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    Economics. The promise of prediction markets (2008)
    American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)
    Details
    Publication Date: 2008-05-20
    Description: 〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Notes: 〈/span〉Arrow, Kenneth J -- Forsythe, Robert -- Gorham, Michael -- Hahn, Robert -- Hanson, Robin -- Ledyard, John O -- Levmore, Saul -- Litan, Robert -- Milgrom, Paul -- Nelson, Forrest D -- Neumann, George R -- Ottaviani, Marco -- Schelling, Thomas C -- Shiller, Robert J -- Smith, Vernon L -- Snowberg, Erik -- Sunstein, Cass R -- Tetlock, Paul C -- Tetlock, Philip E -- Varian, Hal R -- Wolfers, Justin -- Zitzewitz, Eric -- New York, N.Y. -- Science. 2008 May 16;320(5878):877-8. doi: 10.1126/science.1157679.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Author address: 〈/span〉Department of Economics, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305, USA.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Record origin:〈/span〉 〈a href="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/18487176" target="_blank"〉PubMed〈/a〉
    Print ISSN: 0036-8075
    Electronic ISSN: 1095-9203
    Topics: Biology , Chemistry and Pharmacology , Computer Science , Medicine , Natural Sciences in General , Physics
    Published by American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)
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  • 2
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    The volatility of stock market prices (1987)
    American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)
    Details
    Publication Date: 1987-01-02
    Description: If the volatility of stock market prices is to be understood in terms of the efficient markets hypothesis, then there should be evidence that true investment value changes through time sufficiently to justify the price changes. Three indicators of change in true investment value of the aggregate stock market in the United States from 1871 to 1986 are considered: changes in dividends, in real interest rates, and in a direct measure of intertemporal marginal rates of substitution. Although there are some ambiguities in interpreting the evidence, dividend changes appear to contribute very little toward justifying the observed historical volatility of stock prices. The other indicators contribute some, but still most of the volatility of stock market prices appears unexplained.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Notes: 〈/span〉Shiller, R J -- New York, N.Y. -- Science. 1987 Jan 2;235(4784):33-7.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Record origin:〈/span〉 〈a href="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/17769311" target="_blank"〉PubMed〈/a〉
    Print ISSN: 0036-8075
    Electronic ISSN: 1095-9203
    Topics: Biology , Chemistry and Pharmacology , Computer Science , Medicine , Natural Sciences in General , Physics
    Published by American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)
    Location Call Number Expected Availability
    BibTip Others were also interested in ...
    PAPER CURRENT
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