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  • 1
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    A prioritization scheme for seismic intervention in school building in Italy (2008)
    Earthquake Engineering Research Institute
    Details
    Publication Date: 2021-06-09
    Description: A seismic rehabilitation program is being implemented to address the vulnerability of a large proportion of Italian building stock. A risk management framework, initially only for Italian school buildings, has been developed to assign priorities for the rehabilitation, and to give timescales within which retrofit or demolition must take place. Since it is not practical to carry out detailed assessment for around 60,000 Italian schools, the framework is a multiple-level procedure that aims to identify the highest-risk buildings based on filters of increasing detail, and reduces the size of the building inventory at each step. Finally, priorities and timescales are assigned based on vulnerability, seismic hazard, and building occupancy, within a general framework with parameters that must be assigned by the relevant authorities. The methodology is transparent, technically based, and flexible enough to be adapted for other building types or regions.
    Description: DPC — Dipartimento della Protezione Civile
    Description: Published
    Description: 291-314
    Description: 4.2. TTC - Scenari e mappe di pericolosità sismica
    Description: JCR Journal
    Description: reserved
    Keywords: seismic risk ; school buildings ; 04. Solid Earth::04.06. Seismology::04.06.11. Seismic risk
    Repository Name: Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV)
    Type: article
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  • 2
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    A prioritization scheme for seismic intervention in school building in Italy (2007)
    Details
    Publication Date: 2017-04-04
    Description: A seismic rehabilitation program is being implemented to address the vulnerability of a large proportion of Italian building stock. A risk management framework, initially only for Italian school buildings, has been developed to assign priorities for the rehabilitation, and to give timescales within which retrofit or demolition must take place. Since it is not practical to carry out detailed assessment for around 60,000 Italian public schools, the framework is a multiplelevel procedure which aims to identify the highest-risk buildings based on filters of increasing detail, and reduces the size of the building inventory at each step. Finally, priorities and timescales are assigned based on vulnerability, seismic hazard and building occupancy, within a general framework with parameters which must be assigned by the relevant authorities. The methodology is transparent, technically-based, and flexible enough to be adapted for other building types or other regions.
    Description: Submitted
    Description: reserved
    Keywords: Seismic Intervention ; 04. Solid Earth::04.06. Seismology::04.06.04. Ground motion
    Repository Name: Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV)
    Type: manuscript
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  • 3
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    Comment on "Influence of fochal mechanism in probabilistic seismic hazard analysis" by Vincenzo Convertito and Andre' Herrero (2007)
    Seismological Society of America
    In:  Convertito, V., and A. Herrero (2004). Influence of focal mechanism in probabilistic seismic hazard analysis, Bull. Seism. Soc. Am. 94, no. 6, 2124–2136.
    Details
    Publication Date: 2017-04-04
    Description: The influence of style-of-faulting on strong groundmotions has been the subject of debate for some time. Although some controversy persists, the general consensus is that ground motions produced by reverse faults are higher than those produced by normal faults, whereas motions from strike-slip faults are somewhere in between. In a recent article, Convertito and Herrero (2004) derived a correction factor for focal mechanism to be applied to predictive equations. This issue was previously addressed by Bommer et al. (2003). Although this article is cited by Convertito and Herrero, it seems that its aims and scope were not well understood, and we would therefore like to clarify what the method presented therein entails, especially because we feel that Convertito and Herrero’s approach of characterizing focal mechanisms based solely on the radiation pattern is difficult to justify. After presenting their correction scheme, Convertito and Herrero go on to present an implementation of probabilistic seismic hazard analysis (PSHA) explicitly accounting for focal mechanism. This represents a real innovation in terms of methodology because it allows propagation of the improvements in ground-motion prediction gained through the focal-mechanism adjustments to hazard estimation. Characterizing the dominant scenario in terms of focal mechanism furthermore has the advantage of providing constraints for numerical simulations that are derived directly from the hazard computation, rather than from arbitrary assumptions. However, in our opinion, the methodology presented by Convertito and Herrero has some serious shortcomings which would need to be addressed before it can lead to improvements of the PSHA methodology. Our discussion includes a comparison with the new Italian seismic hazard map, which was derived using the Bommer et al. (2003) adjustment methodology.
