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  • 1
    Publication Date: 2024-04-20
    Description: Crop calendars provide valuable information on the timing of important stages of crop development such as the planting (SOS) and harvesting (EOS) dates. This information is critical for many crop monitoring applications such as crop type mapping, crop condition monitoring, and crop yield estimation and forecasting. Spatially detailed information on the crop calendars provides an important asset in this respect, as it allows the algorithms to account for specific local circumstances while also maximizing their robustness and global applicability. Existing global crop calendar products, as produced by the Group on Earth Observations' Global Agricultural Monitoring (GEOGLAM) Crop Monitor, the United States Department of Agriculture Foreign Agricultural Service (USDA-FAS), the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO), and the European Commission Joint Research Centre's Anomaly hot Spots of Agricultural Production (ASAP), generally provide this information only at national or subnational level. In this work, we present gridded SOS and EOS maps for wheat and maize that represent the crop calendars' spatial variability at 0.5° spatial resolution. These maps are generated in the framework of WorldCereal, which is a European Space Agency (ESA) funded project whose cropland and crop type wheat and maize algorithms at global scale and at 10 m spatial resolution require this information. The proposed maps are built leveraging the above noted global products (Crop Monitor, USDA-FAS, FAO, ASAP) whose datasets are combined into a baseline map and sampled to train a Random Forest algorithm based on climatic and geographic data. Their evaluation against test data from the baseline maps set aside for validation purposes show a good performance with SOS (EOS) R2 of 0.87 (0.92) and a Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) of 27 (26) days for wheat, showing the lowest errors (RMSE 〈 15 days) in North America, Central Europe, South Africa, and Australia, all critical areas for global wheat production and trade. Meanwhile, the largest errors (RMSE between 40 and 60 days) occurred in regions of South America close to the Amazon forest and in Africa close to the Congo Basin. In the case of maize, the SOS (EOS) evaluation shows a R2 of 0.88 (0.79) and a RMSE of 24 (28) days for maize, with the best performing regions (RMSE 〈 15 days) located in the Northern Hemisphere, South Africa, and Australia, important areas for global maize production and trade. Meanwhile, the worst performing regions were in Brazil, Saudi Arabia and India. Additionally, the crop calendars were evaluated using a simple Land Surface Phenology (LSP) model based on Sentinel-2 and Landsat 8 Earth Observation data from Sentinel-2 and Landsat 8 over known wheat and maize fields. The results show a SOS (EOS) R2 of 0.75 (0.88) and a RMSE of 25 (18) days for wheat and SOS (EOS) R2 of 0.80 (0.88) and a RMSE of 35 (24) days for maize. Therefore, the presented calendars present an advancement over the existing crop calendar products in terms of capturing spatial coverage and variability and reporting their accuracy. File description: HTML_Maize_FINAL: Land Surface Phenology model (LSP) for maize HTML_WinterWheat_FINAL: Land Surface Phenology model (LSP) for Winter-wheat M1_EOS_WGS84: Gridded map for end of season of the first season of maize M1_SOS_WGS84: Gridded map for start of season of the first season of maize WW_EOS_WGS84: Gridded map for end of season of the first season of winter wheat WW_SOS_WGS84: Gridded map for start of season of the first season of winter wheat
    Keywords: agriculture monitoring; Binary Object; Binary Object (File Size); Landsat 8; Land surface phenology; Land Surface Phenology model; LSP; Sentinel-2; WC_CropCal_2022
    Type: Dataset
    Format: text/tab-separated-values, 6 data points
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  • 2
    Publication Date: 2023-07-10
    Description: Purpose As stated in the United Nations Global Assessment Report 2022 Concept Note, decision-makers everywhere need data and statistics that are accurate, timely, sufficiently disaggregated, relevant, accessible and easy to use. The purpose of this paper is to demonstrate scalable and replicable methods to advance and integrate the use of earth observation (EO), specifically ongoing efforts within the Group on Earth Observations (GEO) Work Programme and the Committee on Earth Observation Satellites (CEOS) Work Plan, to support risk-informed decision-making, based on documented national and subnational needs and requirements. Design/methodology/approach Promotion of open data sharing and geospatial technology solutions at national and subnational scales encourages the accelerated implementation of successful EO applications. These solutions may also be linked to specific Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction (DRR) 2015–2030 Global Targets that provide trusted answers to risk-oriented decision frameworks, as well as critical synergies between the Sendai Framework and the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development. This paper provides examples of these efforts in the form of platforms and knowledge hubs that leverage latest developments in analysis ready data and support evidence-based DRR measures. Findings The climate crisis is forcing countries to face unprecedented frequency and severity of disasters. At the same time, there are growing demands to respond to policy at the national and international level. EOs offer insights and intelligence for evidence-based policy development and decision-making to support key aspects of the Sendai Framework. The GEO DRR Working Group and CEOS Working Group Disasters are ideally placed to help national government agencies, particularly national Sendai focal points to learn more about EOs and understand their role in supporting DRR. Originality/value The unique perspective of EOs provide unrealized value to decision-makers addressing DRR. This paper highlights tangible methods and practices that leverage free and open source EO insights that can benefit all DRR practitioners.
