Call number:
AWI A1-01-0254
Type of Medium:
Monograph available for loan
Pages:
XV, 405 S.
,
Ill., graph. Darst., Kt.
ISBN:
1559637757
Note:
Contents: List of figures. - List of tables and boxes. - Acknowledgements. - Introduction: Death, taxes, and environmental policy / Daniel Sarewitz, Roger A. Pielke, Jr., and Radford Byerly, Jr. - PART 1: PREDICTION AS A PROBLEM. - 1. Prediction in science and policy / Daniel Sarewitz and Roger A. Pielke, Jr. - 2. Why predict? Historical perspectives on prediction in earth science / Naomi Oreskes. - 3. Uncertainty, judgment, and error in prediction / Thomas R. Stewart. - PART 2: DISASTERS WAITING TO HAPPEN: PREDICTING NATURAL HAZARDS. - 4. Short-term weather prediction: an orchestra in need of a conductor / William H. Hooke and Roger Pielke, Jr. - 5. Flood prediction: immersed in the Quagmire of National Flood Mitigation Strategy / Stanley A. Changnon. - 6. The Asteroid/Comet impact hazard: Homo Sapiens as dinosaur? / Clark R. Chapman. - 7. Predicting earthquakes: science, pseudoscience, and public policy paradox / Joanne M. Nigg. - PART 3: FOREORDAINED CONCLUSIONS: PREDICTION AND POLITICS. - 8. What you know can hurt you: predicting the behavior of nourished beaches / Orrin H. Pilkey. - 9. Is this number to your liking? Water quality predictions in mining impact studies / Robert E. Moran. - 10. From tin roof to torn wet blanket: predicting and observing groundwater movement at a proposed nuclear waste site / Daniel Metlay. - PART 4: CASCADES OF UNCERTAINTY: PREDICTION AND POLICY. - 11. Oil and gas resource appraisal: diminishing reserves, increasing supplies / Donald L. Gautier. - 12. Predictive modeling of acid rain: obstacles to generating useful information / Charles Herrick. - 13. Prediction and other approaches to climate change policy / Steve Rayner. - PART 5: PREDICTION IN PERSPECTIVE. - 14. Alternatives to prediction / Ronald D. Brunner. - 15. Prediction in Society / Dale Jamieson. - 16. Prediction and characteristic times / Radford Byerly, Jr. - 17. A decision framework for prediction in environmental policy / Charles Herrick and J. Michael Pendleton. - PART 6: CONCLUSION. - 18. Decision making and the future of nature: understanding and using predictions / Roger A. Pielke, Jr., Daniel Sarewitz, and Radford Byerly, Jr. - About the contributors. - Index.
Location:
AWI Reading room
Branch Library:
AWI Library
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