ALBERT

All Library Books, journals and Electronic Records Telegrafenberg

feed icon rss

Your email was sent successfully. Check your inbox.

An error occurred while sending the email. Please try again.

Proceed reservation?

Export
  • 1
    Publication Date: 2018-03-06
    Description: We use multiple synthetic mitigation sea-level scenarios, together with a non-mitigation sea-level scenario from the Warming Acidification and Sea-level Projector model. We find sea-level rise continues to accelerate post 2100 for all but the most aggressive mitigation scenarios indicative of 1.5°C and 2.0°C. Using the Dynamic Interactive Vulnerability Assessment modelling framework, we project land and population exposed in the 1 in 100 year coastal flood plain under sea-level rise and population change. In 2000, the flood plain is estimated at 540 x10 3 km 2 . By 2100, under the mitigation scenarios, it ranges between 610 x10 3 km 2 and 640 x10 3 km 2 [580 x10 3 km 2 and 700 x10 3 km 2 for the 5 th and 95 th percentiles]. Thus differences between the mitigation scenarios are small in 2100. However, in 2300, flood plains are projected to increase to between 700 x10 3 km 2 and 960 x10 3 km 2 in 2300 [610 x10 3 km 2 and 1,290 x10 3 km 2 ] for the mitigation scenarios, but 1,630 x10 3 km 2 [1,190 x10 3 km 2 and 2,220 x10 3 km 2 ] for the non-mitigation scenario. The proportion of global population exposed to sea-level rise in 2300 is projected to be between 1.5% and 5.4% [1.2% to 7.6%] (assuming no population growth after 2100) for the aggressive mitigation and the non-mitigation scenario, respectively. Hence over centennial timescales there are significant benefits to climate change mitigation and temperature stabilization. However, sea-levels will continue to rise albeit at lower rates. Thus potential impacts will keep increasing necessitating adaptation to existing coastal infrastructure and the careful planning of new coastal developments.
    Electronic ISSN: 2328-4277
    Topics: Geosciences
    Location Call Number Expected Availability
    BibTip Others were also interested in ...
Close ⊗
This website uses cookies and the analysis tool Matomo. More information can be found here...