ALBERT

Note: Contents: 1. Introduction to urban Geosimulation ; 2. Formalizing Geosimulation with Geographic Automata Systems (GAS) ; 3. System Theory, Geography, and Urban Modelling ; 4. Modelling urban land usage with cellular automata ; 5. Modelling Urban Dynamics with Multi-Agent Systems ; 6. Finale: Epistemology of Geosimulation

Note: Aus dem Engl. und Amerikan. übers.

Note: Contents: Front Matter ; Introduction ; Reconstruction of Phase Space ; Choosing Time Delays ; Choosing the Dimension of Reconstructed Phase Space ; Invariants of the Motion ; Modeling Chaos ; Signal Separation ; Control and Chaos ; Synchronization of Chaotic Systems ; Other Example Systems ; Estimating in Chaos: Cramér-Rao Bounds ; Summary and Conclusions

Note: pt. 1. Introduction. The need for better theories / Paul A. Sabatier ; The stages approach to the policy process: what has it done? where is it going? / Peter deLeon -- pt. 2. Alternative views of the role of rationality in the policy process. Institutional rational choice: an assessment of the institutional analysis and development framework / Elinor Ostrom ; Ambiguity, time, and multiple streams / Nikolaos Zahariadis -- pt. 3. Frameworks focusing on policy change over fairly long periods. Punctuated-equilibrium theory: explaining stability and change in American policymaking / James L. True, Bryan D. Jones, and Frank R. Baumgartner ; The advocacy coalition framework: an assessment / Paul A. Sabatier and Hank C. Jenkins-Smith -- pt. 4. Frameworks comparing policies across a large number of political systems. Innovation and diffusion models in policy research / Frances Stokes Berry and William D. Berry ; The policy process and large-N comparative studies / William Blomquist -- pt. 5. Conclusions. A comparison of frameworks, theories, and models of policy processes / Edella Schlager ; Fostering the development of policy theory / Paul A. Sabatier..

Note: Zugl.: München, Techn. Univ., Diss., 1992

Note: Contents: Continuous Path Processes ; Continuous-Path Random Processes: Mathematical Prerequisites ; Basic Concepts and Examples in Finance ; Hitting Times: A Mix of Mathematics and Finance ; Complements on Brownian Motion ; Complements on Continuous Path Processes ; A Special Family of Diffusions: Bessel Processes ; Jump Processes ; Default Risk: An Enlargement of Filtration Approach ; Poisson Processes and Ruin Theory ; General Processes: Mathematical Facts ; Mixed Processes ; Lévy Processes

Note: Zugl.: Göttingen, Univ., Diss., 1998

Note: Druckausg. ---〉 American Economic Journal / Economic Policy

Note: In German

Note: Contents: 1. Introduction ; 2. The political process ; 3. Administrative efficiency ; 4. Competition among governments ; 5. Fiscal policy and redistribution ; 6. Fiscal coordination and incentives ; 7. Citizens and government ; 8. Checks, balances, and freedom ; 9. Acquiring and using knowledge ; 10. Ethnic conflict and secession ; 11. Data to the rescue? ; 12. Conclusion: rethinking decentralization.

Note: Enthält zwei Werke. Titel des zweiten Werkes: Taxes through the ages : a pictorial history / Ferdinand H. M. Grapperhaus

Note: Contents: The place of glaciers in natural and cultural landscapes / Ben Orlove, Ellen Wiegandt and Brian h. Luckman -- pt. 1. Societal perceptions: cultures and institutions. Changing views of changing glaciers / Wilfred Haeberli -- Challenges of living with glaciers in the Swiss Alps, past and present / Ellen Wiegandt and Ralph Lugon -- Environment, history, and culture as influences on perceptions of glacier dynamics: the case of Mt. Shasta / Barbara Wolf and Ben Orlove -- Glacial hazards: perceiving and responding to threats in four world regions / Christian Huggel, Wilfried Haeberli, and Andreas Kaab -- pt. 2. Scientific observations: measurement, monitoring and modeling. Two alpine glaciers over the past two centuries: a scientific view based on pictorial sources / Daniel Steiner, Heinz J. Zumbuhl, and Andreas Bauder -- Long-term observations of glaciers in Norway / Liss Andreassen...[et al.] -- Alpinewide distributed glacier mass balance modeling: a tool for assessing future glacier change / Frank Paul...[et al.] -- Modeling climate-change impacts on mountain glaciers and water resources in the central dry Andes / Javier Corripio...[et al.] -- pt. 3. Trends in natural landscapes: climate change. Glacier mass balance in the Northern U.S. and Canadian Rockies: paleo-perspectives and 20th century change / Emma Watson...[et al.] -- Glacier fluctuations in the European Alps, 1850-2000: an overview and spatio-temporal analysis of available data / Michael Zemp...[et al.] -- Tropical glaciers, climate change, and society: focus on Kilimanjaro (East Africa) / Thomas Molg...[et al.] -- pt. 4. Impacts on human landscapes: resources, hazards and cultural landscapes. New Zealand's glaciers: key national and global assets for science and society / John Hay and Tui Elliot -- The impact of mining on rock glaciers and glaciers: examples from Central Chile / Alexander Brenning -- Glacier changes and their impacts on mountain tourism: two case studies from the Italian Alps / Claudio Smiraglia...[et al.] -- Mama Cotacachi: history, local perceptions, and social impacts of climate change and glacier retreat in the Ecuadorian Andes / Robert E. Rhoades, Xavier Zapata Rios, and Jenny Aragundy Ochoa -- pt. 5. Responses: adaptation and accommodation. The politics of place: inhabiting and defending glacier hazard zones in Peru's Cordillera Blanca / Mark Carey -- Responses to glacier retreat in the context of development planning in Nepal / Shardul Agrawala -- Glaciers and efficient water use in Central Asia / Urs Luterbacher...[et al.] -- Research and development in mountain glaciers: an overview of institutions and organizations / Denis Knubel, Greg Greenwood, and Ellen Wiegandt

