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Reality Lost : Markets of Attention, Misinformation and Manipulation (2019)

Cham : Springer

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Keywords: Internet marketing ; Digital media ; Philosophy ; Behavioral economics ; Online Marketing/Social Media ; Digital/New Media ; Philosophy of Technology ; Behavioral/Experimental Economics

Description / Table of Contents: Chapter 1. Attention Economics --- Chapter 2. The News Market --- Chapter 3. Attention Speculation and Political Bubbles --- Chapter 4. Alternative Facts, Misinformation, and Fake News --- Chapter 5. Fact Resistance, Populism, and Conspiracy Theory --- Chapter 6. The Post-Factual Democracy

Pages: Online-Ressource (XXI, 144 pages) , 49 illustrations

ISBN: 9783030008130

URL: https://link.springer.com/openurl?genre=book&isbn=978-3-030-00813-0

Language: English

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Time Predictions : Understanding and Avoiding Unrealism in Project Planning and Everyday Life (2018)

Björklund Larsen, Lotta

Cham : Springer

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Keywords: Project management ; Personnel management ; Management information systems ; Behavioral economics ; Economics ; Behavioral/Experimental Economics ; Human Resource Management ; Project Management ; Software Management

Description / Table of Contents: Preface --- 1. Introduction: 1.1 A prediction success --- 1.2 Prediction disasters --- 2. How we Predict Time Usage: 2.1 Mental time travel --- 2.2 How did you make that prediction? --- 2.3 Time predictions are everywhere --- 2.4 How good are we at predicting time? --- 3. Predictions and the Uncertainty of the Future: 3.1 Precisely wrong or roughly right? --- 3.2 Communication of time predictions --- 3.3 Probability-based time predictions --- 3.4 Right-skewed time distributions --- 3.5 Relearning to add: 2 + 2 is usually more than 4 --- 3.6 How to predict the mean time usage --- 3.7 How time predictions affect performance --- 4. Overoptimistic Predictions: 4.1 Optimism, overoptimism, and overoptimistic predictions --- 4.2 The benefits of overoptimism --- 4.3 The desire to control time --- 4.4 Motivation to make accurate time usage predictions --- 4.5 Selection bias --- 4.6 Deception --- 4.7 Who makes the most realistic time predictions? --- 5. Time Prediction Biases: 5.1 The team scaling fallacy --- 5.2 Anchoring --- 5.3 Sequence effects --- 5.4 Format effects --- 5.5 The magnitude effect --- 5.6 Length of task description --- 5.7 The time unit effect --- 6. Uncertainty of Time Predictions: 6.1 Why are we overconfident? --- 6.2 What can we do to avoid overconfidence? --- 6.2.1 The use of alternative interval prediction formats --- 6.2.2 Learning from accuracy feedback --- 7. Time Prediction Methods and Principles: 7.1 Unpacking and decomposition --- 7.2 Analogies --- 7.3 Relative predictions --- 7.4 Time prediction models --- 7.5 Consider alternative futures --- 7.6 Combinations of time predictions --- 7.7 Let other people make the prediction? --- 7.8 Removing irrelevant and misleading information --- 7.9 From Fibonacci to t-shirt sizes: Time predictions using alternative scales --- 8. Time Predictions: Matching the Method to the Situation --- 9. How to Obtain Overoptimistic Time Predictions from Others

Pages: Online-Ressource (XII, 110 pages) , 12 illustrations, 11 illustrations in color

ISBN: 9783319749532

URL: https://link.springer.com/openurl?genre=book&isbn=978-3-319-74953-2