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  • 1
    Publication Date: 2020-04-13
    Description: The “rare type match problem” is the situation in which, in a criminal case, the suspect’s DNA profile, matching the DNA profile of the crime stain, is not in the database of reference. Ideally, the evaluation of this observed match in the light of the two competing hypotheses (the crime stain has been left by the suspect or by another person) should be based on the calculation of the likelihood ratio and depends on the population proportions of the DNA profiles that are unknown. We propose a Bayesian nonparametric method that uses a two-parameter Poisson Dirichlet distribution as a prior over the ranked population proportions and discards the information about the names of the different DNA profiles. This model is validated using data coming from European Y-STR DNA profiles, and the calculation of the likelihood ratio becomes quite simple thanks to an Empirical Bayes approach for which we provided a motivation.
    Electronic ISSN: 1099-4300
    Topics: Chemistry and Pharmacology , Physics
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  • 2
    Publication Date: 2019-12-18
    Description: Pearle (1970) gave an example of a local hidden variables model which exactly reproduced the singlet correlations of quantum theory, through the device of data-rejection: particles can fail to be detected in a way which depends on the hidden variables carried by the particles and on the measurement settings. If the experimenter computes correlations between measurement outcomes of particle pairs for which both particles are detected, he or she is actually looking at a subsample of particle pairs, determined by interaction involving both measurement settings and the hidden variables carried in the particles. We correct a mistake in Pearle’s formulas (a normalization error) and more importantly show that the model is simpler than first appears. We illustrate with visualizations of the model and with a small simulation experiment, with code in the statistical programming language R included in the paper. Open problems are discussed.
    Electronic ISSN: 1099-4300
    Topics: Chemistry and Pharmacology , Physics
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  • 3
    Publication Date: 2019-12-31
    Description: In 2007, and in a series of later papers, Joy Christian claimed to refute Bell’s theorem, presenting an alleged local realistic model of the singlet correlations using techniques from geometric algebra (GA). Several authors published papers refuting his claims, and Christian’s ideas did not gain acceptance. However, he recently succeeded in publishing yet more ambitious and complex versions of his theory in fairly mainstream journals. How could this be? The mathematics and logic of Bell’s theorem is simple and transparent and has been intensely studied and debated for over 50 years. Christian claims to have a mathematical counterexample to a purely mathematical theorem. Each new version of Christian’s model used new devices to circumvent Bell’s theorem or depended on a new way to misunderstand Bell’s work. These devices and misinterpretations are in common use by other Bell critics, so it useful to identify and name them. I hope that this paper can serve as a useful resource to those who need to evaluate new “disproofs of Bell’s theorem”. Christian’s fundamental idea is simple and quite original: he gives a probabilistic interpretation of the fundamental GA equation a · b = ( a b + b a ) / 2 . After that, ambiguous notation and technical complexity allows sign errors to be hidden from sight, and new mathematical errors can be introduced.
    Electronic ISSN: 1099-4300
    Topics: Chemistry and Pharmacology , Physics
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  • 4
    Publication Date: 2020-02-29
    Description: The famous singlet correlations of a composite quantum system consisting of two two-level components in the singlet state exhibit notable features of two kinds. One kind are striking certainty relations: perfect anti-correlation, and perfect correlation, under certain joint settings. The other kind are a number of symmetries, namely invariance under a common rotation of the settings, invariance under exchange of components, and invariance under exchange of both measurement outcomes. One might like to restrict attention to rotations in the plane since those are the ones most commonly investigated experimentally. One can then also further distinguish between the case of discrete rotations (e.g., only settings which are a whole number of degrees are allowed) and continuous rotations. We study the class of classical correlation functions, i.e., generated by classical physical systems, satisfying all these symmetries, in the continuous, planar, case. We call such correlation functions classical EPR-B correlations. It turns out that if the certainty relations and rotational symmetry holds at the level of the correlations, then rotational symmetry can be imposed “for free” on the underlying classical physical model by adding an extra randomisation level. The other binary symmetries are obtained “for free”. This leads to a simple heuristic description of all possible classical EPR-B correlations in terms of a “spinning bi-coloured disk” model. We deliberately use the word “heuristic” because technical mathematical problems remain wide open concerning the transition from finite or discrete to continuous. The main purpose of this paper is to bring this situation to the attention of the mathematical community. We do show that the widespread idea that “quantum correlations are more extreme than classical physics would allow” is at best highly inaccurate, through giving a concrete example of a classical correlation which satisfies all the symmetries and all the certainty relations and which exceeds the quantum correlations over a whole range of settings. It is found by a search procedure in which we randomly generate classical physical models and, for each generated model, evaluate its properties in a further Monte-Carlo simulation of the model itself.
    Electronic ISSN: 1099-4300
    Topics: Chemistry and Pharmacology , Physics
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