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  • 1
    Call number: AWI A8-00-0042
    In: Air pollution research report
    Type of Medium: Monograph available for loan
    Pages: XVIII, 300 S.
    ISBN: 9282846296
    Series Statement: Air pollution research report 69
    Branch Library: AWI Library
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  • 2
    Publication Date: 2014-11-26
    Description: Aerosols and their effect on the radiative properties of clouds are one of the largest sources of uncertainty in calculations of the Earth's energy budget. Here the sensitivity of aerosol cloud-albedo effect forcing to 31 aerosol parameters is quantified. Sensitivities are compared over three periods; 1850-2008, 1978-2008 and 1998-2008. Despite declining global anthropogenic SO2 emissions during 1978-2008, a cancellation of regional positive and negative forcings leads to a near-zero global mean cloud-albedo effect forcing. In contrast to existing negative estimates, our results suggest that the aerosol cloud-albedo effect was likely positive (0.006 to 0.028 Wm -2 ) in the recent decade, making it harder to explain the temperature hiatus as a forced response. Proportional contributions to forcing variance from aerosol processes and natural and anthropogenic emissions are found to be period dependent. To better constrain forcing estimates, the processes that dominate uncertainty on the timescale of interest must be better understood.
    Print ISSN: 0094-8276
    Electronic ISSN: 1944-8007
    Topics: Geosciences , Physics
    Published by Wiley on behalf of American Geophysical Union (AGU).
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  • 3
    Publication Date: 2015-01-15
    Description: The microphysical properties of convective clouds determine their radiative effects on climate, the amount and intensity of precipitation as well as dynamical features. Realistic simulation of these cloud properties presents a major challenge. In particular, because models are complex and slow to run, we have little understanding of how the considerable uncertainties in parameterized processes feed through to uncertainty in the cloud responses. Here we use statistical emulation to enable a Monte Carlo sampling of a convective cloud model to quantify the sensitivity of twelve cloud properties to aerosol concentrations and nine model parameters representing the main microphysical processes. We examine the response of liquid and ice-phase hydrometeor concentrations, precipitation and cloud dynamics for a deep convective cloud in a continental environment. Across all cloud responses, the concentration of the Aitken and accumulation aerosol modes and the collection efficiency of droplets by graupel particles have the most influence on the uncertainty. However, except at very high aerosol concentrations, uncertainties in precipitation intensity and amount are affected more by interactions between drops and graupel than by large variations in aerosol. The uncertainties in ice crystal mass and number are controlled primarily by the shape of the crystals, ice nucleation rates and aerosol concentrations. Overall, although aerosol particle concentrations are an important factor in deep convective clouds, uncertainties in several processes significantly affect the reliability of complex microphysical models. The results suggest that our understanding of aerosol-cloud interaction could be greatly advanced by extending the emulator approach to models of cloud systems. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.
    Electronic ISSN: 1942-2466
    Topics: Geography , Geosciences
    Published by Wiley on behalf of American Geophysical Union (AGU).
