Publication Date:
2000-09-08
Description:
Analysis of a monthly 18-year cholera time series from Bangladesh shows that the temporal variability of cholera exhibits an interannual component at the dominant frequency of El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO). Results from nonlinear time series analysis support a role for both ENSO and previous disease levels in the dynamics of cholera. Cholera patterns are linked to the previously described changes in the atmospheric circulation of south Asia and, consistent with these changes, to regional temperature anomalies.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Notes: 〈/span〉Pascual, M -- Rodo, X -- Ellner, S P -- Colwell, R -- Bouma, M J -- New York, N.Y. -- Science. 2000 Sep 8;289(5485):1766-9.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Author address: 〈/span〉Center of Marine Biotechnology, University of Maryland Biotechnology Institute, 701 East Pratt Street, Suite 236, Columbus Center, Baltimore, MD 21202, USA. mercedes@pampero.umbi.umd.edu〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Record origin:〈/span〉 〈a href="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/10976073" target="_blank"〉PubMed〈/a〉
Keywords:
Bangladesh/epidemiology
;
Cholera/*epidemiology/transmission
;
*Climate
;
Endemic Diseases
;
Forecasting
;
Humans
;
Incidence
;
*Models, Statistical
;
Neural Networks (Computer)
;
Nonlinear Dynamics
;
Seasons
;
Statistics, Nonparametric
;
Temperature
;
Weather
Print ISSN:
0036-8075
Electronic ISSN:
1095-9203
Topics:
Biology
,
Chemistry and Pharmacology
,
Computer Science
,
Medicine
,
Natural Sciences in General
,
Physics
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