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  • 1
    Keywords: Earthquake predition ; Ground motion prediction ; Neo-deterministic seismic hazard assessments ; Probabilistic seismic hazard assessments ; Seismic risk analysis ; Seismic wave propagation
    Description / Table of Contents: Issues pertaining to urban risks are a pressing concern for those involved in disasters mitigation. Development of effective mitigation strategies requires sound seismic hazard information that is commonly derived through a seismic hazard assessment (SHA). The purpose of SHA is to provide a scientifically consistent estimate of seismic hazard for engineering design and other considerations. The time is ripe to move beyond the old paradigms of the traditional Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis (PSHA). This two-part volume advocates advanced methods for SHA that utilize up to date earthquake science and basic scientific principles to derive the seismic hazard in terms of a ground motion or related quantity and its occurrence frequency at a site, as well as the associated uncertainty. It aims to: 1) identify the issues in the current SHAs, 2) facilitate the development of a scientifically consistent approach for SHA and 3) disseminate, both in scientific and in engineering practice societies, advanced reliable tools for independent hazard estimates, like NDSHA (neo-deterministic SHA), which incorporates physically based ground motion models. It provides a fresh approach to seismic hazard analysis. Part 2 provides advanced SHA case studies, concerning regional national and metropolitan estimates for different parts of the world, including Asia, Europe, North and South America. It is addressed to seismologists, engineers and stake-holders, and aims to contribute to bridging between modern interdisciplinary research and practitioners.
    Pages: Online-Ressource (320 Seiten)
    ISBN: 9783034800914
    Language: English
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  • 2
    Keywords: Earthquake predition ; Ground motion prediction ; Neo-deterministic seismic hazard assessments ; Probabilistic seismic hazard assessments ; Seismic risk analysis ; Seismic wave propagation
    Description / Table of Contents: Issues pertaining to urban risks are a pressing concern for those involved in disasters mitigation. Development of effective mitigation strategies requires sound seismic hazard information that is commonly derived through a seismic hazard assessment (SHA). The purpose of SHA is to provide a scientifically consistent estimate of seismic hazard for engineering design and other considerations. The time is ripe to move beyond the old paradigms of the traditional Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis (PSHA). This two-part volume advocates advanced methods for SHA that utilize up to date earthquake science and basic scientific principles to derive the seismic hazard in terms of a ground motion or related quantity and its occurrence frequency at a site, as well as the associated uncertainty. It aims to: 1) identify the issues in the current SHAs, 2) facilitate the development of a scientifically consistent approach for SHA and 3) disseminate, both in scientific and in engineering practice societies, advanced reliable tools for independent hazard estimates, like NDSHA (neo-deterministic SHA), which incorporates physically based ground motion models. It provides a fresh approach to seismic hazard analysis. Part 1 deals with the general issues of SHA methodology review and development, as well as with recent advances in earthquake science that may have relevant implications toward an improved SHA. It is addressed to seismologists, engineers and stake-holders, and aims to contribute to bridging between modern interdisciplinary research and practitioners.
