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  • 2005-2009  (3)
  • 1
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    A mechanistic model of mid-latitude decadal climate variability (2008)
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    Publikationsdatum: 2022-05-25
    Beschreibung: Author Posting. © Elsevier B.V., 2007. This is the author's version of the work. It is posted here by permission of Elsevier B.V. for personal use, not for redistribution. The definitive version was published in Physica D: Nonlinear Phenomena 237 (2008): 584-599, doi:10.1016/j.physd.2007.09.025.
    Beschreibung: A simple heuristic model of coupled decadal ocean–atmosphere modes in middle latitudes is developed. Previous studies have treated atmospheric intrinsic variability as a linear stochastic process modified by a deterministic coupling to the ocean. The present paper takes an alternative view: based on observational, as well as process modeling results, it represents this variability in terms of irregular transitions between two anomalously persistent, high-latitude and low-latitude jet-stream states. Atmospheric behavior is thus governed by an equation analogous to that describing the trajectory of a particle in a double-well potential, subject to stochastic forcing. Oceanic adjustment to a positional shift in the atmospheric jet involves persistent circulation anomalies maintained by the action of baroclinic eddies; this process is parameterized in the model as a delayed oceanic response. The associated sea-surface temperature anomalies provide heat fluxes that affect atmospheric circulation by modifying the shape of the double-well potential. If the latter coupling is strong enough, the model’s spectrum exhibits a peak at a periodicity related to the ocean’s eddy-driven adjustment time. A nearly analytical approximation of the coupled model is used to study the sensitivity of this behavior to key model parameters.
    Beschreibung: This research was supported by National Science Foundation grant OCE-02-221066 (all coauthors) and the Department of Energy grant DE-FG-03-01ER63260 (MG and SK).
    Schlagwort(e): Coupled climate variability ; Stochastic models ; Double-well potential
    Repository-Name: Woods Hole Open Access Server
    Materialart: Preprint
    Format: application/pdf
    Standort Signatur Erwartet Verfügbarkeit
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  • 2
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    A highly nonlinear coupled mode of decadal variability in a mid-latitude ocean–atmosphere model (2007)
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    Publikationsdatum: 2022-05-25
    Beschreibung: Author Posting. © Elsevier B.V., 2007. This is the author's version of the work. It is posted here by permission of Elsevier B.V. for personal use, not for redistribution. The definitive version was published in Dynamics of Atmospheres and Oceans 43 (2007): 123-150, doi:10.1016/j.dynatmoce.2006.08.001.
    Beschreibung: This study examines mid-latitude climate variability in a model that couples turbulent oceanic and atmospheric flows through an active oceanic mixed layer. Intrinsic ocean dynamics of the inertial recirculation regions combines with nonlinear atmospheric sensitivity to sea-surface temperature (SST) anomalies to play a dominant role in the variability of the coupled system. Intrinsic low-frequency variability arises in the model atmosphere; when run in a stand-alone mode, it is characterized by irregular transitions between preferred high-latitude and less frequent low-latitude zonal-flow states. When the atmosphere is coupled to the ocean, the low-latitude state occurrences exhibit a statistically significant signal in a broad 5–15-year band. A similar signal is found in the time series of the model ocean’s energy in this coupled simulation. Accompanying uncoupled ocean-only and atmosphere-only integrations are characterized by a decrease in the decadal-band variability, relative to the coupled integration; their spectra are indistinguishable from a red spectrum. The time scale of the coupled interdecadal oscillation is set by the nonlinear adjustment of the ocean’s inertial recirculations to the high-latitude and low-latitude atmospheric forcing regimes. This adjustment involves, in turn, SST changes resulting in long-term ocean–atmosphere heat-flux anomalies that induce the atmospheric regime transitions.
    Beschreibung: This research was supported by NSF grant OCE-02-221066 (all co-authors) and DOE grant DE-FG-03-01ER63260 (MG and SK).
    Schlagwort(e): Inertial recirculations ; Mid-latitude jet stream ; Bimodality
    Repository-Name: Woods Hole Open Access Server
    Materialart: Preprint
    Format: application/pdf
    Standort Signatur Erwartet Verfügbarkeit
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  • 3
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    North Atlantic climate variability in coupled models and data (2008)
    Copernicus Publications on behalf of the European Geosciences Union
    Details
    Publikationsdatum: 2022-05-26
    Beschreibung: © 2008 The Authors. This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution License. The definitive version was published in Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics 15 (2008): 13-24, doi:10.5194/npg-15-13-2008
    Beschreibung: We show that the observed zonally averaged jet in the Northern Hemisphere atmosphere exhibits two spatial patterns with broadband variability in the decadal and inter-decadal range; these patterns are consistent with an important role of local, mid-latitude ocean–atmosphere coupling. A key aspect of this behaviour is the fundamentally nonlinear bi-stability of the atmospheric jet's latitudinal position, which enables relatively small sea-surface temperature anomalies associated with ocean processes to affect the large-scale atmospheric winds. The wind anomalies induce, in turn, complex three-dimensional anomalies in the ocean's main thermocline; in particular, they may be responsible for recently reported cooling of the upper ocean. Both observed modes of variability, decadal and inter-decadal, have been found in our intermediate climate models. One mode resembles North Atlantic tri-polar sea-surface temperature (SST) patterns described elsewhere. The other mode, with mono-polar SST pattern, is novel; its key aspects include interaction of oceanic turbulence with the large-scale oceanic flow. To the extent these anomalies exist, the interpretation of observed climate variability in terms of natural and human-induced changes will be affected. Coupled mid-latitude ocean-atmosphere modes do, however, suggest some degree of predictability is possible.
    Beschreibung: This research was supported by NSF grant OCE-02-221066, DOE grants DE-FG-03-01ER63260 and DE-FG02-02ER63413, as well as NASA grant NNG-06-AG66G-1 (MG & SK). PB has also been supported by the Newton Trust research grant, and SK - by the University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee Research Growth Initiative program 2006-2007.
    Repository-Name: Woods Hole Open Access Server
    Materialart: Article
    Format: application/pdf
    Standort Signatur Erwartet Verfügbarkeit
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