    Description: Published
    Description: 750-753
    Description: JCR Journal
    Description: reserved
    Keywords: strong ground-motions ; 04. Solid Earth::04.06. Seismology::04.06.11. Seismic risk
    Repository Name: Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV)
    Type: article
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  • 4
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    An intensity database for earthquakes in South Africa from 1912 to 2011 (2015)
    Springer Science+Business Media B.V.
    Details
    Publication Date: 2017-04-04
    Description: A database of intensity observations from instrumentally-recorded earthquakes in South Africa has been compiled as a contribution to the characterisation of seismic hazard. The database contains about 1,000 intensity data points (IDPs) that have been assigned from macroseismic observations retrieved from newspaper reports and questionnaires, and also digitised from previously published isoseismal maps. The database includes IDPs from 57 earthquakes with magnitudes in the range of Mw 2.2 to 6.4, for epicentral distances up to 1,000 km. Sixteen events have 20 or more IDPs, with half of these events having more than 80 IDPs. The database is dominated by relatively low intensity values, mostly determined from human perception of shaking rather than structural damage. However, 19 IDPs correspond to intensity values greater than VI MMI-56. Using geological maps of South Africa, the sites of 60% the IDPs were geologically classified as either ‘rock’ or ‘soil’, the uncertainty in locations precluding such a classification for the remaining data points. A few of the IDPs identified as being from soil sites appear to be strongly influenced by site effects and these were removed from the trimmed database created for exploring ground-motion levels. The trimmed database included 15 earthquakes which have a minimum of five useful IDPs, excluding those with intensity MMI=I and those based on a single observation. After removing such points, and those identified as clear ‘outliers’, a total of 436 useful IDPs were selected.
    Description: Published
    Description: 1183-1205
    Description: 3T. Pericolosità sismica e contributo alla definizione del rischio
    Description: JCR Journal
    Description: reserved
    Keywords: Intensity database; South Africa ; 04. Solid Earth::04.06. Seismology::04.06.05. Historical seismology
    Repository Name: Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV)
    Type: article
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  • 5
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    A Monte Carlo Method for Probabilistic Hazard Assessment of Induced Seismicity due to Conventional Natural Gas Production (2015)
    Seismological Society of America (SSA)
    Details
    Publication Date: 2015-06-09
    Description: A Monte Carlo approach to probabilistic seismic-hazard analysis is developed for a case of induced seismicity associated with a compacting gas reservoir. The geomechanical foundation for the method is the work of Kostrov (1974) and McGarr (1976) linking total strain to summed seismic moment in an earthquake catalog. Our Monte Carlo method simulates future seismic hazard consistent with historical seismic and compaction datasets by sampling probability distributions for total seismic moment, event locations and magnitudes, and resulting ground motions. Ground motions are aggregated over an ensemble of simulated catalogs to give a probabilistic representation of the ground-motion hazard. This approach is particularly well suited to the specific nature of the time-dependent induced seismicity considered. We demonstrate the method by applying it to seismicity induced by reservoir compaction following gas production from the Groningen gas field. A new ground-motion prediction equation (GMPE) tailored to the Groningen field has been derived by calibrating an existing GMPE with local strong-motion data. For 2013–2023, we find a 2% chance of exceeding a peak ground acceleration of 0.57 g and a 2% chance of exceeding a peak ground velocity of 22 cm/s above the area of maximum compaction. Disaggregation shows that earthquakes of M w  4–5, at the shortest hypocentral distances of 3 km, and ground motions two standard deviations above the median make the largest contributions to this hazard. Uncertainty in the hazard is primarily due to uncertainty about the future fraction of induced strains that will be seismogenic and how ground motion and its variability will scale to larger magnitudes.
