).
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  • 85
    Publikationsdatum: 2015-11-20
    Beschreibung: Radiometric consistency assessment of hyperspectral infrared sounders Atmospheric Measurement Techniques, 8, 4831-4844, 2015 Author(s): L. Wang, Y. Han, X. Jin, Y. Chen, and D. A. Tremblay The radiometric and spectral consistency among the Atmospheric Infrared Sounder (AIRS), the Infrared Atmospheric Sounding Interferometer (IASI), and the Cross-track Infrared Sounder (CrIS) is fundamental for the creation of long-term infrared (IR) hyperspectral radiance benchmark data sets for both intercalibration and climate-related studies. In this study, the CrIS radiance measurements on Suomi National Polar-orbiting Partnership (SNPP) satellite are directly compared with IASI on MetOp-A and MetOp-B at the finest spectral scale and with AIRS on Aqua in 25 selected spectral regions through simultaneous nadir overpass (SNO) observations in 2013, to evaluate radiometric consistency of these four hyperspectral IR sounders. The spectra from different sounders are paired together through strict spatial and temporal collocation. The uniform scenes are selected by examining the collocated Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite (VIIRS) pixels. Their brightness temperature (BT) differences are then calculated by converting the spectra onto common spectral grids. The results indicate that CrIS agrees well with IASI on MetOp-A and IASI on MetOp-B at the long-wave IR (LWIR) and middle-wave IR (MWIR) bands with 0.1–0.2 K differences. There are no apparent scene-dependent patterns for BT differences between CrIS and IASI for individual spectral channels. CrIS and AIRS are compared at the 25 spectral regions for both polar and tropical SNOs. The combined global SNO data sets indicate that the CrIS–AIRS BT differences are less than or around 0.1 K among 21 of 25 spectral regions and they range from 0.15 to 0.21 K in the remaining four spectral regions. CrIS–AIRS BT differences in some comparison spectral regions show weak scene-dependent features.
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    Publiziert von Copernicus im Namen von The European Geosciences Union (EGU).
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  • 86
    Publikationsdatum: 2015-11-21
    Beschreibung: HO x radical chemistry in oxidation flow reactors with low-pressure mercury lamps systematically examined by modeling Atmospheric Measurement Techniques, 8, 4863-4890, 2015 Author(s): Z. Peng, D. A. Day, H. Stark, R. Li, J. Lee-Taylor, B. B. Palm, W. H. Brune, and J. L. Jimenez Oxidation flow reactors (OFRs) using OH produced from low-pressure Hg lamps at 254 nm (OFR254) or both 185 and 254 nm (OFR185) are commonly used in atmospheric chemistry and other fields. OFR254 requires the addition of externally formed O 3 since OH is formed from O 3 photolysis, while OFR185 does not since O 2 can be photolyzed to produce O 3 , and OH can also be formed from H 2 O photolysis. In this study, we use a plug-flow kinetic model to investigate OFR properties under a very wide range of conditions applicable to both field and laboratory studies. We show that the radical chemistry in OFRs can be characterized as a function of UV light intensity, H 2 O concentration, and total external OH reactivity (OHR ext , e.g., from volatile organic compounds (VOCs), NO x , and SO 2 ). OH exposure is decreased by added external OH reactivity. OFR185 is especially sensitive to this effect at low UV intensity due to low primary OH production. OFR254 can be more resilient against OH suppression at high injected O 3 (e.g., 70 ppm), as a larger primary OH source from O 3 , as well as enhanced recycling of HO 2 to OH, make external perturbations to the radical chemistry less significant. However if the external OH reactivity in OFR254 is much larger than OH reactivity from injected O 3 , OH suppression can reach 2 orders of magnitude. For a typical input of 7 ppm O 3 (OHR O 3 = 10 s −1 ), 10-fold OH suppression is observed at OHR ext ~ 100 s −1 , which is similar or lower than used in many laboratory studies. The range of modeled OH suppression for literature experiments is consistent with the measured values except for those with isoprene. The finding on OH suppression may have important implications for the interpretation of past laboratory studies, as applying OH exp measurements acquired under different conditions could lead to over a 1-order-of-magnitude error in the estimated