ALBERT

Description: A novel influenza A (H1N1) virus has spread rapidly across the globe. Judging its pandemic potential is difficult with limited data, but nevertheless essential to inform appropriate health responses. By analyzing the outbreak in Mexico, early data on international spread, and viral genetic diversity, we make an early assessment of transmissibility and severity. Our estimates suggest that 23,000 (range 6000 to 32,000) individuals had been infected in Mexico by late April, giving an estimated case fatality ratio (CFR) of 0.4% (range: 0.3 to 1.8%) based on confirmed and suspected deaths reported to that time. In a community outbreak in the small community of La Gloria, Veracruz, no deaths were attributed to infection, giving an upper 95% bound on CFR of 0.6%. Thus, although substantial uncertainty remains, clinical severity appears less than that seen in the 1918 influenza pandemic but comparable with that seen in the 1957 pandemic. Clinical attack rates in children in La Gloria were twice that in adults (〈15 years of age: 61%; 〉/=15 years: 29%). Three different epidemiological analyses gave basic reproduction number (R0) estimates in the range of 1.4 to 1.6, whereas a genetic analysis gave a central estimate of 1.2. This range of values is consistent with 14 to 73 generations of human-to-human transmission having occurred in Mexico to late April. Transmissibility is therefore substantially higher than that of seasonal flu, and comparable with lower estimates of R0 obtained from previous influenza pandemics.〈br /〉〈br /〉〈a href="https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3735127/" target="_blank"〉〈img src="https://static.pubmed.gov/portal/portal3rc.fcgi/4089621/img/3977009" border="0"〉〈/a〉   〈a href="https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3735127/" target="_blank"〉This paper as free author manuscript - peer-reviewed and accepted for publication〈/a〉〈br /〉〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Notes: 〈/span〉Fraser, Christophe -- Donnelly, Christl A -- Cauchemez, Simon -- Hanage, William P -- Van Kerkhove, Maria D -- Hollingsworth, T Deirdre -- Griffin, Jamie -- Baggaley, Rebecca F -- Jenkins, Helen E -- Lyons, Emily J -- Jombart, Thibaut -- Hinsley, Wes R -- Grassly, Nicholas C -- Balloux, Francois -- Ghani, Azra C -- Ferguson, Neil M -- Rambaut, Andrew -- Pybus, Oliver G -- Lopez-Gatell, Hugo -- Alpuche-Aranda, Celia M -- Chapela, Ietza Bojorquez -- Zavala, Ethel Palacios -- Guevara, Dulce Ma Espejo -- Checchi, Francesco -- Garcia, Erika -- Hugonnet, Stephane -- Roth, Cathy -- WHO Rapid Pandemic Assessment Collaboration -- G0600719/Medical Research Council/United Kingdom -- GR082623MA/Wellcome Trust/United Kingdom -- U54 GM088491/GM/NIGMS NIH HHS/ -- Biotechnology and Biological Sciences Research Council/United Kingdom -- Medical Research Council/United Kingdom -- New York, N.Y. -- Science. 2009 Jun 19;324(5934):1557-61. doi: 10.1126/science.1176062. Epub 2009 May 11.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Author address: 〈/span〉MRC Centre for Outbreak Analysis and Modelling, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College London, Faculty of Medicine, Norfolk Place, London W2 1PG, UK.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Record origin:〈/span〉 〈a href="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/19433588" target="_blank"〉PubMed〈/a〉

Description: We present an Aboriginal Australian genomic sequence obtained from a 100-year-old lock of hair donated by an Aboriginal man from southern Western Australia in the early 20th century. We detect no evidence of European admixture and estimate contamination levels to be below 0.5%. We show that Aboriginal Australians are descendants of an early human dispersal into eastern Asia, possibly 62,000 to 75,000 years ago. This dispersal is separate from the one that gave rise to modern Asians 25,000 to 38,000 years ago. We also find evidence of gene flow between populations of the two dispersal waves prior to the divergence of Native Americans from modern Asian ancestors. Our findings support the hypothesis that present-day Aboriginal Australians descend from the earliest humans to occupy Australia, likely representing one of the oldest continuous populations outside Africa.