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  • 1
    Electronic Resource
    Electronic Resource
    Springer
    Annales geophysicae 18 (2000), S. 766-781 
    ISSN: 0992-7689
    Keywords: Ionosphere (ionospheric disturbances; mid-latitude ionosphere; modeling and forecasting)
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Geosciences , Physics
    Notes: Abstract A physical model of the coupled thermosphere and ionosphere has been used to determine the accuracy of model predictions of the ionospheric response to geomagnetic activity, and assess our understanding of the physical processes. The physical model is driven by empirical descriptions of the high-latitude electric field and auroral precipitation, as measures of the strength of the magnetospheric sources of energy and momentum to the upper atmosphere. Both sources are keyed to the time-dependent TIROS/NOAA auroral power index. The output of the model is the departure of the ionospheric F region from the normal climatological mean. A 50-day interval towards the end of 1997 has been simulated with the model for two cases. The first simulation uses only the electric fields and auroral forcing from the empirical models, and the second has an additional source of random electric field variability. In both cases, output from the physical model is compared with F-region data from ionosonde stations. Quantitative model/data comparisons have been performed to move beyond the conventional “visual” scientific assessment, in order to determine the value of the predictions for operational use. For this study, the ionosphere at two ionosonde stations has been studied in depth, one each from the northern and southern mid-latitudes. The model clearly captures the seasonal dependence in the ionospheric response to geomagnetic activity at mid-latitude, reproducing the tendency for decreased ion density in the summer hemisphere and increased densities in winter. In contrast to the “visual” success of the model, the detailed quantitative comparisons, which are necessary for space weather applications, are less impressive. The accuracy, or value, of the model has been quantified by evaluating the daily standard deviation, the root-mean-square error, and the correlation coefficient between the data and model predictions. The modeled quiet-time variability, or standard deviation, and the increases during geomagnetic activity, agree well with the data in winter, but is low in summer. The RMS error of the physical model is about the same as the IRI empirical model during quiet times. During the storm events the RMS error of the model improves on IRI, but there are occasionally false-alarms. Using unsmoothed data over the full interval, the correlation coefficients between the model and data are low, between 0.3 and 0.4. Isolating the storm intervals increases the correlation to between 0.43 and 0.56, and by smoothing the data the values increases up to 0.65. The study illustrates the substantial difference between scientific success and a demonstration of value for space weather applications.
    Type of Medium: Electronic Resource
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  • 2
    ISSN: 1420-9136
    Keywords: Thermosphere ; ionosphere ; global modelling
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Geosciences , Physics
    Notes: Abstract The University College London Global Thermospheric Model and the Sheffield University High-Latitude Ionospheric Convection Model have been integrated and improved to simulate the self-consistent interaction of the thermosphere and ionosphere at high latitudes. For mid- and low-latitudes, equatorward of 65 degrees geomagnetic, the neutral thermospheric code maintains the use of an empirical description of plasma densities. The neutral thermospheric wind velocity, composition, density, and energy budget are computed, including their full interactions with the high-latitude ion drift and the evolution of the plasma densities of O+, H+, NO+, N2 +, and O2 +. Two 24 hr Universal Time (UT) simulations have been performed at high solar activity, for a level of moderate geomagnetic activity, at the June and December solstices, to investigate the UT and seasonal response of the coupled system. During winter, the diurnal migration of the polar convection pattern into and out of sunlight, together with ion transport, plays a major role in the plasma density structure at F-region altitudes. Only during those UT periods, when the entire geomagnetic polar region is in total darkness, is the effect of auroral oval precipitation imprinted on the F-region. In summer, the increase in the proportion of molecular to atomic species, created by the global seasonal circulation and augmented by the geomagnetic forcing, is effective in controlling the plasma densities at all Universal Times. The increased destruction of atomic oxygen ions in summer reduces the mean level of F-region ionization to similar mean levels seen in winter, despite the increased level of solar insolation. The UT variation exceeds the seasonal differences, implying a longitudinal dependency in what can be described as a high-latitude winter ionospheric anomaly. Below 200 km summer plasma densities exceed winter values at all times, and are responsible for the larger summer conductivities, Joule heating, and consequently, increased neutral winds and composition disturbance. The summer F-region ion density profile is a broader, flatter feature than in winter, the peak spanning a wider altitude range.
