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  • English  (10)
  • 1
  • 2
    Publication Date: 2023-07-26
    Description: Population growth and economic development in China has increased the demand for food and animal feed, raising questions regarding China’s future maize production self-sufficiency. Here, we address this challenge by combining data-driven projections with a machine learning method on data from 402 stations, with data from 87 field experiments across China. Current maize yield would be roughly doubled with the implementation of optimal planting density and management. In the 2030 s, we estimate a 52% yield improvement through dense planting and soil improvement under a high-end climate forcing Shared Socio-Economic Pathway (SSP585), compared with a historical climate trend. Based on our results, yield gains from soil improvement outweigh the adverse effects of climate change. This implies that China can be self-sufficient in maize by using current cropping areas. Our results challenge the view of yield stagnation in most global areas and provide an example of how food security can be achieved with optimal crop-soil management under future climate change scenarios.
    Language: English
    Type: info:eu-repo/semantics/article
    Format: application/pdf
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  • 3
    Publication Date: 2023-07-18
    Language: English
    Type: info:eu-repo/semantics/bookPart
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  • 4
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    In:  Scientific drilling : reports on deep earth sampling and monitoring
    Publication Date: 2020-02-12
    Language: English
    Type: info:eu-repo/semantics/article
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  • 5
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    In:  XXVIII General Assembly of the International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics (IUGG)
    Publication Date: 2023-08-09
    Description: Both observations and model simulations reveal that the Arctic warms faster than the Antarctic. Previous studies have emphasized that the weaker warming in the Antarctic is due to the northward energy transport by the Antarctic Circumpolar Circulation (ACC). However, few studies have attempted to consider the asymmetric surface warming between the Arctic and the Antarctic and understand the root of this asymmetric warming. To reveal the role of ACC in the asymmetric warming, we close the Drake Passage (DP) to perturb the ocean circulations in the fully coupled Community Earth System Model. Experiments driven by an abrupt CO2 doubling show that compared to the DP opened case, the asymmetric polar warming amplifies in the DP closed case. The amplified asymmetry partially originates in a climatological warmer Antarctic with less sea ice but a colder Arctic with more sea ice in the DP closed case, resulting from climatological weaker ACC and Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC). With abrupt double CO2 forcing, reduced cooling in the North Atlantic by the less-weakened AMOC in the DP closed case favors more sea ice melting in the Arctic than in the Antarctic. Both strong ice feedback and increase in water vapor transports in the Arctic amplify the asymmetry. Conversely, the oceanic northward energy transport anomaly due to the ACC cutoff contributes to the asymmetry insignificantly. These results highlight the importance of atmosphere-ocean-ice interactions for the asymmetric warming between the Arctic and the Antarctic.
    Language: English
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  • 6
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    In:  XXVIII General Assembly of the International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics (IUGG)
    Publication Date: 2023-08-02
    Description: The dynamics of the nightside magnetosphere play an essential role in the global magnetosphere-ionosphere coupling. The magnetotail current sheet in the distant plasma sheet (x 〈 -20 Re) can be described by a Harris current sheet. The Harris current sheet model has been used to calculate the thickness of the Harris current sheet under an assumption of the total pressure balance between the plasma sheet and the tail lobe in the distant tail. The magnetic field structure in the near-Earth plasma sheet (-8 Re 〈 x 〈 -15 Re) cannot be modeled by a pure Harris current sheet. The intrinsic Earth’s magnetic moment, a Harris-type current sheet, and field-aligned currents contribute to the magnetic field structures in this region. In this study, we propose a new method of fitting magnetotail currents in the near-Earth plasma sheet based on the observations obtained from Magnetospheric Multiscale (MMS) satellites.
    Language: English
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  • 7
    Publication Date: 2023-06-01
    Description: Glaciers are vital to water resources in the arid land of central Asia. Long-term runoff records in the glacierized area are particularly valuable in terms of evaluating glacier recession and water resource change on both a regional and global scale. The runoff records of streams draining basins with 46% current glacier cover, located at the Urumqi Glacier No. 1 in the source area of the Urumqi River in eastern Tianshan, central Asia, were examined for the purpose of assessing climatic and glacial influences on temporal patterns of streamflow for the period 1959–2019. This study has introduced a glacio-hydrologic degree-day model to separate the different hydrologic components in glacier-fed streamflow. Results suggest that runoff from the catchment correlates well with temperature and associated precipitation data. The different ways that the glacier melts in response to temperature versus precipitation in a diurnal scale by changing glacier mass balance can effectively stabilize streamflow, showing a strong capacity of the glacier to naturally adjust streamflow in a beneficial manner to water utilization by those downstream. Based on long-term in-situ observation, we found that the “peak water” of ice melt appeared during the period 1996~2019, which verified the modelling results from previous studies.
