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Trends of intense cyclone activity in the Arctic from reanalyses data and regional climate models (Arctic-CORDEX)

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, , Citation M Akperov et al 2019 IOP Conf. Ser.: Earth Environ. Sci. 231 012003 DOI 10.1088/1755-1315/231/1/012003

1755-1315/231/1/012003

Abstract

The ability of state-of-the-art regional climate models (RCMs) to simulate the trends of intense cyclone activity in the Arctic is assessed based on an ensemble of 13 simulations from 11 models from the Arctic-CORDEX initiative. Some models employ large-scale spectral nudging techniques. Cyclone characteristics simulated by the ensemble in winter and summer are compared with the results from four reanalyses (ERA-Interim, NCEP-CFSR, NASA-MERRA2 and JMA-JRA55) in winter and summer for 1981-2010 period.

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10.1088/1755-1315/231/1/012003