〈br /〉〈br /〉〈a href="https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3991479/" target="_blank"〉〈img src="https://static.pubmed.gov/portal/portal3rc.fcgi/4089621/img/3977009" border="0"〉〈/a〉   〈a href="https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3991479/" target="_blank"〉This paper as free author manuscript - peer-reviewed and accepted for publication〈/a〉〈br /〉〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Notes: 〈/span〉Rasmussen, Morten -- Guo, Xiaosen -- Wang, Yong -- Lohmueller, Kirk E -- Rasmussen, Simon -- Albrechtsen, Anders -- Skotte, Line -- Lindgreen, Stinus -- Metspalu, Mait -- Jombart, Thibaut -- Kivisild, Toomas -- Zhai, Weiwei -- Eriksson, Anders -- Manica, Andrea -- Orlando, Ludovic -- De La Vega, Francisco M -- Tridico, Silvana -- Metspalu, Ene -- Nielsen, Kasper -- Avila-Arcos, Maria C -- Moreno-Mayar, J Victor -- Muller, Craig -- Dortch, Joe -- Gilbert, M Thomas P -- Lund, Ole -- Wesolowska, Agata -- Karmin, Monika -- Weinert, Lucy A -- Wang, Bo -- Li, Jun -- Tai, Shuaishuai -- Xiao, Fei -- Hanihara, Tsunehiko -- van Driem, George -- Jha, Aashish R -- Ricaut, Francois-Xavier -- de Knijff, Peter -- Migliano, Andrea B -- Gallego Romero, Irene -- Kristiansen, Karsten -- Lambert, David M -- Brunak, Soren -- Forster, Peter -- Brinkmann, Bernd -- Nehlich, Olaf -- Bunce, Michael -- Richards, Michael -- Gupta, Ramneek -- Bustamante, Carlos D -- Krogh, Anders -- Foley, Robert A -- Lahr, Marta M -- Balloux, Francois -- Sicheritz-Ponten, Thomas -- Villems, Richard -- Nielsen, Rasmus -- Wang, Jun -- Willerslev, Eske -- BB/H005854/1/Biotechnology and Biological Sciences Research Council/United Kingdom -- BB/H008802/1/Biotechnology and Biological Sciences Research Council/United Kingdom -- R01 HG003229/HG/NHGRI NIH HHS/ -- New York, N.Y. -- Science. 2011 Oct 7;334(6052):94-8. doi: 10.1126/science.1211177. Epub 2011 Sep 22.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Author address: 〈/span〉Centre for GeoGenetics, Natural History Museum of Denmark, Oster Voldgade 5-7, 1350 Copenhagen, Denmark.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Record origin:〈/span〉 〈a href="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/21940856" target="_blank"〉PubMed〈/a〉

Description: Arising from M. A. Nowak, C. E. Tarnita & E. O. Wilson 466, 1057-1062 (2010); Nowak et al. reply. Nowak et al. argue that inclusive fitness theory has been of little value in explaining the natural world, and that it has led to negligible progress in explaining the evolution of eusociality. However, we believe that their arguments are based upon a misunderstanding of evolutionary theory and a misrepresentation of the empirical literature. We will focus our comments on three general issues.〈br /〉〈br /〉〈a href="https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3836173/" target="_blank"〉〈img src="https://static.pubmed.gov/portal/portal3rc.fcgi/4089621/img/3977009" border="0"〉〈/a〉   〈a href="https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3836173/" target="_blank"〉This paper as free author manuscript - peer-reviewed and accepted for publication〈/a〉〈br /〉〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Notes: 〈/span〉Abbot, Patrick -- Abe, Jun -- Alcock, John -- Alizon, Samuel -- Alpedrinha, Joao A C -- Andersson, Malte -- Andre, Jean-Baptiste -- van Baalen, Minus -- Balloux, Francois -- Balshine, Sigal -- Barton, Nick -- Beukeboom, Leo W -- Biernaskie, Jay M -- Bilde, Trine -- Borgia, Gerald -- Breed, Michael -- Brown, Sam -- Bshary, Redouan -- Buckling, Angus -- Burley, Nancy T -- Burton-Chellew, Max N -- Cant, Michael A -- Chapuisat, Michel -- Charnov, Eric L -- Clutton-Brock, Tim -- Cockburn, Andrew -- Cole, Blaine J -- Colegrave, Nick -- Cosmides, Leda -- Couzin, Iain D -- Coyne, Jerry A -- Creel, Scott -- Crespi, Bernard -- Curry, Robert L -- Dall, Sasha R X -- Day, Troy -- Dickinson, Janis L -- Dugatkin, Lee Alan -- El Mouden, Claire -- Emlen, Stephen T -- Evans, Jay -- Ferriere, Regis -- Field, Jeremy -- Foitzik, Susanne -- Foster, Kevin -- Foster, William A -- Fox, Charles W -- Gadau, Juergen -- Gandon, Sylvain -- Gardner, Andy -- Gardner, Michael G -- Getty, Thomas -- Goodisman, Michael A D -- Grafen, Alan -- Grosberg, Rick -- Grozinger, Christina M -- Gouyon, Pierre-Henri -- Gwynne, Darryl -- Harvey, Paul H -- Hatchwell, Ben J -- Heinze, Jurgen -- Helantera, Heikki -- Helms, Ken R -- Hill, Kim -- Jiricny, Natalie -- Johnstone, Rufus A -- Kacelnik, Alex -- Kiers, E Toby -- Kokko, Hanna -- Komdeur, Jan -- Korb, Judith -- Kronauer, Daniel -- Kummerli, Rolf -- Lehmann, Laurent -- Linksvayer, Timothy A -- Lion, Sebastien -- Lyon, Bruce -- Marshall, James A R -- McElreath, Richard -- Michalakis, Yannis -- Michod, Richard E -- Mock, Douglas -- Monnin, Thibaud -- Montgomerie, Robert -- Moore, Allen J -- Mueller, Ulrich G -- Noe, Ronald -- Okasha, Samir -- Pamilo, Pekka -- Parker, Geoff A -- Pedersen, Jes S -- Pen, Ido -- Pfennig, David -- Queller, David C -- Rankin, Daniel J -- Reece, Sarah E -- Reeve, Hudson K -- Reuter, Max -- Roberts, Gilbert -- Robson, Simon K A -- Roze, Denis -- Rousset, Francois -- Rueppell, Olav -- Sachs, Joel L -- Santorelli, Lorenzo -- Schmid-Hempel, Paul -- Schwarz, Michael P -- Scott-Phillips, Tom -- Shellmann-Sherman, Janet -- Sherman, Paul W -- Shuker, David M -- Smith, Jeff -- Spagna, Joseph C -- Strassmann, Beverly -- Suarez, Andrew V -- Sundstrom, Liselotte -- Taborsky, Michael -- Taylor, Peter -- Thompson, Graham -- Tooby, John -- Tsutsui, Neil D -- Tsuji, Kazuki -- Turillazzi, Stefano -- Ubeda, Francisco -- Vargo, Edward L -- Voelkl, Bernard -- Wenseleers, Tom -- West, Stuart A -- West-Eberhard, Mary Jane -- Westneat, David F -- Wiernasz, Diane C -- Wild, Geoff -- Wrangham, Richard -- Young, Andrew J -- Zeh, David W -- Zeh, Jeanne A -- Zink, Andrew -- BB/H022716/1/Biotechnology and Biological Sciences Research Council/United Kingdom -- England -- Nature. 2011 Mar 24;471(7339):E1-4; author reply E9-10. doi: 10.1038/nature09831.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Record origin:〈/span〉 〈a href="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/21430721" target="_blank"〉PubMed〈/a〉

Description: Clovis, with its distinctive biface, blade and osseous technologies, is the oldest widespread archaeological complex defined in North America, dating from 11,100 to 10,700 (14)C years before present (bp) (13,000 to 12,600 calendar years bp). Nearly 50 years of archaeological research point to the Clovis complex as having developed south of the North American ice sheets from an ancestral technology. However, both the origins and the genetic legacy of the people who manufactured Clovis tools remain under debate. It is generally believed that these people ultimately derived from Asia and were directly related to contemporary Native Americans. An alternative, Solutrean, hypothesis posits that the Clovis predecessors emigrated from southwestern Europe during the Last Glacial Maximum. Here we report the genome sequence of a male infant (Anzick-1) recovered from the Anzick burial site in western Montana. The human bones date to 10,705 +/- 35 (14)C years bp (approximately 12,707-12,556 calendar years bp) and were directly associated with Clovis tools. We sequenced the genome to an average depth of 14.4x and show that the gene flow from the Siberian Upper Palaeolithic Mal'ta population into Native American ancestors is also shared by the Anzick-1 individual and thus happened before 12,600 years bp. We also show that the Anzick-1 individual is more closely related to all indigenous American populations than to any other group. Our data are compatible with the hypothesis that Anzick-1 belonged to a population directly ancestral to many contemporary Native Americans. Finally, we find evidence of a deep divergence in Native American populations that predates the Anzick-1 individual.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Notes: 〈/span〉Rasmussen, Morten -- Anzick, Sarah L -- Waters, Michael R -- Skoglund, Pontus -- DeGiorgio, Michael -- Stafford, Thomas W Jr -- Rasmussen, Simon -- Moltke, Ida -- Albrechtsen, Anders -- Doyle, Shane M -- Poznik, G David -- Gudmundsdottir, Valborg -- Yadav, Rachita -- Malaspinas, Anna-Sapfo -- White, Samuel Stockton 5th -- Allentoft, Morten E -- Cornejo, Omar E -- Tambets, Kristiina -- Eriksson, Anders -- Heintzman, Peter D -- Karmin, Monika -- Korneliussen, Thorfinn Sand -- Meltzer, David J -- Pierre, Tracey L -- Stenderup, Jesper -- Saag, Lauri -- Warmuth, Vera M -- Lopes, Margarida C -- Malhi, Ripan S -- Brunak, Soren -- Sicheritz-Ponten, Thomas -- Barnes, Ian -- Collins, Matthew -- Orlando, Ludovic -- Balloux, Francois -- Manica, Andrea -- Gupta, Ramneek -- Metspalu, Mait -- Bustamante, Carlos D -- Jakobsson, Mattias -- Nielsen, Rasmus -- Willerslev, Eske -- BB/H005854/1/Biotechnology and Biological Sciences Research Council/United Kingdom -- BB/H008802/1/Biotechnology and Biological Sciences Research Council/United Kingdom -- P25032/Biotechnology and Biological Sciences Research Council/United Kingdom -- England -- Nature. 