OH exp . The uncertainties of key model outputs due to uncertainty in all rate constants and absorption cross-sections in the model are within ±25 % for OH exposure and within ±60 % for other parameters. These uncertainties are small relative to the dynamic range of outputs. Uncertainty analysis shows that most of the uncertainty is contributed by photolysis rates of O 3 , O 2 , and H 2 O and reactions of OH and HO 2 with themselves or with some abundant species, i.e., O 3 and H 2 O 2 . OH exp calculated from direct integration and estimated from SO 2 decay in the model with laminar and measured residence time distributions (RTDs) are generally within a factor of 2 from the plug-flow OH exp . However, in the models with RTDs, OH exp estimated from SO 2 is systematically lower than directly integrated OH exp in the case of significant SO 2 consumption. We thus recommended using OH exp estimated from the decay of the species under study when possible, to obtain the most appropriate information on photochemical aging in the OFR. Using HO x -recycling vs. destructive external OH reactivity only leads to small changes in OH exp under most conditions. Changing the identity (rate constant) of external OH reactants can result in substantial changes in OH exp due to different reductions in OH suppression as the reactant is consumed. We also report two equations for estimating OH exposure in OFR254. We find that the equation estimating OH exp from measured O 3 consumption performs better than an alternative equation that does not use it, and thus recommend measuring both input and output O 3 concentrations in OFR254 experiments. This study contributes to establishing a firm and systematic understanding of the gas-phase HO x and O x chemistry in these reactors, and enables better experiment planning and interpretation as well as improved design of future reactors.
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    Publiziert von Copernicus im Namen von The European Geosciences Union (EGU).
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  • 87
    Publikationsdatum: 2015-11-21
    Beschreibung: EARLINET Single Calculus Chain – overview on methodology and strategy Atmospheric Measurement Techniques, 8, 4891-4916, 2015 Author(s): G. D'Amico, A. Amodeo, H. Baars, I. Binietoglou, V. Freudenthaler, I. Mattis, U. Wandinger, and G. Pappalardo In this paper we describe the EARLINET Single Calculus Chain (SCC), a tool for the automatic analysis of lidar measurements. The development of this tool started in the framework of EARLINET-ASOS (European Aerosol Research Lidar Network – Advanced Sustainable Observation System); it was extended within ACTRIS (Aerosol, Clouds and Trace gases Research InfraStructure Network), and it is continuing within ACTRIS-2. The main idea was to develop a data processing chain that allows all EARLINET stations to retrieve, in a fully automatic way, the aerosol backscatter and extinction profiles starting from the raw lidar data of the lidar systems they operate. The calculus subsystem of the SCC is composed of two modules: a pre-processor module which handles the raw lidar data and corrects them for instrumental effects and an optical processing module for the retrieval of aerosol optical products from the pre-processed data. All input parameters needed to perform the lidar analysis are stored in a database to keep track of all changes which may occur for any EARLINET lidar system over the time. The two calculus modules are coordinated and synchronized by an additional module (daemon) which makes the whole analysis process fully automatic. The end user can interact with the SCC via a user-friendly web interface. All SCC modules are developed using open-source and freely available software packages. The final products retrieved by the SCC fulfill all requirements of the EARLINET quality assurance programs on both instrumental and algorithm levels. Moreover, the manpower needed to provide aerosol optical products is greatly reduced and thus the near-real-time availability of lidar data is improved. The high-quality of the SCC products is proven by the good agreement between the SCC analysis, and the corresponding independent manual retrievals. Finally, the ability of the SCC to provide high-quality aerosol optical products is demonstrated for an EARLINET intense observation period.
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    Publiziert von Copernicus im Namen von The European Geosciences Union (EGU).