    Print ISSN: 0037-1106
    Electronic ISSN: 1943-3573
    Topics: Geosciences , Physics
    Published by Seismological Society of America (SSA)
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  • 6
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    Alternative Approaches to Modeling Epistemic Uncertainty in Ground Motions in Probabilistic Seismic-Hazard Analysis (2014)
    Seismological Society of America (SSA)
    Details
    Publication Date: 2014-11-04
    Print ISSN: 0895-0695
    Electronic ISSN: 1938-2057
    Topics: Geosciences
    Published by Seismological Society of America (SSA)
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  • 7
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    Developing an Application-Specific Ground-Motion Model for Induced Seismicity (2016)
    Seismological Society of America (SSA)
    Details
    Publication Date: 2016-01-27
    Description: A key element of quantifying both the hazard and risk due to induced earthquakes is a suite of appropriate ground-motion prediction equations (GMPEs) that encompass the possible shaking levels due to such events. Induced earthquakes are likely to be of smaller magnitude and shallower focal depth than the tectonic earthquakes for which most GMPEs are derived. Furthermore, whereas GMPEs for moderate-to-large magnitude earthquakes are usually derived to be transportable to different locations and applications, taking advantage of the limited regional dependence observed for such events, the characteristics of induced earthquakes warrant the development of application-specific models. A preliminary ground-motion model for induced seismicity in the Groningen gas field in The Netherlands is presented as an illustration of a possible approach to the development of these equations. The GMPE is calibrated to local recordings of small-magnitude events and captures the epistemic uncertainty in the extrapolation to larger magnitude considered in the assessment of the resulting hazard and risk.
    Print ISSN: 0037-1106
    Electronic ISSN: 1943-3573
    Topics: Geosciences , Physics
    Published by Seismological Society of America (SSA)
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  • 8
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    An Evaluation of the Applicability of Current Ground-Motion Models to the South and Central American Subduction Zones (2012)
    Seismological Society of America (SSA)
    Details
    Publication Date: 2012-02-01
    Description: The applicability of existing ground-motion prediction equations (GMPEs) for subduction-zone earthquakes is an important issue to address in the assessment of the seismic hazard affecting the Peru–Chile and Central American regions. Few predictive equations exist that are derived from local data, and these do not generally meet the quality criteria required for use in modern seismic hazard analyses. This paper investigates the applicability of a set of global and regional subduction ground-motion models to the Peru–Chile and Central American subduction zones, distinguishing between interface and intraslab events, in light of recently compiled ground-motion data from these regions. Strong-motion recordings and associated metadata compiled by Arango, Strasser, Bommer, Boroschek, et al. (2011) and Arango, Strasser, Bommer, Hernandez, et al. (2011) have been used to assess the performance of the candidate equations following the maximum-likelihood approach of Scherbaum et al. (2004) and its extension to normalized intraevent and interevent residual distributions developed by Stafford et al. (2008). The results of this study are discussed in terms of the transportability of GMPEs for subduction-zone environments from one region to another, with a view to providing guidance for developing ground-motion logic trees for seismic hazard analysis in these regions.
    Print ISSN: 0037-1106
    Electronic ISSN: 1943-3573
    Topics: Geosciences , Physics
    Published by Seismological Society of America (SSA)
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  • 9
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    Application of Single-Station Sigma and Site-Response Characterization in a Probabilistic Seismic-Hazard Analysis for a New Nuclear Site (2014)
    Seismological Society of America (SSA)
    Details
    Publication Date: 2014-08-08
    Description: Aleatory variability in ground-motion prediction, represented by the standard deviation (sigma) of a ground-motion prediction equation, exerts a very strong influence on the results of probabilistic seismic-hazard analysis (PSHA). This is especially so at the low annual exceedance frequencies considered for nuclear facilities; in these cases, even small reductions in sigma can have a marked effect on the hazard estimates. Proper separation and quantification of aleatory variability and epistemic uncertainty can lead to defensible reductions in sigma. One such approach is the single-station sigma concept, which removes that part of sigma corresponding to repeatable site-specific effects. However, the site-to-site component must then be constrained by site-specific measurements or else modeled as epistemic uncertainty and incorporated into the modeling of site effects. The practical application of the single-station sigma concept, including the characterization of the dynamic properties of the site and the incorporation of site-response effects into the hazard calculations, is illustrated for a PSHA conducted at a rock site under consideration for the potential construction of a nuclear power plant.
    Print ISSN: 0037-1106
    Electronic ISSN: 1943-3573
    Topics: Geosciences , Physics
    Published by Seismological Society of America (SSA)
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  • 10
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    Quality Assurance for Logic-Tree Implementation in Probabilistic Seismic-Hazard Analysis for Nuclear Applications: A Practical Example (2013)
    Seismological Society of America (SSA)
    Details
    Publication Date: 2013-10-25
    Print ISSN: 0895-0695
    Electronic ISSN: 1938-2057
    Topics: Geosciences
    Published by Seismological Society of America (SSA)
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