2014 Feb 13;506(7487):225-9. doi: 10.1038/nature13025.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Author address: 〈/span〉1] Centre for GeoGenetics, Natural History Museum of Denmark, University of Copenhagen, Oster Voldgade 5-7, DK-1350 Copenhagen K, Denmark [2]. ; 1] Anzick Family, 31 Old Clyde Park Road, Livingston, Montana 59047, USA [2]. ; Center for the Study of the First Americans, Departments of Anthropology and Geography, Texas A&M University, 4352 TAMU, College Station, Texas 77843-4352, USA. ; Department of Evolutionary Biology, Uppsala University, Norbyvagen 18D, 752 36 Uppsala, Sweden. ; 1] Department of Integrative Biology, University of California, Berkeley, 4134 Valley Life Sciences Building, Berkeley, California 94720, USA [2] Earth Sciences Department, Natural History Museum, Cromwell Road, London SW7 5BD, UK (I.B.); Department of Biology, Pennsylvania State University, 502 Wartik Laboratory, University Park, Pennsylvania 16802, USA (M.D.). ; 1] Centre for GeoGenetics, Natural History Museum of Denmark, University of Copenhagen, Oster Voldgade 5-7, DK-1350 Copenhagen K, Denmark [2] AMS 14C Dating Centre, Department of Physics & Astronomy, University of Aarhus, Ny Munkegade 120, DK-8000 Aarhus C, Denmark. ; Center for Biological Sequence Analysis, Department of Systems Biology, Technical University of Denmark, Kemitorvet 208, Kgs. Lyngby DK-2800, Denmark. ; 1] The Bioinformatics Centre, Department of Biology, University of Copenhagen, Ole Maaloes Vej 5, DK-2200 Copenhagen N, Denmark [2] Department of Human Genetics, University of Chicago, 920 E. 58th Street, CLSC 4th floor, Chicago, Illinois 60637, USA. ; The Bioinformatics Centre, Department of Biology, University of Copenhagen, Ole Maaloes Vej 5, DK-2200 Copenhagen N, Denmark. ; Education Department, Montana State University, Box 5103, Bozeman, Montana 59717, USA. ; Program in Biomedical Informatics and Department of Statistics, Stanford University, Stanford, California 94305, USA. ; Centre for GeoGenetics, Natural History Museum of Denmark, University of Copenhagen, Oster Voldgade 5-7, DK-1350 Copenhagen K, Denmark. ; Anthropology Department, PhD Program, University of Montana, 4100 Mullan Road, no. 217, Missoula, Montana 59808, USA. ; School of Biological Sciences, Washington State University, PO Box 644236, Eastlick Hall 395, Pullman, Washington 99164, USA. ; Department of Evolutionary Biology, Estonian Biocentre and University of Tartu, Riia 23b, 51010 Tartu, Estonia. ; 1] Department of Zoology, University of Cambridge, Downing Street, Cambridge CB2 3EJ, UK [2] Integrative Systems Biology Laboratory, King Abdullah University of Science and Technology (KAUST), Thuwal 23955-6900, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. ; School of Biological Sciences, Royal Holloway, University of London, Egham, Surrey TW20 0EX, UK. ; Department of Anthropology, Southern Methodist University, Dallas, Texas 75275, USA. ; 1] Department of Zoology, University of Cambridge, Downing Street, Cambridge CB2 3EJ, UK [2] Department of Genetics, Evolution and Environment, University College London, Gower Street, London WC1E 6BT, UK. ; Department of Genetics, Evolution and Environment, University College London, Gower Street, London WC1E 6BT, UK. ; Department of Anthropology and Institute for Genomic Biology, University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign, 209F Davenport Hall, 607 Matthews Avenue, Urbana, Illinois 61801, USA. ; 1] School of Biological Sciences, Royal Holloway, University of London, Egham, Surrey TW20 0EX, UK [2] Earth Sciences Department, Natural History Museum, Cromwell Road, London SW7 5BD, UK (I.B.); Department of Biology, Pennsylvania State University, 502 Wartik Laboratory, University Park, Pennsylvania 16802, USA (M.D.). ; BioArCh, Departments of Biology, Archaeology and Chemistry, University of York, Wentworth Way, York YO10 5DD, UK. ; MRC Centre for Outbreak, Analysis and Modelling, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College London, Imperial College Faculty of Medicine, London W2 1PG, UK. ; Department of Zoology, University of Cambridge, Downing Street, Cambridge CB2 3EJ, UK. ; 1] Department of Genetics, School of Medicine, Stanford University, Littlefield Center, Stanford, California 94305, USA [2] Center for Evolutionary and Human Genomics, Stanford University, Littlefield Center, Stanford, California 94305, USA. ; 1] Department of Evolutionary Biology, Uppsala University, Norbyvagen 18D, 752 36 Uppsala, Sweden [2] Science for Life Laboratory, Uppsala University, Norbyvagen 18D, 752 36 Uppsala, Sweden. ; Department of Integrative Biology, University of California, Berkeley, 4134 Valley Life Sciences Building, Berkeley, California 94720, USA.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Record origin:〈/span〉 〈a href="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/24522598" target="_blank"〉PubMed〈/a〉