    Description: Published
    Description: 163-185
    Description: 5IT. Osservazioni satellitari
    Description: JCR Journal
    Keywords: Earth observations ; Geospatial ; Open science ; Disaster risk reduction, ; Sendai framework
    Repository Name: Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV)
    Type: article
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  • 3
    Publication Date: 2023-02-08
    Description: Species distribution models (SDMs) correlate species occurrences with environmental predictors, and can be used to forecast distributions under future climates. SDMs have been criticized for not explicitly including the physiological processes underlying the species response to the environment. Recently, new methods have been suggested to combine SDMs with physiological estimates of performance (physiology-SDMs). In this study, we compare SDM and physiology-SDM predictions for select marine species in the Mediterranean Sea, a region subjected to exceptionally rapid climate change. We focused on six species and created physiology-SDMs that incorporate physiological thermal performance curves from experimental data with species occurrence records. We then contrasted projections of SDMs and physiology-SDMs under future climate (year 2100) for the entire Mediterranean Sea, and particularly the ‘warm’ trailing edge in the Levant region. Across the Mediterranean, we found cross-validation model performance to be similar for regular SDMs and physiology-SDMs. However, we also show that for around half the species the physiology-SDMs substantially outperform regular SDM in the warm Levant. Moreover, for all species the uncertainty associated with the coefficients estimated from the physiology-SDMs were much lower than in the regular SDMs. Under future climate, we find that both SDMs and physiology-SDMs showed similar patterns, with species predicted to shift their distribution north-west in accordance with warming sea temperatures. However, for the physiology-SDMs predicted distributional changes are more moderate than those predicted by regular SDMs. We conclude, that while physiology-SDM predictions generally agree with the regular SDMs, incorporation of the physiological data led to less extreme range shift forecasts. The results suggest that climate-induced range shifts may be less drastic than previously predicted, and thus most species are unlikely to completely disappear with warming climate. Taken together, the findings emphasize that physiological experimental data can provide valuable supplemental information to predict range shifts of marine species.
    Type: Article , PeerReviewed
    Format: text
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  • 4
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    MDPI - Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute
    Publication Date: 2024-04-05
    Description: It has been more than 25 years since the identification of the FMR1 gene and the demonstration of the causative role of CGG-repeat expansion in the disease pathology of fragile X syndrome (FXS), but the underlying mechanisms involved in the expansion mutation and the resulting gene silencing still remain elusive. Our understanding of the pathways impacted by the loss of FMRP function has grown tremendously, and has opened new avenues for targeted treatments for FXS. However, the failure of recent clinical trials that were based on successful preclinical studies using the Fmr1 knockout mouse model has forced the scientific community to revisit clinical trial design and identify objective outcome measures. There has also been a renewed interest in restoring FMR1 gene expression as a possible treatment approach for FXS. This special issue of Brain Sciences highlights the progress that has been made towards understanding the disease mechanisms and how this has informed the development of treatment strategies that are being explored for FXS.
    Keywords: QH301-705.5 ; Q1-390 ; n/a ; lymphoblast ; pluripotent stem cells ; FMR1 ; Gene editing ; X chromosome ; Fmr1 ; epigenetic gene silencing ; FMR1 gene ; Fragile X syndrome 1 ; repeat instability ; characteristics that have the greatest impact ; DNA instability ; working memory ; language development ; mosaicism ; CRISPR 3 ; clinical trials ; autism spectrum disorders ; Fmr1 KO mouse ; automated vocal analysis ; base excision repair (BER) ; inhibitory control ; cerebral spinal fluid ; iPSC ; drug development ; targeted treatments ; molecular biomarkers ; viral vector ; avoidance ; biomarker ; set-shifting ; early identification ; expansion ; anxiety ; planning ; voice of the person ; mismatch repair (MMR) ; gene reactivation ; double-strand break repair (DSBR) ; newborn screening ; intellectual disability ; processing speed ; voice of the patient ; fragile X syndrome ; adeno-associated virus ; neurodevelopmental disorders ; histone methylation ; Non-homologous end-joining (NHEJ) ; ASD ; Fxr2 ; Fragile X-associated Tremor/Ataxia Syndrome 2 ; Trinucleotide Repeat 4 ; CGG Repeat Expansion Disease ; DNA methylation ; contraction ; fragile X mental retardation protein ; RNA:DNA hybrid ; behavior ; developmental disorders ; cognition ; females ; FMRP ; Fragile X Syndrome ; unstable repeat diseases ; protein synthesis ; brain ; cognitive flexibility ; treatment development ; fibroblast ; PRC2 ; transcription coupled repair (TCR) ; best practices ; attention ; Fragile X ; executive function ; thema EDItEUR::P Mathematics and Science::PS Biology, life sciences
    Language: English
    Format: application/octet-stream
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