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  • 1
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    In:  Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, Roma, Publicazioni dell'Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica, vol. 96, no. 2, pp. 377-391, pp. 2128, (ISBN: 0-12-018847-3)
    Publication Date: 2006
    Keywords: Seismology ; Earthquake hazard ; Gutenberg-Richter magnitude frequency b-value ; Magnitude ; Seismicity ; PSHA ; DSHA ; BSSA
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  • 2
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    In:  Bull. Seism. Soc. Am., Münster, 3, vol. 95, no. 3, pp. 981-994, pp. L11308, (ISBN 0-471-26610-8)
    Publication Date: 2005
    Keywords: Seismology ; Non-linear effects ; Inversion ; Strong motions ; Earthquake ; Source parameters ; Nearfield ; High frequency ... ; BSSA
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  • 3
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    In:  Bull. Seism. Soc. Am., Tokyo, Terra Scientific Publishing Company, vol. 94, no. 6, pp. 2213-2221, pp. L07608, (ISBN: 0534351875, 2nd edition)
    Publication Date: 2004
    Keywords: Seismology ; Modelling ; Earthquake engineering, engineering seismology ; Volcanology ; Gutenberg-Richter magnitude frequency b-value ; Magnitude ; Italy ; BSSA
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  • 4
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    In:  Bull. Seism. Soc. Am., Paris, Pergamon, vol. 79, no. B6, pp. 1779-1809, pp. 1246
    Publication Date: 1989
    Keywords: Filter- ; Polarization ; DC source ; Shear waves ; Source parameters ; Fault plane solution, focal mechanism ; BSSA
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  • 5
    Publication Date: 2017-04-04
    Description: It has been shown that the initial portion of P and S wave signals can provide information about the final earthquake magnitude in a wide magnitude range. This observation opens the perspective for the real-time determination of source parameters. In this paper we describe a probabilistic evolutionary approach for the real-time magnitude estimation which can have a potential use in earthquake early warning. The technique is based on empirical prediction laws correlating the low-frequency peak ground displacement measured in a few seconds after the P and/or S phase arrival and the final event magnitude. The evidence for such a correlation has been found through the analysis of 256 shallow crustal events in the magnitude range Mjma 4–7.1 located over the entire Japanese archipelago. The peak displacement measured in a 2-s window from the first P phase arrival correlates with magnitude in the range M = [4–6.5]. While a possible saturation effect above M ’ 6.5 is observed, it is less evident in an enlarged window of 4 s. The scaling of S peaks with magnitude is instead also observed at smaller time lapses (i.e., 1 s) after the first S arrival. The different scaling of P and S peaks with magnitude when measured in a 2-s window is explained in terms of different imaged rupture surface by the early portion of the body wave signals. We developed a technique to estimate the probability density function (PDF) of magnitude, at each time step after the event origin. The predicted magnitude value corresponds to the maximum of PDF, while its uncertainty is given by the 95% confidence bound. The method has been applied to the 2007 (Mjma = 6.9) Noto Hanto and 1995 (Mjma = 7.3) Kobe earthquakes. The results of this study can be summarized as follows: (1) The probabilistic algorithm founded on the predictive model of peak displacement versus final magnitude is able to provide a fast and robust estimation of the final magnitude. (2) The information available after a few seconds from the first detection of the P phase at the network can be used to predict the peak ground motion at a given regional target with uncertainties which are comparable to those derived from the attenuation law. (3) The near-source S phase data can be used jointly with P data for regional early warning purposes, thus increasing the accuracy and reliability of magnitude estimation.
    Description: Published
    Description: B12302
    Description: 4.1. Metodologie sismologiche per l'ingegneria sismica
    Description: JCR Journal
    Description: reserved
    Keywords: Bayesian approach ; P and S wave ; 04. Solid Earth::04.06. Seismology::04.06.01. Earthquake faults: properties and evolution
    Repository Name: Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV)
    Type: article
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  • 6
    Publication Date: 2017-04-04
    Description: An effective early-warning system must provide probabilistic estimates of the location and size of a potentially destructive earthquake within a few seconds after the event is first detected. In this work we present an evolutionary, real-time location technique based on an equal differential time (EDT) formulation and a probabilistic approach for describing the hypocenter estimation. The algorithm, at each timestep, relies on the information from triggered arrivals and not-yet-triggered stations. With just one recorded arrival, the hypocentral location is constrained by the Voronoi cell around the first triggering station constructed using the travel times to the not-yet-triggered stations.With two or more triggered arrivals, the location is constrained by the intersection of the volume defined by the Voronoi cells for the remaining, not-yet-triggered stations and the EDT surfaces between all pairs of triggered arrivals. As time passes and more triggers become available, the evolutionary location converges to a standard EDT location. Synthetic tests performed using the geometry of the Irpinia seismic network, southern Italy (ISNet), and the simulation of an evolutionary location for the 2000 Mw 6:6 Western Tottori, Japan, earthquake indicate that when a dense seismic network is available, reliable location estimates suitable for early-warning applications can be achieved after 1–3 sec from the first event detection. A further simulation with an Mw 6:7 southern Greece earthquake shows that at a regional scale, the real-time location can provide useful constraints on the earthquake position several seconds before a non-real-time algorithm. Finally, we show that the robustness of the algorithm in the presence of outliers can be effectively used to associate phase arrivals coming from events occurring close in time, and we present a preliminary algorithm for event detection.
    Description: Published
    Description: 1482–1494
    Description: 4.1. Metodologie sismologiche per l'ingegneria sismica
    Description: JCR Journal
    Description: reserved
    Keywords: Early warning ; earthquake location ; 04. Solid Earth::04.06. Seismology::04.06.01. Earthquake faults: properties and evolution
    Repository Name: Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV)
    Type: article
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  • 7
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    American Geophysical Union
    Publication Date: 2017-04-04
    Description: From inspection of a large set of Japanese events, we investigate the scaling of the early radiated energy, inferred from the squared velocity integral (IV2) with the final magnitude of the event. We found that the energy can only discriminate whether the event has a magnitude larger or smaller than 5.8, and in the latter case it can allow for realtime magnitude estimation. However, by normalizing IV2 for the rupture area, the initial slip scales with the magnitude between 4 〈 M 〈 7 following the expected scaling laws. We show that the ratio between the squared peak displacement and IV2 is a proxy for the slip following the same scaling but it can be directly derived from the data, without any assumption on the rupture area. The scaling relationship between initial slip and magnitude can be used for early warning applications, when integrated in a probabilistic, evolutionary approach. Citation: Festa, G., A. Zollo, and M. Lancieri (2008), Earthquake magnitude estimation from early radiated energy, Geophys. Res. Lett., 35, L22307, doi:10.1029/ 2008GL035576.
    Description: Published
    Description: L22307
    Description: 4.1. Metodologie sismologiche per l'ingegneria sismica
    Description: JCR Journal
    Description: reserved
    Keywords: Early Warning ; Rupture initiation ; Seimic Source ; Magnitude estimation ; 04. Solid Earth::04.06. Seismology::04.06.01. Earthquake faults: properties and evolution
    Repository Name: Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV)
    Type: article
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  • 8
    Publication Date: 2019-11-04
    Description: JCR Journal
    Description: open
    Keywords: Irpinia earthquake ; 04. Solid Earth::04.06. Seismology::04.06.01. Earthquake faults: properties and evolution
    Repository Name: Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV)
    Type: article
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