ALBERT

Description: Marine heatwaves have been observed worldwide and are expected to increase in both frequency and intensity due to climate change. Such events may cause ecosystem reconfigurations arising from species range contraction or redistribution, with ecological, economic and social implications. Macrophytes such as the brown seaweed Fucus vesiculosus and the seagrass Zostera marina are foundation species in many coastal ecosystems of the temperate northern hemisphere. Hence, their response to extreme events can potentially determine the fate of associated ecosystems. Macrophyte functioning is intimately linked to the maintenance of photosynthesis, growth and reproduction, and resistance against pathogens, epibionts and grazers. We investigated morphological, physiological, pathological and chemical defence responses of western Baltic Sea F. vesiculosus and Z. marina populations to simulated near‐natural marine heatwaves. Along with (a) the control, which constituted no heatwave but natural stochastic temperature variability (0HW), two treatments were applied: (b) two late‐spring heatwaves (June, July) followed by a summer heatwave (August; 3HW) and (c) a summer heatwave only (1HW). The 3HW treatment was applied to test whether preconditioning events can modulate the potential sensitivity to the summer heatwave. Despite the variety of responses measured in both species, only Z. marina growth was impaired by the accumulative heat stress imposed by the 3HW treatment. Photosynthetic rate, however, remained high after the last heatwave indicating potential for recovery. Only epibacterial abundance was significantly affected in F. vesiculosus. Hence both macrophytes, and in particular F. vesiculosus, seem to be fairly tolerant to short‐term marine heatwaves at least at the intensities applied in this experiment (up to 5°C above mean temperature over a period of 9 days). This may partly be due to the fact that F. vesiculosus grows in a highly variable environment, and may have a high phenotypic plasticity.

Description: The plea for using more “realistic,” community‐level, investigations to assess the ecological impacts of global change has recently intensified. Such experiments are typically more complex, longer, more expensive, and harder to interpret than simple organism‐level benchtop experiments. Are they worth the extra effort? Using outdoor mesocosms, we investigated the effects of ocean warming (OW) and acidification (OA), their combination (OAW), and their natural fluctuations on coastal communities of the western Baltic Sea during all four seasons. These communities are dominated by the perennial and canopy‐forming macrophyte Fucus vesiculosus—an important ecosystem engineer Baltic‐wide. We, additionally, assessed the direct response of organisms to temperature and pH in benchtop experiments, and examined how well organism‐level responses can predict community‐level responses to the dominant driver, OW. OW affected the mesocosm communities substantially stronger than acidification. OW provoked structural and functional shifts in the community that differed in strength and direction among seasons. The organism‐level response to OW matched well the community‐level response of a given species only under warm and cold thermal stress, that is, in summer and winter. In other seasons, shifts in biotic interactions masked the direct OW effects. The combination of direct OW effects and OW‐driven shifts of biotic interactions is likely to jeopardize the future of the habitat‐forming macroalga F. vesiculosus in the Baltic Sea. Furthermore, we conclude that seasonal mesocosm experiments are essential for our understanding of global change impact because they take into account the important fluctuations of abiotic and biotic pressures.

Description: The world is going through severe climatic changes and this transition period is characterized by peculiar phenomena. Despite the mean global temperature increase, episodes of higher frequency and longer heatwaves will occur more often. Heatwaves have already disrupted resilience of macrophyte species, resulting in massive mortality of seagrasses and macroalgae. Macrophytes are responsible for considerable amounts of carbon storage and sequestration in marine coastal ecosystems. Many macrophytes are also considered foundation species since they harbor high species diversity, which results in large capacity to structure a community. Thus, heatwaves are able to cause shifts in biodiversity and ecosystem functioning. The goal of this thesis was to improve the understanding of the mechanistic effect of climate change on temperate coastal marine ecosystems based on macrophytes meadows. The first chapter showed that grazing intensity (that also depends on temperature) contributed to control the amount of carbon stored on the macroalgae and modified the trend to a non-linear pattern. The lowest carbon storage capacity was found between 20 and 22 °C, following the consumption intensity of the grazers. The second chapter, through the analysis of attributes and the application of ecological network analysis, I demonstrated that three sequential heatwaves jeopardized the capacity of the ecosystem to store carbon, since photosynthesis declined and the size of the ecosystem decreased. Moreover, three heatwaves caused a simplification on the pathways of carbon circulation, which makes the ecosystem more vulnerable to further disturbances. In the third chapter, I analyzed with a qualitative network model (loop analysis) the impact of sequential heatwaves on the capacity of the ecosystem to deliver services. The provision of water purification and climate regulation services was impaired, while the capacity of habitat provision did not change after the exposure to heatwaves. Therefore, the conclusions of this thesis are that: (1) both changes in temperature regimes (i.e. average constant and heatwaves) have profound effects on single species physiological performance and modify trophic interactions, thus altering energy circulation in food webs; (2) three consecutive heatwaves during spring/summer represented a threat for the health of the benthic ecosystem studied due to the reduction of productivity and the lowered diversity of energy flows, which increased vulnerability of the system; (3) besides having affected the functioning of the ecosystem, the heatwaves also harmed the capacity of the ecosystem to provide water purification and climate regulation services. This thesis showed that more knowledge on ecosystem functioning and services can be generated by combining experimental and modeling approaches. Furthermore, focusing on whole ecosystems rather than on isolated responses of single organisms expands our comprehension on the effects of changes in temperature regimes, which may assist further climate change mitigation measures.

