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  • 1
    ISSN: 1573-157X
    Keywords: kinematic source model ; strong ground motion ; directivity effect ; source geometry effect
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Geosciences , Physics
    Notes: Abstract A mixed statistical-deterministic model of earthquake rupture is developed for evaluating the strong ground motion in the near source range (receiver distance comparable to the fault length). The source parametrization is based on the k-square model and the propagation is computed by asymptotic Green's functions. The method is applied to the case of 1976, Friuli earthquake (M = 6.5) in northern Italy which occurred on a low-dip thrusting fault. Acceleration records at 29 stations are computed for 100 simulations of rupture histories. The mean value map of peak ground accelerations shows clearly a maximum to the south due to the inner geometry and directivity of the source. The variation of the estimated PGA versus the epicentral distance is strongly dependent on azimuth and is not decreasing monotonically. The comparison of these curves with those predicted by empirical acceleration–distance relationships shows discrepancies in the near source distance range. This study shows the importance of considering the complexity of the source rupture process for strong motion estimate in the near source range.
    Type of Medium: Electronic Resource
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  • 2
    ISSN: 1573-157X
    Keywords: complex source model ; site effect ; strong motion
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Geosciences , Physics
    Notes: Abstract A hybrid statistical-deterministic approach has been applied to estimate strong ground motion parameters (PGA, spectral ordinates) in South-Eastern Sicily for a M = 7 earthquake. A number of 100 different rupture processes have been simulated along a composite fault system representing two segments of the Ibleo-Maltese fault scarp. Map at regional scale of mean PGA in the 0.5–20 Hz frequency band shows highest values (0.4–0.5 g) nearby and North of Catania, due to a dominant directivity effect. The COV parameter, which expresses the variability of PGA values as a function of source complexity, is higher in the region nearby and South of the town of Augusta, where, depending on the rupture history, rather large PGA values can be observed (〉0.4 g). PGA attenuation curves suggest that an azimuthal variation could be related to the source extent and directivity. The response and pseudo acceleration spectra are computed for different sites in the town of Catania including an approximate 1D site response. Ground motion amplification effects at high frequency (5–20 Hz) are produced by thin shallow layer of soft clay, loose pyroclastites and fill. We observe small amplification effects, in the frequency ranges 2–3 Hz and 5–10 Hz, in sites where recent alluvia reach a thickness of some tens of meters. Otherwise, sites located on outcrops of massive lavas show moderate attenuation.
    Type of Medium: Electronic Resource
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  • 3
    ISSN: 1573-157X
    Keywords: directivity ; isochrone ; rupture kinematics ; strong motion data
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Geosciences , Physics
    Notes: Abstract A long sequence of earthquakes causing few casualties and considerable damage in a wide zone struck Central Italy starting on September 26, 1997. Theearthquakes are characterized by normal faulting mechanism, with a NE-SW(anti-Apenninic direction) tension axis. In this paper we analyze the accelerometric recordings collected by the accelerograph stations belonging to the National Accelerograph Network. About 10 stations were triggered by the mainshocks of the sequence. In particular, a small size foreshock and the two mainshocks that occurred on September,26 (00:33(GMT) MW = 5.7 and 09:40 MW = 6.0) have been recorded by two digital 3-C accelerometers located at near source distances (within 30 km from the faults). These records are relevant to investigate the detail of therupture kinematics, due to the close epicentral distance and azimuthallocation relative to the fault orientation and geometry. Using a trial and error approach we modeled the source mechanism through the fit of the arrival times, the apparent source time duration, the main polarization features and the entire waveforms of the recorded signals, in order to get some insight on the rupture evolution, the location of the fracture origin point and the fault geometry. Based on this fault kinematic model, inferences on fault slip distribution are obtained by modeling the S acceleration waveform, comparing the ray theory synthetics with 1–5 Hz band filtered ground velocity records.The final model shows that the seismic ruptures occurred along two adjacent,sub-parallel, low angle dipping normal faults. Ruptures bothnucleated from the fault bottom and propagated up-dip, showing differentrupture velocity and length. The presence of a transfer zone (barrier)can be suggested by the mainshocks rupture evolution. This transfer zonehas probably controlled the amplitude increase of local stressreleased by the first rupture at its NW edge which triggered about 9 hourslater the second rupture. The inferred model was used to compute the predictedground acceleration in the near source range, using a hybridstatistical-deterministic approach.A similar trial and error method has been also applied to the October 14, 199715:23 earthquake (MW = 5.6). The inferred kinematic model indicates a rupture nucleating from the faultbottom and propagating up-dip, toward the SE direction. Thus the three mainshocks ruptured distinct fault segments, adjacent and slightly offsetfrom one to another.
