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  • Articles  (142)
  • Springer  (142)
  • American Physical Society
  • Institute of Physics
  • Nature Publishing Group
  • 1970-1974  (142)
  • Sociology
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  • Articles  (142)
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  • 1
    Electronic Resource
    Electronic Resource
    Springer
    Theory and decision 1 (1970), S. 22-39 
    ISSN: 1573-7187
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Sociology , Economics
    Notes: Résumé Le présent article montre comment on peut construire un algorithme donnant les solutions optimales d'un problème de décision en avenir incertain, au regard de différents critères de choix, par la considération de propriétés mathématiques de ces solutions. Il montre par ailleurs, que cet algorithme peut être généralisé à des problèmes séquentiels, mais qu'alors l'utilisation d'un critère de choix n'est pas exempte d'ambiguïté.
    Type of Medium: Electronic Resource
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  • 2
    Electronic Resource
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    Springer
    Theory and decision 1 (1971), S. 269-295 
    ISSN: 1573-7187
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Sociology , Economics
    Notes: Abstract This paper deals with the effects of a proportional income tax with full loss offset provisions on optimal investment behaviour under uncertainty. For convenience we only consider investments in two assets: one risky asset with a random rate of return and one riskless asset with a secure rate of return. We shall see that for a certain class of intertemporal preferences the total tax effects on the optimal investment in the risky asset can be separated in a saving effect and a portfolio effect with the former influencing the optimal level of savings and the latter influencing the composition of the optimal savings, i.e., the choice between investments in the risky and riskless asset.
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  • 3
    Electronic Resource
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    Springer
    Theory and decision 1 (1971), S. 309-319 
    ISSN: 1573-7187
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Sociology , Economics
    Notes: Abstract The Zeuthen bargaining model occupies a prominent place among those theories of the bargaining process that have been formulated and expounded by economists. Its solution to the bargaining problem is essentially economic, since invariant utility functions based on economic factors alone determine the outcome. However, this paper shows that a necessary condition for reaching the Zeuthen solution (shown by Harsanyi to be mathematically equivalent to the game-theoretic solution of Nash's theory) is that bargainers initially take up positions on opposite sides of the outcome that maximizes their utility product. Whether utility functions are mutually known or unknown, inherent in the bargaining situation itself is the requirement that bargainers be at least initially uncertain as to each other's subsequent concession behaviour. With uncertainty, von Neumann-Morgenstern rationality implies that each bargainer would make an initial demand that maximizes the expected gain from holding fast. Therefore, even if Zeuthen's concession criterion should subsequently dictate concession behaviour, expected utility maximization within the context of subjective uncertainty may well yield initial demands that are inconsistent with reaching the Nash-Zeuthen solution. Finally, a general methodological conclusion that emerges from the analysis is that, since the bargaining process necessarily proceeds from a context of subjective uncertainty, greater emphasis needs to be placed on its role as a device for affecting expectations.
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  • 4
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    Springer
    Theory and decision 2 (1971), S. 1-15 
    ISSN: 1573-7187
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Sociology , Economics
    Notes: Abstract The purpose of this paper is to mark a significant difference between classical and several non-classical prepositional calculi. The argument presupposes familiarity with Kripke/Hintikka semantics for modal logic. The non-classical systems are Hintikka's logic of belief and alethic modal systems which have Kripke/Hintikka semantics. The difference is marked by showing that the semantic validity operator in classical logic behaves as a normal alethic necessity-operator while the non-classical semantic validity operators behave as normal deontic ought-operators. The crucial step is showing that a formula, valid by non-classical semantics, can be falsified. I show that the negation of a non-classical thesis can be added to a consistent set of formulae without making the set inconsistent or any other set inconsistent. This is shown by observing that consistent sets of formulae do not need to be related to other consistent sets by any of the alternativeness relations of Kripke/Hintikka model structures for non-classical systems. The deontic behavior of non-classical semantical validity operators is interpreted as showing that being a thesis of a non-classical system means, not that the thesis is a logical truth, but that the thesis is the content of a norm on how we ought to use, crucial terms such as ‘believe’ and ‘necessity’.
