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  • 1
    Publication Date: 2020-02-11
    Description: Prediction patterns are generated using different data sets from a database for landslides hazard in northern Italy. A direct supporting pattern of the distribution of 28 complex landslides was previously used to obtain their spatial relationships with five categorical indirect supporting patterns representing the spatial context of the landslides: geology, land use, and permeability in addition to internal relief and slope, the latter two categorized into five classes. The five indirect supporting patterns were selected to minimize the effects of conditional dependence on prediction patterns by a Weight-of-Evidence model. The same set of patterns is reanalysed applying the Empirical Likelihood Ratio model using also uncategorized continuous supporting patterns: aspect, curvature, and digital elevation, in addition to internal relief and slope. The resulting prediction patterns are compared in terms of prediction rates and target-uncertainty patterns.
    Description: Published
    Description: 291-294
    Description: 2TR. Ricostruzione e modellazione della struttura crostale
    Description: N/A or not JCR
    Repository Name: Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV)
    Type: book chapter
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  • 2
    Publication Date: 2020-02-10
    Description: This contribution stems from the exposure of two different approaches to the representation of natural hazard: regression analysis on one side and favourability models on the other. As a consequence a spatial database for landslide hazard prediction in central Slovenia was shared to experiment on spatial prediction via cross-validation techniques. Due to the peculiarities of the database three types of analyses were selected: (i) predictions using an Empirical Likelihood Ratio model and four types of landslides in a training area, and extended to a surrounding study area; (ii) iterative cross-validations to obtain target, uncertainty and their combination patterns; and (iii) separation of one type of landslides into two groups of well predicted and poorly predicted occurrences by a cross-validation with the target pattern. The importance is underlined of sharing databases to encourage broader views of methodologies and strategies in spatial modelling.
    Description: Published
    Description: 2TR. Ricostruzione e modellazione della struttura crostale
    Description: N/A or not JCR
    Repository Name: Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV)
    Type: article
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  • 3
    Publication Date: 2018-03-08
    Description: This contribution proposes a cautious way of constructing the susceptibility classes obtained from favourability modeling of landslide occurrences. It is based on the ranks of the numerical values obtained by the modelling. Such ranks can be displayed in the form of histograms, cumulative curves, and prediction patterns resembling maps. A number of models have been proposed and in this contribution the following will be compared in terms of their respective rankings for equal area classes: fuzzy set function, empirical likelihood ratio, linear and logistic regression, and Bayesian prediction function. The analyses performed and contrasted exemplify a generalized methodology for comparing predictions that should allow evaluating prediction patterns from any model. Unfortunately, many applications in the scientific literature use methods of characterizing prediction quality that make comparison hard or impossible. A database from a study area in the Mountain Community of Tirano in Valtellina, Lombardy Region, northern Italy, is used to illustrate how the results of the different models and strategies of analysis show the relevance of the properties of the database over those of the models.
    Description: Published
    Description: 1135-1144
    Description: 2TR. Ricostruzione e modellazione della struttura crostale
    Keywords: Landslide susceptibility, spatial support, spatial relationships, prediction models, prediction patterns, target pattern, ranked classes, cross-validation, database signature ; 04.04. Geology
    Repository Name: Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV)
    Type: book chapter
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  • 4
    Publication Date: 2018-03-12
    Description: This contribution proposes iterative cross-validation as an approach to assess the quality of spatial predictions of hazardous events. Given the complexity of mathematical procedures and the diversity of geomorphologic applications made to date, STM, the Spatial Target Mapping, is a piece of software, ancillary to a geographical information system and a spreadsheet, that constrains such complexity into a clearly structured framework optimized for modelling. Spatial relationships are established between the distribution of hazardous occurrences and their physical settings to represent in part the slope failure process. They are used in the modelling to anticipate the location of future occurrences. Procedural aspects and computational options are discussed by means of an application to a database developed for landslide susceptibility prediction in northern Italy. Two mathematical models of spatial relationships, fuzzy set function and logistic discriminant function, are applied to generate prediction patterns, prediction-rate tables, and subsequently compute target and uncertainty patterns. The two processing strategies used are sequential elimination and random selection of occurrences for iterative crossvalidations.
