ALBERT

Note: Inhalt Vorwort Arktis und Antarktis – Naturräume in Poleposition Eine kurze Geschichte der Polarregionen Der Mensch erobert die Polargebiete Conclusio: Arktis und Antarktis – zwei grundverschiedene Polargebiete Die Polargebiete als Teil des globalen Klimasystems Warum es in den Polarregionen so kalt wird Eisschollen, Eisschilde und das Meer Conclusio: Eine Kettenreaktion mit frostigem Ende Die Auswirkungen des Klimawandels auf die Polarregionen Die Pfade der Wärme Der Rückzug des Eises Conclusio: Mehr Wärme – viel weniger Eis Die Flora und Fauna der Polarregionen Ein Leben in der Kälte Das Leben im Meer Polare Ökosysteme auf dem Rückzug Conclusio: Hochspezialisiert und extrem gefährdet Politik und Wirtschaft in den Polarregionen Die Arktis und die Antarktis als politische Arenen Ein Wirtschaftsaufschwung mit Nebenwirkungen Conclusio: Wachsendes Interesse an den Polarregionen Gesamt-Conclusio Glossar Abkürzungen Quellenverzeichnis Mitwirkende Index Partner und Danksagung Abbildungsverzeichnis Impressum

Note: Contents Preface The Arctic and Antarctic – natural realms at the poles A brief history of the polar regions The human conquest of the polar regions Conclusion: The Arctic and Antarctic – two fundamentally different polar regions The polar regions as components of the global climate system Why it is so cold in the polar regions Ice floes, ice sheets and the sea Conclusion: A chain reaction with an icy end Climate change impacts in the polar regions The pathways of heat Retreating ice Conclusion: More heat – much less ice Polar flora and fauna Living in the cold Marine life Polar ecosystems in retreat Conclusion: Highly specialized and greatly threatened Polar politics and commerce The Arctic and Antarctic as political arenas An economic boom with side effects Conclusion: Growing interest in the polar regions Overall Conclusion Glossary Abbreviations Bibliography Contributors Index Partners and Acknowledgements Table of figures Publication details

Note: Contents: Contributors. - Preface. - Acknowledgements. - PART I SETTING THE SCENE. - 1. Introduction: Why Sub-seasonal to Seasonal Prediction (S2S)? / Frédéric Vitart, Andrew W. Robertson. - 1 History of Numerical Weather and Climate Forecasting. - 2 Sub-seasonal to Seasonal Forecasting. - 3 Recent National and International Efforts on Sub-seasonal to Seasonal Prediction. - 4 Structure of This Book. - 2. Weather Forecasting: What Sets the Forecast Skill Horizon? / Zoltan Toth, Roberto Buizza. - 1 Introduction. - 2 The Basics of Numerical Weather Prediction. - 3 The Evolution of NWP Technique. - 4 Enhancement of Predictable signals. - 5 Ensemble Techniques: Brief Introduction. - 6 Expanding the forecast skill Horizon. - 7 Concludmg Remarks: Lessons for S2S Forecasting. - Acknowledgements. - 3. Weather Within Climate: Sub-seasonal Predictability of Tropical Daily Rainfall Characteristics / Vincent Moron, Andrew W. Robertson, Lei Wang. - 1 Introduction. - 2 Data and Methods. - 3 Results. - 4 Discussion and Concluding Remarks. - 4. Identifying Wave Processes Associated With Predictability Across Time Scales: An Empirical Normal Mode Approach / Gilbert Brunet, John Methven. - 1 Introduction. - 2 Partitioning Atmospheric Behavior Using Its Conservation Properties. - 3 The ENM Approach to Observed Data and Models and Its Relevance to S2S Dynamics and Predictability. - 4 Conclusion. - Acknowledgments. - PART II SOURCES OF S2S PREDICTABILITY. - 5. The Madden-Julian Oscillation / Steven J. Woolnough. - 1 Introduction. - 2 The Real-Time Multivariate MJO Index. - 3 Observed MJO Structure. - 4 The Relationship Between the MJO and Tropical and Extratropical Weather. - 5 Theories and Mechanisms for MJO Initiation, Maintenance, and Propagation. - 6 The Representation of the MJO in Weather and Climate Models. - 7 MJO Prediction. - 8 Future Priorities for MJO Research for S2S Prediction. - Acknowledgments. - 6. Extratropical Sub-seasonal to Seasonal Oscillations and Multiple Regimes: The Dynamical Systems View / Michael Ghil, Andreas Groth, Dmitri Kondrashov, Andrew W. Robertson. - 1 Introduction and Motivation. - 2 Multiple Midlatitude Regimes and Low-Frequency Oscillations. - 3 Extratropical Oscillations in the S2S Band. - 4 Low-Order, Data-Driven Modeling, Dynamical Analysis, and Prediction. - 5 Concluding Remarks. - Acknowledgments. - 7. Tropical-Extratropical Interactions and Teleconnections / Hai Lin, Jorgen Frederiksen, David Straus, Christiana Stan. - 1 Introduction. - 2 Tropical Influence on the Extratropical Atmosphere. - 3 Extratropical Influence on the Tropics. - 4 Tropical-Extratropical, Two-Way Interactions. - 5 Summary and Discussion. - Appendix. Technical Matters Relating to Section 4.2. - 8. Land Surface Processes Relevant to Sub-seasonal to Seasonal (S2S) Prediction / Paul A. Dirmeyer, Pierre Gentine, Michael B. Ek, Gianpaolo Balsamo. - 1 Introduction. - 2 Process of