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  • 1
    Electronic Resource
    Electronic Resource
    Bradford : Emerald
    Compel 23 (2004), S. 65-78 
    ISSN: 0332-1649
    Source: Emerald Fulltext Archive Database 1994-2005
    Topics: Electrical Engineering, Measurement and Control Technology , Mathematics
    Notes: The aim of this paper is to show the connections among uncertainty, information and human knowledge to develop methodologies able to support actions for measure and control of complex processes, and to propose new model to represent human hazard rate. The interest to human reliability analyses (HRA) arose for nuclear applications, observing that 50-70 per cent of reported failures on operating systems were human-induced. Since the middle of 1980, methods and tools of HRA have been transferred former to military weapons systems, latter to aviation designs and operations. At present, HRA, which consider human performance and human reliability knowledge, must be an integral element of complex system design and development. In this paper, system reliability function is carried out as a function of technological, information and human components, evidencing how human element affects the whole system reliability. On the basis of consideration that human errors are often the most unexpected and then the least protected, and subject to many random factors, an analytical model is proposed, based on a conditional Weibull hazard rate with a random scale parameter, for whose characterization the log-normal, gamma and the inverse Gaussian distributions are considered. The aim of this model is to take into account random variability of human performances by introducing a random hazard rate.
    Type of Medium: Electronic Resource
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  • 2
    Electronic Resource
    Electronic Resource
    Bingley : Emerald
    International journal of quality & reliability management 18 (2001), S. 307-323 
    ISSN: 0265-671X
    Source: Emerald Fulltext Archive Database 1994-2005
    Topics: Economics
    Notes: In the paper, the problem of uncertain data in reliability analysis of complex systems is examined. The analysis is addressed to system reliability assessment with imprecise knowledge of component reliabilities, an item becoming more and more important for systems affected by considerable technological change. Starting from component uncertain data, a new method for the whole system reliability uncertainty description, based upon a Bayesian approach and not depending on the reliability model of each component, is proposed. The reliability value of each component is considered as a random variable described by a Negative Log-Gamma distribution. The proposed methodology makes it possible to compute the features of system reliability uncertainty (i.e. reliability distribution, confidence intervals, etc.) as functions of component uncertain data, thus characterizing the propagation of uncertainty from the components to the system. Numerical applications, related to a test system, are presented to show the validity of the method and its "robustness", i.e. it is shown that it yields satisfactory results also when component reliabilities are not Negative Log-Gamma but Beta distributed.
    Type of Medium: Electronic Resource
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