Note: Druckausg. ---〉 American economic journal / Microeconomics

Note: Contents: 1 Late socialism - an eternal state ; 2 Hegemony of form - Stalin's uncanny paradigm shift ; 3 Ideology inside out - ethics and poetics ; 4 Living "Vnye" - deterritorialized milieus ; 5 Imaginary West - the elsewhere of late socialism ; 6 True colors of Communism - King Crimson, Deep Purple, Pink Floyd ; 7 Dead irony - necroaesthetics, "Stiob", and the anekdot ; Conclusion

Note: Contents: Einleitung ; 1 Veränderungsanforderungen an Weiterbildungsorganisationen ; 2 Organisation ; 3 Grundlagen der Organisationsentwicklung ; 4 Organisationsberatung

Note: Contents: 1:Introduction ; 2:The Spatial Equilibrium Within the City ; 3:The Spatial Equilibrium Across ; 4:Agglomeration Economies ; 5:Urban Distress ; 6:Cities and Public Policy

Note: Vorwort 1. Rationalität in Politik und Wirtschaft 2. Worum geht es in der Rational–Choice–Theorie? 3. Methodologische Defekte 4. Das Paradox der Wahlbeteiligung 5. Soziale Dilemmata und das Trittbrettfahrerproblem 6. Gesetzgebung und Abstimmungsparadox 7. Räumliche Theorien des politischen Wettbewerbs 8. Erwiderungen auf mögliche Gegenargumente Literatur Index

Note: N.F. entfällt ab 57.2000. - Volltext auch als Teil einer Datenbank verfügbar , Ersch. ab 2000 in engl. Sprache mit dt. Hauptsacht.