Land-Atmosphere Interaction. - 3 A Brief History of Land-Surface Models. - 4 Predictability and Prediction. - 5 Improving Land-Driven Prediction. - 9. Midlatitude Mesoscale Ocean-Atmosphere Interaction and Its Relevance to S2S Prediction / R. Saravanan, P. Chang. - 1 Introduction. - 2 Data and Models. - 3 Mesoscale Ocean-Atmosphere Interaction in the Atmospheric Boundary Layer. - 4 Local Tropospheric Response. - 5 Remote Tropospheric Response. - 6 Impact on Ocean Circulation. - 7 Implications for S2S Prediction. - 8 Summary and Conclusions. - Acknowledgments. - 10. The Role of Sea Ice in Sub-seasonal Predictability / Matthieu Chevallier, François Massonnet, Helge Goessling, Virginie Guémas, Thomas Jung. - 1 Introduction. - 2 Sea Ice in the Coupled Atmosphere-Ocean System. - 3 Sea Ice Distribution, Seasonality, and Variability. - 4 Sources of Sea Ice Predictability at the Sub-seasonal to Seasonal Timescale. - 5 Sea Ice Sub-seasonal to Seasonal - Predictability and Prediction Skill in Models. - 6 Impact of Sea Ice on Sub-seasonal Predictability. - 7 Concluding Remarks. - Acknowledgments. - 11. Sub-seasonal Predictability and the Stratosphere / Amy Butler, Andrew Charlton-Perez, Daniela I. V. Domeisen, Chaim Garfinkel, Edwin P. Gerber, Peter Hitchcock, Alexey Yu. Karpechko, Amanda C. Maycock, Michael Sigmond, Isla Simpson, Seok-Woo Son. - 1 Introduction. - 2 Stratosphere-Troposphere Coup ling in the Tropics. - 3 Stratosphere-Troposphere Coupling in the Extratropics. - 4 Predictability Related to Extratropical Stratosphere-Troposphere Coupling. - 5 Summary and Outlook. - PART Ill S2S MODELING AND FORECASTING. - 12. Forecast System Design, Configuration, and Complexity / Yuhei Takaya. - 1 Introduction. - 2 Requirements and Constraints of the Operational Sub-seasonal Forecast. - 3 Effect of Ensemble Size and Lagged Ensemble. - 4 Real-Time Forecast Configuration. - 5 Reforecast Configuration. - 6 Summary and Concluding Remarks. - Acknowledgments. - 13. Ensemble Generation: The TIGGE and S2S Ensembles / Roberto Buizza. - 1 Global Sub-seasonal and Seasonal Prediction Is an Initial Value Problem. - 2 Ensembles Provide More Complete and Valuable Information Than Single States. - 3 A Brief Introduction to Data Assimilation. - 4 A Brief Introduction to Model Uncertainty Simulation. - 5 An Overview of Operational, Global, Sub-seasonal, and Seasonal Ensembles, and Their Initialization and Generation Methods. - 6 Ensembles: Considerations About Their Future. - 7 Summary and Key Lessons. - 14. GCMs With Full Representation of Cloud Microphysics and Their MJO Simulations / In-Sik Kang, Min-Seop Ahn, Hiroaki Miura, Aneesh Subramanian. - 1 Introduction. - 2 Global CRM. - 3 Superparameterized GCM. - 4 GCM With Full Representation of Cloud Microphysics and Scale-Adaptive Convection. - 5 Summary and Conclusion. - Acknowledgments. - 15. Forecast Recalibration and Multimodel Combination / Stefan Siegert, David B. Stephenson. - 1 Introduction. - 2 Statistical Methods for Forecast Recalibration. - 3 Regression Methods. - 4 Forecast Combination. - 5 Concluding Remarks. - Acknowledgments. - 16. Forecast Verification for S2S Timescales / Caio A. S. Coelho, Barbara Brown, Laurie Wilson, Marion Mittermaier, Barbara Casati. - 1 Introduction. - 2 Factors Affecting the Design of Verification Studies. - 3 Observational References. - 4 Review of the Most Common Verification Measures. - 5 Types of S2S Forecasts and Current Verification Practices. - 6 Summary, Challenges, and Recommendations in S2S Verification. - PART IV S2S APPLICATIONS. - 17. Sub-seasonal to Seasonal Prediction of Weather Extremes / Frédérik Vitart, Christopher Cunningham, Michael Deflorio, Emanuel Dutra, Laura Ferranti, Brian Golding, Debra Hudson, Charles Jones, Christophe Lavaysse, Joanne Robbins, Michael K. Tippett. - 1 Introduction. - 2 Prediction of Large-Scale, Long-Lasting Extreme Events. - 3 Prediction of Mesoscale Events. - 4 Display and Verification of Sub-seasonal Forecasts of Extreme Events. - 5 Conclusions. - 18. Pilot Experiences in Using Seamless Forecasts for Early Action: The "Ready-Set-Go!" Approach in the Red Cross / Juan Bazo, Roop Singh, Mathieu Destrooper, Erin Coughlan de Perez. - 1 Introduction. - 2 Why Sub-seasonal?. - 3 Case Study: Peru El Niño. - 4 Reflections on the Use of S2S Forecasts. - 5 Conclusions. - 19. Communication and Dissemination of Forecasts and Engaging User Communities / Joanne Robbins, Christopher Cunningham, Rutger Dankers, Matthew Degennaro, Giovanni Dolif, Robyn Duell, Victor Marchezini, Brian Mills, Juan Pablo Sarmiento, Amber Silver, Rachel Trajber, Andrew Watkins. - 1 Introduction. - 2 Sector-Specific Methods and Practices in S2S Forecast Communication, Dissemination, and Engagement. - 3 Guiding principles for improved communication Practices. - 4 Summary and Recommendations for Future Research. - 20. Seamless Prediction of Monsoon Onset and Active/Break Phases / A.

