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  • Copernicus  (2)
  • Nature Research  (1)
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  • 1
    Publication Date: 2019-08-27
    Description: Hypoxia is an increasing problem in marine ecosystems around the world. While major advances have been made in our understanding of the drivers of hypoxia, challenges remain in describing oxygen dynamics in coastal regions. The complexity of many coastal areas and lack of detailed in situ data have hindered the development of models describing oxygen dynamics at a sufficient spatial resolution for efficient management actions to take place. It is well known that the enclosed nature of seafloors and reduced water mixing facilitates hypoxia formation, but the degree to which topography contributes to hypoxia formation and small-scale variability of coastal hypoxia has not been previously quantified. We developed simple proxies of seafloor heterogeneity and modeled oxygen deficiency in complex coastal areas in the northern Baltic Sea. According to our models, topographical parameters alone explained ∼80 % of hypoxia occurrences. The models also revealed that less than 25 % of the studied seascapes were prone to hypoxia during late summer (August–September). However, large variation existed in the spatial and temporal patterns of hypoxia, as certain areas were prone to occasional severe hypoxia (O2 
    Print ISSN: 1726-4170
    Electronic ISSN: 1726-4189
    Topics: Biology , Geosciences
    Published by Copernicus on behalf of European Geosciences Union.
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  • 2
    Publication Date: 2019-04-16
    Description: Hypoxia is an increasing problem in marine ecosystems around the world, and recent projections indicate that anoxic dead zones will be spreading in the forthcoming decades. While major advances have been made in our understanding of the drivers of hypoxia, it fundamentally hinges on patterns of water circulation that can be difficult to resolve in coastal regions. The complexity of many coastal areas and lack of detailed in situ data has hindered the development of models describing oxygen dynamics at a sufficient resolution for efficient management actions to take place. We hypothesized that the enclosed nature of seafloors facilitates hypoxia formation. We developed simple proxies of seafloor heterogeneity and modelled oxygen deficiency in complex coastal areas in the northern Baltic Sea. We discovered that topographically sheltered seafloors and sinkholes with stagnant water are prone to the development of hypoxia. Approximately half of the monitoring sites in Stockholm Archipelago and one third of sites in southern Finland experienced severe hypoxia (O2 
    Print ISSN: 1810-6277
    Electronic ISSN: 1810-6285
    Topics: Biology , Geosciences
    Published by Copernicus on behalf of European Geosciences Union.
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  • 3
    Publication Date: 2022-01-31
    Description: Predictive species distribution models are mostly based on statistical dependence between environmental and distributional data and therefore may fail to account for physiological limits and biological interactions that are fundamental when modelling species distributions under future climate conditions. Here, we developed a state-of-the-art method integrating biological theory with survey and experimental data in a way that allows us to explicitly model both physical tolerance limits of species and inherent natural variability in regional conditions and thereby improve the reliability of species distribution predictions under future climate conditions. By using a macroalga-herbivore association (Fucus vesiculosus - Idotea balthica) as a case study, we illustrated how salinity reduction and temperature increase under future climate conditions may significantly reduce the occurrence and biomass of these important coastal species. Moreover, we showed that the reduction of herbivore occurrence is linked to reduction of their host macroalgae. Spatial predictive modelling and experimental biology have been traditionally seen as separate fields but stronger interlinkages between these disciplines can improve species distribution projections under climate change. Experiments enable qualitative prior knowledge to be defined and identify cause-effect relationships, and thereby better foresee alterations in ecosystem structure and functioning under future climate conditions that are not necessarily seen in projections based on non-causal statistical relationships alone.
    Type: Article , PeerReviewed
    Format: text
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