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Variations in ocean surface temperature due to near-surface flow : straining the cool skin layer (2010)

Wells, Andrew J. ; Cenedese, Claudia ; Farrar, J. Thomas ; [et al.]

American Meteorological Society

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Publication Date: 2022-05-25

Description: Author Posting. © American Meteorological Society, 2009. This article is posted here by permission of American Meteorological Society for personal use, not for redistribution. The definitive version was published in Journal of Physical Oceanography 39 (2009): 2685-2710, doi:10.1175/2009JPO3980.1.

Description: The aqueous thermal boundary layer near to the ocean surface, or skin layer, has thickness O(1 mm) and plays an important role in controlling the exchange of heat between the atmosphere and the ocean. Theoretical arguments and experimental measurements are used to investigate the dynamics of the skin layer under the influence of an upwelling flow, which is imposed in addition to free convection below a cooled water surface. Previous theories of straining flow in the skin layer are considered and a simple extension of a surface straining model is posed to describe the combination of turbulence and an upwelling flow. An additional theory is also proposed, conceptually based on the buoyancy-driven instability of a laminar straining flow cooled from above. In all three theories considered two distinct regimes are observed for different values of the Péclet number, which characterizes the ratio of advection to diffusion within the skin layer. For large Péclet numbers, the upwelling flow dominates and increases the free surface temperature, or skin temperature, to follow the scaling expected for a laminar straining flow. For small Péclet numbers, it is shown that any flow that is steady or varies over long time scales produces only a small change in skin temperature by direct straining of the skin layer. Experimental measurements demonstrate that a strong upwelling flow increases the skin temperature and suggest that the mean change in skin temperature with Péclet number is consistent with the theoretical trends for large Péclet number flow. However, all of the models considered consistently underpredict the measured skin temperature, both with and without an upwelling flow, possibly a result of surfactant effects not included in the models.

Description: The work was initiated during the Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Program, where AJW was supported by a fellowship of the program. CC was supported by NSF Grant OCE-82633900. JTF was supported in part by The Penzance Endowed Fund in Support of Assistant Scientists. CJZ was supported by NSF Grant OCE-0425395 and the Office of Naval Research Young Investigator Program Grant N00014-04-1-0621. Additional funding for this research came from the U.S. Office of Naval Research through the Coupled Boundary Layer Air-Sea Transfer Departmental Research Initiative (Grants N00014-05-10090 and N00014-05-1-0036).

Keywords: Sea/ocean surface ; Sea surface temperature ; Surface layer ; Heat budgets ; Model comparison

Repository Name: Woods Hole Open Access Server

Type: Article

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The relationship between flux coefficient and entrainment ratio in density currents (2011)

Wells, Mathew ; Cenedese, Claudia ; Caulfield, C. P.

American Meteorological Society

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Publication Date: 2022-05-25

Description: Author Posting. © American Meteorological Society, 2010. This article is posted here by permission of American Meteorological Society for personal use, not for redistribution. The definitive version was published in Journal of Physical Oceanography 40 (2010): 2713–2727, doi:10.1175/2010JPO4225.1.

Description: The authors explore the theoretical and empirical relationship between the nonlocal quantities of the entrainment ratio E, the appropriately depth- and time-averaged flux coefficient Γ, and the bulk Froude number Fro in density currents. The main theoretical result is that E = 0.125 Γ Fro2(CU3/CL)/cosθ, where θ is the angle of the slope over which the density current flows, CL is the ratio the turbulent length scale to the depth of the density current, and CU is the ratio of the turbulent velocity scale to the mean velocity of the density current. In the case of high bulk Froude numbers Γ Fro−2 and (CU3/CL) = Cϵ 1, so E 0.1, consistent with observations of a constant entrainment ratio in unstratified jets and weakly stratified plumes. For bulk Froude numbers close to one, Γ is constant and has a value in the range of 0.1–0.3, which means that E Fro2, again in agreement with observations and previous experiments. For bulk Froude numbers less than one, Γ decreases rapidly with bulk Froude number, explaining the sudden decrease in entrainment ratios that has been observed in all field and experimental observations.

Description: Support for MGW was provided by NSERC, the Canadian Foundation for Innovation, the Ontario Research Fund, and the Connaught Committee of the University of Toronto. CPC gratefully acknowledges the hospitality and support of the 2008 Summer Study Program in Geophysical Fluid Dynamics at Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, where this project was initiated.

Keywords: Density currents ; Entrainment ; Fluxes ; Jets ; Plumes

Repository Name: Woods Hole Open Access Server

Type: Article

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An Automated System to Quantify Aircraft Encounters with Convectively Induced Turbulence over Europe and the Northeast Atlantic (2016)

Meneguz, Elena ; Wells, Helen ; Turp, Debi

American Meteorological Society

In: Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology. 2016; 55(5): 1077-1089. Published 2016 Apr 28. doi: 10.1175/jamc-d-15-0194.1.

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Publication Date: 2016-04-28

Description: It is well known that encounters with moderate or severe turbulence can lead to passenger and crew injuries and incur high insurance costs for airlines. Atmospheric convection is thought to induce a significant proportion of turbulence experienced by commercial aircraft, but its relative importance over Europe and the northeastern Atlantic Ocean area has not yet been quantified in a systematic way. In this study, a new approach is developed to automatically detect turbulent events associated with convective sources. Observations of convection over Europe and the northeastern Atlantic were obtained from the Met Office Arrival Time Detection system (ATDnet) and from Meteosat Second Generation satellite imagery. The system is run for all in situ reports of turbulence received from a commercial airline for two 6-month periods (summer 2013 and summer 2014). It is found that, as a monthly average, 14% of all aircraft encounters with turbulence occur in the proximity of a convective storm. These findings are interpreted and discussed together with the limitations of the system and observations that were used in this study.