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  • 5
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    Springer
    Theory and decision 2 (1971), S. 67-78 
    ISSN: 1573-7187
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Sociology , Economics
    Notes: Abstract The usual axioms and inference rules of deontic logic employ as a new primitive term an operator for ‘obligatory’ or for ‘permitted’. These axioms and inference rules are here derived from a language which instead of the operator contains a predicate ‘admissible’ defined on the set of state descriptions of an assertoric language. This approach eliminates the problem of constructing a deontic formalism of its own. The predicate version requires fewer and weaker decisions and is closer to intuitive notions than the operator version. The solutions of some open problems of deontic logic flow automatically from the well-known rules of the assertoric predicate calculus. Special attention is given to the relations between deontic and assertoric statements. The proposed formulation of deontic logic suggests a natural generalization by proceeding from two to any number of degrees of admissibility. When there is a continuum of degrees of desirability, deontic logic becomes identical with the calculus of utilities.
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  • 6
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    Springer
    Theory and decision 2 (1971), S. 193-212 
    ISSN: 1573-7187
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Sociology , Economics
    Notes: Abstract The main purpose of this paper is the old methodological problem of the mastering of complexity in the Social Sciences. In sociology the traditional solution is displayed by some methods for the external reduction of complexity. Although some authors in the history of sociology tried to formulate a heuristic program for an empirical-analytical action science, they finally became victims of their own criticism of previous sociology: to simplify the social reality instead of establishing an increasing capacity of complexity for ‘societal-theory’ building. This more historical aspect and first part of this paper is followed by some newer methodological reflections: to increase the capacity of complexity by a strategy of internal reduction of complexity or better: internal complexity processing. Instead of simplification the strategy of differentiation is proposed.
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  • 7
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    Springer
    Theory and decision 2 (1971), S. 79-93 
    ISSN: 1573-7187
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Sociology , Economics
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  • 8
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    Theory and decision 2 (1971), S. 141-173 
    ISSN: 1573-7187
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Sociology , Economics
    Notes: Abstract The first aim of the research described in this paper was to develop a method for the study of the considerations which an individual brings to bear in the process of rendering decisions to specific problems. The second aim of the research was to utilize the categories of considerations thus established in developing analytic measures of an individual's decision-making process. The measures arrived at involved the concepts of directed graphs, and are all potentially meaningful measures of a structural hierarchy of the considerations involved in the decision-making process studied in this research. With the two goals of the research thus accomplished, it is concluded that a whole new approach to the study of decision-making has been charted - a prerequisite if effective computer models of human behaviour are to be developed.
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  • 9
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    Springer
    Theory and decision 2 (1972), S. 221-237 
    ISSN: 1573-7187
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Sociology , Economics
    Notes: Abstract Singular causal explanations cite explicitly, or may be paraphrased to cite explicitly, a particular factor as the cause of another particular factor. During recent years there has emerged a consensus account of the nature of an important feature of such explanations, the distinction between a factor regarded correctly in a given context of inquiry as ‘the cause’ of a given result and those other causally relevant factors, sometimes called ‘mere conditions’, which are not regarded correctly in that context of inquiry as the cause of that result. In this paper that consensus account is characterized and developed. The developed version is then used to illuminate some recent discussions of singular causal explanations.
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  • 10
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    Theory and decision 2 (1972), S. 274-290 
    ISSN: 1573-7187
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Sociology , Economics
    Notes: Abstract The purpose of this paper is to interject an alternate mood and basis for the doing of the philosophy of science. The mood is one of ‘feeling’ and the basis is one of Jungian psychology. The paper argues that there are many bases for the doing of the philosophy of science and that the logic of science is only one of these. To dismiss all applications of psychology out of hand with the charge (or label) of psychologism is as bad and as much a disease as psychologism itself.
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