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  • 88
    Publikationsdatum: 2015-08-27
    Beschreibung: Performance assessment of a triple-frequency spaceborne cloud–precipitation radar concept using a global cloud-resolving model Atmospheric Measurement Techniques, 8, 3493-3517, 2015 Author(s): J. Leinonen, M. D. Lebsock, S. Tanelli, K. Suzuki, H. Yashiro, and Y. Miyamoto Multi-frequency radars offer enhanced detection of clouds and precipitation compared to single-frequency systems, and are able to make more accurate retrievals when several frequencies are available simultaneously. An evaluation of a spaceborne three-frequency Ku-/Ka-/W-band radar system is presented in this study, based on modeling radar reflectivities from the results of a global cloud-resolving model with a 875 m grid spacing. To produce the reflectivities, a scattering model has been developed for each of the hydrometeor types produced by the model, as well as for melting snow. The effects of attenuation and multiple scattering on the radar signal are modeled using a radiative transfer model, while nonuniform beam filling is reproduced with spatial averaging. The combined effects of these are then quantified both globally and in six localized case studies. Two different orbital scenarios using the same radar are compared. Overall, based on the results, it is expected that the proposed radar would detect a high-quality signal in most clouds and precipitation. The main exceptions are the thinnest clouds that are below the detection threshold of the W-band channel, and at the opposite end of the scale, heavy convective rainfall where a combination of attenuation, multiple scattering and nonuniform beam filling commonly cause significant deterioration of the signal; thus, while the latter can be generally detected, the quality of the retrievals is likely to be degraded.
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    Publiziert von Copernicus im Namen von The European Geosciences Union (EGU).
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  • 89
    Publikationsdatum: 2015-08-27
    Beschreibung: Design and application of a mobile ground-based observatory for continuous measurements of atmospheric trace gas and criteria pollutant species Atmospheric Measurement Techniques, 8, 3481-3492, 2015 Author(s): S. E. Bush, F. M. Hopkins, J. T. Randerson, C.-T. Lai, and J. R. Ehleringer Ground-based measurements of atmospheric trace gas species and criteria pollutants are essential for understanding emissions dynamics across space and time. Gas composition in the lower 50 m of the atmosphere has the greatest direct impacts on human health as well as ecosystem processes; hence data at this level are necessary for addressing carbon-cycle- and public-health-related questions. However, such surface data are generally associated with stationary measurement towers, where spatial representation is limited due to the high cost of establishing and maintaining an extensive network of measurement stations. We describe here a compact mobile laboratory equipped to provide high-precision, high-frequency, continuous, on-road synchronous measurements of CO 2 , CO, CH 4 , H 2 O, NO x , O 3 , aerosol, meteorological, and geospatial position data. The mobile laboratory has been deployed across the western USA. In addition to describing the vehicle and its capacity, we present data that illustrate the use of the laboratory as a powerful tool for investigating the spatial structure of urban trace gas emissions and criteria pollutants at spatial scales ranging from single streets to whole ecosystem and regional scales. We assess the magnitude of known point sources of CH 4 and also identify fugitive urban CH 4 emissions. We illustrate how such a mobile laboratory can be used to better understand emissions dynamics and quantify emissions ratios associated with trace gas emissions from wildfire incidents. Lastly, we discuss additional mobile laboratory applications in health and urban metabolism.
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    Publiziert von Copernicus im Namen von The European Geosciences Union (EGU).
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  • 90
    Publikationsdatum: 2015-08-27
    Beschreibung: ABSTRACT In this study, the detrended fluctuation analysis (DFA) method is used to analyse the drought and flood index (DFI) of the past 531 years in 20 stations over east central China. It is found that the variation of the DFI exhibits long-range correlation. The long-range correlation gradually decreases from northwest to southeast over the studied region. Moreover, the recurrence times of droughts or floods also show long-range correlation. The long-range correlation in the DFI data will disappear if the DFI data are randomly shuffled, which was also found in the recurrence time of the randomly shuffled DFI series for each station. The results show that long-range correlation is an intrinsic property of drought or flood events, which could result in the long-range correlation of the corresponding recurrence times. At present, the prediction skill of droughts/floods in Asian-Australian monsoon region is relatively low, particularly in most of China. The long-range correlation of the DFI provides a theoretical basis for climate predictions of droughts/floods and may help improve model performance by amending the model configuration, in terms of addressing parameterization problems and improving atmosphere–ocean coupling.