Note: Contents: TITLE PAGE -- COPYRIGHT PAGE -- CONTENTS -- CONTRIBUTORS -- PREFACE -- ACKNOWLEDGMENTS -- PART I FORCINGS OF CLIMATE EXTREMES -- CHAPTER 1 THE CHANGING EL NIÑO-SOUTHERN OSCILLATION AND ASSOCIATED CLIMATE EXTREMES -- 1.1. INTRODUCTION -- 1.2. CHANGES IN ENSO PROPERTIES -- 1.3. CHANGES IN ENSO DYNAMICS -- 1.4. CHANGES IN ENSO TELECONNECTIONS AND ASSOCIATED CLIMATE EXTREMES -- 1.5. ENSO IN THE FUTURE -- 1.6. SUMMARY -- ACKNOWLEDGMENTS -- REFERENCES -- CHAPTER 2 WEATHER EXTREMES LINKED TO INTERACTION OF THE ARCTIC AND MIDLATITUDES -- 2.1. INTRODUCTION -- 2.2. ARCTIC EFFECTS ON MIDLATITUDE EXTREMES -- 2.3. MIDLATITUDE EFFECTS ON ARCTIC EXTREMES -- 2.4. DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSIONS -- ACKNOWLEDGMENTS -- REFERENCES -- CHAPTER 3 IMPACT OF AEROSOLS ON REGIONAL CHANGES IN CLIMATE EXTREMES -- 3.1. INTRODUCTION -- 3.2. DIRECT AND INDIRECT EFFECTS OF AEROSOLS ON CLOUDS AND RADIATION -- 3.3. AEROSOL IMPACT ON REGIONAL CLIMATE CHANGE -- 3.4. Mitigation scenarios for aerosol emissions -- 3.5. AEROSOL EFFECT ON TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION EXTREMES -- 3.6. FUTURE RESEARCH NEEDS -- ACKNOWLEDGMENTS -- REFERENCES -- CHAPTER 4 WEAKENED FLOW, PERSISTENT CIRCULATION, AND PROLONGED WEATHER EXTREMES IN BOREAL SUMMER -- 4.1. INTRODUCTION -- 4.2. RESONANT CIRCULATION REGIMES -- 4.3. REAL EVENTS -- 4.4. CONCLUSIONS AND DISCUSSIONS -- ACKNOWLEDGMENTS -- REFERENCES -- CHAPTER 5 LAND PROCESSES AS THE FORCING OF EXTREMES: A REVIEW -- 5.1. INTRODUCTION -- 5.2. FORCINGS OF LAND PROCESSES ON CLIMATE EXTREMES -- 5.3. SUMMARY -- ACKNOWLEDGMENTS -- REFERENCES -- PART II PROCESSES OF CLIMATE EXTREMES -- CHAPTER 6 TIMING OF ANTHROPOGENIC EMERGENCE IN CLIMATE EXTREMES -- 6.1. INTRODUCTION -- 6.2. DEFINING TIME OF EMERGENCE -- 6.3. DATA AND METHODS -- 6.4. RESULTS -- 6.5. DISCUSSION -- 6.6. CONCLUSIONS -- ACKNOWLEDGMENTS -- REFERENCES CHAPTER 7 RECENT INCREASES IN EXTREME TEMPERATURE OCCURRENCE OVER LAND -- 7.1. INTRODUCTION -- 7.2. DATA AND METHODOLOGY -- 7.3. RESULTS -- 7.4. CONCLUSIONS -- REFERENCES -- CHAPTER 8 WHY FUTURE SHIFTS IN TROPICAL PRECIPITATION WILL LIKELY BE SMALL: THE LOCATION OF THE TROPICAL RAIN BELT AND THE HEMISPHERIC CONTRAST OF ENERGY INPUT TO THE ATMOSPHERE -- 8.1. INTRODUCTION -- 8.2. THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN ITCZ POSITION AND HEMISPHERIC CONTRAST OF ATMOSPHERIC HEATING -- 8.3. RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN THE SEASONAL CYCLE OF ITCZ MIGRATION AND THE ANNUAL MEAN PRECIPITATION DISTRIBUTION -- 8.4. IMPLICATIONS FOR FUTURE ITCZ SHIFTS UNDER GLOBAL WARMING -- REFERENCES -- CHAPTER 9 WEATHER-CLIMATE INTERACTIONS AND MJO INFLUENCES -- 9.1. INTRODUCTION -- 9.2. THE INTERACTIONS BETWEEN THE MJO, BACKGROUND STATE, AND SYNOPTIC WEATHER -- 9.3. A CASE STUDY ON INTERACTIONS BETWEEN THE MADDEN-JULIAN OSCILLATION AND EL NIÑO -- 9.4. INTERACTIONS BETWEEN THE MJO AND BREAKING WAVES -- 9.5. INTERACTIONS BETWEEN THE MJO, TROPICAL CYCLONES, AND THE EXTRATROPICAL CIRCULATION -- 9.6. SUMMARY -- REFERENCES -- CHAPTER 10 RECENT CLIMATE EXTREMES ASSOCIATED WITH THE WEST PACIFIC WARMING MODE -- 10.1. INTRODUCTION -- 10.2. BACKGROUND -- 10.3. DATA AND METHODS -- 10.4. SUMMARY AND DISCUSSION -- REFERENCES -- CHAPTER 11 CONNECTIONS BETWEEN HEAT WAVES AND CIRCUMGLOBAL TELECONNECTION PATTERNS IN THE NORTHERN HEMISPHERE SUMMER -- 11.1. INTRODUCTION -- 11.2. DATA AND METHODS -- 11.3. DISTRIBUTION OF HEAT WAVES -- 11.4. PLANETARY WAVES ASSOCIATED WITH THE HEAT WAVES -- 11.5. SUMMARY AND DISCUSSION -- ACKNOWLEDGMENTS -- REFERENCES -- PART III REGIONAL CLIMATE EXTREMES -- CHAPTER 12 NORTH AMERICAN DROUGHT AND LINKS TO NORTHERN EURASIA: THE ROLE OF STATIONARY ROSSBY WAVES -- 12.1. INTRODUCTION -- 12.2. REANALYSIS DATA AND THE GEOS-5 AGCM EXPERIMENTS -- 12.3. RESULTS -- 12.4. SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS ACKNOWLEDGMENTS -- REFERENCES -- CHAPTER 13 THE CALIFORNIA DROUGHT: TRENDS AND IMPACTS -- 13.1. INTRODUCTION -- 13.2. THE PROLONGED DROUGHT OF 2012-2016 -- 13.3. ROLE OF ENSO CYCLE -- 13.4. ARCTIC INFLUENCES -- 13.5. DROUGHT IMPACTS ON CALIFORNIA -- 13.6. CONCLUDING REMARKS -- REFERENCES -- CHAPTER 14 OBSERVED TRENDS IN US TORNADO FREQUENCY -- 14.1. INTRODUCTION -- 14.2. STORM DATA TORNADO DATABASE -- 14.3. US TORNADO CLIMATOLOGY -- 14.4. CHANGES IN US TORNADO STATISTICS -- 14.5. CONCLUDING REMARKS -- ACKNOWLEDGMENTS -- REFERENCES -- CHAPTER 15 MECHANISMS EXPLAINING RECENT CHANGES IN AUSTRALIAN CLIMATE EXTREMES -- 15.1. INTRODUCTION -- 15.2. AUSTRALIAN RAINFALL EXTREMES OF 2010-2012 -- 15.3. AUSTRALIA'S TEMPERATURE EXTREMES OF 2013 -- 15.4. SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS -- ACKNOWLEDGMENTS -- REFERENCES -- CHAPTER 16 UNRAVELING EAST AFRICA'S CLIMATE PARADOX -- 16.1. INTRODUCTION -- 16.2. THE NATURE OF THE RECENT EAST AFRICAN LONG RAINS DECLINE -- 16.3. LINKS TO PACIFIC DECADAL VARIABILITY -- 16.4. PHYSICAL CONSIDERATIONS -- 16.5. CLIMATE MODEL SIMULATIONS OF EAST AFRICAN CLIMATE -- 16.6. CONCLUSIONS -- ACKNOWLEDGMENTS -- REFERENCES -- CHAPTER 17 A PHYSICAL MODEL FOR EXTREME DROUGHT OVER SOUTHWEST ASIA -- 17.1. INTRODUCTION -- 17.2. PRECIPITATION PATTERNS -- 17.3. SST RELATIONSHIPS -- 17.4. ATMOSPHERIC TELECONNECTIONS -- 17.5. SUMMARY -- APPENDIX: DATA -- REFERENCES -- PART IV PREDICTION OF CLIMATE EXTREMES -- CHAPTER 18 EXTRATROPICAL PRECURSORS OF THE EL NIÑO-SOUTHERN OSCILLATION -- 18.1. INTRODUCTION -- 18.2. OVERVIEW OF PRECURSORS AND THEIR IMPACT ON ENSO -- 18.3. DATA AND DEFINITIONS -- 18.4. EVALUATION OF PRECURSOR VARIABILITY AND COVARIABILITY -- 18.5. RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN PRECURSORS AND ENSO -- 18.6. DIAGNOSING PRECURSORS AS ENSO PREDICTORS -- 18.7. RELATIONSHIP OF EXTRATROPICAL PRECURSORS TO 2014 AND 2015 EL NIñO -- 18.8. SUMMARY AND DISCUSSION -- REFERENCES -- CHAPTER 19 NORTH ATLANTIC SEASONAL HURRICANE PREDICTION: UNDERLYING SCIENCE AND AN EVALUATION OF STATISTICAL MODELS -- 19.1. INTRODUCTION -- 19.2. STATISTICALLY BASED SEASONAL HURRICANE OUTLOOK MODELS -- 19.3. CONCLUSIONS -- REFERENCES -- CHAPTER 20 PREDICTING SUBSEASONAL PRECIPITATION VARIATIONS BASED ON THE MADDEN-JULIAN OSCILLATION -- 20.1. INTRODUCTION -- 20.2. THE MJO INFLUENCE ON THE VARIABILITY OF PRECIPITATION -- 20.3. FORECASTING THE MJO -- 20.4. THE MJO AND PREDICTABILITY OF PRECIPITATION -- 20.5. CONCLUSIONS -- ACKNOWLEDGMENTS -- REFERENCES -- CHAPTER 21 PREDICTION OF SHORT-TERM CLIMATE EXTREMES WITH A MULTIMODEL ENSEMBLE -- 21.1. INTRODUCTION -- 21.2. PREDICTION SKILL -- 21.3. PREDICTABILITY -- 21.4. SUMMARY AND DISCUSSION -- REFERENCES -- CHAPTER 22 TOWARD PREDICTING US TORNADOES IN THE LATE 21ST CENTURY -- 22.1. PROJECTING CHANGES IN US TORNADO ACTIVITY USING ENVIRONMENTAL PROXIES -- 22.2. SHORT-TERM TORNADO PREDICTION USING HIGH RESOLUTION MODELS AND APPLICATIONS TO DYNAMICAL DOWNSCALING -- 22.3. CONCLUDING REMARKS -- ACKNOWLEDGMENTS -- REFERENCES -- INDEX

Note: Inhaltsverzeichnis Teil 1. Übersicht 1. Der Gegenstand der Hydrologie 2. Wassermengen, Wasserkreislauf und Wasserbilanz der Erde 2.1. Die Evolution der Hydrosphäre und des Wasserkreislaufes 2.2. Die Wassermengen der Erde 2.3. Der Wasserkreislauf der Erde 2.4. Die Wasserbilanz der Erde 3. Energie- und Stoffhaushalt 3.1. Besonderheiten des Naturstoffes Wasser 3.2. Wasserkreislauf und Wasserbeschaffenheit 3.3. Energiehaushalt 3.4. Stoffhaushalt 3.4.1. Allgemeines 3.4.2. Sauerstoff-Kohlenstoff-Haushalt 3.4.3. Stickstoffkreislauf 3.4.4. Phosphorkreislauf 3.4.5. Schwefelkreislauf 3.4.6. Stoffaustrag aus den Einzugsgebieten 3.4.7. Auswirkungen der Verschmutzung und Sanierungsmöglichkeiten bei den Haupttypen der Gewässer 3.4.8. Wasserschadstoffe 4. Die wichtigsten hydrologischen Prozesse und Systeme 4.1. Prozesse, Systeme und Modelle 4.2. Das Wasser im System Boden - Pflanze - Atmosphäre 4.3. Das Wasser im Einzugsgebiet 4.4. Das Maßstabsproblem 5. Zur Geschichte der Hydrologie 6. Bedeutung der Hydrologie für die Volkswirtschaft 6.1. Wasserressourcen und Wasserbewirtschaftung 6.2. Hydrologie - Basiswissenschaft der Wasserressourcen-Bewirtschaftung Literaturverzeichnis zum Teil 1 Teil 2. Erfassung und Ausweitung hydrologischer Daten 7. Hydrometrie 7.1. Aufgaben und Inhalt der Hydrometrie 7.2. Wasserstand 7.2.1. Kriterien für die Standortwahl der Meßstellen 7.2.2. Nichtregistrierende Pegel 7.2.3. Mechanischer Schwimmerschreibpegel 7.2.4. Druckluftpegel 7.2.5. Fernpegel 7.3. Durchfluß 7.3.1. Der Zweck von Durchflußmessungen 7.3.2. Messung des Druchflusses mit Hilfe des Flügels 7.3.3. Auswertung der Flügelmessung 7.3.4. Verdünnungsmessungen 7.3.5. Meßwehre 7.3.6. Venturikanal 7.3.7. Ultraschallmessung 7.3.8. Wasserstand-Durchfluß-Beziehung 7.4. Grundwasserbeobachtung 7.4.1. Überblick 7.4.2. Messung des Grundwasserstandes 7.4.3. Quellschüttungsmessungen 7.4.4. Durchfluß- und Beschaflenheitsmessungen 8. Zur Auswertung hydrologischer Daten 8.1. Überblick 8.2. Ganglinie, Summen-und SummendifTerenzlinie 8.3. Primärstatistische Auswertung 8.3.1. Häufigkeiten 8.3.2. Summenhäuflgkeiten 8.3.3. Statistische Maßzahlen 8.3.4. Gewässerkundliche Hauptzahlen 8.4. Wahrscheinlichkeitsanalysen 8.4.1. Begriffe und grundsätzliche Zusammenhänge 8.4.2. Die Normalverteilung 8.4.3. Aufbau und Nutzung von Wahrscheinlichkeitsnetzen 8.4.4. Die Pearsonverteilung Typ III 8.4.5. Das Wiederkehrintervall 8.5. Korrelationsanalyse 8.5.1. Korrelationskoeffizient 8.5.2. Reihenkorrelationskoeflizient Literaturverzeichnis zum Teil 2 Teil 3: Die Elemente des Wasserhaushalts 9. Der Niederschlag 9.1. Haupttypen und Arten des Niederschlags 9.2. Niederschlagsmessung 9.2.1. Punktuelle Niederschlagsmessung 9.2.2. Messung des Gebietsniederschlags 9.3. Auswertung von Punkt- und Gebietsniederschlagsmessungen 9.3.1. Punktniederschläge 9.3.2. Gebietsniederschläge für Einzugsgebiete 9.4. Stark-und Bemessungsniederschläge 9.5. Zeitliche und räumliche Verteilung des Niederschlags 9.6. Stochastische Analyse und Simulation des Niederschlags 9.6.1. Aufgabe 9.6.2. Modelle mit geringer zeitlicher Auflösung (Monats- und Jahreswerte) 9.6.3. Modelle