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  • 4
    Publication Date: 2001-02-13
    Description: Large particles containing nitric acid (HNO3) were observed in the 1999/2000 Arctic winter stratosphere. These in situ observations were made over a large altitude range (16 to 21 kilometers) and horizontal extent (1800 kilometers) on several airborne sampling flights during a period of several weeks. With diameters of 10 to 20 micrometers, these sedimenting particles have significant potential to denitrify the lower stratosphere. A microphysical model of nitric acid trihydrate particles is able to simulate the growth and sedimentation of these large sizes in the lower stratosphere, but the nucleation process is not yet known. Accurate modeling of the formation of these large particles is essential for understanding Arctic denitrification and predicting future Arctic ozone abundances.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Notes: 〈/span〉Fahey, D W -- Gao, R S -- Carslaw, K S -- Kettleborough, J -- Popp, P J -- Northway, M J -- Holecek, J C -- Ciciora, S C -- McLaughlin, R J -- Thompson, T L -- Winkler, R H -- Baumgardner, D G -- Gandrud, B -- Wennberg, P O -- Dhaniyala, S -- McKinney, K -- Peter, T -- Salawitch, R J -- Bui, T P -- Elkins, J W -- Webster, C R -- Atlas, E L -- Jost, H -- Wilson, J C -- Herman, R L -- Kleinbohl, A -- von Konig, M -- New York, N.Y. -- Science. 2001 Feb 9;291(5506):1026-31.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Author address: 〈/span〉Aeronomy Laboratory, Climate Monitoring and Diagnostics Laboratory, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Boulder, CO 80305, USA. fahey@al.noaa.gov〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Record origin:〈/span〉 〈a href="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/11161213" target="_blank"〉PubMed〈/a〉
    Print ISSN: 0036-8075
    Electronic ISSN: 1095-9203
    Topics: Biology , Chemistry and Pharmacology , Computer Science , Medicine , Natural Sciences in General , Physics
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  • 5
    Publication Date: 1999-03-26
    Description: Measurements from the winter of 1994-95 indicating removal of total reactive nitrogen from the Arctic stratosphere by particle sedimentation were used to constrain a microphysical model. The model suggests that denitrification is caused predominantly by nitric acid trihydrate particles in small number densities. The denitrification is shown to increase Arctic ozone loss substantially. Sensitivity studies indicate that the Arctic stratosphere is currently at a threshold of denitrification. This implies that future stratospheric cooling, induced by an increase in the anthropogenic carbon dioxide burden, is likely to enhance denitrification and to delay until late in the next century the return of Arctic stratospheric ozone to preindustrial values.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Notes: 〈/span〉Waibel -- Peter -- Carslaw -- Oelhaf -- Wetzel -- Crutzen -- Poschl -- Tsias -- Reimer -- Fischer -- New York, N.Y. -- Science. 1999 Mar 26;283(5410):2064-9.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Author address: 〈/span〉Max-Planck-Institut fur Chemie, Post Office Box 3060, 55020 Mainz, Germany. Forschungszentrum Karlsruhe, Institut fur Meteorologie und Klimaforschung, Post Office Box 3640, D-76021 Karlsruhe, Germany. FU Berlin, Institut fur Meteorologie, Carl-Heinr.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Record origin:〈/span〉 〈a href="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/10092225" target="_blank"〉PubMed〈/a〉
    Print ISSN: 0036-8075
    Electronic ISSN: 1095-9203
    Topics: Biology , Chemistry and Pharmacology , Computer Science , Medicine , Natural Sciences in General , Physics
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  • 6
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    American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)
    Publication Date: 2002-12-03
    Description: It has been proposed that Earth's climate could be affected by changes in cloudiness caused by variations in the intensity of galactic cosmic rays in the atmosphere. This proposal stems from an observed correlation between cosmic ray intensity and Earth's average cloud cover over the course of one solar cycle. Some scientists question the reliability of the observations, whereas others, who accept them as reliable, suggest that the correlation may be caused by other physical phenomena with decadal periods or by a response to volcanic activity or El Nino. Nevertheless, the observation has raised the intriguing possibility that a cosmic ray-cloud interaction may help explain how a relatively small change in solar output can produce much larger changes in Earth's climate. Physical mechanisms have been proposed to explain how cosmic rays could affect clouds, but they need to be investigated further if the observation is to become more than just another correlation among geophysical variables.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Notes: 〈/span〉Carslaw, K S -- Harrison, R G -- Kirkby, J -- New York, N.Y. -- Science. 2002 Nov 29;298(5599):1732-7.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Author address: 〈/span〉Institute for Atmospheric Science, School of the Environment, University of Leeds, Leeds LS2 9JT, UK.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Record origin:〈/span〉 〈a href="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/12459578" target="_blank"〉PubMed〈/a〉
    Print ISSN: 0036-8075
    Electronic ISSN: 1095-9203
    Topics: Biology , Chemistry and Pharmacology , Computer Science , Medicine , Natural Sciences in General , Physics
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  • 7
    Publication Date: 2016-05-25
    Description: The topic of cloud radiative forcing associated with the atmospheric aerosol has been the focus of intense scrutiny for decades. The enormity of the problem is reflected in the need to understand aspects such as aerosol composition, optical properties, cloud condensation, and ice nucleation potential, along with the global distribution...