Description: How and when the Americas were populated remains contentious. Using ancient and modern genome-wide data, we found that the ancestors of all present-day Native Americans, including Athabascans and Amerindians, entered the Americas as a single migration wave from Siberia no earlier than 23 thousand years ago (ka) and after no more than an 8000-year isolation period in Beringia. After their arrival to the Americas, ancestral Native Americans diversified into two basal genetic branches around 13 ka, one that is now dispersed across North and South America and the other restricted to North America. Subsequent gene flow resulted in some Native Americans sharing ancestry with present-day East Asians (including Siberians) and, more distantly, Australo-Melanesians. Putative "Paleoamerican" relict populations, including the historical Mexican Pericues and South American Fuego-Patagonians, are not directly related to modern Australo-Melanesians as suggested by the Paleoamerican Model.〈br /〉〈br /〉〈a href="https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4733658/" target="_blank"〉〈img src="https://static.pubmed.gov/portal/portal3rc.fcgi/4089621/img/3977009" border="0"〉〈/a〉   〈a href="https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4733658/" target="_blank"〉This paper as free author manuscript - peer-reviewed and accepted for publication〈/a〉〈br /〉〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Notes: 〈/span〉Raghavan, Maanasa -- Steinrucken, Matthias -- Harris, Kelley -- Schiffels, Stephan -- Rasmussen, Simon -- DeGiorgio, Michael -- Albrechtsen, Anders -- Valdiosera, Cristina -- Avila-Arcos, Maria C -- Malaspinas, Anna-Sapfo -- Eriksson, Anders -- Moltke, Ida -- Metspalu, Mait -- Homburger, Julian R -- Wall, Jeff -- Cornejo, Omar E -- Moreno-Mayar, J Victor -- Korneliussen, Thorfinn S -- Pierre, Tracey -- Rasmussen, Morten -- Campos, Paula F -- Damgaard, Peter de Barros -- Allentoft, Morten E -- Lindo, John -- Metspalu, Ene -- Rodriguez-Varela, Ricardo -- Mansilla, Josefina -- Henrickson, Celeste -- Seguin-Orlando, Andaine -- Malmstrom, Helena -- Stafford, Thomas Jr -- Shringarpure, Suyash S -- Moreno-Estrada, Andres -- Karmin, Monika -- Tambets, Kristiina -- Bergstrom, Anders -- Xue, Yali -- Warmuth, Vera -- Friend, Andrew D -- Singarayer, Joy -- Valdes, Paul -- Balloux, Francois -- Leboreiro, Ilan -- Vera, Jose Luis -- Rangel-Villalobos, Hector -- Pettener, Davide -- Luiselli, Donata -- Davis, Loren G -- Heyer, Evelyne -- Zollikofer, Christoph P E -- Ponce de Leon, Marcia S -- Smith, Colin I -- Grimes, Vaughan -- Pike, Kelly-Anne -- Deal, Michael -- Fuller, Benjamin T -- Arriaza, Bernardo -- Standen, Vivien -- Luz, Maria F -- Ricaut, Francois -- Guidon, Niede -- Osipova, Ludmila -- Voevoda, Mikhail I -- Posukh, Olga L -- Balanovsky, Oleg -- Lavryashina, Maria -- Bogunov, Yuri -- Khusnutdinova, Elza -- Gubina, Marina -- Balanovska, Elena -- Fedorova, Sardana -- Litvinov, Sergey -- Malyarchuk, Boris -- Derenko, Miroslava -- Mosher, M J -- Archer, David -- Cybulski, Jerome -- Petzelt, Barbara -- Mitchell, Joycelynn -- Worl, Rosita -- Norman, Paul J -- Parham, Peter -- Kemp, Brian M -- Kivisild, Toomas -- Tyler-Smith, Chris -- Sandhu, Manjinder S -- Crawford, Michael -- Villems, Richard -- Smith, David Glenn -- Waters, Michael R -- Goebel, Ted -- Johnson, John R -- Malhi, Ripan S -- Jakobsson, Mattias -- Meltzer, David J -- Manica, Andrea -- Durbin, Richard -- Bustamante, Carlos D -- Song, Yun S -- Nielsen, Rasmus -- Willerslev, Eske -- 098051/Wellcome Trust/United Kingdom -- 261213/European Research Council/International -- 2R01HG003229-09/HG/NHGRI NIH HHS/ -- BB/H005854/1/Biotechnology and Biological Sciences Research Council/United Kingdom -- R01-AI17892/AI/NIAID NIH HHS/ -- R01-GM094402/GM/NIGMS NIH HHS/ -- New York, N.Y. -- Science. 