Skip to main content
Log in

Anomalous seismicity prior to rock bursts: Implications for earthquake prediction

  • Published:
pure and applied geophysics Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

Anomalous seismicity changes (increase followed by a decrease) were recorded prior to three moderate rock bursts in the Star mine, Burke, Idaho. In each case, based upon the anomalous seismicity behavior, miners were evacuated or were prohibited from entering active mine stopes that were located in the immediate vicinity of the seismicity buildup prior to the bursts. Analyses of pre- and post-seismic activity are interpreted in terms of, and shown to be consistent with, the inclusion theory of failure. Implications of these observational results for the problem of rock bursts and earthquake prediction are discussed.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  1. Aggarwal, Y. P., Sykes, L. R., Armbruster, J. andSbar, M. L. (1973),Premonitory changes in seismic velocities and prediction of earthquakes, Nature241, 5385.

    Google Scholar 

  2. Brady, B. T. (1974),Seismic precursors before rock failures in mines, Nature252, 5484.

    Google Scholar 

  3. Brady, B. T. (1966),Theory of earthquakes, IV. General implications for earthquake prediction, Pure appl. Geophys. (in press).

  4. Brady, B. T. (1977),An investigation of the scale invariant properties of failure, Int. J. Rock Mech. Mining Sci. (in press).

  5. Nersesov I. L., Lukk, A. A., Ponomarev, V. S., Rautain, T. G., Rulev, B. G., Semenov, A. N. andSimbrieva, I. G.,Possibilities of Earthquake Prediction Exemplified by the Garm Area of the Tadzhik, S.S.R., in Earthquake Precursors (ed. M. A. Sadovskii, I. L. Nersesov and L. G. Latynina) (U.S.S.R. Academy of Sciences, Moscow 1975), pp. 79–99.

    Google Scholar 

  6. McWilliams, J. R. andErickson, E. G.,Methods and Costs of Shaft Sinking in the Coeur d' Alene District, Shoshone County, Idaho, (BuMines IC 7961, 1960).

  7. Langstaff, J.,Hecla's seismic detection system, Proceedings of the 17th Rock Mechanics Symposium, Snowbird, Utah, 1976.

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Brady, B.T. Anomalous seismicity prior to rock bursts: Implications for earthquake prediction. PAGEOPH 115, 357–374 (1977). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01637114

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01637114

Key words

Navigation