Note: INHALTSVERZEICHNIS Vorwort Autoren- und Gutachterverzeichnis Szenarien der Klimaveränderungen durch den Menschen : Eine anhaltende Herausforderung für die Wissenschaft (Graßl) 1 DAS KLIMA UND SEINE VARIABILITÄT 1.1 Klima und Klimasystem (Hupfer) 1.2 Die Bedeutung der Allgemeinen Zirkulation der Atmosphäre und der Ozeane für das Klima (Steinrücke) 1.3 Orbitale und solare Faktoren mit Langzeitwirkung auf das Klima (Mende & Stellmacher) 1.4 Die Rolle der Vulkane (Sachs & Graf) 1.5 Der Kohlenstoffkreislauf im Klimasystem (Hager, Würth & Kohlmaier) 1.6 Die Klimaentwicklung von den Anfangen bis zum Holozän (Ehlers) 1.7 Ursachen der Klimaschwankungen im Quartär (Wefer) 1.8 Eis der Eide (Herterich) 1.9 40 000 Jahre Geschichte des Klimas in der Alten Welt (Frenzel) 1.10 Auswirkungen von Klimaschwankungen auf die obere Waldgrenze am Beispiel der Alpen (Pott, Bauerochse & Katenhusen) 1.11 Dendroklimatologische Beiträge zur Kenntnis der jüngsten Klimageschichte (Frenzel) 1.12 Einfluß des Klimas auf die Kulturgeschichte der Measchheit (Lozán) 1.13 Klima und Binnenseen (Lozán, Merkt & Pachur) 2 ANTHROPOGENE KLIMABEEINFLUSSUNG 2.1 Zur beobachteten Klimaentwicklung im 19. und 20. Jahrhundert: Gefahr im Verzug? (Hupfer & Schönwiese) 2.2 Der natürliche und anthropogene Treibhauseffekt - Veränderung der chemischen Zusammensetzung der Atmosphäre durch menschliche Aktivitäten (Seiler & Hahn) 2.3 Luftverkehr und Klima (Schumann) 2.4 Rolle der natürlichen und anthropogenen troposphärischen Aerosole im Klimageschehen (Schulz) 2.5 Ozonrückgang in der Stratosphäre (Wahner) 2.6 Entstehung von bodennahem Ozon und Auftreten von Sommersmog (Fiedler) 2.7 Klimaveränderungen durch Landnutzungsänderungen (Höper) 2.8 Veränderungen der Wälder (Dörfler & Mitlöhner) 3 DAS KLIMA DES 21. JAHRHUNDERTS: Änderungen und Folgen 3.1 Natürliche Klimavariabilität und anthropogene Klimabeeinflussung (Hegerl, Hasselmann & Lauf) 3.2 Möglichkeiten und Voraussetzungen für eine Klimavorhersage (Gerstengarbe) 3.3 Veränderung der allgemeinen Zirkulation der Atmosphäre (Roeckner) 3.4 Modellierung Regionaler Klimaänderungen (Cubasen) 3.5 Intensivierung des Wasserkreislaufs? (Jacob) 3.6 Statistische Untersuchung der Niederschlagsänderungen aus hydrologischer Sicht (Bardossy) 3.7 Stürme, Seegang und Sturmfluten im Nordostatlantik (v. Storch, Langenberg & Pohlmann) 3.8 Die Alternative: Natürliche Klimaveränderungen - Umkippen zu einer neuen Kaltzeit? (Thiede & Tiedemann) 3.9 Veränderungen im Nordatlantik (Lauf & Meincke) 3.10 Auswirkung auf den Meeresspiegel (Sterr) 3.11 Variabilität der polaren Meereisdecke als Anzeiger für Klimaschwankungen (Eiken & Lemke) 3.12 Gletscher - Schlüsselindikatoren der globalen Klimaänderung (Haeberli, Hoelzle & Maisch) 3.13 Veränderung der großen Eisschilde (Huybrechts) 3.14 Klimaänderung und ihre Folgen für den Permafrost (Siegert & Hubberten) 3.15 Desertifikation (Pilaideaux & Schulz-Baldes) 3.16 Wie empfindlich reagieren Gebirgsregionen auf klimatische Veränderungen (Beniston, Haeberli & Schmid) 3.17 Gefährdung in den Küstenregionen (Sterr) 3.18 Das Beispiel: Die Auswirkungen des extrem heißen und trockenen Sommers 1992 im Norden Deutschlands (Kartschall & Flechsig) 3.19 Hochwasserverschärfung infolge von Klimaänderungen (Caspary) 3.20 Veränderungen der globalen Vegetation (Claußen & Cramer) 3.21 Kohlendioxidzunahme und Rolle des marinen Phytoplanktons (Riebeseil) 3.22 Rolle und Entwicklung der Korallenriffe (Schuhmacher & Reinicken) 3.23 Natürliche und anthropogene Veränderungen im arktischen marinen Ökosystem (Gradinger) 3.24 Vögel und Klimaveränderungen (Bairiein & Winkel) 3.25 Klima und Fischerei (v. Westernhagen) 3.26 Binnengewässer und Klimaschwankungen (Hupfer) 3.27 Klima und Biodiversität (Kinzelbach) 3.28 Flora und Fauna unter einer verstärkten UV-B-Strahlung (Forster & Kestler) 3.29 Veränderungen des Auftretens von Pflanzenkrankheiten, Schädlingen und Nutzungen (Jahn & Freier) 3.30 Die Gefährdung der Flora und Fauna an Küsten durch den Meeresspiegelanstieg (Neuhaus, Dykema & Reinke) 3.31 Klimaänderung und Wasserverfügbarkeit (Hoff) 3.32 Auswirkungen auf Landwirtschaft und Forstwirtschaft (Hörmann & Chmielewski) 3.33 Krankheiten und Klima (Dobler & Jendritzky) 3.34 Gefährdung durch verstärkte UV-Strahlung (Breitbart, Greinert & Volkmer) 3.35 Veränderungen des Stadtklimas (Kuttler) 3.36 Soziale Folgen: Migrationen und Auseinandersetzungen um Ressourcen (Daschkeit & Dombrowsky) 4 WAS WIRD GETAN? 4.1 Internationaler Klimaschutz - Rio, Berlin, Kioto und danach (Singer) 4.2 Wissenschaftliche Aussagen zum Klimawandel - Zum politischen Umgang mit objektiv unsicheren Ergebnissen der Klimaforschung (Helm & Schellnhuber) 4.3 Internationale Klimaschutzvereinbarungen, Protokolle und regionale Abkommen (Müller-Kraenner & Grittner) 4.4 Die zwei Gesichter der Ökonomie im Klimaschutz (Müller & Müller) 4.5 Rechtliche Rahmenbedingungen (Kloepfer) 4.6 Energieverbrauch und Klimaänderung (Pankrath) 4.7 Förderung von Kohlendioxid-Senken (Eschner) 4.8 Herausforderungen an den Küsten- und Inselschutz (Schirmer) 4.9 Klimaverändemngen: Auswirkungen auf die Versicherangswirtschaft und Handlungsoptionen (Berz) 5 DAS "EL NINO"/ SOUTHERN-OSCILLATlON-PHÄNOMEN 5.1 Dynamik und klimatologische Auswirkungen (Lauf) 5.2 Die terrestrischen Auswirkungen (Endlicher) 6 ÜBERBLICK: Warnsignale aus der Klimaentwicklung (Hupfer, Lozán, Graßl) 7 AUSBLICK: Strategien für die Klimaforschung und den Klimaschutz (Graßl) 8 GLOSSAR (Hupfer) 9 LITERATUR 10 SACHREGISTER

