ALBERT

Note: Introduction, Pages 1-2 --- Relaxation, Pages 3-16 --- Shear Relaxation, Pages 17-32 --- Volume Relaxation, Pages 33-43 --- Enthalpy Relaxation, Pages 45-62 --- Summary, Pages 63-72

Note: Pages 3-34, Physical grounds for acoustic remote sensing of the atmospheric boundary layer, M. A. Kallistratova --- Pages 35-84, An overview of the technological development of atmospheric echosounders (SODARS), John A. Kleppe --- Pages 85-104, Design of a tri-monostatic doppler sodar system, Yoshiki Ito --- Pages 105-116, A modular PC-based multiband sodar system, G. Mastrantonio, S. Argentini --- Pages 117-132, Mini acoustic sounding, a powerful tool for ABL applications: Recent advances, D. N. Asimakopoulos, C. G. Helmis, M. Petrakis --- Pages 133-141, Radio-acoustic temperature profiling in the troposphere, G. Bonino --- Pages 142-176, Radio acoustic sounding system (RASS) for studying the lower atmosphere, S. P. Singal, Malti Goel --- Pages 179-190, Determination of the turbulent structure parameters, Pan Naixian --- Pages 191-201, Turbulence variables derived from sodar data, R. L. Coulter --- Pages 202-235, Development of sodar detection and its application for studies of atmospheric boundary layer in Beijing, China, Mingyu Zhou --- Pages 236-246, Influence of the nocturnal low-level-jet on the vertical and mesoscale structure of the stable boundary layer as revealed from doppler-sodar-observations, Frank Beyrich, Dieter Kalass, Ulrich Weisensee --- Pages 247-274, Dynamics of the continental boundary layer: The CRPE sodar results (1984–1993), Christine Amory-Mazaudier --- Pages 275-292, Sodar investigations of gravity waves by cross spectral analysis, Günther Bull --- Pages 293-306, Sodar monitoring of nocturnal boundary layer during the harmattan in Ile-Ife, Nigeria, J. A. Adedokun --- Pages 307-324, An overview of similarity methods to estimate turbulence quantities from sodar measurements in the convective boundary layer, Dimitrios Melas --- Pages 325-384, Sodar: A tool to characterize hazardous situations in air pollution and communication, S. P. Singal, B. S. Gera, Neeraj Saxena --- Pages 385-394, Application of sodar in urban air-quality monitoring systems, Jacek Walczewski --- Pages 395-405, Operational use of sodar information in nowcasting, Th. Foken, H.-J. Albrecht, K. Sasz, F. Vogt --- Pages 409-448, Acoustic remote sensing of ocean flows, Antony Joseph K, Ehrlich Desa --- Pages 449-475, Acoustic remote sensing of ocean-atmosphere interactions, A. Weill, H. Dupuis

Note: Vorwort 1. Rationalität in Politik und Wirtschaft 2. Worum geht es in der Rational–Choice–Theorie? 3. Methodologische Defekte 4. Das Paradox der Wahlbeteiligung 5. Soziale Dilemmata und das Trittbrettfahrerproblem 6. Gesetzgebung und Abstimmungsparadox 7. Räumliche Theorien des politischen Wettbewerbs 8. Erwiderungen auf mögliche Gegenargumente Literatur Index

Note: N.F. entfällt ab 57.2000. - Volltext auch als Teil einer Datenbank verfügbar , Ersch. ab 2000 in engl. Sprache mit dt. Hauptsacht.

