The role of Doppler radars in forecasting the location and timing of the initiation of thunderstorms both over Kennedy Space Center and central Florida is analyzed. The data used in this analysis was collected with two Doppler radars with high temporal and spatial resolution throughout the troposphere. Previous studies of thunderstorm initiation in the vicinity of Kennedy Space Center, including synoptic and site-specific observations are outlined. As a result of the analysis of nine cases of thunderstorm initiation, it is concluded that an expert system could be developed that would take input data from the existing field mill network, instrumented tower network, lightning detection system, from sounding, and from Doppler-radar-based algorithms. Such a system would be able to determine a probability of thunderstorm development in the next 10, 20, and 30 minutes for the area of interest.
METEOROLOGY AND CLIMATOLOGY
AIAA PAPER 91-0261