    Pages: Online-Ressource (366 Seiten)
    ISBN: 9783034800396
    Language: English
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  • 3
    Electronic Resource
    Electronic Resource
    College Park, Md. : American Institute of Physics (AIP)
    The Journal of Chemical Physics 105 (1996), S. 7249-7262 
    ISSN: 1089-7690
    Source: AIP Digital Archive
    Topics: Physics , Chemistry and Pharmacology
    Notes: The rotational spectrum of dinitrogen pentoxide (N2O5) has been investigated between 8 to 25 GHz at a rotational temperature of ∼2.5 K using a pulsed-molecular-beam Fourier-transform microwave spectrometer. Two weak b-dipole spectra are observed for two internal-rotor states of the molecule, with each spectrum poorly characterized by an asymmetric-rotor Hamiltonian. The observation of only b-type transitions is consistent with the earlier electron-diffraction results of McClelland et al. [J. Am. Chem. Soc. 105, 3789 (1983)] which give a C2 symmetry molecule with the b inertial axis coincident with the C2 axis. Analysis of the 14N nuclear hyperfine structure demonstrates that the two nitrogen nuclei occupy either structurally equivalent positions or are interchanging inequivalent structural positions via tunneling or internal rotation at a rate larger than ∼1 MHz. For the two internal rotor states, rotational levels with Ka+Kc even have IN=0, 2, while levels with Ka+Kc odd have IN=1, where IN is the resultant nitrogen nuclear spin. This observation establishes that the equilibrium configuration of the molecule has a twofold axis of symmetry. Guided by ab initio and dynamical calculations which show a planar configuration is energetically unfavorable, we assign the spectrum to the symmetric and antisymmetric tunneling states of a C2 symmetry N2O5 with internal rotation tunneling of the two NO2 groups via a geared rotation about their respective C2 axes. Because of the Bose–Einstein statistics of the spin-zero oxygen nuclei, which require that the rotational–vibrational–tunneling wave functions be symmetric for interchange of the O nuclei, only four of the ten vibrational-rotational-tunneling states of the molecule have nonzero statistical weights. Model dynamical calculations suggest that the internal-rotation potential is significantly more isotropic than implied by the electron-diffraction analysis. © 1996 American Institute of Physics.
    Type of Medium: Electronic Resource
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  • 4
    ISSN: 1573-157X
    Keywords: H/V ratio ; Kappa ; Kobe earthquake ; Non-Linearity
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Geosciences , Physics
    Notes: Abstract Simple straightforward methods are applied to testtheir ability to detect the non-linear response of thesoil. Recordings of the main shock and aftershocks ofthe 1995, Hyogo-ken Nanbu (Kobe) earthquake are used.Non-linear effects are investigated using twodifferent techniques, on a collection of data for 12sites situated on different geological structures inthe Kobe and Osaka areas. The first method used is theso-called receiver functions technique (Langston,1979), which consists of computing the spectral ratiobetween horizontal and vertical components of motion.This ratio has been shown to reveal the fundamentalfrequency of a site (Lachet and Bard, 1994; Lachet etal., 1996; Theodulidis et al., 1995, 1996). For eachsite, recordings of the main shock and a set ofaftershocks are considered. The variation of thisspectral ratio for different values of the maximumacceleration recorded at a site is investigated. Bothvariations of the amplitude of the H/V ratio (due tonon-linear behavior, on the horizontal components inparticular) and of the frequency position of theamplified band-width are observed. The secondtechnique used in this study is related to thevariation of the high frequency content of therecordings during the main-shock and its aftershocks.The high frequency spectral decay of the motion,characterized by κ parameter, is assumed to berelated mainly to the near-surface attenuation. Itshould then increase with increasing peak velocity, incase of non-linearity. The value of kappa iscalculated for the 12 sites in the Kobe area, fordifferent types of soil conditions, and againdifferent values of peak ground acceleration.Variations of kappa are then related to non-linearbehavior of the soil during the Kobe earthquake.
    Type of Medium: Electronic Resource
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  • 5
    Publication Date: 2019-11-04
    Description: We introduce a generalized method for simulating strong ground motion from large earthquakes by summing subevent records to follow the ?2 law. The original idea of the method is based on a constant stress parameter between the target event and the subevent. It is applicable to a case where both events have a different stress drop after some manipulation. However, the simulation for a very large earthquake from a small event with this method has inevitably some deficiencies of spectral amplitudes in the intermediate frequency range deviating f`rom the ?2 model, although the high and low frequency motions match the scaling. We improve the simulation algorithm so as not to make spectral sags, introducing self-similar distribution of subfaults with different sizes in the fault plane, so-called fractal composite faulting model. We show successful simulations for intermediate-sized earthquakes (MJMA = 5.0, 6.0 and 6.1), the large aftershocks of the 1983 Akita-Oki earthquake. using the records of smaller aftershocks (MJMA = 3.9 and 5.0) as an empirical Green's function. Further, we attempted to estimate strong ground motion for the 1946 Nankai earthquake with Mw 8.2, using the records of a MJMA 5.1 earthquake occurring near the source region of the mainshock. We found that strong ground motions simulated for the fractal composite faulting model with two asperities radiating significantly high frequency motions matched well the observed data such as the near-field displacement record, the source spectrum estimated from the teleseismic record, and the seismic intensity distribution during the 1946 Nankai earthquake.