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  • 4
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    In:  Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, Roma, Publicazioni dell'Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica, vol. 96, no. 2, pp. 377-391, pp. 2128, (ISBN: 0-12-018847-3)
    Publication Date: 2006
    Keywords: Seismology ; Earthquake hazard ; Gutenberg-Richter magnitude frequency b-value ; Magnitude ; Seismicity ; PSHA ; DSHA ; BSSA
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  • 5
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    In:  Bull. Seism. Soc. Am., Münster, 3, vol. 95, no. 3, pp. 981-994, pp. L11308, (ISBN 0-471-26610-8)
    Publication Date: 2005
    Keywords: Seismology ; Non-linear effects ; Inversion ; Strong motions ; Earthquake ; Source parameters ; Nearfield ; High frequency ... ; BSSA
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  • 6
    Publication Date: 2019
    Description: 〈span〉〈div〉ABSTRACT〈/div〉When an earthquake occurs, a key parameter in the emergency’s management is the knowledge of the most stressed areas by the ground motion. The focal mechanism is an essential source parameter for producing realistic shake maps. Although the approaches for estimating earthquake location and magnitude are now consolidated, automatic solutions for the focal mechanism are not always provided by the agencies or available at later times after inversion of waveforms for the determination of moment tensor components. We introduce a new approach for the automatic determination of the earthquake focal mechanism, using the spatial distribution of observed absolute initial 〈span〉P〈/span〉‐wave peak amplitudes, corrected for the geometrical attenuation effect, in an evolutionary, Bayesian framework. We applied the proposed methodology to the main earthquakes of the 2016–2017 central Italy seismic sequence finding that our rapid automatic estimates of the focal mechanism are in good agreement with those of the reference solutions.〈/span〉
    Print ISSN: 0895-0695
    Electronic ISSN: 1938-2057
    Topics: Geosciences
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  • 7
    Publication Date: 2015-10-11
    Description: Earthquake Early Warning Systems (EEWS) are potentially effective tools for risk mitigation in active seismic regions. The present study explores the possibility of predicting the macroseismic intensity within EEW timeframes using the squared velocity integral (IV2) measured on the early P-wave signals, a proxy for the P-wave radiated energy of earthquakes. This study shows that IV2 correlates better than the peak displacement measured on P-waves (PD) with both the peak ground velocity and the Housner Intensity, with the latter being recognized by engineers as a reliable proxy for damage assessment. Therefore, using the strong motion recordings of the ITalian ACcelerometric Archive (ITACA 2.0), a novel relationship between the parameter IV2 and the macroseismic intensity (IM) has been derived. The validity of this relationship has been assessed using the strong motion recordings of the INGV Strong Motion Data and ‘ Osservatorio Sismico delle Strutture ’ databases, as well as, in the case of the M W 6 May 29 th 2012 Emilia Earthquake (Italy), comparing the predicted intensities with the ones observed after a macroseismic survey. Our results indicate that P-wave IV2 can become a key parameter for the design of on-site EEWS, capable of proving real-time predictions of the IM at target sites.
    Print ISSN: 0148-0227
    Topics: Geosciences , Physics
    Published by Wiley on behalf of American Geophysical Union (AGU).