    Description: Published
    Description: Santander, Spain
    Description: 2TR. Ricostruzione e modellazione della struttura crostale
    Keywords: Prediction mapping ; Landslide ; Database ; Geographical Information System ; Prediction mapping
    Repository Name: Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV)
    Type: Conference paper
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  • 5
    Publication Date: 2018-03-12
    Description: This contribution proposes a cautious way of constructing the susceptibility classes obtained from favourability modeling of landslide occurrences. It is based on the ranks of the numerical values obtained by the modelling. Such ranks can be displayed in the form of histograms, cumulative curves, and prediction patterns resembling maps. A number of models have been proposed and in this contribution the following will be compared in terms of their respective rankings for equal area classes: fuzzy set function, empirical likelihood ratio, linear and logistic regression, and Bayesian prediction function. The analyses performed and contrasted exemplify a generalized methodology for comparing predictions that should allow evaluating prediction patterns from any model. Unfortunately, many applications in the scientific literature use methods of characterizing prediction quality that make comparison hard or impossible. A database from a study area in the Mountain Community of Tirano in Valtellina, Lombardy Region, northern Italy, is used to illustrate how the results of the different models and strategies of analysis show the relevance of the properties of the database over those of the models.
    Description: Published
    Description: Ljubljana, Slovenia
    Description: 2TR. Ricostruzione e modellazione della struttura crostale
    Keywords: Prediction mapping ; Landslide ; Database ; Geographical Information System ; Advanced in Landslide Science
    Repository Name: Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV)
    Type: Conference paper
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  • 6
    Electronic Resource
    Electronic Resource
    Springer
    Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics 42 (1990), S. 21-36 
    ISSN: 1572-9052
    Keywords: Censored data ; quantile function ; confidence band ; Wiener process ; granitic pluton
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Mathematics
    Notes: Abstract Some new confidence bands are established for the quantile function from randomly censored data. The method does not require estimation of the density function. As an application, we construct bands for the quantile function of the length of fractures in the granitic plutons near Lac du Bonnet, Manitoba, where an Underground Research Laboratory is being built for the nuclear waste disposal program in Canada.
    Type of Medium: Electronic Resource
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  • 7
    Electronic Resource
    Electronic Resource
    Springer
    Natural resources research 2 (1993), S. 122-139 
    ISSN: 1573-8981
    Keywords: Dempster-Shafer belief function ; Representation ; Geographic information system (GIS) ; Data integration ; Spatially distributed map pattern ; Favorability function ; Fuzzy set ; Certainty factor ; Geopotential map ; Prediction ; Natural resources ; Natural hazard ; Probability
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Geosciences
    Notes: Abstract In mineral exploration, resource assessment, or natural hazard assessment, many layers of geoscience maps such as lithology, structure, geophysics, geochemistry, hydrology, slope stability, mineral deposits, and preprocessed remotely sensed data can be used as evidence to delineate potential areas for further investigation. Today's PC-based data base management systems, statistical packages, spreadsheets, image processing systems, and geographical information systems provide almost unlimited capabilities of manipulating data. Generally such manipulations make a strategic separation of spatial and nonspatial attributes, which are conveniently linked in relational data bases. The first step in integration procedures usually consists of studying the individual charateristics of map features and interrelationships, and then representing them in numerical form (statistics) for finding the areas of high potential (or impact). Data representation is a transformation of our experience of the real world into a computational domain. As such, it must comply with models and rules to provide us with useful information. Quantitative representation of spatially distributed map patterns or phenomena plays a pivotal role in integration because it also determines the types of combination rules applied to them. Three representation methods—probability measures, Dempster-Shafer belief functions, and membership functions in fuzzy sets—and their corresponding estimation procedures are presented here with analyses of the implications and of the assumptions that are required in each approach to thematic mapping. Difficulties associated with the construction of probability measures, belief functions, and membership functions are also discussed; alternative procedures to overcome these difficulties are proposed. These proposed techniques are illustrated by using a simple, artificially constructed data set.