    Print ISSN: 0899-8418
    Digitale ISSN: 1097-0088
    Thema: Geologie und Paläontologie , Physik
    Publiziert von Wiley
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  • 91
    Publikationsdatum: 2015-08-27
    Beschreibung: ABSTRACT This work analysed the changes in air temperature in 25 meteorological stations in the Altiplano and the surrounding Andean slopes of Bolivia and Peru, and their relationship with El Niño-Southern Oscillation (SO) and the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO). The analysis focused on annual, warm season (DJF) and cold season (JJA) maximum and minimum temperatures. All analyses were undertaken during 1965–2012, but some analyses were also from 1945 and 1955 when data were available. Principal component analysis was applied to the annual and seasonal series to identify spatial differences of changes in maximum and minimum air temperature. There was an overall increase of temperatures since the mid-20th century. The most intense and spatially coherent warming was observed for annual and warm season maximum temperature, with warming rates from 0.15 to 0.25 °C decade −1 . Changes in the cold season maximum temperature were more heterogeneous, and statistically significant trends were mostly in the Bolivian Altiplano. Minimum temperatures increased, but there was higher spatial variability and lower rates of warming. Maximum temperature was negatively correlated with the Southern Oscillation index (SO) in the warm season, and positively correlated with the SO in the cold season; there were less statistically significant correlations with the PDO, that exhibited inverse sign than those for SO. The strongest correlations were in the region near Lake Titicaca. The negative correlation of minimum temperatures with SO and the positive correlation of minimum temperatures with PDO were lower than the observed for maximum temperature. The changes in temperature and correlations with SO and PDO were highly dependent on the selected period, with stronger trends in the last 30–40 years. This suggests reinforcement of warming rates that cannot be only explained by SO and PDO variability.
    Print ISSN: 0899-8418
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    Thema: Geologie und Paläontologie , Physik
    Publiziert von Wiley
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  • 92
    Publikationsdatum: 2015-06-02
    Beschreibung: ABSTRACT In this study, we investigate the influence of global climate oscillations on the local temperature and precipitation over the United Arab Emirates (UAE), which is one of the driest regions in the world with very high temperatures and low precipitation. The identification and assessment of remote interactions (teleconnections) are carried out by using ground station and gridded data sets. Monthly rainfall data from six ground stations over the UAE for the period of 1982–2010 is used in this study along with the long-term gridded precipitation and temperature data from the Global Precipitation Climatology Center and Global Historic Climatic Network. Linear correlations, wavelet analysis, and cross-wavelet analysis have been applied to identify the relation between climate indices and precipitation (temperature). The analysis reveals that the strong variability in precipitation is closely associated with the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) and the Indian Ocean Dipole Index (IOD) during the months of August–March, September–January, respectively. In case of temperature, the strong variability is associated with the North Atlantic Oscillation Index (NAO) and the East Atlantic Oscillation Index (EAO) during the months of April–October, July–December. Spatial analysis of cross-wavelet reveals that the winter precipitation is significantly influenced by SOI and temperature during summer by the NAO. This research concludes that the negative phases of SOI (NAO) play a significant role in the increase of precipitation (decrease in summer temperatures) over the UAE region.
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    Thema: Geologie und Paläontologie , Physik
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  • 93
    Publikationsdatum: 2015-06-02
    Beschreibung: ABSTRACT Interannual variability and long-term changes of summer temperature extremes and hot spells in Moscow during 1949–2012 are investigated using air temperature station data, the National Centres for Environmental Prediction/the National Centre for Atmospheric Research (NCEP/NCAR) reanalysis and the Climatic Research Unit (CRU) data sets. Significant interdecadal changes in different characteristics of the temperature extremes are revealed. It is shown that summertime warming detected in the Moscow region in recent decades is not solely due to an increase in the number of hot days, but also due to a decrease in the number of cold days. Statistically significant positive (negative) trends in the number of anomalously hot (cold) days since the mid 1970s are detected. Respective trend values are 5%/decade –1 for the positive trends and −6%/decade –1 for the negative trends. We find that in 1981–2012 the number of summer seasons with extremely hot days has doubled with respect to earlier period (1949–1980). However, we do not find statistically significant trend-like changes in the duration of the hot events in Moscow. A chronology of temperature extremes in Moscow has been constructed. This can be used as a diagnostic tool allowing the detection of extremes. Typical regional sea level pressure patterns associated with air temperature extremes in Moscow are defined and briefly described.