hoher zeitlicher Auflösung 9.7. Wasserabgabe aus der Schneedecke 9.7.1. Grundbegriffe und Grundlagen 9.7.2. Ermittlung der Wasserabgabe aus der Schneedecke 10. Verdunstung 10.1. Begriffe, Prozesse und Aufgabenstellung 10.2. Messung der Verdunstung 10.3. Berechnung der potentiellen Evapotranspiration 10.3.1. Berechnung langjähriger Mittelwerte von ETP 10.3.2. Berechnung aktueller Einzelwerte von ETP 10.4. Berechnung der realen Verdunstung 10.4.1. Berechnung langjähriger Mittelwerte von ETR 10.4.2. Berechnung aktueller Werte der realen Verdunstung 10.4.3. Berechnung der Gebietsverdunstung aus'Klimabeobachtungen 10.5. Verdunstung freier Wasserflächen 10.5.1. Allgemeines 10.5.2. Bestimmung der Gewässerverdunstung nach Daten von Floßverdunstungskesseln 10.5.3. Berechnung der Gewässerverdunstung nach der Wärmehaushaltsmethode 10.5.4. Aerodynamische Methode 10.5.5. Ermittlung der Gewässerverdunstung aus Klimabeobachtungen 11. Der Abfluß 11.1. Allgemeine Grundlagen 11.2. Die Abflußkomponenten 11.2.1. Allgemeines 11.2.2. Durchflußganglinien-Seperation nach dem Einzellinearspeicher-Prinzip 11.2.3. Die Bilanzierung der separierten Durchflußganglinie 11.3. Stochastische Analyse von Durchflußbeobachtungsreihen 11.4. Langfristige Durchflußschwankungen 11.5. Mathematische Modelle zur stochastischen Simulation des Durchflußprozesses 11.5.1. Grundlagen 11.5.2. Grundtypen stochastischer Modelle 11.5.3. Zur Identifikation des Modelltyps 11.6. Inneijährliche Durchflußschwankungen 11.6.1. Darstellung der inneijährlichen Durchflußschwankungen 11.6.2. Modellierung des Jahrgangs 11.7. Abfluß-und Durchflußänderungen infolge anthropogener Einflüsse 12. Die Speicherung in den Einzugsgebieten 12.1. Übersicht 12.2. Wasserspeicherung in der Schneedecke 12.3. Wasserspeicherung in oberirdischen Gewässern 12.4. Wasserspeicherung in der ungesättigten Bodenzone 12.5. Wasserspeicherung in der Grundwasserzone 12.6. Größenvergleich natürlicher und künstlicher Speicherräume Literaturverzeichnis zum Teil 3 Teil 4: Die oberirdischen Gewässer 13. Die fließenden oberirdischen Gewässer und ihre Einzugsgebiete 13.1. Übersicht, Begriffe 13.2. Strukturen und Eigenschaften von Flußgebieten 13.2.1. Übersiqht 13.2.2. Flußnötze 13.2.3. Flußlängen 13.2.4. Einzugsgebietsflächen 13.2.5. Gefällewerte 13.2.6. Die hypsometrische (Flächen-Höhen)Kurve 13.2.7. Weitere geomorphologische Kennwerte 13.3. Maßverhältnisse der Flußbetten 13.3.1. Flußbettbildung 13.3.2. Der Grundriß der Flüsse 13.3.3. Der Längsschnitt der Flüsse 13.3.4. Der Querschnitt der Flüsse und hydraulische Flußbettgeometrie 13.4. Der Durchfluß der Flüsse 13.4.1. Berechnung des Durchflusses in den Fließgewässern 13.4.2. Durchflußkomponenten und Durchflußbereiche 13.4.3. Flußtypen 13.5. Stoffabtrag und Stoffiransport 13.5.1. Übersicht 13.5.2. Bodenerosion durch Wasser 13.5.3. Linienhafter Abtrag durch fließendes Wasser und Feststoffiransport 13.5.4. Gelöste Stoffe 13.6. Wärmehaushalt der Fließgewässer 13.6.1. Berechnung der Wassertemperatur in Fließgewässern 13.6.2. Eisbildung in fließenden Gewässern 13.7. Nutzung und Schutz der Fließgewässer 13.7.1. Selbstreinigung der Fließgewässer 13.7.2. Klassifizierung der Wasserbeschaffenheit 14. Die stehenden oberirdischen Gewässer 14.1. Übersicht 14.2. Die Gestalt der Seen und ihre Veränderung 14.2.1. Die wichtigsten morphometrischen Kennwerte 14.2.2. Die Verlandung der Seen 14.3. Hydrologische Seentypen und hydrologische Zusammensetzung des Seewassers 14.4. Wärmehaushalt der Seen 14.4.1. Wärmebilanz und Wärmegehalt der Seen 14.4.2. Thermik der Seen 14.5. Wasserbewegung und Austausch in Seen 14.5.1. Charakter und biologische Bedeutung der Wasserbewegung 14.5.2. Wellenbewegungen 14.5.3. Strömungen in Seen 14.5.4. Numerische Modellierung der Zirkulation in Seen 14.6. Nutzung und Schutz der Standgewässer 14.6.1. Klassifizierung der stehenden Oberflächengewässer 14.6.2. Wassergüte-Bewirtschaftungsstrategien für stehende Oberflächengewässer 14.7. Seerückhalt Literaturverzeichnis zum Teil 4 Teil 5: Das unterirdische Wasser 15. Das Wasser in der Aerationszone 15.1. Die Stellung der Aerationszone im hydrologischen Kreislauf 15.2. Korngrößenverteilung im Boden 15.3. Porosität und Dichte 15.4. Der Wassergehalt des Bodens 15.5. Ginteilung des Bodenwassers nach den wirksamen Kräften 15.6. Charakteristische Werte der Wasserbindung 15.7. Potentiale des Bodenwassers 15.8. Die Saugspannung-Sättigungs-Beziehung 16. Das Grundwasser 16.1. Grundwasser und sein vielfältiges Vorkommen 16.2. Grundwasserleiter 16.3. Wechselbeziehungen zwischen Aerations- und Grundwasserzone 16.4. Unterirdisches Einzugsgebiet, Gefälle und Fließrichtung des Grundwassers 16.5. Grundwasserstandsschwankungen und ihre Ursachen 16.6. Probleme und Aufgaben der Grundwasserbewirtschaftung 17. Die Dynamik des unterirdischen Wassers 17.1. Überblick 17.2. Die dynamische Grundgleic