Note: Contents Foreword Preface Contributors I Introduction 1 The Development of Climate Research / by ANTONIO NAVARRA 1.1 The Nature of Climate Studies 1.1.1 The Big Storm Controversy 1.1.2 The Great Planetary Oscillations 1.2 The Components of Climate Research 1.2.1 Dynamical Theory 1.2.2 Numerical Experimentation 1.2.3 Statistical Analysis 2 Misuses of Statistical Analysis in Climate Research / by HANS VON STORCH 2.1 Prologue 2.2 Mandatory Testing and the Mexican Hat 2.3 Neglecting Serial Correlation 2.4 Misleading Names: The Case of the Decorrelation Time 2.5 Use of Advanced Techniques 2.6 Epilogue II Analyzing The Observed Climate 3 Climate Spectra and Stochastic Climate Models / by CLAUDE FRANKIGNOUL 3.1 Introduction 3.2 Spectral Characteristics of Atmospheric Variables 3.3 Stochastic Climate Model 3.4 Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies 3.5 Variability of Other Surface Variables 3.6 Variability in the Ocean Interior 3.7 Long Term Climate Changes 4 The Instrumental Data Record: Its Accuracy and Use in Attempts to Identify the "CO2 Signal" / by PHIL JONES 4.1 Introduction 4.2 Homogeneity 4.2.1 Changes in Instrumentation, Exposure and Measuring Techniques 4.2.2 Changes in Station Locations 4.2.3 Changes in Observation Time and the Methods Used to Calculate Monthly Averages 4.2.4 Changes in the Station Environment 4.2.5 Precipitation and Pressure Homogeneity 4.2.6 Data Homogenization Techniques 4.3 Surface Climate Analysis 4.3.1 Temperature 4.3.2 Precipitation 4.3.3 Pressure 4.4 The Greenhouse Detection Problem 4.4.1 Definition of Detection Vector and Data Used 4.4.2 Spatial Correlation Methods 4.5 Conclusions 5 Interpreting High-Resolution Proxy Climate Data - The Example of Dendr о climatology / by KEITH R. BRIFFA 5.1 Introduction 5.2 Background 5.3 Site Selection and Dating 5.4 Chronology Confidence 5.4.1 Chronology Signal 5.4.2 Expressed Population Signal 5.4.3 Subsample Signal Strength 5.4.4 Wider Relevance of Chronology Signal 5.5 "Standardization" and Its Implications for Judging Theoretical Signal 5.5.1 Theoretical Chronology Signal 5.5.2 Standardization of "Raw" Data Measurements 5.5.3 General Relevance of the "Standardization" Problem 5.6 Quantifying Climate Signals in Chronologies 5.6.1 Calibration of Theoretical Signal 5.6.2 Verification of Calibrated Relationships 5.7 Discussion 5.8 Conclusions 6 Analysing the Boreal Summer Relationship Between World wide Sea-Surface Temperature and Atmospheric Variability / by M. NEIL WARD 6.1 Introduction 6.2 Physical Basis for Sea-Surface Temperature Forcing of the Atmosphere 6.2.1 Tropics 6.2.2 Extratropics 6.3 Characteristic Patterns of Global Sea Surface Temperature: EOFs and Rotated EOFs 6.3.1 Introduction 6.3.2 SST Data 6.3.3 EOF method 6.3.4 EOFs p^→1 - p^→3 6.3.5 Rotation of EOFs 6.4 Characteristic Features in the Marine Atmosphere Associated with the SST Patterns p^→2, p ^→3 and p^→2R in JAS 6.4.1 Data and Methods 6.4.2 Patterns in the Marine Atmosphere Associated with EOF p^→2 6.4.3 Patterns in the Marine Atmosphere Associated with EOF p^→3 6.4.4 Patterns in the Marine Atmosphere Associated with Rotated EOF p^→2R 6.5 JAS Sahel Rainfall Links with Sea-Surface Temperature and Marine Atmosphere 6.5.1 Introduction 6.5.2 Rainfall in the Sahel of Africa 6.5.3 High Frequency Sahel Rainfall Variations 6.5.4 Low Frequency Sahel Rainfall Variations 6.6 Conclusions III Simulating and Predicting Climate 7 The Simulation of Weather Types in GCMs : A Regional Approach to Control-Run Validation / by KEITH R. BRIFFA 7.1 Introduction 7.2 The Lamb Catalogue 7.3 An "Objective" Lamb Classification 7.4 Details of the Selected GCM Experiments 7.5 Comparing Observed and GCM Climates 7.5.1 Lamb Types 7.5.2 Temperature and Precipitation 7.5.3 Relationships Between Circulation Frequencies and Temperature and Precipitation 7.5.4 Weather-Type Spell Lengths and Storm Frequencies 7.6 Conclusions 7.6.1 Specific Conclusions 7.6.2 General Conclusions 8 Statistical Analysis of GCM Output / by CLAUDE FRANKIGNOUL 8.1 Introduction 8.2 Univariate Analysis 8.2.1 The i-Test on the Mean of a Normal Variable 8.2.2 Tests for Autocorrelated Variables 8.2.3 Field Significance 8.2.4 Example: GCM Response to a Sea Surface Temperature Anomaly 8.3 Multivariate Analysis 8.3.1 Test on Means of Multidimensional Normal Variables 8.3.2 Application to Response Studies 8.3.3 Application to Model Testing and Intercomparison 9 Field Intercomparison / by ROBERT E . LIVEZEY 9.1 Introduction 9.2 Motivation for Permutation and Monte Carlo Testing 9.2.1 Local vs. Field Significance 9.2.2 Test Example 9.3 Permutation Procedures 9.3.1 Test Environment 9.3.2 Permutation (PP) and Bootstrap (BP) Procedures 9.3.3 Properties 9.3.4 Interdependence Among Field Variables 9.4 Serial Correlation 9.4.1 Local Probability Matching 9.4.2 Times Series and Monte Carlo Methods 9.4.3 Independent Samples 9.4.4 Conservatism 9.5 Concluding Remarks 10 The Evaluation of Forecasts / by ROBERT E. LIVEZEY 10.1 Introduction 10.2 Considerations for Objective Verification 10.2.1 Quantification 10.2.2 Authentication 10.2.3 Description of Probability Distributions 10.2.4 Comparison of Forecasts 10.3 Measures and Relationships: Categorical Forecasts 10.3.1 Contingency and Definitions 10.3.2 Some Scores Based on the Contingency Table 10.4 Measures and Relationships: Continuous Forecasts 10.4.1 Mean Squared Error and Correlation 10.4.2 Pattern Verification (the Murphy-Epstein Decomposition) 10.5 Hindcasts and Cross-Validation 10.5.1 Cross-Validation Procedure 10.5.2 Key Constraints in Cross-Validation 11 Stochastic Modeling of Precipitation with Applications to Climate Model Downscaling / by DENNIS LETTENMAIER 11.1 Introduction 11.2 Probabilistic Characteristics of Precipitation 11.3 Stochastic Models of Precipitation 11.3.1 Background 11.3.2 Applications to Global Change 11.4 Stochastic Precipitation Models with External Forcing 11.4.1 Weather Classification Schemes 11.4.2 Conditional Stochastic Precipitation Models 11.5 Applications to Alternative Climate Simulation 11.6 Conclusions IV Pattern Analysis 12 Teleconnections Patterns / by ANTONIO NAVARRA 12.1 Objective Teleconnections 12.2 Singular Value Decomposition 12.3 Teleconnections in the Ocean-Atmosphere System 12.4 Concluding Remarks 13 Spatial Patterns: EOFs and CCA / by HANS VON STORCH 13.1 Introduction 13.2 Expansion into a Few Guess Patterns 13.2.1 Guess Patterns, Expansion Coefficients and Explained Variance 13.2.2 Example: Temperature Distribution in the Mediterranean Sea 13.2.3 Specification of Guess Patterns 13.2.4 Rotation of Guess Patterns 13.3 Empirical Orthogonal Functions 13.3.1 Definition of EOFs 13.3.2 What EOFs Are Not Designed for 13.3.3 Estimating EOFs 13.3.4 Example: Central European Temperature 13.4 Canonical Correlation Analysis 13.4.1 Definition of Canonical Correlation Patterns 13.4.2 CCA in EOF Coordinates 13.4.3 Estimation: CCA of Finite Samples 13.4.4 Example: Central European Temperature 14 Patterns in Time : SSA and MSSA / by ROBERT VAUTARD 14.1 Introduction 14.2 Reconstruction and Approximation of Attractors 14.2.1 The Embedding Problem 14.2.2 Dimension and Noise 14.2.3 The Macroscopic Approximation 14.3 Singular Spectrum Analysis 14.3.1 Time EOFs 14.3.2 Space-Time EOFs 14.3.3 Oscillatory Pairs 14.3.4 Spectral Properties 14.3.5 Choice of the Embedding Dimension 14.3.6 Estimating Time and Space-Time Patterns 14.4 Climatic Applications of SSA 14.4.1 The Analysis of Intraseasonal Oscillations 14.4.2 Empirical Long-Range Forecasts Using MSSA Predictors 14.5 Conclusions 15 Multivariate Statistical Modeling : POP-Model as a First Order Approximation / by JIN-SONG VON STORCH 15.1 Introduction 15.2 The Cross-Covariance Matrix and the Cross-Spectrum Matrix 15.3 Multivariate AR(1) Process and its Cross-Covariance and Cross-Spectrum Matrices 15.3.1 The System Matrix A and its POPs 15.3.2 Cross-Spectrum Matrix in POP-Basis: Its Matrix Formulation 15.3.3 Cross-Spectrum Matrix in POP-Basis: Its Diagonal Components 15.3.4