Description: Highlights: • Networks indicators reveal structure of the food webs depicted by ecosystem models. • Fishing mortality affects the structure and functioning of the food webs. • Increasing fishing mortality of all fish groups triggers strong indicator response. • Overfishing endangers ecosystem resilience. Marine ecosystems are exposed to multiple stressors, mainly fisheries that, whenever mismanaged, may cause irreversible damages to whole food webs. Ecosystem models have been applied to forecast fisheries impact on fish stocks and marine food webs. These impacts have been studied through the use of multiple indicators that help to understand ecosystem responses to stressors. This study focused on a category of ecological indicators derived from the network theory to quantify energy flows inside the food web. These indicators were computed using two ecosystem models applied to the Eastern English Channel (i.e. Atlantis and OSMOSE). This work aimed at investigating how several ecological network indicators respond to different levels of fishing pressure and evaluating their robustness to model structure and fishing strategies. We applied a gradient of fishing mortality using two ecosystem models and carried out ecological network analysis to obtain network-derived indicators. The results revealed that the indicators response is highly driven by the food web structure, although the model assumptions buffered some results. The indicators computed from OSMOSE outputs were more sensitive to changes in fishing pressure than those from Atlantis. However, once the food web from Atlantis was simplified to mimic the structure of OSMOSE model, the indicators of the modified Atlantis became more sensitive to the intensity of fishing pressure. The indicators related to amount of energy flow and to the organization of the flows in the food web were sensitive to the increase of fishing mortality for all fishing strategies. These indicators suggested that increasing fishing mortality jeopardizes the amount of energy mobilized by the food webs and simplifies the ecological interactions, which has implications for the resilience of marine ecosystems. The study shed light on the trophic networks structure and functioning of the ecosystems whenever exposed to distur-bances. Furthermore, these indicators might be adequate for whole ecosystem assessments of health and contribute to ecosystem management.

Description: The dynamics of marine systems at decadal scales are notoriously hard to predict—hence references to this timescale as the “grey zone” for ocean prediction. Nevertheless, decadal-scale prediction is a rapidly developing field with an increasing number of applications to help guide ocean stewardship and sustainable use of marine environments. Such predictions can provide industry and managers with information more suited to support planning and management over strategic timeframes, as compared to seasonal forecasts or long-term (century-scale) predictions. The most significant advances in capability for decadal-scale prediction over recent years have been for ocean physics and biogeochemistry, with some notable advances in ecological prediction skill. In this paper, we argue that the process of “lighting the grey zone” by providing improved predictions at decadal scales should also focus on including human dimensions in prediction systems to better meet the needs and priorities of end users. Our paper reviews information needs for decision-making at decadal scales and assesses current capabilities for meeting these needs. We identify key gaps in current capabilities, including the particular challenge of integrating human elements into decadal prediction systems. We then suggest approaches for overcoming these challenges and gaps, highlighting the important role of co-production of tools and scenarios, to build trust and ensure uptake with end users of decadal prediction systems. We also highlight opportunities for combining narratives and quantitative predictions to better incorporate the human dimension in future efforts to light the grey zone of decadal-scale prediction.

Description: While it is well known that severe marine summer heatwaves can cause acute and dramatic die-offs of seagrass meadows, the effect of trans-seasonal warming and winter/spring heatwaves are yet poorly understood. This study simulated a 9-months warming scenario on the common seagrass Zostera marina from winter into summer, using outdoor mesocosms, which provided near-natural conditions. The relevance of the natural temperature pattern, as well as the 3.6°C warming, and their implications were further discussed in the context of a 22-yr temperature time series of the study region. Survival of plants was high in winter independent of temperature. In spring, however, heat-treated Z. marina flowered 1.5 months earlier and experienced high mortalities. Thereafter, plant survival, growth, and pigmentation were largely comparable between temperature regimes. Yet, a comparatively high mortality occurred in ambient plants, after an abnormally warm June. Final biomass was reduced by ~ 50% in heat-treated plants. These results imply that warm winter-to-spring conditions can have severe effects on vital seagrass traits. Warming accelerates consumption of energy reserves triggering advanced flowering, similar to many terrestrial plants. Although, surviving heat-treated plants were not able to re-stock energy reserves throughout the high-light summer as inferred from low plant biomass, these seemed rather resistant to summer heatwave events.

