Skip to main content
Log in

Recovering Risky Technologies Using the Almost Ideal Demand System: An Application to U.S. Banking

  • Published:
Journal of Financial Services Research Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

We present and estimate a model that shifts the focus of modeling production from the traditional assumptions of profit maximization and cost minimization to a more general assumption of managerial utility maximization that can incorporate risk incentives into the analysis of production and recover value-maximizing technologies. We implement the model using the almost ideal demand system. In addition, we use the model to measure efficiency in a more general way that can incorporate a concern for the market value of firms’ assets and equity and identify value-maximizing firms. This shift in focus bridges the gap between the risk incentives literature in banking that ignores the microeconomics of production and the production literature that ignores the relationship between production decisions and risk. Our estimation of the model for a sample of U.S. commercial banks illustrates that results obtained from our generalized model can differ significantly from those obtained from the standard profit-maximization model, which ignores risk.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Berger, Allen N. and Loretta J. Mester. “Inside the Black Box: What Explains Differences in the Efficiencies of Financial Institutions?” Journal of Banking and Finance 21 (1997), 895-947.

    Google Scholar 

  • Calomiris, Charles W. and Charles M. Kahn. “The Role of Demandable Debt in Structuring Optimal Banking Arrangements.” American Economic Review 81 (1991), 497-513.

    Google Scholar 

  • Deaton, Angus and John Muellbauer. “An Almost Ideal Demand System.” American Economic Review 70 (1980), 312-326.

    Google Scholar 

  • Demsetz, Rebecca S., Marc R. Saidenberg, and Philip E. Strahan. “Banks with Something to Lose: The Disciplinary Role of Franchise Value.” Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Economic Policy Review 2 (1996), 1-14.

    Google Scholar 

  • DeYoung, Robert, Joseph P. Hughes, and Choon-Geol Moon. “Efficient Risk-Taking and Regulatory Covenant Enforcement in a Deregulated Banking Industry.” Journal of Economics and Business (forthcoming).

  • Flannery, Mark J. “Debt Maturity and the Deadweight Cost of Leverage: Optimally Financing Banking Firms.” American Economic Review 84 (1994), 320-331.

    Google Scholar 

  • Gorton, Gary and Richard Rosen. “Corporate Control, Portfolio Choice, and the Decline of Banking.” Journal of Finance 50 (1995), 1377-1420.

    Google Scholar 

  • Grossman, Richard S. “Deposit Insurance, Regulation, and Moral Hazard in the Thrift Industry: Evidence from the 1930's.” American Economic Review 82 (1992), 800-821.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hughes, Joseph P. Hospital Cost Functions: The Case Where Revenues Affect Production. Working Paper No. 1990-01, Rutgers University, Department of Economics (November 1989).

  • Hughes, Joseph P. The Theory and Estimation of Revenue-Driven Costs: The Case of Higher Education. Unpublished manuscript, Rutgers University, Department of Economics, February 1990.

  • Hughes, Joseph P. “Incorporating Risk into the Analysis of Production.” Atlantic Economic Journal 27 (1999), 1-23.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hughes, Joseph P., William Lang, Loretta J. Mester, and Choon-Geol Moon. Recovering Technologies That Account for Generalized Managerial Preferences: An Application to Non-Risk-Neutral Banks. Whart on Financial Institutions Center, Working Paper 95-16, and Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia Working Paper No. 95-8/R, 1995.

  • Hughes, Joseph P., William Lang, Loretta J. Mester, and Choon-Geol Moon. “Efficient Banking Under Interstate Branching.” Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking 28 (1996), 1045-1071.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hughes, Joseph P., William Lang, Loretta Mester, and Choon-Geol Moon. “The Dollars and Sense of Bank Consolidation.” Journal of Banking and Finance 23 (1999), 291-324.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hughes, Joseph P., William Lang, Choon-Geol Moon, and Michael Pagano. Measuring the Efficiency of Capital Allocation in Commercial Banking. Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, Working Paper 98-2, 1997, revised 1999.

  • Hughes, Joseph P. and Loretta J. Mester. “A Quality and Risk-Adjusted Cost Function for Banks: Evidence on the ‘Too-Big-to-Fail’ Doctrine.” Journal of Productivity Analysis 4 (1993), 292-315.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hughes, Joseph P., Loretta J. Mester, and Choon-Geol Moon. Are Scale Economies in Banking Elusive or Illusive? Evidence Obtained by Incorporating Capital Structure and Risk-Taking into Models of Bank Production. Working Paper 00-04, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, May 2000.

  • Hughes, Joseph P. and Choon-Geol Moon. Measuring Bank Efficiency When Managers Trade Return for Reduced Risk. Working Paper, Rutgers University, Department of Economics, 1995.

  • Humphrey, D.B. and L.B. Pulley. “Banks' Responses to Deregulation: Profits, Technology, and Efficiency.” Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking 29 (1997), 73-93.

    Google Scholar 

  • Keeley, Michael C. “Deposit Insurance, Risk, and Market Power in Banking.” American Economic Review 80 (1990), 1183-1200.

    Google Scholar 

  • Marcus, Alan J. “Deregulation and Bank Financial Policy.” Journal of Banking and Finance 8 (1984), 557-565.

    Google Scholar 

  • Merton, Robert C. “An Analytic Derivation of the Cost of Deposit Insurance Loan Guarantees.” Journal of Banking and Finance 1 (1977), 3-11.

    Google Scholar 

  • Modigliani, F. and M.H. Miller. “The Cost of Capital, Corporation Finance, and the Theory of Investment.” American Economic Review 48 (1958), 261-297.

    Google Scholar 

  • Saunders, Anthony, E. Strock, and N.G. Travlos. “Ownership Structure, Deregulation, and Bank-Risk-Taking.” Journal of Finance 45 (1990), 643-654.

    Google Scholar 

  • Tufano, Peter. “Who Manages Risk? An Empirical Examination of Risk Management Practices in the Gold Mining Industry.” Journal of Finance 50 (1996), 1097-1137.

    Google Scholar 

  • van Wissen, Leo and Thomas F. Golob. “A Dynamic Model of Car Fuel-Type Choice and Mobility.” Transportation Research 26B (1992), 77-96.

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Hughes, J.P., Lang, W., Mester, L.J. et al. Recovering Risky Technologies Using the Almost Ideal Demand System: An Application to U.S. Banking. Journal of Financial Services Research 18, 5–27 (2000). https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1026554922476

Download citation

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1026554922476

Navigation