Note: INHALT Vorwort zur 5. Auflage Inhaltsverzeichnis Einführung Literatur Liste der europäischen Stationen Lagekarten Europa Klimatabellen europäischer Stationen Liste der asiatischen Stationen Klimakarte Eurasien nach Köppen/Geiger Klimakarte Eurasien nach Troll/Paffen Klimatabellen asiatischer Stationen Liste der nordamerikanischen und mexikanischen Stationen Klimakarte Nordamerika nach Köppen/Geiger Klimakarte Nordamerika nach Troll/Paffen Klimatabellen nordamerikanischer und mexikanischer Stationen Liste der südamerikanischen Stationen Klimakarte Südamerika nach Köppen/Geiger Klimakarte Südamerika nach Troll/Paffen Klimatabellen südamerikanischer Stationen Liste afrikanischer Stationen Klimakarte Afrika nach Köppen/Geiger Klimakarte Afrika nach Troll/Paffen Klimatabellen afrikanischer Stationen Liste australischer und ozeanischer Stationen Klimakarte Australien und Ozeanien nach Köppen/Geiger Klimakarte Australien und Ozeanien nach Troll/Paffen Klimatabellen australischer und ozeanischer Stationen Liste der Polarstationen Lagekarte Polargebiete Klimatabellen der Polargebiete Register.

