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  • 1
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    Seismic hazard and risk in Central Asia [Elektronische Ressource] (2011)
    Potsdam : Deutsches GeoForschungsZentrum
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    Call number: STR 11/14
    In: Scientific technical report
    Description / Table of Contents: This short report describes the first attempt at obtaining a preliminary cross-border risk model for Central Asia starting from datasets that were already available at the beginning of the EMCA Project.
    Pages: Online-Ressource
    Series Statement: Scientific technical report / Deutsches GeoForschungsZentrum GFZ 11/14
    URL: http://ebooks.gfz-potsdam.de/pubman/item/escidoc:43419
    Branch Library: GFZ Library
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  • 2
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    Central Asia earthquake catalogue from ancient time to 2009 (2015)
    Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV)
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    Publication Date: 2015-04-25
    Description: In this work, we present the seismic catalogue compiled for Central Asia (Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Uzbekistan and Turkmenistan) in the framework of the Earthquake Model Central Asia (EMCA) project. The catalogue from 2000 B.C. to 2009 A.D. is composed by 33,034 earthquakes in the MLH magnitude (magnitude by surface waves on horizontal components widely used in practice of the former USSR countries) range from 1.5 to 8.3. The catalogue includes both macroseimic and instrumental constrained data, with about 32,793 earthquake after 1900 A.D. The main sources and procedure used to compile the catalogues are discussed, and the comparison with the ISC-GEM catalogue presented. Magnitude of completeness analysis shows that the catalogue is complete down to magnitude 4 from 1959 and to magnitude 7 from 1873, whereas the obtained regional b value is 0.805.
    Print ISSN: 1593-5213
    Topics: Geosciences
    Published by Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV)
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  • 3
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    Building monitoring in Bishkek and Dushanbe by the use of ambient vibration analysis (2015)
    Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV)
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    Publication Date: 2015-04-25
    Description: Within the framework of the EMCA - Earthquake Model Central Asia - project, the cities of Bishkek (Kyrgyzstan) and Dushanbe (Tajikistan) were selected for building monitoring using measurements of seismic noise to obtain the dynamical properties of the buildings. Eight buildings of different construction types, date of construction and building height, both, Soviet-era and recently constructed buildings, were instrumented for a period of a few hours. In this study, an overview of the experiment is given, including a short description of each monitored building’s structure and the performed installation. Preliminary results for a representative Soviet-era residential building in Dushanbe are presented. Modal analysis is performed using the Frequency Domain Decomposition (FDD) method to estimate the natural frequencies and the mode shapes. The wave propagation velocities in the two directions along the building axes are determined by an interferometric approach. Although the experimental set-up was not the optimal, valuable information about the dynamical characteristics of the buildings were still obtained.
    Print ISSN: 1593-5213
    Topics: Geosciences
    Published by Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV)
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  • 4
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    On-site early-warning system for Bishkek (Kyrgyzstan) (2015)
    Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV)
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    Publication Date: 2015-04-25
    Description: In this work, the development of an on-site early warning system for Bishkek (Kyrgyzstan) is outlined. Several low cost sensors equipped with MEMS accelerometers are installed in eight buildings distributed within the urban area. The different sensing units communicate each other via wireless links and the seismic data are streamed in real-time to the data center using internet. Since each single sensing unit has computing capabilities, software for data processing can be installed to perform decentralized actions. In particular, each sensing unit can perform event detection task and run software for on-site early warning. If a description for the vulnerability of the building is uploaded in the sensing unit, this piece of information can be exploited to introduce the expected probability of damage in the early-warning protocol customized for a specific structure.
    Print ISSN: 1593-5213
    Topics: Geosciences
    Published by Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV)
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  • 5
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    The contribution of EMCA to landslide susceptibility mapping in Central Asia (2015)
    Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV)
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    Publication Date: 2015-04-25
    Description: Central Asia is one of the most exposed regions in the world to landslide hazard. The large variability of local geological materials, together with the difficulties in forecasting heavy precipitation locally and in quantifying the level of ground shaking, call for harmonized procedures to better quantify the hazard and the negative impact of slope failures across the Central Asian countries. As a first step towards a quantitative landslide hazard and risk assessment, a landslide susceptibility analysis at regional scale has been carried out, by benefitting of novel seismic hazard outcomes reached in the frame of Earthquake Model Central Asia (EMCA) project. By combining information coming from diverse potential factors, it is possible to detect areas where a potential for landslides exists. Initial results allow the identification of areas that are more susceptible to landslides with a level of accuracy greater than 70%. The presented method is, therefore, capable of supporting land planning activities at the regional scale in places where only scarce data are available.