2015 Aug 21;349(6250):aab3884. doi: 10.1126/science.aab3884. Epub 2015 Jul 21.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Author address: 〈/span〉Centre for GeoGenetics, Natural History Museum of Denmark, University of Copenhagen, Oster Voldgade 5-7, 1350 Copenhagen, Denmark. ; Computer Science Division, University of California, Berkeley, Berkeley, CA 94720, USA. Department of Statistics, University of California, Berkeley, Berkeley, CA 94720, USA. Department of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, MA 01003, USA. ; Department of Mathematics, University of California, Berkeley, Berkeley, CA 94720, USA. ; Wellcome Trust Sanger Institute, Wellcome Trust Genome Campus, Hinxton CB10 1SA, UK. ; Center for Biological Sequence Analysis, Department of Systems Biology, Technical University of Denmark, Kemitorvet, Building 208, 2800 Kongens Lyngby, Denmark. ; Departments of Biology and Statistics, Pennsylvania State University, 502 Wartik Laboratory, University Park, PA 16802, USA. ; The Bioinformatics Centre, Department of Biology, University of Copenhagen, Ole Maaloes Vej 5, 2200 Copenhagen, Denmark. ; Centre for GeoGenetics, Natural History Museum of Denmark, University of Copenhagen, Oster Voldgade 5-7, 1350 Copenhagen, Denmark. Department of Archaeology and History, La Trobe University, Melbourne, Victoria 3086, Australia. ; Centre for GeoGenetics, Natural History Museum of Denmark, University of Copenhagen, Oster Voldgade 5-7, 1350 Copenhagen, Denmark. Department of Genetics, School of Medicine, Stanford University, 300 Pasteur Drive, Lane Building, Room L331, Stanford, CA 94305, USA. ; Department of Zoology, University of Cambridge, Downing Street, Cambridge CB2 3EJ, UK. Integrative Systems Biology Laboratory, King Abdullah University of Science and Technology (KAUST), Thuwal, 23955-6900, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. ; Estonian Biocentre, Evolutionary Biology Group, Tartu 51010, Estonia. Department of Evolutionary Biology, University of Tartu, Tartu 51010, Estonia. ; Department of Genetics, School of Medicine, Stanford University, 300 Pasteur Drive, Lane Building, Room L331, Stanford, CA 94305, USA. ; Institute for Human Genetics, University of California San Francisco, 513 Parnassus Avenue, San Francisco, CA 94143, USA. ; School of Biological Sciences, Washington State University, Post Office Box 644236, Heald 429, Pullman, WA 99164, USA. ; Centre for GeoGenetics, Natural History Museum of Denmark, University of Copenhagen, Oster Voldgade 5-7, 1350 Copenhagen, Denmark. Centro de Investigacion en Ciencias del Mar y Limnologia/Centro Interdisciplinar de Investigacao Marinha e Ambiental, Centro Interdisciplinar de Investigacao Marinha e Ambiental, Universidade do Porto, Rua dos Bragas 289, 4050-123 Porto, Portugal. ; Department of Anthropology, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, 607 S. Mathews Avenue, Urbana, IL 61801, USA. ; Centro Mixto, Universidad Complutense de Madrid-Instituto de Salud Carlos III de Evolucion y Comportamiento Humano, Madrid, Spain. ; Instituto Nacional de Antropologia e Historia, Moneda 13, Centro, Cuauhtemoc, 06060 Mexico City, Mexico. ; University of Utah, Department of Anthropology, 270 S 1400 E, Salt Lake City, UT 84112, USA. ; Department of Evolutionary Biology and Science for Life Laboratory, Uppsala University, Norbyvagen 18D, SE-752 36 Uppsala, Sweden. ; Centre for GeoGenetics, Natural History Museum of Denmark, University of Copenhagen, Oster Voldgade 5-7, 1350 Copenhagen, Denmark. Acceleration Mass Spectrometry 14C Dating Centre, Department of Physics and Astronomy, Aarhus University, Ny Munkegade 120, 8000 Aarhus, Denmark. ; Department of Genetics, School of Medicine, Stanford University, 300 Pasteur Drive, Lane Building, Room L331, Stanford, CA 94305, USA. Laboratorio Nacional de Genomica para la Biodiversidad (LANGEBIO), Centro de Investigacion y de Estudios Avanzados, Irapuato, Guanajuato 36821, Mexico. ; Estonian Biocentre, Evolutionary Biology Group, Tartu 51010, Estonia. ; Genetics Institute, University College London, Gower Street, London WC1E 6BT, UK. Evolutionsbiologiskt Centrum, Norbyvagen 18D, 75236 Uppsala, Sweden. ; Department of Geography, University of Cambridge, Downing Place, Cambridge CB2 3EN, UK. ; Centre for Past Climate Change and Department of Meteorology, University of Reading, Earley Gate, Post Office