Note: CONTENTS Preface List of Contributors Introduction 1. Predicting the Hydrological Effects of Climate Change / J.A.A. Jones Section I Sensitivity of the Global Hydrosphere Section Summary 2. An Introduction to Global Water Dynamics / I. Kayane 3. Modelling the Biospheric Aspects of the Hydrological Cycle: Upscaling Processes and Downscaling Weather Data / B. Bass, N. Akkur, J. Russo and J. Zack 4. Trends in Historical Steamflow Records / F.H.S. Chiew and T.A. McMahon Section II Regional Implications of Global Warming Section Summary 5. Hydrology of Northern North America under Global Warming / M.-K. Woo 6. Current Evidence on the Likely Impact of Global Warming on Hydrological Regimes in Europe / J.A.A. Jones 7. The Impact of Climatic Warming on Hydrological Regimes in China: An Overview / L. Changming and F. Guobin Section. Ill Precipitation Change and Variability Section Summary 8. The Influence of Topography, Season and Circulation on Spatial Patterns of Daily Precipitation / P.J. Robinson 9. Use of Artificial Neural Networks in Precipitation Forecasting / H.-T. Kung, L.Yu. Lin and S. Malasri 10. Generation of Sequences of Air Temperature and Precipitation for Estimation of the Hydrological Cycle in Changing Climatic Conditions in Poland / M. Gutry-Korycka and P. Werner 11. Some Aspects of Climatic Fluctuation at Four Stations on the Tibetan Plateau during the Last 40 Years / M. Yoshino 12. The Influences of the North Atlantic Oscillation, the El Niiio/Southern Oscillation and the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation on Winter Precipitation in Ireland / S. Daultrey Section IV Impacts on Snow, Ice and Meltwaters Section Summary 13. Runoff Formation and Discharge Modelling of a Glacierized Basin in the Tianshan Mountains / K. Ersi, S. Yafeng, A. Ohmura and H. Lang 14. Impact of Future Climate Change on Glacier Runoff and the Possibilities for Artificially Increasing Melt Water Runoff in the Aral Sea Basin / A.N. Krenke and G.N. Kravchenko 15. Glaciers and Snowcover in Central Asia as Indicators of Climate Change in the Earth-Ocean-Atmosphere System / V.B. Aizen and E.M. Aizen 16. Global Warming and the Trend toward Dryness in the Frigid High Mountains and Plateau of Western China / L.-S. Zhang Section V The Water Balance and Changing Regional Resources Section Summary 17. A Method to Assess the Effects of Climatic Warming on the Water Balance of Mountainous Regions / C. Liu and M.-K. Woo 18. Sensitivity Analyses for the Impact of Global Warming on Water Resources in Wales / C.P. Holt and J.A.A. Jones 19. Potential Hydrological Responses to Climate Change in Australia / F.H.S. Chiew, Q.J. Wang, T.A. McMahon, B.C. Bates and P.H. Whetton 20. Dynamics of Stage Fluctuation in Yangzhouyongcuo Lake, Tibetan Plateau / T. Liu 21. Derivation of Surface Temperature, Albedo, and Radiative Fluxes over the Tibetan Plateau Based on Satellite Measurement / L. Shi 22. Climatic Warming and its Impact on the Water Resources of the Yalong River, China / D. Yuren and H. Yuguang 23. The Probable Impact of Global Change on the Water Resources of Patagonia, Argentina / R.M. Quintela, O.E. Scarpati, L.B. Spescha and AD. Capriolo 24. Long Term Trends in the Water Balance of Central Japan / K. Mori Conclusions 25. The Impact of Global Warming on Regional Hydrology and Future Research Priorities / J.A.A. Jones Index

Note: Inhalt Geleitwort Danksagung Bildnachweis 1 Einleitung 2 Vom Wetter zum Klima 3 Das Klima der Vergangenheit Die Kleine Eiszeit Die quartären Vereisungen Die Geschichte des Klimas seit der Entstehung der Erde 4 Die Luft und das Wasser - die treibenden Elemente des Planeten Die atmosphärische Zirkulation Die ozeanische Zirkulation 5 Die Funktionsweise der Klimamaschine Luft und Wasser treten in Aktion Eis und Klima Das Leben und das Klima 6 Der Mensch und das Klima Die Treibhausgase Folgen der Verstärkung des Treibhauseffektes Das Ozon 7 Vorbereitung auf die Zukunft Literaturverzeichnis