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  • 3
    Electronic Resource
    Electronic Resource
    Springer
    Annales geophysicae 14 (1997), S. 1159-1169 
    ISSN: 0992-7689
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Geosciences , Physics
    Notes: Abstract A fully time-dependent ionospheric convection model, in which electric potentials are derived by an analytic solution of Laplace’s equation, is described. This model has been developed to replace the empirically derived average convection patterns currently used routinely in the Sheffield/SEL/UCL coupled thermosphere/ionosphere/plasmasphere model (CTIP) for modelling disturbed periods. Illustrative studies of such periods indicate that, for the electric field pulsation periods imposed, long-term averages of parameters such as Joule heating and plasma density have significantly different values in a time-dependent model compared to those derived under the same mean conditions in a steady-state model. These differences are indicative of the highly non-linear nature of the processes involved.
    Type of Medium: Electronic Resource
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  • 4
    ISSN: 0992-7689
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Geosciences , Physics
    Notes: Abstract In the past the global, fully coupled, time-dependent mathematical model of the Earth’s thermo-sphere/ionosphere/plasmasphere (CTIP) has been unable to reproduce accurately observed values of the maximum plasma frequency, foF2, at extreme geophysical locations such as the Argentine Islands during the summer solstice where the ionosphere remains in sunlight throughout the day. This is probably because the seasonal dependence of thermospheric cooling by 5.3 μm nitric oxide has been neglected and the photodissociation of O2 and heating rate calculations have been over-simplified. Now we have included an up-to-date calculation of the solar EUV and UV thermospheric heating rate, coupled with a new calculation of a diurnally varying O2 photodissociation rate, in the model. Seasonally dependent 5.3 μm nitric oxide cooling is also included. With these important improvements, it is found that model values of foF2 are in substantially better agreement with observation. The height of the F2-peak is reduced throughout the day, but remains within acceptable limits of values derived from observation, except at around 0600 h LT. We also carry out two studies of the sensitivity of the upper atmosphere to changes in the magnitude of nitric oxide cooling and photodissociation rates. We find that hmF2 increases with increased heating, whilst foF2 falls. The converse is true for an increase in the cooling rate. Similarly increasing the photodissociation rate increases both hmF2 and foF2. These changes are explained in terms of changes in the neutral temperature, composition and neutral wind.
    Type of Medium: Electronic Resource
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  • 5
    ISSN: 0992-7689
    Keywords: Atmospheric composition and structure (thermosphere-composition and chemistry) ; Ionosphere (mid-latitude ionosphere; modelling and forecasting)
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Geosciences , Physics
    Notes: Abstract Annual, seasonal and semiannual variations of F2-layer electron density (NmF2) and height (hmF2) have been compared with the coupled thermosphere-ionosphere-plasmasphere computational model (CTIP), for geomagnetically quiet conditions. Compared with results from ionosonde data from midlatitudes, CTIP reproduces quite well many observed features of NmF2, such as the dominant winter maxima at high midlatitudes in longitude sectors near the magnetic poles, the equinox maxima in sectors remote from the magnetic poles and at lower latitudes generally, and the form of the month-to-month variations at latitudes between about 60°N and 50°S. CTIP also reproduces the seasonal behaviour of NmF2 at midnight and the summer-winter changes of hmF2. Some features of the F2-layer, not reproduced by the present version of CTIP, are attributed to processes not included in the modelling. Examples are the increased prevalence of the winter maxima of noon NmF2 at higher solar activity, which may be a consequence of the increase of F2-layer loss rate in summer by vibrationally excited molecular nitrogen, and the semiannual variation in hmF2, which may be due to tidal effects. An unexpected feature of the computed distributions of NmF2 is an east-west hemisphere difference, which seems to be linked to the geomagnetic field configuration. Physical discussion is reserved to the companion paper by Rishbeth et al.