    Description: JCR Journal
    Description: open
    Keywords: empirical Green's function ; strong ground motion ; scaling law ; 04. Solid Earth::04.06. Seismology::04.06.10. Instruments and techniques
    Repository Name: Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV)
    Type: article
    Format: 5866384 bytes
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  • 6
    Publication Date: 2019-11-04
    Description: We investigate some characteristics of foreshock activity of moderate and large earthquakes which occurred in the present century in Albania and the surrounding area. Using a prediction algorithm, based on possible foreshocks, we obtained a probabilistic relation between possible foreshocks and mainshocks. From documentary and instrumental data for the period 1901-1994 for the area between 39.0°- 43.0°N and 18.5°-21.5°E we evaluated the probability of the occurrence of mainshocks immediately after their possible foreshocks. The result shows that the probability that mainshocks with magnitude M ³ 6.0 are preceded by a foreshock with magnitude M ³ 4.4, distance £ about 50 km and time £ 10 days is 38% (6/16). The probability that one earthquake with M ³ 4.4 will be followed by a larger earthquake with M ³ 6.0 within about 50 km and 10 days is 1.3% (6/468), but the probability increases to 33% (1/3) if 7 earthquakes with M ³ 4.4 occur within about 50 km and 10 days. From instrumental data for the period 1971-1994, the probability that mainshocks with M ³ 5.0 are preceded by a foreshock with magnitude M ³ 4.0 is 33% (5/15). The probability that one earthquake with M ³ 4.0 will be followed by a larger earthquake with M ³ 5.0 within about 50 km and 10 days is 1.9% (5/262), but the probability increase to 5.6% (1/18) if 3 earthquakes with M ³ 4.0 occur within about 50 km and 10 days. We also found a regional variation of foreshock activity with activity decreasing from the Vlora-Elbasani-Dibra transversal seismic belt to the Ionian-Adriatic seismic zone to the interior part of Albania seismic zone.
    Description: JCR Journal
    Description: open
    Keywords: Probability estimation of foreshock activity ; 04. Solid Earth::04.06. Seismology::04.06.02. Earthquake interactions and probability
    Repository Name: Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV)
    Type: article
    Format: 3146826 bytes
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  • 7
    Publication Date: 2016-07-26
    Description: The frequency content of strong ground motions from subduction slab earthquakes differs significantly from that of ground motions produced by other categories (tectonic locations: shallow crustal, upper mantle, and subduction interface) of earthquakes in subduction zones. In the last two decades, a large number of records from subduction slab events have been obtained in Japan. We present a ground-motion prediction equation (GMPE) for this category of earthquakes. We used a large dataset from reliably identified slab events up to the end of 2012. The GMPEs were based on a set of simple geometric attenuation functions, site classes were used as site terms, and nonlinear site amplification ratios were adopted. A bilinear magnitude-scaling function was adopted for large earthquakes with moment magnitude M w ≥7.1, with the scaling rates for large events being much smaller than for the smaller events. A magnitude-squared term was used for events with M w 〈7.1 as well as the bilinear magnitude-scaling function. We also modeled the effect of volcanic zones using an anelastic attenuation coefficient applied to a horizontal portion of the seismic-wave travel distance within possible volcanic zones. We found that excluding the records from sites with inferred site classes improved the model goodness of fit. The within-event residuals were approximately separated into within-site and between-site residuals, and the corresponding standard deviations were calculated using a random effects model. The separation of within-event residuals into within-site and between-site components allows for the possibility of adopting different standard deviations for different site classes in a probabilistic seismic-hazard analysis if desired. Online Material: Figures showing the distribution of between-event residuals with respect to magnitude and fault-top depth and the distribution of within-event residuals with respect to magnitude and source distance.