    Print ISSN: 1593-5213
    Topics: Geosciences
    Published by Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV)
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  • 6
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    Probabilistic seismic hazard assessment of Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan, considering empirically estimated site effects (2015)
    Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV)
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    Publication Date: 2015-04-25
    Description: It is well known that variability in the surface geology potentially leads to the modification of earthquake-induced ground motion over short distances. Although this effect is of major importance when seismic hazard is assessed at the urban level, it is very often not appropriately accounted for. In this paper, we present a first attempt at taking into account the influence of the shallow geological structure on the seismic hazard assessment for Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan, using a proxy (Vs30) that has been estimated from in situ seismic noise array analyses, and considering response spectral ratios calculated by analyzing a series of earthquake recordings of a temporary seismic network. To highlight the spatial variability of the observed ground motion, the obtained results are compared with those estimated assuming a homogeneous Vs30 value over the whole urban area. The seismic hazard is evaluated in terms of peak ground acceleration (PGA) and spectral acceleration (SA) at different periods (frequencies). The presented results consider the values obtained for a 10% probability of exceedance in 50 years. The largest SA estimated considering a rock site classification of the area (0.43 g) is observed for a period of 0.1 s (10 Hz), while the maximum PGA reaches 0.21 g. When site effects are included through the Vs30 proxy in the seismic hazard calculation, the largest SA, 0.67 g, is obtained for a period of 0.3 s (about 3.3 Hz). In terms of PGA, in this case the largest estimated value reaches 0.31 g in the northern part of the town. When the variability of ground motion is accounted for through response spectrum ratios, the largest SA reaches a value as high as 1.39 g at a period of 0.5 s. In general, considering site effects in the seismic hazard assessment of Bishkek leads to an increase of seismic hazard in the north of the city, which is thus identified as the most hazardous part within the study area and which is more far away from the faults.
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    Topics: Geosciences
    Published by Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV)
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  • 7
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    Probabilistic seismic hazard assessment for Central Asia (2015)
    Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV)
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    Publication Date: 2015-04-25
    Description: Central Asia is one of the seismically most active regions in the world. Its complex seismicity due to the collision of the Eurasian and Indian plates has resulted in some of the world’s largest intra-plate events over history. The region is dominated by reverse faulting over strike slip and normal faulting events. The GSHAP project (1999), aiming at a hazard assessment on a global scale, indicated that the region of Central Asia is characterized by peak ground accelerations for 10% probability of exceedance in 50 years as high as 9 m/s 2 . In this study, carried out within the framework of the EMCA project (Earthquake Model Central Asia), the area source model and different kernel approaches are used for a probabilistic seismic hazard assessment (PSHA) for Central Asia. The seismic hazard is assessed considering shallow (depth 〈 50 km) seismicity only and employs an updated (with respect to previous projects) earthquake catalog for the region. The seismic hazard is calculated in terms of macroseismic intensity (MSK-64), intended to be used for the seismic risk maps of the region. The hazard maps, shown in terms of 10% probability of exceedance in 50 years, are derived by using the OpenQuake software [Pagani et al. 2014], which is an open source software tool developed by the GEM (Global Earthquake Model) foundation. The maximum hazard observed in the region reaches an intensity of around 8 in southern Tien Shan for 475 years mean return period. The maximum hazard estimated for some of the cities in the region, Bishkek, Dushanbe, Tashkent and Almaty, is between 7 and 8 (7-8), 8.0, 7.0 and 8.0 macroseismic Intensity, respectively, for 475 years mean return period, using different approaches. The results of different methods for assessing the level of seismic hazard are compared and their underlying methodologies are discussed.