    Type of Medium: Electronic Resource
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  • 8
    Electronic Resource
    Electronic Resource
    Springer
    Mathematical geology 16 (1984), S. 529-530 
    ISSN: 1573-8868
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Geosciences , Mathematics
    Type of Medium: Electronic Resource
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  • 9
    Electronic Resource
    Electronic Resource
    Springer
    Mathematical geology 15 (1983), S. 47-58 
    ISSN: 1573-8868
    Keywords: Mineral resources ; graphic display
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Geosciences , Mathematics
    Notes: Abstract A system of interactive graphic computer programs for multivariate statistical analysis of geoscience data (SIMSAG)has been developed to facilitate the construction of statistical models to evaluate potential mineral and energy resources from geoscience data. The system provides an integrated interactive package for graphic display, data management, and multivariate statistical analysis. It is specifically designed to analyze and display spatially distributed information which includes the geographic locations of observations. SIMSAG enables the users not only to perform several different types of multivariate statistical analysis but also to display the data selected or the results of analyses in map form. In the analyses of spatial data, graphic displays are particularly useful for interpretation, because the results can be easily compared with known spatial characteristics of the data. The system also permits the user to modify variables and select subareas imposed by cursor. All operations and commands are performed interactively via a graphic computer terminal. A case study is presented as an example. It consists of the construction of a statistical model for evaluating potential areas for explorations of uranium from geological, geophysical, geochemical, and mineral occurrence map data quantified for equalarea cells in Kasmere Lake area in Manitoba, Canada.
    Type of Medium: Electronic Resource
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  • 10
    Electronic Resource
    Electronic Resource
    Springer
    Mathematical geology 25 (1993), S. 851-865 
    ISSN: 1573-8868
    Keywords: covariance matrix ; correlation matrix ; observations below detection limits ; maximum likelihiood estimation ; log-normal distribution function ; mean ; variances ; marginal maximum likelihood estimation
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Geosciences , Mathematics
    Notes: Abstract Multivariate statistical analyses have been extensively applied to geochemical measurements to analyze and aid interpretation of the data. Estimation of the covariance matrix of multivariate observations is the first task in multivariate analysis. However, geochemical data for the rare elements, especially Ag, Au, and platinum-group elements, usually contain observations the below detection limits. In particular, Instrumental Neutron Activation Analysis (INAA) for the rare elements produces multilevel and possibly extremely high detection limits depending on the sample weight. Traditionally, in applying multivariate analysis to such incomplete data, the observations below detection limits are first substituted, for example, each observation below the detection limit is replaced by a certain percentage of that limit, and then the standard statistical computer packages or techniques are used to obtain the analysis of the data. If a number of samples with observations below detection limits is small, or the detection limits are relatively near zero, the results may be reasonable and most geological interpretations or conclusions are probably valid. In this paper, a new method is proposed to estimate the covariance matrix from a dataset containing observations below multilevel detection limits by using the marginal maximum likelihood estimation (MMLE) method. For each pair of variables, sayY andZ whose observations containing below detection limits, the proposed method consists of three steps: (i) for each variable separately obtaining the marginal MLE for the means and the variances, $$\widetilde{\widetilde\mu }_Y $$ , $$\widetilde{\widetilde\mu }_Z $$ , $$\widetilde{\widetilde\sigma }_{YY} $$ , and $$\widetilde{\widetilde\sigma }_{ZZ} $$ forY andZ: (ii) defining new variables by $$C = (Y - \widetilde{\widetilde\mu }_Y )/\sqrt {\widetilde{\widetilde\sigma }_{YY} } $$ and $$D = (Z - \widetilde{\widetilde\mu }_Z )/\sqrt {\widetilde{\widetilde\sigma }_{ZZ} } $$ and lettingA=C+D andB=C−D, and obtaining MLE for variances, $$\widetilde\sigma _ + $$ and $$\widetilde\sigma _ - $$ forA andB; (iii) estimating the correlation coefficient ϱYZ by $$\widetilde\rho _{YZ} = (\widetilde\sigma _ + - \widetilde\sigma _ - )/(\widetilde\sigma _ + + \widetilde\sigma _ - )$$ and the covariance σ YZ by $$\widetilde\sigma _{YZ} = \bar \rho _{YZ} \sqrt {\widetilde{\widetilde\sigma }_{YY} \widetilde{\widetilde\sigma }_{YY} .} $$ . The procedure is illustrated by using a precious metal geochemical data set from the Fox River Sill, Manitoba, Canada.
    Type of Medium: Electronic Resource
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