    Print ISSN: 0037-1106
    Electronic ISSN: 1943-3573
    Topics: Geosciences , Physics
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  • 8
    Publication Date: 2016-07-26
    Description: In this article, ground-motion prediction equations (GMPEs) based on the horizontal components of the strong-motion records from shallow crustal and upper-mantle earthquakes in Japan are presented. We assembled a large dataset from earthquakes with a moment magnitude ( M w ) over 4.9 and a reliable earthquake category (the tectonic location of earthquakes) up to the end of 2012. The GMPEs were based on a set of simple geometric attenuation functions. A bilinear magnitude-scaling function hinged at M w  7.1 was adopted, with the scaling rates for large events being much smaller than those for the smaller events. Site classes based on site period were used as site terms, and nonlinear site terms were included. We modeled the effect of volcanic zones using an anelastic attenuation coefficient applied to a horizontal portion of the seismic-wave travel distance within volcanic zones. Most strong-motion records in our dataset are from stations with a measured shear-wave velocity profile down to engineering bedrock. A small number of records are from stations with inferred site classes using the response spectral ratio of the horizontal-to-vertical components or geologic description of the surface soil layers. We tested the effect of site information quality by comparing the goodness-of-fit parameters from the model with and without the sites with inferred site classes. Our results suggest that the site information quality made a significant difference for spectral periods over 0.7 s, that is, the exclusion of sites with inferred site classes improves the model fit significantly. The within-event residuals were approximately separated into within-site and between-site components, and the corresponding standard deviations were calculated. The approximate separation allows for the possibility of adopting different standard deviations for different site classes in a probabilistic seismic-hazard analysis if desired. Online Material: References for fault rupture plane models, earthquake records and volcanic zones information, illustration of site information quality effect, standard deviations for between-event, within-event, between-site and within-site residual, and the distribution of between-event and within-event residuals.
    Print ISSN: 0037-1106
    Electronic ISSN: 1943-3573
    Topics: Geosciences , Physics
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  • 9
    Publication Date: 2016-07-26
    Description: We presented a set of ground-motion prediction equations (GMPEs) for the horizontal components of strong-motion records from subduction interface events in Japan. We assembled and processed in a consistent manner a large set of strong-motion records from reliably identified subduction interface events up to the end of 2012. The GMPEs were based on a set of simple geometric attenuation functions, and site class was based on site period as the site parameter. We adopted a bilinear magnitude-scaling function hinged at M w  7.1 and found that the magnitude-scaling rate for large events is much smaller than that for smaller events. To reliably determine the magnitude-scaling rate for events with M w ≥7.1, we used a set of strong-motion records obtained since 1968 to increase the number of records from large events. A small number of strong-motion records are from recording stations with inferred site classes using the response spectral ratio of the horizontal-to-vertical components or a geological description of the surface soil layers. The effect of site information quality for subduction interface events was examined using a goodness-of-fit parameter from a dataset with or without the sites having an inferred site class. The site information quality made a significant difference at all spectral periods, because the model fit improved significantly when the sites with inferred classes were excluded. We modeled the effect of volcanic zones using an anelastic attenuation coefficient applied to the horizontal portion of the seismic-wave travel distance within a set of assumed volcanic zones. The within-event residuals were approximately separated into within-site and between-site components, and the corresponding standard deviations were calculated using a random effects model. The between-site standard deviations vary significantly among site classes and with spectral periods. Online Material: Figures showing distributions of between-event and within-event residuals.
    Print ISSN: 0037-1106
    Electronic ISSN: 1943-3573
    Topics: Geosciences , Physics
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  • 10
    Publication Date: 1996-11-01
    Print ISSN: 0021-9606
    Electronic ISSN: 1089-7690
    Topics: Chemistry and Pharmacology , Physics
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