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Trend analysis of rainfall pattern over the Central India during 1901–2010

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Abstract

In the present study, trends of rainfall of the Central India were evaluated in monthly, seasonal, and annual time scales using the Revised Mann-Kendall (RMK) test, Sen’s slope estimator, and innovative trend method (ITM). For this purpose, the monthly rainfall data for 20 stations in Madhya Pradesh (MP) and Chhattisgarh (CG) states in Central India during 1901–2010 was used. The Sen’s slope estimator was utilized for calculating the slope of rainfall trend line. Based on the obtained results of RMK test, there is no significant trend in the stations for the January and October months. The results also showed that for MP, two out of 15 considered stations indicate significant annual trend, while the CG has four out of five stations with significant trend. The results of applying ITM test indicated that most of the stations have decreasing trends in annual (16 stations), summer (16 stations), and monsoon (11 stations) seasons, while the winter (12 stations) and post monsoon (11 stations) seasons generally show increasing trend. Unlike the RMK, the ITM shows significant increasing trend in rainfall of November and December months. The finding of current study can be used for irrigation and water resource management purpose over the Central India.

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Acknowledgements

The authors indicate their gratitude and appreciation for the provider of the climatological data: India Meteorological Department (IMD). The authors also thank the reviewers and the Editor-in-Chief for their constructive criticisms that have improved the final version of this paper.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Department of Water Engineering, Faculty of Agriculture, University of Kurdistan, Sanandaj, Iran

    Hadi Sanikhani

  2. School of Natural Sciences and Engineering, Ilia State University, Tbilisi, Georgia

    Ozgur Kisi

  3. Department of Water Engineering, Faculty of Agriculture, Shahrekord University, Shahrekord, Iran

    Rasoul Mirabbasi

  4. Department of Water Resources Development & Management, Indian Institute of Technology, Roorkee, Uttarakhand, India

    Sarita Gajbhiye Meshram

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  1. Hadi Sanikhani
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  2. Ozgur Kisi
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  3. Rasoul Mirabbasi
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  4. Sarita Gajbhiye Meshram
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Correspondence to Hadi Sanikhani.

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Sanikhani, H., Kisi, O., Mirabbasi, R. et al. Trend analysis of rainfall pattern over the Central India during 1901–2010. Arab J Geosci 11, 437 (2018). https://doi.org/10.1007/s12517-018-3800-3

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