Note: CONTENTS: 1. Introduction. - 1.1 Scope of Aquatic Chemistry. - 1.2 The Solvent Water. - 1.3 Solute Species. - Suggested Readings. - Appendix 1.1: Some Useful Quantities, Units, Conversion Factors, Constants, and Relationships. - 2. Chemical Thermodynamics and Kinetics. - 2.1 Introduction. - 2.2 Chemical Thermodynamic Principles. - 2.3 Systems of Variable Composition: Chemical Thermodynamics. - 2.4 Gibbs Energy and Systems of Variable Chemical Composition. - 2.5 Chemical Potentials of Pure Phases and Solutions. - 2.6 Chemical Potentials of Aqueous Electrolytes. - 2.7 The Equilibrium Constant. - 2.8 The Gibbs Energy of a System. - 2.9 Driving Force for Chemical Reactions. - 2.10 Temperature and Pressure Effects on Equilibrium. - 2.11 Equilibrium Tools. - 2.12 Kinetics and Thermodynamics: Time and Reaction Advancement. - 2.13 Rate and Mechanism. - 2.14 Concentration Versus Time. - 2.15 Theory of Elementary Processes. - 2.16 Elementary Reactions and ACT. - 2.17 Equilibrium Versus Steady State in Flow Systems. - Suggested Readings. - Problems. - Answers to Problems. - 3. Acids and Bases. - 3.1 Introduction. - 3.2 The Nature of Acids and Bases. - 3.3 The Strength of an Acid or Base. - 3.4 Activity and pH Scales. - 3.5 Equilibrium Calculations. - 3.6 pH as a Master Variable; Equilibrium Calculations Using a Graphical Approach. - 3.7 Ionization Fractions of Acids, Bases, and Ampholytes. - 3.8 Titration of Acids and Bases. - 3.9 Buffer Intensity and Neutralizing Capacity. - 3.10 Organic Acids. - Suggested Readings. - Problems. - Answers to Problems. - 4. Dissolved Carbon Dioxide. - 4.1 Introduction. - 4.2 Dissolved Carbonate Equilibria (Closed System). - 4.3 Aqueous Carbonate System Open to the Atmosphere. - 4.4 Alkalinity and Acidity, Neutralizing Capacities. - 4.5 Alkalinity Changes. - 4.6 Analytical Considerations: Gran Plots. - 4.7 Equilibrium with Solid Carbonates. - 4.8 Kinetic Considerations. - 4.9 Carbon Isotopes and Isotope Fractionation. - Suggested Readings. - Problems. - Answers to Problems. - 5. Atmosphere-Water Interactions. - 5.1 Introduction. - 5.2 Anthropogenic Generation of Acidity in the Atmosphere. - 5.3 Gas-Water Partitioning: Henry's Law. - 5.4 Gas-Water Equilibria in Closed and Open Systems. - 5.5 Washout of Pollutants from the Atmosphere. - 5.6 Fog. - 5.7 Aerosols . - 5.8 Acid Rain - Acid Lakes. - 5.9 The Volatility of Organic Substances. - 5.10 Gas Transfer Across Water-Gas Interface. - Suggested Readings. - Problems. - Answers to Problems. - 6. Metal Ions in Aqueous Solution: Aspects of Coordination Chemistry. - 6.1 Introduction. - 6.2 Protons and Metal Ions. - 6.3 Hydrolysis of Metal Ions. - 6.4 Solubility and Hydrolysis: Solid Hydroxides and Metal Oxides. - 6.5 Chelates. - 6.6 Metal Ions and Ligands: Classification of Metals. - 6.7 Speciation in Fresh Waters. - 6.8 Seawater Speciation. - 6.9 Kinetics of Complex Formation. - Suggested Readings. - Problems. - Answers to Problems. - Appendix 6.1: Stability Constants. - Appendix 6.2: The Various Scales for Equilibrium Constants, Activity Coefficients, and pH. - 7. Precipitation and Dissolution. - 7.1 Introduction. - 7.2 The Solubility of Oxides and Hydroxides. - 7.3 Complex Formation and Solubility of (Hydr)oxides. - 7.4 Carbonates. - 7.5 The Stability of Hydroxides, Carbonates, and Hydroxide Carbonates. - 7.6 Sulfides and Phosphates. - 7.7 The Phase Rule: Components, Phases, and Degrees of Freedom. - 7.8 Solubility of Fine Particles. - 7.9 Solid Solutions. - Suggested Readings. - Problems. - Answers to Problems. - 8. Oxidation and Reduction; Equilibria and Microbial Mediation. - 8.1 Introduction. - 8.2 Redox Equilibria and the Electron Activity. - 8.3 The Electrode Potential: The Nernst Equation and the Electrochemical Cell. - 8.4 p[Epsilon]-pH, Potential-pH Diagrams. - 8.5 Redox Conditions in Natural Waters. - 8.6 Effect of Complex Formers on the Redox Potential. - 8.7 Measuring the Redox Potential in Natural Waters. - 8.8 The Potentiometric Determination