Note: СОДЕРЖАНИЕ основоположник Сибирской школы по изучению четвертичного периода (С.А. Архипов) / Сакс В.В. Астрономическая геохронология антропогена. Проблема сопоставления геохронологических шкал / Краснов И.И. Хроностратиграфическая шкала ледникового плейстоцена севера Зарадной Сибири / Архипов С.А Стратиграфия и термолюминесцентный возраст раннего плейстоцена севера Западной Сибири / Архипов С.А., Куликов О.А Палинология и ледниковая теория / Волкова В.С. Покровное оледенение шельфа Восточной Сибири в позднем плейстоцене / Гросвальд М.Г. Проблемы межрегиональной корреляции четвертичных отложений в свете новых данных по стратиграфии плейстоцена европейской части СССР / Шик С.М. Проблемы стратиграфии четвертичных отложений Прибалтийского пегиона и их межрегиональной корреляции / Гайгалас А.И. Флювиальный процесс на равнинах умеренного пояса в плейстоцене / Волков И.А. Особенности стратиграфического расчленения плейстоцена внутриконтинентальных горных областей / Ендрихинскии А.С. Почвообразование и лессонакопление в плейстоцене юого-восточной части Западной Сибири / Зыкина В.С., Ким Ю.В. Териофауна последнего межледниковья / Алексеева Л.И. Разрез с раннеплейстоценовой вят-кинской фауной и флорой на юге Западной Сибири / Архипов С.А., Круковер А.А., Шелкоnляс В.Н. Мелкие млекопитающие тобольского горизонта / Круковер А.А. Стратиграфия неоген-четвертичных отложений Чулымо-Енисейской впадины по палеомагнитным и биостратиграфическим данным / Колыхалов Ю. М., Нечаева Е.К., Величко Н.Н. Экскурс геомагнитного поля Каргаполово (Лашамр) ~ 40 тыс. лет назад по отложениям в районе средней Оби (разрез Чагин Яр) / Куликова Л. С. Межрегиональная литологическая корреляция морен / Сухорукова С.С., Судакова Н.Г., Немцова Г.М., Астапова С.Д, Фаустова М.Н. Поэднеплейстоценовая обстановка осадконакопления в центре Западной Сибири / Астахов В.И. Краткая литологическая характеристика кайнозойских отложений археологического памятника Диринг-Юрях ( tредняя Лена) / Камалетдинов В.А., Зигерт Х. Палеоклиматические реконструкции на территории СССР в главные термические максимумы голоцена (по палинологическим данным) / Климанов В.А. Изменения рас,ительного покрова и климата Колымской низменности в поэднечетвертичное время / Рыбакова Н.О. К истории растительности севера Сибирской платформы в плейстоцене и голоцене / Кулагина Н.В. Геоморфологические корреляции поэднеплейстоценовых и голоценовых террас центральной части Онежского залива / Матошко А.В., Ломакин И.Э. , Омельчук А.В., Паланский М. Г., Сорокин А.Л., Ванюхин Б.И. Микропалеонтологическая характеристика средне-верхнеплейстоценовых отложений п-ова Челюскин / Левчук Л.К., Седов В.Н., Шнейдер Г.В. Опыт комплексного биостратиграфического анализа (фораминиферового и спорово-пыльцевого) донных отложений Баренцева моря / Иванова Л.В., Лебедева Р.М. Стратиграфия позднеnлейстоценово-голоuеновых осадков Берингийского шельфа по комплексам диатомей / Полякова Е.И. , In kyrillischer Schrift

Note: Contents: Preface. - Acknowledgements. - Chapter 1 Climate. - 1.1 The components of climate. - 1.2 Climate modelling and climate prediction. - 1.3 Climate changes and human perception. - 1.4 Feedback mechanisms in climate. - 1.4.1 The ice-albedo feedback mechanism. - 1.4.2 The water vapour “greenhouse”. - 1.4.3 Cloud feedbacks. - 1.4.4 Combining feedback effects. - 1.5 Perturbations on the climate system. - 1.5.1 External causes of climatic change. - 1.5.2 Internal causes of climatic change. - 1.6 Range of questions for climate modelling. - Recommended reading. - Chapter 2 A history of and introduction to climate models. - 2.1 Introducing climate modelling. - 2.2 Types of climate models. - 2.2.1 Energy balance climate models. - 2.2.2 One-dimensional radiative-convective climate models. - 2.2.3 Two-dimensional climate models. - 2.2.4 General circulation climate models. - 2.3 History of climate modelling. - 2.4 Sensitivity of climate models. - 2.5 Parameterization of climatic processes. - 2.6 Simulation of the full, interacting climate system: one goal of modelling. - Chapter 3 Energy balance models. - 3.1 Balancing the planetary radiation budget. - 3.2 The structure of energy balance models. - 3.3 Parameterizing the climate system for energy balance models. - 3.4 A BASIC energy balance climate model. - 3.5 Experiments with energy balance models. - 3.5.1 Explicit modelling of the cryosphere. - 3.6 Box models — another form of energy balance model. - 3.6.1 A simple box model of the ocean-atmosphere. - 3.6.2 A coupled atmosphere, land and ocean energy balance box model. - 3.7 Energy balance models: deceptively simple models. - Recommended reading. - Chapter 4 Radiative-convective models. - 4.1 The concept of a radiative-convective climate model. - 4.2 The structure of global radiative-convective models. - 4.3 Radiation computation. - 4.3.1 Shortwave radiation. - 4.3.2 Longwave radiation. - 4.3.3 Eleat balance at the ground. - 4.4 Convective adjustment. - 4.5 Sensitivity experiments with radiative-convective models. - 4.6 Development of radiative-convective models. - 4.6.1 Cloud amount and height predicted from ‘convection’. - 4.6.2 A water vapour transport model. - 4.7 Radiation: the driver of climate. - Recommended reading. - Chapter 5 Two-dimensional models. - 5.1 Why two-dimensional models?. - 5.2 Two-dimensional statistical dynamical climate models. - 5.3 Convection, cloud cover and precipitation in two-dimensional statistical dynamical models. - 5.4 Radiation and surface characterization in two-dimensional statistical dynamical models. - 5.4.1 Radiation. - 5.4.2 Surface characterization. - 5.5 Intercomparison of a two-and a three-dimensional model. - 5.6 Other types of two-dimensional models. - 5.6.1 An upgraded energy balance model. - 5.6.2 A severely truncated spectral general circulation climate model. - 5.7 Why are some climate modellers Flatlanders?. - Recommended reading. - Chapter 6 General circulation climate models. - 6.1 The structure of general circulation climate models. - 6.2 Dynamics in general circulation climate models. - 6.2.1 Cartesian (or rectangular) grid general circulation climate models. - 6.2.2 Spectral general circulation climate models. - 6.3 Physics in general circulation climate models. - 6.3.1 Radiative transfer. - 6.3.2 Boundary layer. - 6.3.3 Surface parameterization. - 6.3.4 Convection. - 6.3.5 Large scale rainfall. - 6.4 Including ‘other’ elements in general circulation climate models. - 6.4.1 Cloud prediction. - 6.4.2 Modelling the cryosphere. - 6.5 Land surface parameterization in general circulation climate models. - 6.6 Coupled ocean-atmosphere general circulation climate models. - 6.7 Future climate projects and their importance to general circulation climate models. - 6.8 Epilogue. - Recommended reading. - Appendices. - A. Glossary. - B. Climate models: examples of simple microcomputer software. - I. Daisyworld: a simple biospheric feedback climate model. - II. Modelling the climatic impact of anthropogenerated albedo change. - III. An energy balance climate model (EBM). - IV. Carbon dioxide feedback using a simple ocean model. - General Bibliography. - Index.

Note: Contents Preface Acknowledgements 1 Introduction Terms and abbreviations 2 The biogeographlcal setting Geology, physiography, and surface materials The structural framework Pleistocene geology Bioclimates Arctic and its three subzones Subarctic zone Boreal zone Eastern temperate zone Grassland zone Pacific and Cordilleran zones 3 Autecology and pollen representation Introduction Transcontinental, primarily boreal taxa Eastern, primarily temperate taxa Pacific-Cordilleran taxa Arctic taxa Modern regional pollen spectra The Western Interior The eastern plains transect The Pacific-Cordilleran transect General comments on the modern pollen spectra 4 Full-glacial refugla The southern refugia Pacific-Cordilleran refugia Interior plains and eastern region The Beringian refugia 5 Eastern Canada-fossil record and reconstruction Introduction The late glacial - 12,700 to 10,000 yr BP Southern Quebec and New Brunswick Maritime Canada The Great Lakes Basin Vegetation reconstruction The Holocene - 10,000 yr BP to the present Southern Quebec and New Brunswick The Maritimes, Labrador, and Northern Quebec The Great Lakes Vegetation reconstruction Boreal region 6 The Western Interior Sites near the forest-grassland transition Sites within the modern boreal forest Sites near the modern forest-tundra boundary 7 Pacific-Cordilleran region Southern Pacific zone Southern Cordilleran zone Northern Pacific zone Northern Cordilleran zone 8 Vegetation reconstruction and palaeoenvironments Introduction Origins and history Eastern temperate forests Boreal forest Grasslands and parklands Pacific-Cordilleran complex Tundra (arctic) Palaeoenvironmental controls Climate The Milankovitch model Full-glacial conditions Late-glacial and Holocene Fire Pathogens Paludification Problems for the future Climate disequilibrium Spatial resolution Pollen source area Concluding comments Appendix References Index

Note: Contents Page Chapter 1 Introduction About This Book Geostatistics Measurement Systems A False Feeling of Security Selected Readings Chapter 2 Elementary Statistics Probability Statistics Joint Variation of Two Variables Induced Correlations Testing Normal Populations Central Limits Theorem Significance The f Test Degrees of Freedom Test of Correlation The F Test Analysis of Variance Two-Way Analysis of Variance The x2 Test The Lognormal Distribution and Other Transformations Other Transformations Nonparametric Methods Mann-Whitney Test Kruskal-Wallis Test Nonparametric Correlation Kolmogorov-Smirnov Tests Selected Readings Chapter 3 Matrix Algebra The Matrix Elementary Matrix Operations Matrix Multiplication Convolution Matrix Inversion and Simultaneous Equations Transposition Determinants Eigenvalues and Eigenvectors Selected Readings Chapter 4 Analysis of Sequences of Data Geologic Measurements in Sequences Interpolation Procedures Markov Chains Embedded Markov Chains Series of Events Runs Tests Least-Squares Methods and Regression Analysis Curvilinear Regression Orthogonal Polynomial Regression Reduced Major Axis Splines Segmenting Sequences Zonation Seriation