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    Guide for Regional Integrated Assessments: Handbook of Methods and Procedures, Version 5.1 (2015)
    In:  CASI
    Details
    Publication Date: 2019-07-12
    Description: The purpose of this handbook is to describe recommended methods for a trans-disciplinary, systems-based approach for regional-scale (local to national scale) integrated assessment of agricultural systems under future climate, bio-physical and socio-economic conditions. An earlier version of this Handbook was developed and used by several AgMIP Regional Research Teams (RRTs) in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) and South Asia (SA)(AgMIP handbook version 4.2, www.agmip.org/regional-integrated-assessments-handbook/). In contrast to the earlier version, which was written specifically to guide a consistent set of integrated assessments across SSA and SA, this version is intended to be more generic such that the methods can be applied to any region globally. These assessments are the regional manifestation of research activities described by AgMIP in its online protocols document (available at www.agmip.org). AgMIP Protocols were created to guide climate, crop modeling, economics, and information technology components of its projects.
    Keywords: Meteorology and Climatology; Life Sciences (General)
    Type: GSFC-E-DAA-TN22882 , Guide for Regional Integrated Assessments: Handbook of Methods and Procedures, Version 5.1; 333-386
    Format: application/pdf
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    Assessing Agricultural Risks of Climate Change in the 21st Century in a Global Gridded Crop Model Intercomparison (2014)
    In:  CASI
    Details
    Publication Date: 2019-07-13
    Description: Here we present the results from an intercomparison of multiple global gridded crop models (GGCMs) within the framework of the Agricultural Model Intercomparison and Improvement Project and the Inter-Sectoral Impacts Model Intercomparison Project. Results indicate strong negative effects of climate change, especially at higher levels of warming and at low latitudes; models that include explicit nitrogen stress project more severe impacts. Across seven GGCMs, five global climate models, and four representative concentration pathways, model agreement on direction of yield changes is found in many major agricultural regions at both low and high latitudes; however, reducing uncertainty in sign of response in mid-latitude regions remains a challenge. Uncertainties related to the representation of carbon dioxide, nitrogen, and high temperature effects demonstrated here show that further research is urgently needed to better understand effects of climate change on agricultural production and to devise targeted adaptation strategies.
    Keywords: Meteorology and Climatology; Life Sciences (General)
    Type: GSFC-E-DAA-TN21329 , Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America; 111; 9; 3268-3273
    Format: application/pdf
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