    Print ISSN: 0899-8418
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    Thema: Geologie und Paläontologie , Physik
    Publiziert von Wiley
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  • 94
    Publikationsdatum: 2015-06-02
    Beschreibung: ABSTRACT This study evaluates the capability of regional climate models (RCMs) in simulating extreme rainfall events over Southern Africa, and in reproducing the characteristics of widespread extreme rainfall events (WERE) in the Western Cape (South Africa). We obtained simulation datasets of nine RCMs from the Co-ordinated Regional Downscaling Experiment (CORDEX) and compared them with observation datasets from the Global Precipitation Climatology Project (GPCP) and Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) as well as with the reanalysis dataset (ERAINT) that forced the simulations. A self-organising map was used to classify the WEREs into 12 nodes. The contribution of each RCM to each node was compared with the contributions of GPCP, TRMM and ERAINT. Using ERAINT dataset, we analysed the synoptic-scale atmospheric condition associated with each node. The results show that, in simulating the spatial distribution of the extreme rainfall event over Southern Africa, only four RCMs perform better than the forcing reanalysis (ERAINT) while two RCMs perform worse than the reanalysis. All the RCMs underestimate the threshold of extreme rainfall over Western Cape, poorly simulate the inter-annual variability of the WEREs ( r ≤ 0.3), but correctly reproduce the maximum frequency of the WEREs in Autumn (March–May). The WEREs in the Western Cape may be broadly grouped into four synoptic rainfall patterns. The first pattern links WEREs with tropical rainfall activities (tropical-temperate troughs); the second pattern shows isolated WEREs; the third and fourth patterns link WEREs with rainfall activities in the mid-latitudes (frontal systems) and over the Agulhas Current, respectively. While most RCMs overestimate the frequency of the first pattern, they all underestimate the frequency of the second pattern but simulate the frequencies of the third and fourth patterns well. The results of this study should help in improving the RCM simulations over Southern Africa and in downscaling impacts of climate change on extreme rainfall events over the region.
    Print ISSN: 0899-8418
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    Thema: Geologie und Paläontologie , Physik
    Publiziert von Wiley
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  • 95
    Publikationsdatum: 2015-06-02
    Beschreibung: ABSTRACT The research objectives were to describe heat waves (HWs) in Central Europe and define the synoptic situations that cause their occurrence. In this article, a hot day was defined as a day when the maximum temperature was above the 95th annual percentile and an HW was considered a sequence of at least five hot days. In the analysed multi-year period and study area, 11 HWs were observed in the north and 51 HWs were observed in the south. The occurrence of HWs was mainly connected with positive anomalies of sea level pressure and with the 500 hPa level, which shows the presence of high-pressure systems. HWs were also accompanied by positive T850 and precipitable water (PW) anomalies.
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    Thema: Geologie und Paläontologie , Physik
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  • 96
    Publikationsdatum: 2015-05-30
    Beschreibung: Development of a photochemical source for the production and calibration of acyl peroxynitrate compounds Atmospheric Measurement Techniques, 8, 2225-2231, 2015 Author(s): P. R. Veres and J. M. Roberts A dynamic system for the calibration of acyl peroxynitrate compounds (APNs) has been developed in the laboratory to reduce the difficulty, required time, and instability of laboratory-produced standards for difficult-to-synthesize APN species. In this work we present a photochemical source for the generation of APN standards: acetyl peroxynitrate (PAN), propionyl peroxynitrate (PPN), acryloyl peroxynitrate (APAN), methacryloyl peroxynitrate (MPAN), and crotonyl peroxynitrate (CPAN). APNs are generated via photolysis of a mixture of acyl chloride (RC(O)Cl) and ketone (RC(=O)R) precursor compounds in the presence of O 2 and NO 2 . Subsequent separation by a prep-scale gas chromatograph and detection with a total NO y instrument serve to quantify the output of the APN source. Validation of the APN products was performed using iodide ion chemical ionization mass spectroscopy (I - CIMS). This method of standard production is an efficient and accurate technique for the calibration of instrumentation used to measure PAN, PPN, APAN, MPAN, and CPAN.