    Language: English
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  • 8
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    In:  XXVIII General Assembly of the International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics (IUGG)
    Publication Date: 2023-06-02
    Description: REACHES is a digital database of the climate records in the last 3000 years based on the historical documentary sources of China. Documentary sources include national official chronicles and local (provincial, prefectural, city, etc.) records. We utilize the records in the period of 1368-1911 which corresponds to Ming and Qing dynasties of China in history to construct temperature and humidity series. The total number of locations with usable records exceeds 1400, mainly distributed in the east-half of the present China. We have completed the construction of the temperature index series and are currently working on the humidity series. For temperature index, a scale of 1 to -2 is established: 1 for warm, 0 for normal, -1 for cold and -2 for very cold based on the contents of the records. The annual temperature index of a location is determined based on the average of the indices in that year. We then determine an annual temperature index for North, Central and South China based on the areal mean of all the locations in a region and construct four time series of temperature (the 3 regions plus the whole domain). The Little Ice Age correspond to the Maunder Minimum and the later cold peak corresponds to the Sporer Minimum are well represented. The possible impact on agriculture and political systems of these climate change as seen in historical records will be discussed.
    Language: English
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  • 9
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    In:  XXVIII General Assembly of the International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics (IUGG)
    Publication Date: 2023-04-27
    Description: Compound extremes such as compound dry-hot events (CDHEs) have received more and more attention in the last two decades due to their more devastating impacts than those caused by droughts or heatwaves separately. A daily-scale CDHE index, i.e., compound dry-hot index daily (CDHId), based on the copula and conditional probability is proposed to identify dry and hot days to quantify the severity of CDHEs. Standard precipitation index (SPI), standard temperature index (STI), and CDHId are used to explore the spatial-temporal variations of droughts, heatwaves, and CDHEs in China from 1961 to 2020. Results show that CDHEs occurred more frequently after the period from the late 1970s to the early 1980s. Northeast China, Southwest China, and the Tibetan Plateau witnessed the most significant increases in CDHEs. 87% of CDHEs occurred with droughts leading, indicating that CDHEs are more likely to be induced by antecedent dry conditions. The negative correlation between temperature and precipitation in the land-atmosphere feedback plays an important role in the formation of CDHE at local and short temporal scales. However, the long-term temporal variation of CDHEs is dominated by heatwaves, with a significant partial correlation coefficient of 0.66 between the average frequency of CDHEs and that of heatwaves (versus 0.16 between CDHEs and droughts). The significant increase and enhancement of CDHEs since the early 1980s is consistent with the temporal variation of global temperature.
    Language: English
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  • 10
    Publication Date: 2023-07-12
    Description: Satellite measurements of the oceanic atmosphere are an important source of geophysical information, since surface-based measurements are largely missing, except from buoys and ships. Validation of satellite-derived atmospheric products over the ocean is therefore of vital importance for quality assessment and algorithm development of satellite products. Although the oceans cover the largest fraction of the Earth’s surface, validation of atmospheric satellite products is strongly dominated by observations over land. There is a clear need for more atmospheric validation measurements over ocean. We have performed measurements of clouds, aerosols and radiation over the Atlantic Ocean from about 28º N to 52º S in January-February 2023 on the German research vessel Maria S. Merian during cruises MSM-114 and MSM-114/2. Aerosol measurements were performed by handheld sunphotometers (Microtops and Calitoo) for multispectral aerosol optical thickness, an aerosol monitor (TSI Dusttrak) for in-situ particulate mass per size range, and a ceilometer (Jenoptik) for vertical profile of aerosols. Cloud observations consisted of Hatpro microwave radiometer measurements, and Infrared imagery. Radiation observations consisted of broad-band shortwave and longwave irradiance measurements. We will show a comparison of these shipborne observations to retrieved cloud and radiation products from the EUMETSAT Meteosat satellite, and aerosol products from the Copernicus Sentinel-3 satellite, carrying the OLCI and SLSTR multispectral imagers, and the Copernicus Sentinel-5P satellite carrying the Tropomi spectrometer. Several interesting aerosol events were observed during the cruises: desert dust plumes from the Sahara, biomass burning aerosol plumes from West Africa, and background maritime aerosols.
    Language: English
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