of Individual Solutes. - Suggested Readings. - Problems. - Answers to Problems. - Appendix 8.1: Activity Ratio Diagrams for Redox Systems. - 9. The Solid-Solution Interface. - 9.1 Introduction. - 9.2 Adsorption. - 9.3 Adsorption Isotherms. - 9.4 Hydrous Oxide Surfaces; Reactions with H+, OH-, Metal Ions, and Ligands. - 9.5 Surface Charge and the Electric Double Layer. - 9.6 Correcting Surface Complex Formation Constants for Surface Charge. - 9.7 Sorption of Hydrophobic Substances on Organic Carbon-Bearing Particles. - 9.8 Ion Exchange. - 9.9 Transport of (Ad)sorbable Constituents in Groundwater and Soil Systems. - Suggested Readings. - Problems. - Appendix 9.1: The Gouy-Chapman Theory. - Appendix 9.2: Contact Angle, Adhesion and Cohesion, the Oil-Water Interface. - 10. Trace Metals: Cycling, Regulation, and Biological Role. - 10.1 Introduction: Global Cycling of Metals. - 10.2 Analytical Approaches to Chemical Speciation. - 10.3 Classification of Metal Ions and the Inorganic Chemistry of Life. - 10.4 Organometallic and Organometalloidal Compounds. - 10.5 Bioavailability and Toxicity. - 10.6 Metal Ions as Micronutrients. - 10.7 The Interaction of Trace Metals with Phytoplankton at the Molecular Level. - 10.8 Regulation of Trace Elements by the Solid-Water Interface in Surface Waters. - 10.9 Regulation of Dissolved Heavy Metals in Rivers, Lakes, and Oceans. - 10.10 Quality Criteria in Fresh Waters: Some Aspects. - Suggested Readings. - 11. Kinetics of Redox Processes. - 11 1 Introduction. - 11.2 How Good an Oxidant Is O2?. - 11.3 Can p[Epsilon] Be Defined for a Nonequilibrium System?. - 11.4 Kinetics of Redox Processes: Case Studies. - 11.5 Oxidants Used in Water and Waste Technology: A Few Case Studies. - 11.6 Linear Free Energy Relations (LFERs). - 11.7 The Marcus Theory of Outer-Sphere Electron Transfer: An Introduction. - 11.8 Nucleophile-Electrophile Interactions and Redox Reactions Involving Organic Substances. - 11.9 Corrosion of Metals as an Electrochemical Process. - Suggested Readings. - 12. Photochemical Processes. - 12.1 Introduction. - 12.2 Absorption of Light. - 12.3 Photoreactants. - 12.4 Photoredox Reactions: Photolysis of Transition Metal Complexes. - 12.5 Photochemical Reactions in Atmospheric Waters: Role of Dissolved Iron Species. - 12.6 Heterogeneous Photochemistry. - 12.7 Semiconducting Minerals. - Suggested Readings. - 13. Kinetics at the Solid-Water Interface: Adsorption, Dissolution of Minerals, Nucleation, and Crystal Growth. - 13.1 Introduction. - 13.2 Kinetics of Adsorption. - 13.3 Surface-Controlled Dissolution of Oxide Minerals: An Introduction to Weathering. - 13.4 Simple Rate Laws in Dissolution. - 13.5 Rates of CaCO3 Dissolution (and of CaCO3 Crystal Growth). - 13.6 Inhibition of Dissolution. - 13.7 Nucleation and Crystal Growth. - Suggested Readings. - 14. Particle-Particle Interaction: Colloids, Coagulation, and Filtration. - 14.1 Colloids. - 14.2 Particle Size Distribution. - 14.3 Surface Charge of Colloids. - 14.4 Colloid Stability: Qualitative Considerations. - 14.5 Effects of Surface Speciation on Colloid Stability. - 14.6 Some Water-Technological Considerations in Coagulation, Filtration, and Flotation. - 14.7 Filtration Compared with Coagulation. - 14.8 Transport in Aggregation and Deposition. - Suggested Readings. - Appendix 14.1: A Physical Model (DLVO) for Colloid Stability. - 15. Regulation of the Chemical Composition of Natural Waters. - 15.1 Introduction. - 15.2 Weathering and the Proton Balance. - 15.3 Isothermal Evaporation. - 15.4 Buffering. - 15.5 Interactions Between Organisms and Abiotic Environment: Redfield Stoichiometry. - 15.6 The Oceans: Relative Constancy of the Composition and Chemical Equilibria. - 15.7 Constancy of Composition: Steady State. - 15.8 Hydrothermal Vents. - 15.9 The Sediment-Water Interface. - 15.10 Biological Regulation of the Composition. - 15.11 Global Cycling: The Interdependence of Biogeochemical Cycles. - 15.12 The Carbon Cycle. - 15.13 Nitrogen Cycles: