Skip to main content
Log in

Knowledge acquisition using a neural network for a weather forecasting knowledge-based system

  • Articles
  • Published:
Neural Computing & Applications Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

Neural network technology is experiencing rapid growth and is receiving considerable attention from almost every field of science and engineering. The attraction is due to the successful application of neural network techniques to several real world problems. Neural networks have not yet found widespread application in weather forecasting. The reason for this has been the difficulty in obtaining suitable weather forecasting data sets. In this paper we describe our experience in applying neural network techniques for acquiring the necessary knowledge to predict the weather conditions of Melbourne City and its suburbs in Australia during a 24 hour period beginning at 9 am local time. The accuracy of forecasts produced by a given forecasting procedure typically varies with factors such as geographical location, season, categories of weather, quality of input data, lead time and validity time. Two types of weather data sets assembled from the archives of the Australian Commonwealth Bureau of Meteorology are used for training the neural network. The results of the experiments are competitive and are discussed.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  1. Gorman RP, Sejnowski TJ. Analysis of hidden units in a layered network trained to classify sonar signals.Neural Networks 1988; 1: 75–90

    Google Scholar 

  2. Waibel A, Hanazawa T, Hinton G, Shikano K, Lang KJ. Phoneme recognition using time-delay neural networks.IEEE Transactions on ASSP 1988; 37: 328–339

    Google Scholar 

  3. Barnard E, Casasent D. A comparison between criterion functions for linear classifiers, with an application to neural nets.IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man and Cybernetics 1988

  4. Burr DJ. Experiments on neural net recognition of spoken and written text.IEEE Transactions on ASSP 1988; 36: 1162–1168

    Google Scholar 

  5. Rumelhart DF, Hinton GE, Williams RJ. Learning internal representations by error propagation.Parallel Distributed Processing. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press 1986, 318–362

    Google Scholar 

  6. Lippman RP. An introduction to computing with Neural Nets.IEEE ASSP Magazine 1987; 4–22

  7. Tapp RG, Woodcock F, Mills GA. The application of model output statistics to precipitation prediction in Australia.Monthly Weather Review 1986; 114: 50–61

    Google Scholar 

  8. Fraedrich K, Leslie LM. Combining predictive schemes in short-term forecasting.Monthly Weather Review 1987; 115: 1640–1644

    Google Scholar 

  9. Brier GW. Verification of forecasts expressed in terms of probability.Monthly Weather Review 1950; 79: 1–3

    Google Scholar 

  10. Michie D. Current developments in expert systems. In:Applications of Expert Systems, JR Quinlan (ed): Turing Institute Press/Addison-Wesley, 1987, 137–156

  11. Hartvigsen G, Johansen D. Co-operation in a distributed artificial intelligence environment: the StormCast application.Engineering Applications of Artificial Intelligence 1990; 3: 229

    Google Scholar 

  12. Lindley CA, Chung CYC, Kumar VR. An evaluation of automatic and manual knowledge acquisition techniques for weather forecast operations.Report, CSIRO Division of Information Technology, Sydney, Australia, December 1991

    Google Scholar 

  13. Powell MJD. Restart procedures for the conjugate gradient method.Mathematical Programming 1977; 12: 241–254

    Google Scholar 

  14. Quinlan JR. Simplifying decision trees.International Journal on Man-Machine Studies 1987; 27: 221–234

    Google Scholar 

  15. Clarke P, Niblett T. The CN2 induction algorithm.Machine Learning 1989; 3(4): 261–283

    Google Scholar 

  16. Kumar VR, Chung, CYC, Lindley CA. Learning to perform weather forecasting operations. In:Proceedings Fourth Scandinavian Conference on Artificial Intelligence, Sweden, May 1993

  17. Mason I. A model for assessment of weather forecasts.Australian Meteorological Magazine 1982; 30: 291–302

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Chung, C.Y.C., Kumar, V.R. Knowledge acquisition using a neural network for a weather forecasting knowledge-based system. Neural Comput & Applic 1, 215–223 (1993). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01414951

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01414951

Keywords

Navigation