    Print ISSN: 1867-1381
    Digitale ISSN: 1867-8548
    Thema: Geologie und Paläontologie
    Publiziert von Copernicus im Namen von The European Geosciences Union (EGU).
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  • 97
    Publikationsdatum: 2015-05-30
    Beschreibung: Ceilometer aerosol profiling versus Raman lidar in the frame of the INTERACT campaign of ACTRIS Atmospheric Measurement Techniques, 8, 2207-2223, 2015 Author(s): F. Madonna, F. Amato, J. Vande Hey, and G. Pappalardo Despite their differences from more advanced and more powerful lidars, the low construction and operation cost of ceilometers (originally designed for cloud base height monitoring) has fostered their use for the quantitative study of aerosol properties. The large number of ceilometers available worldwide represents a strong motivation to investigate both the extent to which they can be used to fill in the geographical gaps between advanced lidar stations and also how their continuous data flow can be linked to existing networks of the more advanced lidars, like EARLINET (European Aerosol Research Lidar Network). In this paper, multi-wavelength Raman lidar measurements are used to investigate the capability of ceilometers to provide reliable information about atmospheric aerosol properties through the INTERACT (INTERcomparison of Aerosol and Cloud Tracking) campaign carried out at the CNR-IMAA Atmospheric Observatory (760 m a.s.l., 40.60° N, 15.72° E), in the framework of the ACTRIS (Aerosol Clouds Trace gases Research InfraStructure) FP7 project. This work is the first time that three different commercial ceilometers with an advanced Raman lidar are compared over a period of 6 months. The comparison of the attenuated backscatter coefficient profiles from a multi-wavelength Raman lidar and three ceilometers (CHM15k, CS135s, CT25K) reveals differences due to the expected discrepancy in the signal to noise ratio (SNR) but also due to changes in the ambient temperature on the short and mid-term stability of ceilometer calibration. Therefore, technological improvements are needed to move ceilometers towards operational use in the monitoring of atmospheric aerosols in the low and free troposphere.
    Print ISSN: 1867-1381
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    Thema: Geologie und Paläontologie
    Publiziert von Copernicus im Namen von The European Geosciences Union (EGU).
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  • 98
    Publikationsdatum: 2015-06-02
    Beschreibung: Continuous measurements of greenhouse gases and atmospheric oxygen at the Namib Desert Atmospheric Observatory Atmospheric Measurement Techniques, 8, 2233-2250, 2015 Author(s): E. J. Morgan, J. V. Lavrič, T. Seifert, T. Chicoine, A. Day, J. Gomez, R. Logan, J. Sack, T. Shuuya, E. G. Uushona, K. Vincent, U. Schultz, E.-G. Brunke, C. Labuschagne, R. L. Thompson, S. Schmidt, A. C. Manning, and M. Heimann A new coastal background site has been established for observations of greenhouse gases (GHGs) in the central Namib Desert at Gobabeb, Namibia. The location of the site was chosen to provide observations for a data-poor region in the global sampling network for GHGs. Semi-automated continuous measurements of carbon dioxide, methane, nitrous oxide, carbon monoxide, atmospheric oxygen, and basic meteorology are made at a height of 21 m a.g.l., 50 km from the coast at the northern border of the Namib Sand Sea. Atmospheric oxygen is measured with a differential fuel cell analyzer (DFCA). Carbon dioxide and methane are measured with an early-model cavity ring-down spectrometer (CRDS); nitrous oxide and carbon monoxide are measured with an off-axis integrated cavity output spectrometer (OA-ICOS). Instrument-specific water corrections are employed for both the CRDS and OA-ICOS instruments in lieu of drying. The performance and measurement uncertainties are discussed in detail. As the station is located in a remote desert environment, there are some particular challenges, namely fine dust, high diurnal temperature variability, and minimal infrastructure. The gas handling system and calibration scheme were tailored to best fit the conditions of the site. The CRDS and DFCA provide data of acceptable quality when base requirements for operation are met, specifically adequate temperature control in the laboratory and regular supply of electricity. In the case of the OA-ICOS instrument, performance is significantly improved through the implementation of a drift correction through frequent measurements of a reference cylinder.