    Keywords: Sackler Colloquium on Improving Our Fundamental Understanding of the Role of Aerosol&ndash ; Cloud Int
    Print ISSN: 0027-8424
    Electronic ISSN: 1091-6490
    Topics: Biology , Medicine , Natural Sciences in General
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  • 8
    Publication Date: 2016-02-13
    Description: European air quality legislation has reduced emissions of air pollutants across Europe since the 1970s, affecting air quality, human health and regional climate. We used a coupled composition-climate model to simulate the impacts of European air quality legislation and technology measures implemented between 1970 and 2010. We contrast simulations using two emission scenarios; one with actual emissions in 2010 and the other with emissions that would have occurred in 2010 in the absence of technological improvements and end-of-pipe treatment measures in the energy, industrial and road transport sectors. European emissions of sulphur dioxide, black carbon (BC) and organic carbon in 2010 are 53%, 59% and 32% lower respectively compared to emissions that would have occurred in 2010 in the absence of legislative and technology measures. These emission reductions decreased simulated European annual mean concentrations of fine particulate matter (PM 2.5 ) by 35%, sulphate by 44...
    Print ISSN: 1748-9318
    Electronic ISSN: 1748-9326
    Topics: Biology , Energy, Environment Protection, Nuclear Power Engineering
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  • 9
    Publication Date: 2011-08-26
    Description: Atmospheric aerosols exert an important influence on climate through their effects on stratiform cloud albedo and lifetime and the invigoration of convective storms. Model calculations suggest that almost half of the global cloud condensation nuclei in the atmospheric boundary layer may originate from the nucleation of aerosols from trace condensable vapours, although the sensitivity of the number of cloud condensation nuclei to changes of nucleation rate may be small. Despite extensive research, fundamental questions remain about the nucleation rate of sulphuric acid particles and the mechanisms responsible, including the roles of galactic cosmic rays and other chemical species such as ammonia. Here we present the first results from the CLOUD experiment at CERN. We find that atmospherically relevant ammonia mixing ratios of 100 parts per trillion by volume, or less, increase the nucleation rate of sulphuric acid particles more than 100-1,000-fold. Time-resolved molecular measurements reveal that nucleation proceeds by a base-stabilization mechanism involving the stepwise accretion of ammonia molecules. Ions increase the nucleation rate by an additional factor of between two and more than ten at ground-level galactic-cosmic-ray intensities, provided that the nucleation rate lies below the limiting ion-pair production rate. We find that ion-induced binary nucleation of H(2)SO(4)-H(2)O can occur in the mid-troposphere but is negligible in the boundary layer. However, even with the large enhancements in rate due to ammonia and ions, atmospheric concentrations of ammonia and sulphuric acid are insufficient to account for observed boundary-layer nucleation.