    Print ISSN: 1593-5213
    Topics: Geosciences
    Published by Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV)
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  • 8
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    An overview on the seismic microzonation and site effect studies in Central Asia (2015)
    Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV)
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    Publication Date: 2015-04-25
    Description: During the past centuries, many cities in Central Asia have suffered significant damages caused by earthquakes. A crucial step towards preparedness for future events, the definition of the optimal engineering designs for civil structures and the mitigation of earthquake risks involves the accomplishment of site response studies. To accurately identify local variations of the site response at different locations within the cities, earthquakes recorded by seismic networks as well as measurements of the seismic noise can be used for estimating the resonance frequencies and for evaluating the expected level of ground motion at each site. Additionally, the measurements can help identifying site specific features like more-dimensional resonances and directional effects. This information can be complemented with array measurements of ambient seismic noise in order to estimate local shear-wave velocity profiles, an essential parameter for evaluating the dynamic properties of soil, and to characterize the corresponding sediment layers at each site. The present study gives an overview on the progressive development of the seismic zonation studies in the frame of EMCA carried out in several cities in Central Asia.
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    Topics: Geosciences
    Published by Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV)
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  • 9
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    Modelling basin effects on earthquake ground motion in the Santiago de Chile basin by a spectral element code (2011)
    Oxford University Press
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    Publication Date: 2011-09-09
    Description: SUMMARY Simulations of strong ground motion within the Santiago de Chile Metropolitan area were carried out by means of 3-D deterministic wave propagation tool based on the spectral element method. The simulated events take into account the pronounced interface between the low-velocity sedimentary basin and the bedrock as well as topography of the area. To verify our model we simulated a regional earthquake recorded by a dense network installed in the city of Santiago for recording aftershock activity after the 2010 February 27 Maule main shock. The results proof the alluvial basin amplification effects and show a strong dependence of spectral amplification in the basin on the local site conditions. Moreover, we studied the seismic response due to a hypothetical M w = 6.0 event occurring along the active San Ramón Fault, which is crossing the eastern edge of the city. The scenario earthquakes exhibit that an unfavourable interaction between fault rupture, radiation mechanism and complex geological and topographic conditions in the near-field region may give rise to large values of peak ground velocity in the basin. Finally, 3-D numerical predictions of ground motion are compared with the one computed according to ground motion prediction equations selected among the next generation attenuation relationships, in terms of ground motion peak values and spectral acceleration. The comparison underlines that the 3-D scenario simulations predict a significantly higher level of ground motion in the Santiago basin, especially over deep alluvial deposits. Moreover, also the location of the rupture nucleation largely influences the observed shaking pattern.
    Print ISSN: 0956-540X
    Electronic ISSN: 1365-246X
    Topics: Geosciences
    Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of The Deutsche Geophysikalische Gesellschaft (DGG) and the Royal Astronomical Society (RAS).
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  • 10
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    Three-dimensional shear wave velocity imaging by ambient seismic noise tomography (2012)
    Oxford University Press
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    Publication Date: 2012-01-26
    Description: SUMMARY 3-D shear wave velocity images are of particular interest for engineering seismology. To obtain information about the local subsoil structure, we present a one-step inversion procedure based on the computation of high-frequency correlation functions between stations of a small-scale array deployed for recording ambient seismic noise. The calculation of Rayleigh wave phase velocities is based on the frequency-domain SPatial AutoCorrelation technique. Constitutively, a tomographic inversion of the traveltimes estimated for each frequency is performed, allowing the laterally varying 3-D surface wave velocity structure below the array to be retrieved. We test our technique by using simulations of seismic noise for a simple realistic site and by using real-world recordings from a small-scale array performed at the Nauen test site (Germany). The results imply that the cross-sections from passive seismic interferometry provide a clear image of the local structural heterogeneities and the shear wave velocities are satisfactorily reproduced. The velocity structure is also found to be in good agreement with the results of geoelectrical measurements, indicating the potential of the method to be easily applied for deriving the shallow 3-D velocity structure in urban areas and for monitoring purposes.
    Print ISSN: 0956-540X
    Electronic ISSN: 1365-246X
    Topics: Geosciences
    Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of The Deutsche Geophysikalische Gesellschaft (DGG) and the Royal Astronomical Society (RAS).
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