ALBERT

Description: This study uses the simplified patterns of temperature and effective precipitation approach from the Australian component of the international palaeoclimate synthesis effort (INTegration of Ice core, MArine and TErrestrial records – OZ-INTIMATE) to compare atmosphere–ocean general circulation model (AOGCM) simulations and proxy reconstructions. The approach is used in order to identify important properties (e.g. circulation and precipitation) of past climatic states from the models and proxies, which is a primary objective of the Southern Hemisphere Assessment of PalaeoEnvironment (SHAPE) initiative. The AOGCM data are taken from the Paleoclimate Modelling Intercomparison Project (PMIP) mid-Holocene (ca. 6000 years before present, 6 ka) and pre-industrial control (ca. 1750 CE, 0 ka) experiments. The synthesis presented here shows that the models and proxies agree on the differences in climate state for 6 ka relative to 0 ka, when they are insolation driven. The largest uncertainty between the models and the proxies occurs over the Indo-Pacific Warm Pool (IPWP). The analysis shows that the lower temperatures in the Pacific at around 6 ka in the models may be the result of an enhancement of an existing systematic error. It is therefore difficult to decipher which one of the proxies and/or the models is correct. This study also shows that a reduction in the Equator-to-pole temperature difference in the Southern Hemisphere causes the mid-latitude westerly wind strength to reduce in the models; however, the simulated rainfall actually increases over the southern temperate zone of Australia as a result of higher convective precipitation. Such a mechanism (increased convection) may be useful for resolving disparities between different regional proxy records and model simulations. Finally, after assessing the available datasets (model and proxy), opportunities for better model–proxy integrated research are discussed.

Description: Paleoclimate proxy reconstruction initiatives, such as the Australian component of the international paleoclimate synthesis effort: INTegration of Ice core, MArine and Terrestrial records (OZ-INTIMATE), are important as they provide evidence of past climatic conditions that are necessary to evaluate global General Circulation Models (GCMs). One of the key outputs from the OZ-INTIMATE project was the production of spatially-coherent, climatic reconstructions over the southern Maritime Continent, Australasia and the Southern Ocean. The OZ-INTIMATE results were presented as regional, "simplified patterns of temperature and effective precipitation" and those regions spanned a large enough area to contain several GCM grid boxes. Therefore, the "upscaling" of individual reconstructions (through OZ-INTIMATE) to a scale that was resolved by GCMs, presented an ideal opportunity for a direct comparison. This study uses the same "simplified patterns of temperature and effective precipitation" approach from OZ-INTIMATE on data from an ensemble of GCMs. The GCM data are taken from the Paleoclimate Modeling Intercomparison Project (PMIP) mid-Holocene (6000 years before present, 6 ka) and pre-industrial control (c1750 C.E., 0 ka) experiments. The synthesis presented here shows that, on the whole, the models and proxies agree on the differences in climate state for 6 ka relative to 0 ka, when they are insolation driven. The main disagreement between the models and proxies occurs over the Tropical West Pacific warm pool and arises from an intensification of an existing error (the "cold tongue bias"). This study also presents a mechanism whereby the strength of the Southern Hemisphere, mid-latitude westerly wind strength reduces but rainfall increases over the southern temperate zone of Australia. Such a mechanism may be useful for resolving disparities between different regional proxy records, and model simulations. Finally, after assessing the available datasets (model and proxy), opportunities for better model-proxy integrated research are presented.

Description: The Amundsen Sea Low (ASL) plays a major role in the climate and environment of Antarctica and the Southern Ocean, including surface air temperature and sea ice concentration changes. Unfortunately, a relative dearth of observational data across the Amundsen and Bellingshausen seas prior to the satellite era (post-1979) limits our understanding of the past behaviour and impact of the ASL. The limited proxy evidence for changes in the ASL are primarily restricted to the Antarctic where ice core evidence suggests a deepening of the atmospheric pressure system during the late Holocene. However, no data have previously been reported from the northern side of the ASL. Here we report a high-resolution, multi-proxy study of a 5000-year-long peat record from the Falkland Islands, a location sensitive to contemporary ASL dynamics which modulates northerly and westerly airflow across the southwestern South Atlantic sector of the Southern Ocean. In combination with climate reanalysis, we find a marked period of wetter, colder conditions most likely the result of enhanced southerly airflow between 5000 and 2500 years ago, suggesting limited ASL influence over the region. After 2500 years ago, drier and warmer conditions were established, implying more westerly airflow and the increased projection of the ASL onto the South Atlantic. The possible role of the equatorial Pacific via atmospheric teleconnections in driving this change is discussed. Our results are in agreement with Antarctic ice core records and fjord sediments from the southern South American coast, and suggest that the Falkland Islands provide a valuable location for reconstructing high southern latitude atmospheric circulation changes on multi-decadal to millennial timescales.

Description: The Amundsen Sea Low (ASL) plays a major role in modulating the climate and environment of Antarctica and is of global importance in the Earth system. Unfortunately, a relative dearth of observational data across the Amundsen and Bellingshausen Seas prior to the satellite era (post-1979) limits our understanding of past behaviour and impact of the ASL. The limited proxy evidence for changes in the ASL are primarily limited to the Antarctic where ice core evidence suggests a deepening of the atmospheric pressure system during the late Holocene. However, no data has previously been reported from the northern side of the ASL. Here we report a high-resolution, multi-proxy study of a 5000 year-long peat record from the Falkland Islands (South Atlantic sector of the Southern Ocean), an area sensitive to contemporary ASL dynamics. In combination with climate reanalysis, we find a marked period of wetter, colder conditions most likely the result of enhanced southerly airflow between 5000 and 2500 years ago, and inconsistent with synoptic conditions associated with the ASL today. After 2500 years ago, drier and warmer conditions were established, implying more westerly airflow and the increased projection of the ASL onto the South Atlantic. Our results are in agreement with Antarctic ice core records and suggest the Falkland Islands provide a valuable location for reconstructing atmospheric circulation changes across a large sector of the Southern Ocean on multi-decadal to millennial timescales. The possible role of tropical Pacific in establishing contemporary-like synoptic circulation is explored.