    Print ISSN: 1867-1381
    Digitale ISSN: 1867-8548
    Thema: Geologie und Paläontologie
    Publiziert von Copernicus im Namen von The European Geosciences Union (EGU).
    Standort Signatur Erwartet Verfügbarkeit
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  • 99
    Publikationsdatum: 2015-06-02
    Beschreibung: ABSTRACT A statistical-dynamical downscaling method is used to estimate future changes of wind energy output ( Eout ) of a benchmark wind turbine across Europe at the regional scale. With this aim, 22 global climate models (GCMs) of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) ensemble are considered. The downscaling method uses circulation weather types and regional climate modelling with the COSMO-CLM model. Future projections are computed for two time periods (2021–2060 and 2061–2100) following two scenarios (RCP4.5 and RCP8.5). The CMIP5 ensemble mean response reveals a more likely than not increase of mean annual Eout over Northern and Central Europe and a likely decrease over Southern Europe. There is some uncertainty with respect to the magnitude and the sign of the changes. Higher robustness in future changes is observed for specific seasons. Except from the Mediterranean area, an ensemble mean increase of Eout is simulated for winter and a decreasing for the summer season, resulting in a strong increase of the intra-annual variability for most of Europe. The latter is, in particular, probable during the second half of the 21st century under the RCP8.5 scenario. In general, signals are stronger for 2061–2100 compared to 2021–2060 and for RCP8.5 compared to RCP4.5. Regarding changes of the inter-annual variability of Eout for Central Europe, the future projections strongly vary between individual models and also between future periods and scenarios within single models. This study showed for an ensemble of 22 CMIP5 models that changes in the wind energy potentials over Europe may take place in future decades. However, due to the uncertainties detected in this research, further investigations with multi-model ensembles are needed to provide a better quantification and understanding of the future changes.
    Print ISSN: 0899-8418
    Digitale ISSN: 1097-0088
    Thema: Geologie und Paläontologie , Physik
    Publiziert von Wiley
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  • 100
    Publikationsdatum: 2015-06-02
    Beschreibung: ABSTRACT Atmospheric teleconnections have an important influence on the variability of the Mediterranean climate. This region has a unique and sensitive climate due to its complex topography and atmospheric circulation, thus making it challenging in climate simulations. This article focuses on the representation of five teleconnections in and around the Mediterranean region and how they affect one another and the region. The Regional Climate Model, RegCM4, has been used to simulate the climate from 1969 to 1999 for a domain covering the Mediterranean and the surrounding region. A generalized method for calculating the indices for these patterns was identified and the corresponding indices were constructed from the modelled data and compared with reanalysis data. The modelled data was found to be highly correlated with the 20th Century Reanalysis data and the probability density functions (PDFs) were very similar to the reanalysis data, showing that the teleconnections were successfully represented within the model. Maps of the influence of these teleconnections on temperature, precipitation and wind were also comparable to the reanalysis data, thereby suggesting that model data can be used for future projections of teleconnections and their effects on these parameters. With the use of this high-resolution data, inter-pattern relationships suggested in previous studies (such as that between the Mediterranean Oscillation and North sea-Caspian Pattern) became more evident. This article also shows how the influence of teleconnections on winds affects the circulation and hence the temperature and precipitation of the region.
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    Thema: Geologie und Paläontologie , Physik
    Publiziert von Wiley
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