Description: Temperature is a key driver of metabolic rates. So far, we know little about potential physiological adjustments of subtropical corals to seasonal temperature changes (〉8°C) that substantially exceed temperature fluctuation experienced by their counterparts in the tropics. This study investigated the effect of temperature reductions on Montastraea cavernosa and Porites astreoides in Bermuda (32°N; sea surface temperature ∼19–29°C) over 5 weeks, applying the following treatments: (i) constant control temperature at 28°C, and (ii) temperature reduction (0.5°C day−1) followed by constant temperature (20 days; acclimatization period) at 24°C and (iii) at 20°C. Both species decreased photosynthesis and respiration during temperature reduction as expected, which continued to decrease during the acclimatization period, indicating adjustment to a low energy turnover rather than thermal compensation. Trajectories of physiological adjustments and level of thermal compensation, however, differed between species. Montastraea cavernosa zooxanthellae metrics showed a strong initial response to temperature reduction, followed by a return to close to control values during the acclimatization period, reflecting a high physiological flexibility and low thermal compensation. Porites astreoides zooxanthellae, in contrast, showed no initial response, but an increase in pigment concentration per zooxanthellae and similar photosynthesis rates at 24°C and 20°C at the end of the experiment, indicating low acute thermal sensitivity and the ability for thermal compensation at the lowest temperature. Respiration decreased more strongly than photosynthesis, leading to significant build-up of biomass in both species (energy reserves). Results are important in the light of potential poleward migration of corals and of potential latitudinal and species-specific differences in coral thermal tolerance.

Description: Highlights: • Microphytobenthos contributed to the particulate organic matter in both beaches. • Allochthonous materials provide relevant contributions to the POM in surf zones. • Estuarine subsidies' availability determines changes in consumers' isotopic niches. • Higher estuarine trophic subsidies resulted in narrower niches of dominant species. Abstract: Benthic invertebrates in the surf zone of exposed sandy beaches represent important links for energy circulation between benthic and pelagic food webs. This work assesses the trophic ecology of co-occurring epi- and hyper-benthic invertebrates inhabiting the surf zone of sandy beaches located close to an estuarine mouth. It illustrates that different sources of organic matter induce changes in resource utilization. The trophic positions, and the niche width and overlap of species were described using δ13C and δ15N stable isotope analysis. The contribution of different sources to the particulate organic matter was quantified through stable isotopes analysis and fatty acids profiles. Shifts in the trophic niches of dominant species reflected a decrease in the contribution of estuarine carbon to the diets along the coast. This change in contribution of estuarine carbon also influenced trophic niche properties: more diverse resources availability resulted in narrower niches without overlap while less diverse resources resulted in broad isotopic niches and a highest overlap. Results show that spatial variations in the availability of resources can modify carbon pathways and trophic interactions in coastal food webs. Whenever resources are abundant, species display a more specialized diet while food scarcity leads to broader diets, a pattern consistent with the optimal foraging theory. This resource maximization behavior commonly observed in nature is also occurring in surf zone ecosystems.

Description: 1. The expansion of scientific image data holds great promise to quantify individuals, size distributions and traits. Computer vision tools are especially powerful to automate data mining of images and thus have been applied widely across studies in aquatic and terrestrial ecology. Yet marine benthic communities, especially infauna, remain understudied despite their dominance of marine biomass, biodiversity and playing critical roles in ecosystem functioning. 2. Here, we disaggregated infauna from sediment cores taken throughout the spring transition (April-June) from a near-natural mesocosm setup under experimental warming (Ambient, +1.5 degrees C, +3.0 degrees C). Numerically abundant mudsnails were imaged in batches under stereomicroscopy, from which we automatically counted and sized individuals using a superpixel-based segmentation algorithm. Our segmentation approach was based on clustering superpixels, which naturally partition images by low-level properties (e.g., colour, shape and edges) and allow instance-based segmentation to extract all individuals from each image. 3. We demonstrate high accuracy and precision for counting and sizing individuals, through a procedure that is robust to the number of individuals per image (5-65) and to size ranges spanning an order of magnitude (〈750 mu m to 7.4 mm). The segmentation routine provided at least a fivefold increase in efficiency compared with manual measurements. Scaling this approach to a larger dataset tallied 〉40k individuals and revealed overall growth in response to springtime warming. 4. We illustrate that image processing and segmentation workflows can be built upon existing open-access R packages, underlining the potential for wider adoption of computer vision tools among ecologists. The image-based approach also generated reproducible data products that, alongside our scripts, we have made freely available. This work reinforces the need for next-generation monitoring of benthic communities, especially infauna, which can display differential responses to average warming.