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Notes: 〈/span〉Kirkby, Jasper -- Curtius, Joachim -- Almeida, Joao -- Dunne, Eimear -- Duplissy, Jonathan -- Ehrhart, Sebastian -- Franchin, Alessandro -- Gagne, Stephanie -- Ickes, Luisa -- Kurten, Andreas -- Kupc, Agnieszka -- Metzger, Axel -- Riccobono, Francesco -- Rondo, Linda -- Schobesberger, Siegfried -- Tsagkogeorgas, Georgios -- Wimmer, Daniela -- Amorim, Antonio -- Bianchi, Federico -- Breitenlechner, Martin -- David, Andre -- Dommen, Josef -- Downard, Andrew -- Ehn, Mikael -- Flagan, Richard C -- Haider, Stefan -- Hansel, Armin -- Hauser, Daniel -- Jud, Werner -- Junninen, Heikki -- Kreissl, Fabian -- Kvashin, Alexander -- Laaksonen, Ari -- Lehtipalo, Katrianne -- Lima, Jorge -- Lovejoy, Edward R -- Makhmutov, Vladimir -- Mathot, Serge -- Mikkila, Jyri -- Minginette, Pierre -- Mogo, Sandra -- Nieminen, Tuomo -- Onnela, Antti -- Pereira, Paulo -- Petaja, Tuukka -- Schnitzhofer, Ralf -- Seinfeld, John H -- Sipila, Mikko -- Stozhkov, Yuri -- Stratmann, Frank -- Tome, Antonio -- Vanhanen, Joonas -- Viisanen, Yrjo -- Vrtala, Aron -- Wagner, Paul E -- Walther, Hansueli -- Weingartner, Ernest -- Wex, Heike -- Winkler, Paul M -- Carslaw, Kenneth S -- Worsnop, Douglas R -- Baltensperger, Urs -- Kulmala, Markku -- 227463/European Research Council/International -- England -- Nature. 2011 Aug 24;476(7361):429-33. doi: 10.1038/nature10343.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Author address: 〈/span〉CERN, CH-1211 Geneva, Switzerland. jasper.kirkby@cern.ch〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Record origin:〈/span〉 〈a href="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/21866156" target="_blank"〉PubMed〈/a〉
    Print ISSN: 0028-0836
    Electronic ISSN: 1476-4687
    Topics: Biology , Chemistry and Pharmacology , Medicine , Natural Sciences in General , Physics
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  • 10
    Publication Date: 2013-11-10
    Description: The effect of anthropogenic aerosols on cloud droplet concentrations and radiative properties is the source of one of the largest uncertainties in the radiative forcing of climate over the industrial period. This uncertainty affects our ability to estimate how sensitive the climate is to greenhouse gas emissions. Here we perform a sensitivity analysis on a global model to quantify the uncertainty in cloud radiative forcing over the industrial period caused by uncertainties in aerosol emissions and processes. Our results show that 45 per cent of the variance of aerosol forcing since about 1750 arises from uncertainties in natural emissions of volcanic sulphur dioxide, marine dimethylsulphide, biogenic volatile organic carbon, biomass burning and sea spray. Only 34 per cent of the variance is associated with anthropogenic emissions. The results point to the importance of understanding pristine pre-industrial-like environments, with natural aerosols only, and suggest that improved measurements and evaluation of simulated aerosols in polluted present-day conditions will not necessarily result in commensurate reductions in the uncertainty of forcing estimates.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Notes: 〈/span〉Carslaw, K S -- Lee, L A -- Reddington, C L -- Pringle, K J -- Rap, A -- Forster, P M -- Mann, G W -- Spracklen, D V -- Woodhouse, M T -- Regayre, L A -- Pierce, J R -- England -- Nature. 2013 Nov 7;503(7474):67-71. doi: 10.1038/nature12674.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Author address: 〈/span〉School of Earth and Environment, University of Leeds, Leeds, LS2 9JT, UK.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Record origin:〈/span〉 〈a href="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/24201280" target="_blank"〉PubMed〈/a〉
    Keywords: Aerosols/*analysis ; *Climate ; Greenhouse Effect ; History, 18th Century ; History, 19th Century ; History, 20th Century ; History, 21st Century ; Human Activities/history ; *Models, Theoretical ; Sulfides/analysis ; Sulfur Dioxide/analysis ; *Uncertainty ; Volcanic Eruptions/history
    Print ISSN: 0028-0836
    Electronic ISSN: 1476-4687
    Topics: Biology , Chemistry and Pharmacology , Medicine , Natural Sciences in General , Physics
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