Print ISSN: 1558-8424

Electronic ISSN: 1558-8432

Topics: Geography , Physics

Published by American Meteorological Society

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Multimodel Ensemble Sea Level Forecasts for Tropical Pacific Islands (2017)

Widlansky, Matthew J. ; Marra, John J. ; Chowdhury, Md. Rashed ; [et al.]

American Meteorological Society

In: Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology. 2017; 56(4): 849-862. Published 2017 Mar 16. doi: 10.1175/jamc-d-16-0284.1.

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Publication Date: 2017-03-16

Description: Sea level anomaly extremes impact tropical Pacific Ocean islands, often with too little warning to mitigate risks. With El Niño, such as the strong 2015/16 event, comes weaker trade winds and mean sea level drops exceeding 30 cm in the western Pacific that expose shallow-water ecosystems at low tides. Nearly opposite climate conditions accompany La Niña events, which cause sea level high stands (10–20 cm) and result in more frequent tide- and storm-related inundations that threaten coastlines. In the past, these effects have been exacerbated by decadal sea level variability, as well as continuing global sea level rise. Climate models, which are increasingly better able to simulate past and future evolutions of phenomena responsible for these extremes (i.e., El Niño–Southern Oscillation, Pacific decadal oscillation, and greenhouse warming), are also able to describe, or even directly simulate, associated sea level fluctuations. By compiling monthly sea level anomaly predictions from multiple statistical and dynamical (coupled ocean–atmosphere) models, which are typically skillful out to at least six months in the tropical Pacific, improved future outlooks are achieved. From this multimodel ensemble comes forecasts that are less prone to individual model errors and also uncertainty measurements achieved by comparing retrospective forecasts with the observed sea level. This framework delivers online a new real-time forecasting product of monthly mean sea level anomalies and will provide to the Pacific island community information that can be used to reduce impacts associated with sea level extremes.

Print ISSN: 1558-8424

Electronic ISSN: 1558-8432

Topics: Geography , Physics

Published by American Meteorological Society

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Springtime Onset of Isolated Convection Precipitation across the Southeastern United States: Framework and Regional Evolution (2020)

Rickenbach, Thomas M. ; Ferreira, Rosana Nieto ; Wells, Hannah

American Meteorological Society

In: Monthly Weather Review. 2020; 148(3): 891-906. Published 2020 Feb 07. doi: 10.1175/mwr-d-19-0279.1.

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Publication Date: 2020-02-07

Description: This study examines the geographic and temporal characteristics of the springtime transition to the summer precipitation regime of isolated convection in the southeastern (SE) United States during 2009–12, using a high-resolution surface radar-based precipitation dataset. Isolated convection refers herein to isolated elements or small clusters of precipitation in radar imagery less than 100 km in horizontal dimension. Though the SE United States does not have a monsoon climate, it is useful to apply the established framework of monsoon onset to study the timing and regional variation of the onset of the summer isolated convection regime. Overall, isolated convection rain onset in the SE U.S. domain occurs in late May. Onset begins in south Florida in mid-April, continuing nearly simultaneously across the southeastern coastal plain in early to mid-May. In the northern domain, from Virginia to the Ohio Valley, onset generally occurs much later (mid-June to early July) with more variable onset timing. The sharpness of onset timing is most evident in the coastal plain and Florida. Results suggest the hypothesis, to be examined in a forthcoming study, that the timing of isolated convection onset in the spring may be triggered by specific synoptic-scale events within gradual seasonal changes in atmospheric conditions including extratropical cyclone tracks, convective instability, and the westward migration of the North Atlantic subtropical high. This approach may offer a useful framework for evaluating long-term changes in precipitation for subtropical regimes in an observational and modeling context.

Print ISSN: 0027-0644

Electronic ISSN: 1520-0493

Topics: Geography , Geosciences , Physics

Published by American Meteorological Society

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Wind-Driven Coastal Sea Level Variability in the Northeast Pacific (2014)

Thompson, Philip R. ; Merrifield, Mark A. ; Wells, Judith R. ; [et al.]

American Meteorological Society

In: Journal of Climate. 2014; 27(12): 4733-4751. Published 2014 Jun 05. doi: 10.1175/jcli-d-13-00225.1.

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Publication Date: 2014-06-05

Description: The rate of coastal sea level change in the northeast Pacific (NEP) has decreased in recent decades. The relative contributions to the decreased rate from remote equatorial wind stress, local longshore wind stress, and local windstress curl are examined. Regressions of sea level onto wind stress time series and comparisons between NEP and Fremantle sea levels suggest that the decreased rate in the NEP is primarily due to oceanic adjustment to strengthened trade winds along the equatorial and coastal waveguides. When taking care to account for correlations between the various wind stress time series, the roles of longshore wind stress and local windstress curl are found to be of minor importance in comparison to equatorial forcing. The predictability of decadal sea level change rates along the NEP coastline is therefore largely determined by tropical variability. In addition, the importance of accounting for regional, wind-driven sea level variations when attempting to calculate accelerations in the long-term rate of sea level rise is demonstrated.

Print ISSN: 0894-8755

Electronic ISSN: 1520-0442

Topics: Geography , Geosciences , Physics

Published by American Meteorological Society

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