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  • 6
    ISSN: 0992-7689
    Keywords: Atmospheric composition and structure (thermosphere-composition and chemistry) ; Ionosphere (mid-latitude ionosphere; modelling and forecasting)
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Geosciences , Physics
    Notes: Abstract The companion paper by Zou et al. shows that the annual and semiannual variations in the peak F2-layer electron density (NmF2) at midlatitudes can be reproduced by a coupled thermosphere-ionosphere computational model (CTIP), without recourse to external influences such as the solar wind, or waves and tides originating in the lower atmosphere. The present work discusses the physics in greater detail. It shows that noon NmF2 is closely related to the ambient atomic/molecular concentration ratio, and suggests that the variations of NmF2 with geographic and magnetic longitude are largely due to the geometry of the auroral ovals. It also concludes that electric fields play no important part in the dynamics of the midlatitude thermosphere. Our modelling leads to the following picture of the global three-dimensional thermospheric circulation which, as envisaged by Duncan, is the key to explaining the F2-layer variations. At solstice, the almost continuous solar input at high summer latitudes drives a prevailing summer-to-winter wind, with upwelling at low latitudes and throughout most of the summer hemisphere, and a zone of downwelling in the winter hemisphere, just equatorward of the auroral oval. These motions affect thermospheric composition more than do the alternating day/night (up-and-down) motions at equinox. As a result, the thermosphere as a whole is more molecular at solstice than at equinox. Taken in conjunction with the well-known relation of F2-layer electron density to the atomic/molecular ratio in the neutral air, this explains the F2-layer semiannual effect in NmF2 that prevails at low and middle latitudes. At higher midlatitudes, the seasonal behaviour depends on the geographic latitude of the winter downwelling zone, though the effect of the composition changes is modified by the large solar zenith angle at midwinter. The zenith angle effect is especially important in longitudes far from the magnetic poles. Here, the downwelling occurs at high geographic latitudes, where the zenith angle effect becomes overwhelming and causes a midwinter depression of electron density, despite the enhanced atomic/molecular ratio. This leads to a semiannual variation of NmF2. A different situation exists in winter at longitudes near the magnetic poles, where the downwelling occurs at relatively low geographic latitudes so that solar radiation is strong enough to produce large values of NmF2. This circulation-driven mechanism provides a reasonably complete explanation of the observed pattern of F2 layer annual and semiannual quiet-day variations.
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  • 7
    ISSN: 1573-0956
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Geosciences , Physics
    Notes: Abstract Since late 1980, a ground-based Fabry-Perot interferometer has been in operation near Kiruna, Sweden (20.4°E, 67.8°N). This instrument has recorded thermospheric neutral winds under a wide range of geophysical conditions which have occurred during six observing winters. These data cover the period from the time of maximum geomagnetic activity during the last solar cycle, 1980/82, to the 1985/86 period of generally quiet geomagnetic activity near sunspot minimum. A statistical analysis of the data from about 400 nights of observation provides a graphic description of the generally rapid time-dependence of thermospheric winds in the vicinity of the mean auroral oval to individual geomagnetic disturbances. The data also provide an excellent data base describing the auroral oval. The data describe ion convection patterns as they respond to variable geomagnetic activity, and also the mean distribution of O I 630 nm emission as a function of local time, latitude and geomagnetic activity. These results can be used to examine the geomagnetic input parameters to a global thermospheric model (for example the semi-empirical global models of magnetospheric convection) as required to bring the simulations of thermospheric circulation into overall improved agreement with the observations.
    Type of Medium: Electronic Resource
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  • 8
    Publication Date: 2007-06-01
    Print ISSN: 0048-6604
    Electronic ISSN: 1944-799X
    Topics: Geosciences , Physics
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  • 9
    Publication Date: 1987-01-01
    Print ISSN: 0031-8949
    Electronic ISSN: 1402-4896
    Topics: Physics
    Published by Institute of Physics
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  • 10
    Publication Date: 1987-01-01
    Print ISSN: 0031-8949
    Electronic ISSN: 1402-4896
    Topics: Physics
    Published by Institute of Physics
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