Box 243, Reading, UK. ; School of Geographical Sciences, University Road, Clifton, Bristol BS8 1SS, UK. ; Genetics Institute, University College London, Gower Street, London WC1E 6BT, UK. ; Escuela Nacional de AntropologIa e Historia, Periferico Sur y Zapote s/n Colonia Isidro Fabela, Tlalpan, Isidro Fabela, 14030 Mexico City, Mexico. ; Instituto de Investigacion en Genetica Molecular, Universidad de Guadalajara, Ocotlan, Mexico. ; Dipartimento di Scienze Biologiche, Geologiche e Ambientali (BiGeA), Universita di Bologna, Via Selmi 3, 40126 Bologna, Italy. ; Department of Anthropology, Oregon State University, 238 Waldo Hall, Corvallis, OR 97331 USA. ; Museum National d'Histoire Naturelle, CNRS, Universite Paris 7 Diderot, Sorbonne Paris Cite, Sorbonne Universites, Unite Eco-Anthropologie et Ethnobiologie (UMR7206), Paris, France. ; Anthropological Institute and Museum, University of Zurich, Winterthurerstrasse 190, 8057 Zurich, Switzerland. ; Department of Archaeology and History, La Trobe University, Melbourne, Victoria 3086, Australia. ; Department of Archaeology, Memorial University, Queen's College, 210 Prince Philip Drive, St. John's, Newfoundland A1C 5S7, Canada. Department of Human Evolution, Max Planck Institute for Evolutionary Anthropology, Deutscher Platz 6, Leipzig 04103, Germany. ; Department of Archaeology, Memorial University, Queen's College, 210 Prince Philip Drive, St. John's, Newfoundland A1C 5S7, Canada. ; Department of Earth System Science, University of California, Irvine, Keck Carbon Cycle Accelerator Mass Spectrometry Group, B321 Croul Hall, Irvine, CA 92697, USA. ; Instituto de Alta Investigacion, Universidad de Tarapaca, 18 de Septiembre 2222, Carsilla 6-D Arica, Chile. ; Departamento de Antropologia, Universidad de Tarapaca, 18 de Septiembre 2222, Carsilla 6-D Arica, Chile. ; Fundacao Museu do Homem Americano, Centro Cultural Sergio Motta, Campestre, 64770-000 Sao Raimundo Nonato, Brazil. ; Laboratoire d'Anthropologie Moleculaire et Imagerie de Synthese UMR-5288, CNRS, Universite de Toulouse, 31073 Toulouse, France. ; Institute of Cytology and Genetics, Siberian Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Prospekt Lavrentyeva 10, 630090 Novosibirsk, Russia. Novosibirsk State University, 2 Pirogova Street, 630090 Novosibirsk, Russia. ; Institute of Cytology and Genetics, Siberian Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Prospekt Lavrentyeva 10, 630090 Novosibirsk, Russia. Institute of Internal Medicine, Siberian Branch of RAS, 175/1 ul. B. Bogatkova, Novosibirsk 630089, Russia. Novosibirsk State University, Laboratory of Molecular Epidemiology and Bioinformatics, 630090 Novosibirsk, Russia. ; Vavilov Institute of General Genetics, Gubkina 3, 119333 Moscow, Russia. Research Centre for Medical Genetics, Moskvorechie 1, 115478 Moscow, Russia. ; Kemerovo State University, Krasnaya 3, 650000 Kemerovo, Russia. ; Vavilov Institute of General Genetics, Gubkina 3, 119333 Moscow, Russia. ; Institute of Biochemistry and Genetics, Ufa Scientific Center of Russian Academy of Sciences, Prospekt Oktyabrya 71, 450054 Ufa, Russia. Department of Genetics and Fundamental Medicine, Bashkir State University, Zaki Validi 32, 450076 Ufa, Russia. ; Institute of Cytology and Genetics, Siberian Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Prospekt Lavrentyeva 10, 630090 Novosibirsk, Russia. ; Research Centre for Medical Genetics, Moskvorechie 1, 115478 Moscow, Russia. ; Department of Molecular Genetics, Yakut Scientific Centre of Complex Medical Problems, Sergelyahskoe Shosse 4, 677010 Yakutsk, Russia. Laboratory of Molecular Biology, Institute of Natural Sciences, M. K. Ammosov North-Eastern Federal University, 677000 Yakutsk, Russia. ; Estonian Biocentre, Evolutionary Biology Group, Tartu 51010, Estonia. Institute of Biochemistry and Genetics, Ufa Scientific Center of Russian Academy of Sciences, Prospekt Oktyabrya 71, 450054 Ufa, Russia. ; Institute of Biological Problems of the North, Russian Academy of Sciences, Portovaya Street 18, Magadan 685000, Russia. ; Department of Anthropology, Western Washington University, Bellingham, WA 98225, USA. ; Department of Anthropology, Northwest Community College, 353 Fifth Street, Prince Rupert, British Columbia V8J 3L6, Canada. ; Canadian Museum of History, 100 Rue Laurier, Gatineau, Quebec K1A 0M8, Canada. University of Western Ontario, London, Ontario N6A 3K7, Canada. Simon