The value of harmful algal bloom predictions to the nearshore commercial shellfish fishery in the Gulf of Maine
The value of harmful algal bloom predictions to the nearshore commercial shellfish fishery in the Gulf of Maine
Date
2008-05-01
Authors
Jin, Di
Hoagland, Porter
Hoagland, Porter
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Keywords
Harmful algal bloom (HAB)
Red tide
Fisheries
Value of information
Forecast
Marine scientific research
Red tide
Fisheries
Value of information
Forecast
Marine scientific research
Abstract
In this study, we develop a framework for measuring the value of harmful algal bloom
(HAB) predictions. The framework captures the effects of both private and public
responses to HABs. Using data from the New England nearshore commercial shellfish
fishery and impact estimates for a large-scale HAB event in 2005, we illustrate how the
potential value of HAB forecasts may be estimated. The results of our study suggest that
the long-term value of a HAB prediction and tracking system for the Gulf of Maine is
sensitive to the frequency of HAB events, the accuracy of predictions, the choice of HAB
impact measures, and the effectiveness of public and private responses.
Description
Author Posting. © Elsevier B.V., 2008. This is the author's version of the work. It is posted here by permission of Elsevier B.V. for personal use, not for redistribution. The definitive version was published in Harmful Algae 7 (2008): 772-781, doi:10.1016/j.hal.2008.03.002.