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  • 8
    Publication Date: 2011-02-01
    Description: The 6 April 2009 Mw 6.3 L'Aquila earthquake, central Italy, has been recorded by the Irpinia Seismic Network (ISNet) about 250 km southeast of the epicenter. Up to 19 three-component accelerometer stations could be used to infer the main source parameters with different seismological methods. We obtained an approximate location of the event from arrival times and array-based back-azimuth measurements and estimated the local magnitude (6.1) from an attenuation relation for southern Italy. Assuming an omega-square spectral model, we inverted S-wave displacement spectra for moment magnitude (6.3), corner frequency (0.33 Hz), stress drop (2.5 MPa), and apparent stress (1.6 MPa). Waveform modeling using a point source and an extended-source model provided consistent moment tensors with a centroid depth around 6 km and a prevalently normal fault plane solution with a dominant directivity toward the southeast. The relatively high corner frequency and an overestimated moment magnitude of 6.4 from moment tensor inversions are attributed to the rupture directivity effect. To image the rupture geometry, we implemented a beamforming technique that back-projects the recorded direct P-wave amplitudes into the earthquake source region. A northwest-southeast striking rupture of 17 km length is imaged, propagating with an average velocity up to 3 km/s. This value is significantly higher than our estimate of 2.2 km/s from S-wave spectra. Our case study demonstrates that the use of array techniques and a dense accelerometer network can provide quick and robust estimates of source parameters of moderate-sized earthquakes located outside the network.
    Print ISSN: 0037-1106
    Electronic ISSN: 1943-3573
    Topics: Geosciences , Physics
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  • 9
    Publication Date: 2011-06-01
    Description: In this paper, we adopt three ground-motion simulation techniques (the stochastic finite-fault simulation code from Motazedian and Atkinson, 2005; the hybrid deterministic-stochastic approach with approximated Green's functions from Pacor et al., 2005; and the broadband hybrid integral-composite technique with full-wavefield Green's functions from Gallovi[c] and Broke[s]ova, 2007), with the aim of investigating the different performances in near-fault strong-motion modeling and prediction from past and future events. The test case is the 1980 M 6.9 Irpinia earthquake, the strongest event recorded in Italy in the last 30 years. First, we simulate the recorded strong-motion data and validate the model parameters by computing spectral acceleration and peak amplitude residual distributions. The validated model is then used to investigate the influence of site effects and to compute synthetic ground motions around the fault. Afterward, we simulate the expected ground motions from scenario events on the Irpinia fault, varying the hypocenters, the rupture velocities, and the slip distributions. We compare the median ground motions and related standard deviations from all scenario events with empirical ground-motion prediction equations (GMPEs). The synthetic median values are included in the median {+/-} 1 standard deviation of the considered GMPEs. Synthetic peak ground accelerations show median values smaller and with a faster decay with distance than the empirical ones. The synthetics total standard deviation is of the same order or smaller than the empirical one, and it shows considerable differences from one simulation technique to another. We decomposed the total standard deviation into its between-scenario and within-scenario components. The larger contribution to the total sigma comes from the latter, while the former is found to be smaller and in good agreement with empirical interevent variability.
    Print ISSN: 0037-1106
    Electronic ISSN: 1943-3573
    Topics: Geosciences , Physics
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  • 10
    Publication Date: 2015-10-02
    Description: Ground-motion prediction equations (GMPEs) play a crucial role for estimating the seismic hazard in any region using either a deterministic or a probabilistic approach. Indeed, they represent a reliable and fast tool to predict strong ground motion, given source and propagation parameters. In this article, we estimated GMPEs for the South Korea peninsula. GMPEs were computed for peak ground displacement, peak ground velocity, peak ground acceleration, and spectral accelerations (damping at 5%) at 13 different periods from 0.055 to 5 s. We analyzed data from 222 earthquakes recorded at 132 three-component stations of the South Korea Seismic Network, from 2007 to 2012, with local magnitude ranging between 2.0 and 4.9 and epicentral distances varying from 1.4 to ~600 km. A nonlinear mixed effects technique is used to infer the GMPE coefficients. This technique includes both fixed and random effects and accounts for both inter- and intraevent dependencies in the data. Station-specific corrective coefficients were estimated by a statistical approach and were included in the final ground-motion prediction model. Finally, predictions for peak ground acceleration and spectral acceleration are compared with observations recorded for an M L  5.1 earthquake that occurred in 2014, the data for which were not included in the modeling. Online Material: Figures showing final ground-motion prediction equation models versus observations, and intra- and interevent residuals.
    Print ISSN: 0037-1106
    Electronic ISSN: 1943-3573
    Topics: Geosciences , Physics
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