Fraser University, Burnaby, British Columbia V5A 1S6, Canada. ; Metlakatla Treaty Office, Post Office Box 224, Prince Rupert, BC V8J 3P6, Canada. ; Sealaska Heritage Institute, 105 S. Seward Street, Juneau, AK 99801, USA. ; Department of Structural Biology, Stanford University School of Medicine, D100 Fairchild Science Building, Stanford, CA 94305-5126, USA. ; School of Biological Sciences, Washington State University, Post Office Box 644236, Heald 429, Pullman, WA 99164, USA. Department of Anthropology, Washington State University, Pullman, WA 99163, USA. ; Estonian Biocentre, Evolutionary Biology Group, Tartu 51010, Estonia. Division of Biological Anthropology, University of Cambridge, Henry Wellcome Building, Fitzwilliam Street, Cambridge CB2 1QH, UK. ; Wellcome Trust Sanger Institute, Wellcome Trust Genome Campus, Hinxton CB10 1SA, UK. Department of Medicine, University of Cambridge, Medical Research Council Laboratory of Molecular Biology, Francis Crick Avenue, Cambridge Biomedical Campus, Cambridge CB2 0QH, UK. ; Laboratory of Biological Anthropology, University of Kansas, 1415 Jayhawk Boulevard, 622 Fraser Hall, Lawrence, KS 66045, USA. ; Molecular Anthropology Laboratory, 209 Young Hall, Department of Anthropology, University of California, One Shields Avenue, Davis, CA 95616, USA. ; Center for the Study of the First Americans, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX 77843-4352, USA. Department of Anthropology, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX 77843-4352, USA. Department of Geography, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX 77843-4352, USA. ; Center for the Study of the First Americans, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX 77843-4352, USA. ; Santa Barbara Museum of Natural History, 2559 Puesta del Sol, Santa Barbara, CA 93105, USA. ; Department of Anthropology, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, 607 S. Mathews Avenue, Urbana, IL 61801, USA. Carle R. Woese Institute for Genomic Biology, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Urbana, IL 61801, USA. ; Centre for GeoGenetics, Natural History Museum of Denmark, University of Copenhagen, Oster Voldgade 5-7, 1350 Copenhagen, Denmark. Department of Anthropology, Southern Methodist University, Dallas, TX 75275, USA. ; Department of Zoology, University of Cambridge, Downing Street, Cambridge CB2 3EJ, UK. ; Computer Science Division, University of California, Berkeley, Berkeley, CA 94720, USA. Department of Statistics, University of California, Berkeley, Berkeley, CA 94720, USA. Department of Integrative Biology, University of California, 3060 Valley Life Sciences Building 3140, Berkeley, CA 94720, USA. ewillierslev@snm.ku.dk rasmus_nielsen@berkeley.edu yss@berkeley.edu. ; Department of Integrative Biology, University of California, 3060 Valley Life Sciences Building 3140, Berkeley, CA 94720, USA. ewillierslev@snm.ku.dk rasmus_nielsen@berkeley.edu yss@berkeley.edu. ; Centre for GeoGenetics, Natural History Museum of Denmark, University of Copenhagen, Oster Voldgade 5-7, 1350 Copenhagen, Denmark. ewillierslev@snm.ku.dk rasmus_nielsen@berkeley.edu yss@berkeley.edu.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Record origin:〈/span〉 〈a href="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/26198033" target="_blank"〉PubMed〈/a〉

Description: Varicella-zoster virus (VZV) causes chickenpox and shingles, and is found in human populations worldwide. The lack of temporal signal in the diversity of VZV makes substitution rate estimates unreliable, which is a barrier to understanding the context of its global spread. Here, we estimate rates of evolution by studying live attenuated vaccines, which evolved in 22 vaccinated patients for known periods of time, sometimes, but not always undergoing latency. We show that the attenuated virus evolves rapidly (~10 –6 substitutions/site/day), but that rates decrease dramatically when the virus undergoes latency. These data are best explained by a model in which viral populations evolve for around 13 days before becoming latent, but then undergo no replication during latency. This implies that rates of viral evolution will depend strongly on transmission patterns. Nevertheless, we show that implausibly long latency periods are required to date the most recent common ancestor of extant VZV to an "out-of-Africa" migration with humans, as has been previously suggested.