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Process-oriented statistical-dynamical evaluation of LM precipitation forecasts (2008)

Claußnitzer, A. ; Langer, I. ; Névir, P. ; [et al.]

Copernicus

In: Advances in Geosciences. 2008; 16: 33-41. Published 2008 Apr 09. doi: 10.5194/adgeo-16-33-2008.

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Publication Date: 2008-04-09

Description: The objective of this study is the scale dependent evaluation of precipitation forecasts of the Lokal-Modell (LM) from the German Weather Service in relation to dynamical and cloud parameters. For this purpose the newly designed Dynamic State Index (DSI) is correlated with clouds and precipitation. The DSI quantitatively describes the deviation and relative distance from a stationary and adiabatic solution of the primitive equations. A case study and statistical analysis of clouds and precipitation demonstrates the availability of the DSI as a dynamical threshold parameter. This confirms the importance of imbalances of the atmospheric flow field, which dynamically induce the generation of rainfall.

Print ISSN: 1680-7340

Electronic ISSN: 1680-7359

Topics: Geosciences

Published by Copernicus on behalf of European Geosciences Union.

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