Autocorrelation Cross-Correlation Cross-Correlation and Geologic Correlation Cross-Association Semivariograms Modelling the Semivariogram Spectral Analysis Harmonic Analysis The Continuous Spectrum Filters Smoothing and Time-Trend Analysis Derivatives Substitutability Analysis Selected Readings Chapter 5 Map Analysis Geologic Maps - Conventional and Otherwise Systematic Patterns of Search Distribution of Points Uniform Patterns Random Patterns Clustered Patterns Nearest-Neighbor Analysis Distribution of Lines Analysis of Directional Data Testing Hypotheses about Circular Directional Data Test for Randomness Testing for a Specified Trend Test of Goodness-of-Fit 326 Testing the Equality of Two Sets of Directional Vectors Spherical Distributions Matrix Representation of Vectors Displaying Spherical Data Testing Hypotheses about Spherical Directional Data A Test of Randomness Shape Fourier Measurements of Shape Computer Contouring Contouring by Triangulation Contouring by Gridding Moving Averages Moving Weighted Averages of Block Means Kriging Punctual Kriging Universal Kriging Calculating the Drift An Example Trend Surfaces Statistical Tests of Trends Two Trend-Surface Models Pitfalls Four-Dimensional Trend Surfaces Double Fourier Series Comparing Maps Overall Similarity Similarity Maps Comparing Map Coefficients Selected Readings Contents Chapter 6 Analysis of Multivariate Data Multiple Regression Discriminant Functions Tests of Significance Multivariate Extensions of Elementary Statistics Equality of Two Vector Means Equality of Variance-Covariance Matrices Cluster Analysis Introduction to Eigenvector Methods, Including Factor Analysis Eckart-Young Theorem Principal Components Analysis R-Mode Factor Analysis Factor Rotation Maximum Likelihood Factors O-Mode Factor Analysis Principal Coordinates Analysis Correspondence Analysis Application to Continuous Variables Simultaneous R- and O-Mode Factor Analysis Multigroup Discriminant Functions Canonical Correlation Selected Readings Appendix: How to Run the STAT Program Index

Note: Contents: Preface. - Introduction. - I. THE EQUATIONS OF HYDROTHERMODYNAMICS OF THE BOUNDARY LAYERS; ANALYSIS OF THESE EQUATIONS. - § 1. Derivation of the Equations for the Averaged Quantities. - § 2. The Relation Between Fluctuations of the Meteorological Elements and the Averaged Characteristics. Currents of Various Substances Due to Turbulence. - § 3. Some Problems of Turbulence Dynamics. The Reynolds Number. The Richardson Number § 4. Classification of Motions. Estimation of the Thickness of the Planetary Boundary Layer. The Surface Sublayer. - II. THE BOUNDARY LAYER OF THE ATMOSPHERE IN STATIONARY CONDITIONS. - § 1. Some Information on the Distribution of the Meteorological Elements in the Boundary Layer. - § 2. External Factors Determining the Structure of the Boundary Layer of the Atmosphere. - § 3. A Boundary Layer Model with Height-Independent Turbulence Coefficient (One-Parameter Model). - § 4. The Structure of the Surface Sublayer. - § 5. Calculation of the Basic Characteristics of the Surface Sublayer. - § 6. Two-Parameter Model of the Boundary Layer of the Atmosphere. - § 7. Some Information on the Processes at the Active Surface and in the Upper Layers of the Ground Influencing the Boundary Layer. - III. DAILY VARIATION OF THE METEOROLOGICAL ELEMENTS. - § 1. The Simplest Model for the Daily Temperature Variation. Features of the Daily Temperature Variation Over Water. - § 2. Daily Temperature Variations for Turbulent Mixing Intensity Growing with Height. - § 3. An Account of the Time Variations of the Eddy Exchange in the Theory of the Daily Temperature Variations. - § 4. The Influence of the Radiative Heat Influx on the Daily Temperature Variation. - § 5. Nocturnal Lowering of the Temperature. Forecasting of Radiation Frosts. - § 6. Daily Humidity Variations. Radiation Fogs. - § 7. Daily Variations of Wind Velocity. - IV. VARIATIONS OF METEOROLOGICAL FIELDS DUE TO THE INHOMOGENEITY OF THE ACTIVE SURFACE. - § 1. Qualitative Analysis of the Transformation Process. - § 2. Variations of the Temperature and Humidity Fields Over an Inhomogeneous Underlying Surface. - § 3. Formation of Advection Fogs. - § 4. Variations of the Micrometeorological Regime in Irrigation, Irrigation Standards for Various Meteorological Conditions. - § 5. Influence of Small Reservoirs on the Structure of the Lower Layers of the Atmosphere. - § 6. Nonstationary Processes Over An Inhomogeneous Underlying Surface. - § 7. Local Winds. - V. PHENOMENA AND PROCESSES OF A SPECIAL NATURE RELATED TO THE METEOROLOGICAL REGIME OF THE BOUNDARY LAYER. - §1. Wind Drift of Ice Floes. - § 2. Applications of the Laws of the Boundary Layer of the Atmosphere to Problems of Construction and Power Engineering. - § 3. Freezing of the Upper Layer of the Ground. - § 4. Pollution of the Lower Layers of the Atmosphere by Smoke From Factory Chimneys. - § 5. Some Features of the Electrostatic Field in the Surface Layer of the Atmosphere. , Transl. from Russian