Note: 1. Introduction --- Robin Nicholson: Caledonian correlations: Britain and Scandinavia / Geological Society, London, Special Publications, 8:3-18, doi:10.1144/GSL.SP.1979.008.01.01 Anthony K. Higgins and W. E. Adrian Phillips: East Greenland Caledonides—an extension of the British Caledonides / Geological Society, London, Special Publications, 8:19-32, doi:10.1144/GSL.SP.1979.008.01.02 M. J. Kennedy: The continuation of the Canadian Appalachians into the Caledonides of Britain and Ireland / Geological Society, London, Special Publications, 8:33-64, doi:10.1144/GSL.SP.1979.008.01.03 2. Basement-Cover Relationships: Map: Basement-Cover Relationships / Geological Society, London, Special Publications, 8:67-91, doi:10.1144/GSL.SP.1979.008.01.04 David Bamford: Seismic constraints on the deep geology of the Caledonides of northern Britain / Geological Society, London, Special Publications, 8:93-96, doi:10.1144/GSL.SP.1979.008.01.06 Ian S. Sanders: Observations on eclogite- and granulite-facies rocks in the basement of the Caledonides / Geological Society, London, Special Publications, 8:97-100, doi:10.1144/GSL.SP.1979.008.01.07 Paul A. Rathbone and Anthony L. Harris: Basement-cover relationships at Lewisian inliers in the Moine rocks / Geological Society, London, Special Publications, 8:101-107, doi:10.1144/GSL.SP.1979.008.01.08 Derek Flinn, P. L. Frank, Maureen Brook, and I. R. Pringle: Basement-cover relations in Shetland / Geological Society, London, Special Publications, 8:109-115, doi:10.1144/GSL.SP.1979.008.01.09 G. S. Johnstone, Jane Plant, and Janet V. Watson: Regional geochemistry of the Northern Highlands of Scotland / Geological Society, London, Special Publications, 8:117-128, doi:10.1144/GSL.SP.1979.008.01.10 Martin Brewer, Maureen Brook, and Derek Powell: Dating of the tectono-metamorphic history of the southwestern Moine, Scotland / Geological Society, London, Special Publications, 8:129-137, doi:10.1144/GSL.SP.1979.008.01.11 - M. A. J. Piasecki and O. van Breemen: The ‘Central Highland Granulites’: cover-basement tectonics in the Moine / Geological Society, London, Special Publications, 8:139-144, doi:10.1144/GSL.SP.1979.008.01.12 Donald M. Ramsay and Brian A. Sturt: The status of the Banff nappe / Geological Society, London, Special Publications, 8:145-151, doi:10.1144/GSL.SP.1979.008.01.13 Charles Barry Long and Bruce William Yardley: The distribution of pre-Caledonian basement in the Ox Mountains inlier, Ireland / Geological Society, London, Special Publications, 8:153-156, doi:10.1144/GSL.SP.1979.008.01.14 - P. S. Kennan, W. E. A. Phillips, and P. Strogen: Pre-Caledonian basement to the paratectonic Caledonides in Ireland / Geological Society, London, Special Publications, 8:157-161, doi:10.1144/GSL.SP.1979.008.01.15 3. Tectonics --- M. R. W. Johnson, D. J. Sanderson, and N. J. Soper: Deformation in the Caledonides of England, Ireland and Scotland / Geological Society, London, Special Publications, 8:163-186, doi:10.1144/GSL.SP.1979.008.01.17 M. P. Coward and A. W. B. Siddans: The tectonic evolution of the Welsh Caledonides / Geological Society, London, Special Publications, 8:187-198, doi:10.1144/GSL.SP.1979.008.01.18 J. L. Roberts and J. E. Treagus: Stratigraphical and structural correlation between the Dalradian rocks of the SW and Central Highlands of Scotland / Geological Society, London, Special Publications, 8:199-204, doi:10.1144/GSL.SP.1979.008.01.19 Peter R. Thomas: New evidence for a Central Highland Root Zone / Geological Society, London, Special Publications, 8:205-211, doi:10.1144/GSL.SP.1979.008.01.20 H. J. Bradbury, A. L. Harris, and R. A. Smith: Geometry and emplacement of nappes in the Central Scottish Highlands / Geological Society, London, Special Publications, 8:213-220, doi:10.1144/GSL.SP.1979.008.01.21 Ben Harte: The Tarfside succession and the structure and stratigraphy of the eastern Scottish Dalradian rocks / Geological Society, London, Special Publications, 8:221-228, doi:10.1144/GSL.SP.1979.008.01.22 Graham J. Borradaile: Pre-tectonic reconstruction of the Islay anticline: implications for the depositional history of Dalradian rocks in the SW Highlands / Geological Society, London, Special Publications, 8:229-238, doi:10.1144/GSL.SP.1979.008.01.23 D. H. W. Hutton: Dalradian structure in the Creeslough area, NW Donegal, Ireland / Geological Society, London, Special Publications, 8:239-241, doi:10.1144/GSL.SP.1979.008.01.24 Peter William Geoffrey Tanner and Robert Milner Shackleton: Structure and stratigraphy of the Dalradian rocks of the Bennabeola area, Connemara, Eire / Geological Society, London, Special Publications, 8:243-256, doi:10.1144/GSL.SP.1979.008.01.25 W. E. A. Phillips, A. M. Flegg, and T. B. Anderson: Strain adjacent to the Iapetus suture in Ireland / Geological Society, London, Special Publications, 8:257-262, doi:10.1144/GSL.SP.1979.008.01.26 T. B. Anderson and T. D. J. Cameron: A structural profile of Caledonian deformation in Down / Geological Society, London, Special Publications, 8:263-267, doi:10.1144/GSL.SP.1979.008.01.27 Martin H. Eales: Structure of the Southern Uplands of Scotland / Geological Society, London, Special Publications, 8:269-273, doi:10.1144/GSL.SP.1979.008.01.28 Thomas J. Kelly and Michael D. Max: A strain section across part of the Caledonian orogen in W Ireland / Geological Society, London, Special Publications, 8:275-280, doi:10.1144/GSL.SP.1979.008.01.29 Patrick M. Shannon: The tectonic evolution of the lower Palaeozoic rocks of extreme SE Ireland / Geological Society, London, Special Publications, 8:281-285, doi:10.1144/GSL.SP.1979.008.01.30 Lindsay M. Parson: The state of strain adjacent to the Great Glen fault / Geological Society, London, Special Publications, 8:287-289, doi:10.1144/GSL.SP.1979.008.01.31 J. R. Mendum: Caledonian thrusting in NW Scotland / Geological Society, London, Special Publications, 8:291-297, doi:10.1144/GSL.SP.1979.008.01.32 Robert Milner Shackleton: The British Caledonides: comments and summary / Geological Society, London, Special Publications, 8:299-304, doi:10.1144/GSL.SP.1979.008.01.33 4. Metamorphism --- D. J. Fettes: A metamorphic map of the British and Irish Caledonides / Geological Society, London, Special Publications, 8:305-321, doi:10.1144/GSL.SP.1979.008.01.35 Ben Harte and Neil F. C. Hudson: Pelite facies series and the temperatures and pressures of Dalradian metamorphism in E Scotland / Geological Society, London, Special Publications, 8:323-337, doi:10.1144/GSL.SP.1979.008.01.36 P. R. A. Wells and S. W. Richardson: Thermal evolution of metamorphic rocks in the Central Highlands of Scotland / Geological Society, London, Special Publications, 8:339-344, doi:10.1144/GSL.SP.1979.008.01.37 J. A. Winchester and K. H. Whittles: The pattern of three-dimensional metamorphism in the Killin area, Inverness-shire: a direct method of determining the thickness of metamorphic zones in the Caledonides / Geological Society, London, Special Publications, 8:345-349, doi:10.1144/GSL.SP.1979.008.01.38 Harry J. Bradbury: Migmatisation, deformation and porphyroblast growth in the Dalradian of Tayside, Scotland / Geological Society, London, Special Publications, 8:351-356, doi:10.1144/GSL.SP.1979.008.01.39 J. R. Ashworth: Textural and mineralogical evolution of migmatites / Geological Society, London, Special Publications, 8:357-361, doi:10.1144/GSL.SP.1979.008.01.40 R. St J. Lambert, J. A. Winchester, and J. G. Holland: Time, space and intensity relationships of the Precambrian and lower Palaeozoic metamorphisms of the Scottish Highlands / Geological Society, London, Special Publications, 8:363-367, doi:10.1144/GSL.SP.1979.008.01.41 Bruce W. D. Yardley, C. Barry Long, and Michael D. Max: Patterns of metamorphism in the Ox Mountains and adjacent parts of Western Ireland / Geological Society, London, Special Publications, 8:369-374, doi:10.1144/GSL.SP.1979.008.01.42 B

Note: I. Nature and Formation of Oceanic Lithosphere --- Magma Chambers: Products and Processes --- J. A. Orcutt, M. Burnett, and J. S. McClain: Evolution of the ocean crust: results from recent seismic experiments / Geological Society, London, Special Publications, 13:7-16, doi:10.1144/GSL.SP.1984.013.01.01 --- M. R. Fisk: Depths and temperatures of mid-ocean-ridge magma chambers and the composition of their source magmas / Geological Society, London, Special Publications, 13:17-23, doi:10.1144/GSL.SP.1984.013.01.02 --- M. F. J. Flower: Spreading-rate parameters in ocean crust: analogue for ophiolite? / Geological Society, London, Special Publications, 13:25-40, doi:10.1144/GSL.SP.1984.013.01.03 --- J. D. Smewing, N. I. Christensen, I. D. Bartholomew, and P. Browning: The structure of the oceanic upper mantle and lower crust as deduced from the northern section of the Oman ophiolite / Geological Society, London, Special Publications, 13:41-53, doi:10.1144/GSL.SP.1984.013.01.04 --- R. T. Gregory: Melt percolation beneath a spreading ridge: evidence from the Semail peridotite, Oman / Geological Society, London, Special Publications, 13:55-62, doi:10.1144/GSL.SP.1984.013.01.05 --- J. S. Pallister: Parent magmas of the Semail ophiolite, Oman / Geological Society, London, Special Publications, 13:63-70, doi:10.1144/GSL.SP.1984.013.01.06 --- P. Browning: Cryptic variation within the Cumulate Sequence of the Oman ophiolite: magma chamber depth and petrological implications / Geological Society, London, Special Publications, 13:71-82, doi:10.1144/GSL.SP.1984.013.01.07 --- D. Elthon, J. F. Casey, and S. Komor: Cryptic mineral-chemistry variations in a detailed traverse through the cumulate ultramafic rocks of the North Arm Mountain massif of the Bay of Islands ophiolite, Newfoundland / Geological Society, London, Special Publications, 13:83-97, doi:10.1144/GSL.SP.1984.013.01.08 --- Fracture Zones --- R. S. White: Atlantic oceanic crust: seismic structure of a slow-spreading ridge / Geological Society, London, Special Publications, 13:101-111, doi:10.1144/GSL.SP.1984.013.01.09 --- J. M. Auzende, G. Ceuleneer, G. Cornen, T. Juteau, Y. Lagabrielle, G. Lensch, C. Mevel, A. Nicolas, H. Prichard, A. Ribeiro, E. Ruellan, and J. R. Vanney: Intraoceanic tectonism on the Gorringe Bank: observations by submersible / Geological Society, London, Special Publications, 13:113-120, doi:10.1144/GSL.SP.1984.013.01.10 --- J. Honnorez, C. Mevel, and R. Montigny: Occurrence and significance of gneissic amphibolites in the Vema fracture zone, equatorial Mid-Atlantic Ridge / Geological Society, London, Special Publications, 13:121-130, doi:10.1144/GSL.SP.1984.013.01.11 --- J. A. Karson: Variations in structure and petrology in the Coastal Complex, Newfoundland: anatomy of an oceanic fracture zone / Geological Society, London, Special Publications, 13:131-144, doi:10.1144/GSL.SP.1984.013.01.12 --- Mantle Structures --- A. Nicolas and M. Rabinowicz: Mantle flow pattern at oceanic spreading centres: relation with ophiolitic and oceanic structures / Geological Society, London, Special Publications, 13:147-151, doi:10.1144/GSL.SP.1984.013.01.13 --- Lavas and Sediments --- J. Malpas and G. Langdon: Petrology of the Upper Pillow Lava suite, Troodos ophiolite, Cyprus / Geological Society, London, Special Publications, 13:155-167, doi:10.1144/GSL.SP.1984.013.01.14 --- J. F. Boyle and A. H. F. Robertson: Evolving metallogenesis at the Troodos spreading axis / Geological Society, London, Special Publications, 13:169-181, doi:10.1144/GSL.SP.1984.013.01.1--- Isotope Studies & Metamorphism --- D. Elthon, J. R. Lawrence, R. E. Hanson, and C. Stern: Modelling of oxygen-isotope data from the Sarmiento ophiolite complex, Chile / Geological Society, London, Special Publications, 13:185-197, doi:10.1144/GSL.SP.1984.013.01.16 --- D. S. Stakes, H. P. Taylor , jr, and R. L. Fisher: Oxygen-isotope and geochemical characterization of hydrothermal alteration in ophiolite complexes and modern oceanic crust / Geological Society, London, Special Publications, 13:199-214, doi:10.1144/GSL.SP.1984.013.01.17 --- M. J. Thirlwall and B. J. Bluck: Sr-Nd isotope and chemical evidence that the Ballantrae ‘ophiolite’, SW Scotland, is polygenetic / Geological Society, London, Special Publications, 13:215-230, doi:10.1144/GSL.SP.1984.013.01.18 --- M. A. Menzies: Chemical and isotopic heterogeneities in orogenic and ophiolitic peridotites / Geological Society, London, Special Publications, 13:231-240, doi:10.1144/GSL.SP.1984.013.01.19 --- Zulfiqar Ahmed and A. Hall: Petrology and mineralization of the Sakhakot-Qila ophiolite, Pakistan / Geological Society, London, Special Publications, 13:241-252, doi:10.1144/GSL.SP.1984.013.01.20 --- II. Emplacement (Obduction) of Ophiolites --- Ophiolite Emplacement and Obduction --- J. G. Spray: Possible causes and consequences of upper mantle decoupling and ophiolite displacement / Geological Society, London, Special Publications, 13:255-268, doi:10.1144/GSL.SP.1984.013.01.21 --- J. F. Casey and J. F Dewey: Initiation of subduction zones along transform and accreting plate boundaries, triple-junction evolution, and forearc spreading centres—implications for ophiolitic geology and obduction / Geological Society, London, Special Publications, 13:269-290, doi:10.1144/GSL.SP.1984.013.01.22 --- Y. Ogawa and J. Naka: Emplacement of ophiolitic rocks in forearc areas: Examples from central Japan and Izu-Mariana-Yap island arc system / Geological Society, London, Special Publications, 13:291-301, doi:10.1144/GSL.SP.1984.013.01.23 --- M. P. Searle and R. K. Stevens: Obduction processes in ancient, modern and future ophiolites / Geological Society, London, Special Publications, 13:303-319, doi:10.1144/GSL.SP.1984.013.01.24 --- N. H. Woodcock and A. H. F. Robertson: The structural variety in Tethyan ophiolite terrains / Geological Society, London, Special Publications, 13:321-330, doi:10.1144/GSL.SP.1984.013.01.25 --- Regional Studies --- H. Colley: An ophiolite suite in Fiji? / Geological Society, London, Special Publications, 13:333-340, doi:10.1144/GSL.SP.1984.013.01.26 --- H. L. Davies and A. L. Jaques: Emplacement of ophiolite in Papua New Guinea / Geological Society, London, Special Publications, 13:341-349, doi:10.1144/GSL.SP.1984.013.01.27 --- J. S. Milsom: The gravity field of the Marum ophiolite complex, Papua New Guinea / Geological Society, London, Special Publications, 13:351-357, doi:10.1144/GSL.SP.1984.013.01.28 --- R. G. Coleman: Ophiolites and the tectonic evolution of the Arabian Peninsula / Geological Society, London, Special Publications, 13:359-366, doi:10.1144/GSL.SP.1984.013.01.29 --- G. Wadge, G. Draper, and J. F. Lewis: Ophiolites of the northern Caribbean: A reappraisal of their roles in the evolution of the Caribbean plate boundary / Geological Society, London, Special Publications, 13:367-380, doi:10.1144/GSL.SP.1984.013.01.30 --- B. A. Sturt, H. Furnes, and D. Roberts: A conspectus of Scandinavian Caledonian ophiolites / Geological Society, London, Special Publications, 13:381-391, doi:10.1144/GSL.SP.1984.013.01.31 --- R. Hall: Ophiolites: Figments of Oceanic Lithosphere? / Geological Society, London, Special Publications, 13:393-403, doi:10.1144/GSL.SP.1984.013.01.32 --- D. A. Rothery: The role of Landsat Multispectral Scanner (MSS) imagery in mapping the Oman ophiolite / Geological Society, London, Special Publications, 13:405-413, doi:10.1144/GSL.SP.1984.013.01.33

Note: Grundlagen der magnetischen Erscheinungen --- Allgemeine Theorie des Ferromagnetismus --- Die Vorgänge bei der Magnetisierung --- Die Begleiterscheinungen der Magnetisierung --- Der Einfluß verborgener magnetischer Vorgänge auf das mechanische Verhalten --- Die ferromagnetischen Werkstoffe und ihre Verwendung

Note: Contents Foreword Preface Contributors I Introduction 1 The Development of Climate Research / by ANTONIO NAVARRA 1.1 The Nature of Climate Studies 1.1.1 The Big Storm Controversy 1.1.2 The Great Planetary Oscillations 1.2 The Components of Climate Research 1.2.1 Dynamical Theory 1.2.2 Numerical Experimentation 1.2.3 Statistical Analysis 2 Misuses of Statistical Analysis in Climate Research / by HANS VON STORCH 2.1 Prologue 2.2 Mandatory Testing and the Mexican Hat 2.3 Neglecting Serial Correlation 2.4 Misleading Names: The Case of the Decorrelation Time 2.5 Use of Advanced Techniques 2.6 Epilogue II Analyzing The Observed Climate 3 Climate Spectra and Stochastic Climate Models / by CLAUDE FRANKIGNOUL 3.1 Introduction 3.2 Spectral Characteristics of Atmospheric Variables 3.3 Stochastic Climate Model 3.4 Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies 3.5 Variability of Other Surface Variables 3.6 Variability in the Ocean Interior 3.7 Long Term Climate Changes 4 The Instrumental Data Record: Its Accuracy and Use in Attempts to Identify the "CO2 Signal" / by PHIL JONES 4.1 Introduction 4.2 Homogeneity 4.2.1 Changes in Instrumentation, Exposure and Measuring Techniques 4.2.2 Changes in Station Locations 4.2.3 Changes in Observation Time and the Methods Used to Calculate Monthly Averages 4.2.4 Changes in the Station Environment 4.2.5 Precipitation and Pressure Homogeneity 4.2.6 Data Homogenization Techniques 4.3 Surface Climate Analysis 4.3.1 Temperature 4.3.2 Precipitation 4.3.3 Pressure 4.4 The Greenhouse Detection Problem 4.4.1 Definition of Detection Vector and Data Used 4.4.2 Spatial Correlation Methods 4.5 Conclusions 5 Interpreting High-Resolution Proxy Climate Data - The Example of Dendr о climatology / by KEITH R. BRIFFA 5.1 Introduction 5.2 Background 5.3 Site Selection and Dating 5.4 Chronology Confidence 5.4.1 Chronology Signal 5.4.2 Expressed Population Signal 5.4.3 Subsample Signal Strength 5.4.4 Wider Relevance of Chronology Signal 5.5 "Standardization" and Its Implications for Judging Theoretical Signal 5.5.1 Theoretical Chronology Signal 5.5.2 Standardization of "Raw" Data Measurements 5.5.3 General Relevance of the "Standardization" Problem 5.6 Quantifying Climate Signals in Chronologies 5.6.1 Calibration of Theoretical Signal 5.6.2 Verification of Calibrated Relationships 5.7 Discussion 5.8 Conclusions 6 Analysing the Boreal Summer Relationship Between World wide Sea-Surface Temperature and Atmospheric Variability / by M. NEIL WARD 6.1 Introduction 6.2 Physical Basis for Sea-Surface Temperature Forcing of the Atmosphere 6.2.1 Tropics 6.2.2 Extratropics 6.3 Characteristic Patterns of Global Sea Surface Temperature: EOFs and Rotated EOFs 6.3.1 Introduction 6.3.2 SST Data 6.3.3 EOF method 6.3.4 EOFs p^→1 - p^→3 6.3.5 Rotation of EOFs 6.4 Characteristic Features in the Marine Atmosphere Associated with the SST Patterns p^→2, p ^→3 and p^→2R in JAS 6.4.1 Data and Methods 6.4.2 Patterns in the Marine Atmosphere Associated with EOF p^→2 6.4.3 Patterns in the Marine Atmosphere Associated with EOF p^→3 6.4.4 Patterns in the Marine Atmosphere Associated with Rotated EOF p^→2R 6.5 JAS Sahel Rainfall Links with Sea-Surface Temperature and Marine Atmosphere 6.5.1 Introduction 6.5.2 Rainfall in the Sahel of Africa 6.5.3 High Frequency Sahel Rainfall Variations 6.5.4 Low Frequency Sahel Rainfall Variations 6.6 Conclusions III Simulating and Predicting Climate 7 The Simulation of Weather Types in GCMs : A Regional Approach to Control-Run Validation / by KEITH R. BRIFFA 7.1 Introduction 7.2 The Lamb Catalogue 7.3 An "Objective" Lamb Classification 7.4 Details of the Selected GCM Experiments 7.5 Comparing Observed and GCM Climates 7.5.1 Lamb Types 7.5.2 Temperature and Precipitation 7.5.3 Relationships Between Circulation Frequencies and Temperature and Precipitation 7.5.4 Weather-Type Spell Lengths and Storm Frequencies 7.6 Conclusions 7.6.1 Specific Conclusions 7.6.2 General Conclusions 8 Statistical Analysis of GCM Output / by CLAUDE FRANKIGNOUL 8.1 Introduction 8.2 Univariate Analysis 8.2.1 The i-Test on the Mean of a Normal Variable 8.2.2 Tests for Autocorrelated Variables 8.2.3 Field Significance 8.2.4 Example: GCM Response to a Sea Surface Temperature Anomaly 8.3 Multivariate Analysis 8.3.1 Test on Means of Multidimensional Normal Variables 8.3.2 Application to Response Studies 8.3.3 Application to Model Testing and Intercomparison 9 Field Intercomparison / by ROBERT E . LIVEZEY 9.1 Introduction 9.2 Motivation for Permutation and Monte Carlo Testing 9.2.1 Local vs. Field Significance 9.2.2 Test Example 9.3 Permutation Procedures 9.3.1 Test Environment 9.3.2 Permutation (PP) and Bootstrap (BP) Procedures 9.3.3 Properties 9.3.4 Interdependence Among Field Variables 9.4 Serial Correlation 9.4.1 Local Probability Matching 9.4.2 Times Series and Monte Carlo Methods 9.4.3 Independent Samples 9.4.4 Conservatism 9.5 Concluding Remarks 10 The Evaluation of Forecasts / by ROBERT E. LIVEZEY 10.1 Introduction 10.2 Considerations for Objective Verification 10.2.1 Quantification 10.2.2 Authentication 10.2.3 Description of Probability Distributions 10.2.4 Comparison of Forecasts 10.3 Measures and Relationships: Categorical Forecasts 10.3.1 Contingency and Definitions 10.3.2 Some Scores Based on the Contingency Table 10.4 Measures and Relationships: Continuous Forecasts 10.4.1 Mean Squared Error and Correlation 10.4.2 Pattern Verification (the Murphy-Epstein Decomposition) 10.5 Hindcasts and Cross-Validation 10.5.1 Cross-Validation Procedure 10.5.2 Key Constraints in Cross-Validation 11 Stochastic Modeling of Precipitation with Applications to Climate Model Downscaling / by DENNIS LETTENMAIER 11.1 Introduction 11.2 Probabilistic Characteristics of Precipitation 11.3 Stochastic Models of Precipitation 11.3.1 Background 11.3.2 Applications to Global Change 11.4 Stochastic Precipitation Models with External Forcing 11.4.1 Weather Classification Schemes 11.4.2 Conditional Stochastic Precipitation Models 11.5 Applications to Alternative Climate Simulation 11.6 Conclusions IV Pattern Analysis 12 Teleconnections Patterns / by ANTONIO NAVARRA 12.1 Objective Teleconnections 12.2 Singular Value Decomposition 12.3 Teleconnections in the Ocean-Atmosphere System 12.4 Concluding Remarks 13 Spatial Patterns: EOFs and CCA / by HANS VON STORCH 13.1 Introduction 13.2 Expansion into a Few Guess Patterns 13.2.1 Guess Patterns, Expansion Coefficients and Explained Variance 13.2.2 Example: Temperature Distribution in the Mediterranean Sea 13.2.3 Specification of Guess Patterns 13.2.4 Rotation of Guess Patterns 13.3 Empirical Orthogonal Functions 13.3.1 Definition of EOFs 13.3.2 What EOFs Are Not Designed for 13.3.3 Estimating EOFs 13.3.4 Example: Central European Temperature 13.4 Canonical Correlation Analysis 13.4.1 Definition of Canonical Correlation Patterns 13.4.2 CCA in EOF Coordinates 13.4.3 Estimation: CCA of Finite Samples 13.4.4 Example: Central European Temperature 14 Patterns in Time : SSA and MSSA / by ROBERT VAUTARD 14.1 Introduction 14.2 Reconstruction and Approximation of Attractors 14.2.1 The Embedding Problem 14.2.2 Dimension and Noise 14.2.3 The Macroscopic Approximation 14.3 Singular Spectrum Analysis 14.3.1 Time EOFs 14.3.2 Space-Time EOFs 14.3.3 Oscillatory Pairs 14.3.4 Spectral Properties 14.3.5 Choice of the Embedding Dimension 14.3.6 Estimating Time and Space-Time Patterns 14.4 Climatic Applications of SSA 14.4.1 The Analysis of Intraseasonal Oscillations 14.4.2 Empirical Long-Range Forecasts Using MSSA Predictors 14.5 Conclusions 15 Multivariate Statistical Modeling : POP-Model as a First Order Approximation / by JIN-SONG VON STORCH 15.1 Introduction 15.2 The Cross-Covariance Matrix and the Cross-Spectrum Matrix 15.3 Multivariate AR(1) Process and its Cross-Covariance and Cross-Spectrum Matrices 15.3.1 The System Matrix A and its POPs 15.3.2 Cross-Spectrum Matrix in POP-Basis: Its Matrix Formulation 15.3.3 Cross-Spectrum Matrix in POP-Basis: Its Diagonal Components